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Results for “Data Analysis: Parameter Estimation”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 127 records · Page 7
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS2000

A statistical model of the human core-temperature circadian rhythm

We formulate a statistical model of the human core-temperature circadian rhythm in which the circadian signal is modeled as a van der Pol oscillator, the thermoregulatory response is represented as a first-order autoregressive process, and the evoked effect of activity is modeled with a function specific for each circadian protocol. The new model directly links differential equation-based simulation models and harmonic regression analysis methods and permits statistical analysis of both static and dynamical properties of the circadian pacemaker from experimental data. We estimate the model parameters by using numerically efficient maximum likelihood algorithms and analyze human core-temperature data from forced desynchrony, free-run, and constant-routine protocols. By representing explicitly the dynamical effects of ambient light input to the human circadian pacemaker, the new model can estimate with high precision the correct intrinsic period of this oscillator ( approximately 24 h) from both free-run and forced desynchrony studies. Although the van der Pol model approximates well the dynamical features of the circadian pacemaker, the optimal dynamical model of the human biological clock may have a harmonic structure different from that of the van der Pol oscillator.

NASA Discipline Regulatory Physiology↗
NASA NTRS1972

Lateral stability and control derivatives of a jet fighter airplane extracted from flight test data by utilizing maximum likelihood estimation

A method of parameter extraction for stability and control derivatives of aircraft from flight test data, implementing maximum likelihood estimation, has been developed and successfully applied to actual lateral flight test data from a modern sophisticated jet fighter. This application demonstrates the important role played by the analyst in combining engineering judgment and estimator statistics to yield meaningful results. During the analysis, the problems of uniqueness of the extracted set of parameters and of longitudinal coupling effects were encountered and resolved. The results for all flight runs are presented in tabular form and as time history comparisons between the estimated states and the actual flight test data.

Parrish, R. V.↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Determining Aircraft Moments of Inertia from Flight Test Data

Flight test maneuver design and dynamic modeling techniques were developed for determining aircraft moments of inertia from flight test data. Full nonlinear rigid-body rotational equations of motion were used in the analysis, with aerodynamic moment dependencies modeled by linear expansions in the aircraft states and controls. Aerodynamic parameters were estimated simultaneously with inertia parameters using equation-error modeling applied to flight test data from maneuvers designed specifically for this problem. The approach was demonstrated using a nonlinear F-16 simulation, then applied to a remotely-piloted subscale aircraft flight test. Errors in the aircraft moment of inertia parameters determined from simulated F-16 flight test maneuver data were less than 6 percent compared to the true values in the simulation. Flight test results for the subscale aircraft were within 6 percent of ground-test values obtained using the same aircraft.

moments of inertia↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Determining Aircraft Moments of Inertia from Flight Test Data

Flight test maneuver design and dynamic modeling techniques were developed for determining aircraft moments of inertia from flight test data. Full nonlinear rigid-body rotational equations of motion were used in the analysis, with aerodynamic moment dependencies modeled by linear expansions in the aircraft states and controls. Aerodynamic parameters were estimated simultaneously with inertia parameters using equation-error modeling applied to flight test data from maneuvers designed specifically for this problem. The approach was demonstrated using a nonlinear F 16 simulation, then applied to a remotely piloted subscale aircraft flight test. Errors in the aircraft moment of inertia parameters determined from simulated F-16 flight test maneuver data were less than 6 percent compared to the true values in the simulation. Flight test results for the subscale aircraft were within 6 percent of ground-test values obtained using the same aircraft.

Aircraft Moments of Inertia↗
NASA NTRS2021

Determining Aircraft Moments of Inertia from Flight Test Data

Flight test maneuvers and dynamic modeling techniques were developed for determining aircraft moments of inertia from flight test data. Full nonlinear rigid-body rotational equations of motion were used in the analysis, with aerodynamic moment dependencies modeled by linear expansions in the aircraft states and controls. Aerodynamic parameters were estimated simultaneously with inertia parameters using equation-error modeling applied to flight test data from maneuvers designed specifically for this problem. The approach was demonstrated using a nonlinear F 16 simulation, then applied to a remotely-piloted subscale aircraft flight test. Errors in the aircraft moment of inertia parameters determined from simulated F-16 flight test data were less than 6 percent compared to the true values in the simulation. Flight test results for the subscale aircraft were within 6 percent of ground-test values obtained using the same aircraft.

