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At least 127 records · Page 7

Thermal radiation effects in the atmosphere initiated by pre-earthquake processes

The science community is still looking for pre-earthquake indicators of major seismic events in order to minimize the loss of human life. Recent advances in satellite technology have helped to increase the scientific understanding of the nature of pre-earthquake phenomena in the atmosphere and their relationship with transitional thermal anomalies. It was realized that the thermal heat fluxes over areas of earthquake preparation are a result of air ionization by Rn222, its isotopes and progenies and consequent water vapor condensation on newly formed ions. Latent heat (LH) is released as a result of this process and leads to the formation of local thermal radiation anomalies (TRA) known as outgoing longwave radiation (OLR). We recorded data from the most recent major earthquakes in California (2014) Nepal (2015) that allowed us to summaries TRA's main morphological features. It was also established that the TRA is part of a more complex chain of the short‐term earthquake precursors, which are explained within the framework of a Lithosphere-Atmosphere-Ionosphere Coupling (LAIC) model.

Dimitar Ouzounov↗

Impact of the Dominant Large-scale Teleconnections on Winter Temperature Variability over East Asia

Monthly mean geopotential height for the past 33 DJF seasons archived in Modern Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications reanalysis is decomposed into the large-scale teleconnection patterns to explain their impacts on winter temperature variability over East Asia. Following Arctic Oscillation (AO) that explains the largest variance, East Atlantic/West Russia (EA/WR), West Pacific (WP) and El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are identified as the first four leading modes that significantly explain East Asian winter temperature variation. While the northern part of East Asia north of 50N is prevailed by AO and EA/WR impacts, temperature in the midlatitudes (30N-50N), which include Mongolia, northeastern China, Shandong area, Korea, and Japan, is influenced by combined effect of the four leading teleconnections. ENSO impact on average over 33 winters is relatively weaker than the impact of the other three teleconnections. WP impact, which has received less attention than ENSO in earlier studies, characterizes winter temperatures over Korea, Japan, and central to southern China region south of 30N mainly by advective process from the Pacific. Upper level wave activity fluxes reveal that, for the AO case, the height and circulation anomalies affecting midlatitude East Asian winter temperature is mainly located at higher latitudes north of East Asia. Distribution of the fluxes also explains that the stationary wave train associated with EA/WR propagates southeastward from the western Russia, affecting the East Asian winter temperature. Investigation on the impact of each teleconnection for the selected years reveals that the most dominant teleconnection over East Asia is not the same at all years, indicating a great deal of interannual variability. Comparison in temperature anomaly distributions between observation and temperature anomaly constructed using the combined effect of four leading teleconnections clearly show a reasonable consistency between them, demonstrating that the seasonal winter temperature distributions over East Asia are substantially explained by these four large-scale circulation impacts.

El Nino-Southern Oscillation↗

Effects of proton irradiation on a gas phase in which condensation takes place. I Negative Mg-26 anomalies and Al-26

In the present paper, isotopic effects in magnesium generated in a proton-irradiated gas phase are examined, taking only (p,n), (p,d), and (p, alpha) reactions in magnesium, aluminum, and silicon into consideration. In the presence of proton radiation, the three elements are 'removed' from the gas phase by condensation. It is required that a value of Al-26/Al-27 greater than 6 times 10 to the -5th must be reached, consistent with the value deduced by Lee Papanastassiou, and Wasserburg (1976) from their studies of the Allende meteorite. The calculations show that fast aluminum condensation reduces the required proton fluence substantially, that a significant fraction of aluminum remains uncondensed when the above value of the Al-26/Al-27 ratio is reached, that a detectable MG-24 excess is very likely to occur, that detectable negative MG-28 anomalies can be generated, and that proton fluxes and irradiation times can be varied simultaneously, and over a wide range of values, without significant changes in the required proton fluence.

