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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,207 records · Page 67

Radiative forcing from the 2020 shipping fuel regulation is large but hard to detect

Reduction in aerosol cooling unmasks greenhouse gas warming, exacerbating the rate of future warming. The strict sulfur regulation on shipping fuel implemented in 2020 (IMO2020) presents an opportunity to assess the potential impacts of such emission regulations and the detectability of deliberate aerosol perturbations for climate intervention. Here we employ machine learning to capture cloud natural variability and estimate a radiative forcing of +0.074 ±0.005 W m -2 related to IMO2020 associated with changes in shortwave cloud radiative effect over three low-cloud regions where shipping routes prevail. We find low detectability of the cloud radiative effect of this event, attributed to strong natural variability in cloud albedo and cloud cover. Regionally, detectability is higher for the southeastern Atlantic stratocumulus deck. These results raise concerns that future reductions in aerosol emissions will accelerate warming and that proposed deliberate aerosol perturbations such as marine cloud brightening will need to be substantial in order to overcome the low detectability.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Non-parametric Lagrangian biasing from the insights of neural nets

We present a Lagrangian model of galaxy clustering bias in which we train a neural net using the local properties of the smoothed initial density field to predict the late-time mass-weighted halo field.By fitting the mass-weighted halo field in the AbacusSummit simulations at z = 0.5, we find that including three coarsely spaced smoothing scales gives the best recovery of the halo power spectrum. Adding more smoothing scales may lead to 2–5% underestimation of the large-scale power and can cause the neural net to overfit.We find that the fitted halo-to-mass ratio can be well described by two directions in the original high-dimension feature space.Projecting the original features into these two principal components and re-training the neural net either reproduces the original training result, or outperforms it with a better match of the halo power spectrum. The elements of the principal components are unlikely to be assigned physical meanings, partly owing to the features being highly correlated between different smoothing scales.Our work illustrates a potential need to include multiple smoothing scales when studying galaxy bias, and this can be done easily with machine-learning methods that can take in high dimensional input feature space.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Improving Trustworthiness of Data-Driven Power Grid Contingency Analysis With Bayesian Residual Graph Neural Networks

The evolving energy landscape requires novel tools to efficiently perform contingency analysis and reliability assessment of power grids, potentially in real-time. The high computational cost of traditional power flow solvers limits their applicability in practice. Machine learning (ML) surrogates such as deep neural networks (NNs) accelerate power flow solvers computations, enabling high-order contingency analysis and real-time decision-making by learning highly nonlinear functions and integrating grid topology via graph architectures. However, (graph) NNs lack predictive power away from training data and do not provide predictive confidence estimates. Here, we present a Bayesian residual graph NN that integrates knowledge from low-fidelity data via residual training and embeds granular quantification of uncertainties, improving trustworthiness critical for high-consequence decision-making. Applying Bayesian concepts to NNs is challenging due to the high-dimensionality of both the parameter space, complicating derivation of a meaningful prior, and the output space in large grid systems, requiring enhanced techniques to assess the predicted high-dimensional uncertainties. Our contributions include: (1) Deriving a prior for fully connected and graph NNs that leverages low-fidelity data to guide mean predictions and appropriately control prior predictive uncertainty. (2) Integrating this prior within an ensembling with anchoring scheme for efficient approximate posterior inference. (3) Deriving enhanced metrics to assess accuracy of both the mean and uncertainty predictions in high dimensions, appropriately accounting for correlations propagated through graph layers. The resulting Bayesian residual graph NN is tested on a contingency analysis task for 14-bus and 118-bus grids.

24 - POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Deep Deception: Exemplars of Adversarial Machine Learning and Countermeasures Applicable to International Safeguards

As a follow-up to our more comprehensive report on Adversarial Machine Learning (AML), here we provide demonstrations of AML attacks against the Limbo image database of UF6 cylinders in a variety of orientations and amongst a variety of distractor images. We demonstrate the Carlini & Wagner AML attack against a subset of Limbo images, with 100% attack success rate; meaning all attacked images were misclassified by a highly accurate trained model, yet the image changes were imperceptible to the human eye. We also demonstrate successful attacks against segmented images (images with more than one targeted object). Finally, we demonstrated the Fast Fourier Transform countermeasure that can be used to detect AML attacks on images. The intent of this and our previous report is to inform the IAEA and stakeholders of both the promise of machine learning, which could greatly improve the efficiency of surveillance monitoring, but also of the real threat of AML and potential defenses.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Multiscale Reactive Model for 1,3,5-Triamino-2,4,6-trinitrobenzene Inferred by Reactive MD Simulations and Unsupervised Learning

