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DOE OSTI2020

Crystalline Aluminosilicates for Radionuclide Remediation

Crystalline aluminosilicates have a wide range of applications such as media for the capture and/or immobilization of radionuclides. Several different types of metal-exchanged zeolites have been successfully demonstrated as effective sorbents for gaseous, aqueous, or solid-state capture and immobilization of radionuclides including iodine [e.g., I2(g), CH3I(g)], xenon, krypton, radium (e.g., 226Ra and 228Ra), selenium (e.g., 79Se6+), technetium (e.g., 99TcO4-), strontium (e.g., 90Sr2+), cesium (e.g., 135Cs+, 137Cs+), mixed alkali halide streams (i.e., iodide and chloride salts), and actinides (e.g., U6+, Th4+). These zeolites include sodalite (SOD), mordenite (MOR or Z-type), faujasite (FAU), Linde type-A (LTA), cancrinite (CAN), gismondine (GIS), and heulandite (or clinoptilolite) (HEU). The structural building blocks of these seven materials vary from cages (e.g., a-cages, ß-cages, e-cages) to channels linking various cage types and these are mostly comprised of aluminosilicates. This chapter will delve into the crystallographic differences between these framework materials and provide a brief overview of literature data where these seven crystalline aluminosilicates have been utilized for the capture and/or immobilization of radionuclides. Metal-exchanged zeolites (e.g., MOR, FAU, LTA) have often been the source of study for gaseous capture of iodine where the more promising compositions include Ag-exchanged sorbents; these types of materials can be made in a variety of robust forms including berl saddles and extrudates. Sodalite can be used as an immobilization strategy for halide waste streams (e.g., Cl, I), including those from electrochemical reprocessing of used nuclear fuel, as well as TcO4–. Cancrinite has been demonstrated to enhance sorption capacity of sediments for several problematic ionic radionuclides including Cs+, SeO42–, and TcO4–. Actinides such as U6+ and Th4+ have been successfully captured from solutions using MOR, FAU, LTA, and HEU-type aluminosilicates. Finally, mixtures of aluminosilicates have been included in a set of zeolite materials that show promise as sorbents for 226Ra and 228Ra removal from mine waters.

zeolites, aluminosilicates, radionuclide remediati↗

DOE OSTI2024

Gender in Mineral Names

Minerals are the fundamental constituents of Earth, and mineral names appear in scientific literature for disciplines including geology, chemistry, materials science, biology, and medicine, among others. Choosing a name is the full responsibility of the authors of new mineral proposals submitted to the International Mineralogical Association (IMA). Scientific nomenclature and its traditions have evolved over time and, consequently, mineral names track changes in the landscape of mineralogy with respect to language, technology, and culture. To evaluate these changes, the namesake information for all 5896 minerals approved by the IMA or ‘grandfathered’ into use as of December 2022 was recorded and categorized within a workable database. The compiled information yields diverse insights into the intersection of science and culture and could also be used to project future trends. In this study, we used the name database to investigate gender diversity among mineral eponyms. More than half (c. 54%) of all mineral species are named after people, the identities of whom are largely a reflection of the people that have historically been involved, in one way or another, in the geosciences and in the mining industry. Of the 2738 people with minerals named for them, approximately 6.1% are (interpreted to be) women. Nearly all minerals named for women were named during the last sixty years, although the rate of growth in the year-on-year percentage of women among new mineral namesakes has slowed since about 1985. If current and historical trends hold, our model predicts that women will not comprise more than about 10.35% of newly established mineral namesakes in future years. The representation of women among mineral namesakes also differs starkly among countries. For example, Russians comprise 43.11% of women with minerals named for them, but account for only 15.12% of all eponyms. However, there are additional disparities beyond the proportions of namesakes. For scientists who were alive when a mineral was named for them, women were an average of 3.74 years older than men when evaluated over the same timespan (1954–2022). These results demonstrate that gender-based disparities are imprinted into current mineral nomenclature and indicate that gender parity among new mineral namesakes is impossible without unprecedented changes in the upstream demographics that are most likely to affect naming trends.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2020