Parameter estimation↗
NASA NTRS2017

Dual Extended Kalman Filter for the Identification of Time-Varying Human Manual Control Behavior

A Dual Extended Kalman Filter was implemented for the identification of time-varying human manual control behavior. Two filters that run concurrently were used, a state filter that estimates the equalization dynamics, and a parameter filter that estimates the neuromuscular parameters and time delay. Time-varying parameters were modeled as a random walk. The filter successfully estimated time-varying human control behavior in both simulated and experimental data. Simple guidelines are proposed for the tuning of the process and measurement covariance matrices and the initial parameter estimates. The tuning was performed on simulation data, and when applied on experimental data, only an increase in measurement process noise power was required in order for the filter to converge and estimate all parameters. A sensitivity analysis to initial parameter estimates showed that the filter is more sensitive to poor initial choices of neuromuscular parameters than equalization parameters, and bad choices for initial parameters can result in divergence, slow convergence, or parameter estimates that do not have a real physical interpretation. The promising results when applied to experimental data, together with its simple tuning and low dimension of the state-space, make the use of the Dual Extended Kalman Filter a viable option for identifying time-varying human control parameters in manual tracking tasks, which could be used in real-time human state monitoring and adaptive human-vehicle haptic interfaces.

manual control↗
NASA NTRS1971

Estimating Weibull parameters for materials

The statistical analysis of strength and fracture of materials in general, with application to fiber composites are discussed. The weakest link model is considered in a fairly general form, and the resulting equations are demonstrated by using a Weibull distribution for flaws. This distribution appears naturally in a variety of problems, and therefore additional attention is devoted to analysis and statistical estimation connected with this distribution. Special working charts are included to facilitate interpretation of observed data and estimation of parameters. Implications of the size effect are considered for various kinds of flaw distributions. Failure and damage in a fiber-reinforced system are described. Some useful graphs are included for predicting the strength of such a system. Recent data on organic-fiber (PRD 49) composite material is analyzed by the Weibull distribution with the methods presented.

Robinson, E. Y.↗
NASA NTRS1972

Estimating Weibull parameters for composite materials.

This paper deals with the statistical analysis of strength and fracture of materials in general, with application to fiber composites. The 'weakest link' model is considered in a fairly general form, and the resulting equations are demonstrated by using a Weibull distribution for flaws. This distribution appears naturally in a variety of problems, and therefore additional attention is devoted to analysis and statistical estimation connected with this distribution. Special working charts are included to facilitate interpretation of observed data and estimation of parameters. Implications of the size effect are considered for various kinds of flaw distributions. The paper describes failure and damage in a fiber-reinforced systems.

Robinson, E. Y.↗
NASA NTRS1995

On the deficit problem of mass and energy of solar coronal mass ejections connected with interplanetary shocks

Mean values of a number of parameters of the most powerful coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and interplanetary shocks generated by these ejections are estimated using an analysis of data obtained by the cosmic coronagraphs and spacecrafts, and geomagnetic storm measurements. It was payed attention that the shock mass and mechanical energy, averaging 5 x 10(exp 16) grm and 2 x 10(exp 32) erg respectively, are nearly 10 times larger than corresponding parameters of the ejections. So, the CME energy deficit problem seems to exist really. To solve this problem one can make an assumption that the process of the mass and energy growth of CMEs during their propagation out of the Sun observed in the solar corona is continued in supercorona too up to distances of 10-30 solar radii. This assumption is confirmed by the data analysis of five events observed using zodiacal light photometers of the HELIOS- I and HELIOS-2 spacecrafts. The mass growth rate is estimated to be equal to (1-7) x 10(exp 11) grm/sec. It is concluded that the CME contribution to mass and energy flows in the solar winds probably, is larger enough than the value of 3-5% adopted usually.

