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DOE OSTI2025

The Influence of African Easterly Waves on Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Tracks and Landfall in Large Ensembles

African easterly waves (AEWs) are an important precursor or “seed” for Atlantic tropical cyclones (TCs), with 60%–80% of major hurricanes observed to originate from AEWs. However, climate model simulations indicate that AEWs are not necessary to maintain annual Atlantic TC frequency. Furthermore, small ensembles suggest that AEWs may impact the spatial distribution and landfall of Atlantic TCs. Here, we investigated the influence of AEWs on the spatial distribution of Atlantic TC tracks and landfall using 50-member ensembles of TC-permitting regional model simulations for five hurricane seasons characterized by different levels of TC activity. The control simulations are seasonal hindcasts in which AEWs were prescribed through the eastern lateral boundary condition using reanalysis. In the experiments, we suppressed AEWs by applying a 2–10 day filter to the eastern lateral boundary condition. In response to AEW suppression, we discovered statistically significant increases in Atlantic TC frequency (10%–26%) and landfall (16%–44%), a westward shift in TC genesis location and tracks with increased landfall over the Caribbean Islands, southwestern Gulf Coast, and southeastern US coast, and increases in mid-tropospheric relative humidity in the main development region. In addition, we evaluated TC genesis mechanisms in the absence of AEWs and found evidence that the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) intensified and extended northward, resulting in ITCZ wave-breaking that shed vortices which served as TC seeds. By uncovering the connections between TC seed types and the likelihood of TC landfall, this research can provide Atlantic coastal and island communities with useful information to prepare for TC impacts.

African easterly waves↗

DOE OSTI2025

Alkali-induced catalytic tuning at metal and metal oxide interfaces

Alkali metals have been recognized as effective promoters in heterogeneous catalysis, capable of enhancing catalytic activity and tuning product distributions. Over the past few decades, significant efforts have been made aiming to reveal the mechanisms underlying the promoting effect of alkalis. However, the roles that alkali metals play in the catalytic process remain elusive due to challenges in capturing their catalytic behaviours upon exposure to reactive environments. This review summarizes recent surface science and theoretical studies of alkali (potassium, cesium)-decorated metal and metal oxide model catalysts, revealing the crucial tuning by alkalis of activity and selectivity for CO 2 hydrogenation. The analysis of electronic structures identifies the selective binding mechanism of the positively charged alkali ions on the surface, being able to reduce the surface work function and lead to strong electron polarization on the surfaces. Depending on the alkali–support interaction, the deposition of alkalis can selectively modify the bindings of reaction intermediates involved in CO 2 hydrogenation via the interplay among the ionic, covalent and electrostatic tunings. As a result, CO 2 can be effectively activated and converted into diverse products at the alkali–support interface, ranging from formic acid to methanol and ethanol. The identified selective bond-tuning advances the application of alkalis in promoting catalytic activity and controlling catalytic selectivity at alkali–support interfaces.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Oxygen vacancy-induced ferroelectric effect in (111) strontium titanate single crystals controls photoelectrochemical water oxidation

Ferroelectric materials, such as tetragonal BaTiO 3 , have a permanent electric polarization that can be controlled with an external electric field, however, a ferroelectric polarization in cubic SrTiO 3 is forbidden by the higher symmetry of the lattice. Here we demonstrate that hydrogen annealed SrTiO 3−x single crystals can be polarized electrically, and that the polarization controls the activity for photoelectrochemical water oxidation, a pathway to solar hydrogen fuel. Specifically, it is observed that the anodic water oxidation photocurrent increases from 0.99 to 2.22 mA cm −2 at 1.23 V RHE (60 mW cm −2 , UV illumination) or decreases to 0.50 mA cm −2 after electric polarization of hydrogen-annealed (111) SrTiO 3−x single crystals in forward or reverse direction. The polarization also modifies the surface photovoltage signal of the material and its flat band potential, based on Mott–Schottky measurements. These observations are attributed to the formation of an electric dipole at the (111) SrTiO 3−x surface, which alters the potential drop across the depletion layer at the solid–liquid junction, and with it the electron transfer barrier. Density functional theory calculations confirm that an electric dipole can result from the movement of oxygen vacancies between the surface or sub-surface layers of SrTiO 3−x . The filling of these surface oxygen vacancies is the probable cause for the observed disappearance of the electric polarization after 24 h storage in air and 48 h in argon. Overall, this work establishes a new surface-based ferroelectric effect in SrTiO 3−x and its use for solar energy conversion during photoelectrochemical water oxidation. Because oxygen vacancy defects are common, similar electric polarization effects are to be expected in other metal oxides.