A combined machine learning and density functional theory study of binary Ti-Nb and Ti-Zr alloys: Stability and Young’s modulus

The multicomponent Ti alloys, specifically the -phase, have experienced a strong growth over the last decades, due to their outstanding properties of ultra-high strength and low Young’s modulus. These properties play a significant role in many aerospace and biomedical applications. Selection and optimization of multicomponent alloys is challenging due to the vast chemical and compositional space. Here we investigate the use of machine learning techniques informed by density functional calculations to guide the selection of Nb- and Zr-based Ti binary alloys. From the cubic structures obtained from high throughput calculations and literature, we identify several structures with Young’s moduli below 40 GPa. The multivariant decision tree methods provide efficient surrogate models to identify structure variables have high influences on the energetic stability and Young’s modulus. Furthermore, we implement a workflow of incorporating DFT provided results and machine learning method to explore the chemical and composition space of other binary and multicomponent alloys, to eventually accelerate the material design via taking advantages of identified key variables.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2026

Alkaline mineral residues from pulp mills as a sustainable and economical alternative to lime fertilizers

Lime is typically comprised of calcium carbonate (CaCO 3 ) or calcium magnesium carbonate (CaMg(CO 3 ) 2 ) and is needed to maintain a proper pH in agriculture and forestry soils, but it represents a major cost to growers and results in significant greenhouse gas emissions due to the mining, crushing, and transport required. There is a need to identify existing sources of alkaline mineral wastes and assess their potential as sustainable and cost-effective alternatives to lime. Dregs and grits (DGs) are highly alkaline mineral residues from biomass pulp mills that form during the recovery of pulping chemicals and are mostly comprised of CaCO 3 . For the first time, we assess the efficacy of industrially sourced DGs on 22 acidic soils across the Southeastern United States that are currently used in either agriculture or forestry operations. The application of DGs was found on average to result in the same soil pH response as calcite over multiple soil incubations (0 day to 120 days). An analysis of the carbon content of the soils after the incubation revealed that soils incubated with DGs experienced a statistically significant increase in soil carbon relative to control soils and those incubated with CaCO 3 . The generation and application of DGs emits 0.35 tonnes of CO 2 for every tonne of DGs, which compares favorably to the 0.86 tonnes of CO 2 for every tonne of agricultural lime generated and $85 per tonne lime reported in the literature. DGs prove to be a sustainable and economical substitute for agricultural lime in the acidic soils of the Southeastern United States.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

The cosmic DANCe of Perseus

Context. Star-forming regions are excellent benchmarks for testing and validating theories of star formation and stellar evolution. The Perseus star-forming region, being one of the youngest (< 10 Myr), closest (280-320 pc), and most studied in the literature, is a fundamental benchmark. Aims. We aim to study the membership, phase-space structure, mass, and energy (kinetic plus potential) distribution of the Perseus star-forming region using public catalogues (Gaia, APOGEE, 2MASS, and Pan-STARRS). Methods. We used Bayesian methodologies that account for extinction to identify the Perseus physical groups in the phase-space, retrieve their candidate members, derive their properties (age, mass, 3D positions, 3D velocities, and energy), and attempt to reconstruct their origin. Results. We identify 1052 candidate members in seven physical groups (one of them new) with ages between 3 and 10 Myr, dynamical super-virial states, and large fractions of energetically unbounded stars. Their mass distributions are broadly compatible with that of Chabrier for masses ≳0.1 M ⊙ and do not show hints of over-abundance of low-mass stars in NGC 1333 with respect to IC 348. These groups’ ages, spatial structure, and kinematics are compatible with at least three generations of stars. Future work is still needed to clarify if the formation of the youngest was triggered by the oldest. Conclusions. The exquisite Gaia data complemented with public archives and mined with comprehensive Bayesian methodologies allow us to identify 31% more members than previous studies, discover a new physical group (Gorgophone: 7 Myr, 191 members, and 145 M ⊙ ), and confirm that the spatial, kinematic, and energy distributions of these groups support the hierarchical star formation scenario.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