When high-energy-density materials are subjected to thermal or mechanical insults at extreme conditions (shock loading), a coupled response between the thermo-mechanical and chemical behaviors is systematically induced. Herein we develop a reaction model for the fast chemistry of 1,3,5-triamino-2,4,6-trinitrobenzene (TATB) at the mesoscopic scale, where the chemical behavior is determined by underlying microscopic reactive simulations. The slow carbon cluster formation is not discussed in the present work. All-atom reactive molecular dynamics (MD) simulations are performed with the ReaxFF potential, and a reduced-order chemical kinetics model for TATB is fitted to isothermal and adiabatic simulations of single crystal chemical decomposition. Unsupervised machine learning techniques based on non-negative matrix factorization are applied to MD trajectories to model the decomposition kinetics of TATB in terms of a four-component model. The associated heats of reaction are fit to the temperature evolution from adiabatic decomposition trajectories. Using a chemical species analysis, we show that non-negative matrix factorization captures the main chemical decomposition steps of TATB and provides an accurate estimation of their evolution with temperature. The final analytical formulation, coupled to a diffusion term, is incorporated into a continuum formalism, and simulation results are compared one-to-one against MD simulations of 1D reaction propagation along different crystallographic directions and with different initial temperatures. A good agreement is found for both the temporal and spatial evolution of the temperature field.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Technical Advances for Sustainable Remediation: In Situ Monitoring and Climate Resiliency - 18436

Recent advances in sustainable remediation techniques show promise as solutions for contaminant removal in soil and groundwater media. Although passive remediation (or natural attenuation) has gained momentum as an acceptable technique, there are still challenges in regulatory frameworks as well as in public acceptance. Leaving contaminants in subsurface requires increased burden of proof to show that plumes are stable and residual contaminants do not pose a significant health risk. Climate changes and frequent extreme climate events contribute another level of complexity and make it difficult to demonstrate system stability and predict future plume conditions. In this study, we show two coupled approaches to tackle this challenge: (1) in situ groundwater monitoring based on advanced sensor and data analytics technologies (i.e., Big Data), and (2) state-of-art modeling for optimizing monitoring and site closure strategies. In the new monitoring approach, in situ sensors are used to continuously measure the key variables that control contaminant plume mobility and its spatial and temporal distribution (such as pH, redox potential, electrical conductivity, and groundwater level). Coupled with a limited number of groundwater sampling, the data analytics methods - data mining and machine learning - allow us to estimate contaminant concentrations, and also to detect any significant changes associated with the plume mobility. In parallel, the state-of-art numerical flow and reactive transport model - ASCEM software under DOE Office of Environmental Management - provides a physical and mechanistic understanding of the system behavior, and predicts the long-term plume migration for optimizing the monitoring and closure strategies. In particular, we focus on the effects of extreme precipitation or drought on the site closure as well as monitoring strategies. We demonstrate this approach at the Savannah River Site (SRS) F-Area, where groundwater is contaminated by various radionuclides, including uranium, tritium and technetium. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

A Machine Learning Ready Dataset of Acoustic Power Maps for Detection of Active Region Emergence

The development of an accurate forecast for solar eruptive activity has become increasingly important in order to prevent any potential impact on activities in space and the Earth's environment. It is therefore crucial to detect active regions before they appear on the solar surface and create early warning capabilities for upcoming Space Weather disturbances. In this work, 9TB of solar data (SDO/HMI dopplergrams, magnetograms and continuum intensity maps) involving the emergence of 61 NOAA solar active regions since 2010 were processed using the NASA HECC capabilities. An acoustic power maps time-series dataset was created (for four different frequency ranges and processed to take into account the solar sphere geometric effect ) which can be used for understanding the dynamics of the solar surface and train a variety of ML models. The calculated acoustic power maps carry precursor information associated with the decrease in continuum intensity on the solar surface, verifying older helioseismology research. Our results show that a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTMs) model, with a modest layer depth and the right hyperparameters tuned, when trained on this solar acoustic power maps dataset can predict without false negatives a drop in intensity (associated with the emergence of the active region), up to 18 hours in advance.