Assavachin, Samutr [University of California, Davi↗

DOE OSTI2024

Low latency optical-based mode tracking with machine learning deployed on FPGAs on a tokamak

Active feedback control in magnetic confinement fusion devices is desirable to mitigate plasma instabilities and enable robust operation. Optical high-speed cameras provide a powerful, non-invasive diagnostic and can be suitable for these applications. Here, in this study, we process high-speed camera data, at rates exceeding 100 kfps, on in situ field-programmable gate array (FPGA) hardware to track magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) mode evolution and generate control signals in real time. Our system utilizes a convolutional neural network (CNN) model, which predicts the n = 1 MHD mode amplitude and phase using camera images with better accuracy than other tested non-deep-learning-based methods. By implementing this model directly within the standard FPGA readout hardware of the high-speed camera diagnostic, our mode tracking system achieves a total trigger-to-output latency of 17.6 μs and a throughput of up to 120 kfps. This study at the High Beta Tokamak-Extended Pulse (HBT-EP) experiment demonstrates an FPGA-based high-speed camera data acquisition and processing system, enabling application in real-time machine-learning-based tokamak diagnostic and control as well as potential applications in other scientific domains.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2026

Data-driven Mori–Zwanzig modeling of Lagrangian particle dynamics in turbulent flows

The dynamics of Lagrangian particles in turbulence play a crucial role in mixing, transport, and dispersion in complex flows. Their trajectories exhibit highly nontrivial statistical behavior, motivating the development of surrogate models that can reproduce these trajectories without incurring the high computational cost of direct numerical simulations of the full Eulerian field. This task is particularly challenging because reduced-order models typically lack access to the full set of interactions with the underlying turbulent field. Novel data-driven machine learning techniques can be powerful in capturing and reproducing complex statistics of the reduced-order/surrogate dynamics. In this work, we show how one can learn a surrogate dynamical system that is able to evolve a turbulent Lagrangian trajectory in a way that is point-wise accurate for short-time predictions (with respect to Kolmogorov time) and stable and statistically accurate at long times. This approach is based on the Mori–Zwanzig formalism, which prescribes a mathematical decomposition of the full dynamical system into resolved dynamics that depend on the current state and the past history of a reduced set of observables, and the unresolved orthogonal dynamics due to unresolved degrees of freedom of the initial state. We show how by training this reduced order model on a point-wise error metric on short time-prediction, we are able to correctly learn the dynamics of Lagrangian turbulence, such that also the long-time statistical behavior is stably recovered at test time. This opens up a range of applications, for example, for the control of active Lagrangian agents in turbulence.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Overview of ASDEX upgrade results in view of ITER and DEMO

Experiments on ASDEX Upgrade (AUG) in 2021 and 2022 have addressed a number of critical issues for ITER and EU DEMO. A major objective of the AUG programme is to shed light on the underlying physics of confinement, stability, and plasma exhaust in order to allow reliable extrapolation of results obtained on present day machines to these reactor-grade devices. Concerning pedestal physics, the mitigation of edge localised modes (ELMs) using resonant magnetic perturbations (RMPs) was found to be consistent with a reduction of the linear peeling-ballooning stability threshold due to the helical deformation of the plasma. Conversely, ELM suppression by RMPs is ascribed to an increased pedestal transport that keeps the plasma away from this boundary. Candidates for this increased transport are locally enhanced turbulence and a locked magnetic island in the pedestal. The enhanced D-alpha (EDA) and quasi-continuous exhaust (QCE) regimes have been established as promising ELM-free scenarios. Here, the pressure gradient at the foot of the H-mode pedestal is reduced by a quasi-coherent mode, consistent with violation of the high-n ballooning mode stability limit there. This is suggestive that the EDA and QCE regimes have a common underlying physics origin. In the area of transport physics, full radius models for both L- and H-modes have been developed. These models predict energy confinement in AUG better than the commonly used global scaling laws, representing a large step towards the goal of predictive capability. A new momentum transport analysis framework has been developed that provides access to the intrinsic torque in the plasma core. In the field of exhaust, the X-Point Radiator (XPR), a cold and dense plasma region on closed flux surfaces close to the X-point, was described by an analytical model that provides an understanding of its formation as well as its stability, i.e., the conditions under which it transitions into a deleterious MARFE with the potential to result in a disruptive termination. With the XPR close to the divertor target, a new detached divertor concept, the compact radiative divertor, was developed. Here, the exhaust power is radiated before reaching the target, allowing close proximity of the X-point to the target. No limitations by the shallow field line angle due to the large flux expansion were observed, and sufficient compression of neutral density was demonstrated. With respect to the pumping of non-recycling impurities, the divertor enrichment was found to mainly depend on the ionisation energy of the impurity under consideration. In the area of MHD physics, analysis of the hot plasma core motion in sawtooth crashes showed good agreement with nonlinear 2-fluid simulations. This indicates that the fast reconnection observed in these events is adequately described including the pressure gradient and the electron inertia in the parallel Ohm’s law. Concerning disruption physics, a shattered pellet injection system was installed in collaboration with the ITER International Organisation. Thanks to the ability to vary the shard size distribution independently of the injection velocity, as well as its impurity admixture, it was possible to tailor the current quench rate, which is an important requirement for future large devices such as ITER. Progress was also made modelling the force reduction of VDEs induced by massive gas injection on AUG. The H-mode density limit was characterised in terms of safe operational space with a newly developed active feedback control method that allowed the stability boundary to be probed several times within a single discharge without inducing a disruptive termination. Regarding integrated operation scenarios, the role of density peaking in the confinement of the ITER baseline scenario (high plasma current) was clarified. The usual energy confinement scaling ITER98(p,y) does not capture this effect, but the more recent H20 scaling does, highlighting again the importance of developing adequate physics based models. Advanced tokamak scenarios, aiming at large non-inductive current fraction due to non-standard profiles of the safety factor in combination with high normalised plasma pressure were studied with a focus on their access conditions. A method to guide the approach of the targeted safety factor profiles was developed, and the conditions for achieving good confinement were clarified. Based on this, two types of advanced scenarios (‘hybrid’ and ‘elevated’