Heymann, D.↗

Thermal X-rays and deuterium production in stellar flares

The X-ray spectrum of flares is shown to be necessarily thermal up to at least 200 keV because the self-magnetic field of any electron stream required for a thick- or thin-target source is inconsistently large. The resulting flare model can then be related to stellar luminosity convection, and magnetic fields to result in a maximum possible gamma-burst and continuous X-ray flux. One of the most striking isotopic anomalies observed is the extreme enrichment of He-3 in some solar flares and the mysterious depletion of deuterium. The way in which deuterium may be produced and emitted in the largest flares associated with gamma-bursts but in amounts insufficient to support the tentative conclusion of Coleman and Worden (1976) is discussed.

Colgate, S. A.↗

X-ray emission from Of stars and OB supergiants

The result of a survey of X-ray emission from luminous early-type stars is reported in which observations were made using the imaging proportional counter on the Einstein Observatory. The survey suggests that all Of stars and OB supergiants earlier than B1 I are X-ray sources with luminosities not less than 10 to the 32nd ergs/s and that some later B supergiants have X-ray luminosities not less than 10 to the 31st ergs/s. The X-ray luminosities are roughly 10 to the -7.2nd of the bolometric luminosities for supergiants earlier than B1 and perhaps a factor of 3 less for later B supergiants. Spectral analysis of the X-rays in conjunction with information on anomalous ionization in the wind from four of the strongest sources implies that the data are not consistent with a model in which the X-rays originate in a thin slab coronal zone at the base of the wind. Constraints on the source of X-rays from B supergiants are derived by combining the X-ray flux information with that on ultraviolet line anomalies.

Cassinelli, J. P.↗

Estimating the Ocean Flow Field from Combined Sea Surface Temperature and Sea Surface Height Data

This project was part of a previous grant at MIT that was moved over to the Scripps Institution of Oceanography (SIO) together with the principal investigator. The final report provided here is concerned only with the work performed at SIO since January 2000. The primary focus of this project was the study of the three-dimensional, absolute and time-evolving general circulation of the global ocean from a combined analysis of remotely sensed fields of sea surface temperature (SST) and sea surface height (SSH). The synthesis of those two fields was performed with other relevant physical data, and appropriate dynamical ocean models with emphasis on constraining ocean general circulation models by a combination of both SST and SSH data. The central goal of the project was to improve our understanding and modeling of the relationship between the SST and its variability to internal ocean dynamics, and the overlying atmosphere, and to explore the relative roles of air-sea fluxes and internal ocean dynamics in establishing anomalies in SST on annual and longer time scales. An understanding of those problems will feed into the general discussion on how SST anomalies vary with time and the extend to which they interact with the atmosphere.

Stammer, Detlef↗

Assimilation of Satellite-Derived Skin Temperature Observations into Land Surface Models

Land surface (or "skin") temperature (LST) lies at the heart of the surface energy balance and is a key variable in weather and climate models. Here we assimilate LST retrievals from the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) into the Noah and Catchment (CLSM) land surface models using an ensemble-based, off-line land data assimilation system. LST is described very differently in the two models. A priori scaling and dynamic bias estimation approaches are applied because satellite and model LST typically exhibit different mean values and variability. Performance is measured against 27 months of in situ measurements from the Coordinated Energy and Water Cycle Observations Project at 48 stations. LST estimates from Noah and CLSM without data assimilation ("open loop") are comparable to each other and superior to that of ISCCP retrievals. For LST, RMSE values are 4.9 K (CLSM), 5.6 K (Noah), and 7.6 K (ISCCP), and anomaly correlation coefficients (R) are 0.62 (CLSM), 0.61 (Noah), and 0.52 (ISCCP). Assimilation of ISCCP retrievals provides modest yet statistically significant improvements (over open loop) of up to 0.7 K in RMSE and 0.05 in anomaly R. The skill of surface turbulent flux estimates from the assimilation integrations is essentially identical to the corresponding open loop skill. Noah assimilation estimates of ground heat flux, however, can be significantly worse than open loop estimates. Provided the assimilation system is properly adapted to each land model, the benefits from the assimilation of LST retrievals are comparable for both models.

