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At least 127 records · Page 7

Evaluating county-level lung cancer incidence from environmental radiation exposure, PM 2.5 , and other exposures with regression and machine learning models

Characterizing the interplay between exposures shaping the human exposome is vital for uncovering the etiology of complex diseases. For example, cancer risk is modified by a range of multifactorial external environmental exposures. Environmental, socioeconomic, and lifestyle factors all shape lung cancer risk. However, epidemiological studies of radon aimed at identifying populations at high risk for lung cancer often fail to consider multiple exposures simultaneously. For example, moderating factors, such as PM 2.5 , may affect the transport of radon progeny to lung tissue. This ecological analysis leveraged a population-level dataset from the National Cancer Institute’s Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End-Results data (2013–17) to simultaneously investigate the effect of multiple sources of low-dose radiation (gross γ activity and indoor radon) and PM 2.5 on lung cancer incidence rates in the USA. County-level factors (environmental, sociodemographic, lifestyle) were controlled for, and Poisson regression and random forest models were used to assess the association between radon exposure and lung and bronchus cancer incidence rates. Tree-based machine learning (ML) method perform better than traditional regression: Poisson regression: 6.29/7.13 (mean absolute percentage error, MAPE), 12.70/12.77 (root mean square error, RMSE); Poisson random forest regression: 1.22/1.16 (MAPE), 8.01/8.15 (RMSE). The effect of PM 2.5 increased with the concentration of environmental radon, thereby confirming findings from previous studies that investigated the possible synergistic effect of radon and PM 2.5 on health outcomes. In summary, the results demonstrated (1) a need to consider multiple environmental exposures when assessing radon exposure’s association with lung cancer risk, thereby highlighting (1) the importance of an exposomics framework and (2) that employing ML models may capture the complex interplay between environmental exposures and health, as in the case of indoor radon exposure and lung cancer incidence.

63 RADIATION, THERMAL, AND OTHER ENVIRON. POLLUTAN↗

Effects of the Grazing Incidence Geometry on X-ray Photon Correlation Spectroscopy Measurements

X-ray photon correlation spectroscopy (XPCS) is a versatile tool to measure dynamics on the nanometer to micrometer scale in bulk samples. XPCS has also been applied in grazing incidence (GI) geometry to examine the dynamics of surface layers. However, considering GI scattering experiments more universally, the GI geometry leads to a superposition of signals due to reflection and refraction effects, also known from the distorted-wave Born approximation (DWBA). In this paper, the impact of these reflection and refraction effects on the correlation analysis is determined experimentally by measuring grazing incidence transmission XPCS (GT-XPCS) and grazing incidence XPCS (GI-XPCS) simultaneously for a thin film sample, showing non-equilibrium dynamics. Here the results of the GI and GT geometry comparisons are combined within the framework of the standardly applied, simplified DWBA. These calculations allow identifying the main contributions of the detected signal from the leading scattering terms along the out-of-plane direction q z , which dominate the measured intensity pattern on the detector. In combination with the calculation of the non-linear effect of refraction in GTSAXS and GISAXS, it is possible to identify experimental conditions that can be chosen to run experiments and data analysis as close as possible to transmission XPCS and to explain which limitations for data interpretations are observed. Consequently, the beam exposure can be significantly reduced by using GI geometry only. Calculations of experimental settings prior to experiments are detailed to determine suitable q z regions for a variety of material systems measured in bulk-sensitive GI-XPCS experiments, allowing us to determine the scaling behavior of typical decay times as a function of q that is comparable to the scaling behavior obtained in distortion-free GT-XPCS or transmission XPCS experiments.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Computational investigation of incident ion angles and material erosion at rough graphite and silicon carbide divertor surfaces

