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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,207 records · Page 67
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

Gas hydrate quantification in Walker Ridge block 313, Gulf of Mexico, from full-waveform inversion of ocean-bottom seismic data

The Gulf of Mexico (GOM) Joint Industry Project Leg 2 logging-while-drilling data in Walker Ridge lease block 313 (WR313) in the GOM detected gas hydrate in coarse- and fine-grained sediments at sites WR313-G and WR313-H. The coarse-grained units are thin ([Formula: see text]) and highly saturated, whereas the fine-grained unit is thick (approximately 200 m) with low saturation and fracture-filling gas hydrate. Unlike its coarse-grained counterpart, the seismic character of the fine-grained unit does not clearly indicate the presence of gas hydrate, which would likely have remained undiscovered in the absence of drilling. In this paper, through frequency-domain acoustic full-waveform inversion (FWI) of ocean-bottom seismometer data along a 2D multichannel seismic transect near sites WR313-G and WR313-H, we detect and quantify gas hydrate in the fine-grained unit. Key results are as follows: First, the base of the gas hydrate stability zone, which is not obvious in the reflection profile, can be discerned in the FWI results. Second, the gas hydrate in the fine-grained unit is mainly confined to the area between two sets of opposite-dipping normal faults implying that the fault architecture may be partially responsible for this gas hydrate accumulation and distribution.

Geochemistry & Geophysics↗
DOE OSTI2022

Reactivity initiated accident uncertainty quantification for fuel assembly with subchannel code

UNIST CORE lab has developed a multiphysics coupling framework (MPCORE) consisting of Neutronics, Thermal Hydraulics and Fuel Performance modules. It can accommodate one-dimensional as well as sub-channel code Thermal Hydraulics (TH) module. Generally, running a transient requires more computational power due to the convergence of modules with each other. The difference between one-dimensional and sub-channel TH modules is studied in this research for a Reactivity Initiated Accident (RIA). Both TH modules are compared for a RIA uncertainty propagation in a single VERA fuel assembly with 2.11% enrichment. MPCORE is capable of analyzing the transient at any burnup point but for current work, only fresh fuel has been considered. The results have been obtained using dynamic gap heat conductance in FRAPTRAN. Peak centerline temperature, fuel enthalpy and DNBR are compared for both the approaches. The results indicate that the use of sub-channel code lead to greater safety margin for critical parameters. Computation time comparison is also presented for both the cases. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Quantification of neural networks uncertainties with applications to SAFARI-1 axial neutron flux profiles

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have been widely used as a data-driven modelling tool in nuclear engineering. However, as a Machine Learning model, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) predictions are subjected to uncertainties originating from the noise in training data, incomplete coverage of the domain, and imperfect neural network architectures. In this work, we target at quantifying the prediction/approximation uncertainties of ANNs using Monte Carlo Dropout (MCD), as well as Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) which are solved by variational inference. With a demonstration problem in which neural networks are used to predict the assembly axial neutron flux profiles, the results have shown that the three different neural network models (regular DNNs, DNNs solved with MCD and BNNs) can produce results that agree very well among each other and with the measurement data, on cycles that are not used in the training process. Besides the excellent generalization capability, the uncertainty bands produced by MCD and BNN agree very well, and in general, they can fully envelop the noisy measurement data points. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2019

Monte Carlo Uncertainty Quantification in UF 6 Cylinder Neutron Emissions

In order to provide timely detection of the diversion of nuclear material, the international community needs to develop technology for safeguarding the entire fuel cycle. As such, there is significant interest in securing the front end of the fuel cycle through precise and accurate material accountancy prior to fuel irradiation. One particularly attractive solution for such problems is the development of unattended enrichment verification monitors for uranium hexafluoride (UF 6 ) transit cylinders. Systems such as the Unattended Cylinder Verification Station (UCVS) promise to provide independent nuclear material accountancy (i.e. measurements of relative enrichment, 235 U mass and total uranium mass) for all UF 6 cylinders entering and/or leaving any enrichment or fuel fabrication facilities.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Revisiting spontaneous Raman scattering for direct oxygen atom quantification