Reichle, Rolf H.↗

MESSENGER and Venus Express Observations of the Solar Wind Interaction with Venus

At 23:08 UTC on 5 June 2007 the MESSENGER spacecraft reached its closest approach altitude of 338 kin during its final flyby of Venus en route to its 2011 orbit insertion at Mercury. The availability of the simultaneous Venus Express solar wind and interplanetary magnetic field measurements provides a rare opportunity to examine the influence of upstream conditions on this planet's solar wind interaction. We present MESSENGER observations of new features of the Venus - solar wind interaction including hot flow anomalies upstream of the bow shock, a flux rope in the near-tail and a two-point determination of the timescale for magnetic flux transport through this induced magnetosphere. Citation: Stavin, J. A., et al. (2009), MESSENGER and Venus Express observations of the solar wind interaction with Venus,

Slavin, James A.↗

Particle precipitation in the South Atlantic geomagnetic anomaly

A simple model of the motion of charged particles in the closed-field-line magnetic field for L less than about 4.5 is used together with Injun 3 measurements of 40-keV precipitated electrons made in the northern hemisphere to estimate theoretically the extent of electron precipitation, the energy input, and the 3914-A airglow in the South Atlantic geomagnetic anomaly. Using average values of the northern hemisphere precipitated electron flux, two regions of significantly enhanced electron precipitation are found in the southern hemisphere. The results show a gradual increase in precipitation for near sunspot minimum conditions on the western side of the anomaly followed by a rapid increase and sudden cut-off in precipitation within a few degrees west of minimum B. The flux on L = 2 reaches a spike in the southern hemisphere about 35 times greater than the average flux precipitated on L = 2 in the northern hemisphere. This increase in precipitation arises from the loss of trapped particles to the atmosphere where the mirror heights are lowest.

Torr, D. G.↗

Subsatellite measurements of plasmas and solar particles

The experiment with the small scientific subsatellite which was launched into lunar orbit from Apollo 15 is described. The subsatellite was designed to measure plasma and energetic-particle fluxes, vector magnetic fields, and velocity of the subsatellite for determining lunar gravitational anomalies. The theory of particle-shadow formation by the moon solar wind electrons, and energetic-electron fluxes in interplanetary space are discussed along with an analysis of the initial data.

Anderson, K. A.↗

Using Cross-Correlations of SEUs and AP8 as a Diagnostic Tool

Timely data on low altitude energetic protons is very important for predicting the effect on humans and satellites. Because of the high bioeffectivity of protons in tissue, determination of the geographical location of the south Atlantic anomally (SAA) would be especially useful for reducing the risk associated with extravehicular activities. Because the AP8 model was developed with an epoch several decades old, the location of the south Atlantic anomally is incorrectly positioned in the model. The lack of extensive present-epoch energetic proton data at low altitude has prevented the update of the AP8 proton model. While there are studies in progress which are attempting to update the model at low altitude by using the path-integrated column density of the residual atmosphere as an organizing parameter, success in those studies will be defined by consistency in organization of old data. New data will still be required to provide a good present epoch model. As an alternative to using instrumental measurements of proton fluxes, background effects, proxy data sets such as SEUs, anomalies in instruments, enhanced background in shielded sensors believed to be induced by high energy protons, and dosimeter data in which key parameters (energy, efficiency, geometric factor, shielding, etc.) are poorly known can also be used. This in situ data is not as precise as direct measurement of the proton flux as geometric factor and shielding etc. are not calibrated, but these factors do not affect determination of the location of the SAA.