DOE OSTI2025

Trends and 2025 Insights on the Rise of Electric Vehicles in the USA

Plug-in electric vehicles (EVs) are reshaping the transportation energy landscape, providing a practical alternative to petroleum fuels for a growing number of applications. EV sales grew 55x in the past decade (2014-2024) and 6x since 2020, driven by technological progress enabled by policies to reduce transportation emissions as well as industrial plans motivated by strategic value of EVs for global competitiveness, jobs and geopolitics. In 2024, 22% of passenger cars sold globally were EVs and opportunities for EVs beyond on-road applications are growing, including solutions to electrify off-road vehicles, maritime and aviation. This Review updates and expands our 2020 assessment of the scientific literature and describes the current status and future projections of EV markets, charging infrastructures, vehicle-grid integration and supply chains in the USA. EV is the lowest-emission motorized on-road transportation option, with life-cycle emissions decreasing as electricity emissions continue to decrease. Charging infrastructure grew in line with EV adoption but providing ubiquitous reliable and convenient charging remains a challenge. EVs are reducing electricity costs in several US markets and coordinated EV charging can improve grid resilience and reduce electricity costs for all consumers. The current trajectory of technology improvement and industrial investments points to continued acceleration of EVs.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Mechanistic and Kinetic Analysis of Complete Methane Oxidation on a Practical PtPd/Al 2 O 3 Catalyst

A PtPd/Al 2 O 3 catalyst developed for the complete oxidation of methane from the ventilation air of underground coal mines is compared against a model PdO/Al 2 O 3 catalyst. Although the PtPd/Al 2 O 3 catalyst is substantially more active and stable than the model catalyst, the nature of active sites between the two catalysts is deemed to be fundamentally the same based on their response to different feed gas compositions and the evolution of surface CO adsorption complexes during time-resolved CO adsorption DRIFTS experiment. For both catalysts, coordinatively unsaturated Pd sites are considered the active centers for methane activation and the subsequent oxidation reaction. H 2 O competes with CH 4 for the same active sites, resulting in severe inhibition. Additionally, the CH 4 oxidation reaction also causes self-inhibition. Taking both inhibition effects into consideration, a relatively simple kinetic model is developed. The model provides a good fit of the 72 sets of kinetic data collected on the PtPd/Al 2 O 3 catalyst under practically relevant reaction conditions with CH 4 concentration in the range of 0.05–0.4%, H 2 O concentration of 1.0–5.0%, and reaction temperatures of 450–700 °C. Kinetic parameters based on the model suggest that the CH 4 activation energy on the PtPd/Al 2 O 3 catalyst is 96.7 kJ/mol, and the H 2 O adsorption energy is –31.0 kJ/mol. Both values are consistent with the parameters reported in the literature. The model can be used to develop catalyst sizing guidelines and be incorporated into the control algorithm of the catalytic system.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

NASA NTRS2006

Studies in Software Cost Model Behavior: Do We Really Understand Cost Model Performance?

While there exists extensive literature on software cost estimation techniques, industry practice continues to rely upon standard regression-based algorithms. These software effort models are typically calibrated or tuned to local conditions using local data. This paper cautions that current approaches to model calibration often produce sub-optimal models because of the large variance problem inherent in cost data and by including far more effort multipliers than the data supports. Building optimal models requires that a wider range of models be considered while correctly calibrating these models requires rejection rules that prune variables and records and use multiple criteria for evaluating model performance. The main contribution of this paper is to document a standard method that integrates formal model identification, estimation, and validation. It also documents what we call the large variance problem that is a leading cause of cost model brittleness or instability.

data mining↗

DOE OSTI2024

Hydrothermal solubility of Dy hydroxide as a function of pH and stability of Dy hydroxyl aqueous complexes from 25 to 250 °C

