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At least 127 records · Page 7

Study of cosmic ray scintillations from 5-minute data of the scintillations telescope Izmran and world-wide network stations

During cosmic ray propagation in interplanetary space there appear characteristic cosmic-ray intensity scintillations which are due to charged particle scattering on random inhomogeneities of the interplanetary magnetic field. The power spectra of cosmic ray scintillations on the Earth during some intervals from 1977 to 1982 (for quiet periods, for solar flares and Forbush decreases due to power shock waves) have been calculated from five-minute, one and two-hour values of the cosmic-ray intensity measured by the scintillator supertelescope IZMIRAN. The spectra were estimated by the methods of spectral analysis and by autoregressive methods which mutually control each other and make it possible not only to analyze scintillation powers at distinguished frequencies, but also to determine the behavior of spectrum slopes in some frequency ranges.

Gulinsky, O. V.

Cosmic ray modulation by high-speed solar wind fluxes

Cosmic ray intensity variations connected with recurrent high-speed fluxes (HSF) of solar wind are investigated. The increase of intensity before the Earth gets into a HSF, north-south anisotropy and diurnal variation of cosmic rays inside a HSF as well as the characteristics of Forbush decreases are considered.

Dorman, L. I.

The neutron moderated detector and groundbased cosmic ray modulation studies

Reports appear on modulation studies with the neutron monitor without lead. Some of these studies cast doubt on the reliability of this detector. The stability of the neutron moderated detector (NMD) at Sanae, Antarctic is discussed. The barometric coeficient of the 4NMD for epoch 1976 appears not to differ statistically from the 0.73%/mb of the 3NM64. The monthly averaged hourly counting rate of our 4NMD and 3NM64 correlates very well (correlation coefficient: 98%) over the years from 1974-1984, with the 4NMD showing a 8% larger long term modulation effect than the 3NM64, indicating a difference in sensitivities of the two detectors. From this difference in sensitivities spectra of ground level solar proton events and modulation functions of Forbush decreases are deduced.

Stoker, P. H.

Methods and software for cosmic ray scintillation studies

The principal instrument used in cosmic ray scintillation studies is the spectra constructed from intensive observation. This method has its drawbacks in that the statistical characteristics of the process undergo essential reconstruction, i.e., the process becomes nonstationary from the viewpoint of such phenomena as Forbush decrease and during solar flares. The software used to process the above includes the direct Fourier transform and its modifications, autoregressive processes, and instantaneous spectrum methods. Used in various combinations, they prove helpful in handling the time series.

Gulinsky, O. V.

The galactic cosmic ray intensity minimum in the inner and outer heliosphere in solar cycle 21

The occurrence of the cosmic ray intensity minimum during solar cycle 21 at widely separated locations in the heliosphere is investigated. The data include in situ measurements by cosmic-ray detectors on the earth-orbiting satellite IMP 8, on the Voyagers 1 and 2 spacecraft, and on the Pioneers 10 and 11 spacecraft, located at distances from 1 to 27 AU. It is noted that Pioneer 10 and the other three spacecraft (Pioneer 11 and Voyagers 1 and 2) are on the opposite sides of the sun, with the latter moving toward the tail of the heliosphere. The data used in the study have been suitably corrected by removing solar flare particle contributions, Forbush decreases, and contamination by the radioisotope thermoelectric generator. It is evident that there exists a time delay in the occurrence of the cosmic ray intensity minimum registered by the IMP 8 and Pioneer 10 detectors, the latter being located at approximately 27 AU. It is shown that the data from the four spacecraft in deep space are on an average consistent with the IMP 8 data at 1 AU when suitably corrected, using 3 percent/AU for the radial gradient and 500 km/s for the average speed of propagation. An overview of the intensity profiles reveals reasonable agreement among them. However, specific intensity features appear at times to propagate with speeds in excess of the average value of about 500 km/s.

Venkatesan, D.

Cosmic ray variations and turbulent flow systems - 0.3-1.0 AU; 1977-1980

Possible relationships among the cosmic ray intensity and magnetic fields and flows inside 1 AU are investigated using data gathered by instrumentation on the Helios 1 spacecraft during 1977-80. The data included nearly continuous simultaneous plasma and magnetic field measurements for periods of two months or more at heliocentric radii from 0.3-1 AU. Account was taken of fluctuations of the relative particle counting rates due to spacecraft motion. The passage of transient streams following solar wind shock waves was accompanied by Forbush decreases but not long term modulation. The extent and consistency of the data support a model of shell-like disturbances of diverse shapes and internal structures proceeding outward from the sun. Magnetic field fluctuation spectra (turbulence) calculated for the various types of flow observed permitted establishing power laws relationships between the variations observed and the frequency of the magnetic field. Transient flows were more turbulent than corotating flows. Turbulence was also present in mixed flows, possibly arising from shocks, and was usually confined to the spiral shaped structures of corotation.