Ivanchuk, V. I.↗
NASA NTRS1990

Parameter identification for nonlinear aerodynamic systems

Parameter identification for nonlinear aerodynamic systems is examined. It is presumed that the underlying model can be arranged into an input/output (I/O) differential operator equation of a generic form. The algorithm estimation is especially efficient since the equation error can be integrated exactly given any I/O pair to obtain an algebraic function of the parameters. The algorithm for parameter identification was extended to the order determination problem for linear differential system. The degeneracy in a least squares estimate caused by feedback was addressed. A method of frequency analysis for determining the transfer function G(j omega) from transient I/O data was formulated using complex valued Fourier based modulating functions in contrast with the trigonometric modulating functions for the parameter estimation problem. A simulation result of applying the algorithm is given under noise-free conditions for a system with a low pass transfer function.

Pearson, Allan E.↗
NASA NTRS1972

VLBI determination of synchronous equatorial satellite orbits.

A first-order theory of satellite orbit determination using time-difference data is developed for the case of a synchronous, equatorial spacecraft. Also, a first order error analysis is presented that permits one to estimate how errors in assumed or measured quantities affect the values of the derived orbital parameters. The theory is applied to observational data obtained during a series of VLBI (Very-Long-Baseline Interferometry) experiments conducted between stations at Rosman, North Carolina, and Mojave, California, using the ATS-3 satellite as a radio source. Orbit parameters derived from the VLBI data show good agreement with those determined by the ATS project office using more conventional tracking techniques.

Ross, S.↗
NASA NTRS1985

A global geodetic reference frame from Lageos ranging (SL5.1AP)

A summary of the results obtained for a new comprehensive geodetic parameter solution from the analysis of Lageos laser ranging data for the period May 1976 to the end of 1982 is presented. Estimates of each component of the polar motion and earth rotation, the station coordinates, the value of the earth's gravitational constant GM, and the elements of the Lageos orbit comprise this SL5.1AP solution. The results differ from previously published values primarily through incorporation of more rigorous dynamic models for the ocean and solid earth tides. The precision of the geodetic parameters are on average 5-marc sec polar motion, 0.2-ms length of day, better than 5-cm center-of-mass geodetic positioning, 3-cm global baselines, and 2-cm regional baselines. An assessment of the contribution of systematic errors in the interstation distance determination is presented.

Smith, D. E.↗
NASA NTRS1972

Mariner 6 and 7 ultraviolet spectrometer experiment - Analysis of the O I 1304- and 1356-A emissions.

Analysis of the O I 1304- and 1356-A data from Mariner 6 and 7, and estimation of the atomic oxygen concentration of the Martian atmosphere. Derived values of the parameters describing the sources of excitation differ considerably from previous estimates. A detailed statistical treatment is used in the analysis. At an exospheric temperature of 350 K the atomic oxygen concentration at 135 km is estimated to be between 0.5 and 1%. The likely source of the 1304-A intensity is resonance scattering of solar 1304-A photons. For the 1356-A emission, the likely source is photodissociation of CO2. There is an indication of a diurnal variation of the Martian upper atmosphere.

Strickland, D. J.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Specular reflectance of optical-black coatings in the far infrared

Far-infrared specular reflectance spectra of seven optically black coatings near normal incidence are presented. Seven photometric spectra were obtained using eleven bandpass transmission filters in the wavelength range between 12 and 500 microns, and three interferometric spectra were obtained for corroboration. Data on the construction, thickness, and rms surface roughness of the coatings are also presented. The chemical composition of three coatings can be distinguished from that of the others by a strong absorption feature between 20 and 40 microns, which can be largely attributed to amorphous silicate material. At 100 microns, the most and least reflective coatings differ by nearly 3 orders of magnitude. Inverse relationships observed between the spectra and the roughness and thickness of the coatings led to development of a reflecting-layer model for the measured reflectance. The model successfully describes the spectra at wavelengths outside the silicate absorption, and optical constants are deduced from a nonlinear least squares fit to the data. Parametric errors are estimated by chi-square analysis, and sensitivity tests are performed to determine which parameters control reflectance in different spectral regions.