In this paper, the counterintuitive and largely unknown Raman activity of oxygen atoms is evaluated for its capacity to determine absolute densities in gases with significant O-density. The study involves C O 2 microwave plasma to generate a self-calibrating mixture and establish accurate cross sections for the 3 P 2 ↔<!-- ↔ --> 3 P 1 and 3 P 2 ↔<!-- ↔ --> 3 P 0 transitions. The approach requires conservation of stoichiometry, confirmed within experimental uncertainty by a 1D fluid model. The measurements yield σ<!-- σ --> J = 2 →<!-- → --> 1 = 5.27 ±<!-- ± --> s y s : 0.53 r a n d : 0.17 ×<!-- × --> 10 -<!-- - --> 31 c m 2 / s r and σ<!-- σ --> J = 2 →<!-- → --> 0 = 2.11 ±<!-- ± --> s y s : 0.21 r a n d : 0.06 ×<!-- × --> 10 -<!-- - --> 31 c m 2 / s r , and the detection limit is estimated to be 1 ×<!-- × --> 10 15 c m -<!-- - --> 3 for systems without other scattering species.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Quantification of Ebola virus replication kinetics in vitro

Mathematical modelling has successfully been used to provide quantitative descriptions of many viral infections, but for the Ebola virus, which requires biosafety level 4 facilities for experimentation, modelling can play a crucial role. Ebola virus modelling efforts have primarily focused on in vivo virus kinetics, e.g., in animal models, to aid the development of antivirals and vaccines. But, thus far, these studies have not yielded a detailed specification of the infection cycle, which could provide a foundational description of the virus kinetics and thus a deeper understanding of their clinical manifestation. Here, we obtain a diverse experimental data set of the Ebola virus infection in vitro, and then make use of Bayesian inference methods to fully identify parameters in a mathematical model of the infection. Our results provide insights into the distribution of time an infected cell spends in the eclipse phase (the period between infection and the start of virus production), as well as the rate at which infectious virions lose infectivity. We suggest how these results can be used in future models to describe co-infection with defective interfering particles, which are an emerging alternative therapeutic.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Quantification of early nonpharmaceutical interventions aimed at slowing transmission of Coronavirus Disease 2019 in the Navajo Nation and surrounding states (Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, and Utah)

During an early period of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, the Navajo Nation, much like New York City, experienced a relatively high rate of disease transmission. Yet, between January and October 2020, it experienced only a single period of growth in new COVID-19 cases, which ended when cases peaked in May 2020. The daily number of new cases slowly decayed in the summer of 2020 until late September 2020. In contrast, the surrounding states of Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, and Utah all experienced at least two periods of growth in the same time frame, with second surges beginning in late May to early June. Here, we investigated these differences in disease transmission dynamics with the objective of quantifying the contributions of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) (e.g., behaviors that limit disease transmission). We considered a compartmental model accounting for distinct periods of NPIs to analyze the epidemic in each of the five regions. We used Bayesian inference to estimate region-specific model parameters from regional surveillance data (daily reports of new COVID-19 cases) and to quantify uncertainty in parameter estimates and model predictions. Our results suggest that NPIs in the Navajo Nation were sustained over the period of interest, whereas in the surrounding states, NPIs were relaxed, which allowed for subsequent surges in cases. Our region-specific model parameterizations allow us to quantify the impacts of NPIs on disease incidence in the regions of interest.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Constraining Bedrock Groundwater Residence Times in a Mountain System with Environmental Tracer Observations and Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification: Modeling and Data Package

Groundwater residence times provide fundamental descriptions of hydrologic dynamics and mixing processes in mountainous watersheds. Yet, few observational datasets that can constrain groundwater residence times over broad timescales are available in high elevation mountain systems. Here we present field observations from May 2021 of dissolved noble gases (He, Ne, Ar, Kr, and Xe), Chloroflourcarbons (CFCs), Sulfurhexaflouride (SF6), and tritium (3H) sampled from the Pumphouse Lower Montane study site (wells PLM1, PLM6, and PLM7) within the East River Watershed, Colorado. The presented noble gas (PLM_noblegas_2021.csv) and environmental tracer (PLM_tracers_2021.csv) observation datasets, along with the associated modeling scripts, aide in quantifying groundwater residence times and recharge conditions in a high elevation mountain system. Furthermore, the modeling scripts quantify groundwater residence time and noble gas recharge condition uncertainties using a novel Markov-chain Monte Carlo approach. All data modeling scripts are written in the Python code.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2019