Burlaga, L. F.

The large Type 4 radio burst event of 24 April 1985 interpreted by dynamic spectral recordings and associated recordings

The Active Region 4647 showed a sudden increase in spot area on 23 April 1985 as well as an appearance of the D magneic configuration. During STIP interval XVII numerous subflares occurred in this region but only one very large event which exhibited all signatures of a classical p-event, well separated in time from other large events. The dynamic spectrum was observed at Bleien, Ondrejov, and Weissenau. The onset of radiation at m- and dm-waves is impulsive, and at dm-waves the preceeding dm continuum rises gradually. The absolute fluxes show very high readings of some 10 to the 4th power SFU at m-waves and some 5 x 10 to the 3d power at cm waves. High energy particles were observed about a day later by IMP 8. A Forbush decrease was seen on the neutron monitors but there was no GLE. The GOES X-ray flux monitors showed a gradual rise to high fluxes and a slow decrease over several hours. This information was extracted from Gdata but also from numerous letters from other observers and interpreters. More detailed data on the event and on the concomitant active region are to be presented.

Urbarz, H. W.

Observations of cosmic rays in the outer heliosphere

Outward propagating cosmic ray modulation features seen in the outer heliosphere include Forbush decreases, the minimum of the 11 year cycle, and intervals of set recovery rate. The best theoretical model may not be the same for all these features. Some modulation features have been modified or have disappeared between Pioneer 11 and Pioneer 10 as if by the action of an interpalnetary low-pass filter. Azimuthal symmetry still applies, and the radial gradient for nucleons is greater than approximately 500 MeV nucleon is approximately 1 percent AU.

Fillius, Walker

Forcing of Climate Variations by Mev-gev Particles

Changes in ionization production in the lower stratosphere by a few percent during Forbush decreases have been shown to correlate well with changes in winter tropospheric dynamics by a similar relatively small amount. Changes in ionization production by tens of percent on the decadal time scale have been shown to be correlated with changes in winter storm frequencies by tens of percent in the western North Atlantic. Changes in total solar irradiance or solar UV do not have time variations to match the tropospheric variations on the day to day time scales discussed here. Forcing related to magnetic activity is not supported. Thus solar wind/MeV-GeV particle changes appear to be the only viable forcing function for these day to day variations. If solar wind/particle forcing of a few percent amplitude can produce short term weather responses, then observed changes by tens of percent on the decadal and centennial time scale could produce climate changes on these longer time scales. The changes in circulation involved would produce regional climate changes, as observed. At present the relations between stratospheric ionization, electric fields and chemistry and aerosol and cloud microphysics are as poorly known as the relations between the latter and storm feedback processes. However, the capability for investigating these relationships now exists and has recently been most successfully used for elucidating the stratospheric chemistry and cloud microphysics associated with the Antarctic ozone hole. The economic benefits of being able to predict winter severity on an interannual basis, and the extent to which climate change related to solar variability will add to or substract from the greenhouse effect, should be more than adequate to justify support for research in this area.

Tinsley, Brian A.

The interaction of a very large interplanetary magnetic cloud with the magnetosphere and with cosmic rays

The observation of one of the largest magnetic clouds ever observed at a distance of 1 AU, with a diameter of greater than about 0.4 AU, is reported. The cloud is shown to be almost unchanged structurally by interaction with the earth bow shock. The first observations are reported of an auroral activity response to the passage of a magnetic cloud, with a nearly immediate increase in auroral activity when the IMF theta(B) angle reversed polarity to negative near the cloud center. The results provide strong evidence that turbulent magnetic fields behind interplanetary shocks are a possible cause of Forbush decreases, but contest the idea that relatively smooth, strong fields in clouds are a cause of such decreases. The cloud field modeling supports the existence of magnetic force-free fields in describing cloud structure.

Lepping, R. P.