The rare earth elements (REE) have important applications in green energy technologies. The formation of mineral deposits in geologic systems commonly involves hydrothermal fluids which can mobilize the REE. However, the REE speciation is not well known as a function of pH. The thermodynamic properties of REE hydroxyl complexes used in geochemical models are based on the Helgeson-Kirkham-Flowers (HKF) equation of state parameters which were derived by extrapolation of low temperature experimental and estimated data. In this study, Dy hydroxide solubility experiments are combined with available literature data to improve these models from 25 to 250 °C and optimize the thermodynamic properties of Dy 3+ and Dy hydroxyl complexes using GEMSFITS. Batch-type solubility experiments were conducted from 150 to 250 °C and at saturated water vapor pressure in perchloric acid solutions with initial pH values of 2 to 5 in 0.5 pH unit increments. The measured solubility of Dy hydroxide is retrograde with temperature and decreases with pH. The logarithm of total dissolved Dy molality ranges from –2.3 to –5.3 at 150 °C (pH 4.7–5.5), from –2.4 to –5.6 at 200 °C (pH 3.9–5.1), and from –3.7 to –6.9 at 250 °C (pH of 3.4 and 5.0). The optimized standard partial molal Gibbs energies of formation (Δ f G° T ) derived for Dy 3+ and DyOH 2+ display a close to linear relationship with temperature, fitting with previous optimizations based on DyPO 4 solubility data in the literature. A comparison of the optimized ΔfG°T values for aqueous Dy species with predictions from available HKF parameters indicates significant differences ranging from +11 to –26 kJ/mol between 25 and 250 °C. The experimental fits are used to derive the Dy hydroxide solubility products (K s0 ) and formation constants for the hydrolysis of Dy (β n with n = 1 to 3; Dy 3+ + nOH – = DyOH n 3-n ) as a function of temperature. The optimization method presented yields accurate thermodynamic properties for the Dy 3+ aqua ions and the DyOH 2+ species at the acidic to mildly acidic pH studied whereas more experimental work is needed at near-neutral and alkaline conditions to better constrain the other hydroxyl complexes. Furthermore, the optimized thermodynamic data have a significant impact on geochemical modeling of the mobility and solubility of REE minerals in acidic hydrothermal fluids.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Critical minerals lists for low-carbon transitions: Reviewing their structure, objectives, and limitations

Critical minerals lists have flourished in the past decade, in particular linked to the importance of critical minerals for low-carbon transitions. We identified 27 critical minerals or materials lists across 15 countries and the European Union (EU). These lists are designed to attract public and private attention and investments to secure both domestic and foreign supplies. This review article fills a gap in the existing literature by analyzing the ways in which these lists are defined and utilized by countries engaged in a mineral rush. We focus our attention on three categories of minerals – battery minerals, platinum-group metals (PGMs), and rare earth elements (REEs) that are particularly important to energy transitions. We situate this research in the broader legal and administrative developments that have driven critical minerals policies in the past decade. We provide an in-depth analysis of the commonalities and variations in the raw materials included in these lists, and identify six core limitations of critical minerals lists: (1) unclear links between criticality assessments and mineral prioritization (2) failure to account for the full mineral value-chain; (3) limited strategic alignment between allied nations; (4) limited flexibility in dynamic environments (5) limited consideration for recycling and by-product sourcing; and (6) reliance on incomplete reserve and resource data.

Battery minerals↗

NASA NTRS2016

Initial Incidence of White Matter Hyperintensities on MRI in Astronauts

Introduction: Previous literature has described the increase in white matter hyperintensity (WMH) burden associated with hypobaric exposure in the U-2 and altitude chamber operating personnel. Although astronauts have similar hypobaric exposure pressures to the U2 pilot population, astronauts have far fewer exposures and each exposure would be associated with a much lower level of decompression stress due to rigorous countermeasures to prevent decompression sickness. Therefore, we postulated that the WMH burden in the astronaut population would be less than in U2 pilots. Methods: Twenty-one post-flight de-identified astronaut MRIs (5 mm slice thickness FLAIR sequences) were evaluated for WMH count and volume. The only additional data provided was an age range of the astronauts (43-57) and if they had ever performed an EVA (13 yes, 8 no). Results: WMH count in these 21 astronaut MRI was 21.0 +/- 24.8 (mean+/- SD) and volume was 0.382 +/- 0.602 ml, which was significantly higher than previously published results for the U2 pilots. No significant differences between EVA and no EVA groups existed. Age range of astronaut population is not directly comparable to the U2 population. Discussion: With significantly less frequent (sometimes none) and less stressful hypobaric exposures, yet a much higher incidence of increased WMH, this indicates the possibility of additional mechanisms beyond hypobaric exposure. This increase unlikely to be attributable just to the differences in age between astronauts and U2 pilots. Forward work includes continuing review of post-flight MRI and evaluation of pre to post flight MRI changes if available. Data mining for potential WMH risk factors includes collection of age, sex, spaceflight experience, EVA hours, other hypobaric exposures, hyperoxic exposures, radiation, high performance aircraft experience and past medical history. Finally, neurocognitive and vision/eye results will be evaluated for any evidence of impairment linked to increased WMH.