We present a computational investigation of the dependence of material erosion on the incident ion angle at rough graphite and silicon carbide divertor surfaces. Ion angle distributions (IADs) for D plasmas at NSTX-U and DIII-D divertors were calculated by an equation-of-motion model that traces the ion trajectories in the sheath. Then, the effective sputtering yields and ion shadowed area fractions were calculated by a Monte Carlo micro-patterning and roughness code that applied the calculated IADs to surface topographic data that were obtained from optical confocal microscopy of rough graphite and SiC divertor surfaces from NSTX-U and DIII-D experiments. The calculations found that the effective sputtering yields, the sputtering pattern, and the shadowed area are determined by the detailed surface topology rather than the root mean square roughness R RMS , which represents deviations from a flat surface. The suppression of the effective sputtering yields for rough surfaces compared to the yield for a smooth surface was accounted for by the change of the mean local incident ion angle (LIIA) (θ'). The mean surface inclination angle distribution (SIAD) (δ) was found to be a useful parameter to estimate the LIIA from the calculated IADs. We report global empirical formulas for the mean LIIA and fraction of the area shadowed from the main ions for D plasmas for rough surfaces with B-field incident angles α = 85°–89° as a function of the mean SIAD (δ). We propose the use of the mean LIIA (θ') to estimate the sputtering yield for rough surfaces from the angular dependence of the sputtering yield.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

SDSS-IV MaNGA: The incidence of major mergers in type I and II AGN host galaxies in the DR15 sample

We present a study on the incidence of major mergers and their impact on the triggering of nuclear activity in 47 type I and 236 type II optically selected AGN from the MaNGA DR15 sample. From an estimate of non-parametric image predictors (Gini, M_20, concentration (C), asymmetry (A), clumpiness (S), Sérsic index (n), and shape asymmetry ()) using the SDSS images, in combination with a Linear Discriminant Analysis Method, we identified major mergers and merger stages. We reinforced our results by looking for bright tidal features in our post-processed SDSS and DESI legacy images. We find a statistically significant higher incidence of major mergers of 29 per cent ± 3 per cent in our type I+II AGN sample compared to 22 per cent ± 0.8 per cent for a non-AGN sample matched in redshift, stellar mass, colour, and morphological type, finding also a prevalence of post-coalescence (51 per cent ± 5 per cent) over pre-coalescence (23 per cent ± 6 per cent) merger stages. The levels of AGN activity among our massive major mergers are similar to those reported in other works using [O iii] tracers. However, similar levels are produced by our AGN-galaxies hosting stellar bars, suggesting that major mergers are important promoters of nuclear activity but are not the main nor the only mechanism behind the AGN triggering. The tidal strength parameter Q was considered at various scales looking for environmental differences that could affect our results on the merger incidence, finding non-significant differences. Finally, the H-H β diagram could be used as an empirical predictor for the flux coming from an AGN source, useful to correct photometric quantities in large AGN samples emerging from surveys.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Sagittal collimating diaboloid: a new grazing-incidence mirror surface for higher-throughput resonant inelastic X-ray scattering spectrometers

A major challenge in soft X-ray spectroscopy is the efficient collection of the emitted X-rays by grazing-incidence mirrors. In this energy range, grazing-incidence mirrors are widely used as optics for the collection of light. The small angle of incidence necessarily limits the collection solid angle of soft X-ray spectrometers. We present a new mirror surface, a sagittal collimating diaboloid, that can both collect and focus light from a point source in an aberration-free manner. The usefulness of this optic in increasing throughput is demonstrated with a realistic example design of a moderate-sized (3 m) medium-resolution resonant inelastic X-ray scattering spectrometer.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Performance of the first mechanically-coupled twisting heliostat: encircled energy vs angle of incidence, and closed loop tracking