SMD↗

Developing a Prototype Methodology to Rank CO2-EOR Wells and Assess Their Reuse Potential for Geologic Carbon Storage

This paper presents a prototype methodology to assess the possible transition of Class II carbon dioxide-enhanced oil recovery (CO2-EOR) wells to Class VI wells. The focus is on wellbore construction materials—casing, cement, tubing, and the packer—and includes comprehensive workflows to evaluate these materials, with primary emphasis on compliance with Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Class VI well construction and conversion guidelines. These workflows systematically assess material properties and performance criteria to ensure regulatory compliance and optimize long-term wellbore integrity and functionality. Utilizing Python scripts and JavaScript Object Notation (JSON) representations, the study automates checks on digitized Texas Railroad Commission (TRRC) data to rank wells based on workflow criteria. By emphasizing critical factors such as casing integrity, cementing techniques, tubing compatibility, and packer selection, the methodology helps well owners and operators prioritize wells for potential reuse as CO2 injection wells. Given limitations in digitized data, manual user verification is required in some sections. Future improvements include integrating non-digitized data through web scraping and machine learning techniques. This research serves as a practical guide for stakeholders, supporting environmental compliance and sustainable well operations.

geologic carbon sequestration↗

Defect identification in simulated Bragg coherent diffraction imaging by automated AI

X-ray Bragg coherent diffraction imaging is a powerful technique for operando and in situ materials characterization and provides a unique means of quantifying the influence of one-dimensional (1D) and two-dimensional (2D) material defects on material response. However, obtaining full images from raw x-ray diffraction data is nontrivial and computationally intensive, precluding real-time experimental feedback. Here, we present a machine learning approach to identify the presence of crystalline line defects (edge and screw) in samples from the raw, 2D, coherent diffraction data without the need for image reconstruction through iterative phase retrieval. Further, we compare different approaches to designing neural networks for this application and demonstrate the potential of automated ML (autoML) approaches.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Inverse methods for design of soft materials

Functional soft materials, comprising colloidal and molecular building blocks that self-organize into complex structures as a result of their tunable interactions, enable a wide array of technological applications. Inverse methods provide a systematic means for navigating their inherently high-dimensional design spaces to create materials with targeted properties. Furthermore, while multiple physically motivated inverse strategies have been successfully implemented in silico, their translation to guiding experimental materials discovery has thus far been limited to a handful of proof-of-concept studies. In this perspective, we discuss recent advances in inverse methods for design of soft materials that address two challenges: (1) methodological limitations that prevent such approaches from satisfying design constraints and (2) computational challenges that limit the size and complexity of systems that can be addressed. Strategies that leverage machine learning have proven particularly effective, including methods to discover order parameters that characterize complex structural motifs and schemes to efficiently compute macroscopic properties from the underlying structure. We also highlight promising opportunities to improve the experimental realizability of materials designed computationally, including discovery of materials with functionality at multiple thermodynamic states, design of externally directed assembly protocols that are simple to implement in experiments, and strategies to improve the accuracy and computational efficiency of experimentally relevant models.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Machine Learning Force Field Parameters from Ab Initio Data

Machine learning (ML) techniques with the genetic algorithm (GA) have been applied to determine a polarizable force field parameters using only ab initio data from quantum mechanics (QM) calculations of molecular clusters at the MP2/6-31G(d,p), DFMP2(fc)/jul-cc-pVDZ, and DFMP2(fc)/jul-cc-pVTZ levels to predict experimental condensed phase properties (i.e., density and heat of vaporization). The performance of this ML/GA approach is demonstrated on 4943 dimer electrostatic potentials and 1250 cluster interaction energies for methanol. Excellent agreement between the training data set from QM calculations and the optimized force field model was achieved. Our results were further improved by introducing an offset factor during the machine learning process to compensate for the discrepancy between the QM calculated energy and the energy reproduced by optimized force field, while maintaining the local “shape” of the QM energy surface. Throughout the machine learning process, experimental observables were not involved in the objective function, but were only used for model validation. The best model, optimized from the QM data at the DFMP2(fc)/jul-cc-pVTZ level, appears to perform even better than the original AMOEBA force field (amoeba09.prm), which was optimized empirically to match liquid properties. The present effort shows the possibility of using machine learning techniques to develop descriptive polarizable force field using only QM data. The ML/GA strategy to optimize force fields parameters described here could easily be extended to other molecular systems.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Self-supervised learning of spatiotemporal thermal signatures in additive manufacturing using reduced order physics models and transformers