Norcross, Jason↗

NASA NTRS2005

Research on Spectroscopy, Opacity, and Atmospheres

I propose to continue providing observers with basic data for interpreting spectra from stars, novas, supernovas, clusters, and galaxies. These data will include allowed and forbidden line lists, both laboratory and computed, for the first five to ten ions of all atoms and for all relevant diatomic molecules. I will eventually expand to all ions of the first thirty elements to treat far UV and X-ray spectra, and for envelope opacities. I also include triatomic molecules provided by other researchers. I have also made CDs with Partridge and Schwenke's water data for work on UV stars. The line data also serve as input to my model atmosphere and synthesis programs that generate energy distributions, photometry, limb darkening, and spectra that can be used for planning observations and for fitting observed spectra. The spectrum synthesis programs produce detailed plots with the lines identified. Grids of stellar spectra can be used for radial velocity-, rotation-, or abundance templates and for population synthesis. I am fitting spectra of bright stars to test the data and to produce atlases to guide observers. For each star the whole spectrum is computed from the UV to the far IR. The line data, opacities, models, spectra, and programs are freely distributed on CDs and on my Web site and represent a unique resource for many NASA programs. I am now in full production of new line lists for atoms. I am computing all ions of all elements from H to Zn and the first 5 ions of all the heavier elements, about 800 ions. For each ion I treat as many as 61 even and 61 odd configurations, computing all energy levels and eigenvectors. The Hamiltonian is determined from a scaled-Hartree-Fock starting guess by least squares fitting the observed energy levels. The average energy of each configuration is used in computing scaled-Thomas-Fermi-Dirac wavefunctions for each configuration which in turn are used to compute allowed and forbidden transition integrals. These are multiplied into the LS allowed and forbidden transition arrays. The transition arrays are transformed to the observed coupling to yield the allowed and forbidden line lists. Results are put on the web as they are finished. Provided I get funding,there will be more than 500 million lines. I will then compare ion by ion, to all the laboratory and computed data in the literature and make up a working line list for spectrum synthesis and opacity calculations with the best available data. As the laboratory spectrum analyses are improved, I will redo the calculations with the new energy levels. My original plan when I started the new calculations was to run through all the atoms using my old Cray programs from the 1980's that were limited to 1100 x 1100 arrays in the Hamiltonian for each J. Then I would go back and rerun the more complicated cases with 3000 x 3000 arrays so that I could include many more configurations and more configuration interactions. At present I am limited to 61 even and 61 odd configurations and I try to include everything up through n = 9. The current program runs on Alpha workstations. I decided to test the big program on Fe I and Fe II to see whether there was any great difference in the low configurations compared to those from the Cray program. Besides increasing the number of E1 lines by a factor of 6 to 7.7 million, there was an unexpected result: the electric quadrupole transitions were 10 times stronger than before because the transition integrals are weighted by r(exp 2) ---they become very large for high n, and because there are numerous configuration interactions that mix the low and high configurations. As a check I was able to reproduce Carstang's (1962) lower results by running his three configurations with my program. Since my model atom is still only a subset of a real Fe II ion, the true quadrupole A values are probably larger than mine. The magnetic dipole lines are affected by the mixing but the overall scale does not change. Because of this scovery I decided that there was no point in computing the small array cases. I have been running with as many configurations as I can and with thousands of parameters in the Hamiltonian. The computer runs take much longer to set up and produce than I had expected. I have concentrated on redoing the low iron group spectra, especially to get data for supernova modelers. I have done only Ca I -- Zn I, Ca II -- Zn II, CU I -- Cu XXIX, Zn I - Zn XXX, for practice at high stages of ionization, C I, C II, S I, and CL I and Ag I for people who were working on the laboratory spectra. Check my web site kurucz.harvard.edu for current additions. My latest calculations have been for carbon I and sulphur I, and silicon I is under way using the same elaborate approach as for C I, which took many months to do. These line lists greatly increase the number of lines in the ultraviolet, in the visible, and especially in the infrared. They will increase the opacity in A, F, and G stars. They will account for many unidentified lines in the sun.