Neutron measurements in near-Earth orbit with COMPTEL

The fast neutron flux in near-Earth orbit has been measured with the COMPTEL instrument on the Compton Gamma Ray Observatory (CGRO). For this measurement one of COMPTEL's seven liquid scintillator modules was used as an uncollimated neutron detector with threshold of 12.8 MeV. The measurements cover a range of 4.8 to 15.5 GV in vertical cutoff rigidity and 3 deg to 177 deg in spacecraft geocenter zenith angle. One of the measurements occurred near the minimum of the deepest Forbush decrease ever observed by ground-level neutron monitors. After correction for solar modulation, the total flux is well fitted by separable functions in rigidity and zenith angle. With the spacecraft pointed near the nadir the flux is consistent with balloon measurements of the atmospheric neutron albedo. The flux varies by about a factor of 4 between the extremes of rigidity and a factor of 2 between the extremes of zenith angle. The effect of the spacecraft mass in shielding the detector from the atmospheric neutron albedo is much more important than its role as a source of additional secondary neutrons. The neutron spectral hardness varies little with rigidity or zenith angle and lies in the range spanned by earlier atmospheric neutron albedo measurements.

Morris, D. J.

A Time-Frequency Analysis of the Effects of Solar Activities on Tropospheric Thermodynamics

Whether the Sun has significantly influenced the climate during the last century has been under extensive debates for almost two decades. Since the solar irradiance varies very little in a solar cycle, it is puzzling that some geophysical parameters show proportionally large variations which appear to be responding to the solar cycles. For example, variation in low altitude clouds is shown correlated with solar cycle, and the onset of Forbush decrease is shown correlated with the reduction of the vorticity area index. A possible sun-climate connection is that galactic cosmic rays modulated by solar activities influence cloud formation. In this paper, we apply wavelet transform to satellite and surface data to examine this hypothesis. Data analyzed include the time series for solar irradiance, sunspots, UV index, temperature, cloud coverage, and neutron counter measurements. The interactions among the elements in the Earth System under the external and internal forcings give out very complex signals.The periodicity of the forcings or signals could range widely. Since wavelet transforms can analyze multi-scale phenomena that are both localized in frequency and time, it is a very useful technique for detecting, understanding and monitoring climate changes.

Kiang, Richard K.

A Survey of Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections During 1996 - 2007

Interplanetary coronal mass ejections, the interplanetary counterparts of coronal mass ejections at the Sun, are the major drivers of interplanetary shocks in the heliosphere, and are associated with modulations of the galactic cosmic ray intensity, both short term (Forbush decreases caused by the passage of the shock, post-shock sheath, and ICME) and possibly with longer term modulation. Using several in-situ signatures of ICMEs, including plasma temperature, and composition, magnetic fields, and cosmic ray modulations, made by near-Earth spacecraft, we have compiled a "comprehensive" list of ICMEs passing the Earth since 1996, encompassing solar cycle 23. We summarize the properties of these ICMEs, such as their occurrence rate, speeds, association with solar energetic particle events, shocks and cosmic ray decreases.

Richardson, Ian

Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections During 1996 - 2007

Interplanetary coronal mass ejections, the interplanetary counterparts of coronal mass ejections at the Sun, are the major drivers of interplanetary shocks in the heliosphere, and are associated with modulations of the galactic cosmic ray intensity, both short term (Forbush decreases caused by the passage of the shock, post-shock sheath, and ICME), and possibly with longer term modulation. Using several in-situ signatures of ICMEs, including plasma temperature, and composition, magnetic fields, and cosmic ray modulations, made by near-Earth spacecraft, we have compiled a "comprehensive" list of ICMEs passing the Earth since 1996, encompassing solar cycle 23. We summarize the properties of these ICMEs, such as their occurrence rate, speeds and other parameters, the fraction of ICMEs that are classic magnetic clouds, and their association with solar energetic particle events, halo CMEs, interplanetary shocks, geomagnetic storms, shocks and cosmic ray decreases.

Richardson, I. G.

On the Rigidity Spectrum of Cosmic-Ray Variations within Propagating InterplanetaryDisturbances: Neutron Monitor and SOHO/EPHIN Observations at∼1–10GV

The rigidity dependence of all Forbush decreases (FDs) recorded from 1995 to 2015 has been determined using neutron monitor (NM) and Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) (EPHIN) spacecraft data, covering the energy (rigidity) range from ∼433 MeV (1GV) to 9.10 GeV (10 GV). We analyzed a total of 421 events and determined the spectrum in rigidity with an inverse power-law fit. As a result, the mean spectral index was identified to be 〈γF〉 = 0.46 ± 0.02. The majority (∼66%) of the FDs have γF within the range 0.3–0.7. The remaining one-third of the events (∼33%) have either (very) soft or hard FD spectra, with the latter being more common than the former. Significant variations of γF occur within almost every FD event. During the initial FD decay phase the spectrum becomes gradually harder, in contrast to the recovery phase, when it becomes softer. Additionally, low energies (rigidities) seem to be better suited for studying the fine structure of interplanetary disturbances (primarily interplanetary coronal mass ejections) that lead to FDs. In particular, FDs recorded by the EPHIN instrument on SOHO better capture a two-step structure than FDs observed by NMs. Finally, the ejecta of an ICME, especially when identified as a magnetic cloud, often leads to abrupt changes in the slope of γF.