The first automatic twisting heliostat, with 8 m2 reflector, was completed and tested on-sun in January 2024. It was set up on a target-oriented dual-axis mount, with the target-axis aimed at a target 113 m to the west. The shape-twisting is purely automatic, made by a mechanical cam coupling to the cross-axis, which turns as the angle of incidence of the sun’s rays on the reflector. Three unsaturated images taken at different times of day were recorded of the sun on the target, reflected at angles of incidence of 5°, 49° and 68°. The measured FWHM of three images is very similar, about 1.09 m or 9.5 mrad, only slightly larger than an ideal solar disc, indicating that the different twisted reflector shapes are close to the ideal biconics needed to image the sun. The encircled energy measured for all three images was similar, 87% within approximately 1.30 m diameter. We report here also on a novel, tracking camera that employs a semitransparent beamsplitter fixed perpendicular to the mirror surface and to the plane of incidence. Over 2.5 hours of measurement of closed loop tracking, errors were ≤ 0.36 mrad rms, in both tracking axes.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Google Health Trends performance reflecting dengue incidence for the Brazilian states

Abstract Background Dengue fever is a mosquito-borne infection transmitted by Aedes aegypti and mainly found in tropical and subtropical regions worldwide. Since its re-introduction in 1986, Brazil has become a hotspot for dengue and has experienced yearly epidemics. As a notifiable infectious disease, Brazil uses a passive epidemiological surveillance system to collect and report cases; however, dengue burden is underestimated. Thus, Internet data streams may complement surveillance activities by providing real-time information in the face of reporting lags. Methods We analyzed 19 terms related to dengue using Google Health Trends (GHT), a free-Internet data-source, and compared it with weekly dengue incidence between 2011 to 2016. We correlated GHT data with dengue incidence at the national and state-level for Brazil while using the adjusted R squared statistic as primary outcome measure (0/1). We used survey data on Internet access and variables from the official census of 2010 to identify where GHT could be useful in tracking dengue dynamics. Finally, we used a standardized volatility index on dengue incidence and developed models with different variables with the same objective. Results From the 19 terms explored with GHT, only seven were able to consistently track dengue. From the 27 states, only 12 reported an adjusted R squared higher than 0.8; these states were distributed mainly in the Northeast, Southeast, and South of Brazil. The usefulness of GHT was explained by the logarithm of the number of Internet users in the last 3 months, the total population per state, and the standardized volatility index. Conclusions The potential contribution of GHT in complementing traditional established surveillance strategies should be analyzed in the context of geographical resolutions smaller than countries. For Brazil, GHT implementation should be analyzed in a case-by-case basis. State variables including total population, Internet usage in the last 3 months, and the standardized volatility index could serve as indicators determining when GHT could complement dengue state level surveillance in other countries.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

238 PuO 2 In Vitro Lung Dissolution Rate and Particle Size Determination for Material Involved in the June 8, 2020 Incident at the Los Alamos National Laboratory PF-4 Facility

As part of the LANL response to the June 8, 2020 238 PuO 2 inhalation exposure incident in PF-4, the Nuclear and Radiochemistry Group (C-NR) was asked to assist in determining the lung dissolution rate and particle size distribution of the airborne material. These material characteristics, along with urine and fecal bioassay data, are used by the Radiation Protection Services (RP-SVS) internal dosimetrists to refine dose estimates for exposed workers. Similar to previous studies, an in vitro lung dissolution rate study was performed to assess how fast 238 Pu is cleared from the lungs. Given that PuO 2 is a relatively insoluble material, it dissolves very slowly and requires in vitro studies of 100 or more days to estimate dissolution rates. This report details the results of a 100 day in vitro dissolution rate study and the particle size characteristics of 238 PuO 2 collected on an air filters during the incident. Results show that the 238 PuO 2 involved in this incident has behavior comparable to PuO 2 from previous in vitro studies, with approximately 1% of material dissolving quickly, and 99% of the material dissolving very slowly, with a half-time of approximately 120 years. This is somewhat slower than what was determined in a previous study of LANL 238 PuO 2 , which had an experimental dissolution half-time of 3 years, but significantly faster than 3000 years measured for 239 PuO 2 . Particle size distribution measurements indicate that particle sizes range from 0.10 µm – 6 µm, with most < 2 µm, which is reasonable based on our understanding of the process history of the 238 PuO 2 . Particle size, specific surface area, calcining temperature, specific activity, and age all are known factors that can impact the dissolution rate of refractory materials, however, there are too few studies to quantify the exact influence of these parameters on a measured dissolution rate. The results of this study add to that knowledge base, and provide new insights into the dissolution rates for this LANL process-specific 238 PuO 2 material.