Kurucz, Robert L.↗

NASA NTRS2007

Efficient Implementation of an Optimal Interpolator for Large Spatial Data Sets

Scattered data interpolation is a problem of interest in numerous areas such as electronic imaging, smooth surface modeling, and computational geometry. Our motivation arises from applications in geology and mining, which often involve large scattered data sets and a demand for high accuracy. The method of choice is ordinary kriging. This is because it is a best unbiased estimator. Unfortunately, this interpolant is computationally very expensive to compute exactly. For n scattered data points, computing the value of a single interpolant involves solving a dense linear system of size roughly n x n. This is infeasible for large n. In practice, kriging is solved approximately by local approaches that are based on considering only a relatively small'number of points that lie close to the query point. There are many problems with this local approach, however. The first is that determining the proper neighborhood size is tricky, and is usually solved by ad hoc methods such as selecting a fixed number of nearest neighbors or all the points lying within a fixed radius. Such fixed neighborhood sizes may not work well for all query points, depending on local density of the point distribution. Local methods also suffer from the problem that the resulting interpolant is not continuous. Meyer showed that while kriging produces smooth continues surfaces, it has zero order continuity along its borders. Thus, at interface boundaries where the neighborhood changes, the interpolant behaves discontinuously. Therefore, it is important to consider and solve the global system for each interpolant. However, solving such large dense systems for each query point is impractical. Recently a more principled approach to approximating kriging has been proposed based on a technique called covariance tapering. The problems arise from the fact that the covariance functions that are used in kriging have global support. Our implementations combine, utilize, and enhance a number of different approaches that have been introduced in literature for solving large linear systems for interpolation of scattered data points. For very large systems, exact methods such as Gaussian elimination are impractical since they require 0(n(exp 3)) time and 0(n(exp 2)) storage. As Billings et al. suggested, we use an iterative approach. In particular, we use the SYMMLQ method, for solving the large but sparse ordinary kriging systems that result from tapering. The main technical issue that need to be overcome in our algorithmic solution is that the points' covariance matrix for kriging should be symmetric positive definite. The goal of tapering is to obtain a sparse approximate representation of the covariance matrix while maintaining its positive definiteness. Furrer et al. used tapering to obtain a sparse linear system of the form Ax = b, where A is the tapered symmetric positive definite covariance matrix. Thus, Cholesky factorization could be used to solve their linear systems. They implemented an efficient sparse Cholesky decomposition method. They also showed if these tapers are used for a limited class of covariance models, the solution of the system converges to the solution of the original system. Matrix A in the ordinary kriging system, while symmetric, is not positive definite. Thus, their approach is not applicable to the ordinary kriging system. Therefore, we use tapering only to obtain a sparse linear system. Then, we use SYMMLQ to solve the ordinary kriging system. We show that solving large kriging systems becomes practical via tapering and iterative methods, and results in lower estimation errors compared to traditional local approaches, and significant memory savings compared to the original global system. We also developed a more efficient variant of the sparse SYMMLQ method for large ordinary kriging systems. This approach adaptively finds the correct local neighborhood for each query point in the interpolation process.