Anatoly Belov

Impact of the May 2024 Gannon Storm on Low Earth Orbit Dosimetric Quantities: Comparisons of the NAIRAS Model -Real Time and Re-analysis- with ISS Data

The solar storm of May 2024, the Gannon storm, led to a display of aurora over the globe. One of the less known effects of that storm is on the radiation doses in low-Earth orbit: it first led to a Forbush decrease in dose rates and then to a Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) event that increased the total dose suffered near the international space station. The Nowcast of Aerospace Ionizing RAdiation System (NAIRAS) model predicts dosimetric and radiative flux quantities for assessing human radiation exposure levels and radiation effects on flight electronic systems from the surface of the Earth to deep space. It runs in near-real-time at the CCMC, but also has a run-on-request that allows for a more precise computation thanks to carefully processed data. NAIRAS was able to compute the effects of the Gannon storm at the ISS in real-time and provide ideas of the doses encountered by the astronauts and the experiments in and outside of the station. In this work, we show the simulations of the doses encountered during the storm and compare them with several measurements at the ISS. This work shows the capabilities of NAIRAS to address the problem of the SEP events at low Earth orbit and its real-time capabilities.

Guillaume Gronoff

Pioneer 10 and 11 Data Analysis

This report finishes the work of NASA Grant NAS2-153, which supported data analysis for the UCSD instruments on Pioneers 10 and 11. The data analyzed under this grant span 22 years of interplanetary measurements in the inner and outer heliosphere. The UCSD instruments made their mark in cosmic ray research based upon their high energy thresholds, directional responses, and reliable data streams. one of their primary scientific objectives concerns the size, configuration, and time behavior of the heliosphere. The size scale is inferred from the radial intensity gradient, which is measured between the two spacecraft and extrapolated to interstellar intensity levels at the cosmic ray modulation boundary. This boundary still eludes us, and its position, motion, and the best method of extrapolation are ongoing problems. Current projections place the boundary beyond 100 AU, which may be beyond the termination shock, and raises the question of possible modulation in the heliosheath. Probably our only hope of seeing this region in the immediate future rides on the possibility that the boundary will move inward. Our instruments have recorded many Forbush, or transient, decreases in the outer heliosphere. These observations led us to a model that attributes many of the decreases to solar wind stream-stream interactions, and relates the cosmic ray variations to the locally observed magnetic field magnitude. As the cosmic ray variations in this model result only from topological changes in the modulation integral, the model is a tool for studying the possibility that the 11 year cosmic ray modulation cycle can be accounted for by a superposition of Forbush decreases. The cosmic ray angular distribution function is measurable, given a good telemetry rate, by the UCSD Cerenkov detector which counts particles of energy greater than 500 MeV/n. We obtained statistically significant samples from 1 to 9 AU, at 13 AU, and at 34 AU. The anisotropy tends to be a few tenths of a per cent at all radial distances. A quasiperiodic variation in the east-west anisotropy with period of about 50 days remains unexplained.

Fillius, Walker

the role of shock waves in modulation of galactic cosmic rays

The understanding of modulation of the galactic cosmic rays has considerably progressed by the exploration by space probes of major heliospheric structures, such as the Corotating Interaction Regions, the neutral sheet, and the compression regions of intense heliospheric magnetic fields. Also relevant in this context were the detections in the outer heliosphere of long lasting Forbush type decreases of cosmic ray intensity. The results of recent theoretical studies on the changes in intensity and energy, at different location from the Sun, induced by the passage of shocks across the heliosphere are presented. In this version of the research, the simplest cases of modulation of uGV and 2GV particles by single or several shocks during periods of positive and negative solar field polarity are reviewed. The results of the theoretical aspects of the search is reported. The comparison of the theoretical predictions with space probe data allows conclusions to be drawn on the role of shocks on the modulation on both the 11 and 22 year galactic cosmic ray cycles in the outer heliosphere and on the plausibility of the models and parameters used.

Gall, R.