63 RADIATION, THERMAL, AND OTHER ENVIRON. POLLUTAN↗

Parameter estimation for incidence angle modifier models for photovoltaic modules

We present methods to estimate parameters for models for the incidence angle modifier for simulating irradiance on a photovoltaic array. The incidence angle modifier quantifies the fraction of direct irradiance that is reflected away at the array’s face, as a function of the direct irradiance’s angle of incidence. Parameters can be estimated from data and the fitting method can be used to convert between models. We show that the model conversion procedure results in models that produce similar annual insolation on a fixed plane.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Compendium of Cyber Incident Notification Requirements for Critical Infrastructure Utilities by State

Cyber attacks targeting critical infrastructure in the United States are on the rise and pose serious risks to the economy and health and safety of its citizens. Experts suggest a sound cyber risk mitigation strategy includes constant monitoring for signs of cyber intrusions and rapid reporting of incidents so that other critical infrastructure operators may benefit from early warnings. Reporting incidents to Public Utility Commissions (PUCs) and other state agencies who have roles in energy emergency planning and incident response and recovery is essential for them to maintain situational awareness and provide necessary support to ensure rapid restoration of utility services, should disruptions occur.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Sweden surpasses the UNAIDS 95-95-95 target: estimating HIV-1 incidence, 2003 to 2022

Background: Sweden reached the UNAIDS 90–90–90 target in 2015. It is important to reassess the HIV epi- demiological situation due to ever-changing migration patterns, the roll-out of PrEP and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Aim: We aimed to assess the pro- gress towards the UNAIDS 95–95–95 targets in Sweden by estimating the proportion of undiagnosed people with HIV (PWHIV) and HIV incidence trends. Methods: We used routine laboratory data to inform a biomarker model of time since infection. When available, we used previous negative test dates, arrival dates for PWHIV from abroad and transmission modes to inform our incidence model. We also used data collected from the Swedish InfCareHIV register on antiretroviral therapy (ART). Results: The yearly incidence of HIV in Sweden decreased after 2014. In part, this was because the fraction of undiagnosed PWHIV had decreased almost twofold since 2006. After 2015, three of four PWHIV in Sweden were diagnosed within 1.9 and 3.2 years after infection among men who have sex with men and in heterosexual groups, respectively. While 80% of new PWHIV in Sweden acquired HIV before immigration, they make up 50% of the current PWHIV in Sweden. By 2022, 96% of all PWHIV in Sweden had been diag- nosed, and 99% of them were on ART, with 98% virally suppressed. Conclusions: By 2022, about half of all PWHIV in Sweden acquired HIV abroad. Using our new biomarker model, we assess that Sweden has reached the UNAIDS goal at 96–99–98.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Ionospheric profile inversion using oblique-incidence ionograms

Some of the elementary methods used in deriving true-height profiles from oblique-incidence ionograms are reviewed. The two principal methods presented are oblique-to-vertical transformation and direct inversion of the oblique-incidence ionogram. Limitations in oblique-incidence inversion due to magnetic-field effects, horizontal gradients, and absolute time delay are discussed.

Nielson, D. L.↗

Time-resolved spectroscopic measurements behind incident and reflected shock waves in air and xenon

Time-resolved spectra have been obtained behind incident and reflected shock waves in air and xenon at initial pressures of 0.1 and 1.0 torr using a rotating drum spectrograph and the OSU (The Ohio State University) arc-driven shock tube. These spectra were used to determine the qualitative nature of the flow as well as for making estimates of the available test time. The (n+1,n) and (n,n) band spectra of N2(+) (1st negative) were observed in the test gas behind incident shock waves in air at p1=1.0 torr and Us=9-10 km/sec. Behind reflected shock waves in air, the continuum of spectra appeared to cover almost the entire wavelength of 2,500-7,000 A for the shock-heated test gas. For xenon, the spectra for the incident shock wave cases for p1=0.1 torr show an interesting structure in which two intensely bright regions are witnessed in the time direction. The spectra obtained behind reflected shock waves in xenon were also dominated by continuum radiation but included strong absorption spectra due to FeI and FeII from the moment the reflected shock passed and on.