Memarsadeghi, Nargess↗

DOE OSTI2020

Sedimentary Geothermal Resources in Nevada, Utah, Colorado, and Texas

The objectives of this project were to (1) perform a literature review of sedimentary geothermal resources, (2) identify data sources and develop data-collection methodologies that characterize selected resources, (3) screen sedimentary basins and formations for sedimentary geothermal potential, and (4) evaluate the technical feasibility of one or more selected locations. Numerous publications have characterized geothermal resources within sedimentary basins. A literature search reviewed publications describing resources located in Colorado, Louisiana, Nevada, Texas, Utah, and Wyoming. The most attractive resources have high temperature gradients, low drilling costs, and reservoir permeabilities greater than 10 millidarcies (mD). Prospects in Colorado, Nevada, Texas, and Utah exhibit attractive characteristics and were chosen for further analysis. Sedimentary resources in Nevada and Utah are most attractive, followed by tested resources in Texas and untested resources in Colorado. The identified resources in Wyoming and Louisiana had lower geothermal gradients and were not evaluated. Reservoir modeling and techno-economic analysis were performed at Marys River Basin–North in Nevada. Geothermal energy production at this location is expected to have a levelized cost of energy (LCOE) ranging between 10 and 20 cents/kWh. Additional work may result in lower LCOE estimates at this location and at other attractive prospects in these three regions. The Great Basin carbonate and alluvial aquifer system of eastern Nevada and western Utah includes a lower carbonate aquifer unit, which has the potential for hosting both conduction- and convection-dominated geothermal systems. Mapping has identified lateral thickness variability expressed as a roughly 120–150-km-wide central corridor, which hosts the thickest and most continuous formations and extends from near Las Vegas north to the Idaho border. Purchase and analysis of privately held legacy seismic data could potentially compensate for the lack of sufficient data documenting measured depth to the lower carbonate aquifer unit. Multiple orogenies, extension episodes, and intrusive events have deformed and displaced the target formations of the lower carbonate aquifer unit. This structural complexity and potential for dipping reservoirs emphasizes the need for detailed geological, geophysical, and reservoir modeling. Heat flow within three Colorado sedimentary basins reviewed as part of this study was calculated in targeted studies by the Colorado Geologic Survey and Colorado School of Mines. These calculations are based on bottom-hole temperature data sets with significant limitations and some variability but produce values consistently higher than the global continental average of 65 mW/m2 for all three basins. Heat flow in the Raton Basin is the highest; however, permeability measurements from specific sedimentary formations with high heat flow have not been obtained. Promising formations for sedimentary geothermal systems were found in all three regions studied—Nevada-Utah, Colorado, and Texas. The next steps for developing sedimentary geothermal resources vary due to differences in available data and resource uncertainties. Additional scopes of work are recommended for identified basins in these three regions.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Mineral Scale Formation during Crossflow Reverse Osmosis at Constant Flux and Constant Transmembrane Pressure Conditions

Mineral scale formation on membrane surfaces is a significant challenge in reverse osmosis water purification. Laboratory fouling experiments are typically run such that the transmembrane pressure (TMP) is fixed, and the permeate flux decreases over time as scales accumulate on the membrane surface. However, this change in flux means that the hydrodynamic conditions at the membrane surface are continuously changing, which could affect crystallization and foulant deposition processes. Operating under constant permeate flux conditions, in contrast, is advantageous because it keeps the hydrodynamic conditions relatively consistent, making it possible to compare how membrane properties (e.g., surface chemistry) affect fouling propensity. Industrial reverse osmosis operations are not run strictly in either constant TMP or constant flux mode; while they may start at a constant TMP, feed pressure may be periodically adjusted to maintain permeate water production within a specified range. Here, the scarcity of constant permeate flux reverse osmosis scaling experiments reported in the literature frustrates efforts to compare membrane fouling processes under constant TMP and constant flux conditions. For the first time, the evolution of the fouling layer resistance was compared as a function of cumulative permeate volume per membrane area during constant TMP and constant flux reverse osmosis filtrations. Scaling experiments were conducted by challenging commercial reverse osmosis membranes with a model feed solution nearly saturated with calcium sulfate dihydrate (gypsum). At low fluxes, the increase in fouling layer resistance was quantitatively similar for the two operational modes. In contrast, at high fluxes, the fouling layer resistance increased more rapidly in constant flux filtration than in constant TMP filtration. The mechanism of scale formation in constant TMP and constant flux operation was self-limiting and self-reinforcing, respectively.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