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Overview of physics results from the ADITYA-U tokamak and future experiments

The ADITYA upgrade (ADITYA-U), a medium-sized (R 0 = 75 cm, a = 25 cm) conventional tokamak facility in India, has been consistently producing experiments findings by usingcircular and shaped-plasmas. Recognizing the plasma parameters aligning closely with the design parameters of circular limited plasmas, ADITYA-U shifted its focus toward exploring the operational regime for experimentation on saw-tooth and MHD phenomena. Moreover, ADITYA-U has made consistent advancements toward conducting preliminary plasma shaping experiments through the activation of top and bottom divertor coils utilizing hydrogen as well as deuterium fuels. Confinement is improved by a factor of ~1.5 in D 2 plasmas when compared to H 2 plasmas of ADITYA-U. Further, ADITYA-U operations emphasize preventing disruptions and runaway electrons (REs) to ensure safe operations for future fusion devices. Significant suppression of REs has been achieved in ADITYA-U with the application of pulsed localized vertical magnetic field (LVF) perturbation, thereby establishing the technique's independence from the tokamak device. The successful RE mitigation requires a critical threshold of LVF pulse magnitude, which is approximately 1% of the toroidal magnetic field, and a minimum duration of ~5 ms. Apart from this, several novel findings have been achieved in the ADITYA-U experiments, including the modification of sawtooth duration through gas-puff, the emergence of MHD-induced geodesic acoustic mode-like oscillations, the propagation of fast heat pulses induced by MHD activity, the control of RE dynamics through Gas-puffs, the propagation of pinch-driven cold-pulses, the transport and core accumulations of argon impurities, the mass dependency of plasma toroidal rotation and the detection of 'RICE' scaling, as well as the characterization of edge plasma using wall conditioning methods, such as glow discharge cleaning using a combination of Ar-H 2 mixture, localized wall cleaning by electron cyclotron resonant plasma, and the development of machine learning-based disruption predictions, will be discussed in this paper.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Enhanced plasma performance in C-2W advanced beam-driven field-reversed configuration experiments

TAE Technologies’ fifth-generation fusion device, C-2W (also called ‘Norman’), is the world’s largest compact-toroid device and has made significant progress in field-reversed configuration (FRC) plasma performance. C-2W produces record breaking, macroscopically stable, high-temperature advanced beam-driven FRC plasmas, dominated by injected fast particles and sustained in steady state, which is primarily limited by neutral-beam (NB) pulse duration. The NB power supply system has recently been upgraded to extend the pulse length from 30 ms to 40 ms, which allows for a longer plasma lifetime and thus better characterization and further enhancement of FRC performance. An active plasma control system is routinely used in C-2W to produce consistent FRC performance as well as for reliable machine operations using magnet coils, edge-biasing electrodes, gas injection and tunable-energy NBs. Google’s machine learning framework for experimental optimization has also been routinely used to enhance plasma performance. D

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Active tungsten expulsion in ELM-absent H-mode plasmas via on-demand ELM triggering with lithium granule injection