Microstructure control via additive manufacturing has enormous potential as manufacturers, materials scientists, and designers alike seek to exploit novel fabrication technologies to improve component performance. Recent works have demonstrated the feasibility of producing materials with controlled microstructures across various length scales. However, the experimental approach towards exploring the process-structure space can be laborious and costly. This is particularly true if also considering scan pattern optimization which is well suited for processes such as powder bed fusion electron beam melting. In this work we propose an approach for encoding additive manufacturing layer-wise thermal response signatures using self-supervised representation learning. Thermal simulations from a reduced order model are utilized to estimate the spatiotemporal response during printing. A machine learning framework, using video-transformers, is utilized to efficiently distill spatiotemporal patterns into a compact latent space representation. This latent state representation encodes the relevant physics which is then utilized to establish a data-driven process-structure model for an additively manufactured Ni-based superalloy. In conclusion, the proposed methodology could potentially be used towards in-situ process monitoring, scan pattern experimental design, and component qualification.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Performance Comparison of Object Detection Networks for Shrapnel Identification in Ultrasound Images

Ultrasound imaging is a critical tool for triaging and diagnosing subjects but only if images can be properly interpreted. Unfortunately, in remote or military medicine situations, the expertise to interpret images can be lacking. Machine-learning image interpretation models that are explainable to the end user and deployable in real time with ultrasound equipment have the potential to solve this problem. We have previously shown how a YOLOv3 (You Only Look Once) object detection algorithm can be used for tracking shrapnel, artery, vein, and nerve fiber bundle features in a tissue phantom. However, real-time implementation of an object detection model requires optimizing model inference time. Here, we compare the performance of five different object detection deep-learning models with varying architectures and trainable parameters to determine which model is most suitable for this shrapnel-tracking ultrasound image application. We used a dataset of more than 16,000 ultrasound images from gelatin tissue phantoms containing artery, vein, nerve fiber, and shrapnel features for training and evaluating each model. Every object detection model surpassed 0.85 mean average precision except for the detection transformer model. Overall, the YOLOv7tiny model had the higher mean average precision and quickest inference time, making it the obvious model choice for this ultrasound imaging application. Other object detection models were overfitting the data as was determined by lower testing performance compared with higher training performance. In summary, the YOLOv7tiny object detection model had the best mean average precision and inference time and was selected as optimal for this application. Next steps will implement this object detection algorithm for real-time applications, an important next step in translating AI models for emergency and military medicine.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Advancing river corridor science beyond disciplinary boundaries with an inductive approach to catalyse hypothesis generation

Abstract A unified conceptual framework for river corridors requires synthesis of diverse site‐, method‐ and discipline‐specific findings. The river research community has developed a substantial body of observations and process‐specific interpretations, but we are still lacking a comprehensive model to distill this knowledge into fundamental transferable concepts. We confront the challenge of how a discipline classically organized around the deductive model of systematically collecting of site‐, scale‐, and mechanism‐specific observations begins the process of synthesis. Machine learning is particularly well‐suited to inductive generation of hypotheses. In this study, we prototype an inductive approach to holistic synthesis of river corridor observations, using support vector machine regression to identify potential couplings or feedbacks that would not necessarily arise from classical approaches. This approach generated 672 relationships linking a suite of 157 variables each measured at 62 locations in a fifth order river network. Eighty four percent of these relationships have not been previously investigated, and representing potential (hypothetical) process connections. We document relationships consistent with current understanding including hydrologic exchange processes, microbial ecology, and the River Continuum Concept, supporting that the approach can identify meaningful relationships in the data. Moreover, we highlight examples of two novel research questions that stem from interpretation of inductively‐generated relationships. This study demonstrates the implementation of machine learning to sieve complex data sets and identify a small set of candidate relationships that warrant further study, including data types not commonly measured together. This structured approach complements traditional modes of inquiry, which are often limited by disciplinary perspectives and favour the careful pursuit of parsimony. Finally, we emphasize that this approach should be viewed as a complement to, rather than in place of, more traditional, deductive approaches to scientific discovery.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Potential applications of microbial genomics in nuclear non-proliferation