Yoshinaga, T.↗

Internal cowl-separation at high incidence angles

Internal flow separation at large incidence angles is studied on the basis of wind-tunnel pressure data for six axisymmetric inlet geometries. The inlet geometric variables investigated are the angle of incidence, the throat Mach number, the internal lip contraction ratio, 'sharpness' of the external shape, and freestream velocity. It is shown that an increase in lip contraction ratio delays internal flow separation, while an increase in the sharpness of the external profile tends to reduce the angle of incidence at which complete flow separation occurs. It is also shown that inlet flow separation is subject to scale effects associated with the boundary layer on the cowl surface. The scale effects are particularly pronounced at very high throat Mach numbers.

Jakubowski, A. K.↗

Acoustic plane waves incident on an oblique clamped panel in a rectangular duct

The theory of acoustic plane waves incident on an oblique clamped panel in a rectangular duct was developed from basic theoretical concepts. The coupling theory between the elastic vibrations of the panel (plate) and the oblique incident acoustic plane wave in infinite space was considered in detail, and was used for the oblique clamped panel in the rectangular duct. The partial differential equation which governs the vibrations of the clamped panel (plate) was modified by adding to it stiffness (spring) forces and damping forces. The Transmission Loss coefficient and the Noise Reduction coefficient for oblique incidence were defined and derived in detail. The resonance frequencies excited by the free vibrations of the oblique finite clamped panel (plate) were derived and calculated in detail for the present case.

Unz, H.↗

Plane waves at or near grazing incidence in the parabolic approximation

The parabolic approximation for the acoustic equations of motion is applied to the study of the sound field generated by a plane wave at or near grazing incidence to a finite impedance boundary. It is shown how this approximation accounts for effects neglected in the usual plane wave reflection analysis which, at grazing incidence, erroneously predicts complete cancellation of the incident field by the reflected field. Examples are presented which illustrate that the solution obtained by the parabolic approximation contains several of the physical phenomena known to occur in wave propagation near an absorbing boundary.

Mcaninch, G. L.↗

Oblique-incidence secondary emission from charged dielectrics

Secondary electron emission coefficients were measured on FEP-Teflon for normal and oblique incidence in the presence of a normal electric field. Such measurements require knowledge of the electrostatic environment surrounding the specimen, and they require calculation of particle trajectories such that particle impact parameters can be known. A simulation using a conformal mapping, a Green's integral, and a trajectory generator provides the necessary mathematical support for the measurements, which were made with normal fields of 1.5 and 2.7 kV/mm. When incidence is normal and energy exceeds the critical energy, the coefficient is given by (V sub 0/V) to the .58 power, and for oblique incidence this expression may be divided by the cosine of the angle. The parameter V sub 0 is a function of normal field.

Robinson, J. W.↗

Oblique-incidence secondary emission from charged dielectronics

Experimental measurements and computer simulation of secondary electron emission coefficients for FEP-Teflon, for normal and oblique incidence in the presence of a normal electric field are reported. Knowledge of the electrostatic environment surrounding the specimen calculation of particle trajectories are considered. A simulation using a conformal mapping, a Green's integral, and a trajectory generator provides the necessary mathematical support for the measurements which have been made with normal fields of 1.5 and 2.7 kV/mm. When incidence is normal and energy exceeds the critical energy, the coefficient is given by V.58 and for oblique incidence this expression may be divided by the cosine of the angle. The parameter V sub 0 is a function of normal field. Measurements for values of V sub f are presented.

Robinson, J. W.↗