Vampola, A. L.↗

Flood Impacts on Net Ecosystem Exchange in the Midwestern and Southern United States in 2019

Climate extremes such as droughts, floods, heatwaves, frosts, and windstorms add considerable variability to the global year-to-year increase in atmospheric CO(2) through their influence on terrestrial ecosystems. While the impact of droughts on terrestrial ecosystems has received considerable attention, the response to flooding is not well understood. To improve upon this knowledge, the impact of the 2019 anomalously wet conditions over the Midwest and Southern US on CO(2) vegetation fluxes is examined in the context of 2017–2018 when such precipitation anomalies were not observed. CO(2) is simulated with NASA's Global Earth Observing System (GEOS) combined with the Low-order Flux Inversion, where fluxes of CO(2) are estimated using a suite of remote sensing measurements including greenness, night lights, and fire radiative power as well as with a bias correction based on insitu observations. Net ecosystem exchange CO(2) tracers are separated into the three regions covering the Midwest, South, and Eastern Texas and adjusted to match CO(2) observations from towers located in Iowa, Mississippi, and Texas. Results indicate that for the Midwestern region consisting primarily of corn and soybeans crops, flooding contributes to a 15%–25% reduction of annual net carbon uptake in 2019 in comparison to 2017 and 2018. These results are supported by independent reports of changes in agricultural activity. For the Southern region, comprised mainly of non-crop vegetation, annual net carbon uptake is enhanced in 2019 by about 10%–20% in comparison to 2017 and 2018. These outcomes show the heterogeneity in effects that excess wetness can bring to diverse ecosystems.

Nikolay Balashov↗

Apollo-Soyuz light-flash observations

While dark adapted, two Apollo-Soyuz astronauts saw eighty-two light flash events during a complete 51 deg orbit which passed near the north magnetic pole and through the South Atlantic Anomaly. The frequency of events at the polar parts of the orbit is 25 times that noted in equatorial latitudes and no increased frequency was noted in the South Atlantic Anomaly at the 225-km altitude. The expected flux of heavy particles at the northern and southern points is 1-2/min per eye, and the efficiency for seeing high Z-high energy (HZE) particles which were below the Cerenkov threshold is 50%.

Budinger, T. F.↗

Extra-tropical QBO signals in angular momentum and wave forcing

Although the period of the equatorial stratospheric quasi-biennal oscillation (QBO) is approximately 30 months, quasi-biennial modulation of the extratropical annual cycle may be expected to produce additional spectral peaks at approximately to produce additional spectral peaks at approximately 8.6 and 20 months in the extratropics. Using Northern Hemisphere data for 1964-78 and global data for 1978-93 it is shown that these spectral peaks are robust in both angular momentum and Eliassen-Palm flux divergence. This spectral signature represents a circulation anomaly in both hemispheres, and implies a dynamical origin to the previously observed similar spectral peaks in column ozone in the extratropics.

Baldwin, Mark P.↗

Vertical and Horizontal Wind Structure Prior to and During the 1997/1998 ENSO Event

Analyses of ECMWF and satellite wind products are used to investigate low frequency fluctuations in the wind fields immediately preceding and during the 1997/1998 ENSO event. An extended EOF analysis of the horizontal and vertical wind structure that allows for the study of propagating features indicates that the dominant mode of variability established in the lower levels of the atmosphere is a convergence in the central tropical Pacific. At mid-levels, the westerlies increase with time over most of the equatorial Pacific, and there are closed cyclonic features on either side of the equator. At upper levels, the flow tends to become divergent across the equatorial Pacific, and there is a strong flow from the northwest Pacific across Indonesia that then turns to the west along the equator in the Indian Ocean. The addition of satellite data for improved surface wind estimates reveal that the Indian Ocean winds were anomalously strong during the winter preceding the initiation of the ENSO event. An analysis of the momentum convergence flux at the surface indicates a very strong anomaly 9 months prior to the ENSO event that begins in the western Indian Ocean and propagates to the east, arriving over the Pacific warm pool area coincident with the beginning of the El Nino. Changes in the near surface thermal and water vapor structure over the Indian Ocean during this period will also be discussed.