NASA NTRS2020

Data Science for Weather Impacts on Crop Yield

Private businesses in sectors, such as food, energy, and retail, as well as public sector and federal agencies are interested in the predictive understanding of weather impacts on crop yield, which is an important aspect of food security. Scientific literature has mainly examined how crop yield is impacted by growing season-averaged weather indices. Although a few studies did consider weather extremes in their analysis, their scope was either restricted to measuring their conditional relationship with yield or the extreme event types considered were limited. Selection of regression models, whether the more commonly used linear approaches or nonlinear methods, have not been appropriately justified in this context. Here, we develop data-driven methods to examine two inter-related hypotheses for improved scientific understanding and enhanced predictive modeling. The first hypothesis, that extreme weather indices have a statistically significant information content in them is found to be valid based on linear and nonlinear methods for pairwise dependence. The second hypothesis, examines the value addition of nonlinear regression methods, and suggests that linear approaches may not alone be adequate. The results of this study can inform scientific understanding, generation and relevance of indices and end-to-end risk assessment systems in the context of climate impacts on crop yield. An immediate application may be in the context of NASA Earth Exchange (NEX) which facilitates the generation and dissemination of impacts relevant weather data and indices using a multitude of satellite-derived data sets and model outputs.

Data mining, food security, weather impacts↗

DOE OSTI2026

Image processing workflow yielding high contrast synchrotron nanoscale computed tomography data from Ni-YSZ electrodes

The operating lifetime of Ni-YSZ fuel electrodes used in solid oxide electrolysis cells and fuel cells (SOECs and SOFCs) is limited by Ni redistribution, one of the primary degradation mechanisms that must be overcome to extend the longevity and maximize the performance of SOECs and SOFCs. To achieve this, 3D microstructural data is needed to relate both initial performance and performance loss over time to microstructural properties and their evolution throughout operation under various conditions. However, 3D microstructure data remains relatively scarce within the literature due to multiple challenges in acquiring and analyzing such data reliably. This work presents a workflow for acquiring and processing synchrotron X-ray nanoscale computed tomography (nano-CT) data from Ni-YSZ electrodes. Parameters for each step in the nano-CT workflow are described up to the final result (a 3D reconstruction), with particular emphasis on image alignment using freely available software. Following the results of a parametric sweep of the image alignment step, high contrast, low signal-to-noise 3D nano-CT data is obtained with relatively short compute times. While the exact methods best suited to samples with different microstructural qualities, or similar Ni-YSZ nano-CT data obtained from other sources may deviate from the solution found herein, this work also generalizes the decision points and evaluation of each step to provide a starting point to adapt this workflow to other datasets.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2021

Models and Processes to Extract Drug-like Molecules From Natural Language Text

Researchers worldwide are seeking to repurpose existing drugs or discover new drugs to counter the disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). A promising source of candidates for such studies is molecules that have been reported in the scientific literature to be drug-like in the context of viral research. However, this literature is too large for human review and features unusual vocabularies for which existing named entity recognition (NER) models are ineffective. We report here on a project that leverages both human and artificial intelligence to detect references to such molecules in free text. We present 1) a iterative model-in-the-loop method that makes judicious use of scarce human expertise in generating training data for a NER model, and 2) the application and evaluation of this method to the problem of identifying drug-like molecules in the COVID-19 Open Research Dataset Challenge (CORD-19) corpus of 198,875 papers. We show that by repeatedly presenting human labelers only with samples for which an evolving NER model is uncertain, our human-machine hybrid pipeline requires only modest amounts of non-expert human labeling time (tens of hours to label 1778 samples) to generate an NER model with an F-1 score of 80.5%—on par with that of non-expert humans—and when applied to CORD’19, identifies 10,912 putative drug-like molecules. This enriched the computational screening team’s targets by 3,591 molecules, of which 18 ranked in the top 0.1% of all 6.6 million molecules screened for docking against the 3CLPro protein.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