Robust Uncertainty Quantification using Response Surface Approximations of Discontinuous Functions

This paper considers response surface approximations for discontinuous quantities of interest. Our objective is not to adaptively characterize the manifold defining the discontinuity. Instead, we utilize an epistemic description of the uncertainty in the location of a discontinuity to produce robust bounds on sample-based estimates of probabilistic quantities of interest. We demonstrate that two common machine learning strategies for classification, one based on nearest neighbors (Voronoi cells) and one based on support vector machines, provide reasonable descriptions of the region where the discontinuity may reside. In higher dimensional spaces, we demonstrate that support vector machines are more accurate for discontinuities defined by smooth manifolds. We also show how gradient information, often available via adjoint-based approaches, can be used to define indicators to effectively detect a discontinuity and to decompose the samples into clusters using an unsupervised learning technique. Numerical results demonstrate the epistemic bounds on probabilistic quantities of interest for simplistic models and for a compressible fluid model with a shock-induced discontinuity.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Probabilistic Programming for Transportable Source Characterization and Uncertainty Quantification of the North Korean Nuclear Tests 2006–2017

Here, we introduce a transportable technique to determine the yield and depth of burial (DOB) from seismic source spectra of underground nuclear explosions. We demonstrate this technique on the six declared North Korean nuclear tests. This approach derives source spectra in absolute units from regional phase (Pg) amplitudes by correcting the observations for geometric spreading, attenuation, and site amplification. We couple the source spectra and explosion source models with a probabilistic programming framework that integrates deep learning techniques and Bayesian modeling. This approach permits the exchange of information across various data categories to quantify both the data and model uncertainty. This technique stands out as an innovative use of broad‐area propagation models, making it transportable across various geologic settings. This method proves to be effective in scenarios with diverse and/or limited observational data, even when the source depth is unknown. We present new independent estimates of absolute yield and DOB that are consistent with the prior assessments, underscoring the potential of this method in enhancing transportable nuclear explosion monitoring capabilities.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2019

X‐Ray Spectroscopic Quantification of Struvite and Dittmarite Recovered from Wastewater

Phosphorus recovery from wastewater as struvite (MgNH 4 PO 4 ⋅6H 2 O) or dittmarite (MgNH 4 PO 4 ⋅H 2 O) can decrease water pollution risk, as well as produce a P‐rich material suitable as fertilizer. However, most studies to date have focused on the removal of P from wastewater, rather than on characterization of the recovered P materials. The objective of this work was to apply microfocused X‐ray fluorescence (XRF) spectroscopy, and both bulk and microfused X‐ray absorption near edge structure (XANES) spectroscopy, to provide insight into the speciation of recovered P in various struvite‐containing and struvite‐like materials. Three materials were investigated: homogeneous crystalline struvite on apatite seed, homogeneous dittmarite, and heterogeneous struvite with sand contamination (referred to as the “sandy” material). The struvite materials were recovered from dairy wastewater, whereas the dittmarite was from a cheese processing plant. Phosphorus speciation in the crystalline struvite on apatite seed material was ∼17% apatite and 83% struvite; in the “sandy” material, P was ∼24% apatite and ∼76% struvite, with an uncertainty of approximately ±15%. The P K ‐edge XANES spectra of recovered dittmarite appeared pure. These findings highlight the heterogeneity of recovered P materials and underscore the importance of P speciation to understand P release behavior and bioavailability from recovered phosphates. Core Ideas Multiple methods should be used to corroborate spectroscopic estimates of P speciation. Dittmarite P K ‐edge XANES spectra are distinct from spectra of chemically similar struvite. Phosphorus K ‐edge XANES spectroscopy can quantify Mg‐associated P >15 atom% P.

Massey, Michael S.↗