Adamec, David↗

Integrating Interball into the ISTP

The grant supported correlative studies of Interball-1 and ISTP observations. Our activities focussed on three tasks: (1) using the two-point measurements of Interball-I and its subspacecraft Magion-4 to verify the impulsive penetration model for solar wind-magnetosphere interaction, (2) examining simultaneous Wind solar wind and Interball-1 magnetosheath observations to identify the origin of transient pressure variations in the Earth's magnetosheath, and (3) preparing a book published by Kluwer containing the conference proceedings from a meeting we held in Kosice, Slovakia. The impulsive penetration model predicted the occurrence of magnetosheath plasma blobs detached from the magnetopause deep within the magnetosphere. We searched the entire Interball1/Magion-4 data set to demonstrate that this never happens. Consequently, we proved the model invalid. We examined a series of strong (factor of 2 to 3), transient (10s to I min) flux pulses within the magnetosheath. We showed that the pulses occurred in pairs bounding regions of either greatly depressed fluxes (in the case of events seen far from the magnetopause) or magnetospheric intervals (in the case of events seen near the magnetopause). We interpreted the flux pulses as the signatures of hot flow anomalies downstream from the foreshock and suggested that such anomalies may be an important cause of magnetopause motion. Following a successful conference in Kosice, Slovakia that was attended by many ISTP and Interball scientists, we prepared a book for publication by Kluwer.

Sibeck, David G.↗

Interactions Between the Thermohaline Circulation and Tropical Atlantic SST in a Coupled General Circulation Model

Tropical Atlantic SST shows a (statistically well-defined) decadal time scale in a 104-year simulation of unforced variability by a coupled general circulation model (CGCM). The SST anomalies superficially resemble observed Tropical Atlantic variability (TAV), and are associated with changes in the atmospheric circulation. Brazilian rainfall is modulated with a decadal time scale, along with the strength of the Atlantic trade winds, which are associated with variations in evaporation and the net surface heat flux. However, in contrast to observed tropical Atlantic variability, the trade winds damp the associated anomalies in ocean temperature, indicating a negative feedback. Tropical SST anomalies in the CGCM, though opposed by the surface heat flux, are advected in from the Southern Hemisphere mid-latitudes. These variations modulate the strength of the thermohaline circulation (THC): warm, salty anomalies at the equator sink drawing cold, fresh mid-latitude water. Upon reaching the equator, the latter inhibit vertical overturning and advection from higher latitudes, which allows warm, salty anomalies to reform, returning the cycle to its original state. Thus, the cycle results from advection of density anomalies and the effect of these anomalies upon the rate of vertical overturning and surface advection. This decadal modulation of Tropical Atlantic SST and the thermohaline circulation is correlated with ocean heat transport to the Northern Hemisphere high latitudes and Norwegian Sea SST. Because of the central role of equatorial convection, we question whether this mechanism is present in the current climate, although we speculate that it may have operated in palaeo times, depending upon the stability of the tropical water column.

Miller, Ron↗

The IRAS radiation environment

Orbital flux integration for three selected mission altitudes and geographic instantaneous flux-mapping for nominal flight-path altitude were used to determine the external charged particle radiation predicted for the Infrared Astronomy Satellite. A current field model was used for magnetic field definitions for three nominal circular trajectories and for the geographic mapping positions. Innovative analysis features introduced include (1) positional fluxes as a function of time and energy for the most severe pass through the South Atlantic Anomaly; (2) total positional doses as a function of time and shield thickness; (3) comparison mapping fluxes for ratios of positional intensities to orbit integrated averages; and (4) statistical exposure-time history of a trajectory as a function of energy indicating, in percent of total mission duration, the time intervals over which the instantaneous fluxes would exceed the orbit integrated averages. Results are presented in tables and graphs.

Stassinopoulos, E. G.↗