Lithium granules gravitationally injected into the upper X-point region demonstrated on-demand edge-localized modes (ELM) triggering in otherwise ELM-suppressed H-mode plasmas on the Experimental Advanced Superconducting Tokamak. Sub-mm lithium granules dropped into enhanced D-alpha H-mode plasmas achieved a high triggering efficiency, while enabling ELM frequencies from several to hundreds of hertz. Core radiation from heavy impurities, dominated by W, was reduced by up to 60%, and the normalized energy confinement increased by up to 30%. At low injection frequencies, ELMs of substantially reduced size compared to spontaneous type-I ELMs were observed. At high injection frequencies, a transition to a mixed ELM phase occurred, characterized by intermittent larger ELMs and suppression of the quasi-coherent mode, achieving the most significant W reduction and energy confinement improvement. These results highlight a promising pathway for active W control via controlled, small ELMs in long-pulse, high-performance scenarios.

EDA H-mode↗

DOE OSTI2026

Data driven drift correction for complex optical systems

To exploit the thousand-fold increase in spectral brightness of modern light sources, increasingly intricate experiments are being conducted that demand extremely precise beam trajectory. Maintaining the optimal trajectory over several hours of an experiment with the needed precision necessitates active drift control. Here, we outline time varying Bayesian optimization (TVBO) as a data driven approach for robust drift correction, and illustrate its application for a split and delay optical system composed of six crystals and twelve input dimensions. Using numerical simulations, we exhibit the application of TVBO for linear drift, non-smooth temporal drift as well as constrained TVBO for multi-objective control settings, representing real-life operating conditions. This approach can be easily adapted to other X-ray beam conditioning and guidance systems, including multi-crystal monochromators and grazing-incidence mirrors, to maintain sub-micrometer and nanoradian beam stability over the course of an experiment spanning several hours.

Bayesian optimization↗

DOE OSTI2024

Grid Forming Control of PMSG-based Wind Turbines under Fault Conditions

Grid-forming control is widely envisioned as core technology ensuring stable operation of future power systems with increasing deployment of converter-interfaced renewable generation. However, research on grid forming control of wind turbines, especially under faults, is still in its early stages. In this context, this paper augments dual-port grid-forming control for type IV wind turbines with auxiliary controls to enable reliable fault ride through capabilities. In particular, the proposed control does not require a dc chopper or mode switching to grid-following control. Instead, energy-balancing dual-port GFM control is augmented with active rotor speed damping control and threshold virtual impedance for current limiting during faults. Different operating conditions of wind turbines are considered in a detailed electromagnetic transient simulation study to validate the effectiveness of the proposed control.

Lyu, Xue↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Two-Stage Approach for PV Inverter Engagement in Power Factor Correction and Voltage Regulation

The rapid integration of distributed energy resources, like solar photovoltaics (PVs), can lead to overvolt-age challenges due to reverse power flow and a noticeable decrease in power factor at the substation interface. While existing literature extensively explores utilizing smart inverter capabilities for reactive power flexibility using a volt-var curve (VVC), obtaining time-varying operating points of such curves in real-time is challenging due to computational demands and communication requirements. Similarly, employing optimization-based approaches for reactive power control and active voltage regulation in large-scale distribution feeders is difficult due to the complexity of the problem and the challenges in effectively engaging customer-owned resources. This paper proposes a two-stage strategy to harness smart inverters for reactive power support. The first stage formulates short-term planning by optimally designing VVCs (on a daily or hourly basis) for large-scale solar PVs based on projected system needs and communicating optimal curves to smart inverters in advance. Subsequently, the second stage employs a transactive-based method to involve customer-owned PVs for reactive power support, effectively enhancing overall system performance and addressing real-time demands. In conclusion, the efficacy of this approach will be demonstrated using real-world distribution circuits provided by Vermont Electric Power Company (VELCO) and Vermont Electric Cooperative (VEC).

Poudel, Shiva [Pacific Northwest National Laborato↗

DOE OSTI2024

Metadynamics simulations reveal mechanisms of Na + and Ca 2+ transport in two open states of the channelrhodopsin chimera, C1C2