Smith, S. M.↗
NASA NTRS1992

Turbulent spectra, fluxes, stability and growth of the mixed layer in the boundary layer of Mars

Spectra of wind and temperature from high frequency measurements in the atmospheric surface layer of Mars are presented for the first time. Heat and momentum fluxes, and stability are calculated for early spring from estimates of the surface temperature and mean Viking Lander 2 temperature and wind at 44 degrees N, using similarity theory. This study provides the first estimates of (1) the height of the mixed layer, (2) spectra of wind and temperature, (3) the validity of similarity theories on Mars, and (4) bounds of effective measuring height and surface roughness. It confirms and extends the universiality of model wind spectra. Finally and more important, we provide the ability to estimate and determine the self-consistency of Martian atmospheric mixed layer fluxes, stability and heights on a diurnal and annual basis. This can be used to initialize and validate the various models, which previously could only be compared with each other or the efforts of Sutton, Leovy and Tillman: these were restricted in season and limited by the results from the surface temperature model available at that time. Analysis of additional data can better estimate z(sub 0) values directly from the measurements and provide the parameters necessary to calculate the vertical profiles of wind and temperature on a daily, seasonal and annual basis.

Tillman, James E.↗
NASA NTRS2010

The Tropospheric Products of the International VLBI Service for Geodesy and Astrometry

The IVS runs two tropospheric products: The IVS tropospheric parameter rapid combination monitors the zenith wet delay (ZWD) and zenith total delay (ZTD) of the rapid turnaround sessions R1 and R4. Goal of the combination is the identification and the exclusion of outliers by comparison and the assessment of the precision of current VLBI solutions in terms of tropospheric parameters. The rapid combination is done on a weekly basis four weeks after the observation files are released on IVS Data Centers. Since tropospheric and geodetic parameters, such as vertical station components, can significantly correlate, the consistency of the ZTD can be a measure of the consistency of the corresponding TRF as well. The ZWD mainly rely on accurate atmospheric pressure data. Thus, besides estimation techniques, modeling and analyst s noise, ZWD reflects differences in the atmospheric pressure data applied to the VLBI analysis. The second product, called tropospheric parameter long-term combination, aims for an accurate determination of climatological signals, such as trends of the atmospheric water vapor observed by VLBI. Therefore, the long-term homogeneity of atmospheric pressure data plays a crucial role for this product. The paper reviews the methods applied and results achieved so far and describes the new maintenance through DGFI.

Heinkelmann, Robert↗
DOE OSTI2026

Automated Signal Timing Plan Reconstruction Using High-Resolution Event-Based Controller Data for Digital Twins

Transportation digital twins are essential tools for evaluating emerging technologies such as connected and automated vehicles, adaptive traffic signal control, and mobility optimization strategies. Realistic digital twins require accurate emulation of real-world signal controllers and detailed signal timing plans. However, signal timing plans are often unavailable or difficult to access, forcing researchers and modelers to rely on assumed fixed timings or halt their analysis. To overcome this challenge, we present a method that directly estimates signal timing plan parameters using high-resolution, event-based data from traffic signal controllers. The proposed method extracts key parameters, including cycle length, offset, phase sequence, coordinated phases, phase-specific minimum and maximum green durations, vehicle extensions, and splits under coordination. A rule-based deterministic signal timing reconstruction algorithm based on traffic signal operation rules, such as those outlined in the Signal Timing Manual, is developed and validated. We evaluate this method, which uses high-resolution controller event logs and verified signal timing plans, on 94 signalized intersections in Nashville, Tennessee, demonstrating their ability to generate accurate, simulation-ready signal timing plans for tools such as SUMO and Vissim.

Saroj, Abhilasha [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000191178063)↗