As nuclear technology evolves in response to increased demand for diversification and decarbonization of the energy sector, new and innovative approaches are needed to effectively identify and deter the proliferation of nuclear arms, while ensuring safe development of global nuclear energy resources. Preventing the use of nuclear material and technology for unsanctioned development of nuclear weapons has been a long-standing challenge for the International Atomic Energy Agency and signatories of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons. Environmental swipe sampling has proven to be an effective technique for characterizing clandestine proliferation activities within and around known locations of nuclear facilities and sites. However, limited tools and techniques exist for detecting nuclear proliferation in unknown locations beyond the boundaries of declared nuclear fuel cycle facilities, representing a critical gap in non-proliferation safeguards. Microbiomes, defined as “characteristic communities of microorganisms” found in specific habitats with distinct physical and chemical properties, can provide valuable information about the conditions and activities occurring in the surrounding environment. Microorganisms are known to inhabit radionuclide-contaminated sites, spent nuclear fuel storage pools, and cooling systems of water-cooled nuclear reactors, where they can cause radionuclide migration and corrosion of critical structures. Microbial transformation of radionuclides is a well-established process that has been documented in numerous field and laboratory studies. These studies helped to identify key bacterial taxa and microbially-mediated processes that directly and indirectly control the transformation, mobility, and fate of radionuclides in the environment. Expanding on this work, other studies have used microbial genomics integrated with machine learning models to successfully monitor and predict the occurrence of heavy metals, radionuclides, and other process wastes in the environment, indicating the potential role of nuclear activities in shaping microbial community structure and function. Results of this previous body of work suggest fundamental geochemical-microbial interactions occurring at nuclear fuel cycle facilities could give rise to microbiomes that are characteristic of nuclear activities. These microbiomes could provide valuable information for monitoring nuclear fuel cycle facilities, planning environmental sampling campaigns, and developing biosensor technology for the detection of undisclosed fuel cycle activities and proliferation concerns.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Neural-network model for force prediction in multi-principal-element alloys

Atomistic simulations can provide useful insights into the physical properties of multi-principal-element alloys. However, classical potentials mostly fail to capture key quantum (electronic-structure) effects. Here we present a deep 3D convolutional neural network (3D CNN) based framework combined with a voxelization technique to design interatomic potentials for chemically complex alloys. We highlight the performance of the 3D CNN model and its efficacy in computing potentials using the medium-entropy alloy TaNbMo. In order to provide insights into the effect of voxel resolution, we implemented two approaches based on the inner and outer bounding boxes. An efficient 3D CNN model, which is as accurate as the density-functional theory (DFT) approach, for calculating potentials will provide a promising schema for accurate atomistic simulations of structure and dynamics of general multi-principle element alloys.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Insight into ideal shear strength of Ni-based dilute alloys using first-principles calculations and correlational analysis

Here the present work examines the effect of alloying elements (denoted X) on the ideal shear strength for 26 dilute Ni-based alloys, Ni11X, as determined by first-principles calculations of pure alias shear deformations. The variations in ideal shear strength are quantitatively explored with correlational analysis techniques, showing the importance of atomic properties such as size and electronegativity. The shear moduli of the alloys are affirmed to show a strong linear relationship with their ideal shear strengths, while the shear moduli of the individual alloying elements were not indicative of alloy shear strength. Through combination with available ideal shear strength data on Mg alloys, a potential application of the Ni alloy data is demonstrated in the search for a set of atomic features suitable for machine learning applications to mechanical properties. As another illustration, the calculated Ni ideal shear strengths play a key role in a predictive multiscale framework for deformation behavior of single crystal alloys at large strains, as shown by simulated stress–strain curves.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

The Future of Sensitivity Analysis: An essential discipline for systems modeling and policy support

Sensitivity analysis (SA) is en route to becoming an integral part of mathematical modeling. The tremendous potential benefits of SA are, however, yet to be fully realized, both for advancing mechanistic and data-driven modeling of human and natural systems, and in support of decision making. In this perspective paper, a multidisciplinary group of researchers and practitioners revisit the current status of SA, and outline research challenges in regard to both theoretical frameworks and their applications to solve real-world problems. Six areas are discussed that warrant further attention, including (1) structuring and standardizing SA as a discipline, (2) realizing the untapped potential of SA for systems modeling, (3) addressing the computational burden of SA, (4) progressing SA in the context of machine learning, (5) clarifying the relationship and role of SA to uncertainty quantification, and (6) evolving the use of SA in support of decision making. An outlook for the future of SA is provided that underlines how SA must underpin a wide variety of activities to better serve science and society.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