Cation conducting channelrhodopsins (ChRs) are a popular tool used in optogenetics to control the activity of excitable cells and tissues using light. ChRs with altered ion selectivity are in high demand for use in different cell types and for other specialized applications. However, a detailed mechanism of ion permeation in ChRs is not fully resolved. Here, we use complementary experimental and computational methods to uncover the mechanisms of cation transport and valence selectivity through the channelrhodopsin chimera, C1C2, in the high- and low-conducting open states. Electrophysiology measurements identified a single-residue substitution within the central gate, N297D, that increased Ca 2+ permeability vs. Na + by nearly two-fold at peak current, but less so at stationary current. We then developed molecular models of dimeric wild-type C1C2 and N297D mutant channels in both open states and calculated the PMF profiles for Na + and Ca 2+ permeation through each protein using well-tempered/multiple-walker metadynamics. Results of these studies agree well with experimental measurements and demonstrate that the pore entrance on the extracellular side differs from original predictions and is actually located in a gap between helices I and II. Cation transport occurs via a relay mechanism where cations are passed between flexible carboxylate sidechains lining the full length of the pore by sidechain swinging, like a monkey swinging on vines. In the mutant channel, residue D297 enhances Ca 2+ permeability by mediating the handoff between the central and cytosolic binding sites via direct coordination and sidechain swinging. We also found that altered cation binding affinities at both the extracellular entrance and central binding sites underly the distinct transport properties of the low-conducting open state. This work significantly advances our understanding of ion selectivity and permeation in cation channelrhodopsins and provides the insights needed for successful development of new ion-selective optogenetic tools.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2024

A Review on Protection Challenges on Transmission Lines Connected to Inverter Based Resources

The increased penetration of inverter-based resources (IBRs) connected to transmission grids is challenging how traditional electric power systems operate. Such systems were originally designed based on the dominant presence of synchronous generators. Some main challenges include the increased concerns about system stability due to the reduced system inertia caused by IBRs and the reduced protection reliability caused by the non-deterministic fault current response of IBRs. The protection relays’ algorithms have been designed and validated based on well-known fault current characteristics of synchronous generations, while the short-circuit responses of IBRs heavily depend on their vendor-specific control schemes, which are mainly set to protect inverter semiconductor switches and DC components. The magnitude of short current that IBRs contribute is typically between 1.1–1.5 times the rated current that may behave unstably and incoherently with the voltages. The control scheme of the IBRs also controls the active (P) and reactive (Q) support during system voltage sag and swell conditions. These characteristics challenge not only protective relay schemes but also existing short-circuit software tools to correctly model IBRs for fault studies and protection coordination analyses. Utilities, university researchers, research institutes, and relay manufacturers have performed studies to investigate different aspects of high IBR penetration. Almost all studies support 1) creating international and national standards to regulate the IBRs, 2) revising engineering tools to address shortcomings, and 3) adjusting the protective relay settings to resolve protection problems. This paper summarizes the studies and research conducted in recent years to quantify the impact of IBR penetration on transmission line protection and to identify potential solutions to improve the dependability and reliability of grid protection systems.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Assessment and Planning of HFIR Test Articles

Burnable absorbers (BAs) are introduced into nuclear fuels to aid in controlling the activity of the irradiated fuel at the beginning of life in a light water reactor (LWR). This improves the efficiency of the reactor since it allows for higher enrichments (> 5 % 235 U) to be used in a LWR, which increases the burnup limit and therefore the cycle length. The purpose of the BA is to absorb neutrons to prevent power peaking, and the concentration of BA is consumed under irradiation. In order to understand the effect of the BAs on the microstructure and thermophysical properties of the fresh and irradiated fuel, neutron irradiation tests will be carried out at the High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR). These tests will include Gd 2 O 3 doped UO 2 fuels with concentrations that vary from 4 to 10 weight % Gd 2 O 3 .

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2024

A review on protection challenges of Transmission Lines connected to Inverter Based Resources

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Pressure-Swing Process for Reactive CO2 Capture and Conversion to Methanol through Precise Control of Co-Located Active Sites in Dual Functional Materials

The goals of this project are to design and develop tailored dual-functional materials (DFMs) and the accompanying pressure-swing process for the reactive capture and conversion (RCC) of CO 2 to methanol, a vital product in the chemical market and a versatile precursor to fuels. Throughout this project, NREL researcher team has successfully developed 2 groups of DFM and associated cyclic RCC procedure to selectivity produce either methanol or CO, which is a major intermediate for methanol synthesis with commercially available technologies.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

DOE OSTI2025

Catalysis Driven by Confined Hot Carriers at the Liquid/Metal/Zeolite Interface

In chemical industry controlling the activity and selectivity of a chemical conversion process is of immense importance. Traditionally, dissipation of thermal energy drives transformation of reactants, which may lead to formation of a variety of products; it remains a key challenge to design a process that dissociation and formation of specific chemical bonds can be triggered to form certain desirable products with very high selectivity, preferably at low temperatures. Introduction of light-sensitive solid materials into catalysis provides a powerful, alternate strategy for this purpose.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