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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

Big Data Analysis of Massive PMU Datasets: A Data Platform Perspective

The discovery of `event signatures' and useful insights from very large historical Phasor Measurement Unit (PMU) datasets is predicated on offline Big Data analysis approaches that rely on the generation of predictive features on a massive scale. This paper presents lessons learned from a data platform perspective towards reducing barriers to adoption of Big Data analytics against a real dataset of almost half a trillion data points drawn from over 400 PMUs distributed across the North American power grid. We demonstrate software abstractions and targeted performance optimizations that can lead to significant productivity gains for power systems researchers seeking to perform offline exploratory temporal analysis and modeling tasks, with a focus on feature generation. We describe how our optimized approach goes beyond a naive application of mainstream Big Data technologies, enabling feature generation tasks, that previously took days or even weeks, to now be completed in just a few hours.

Kumar, Vijay S.↗
DOE OSTI2020

Grassy ELM regime at low pedestal collisionality in high-power tokamak plasma

Spontaneous mitigation of giant ELMs and appearance of grassy ELMs have been observed repeatedly at low pedestal collisionality (${\nu }_{\mathrm{e},\mathrm{p}\mathrm{e}\mathrm{d}}^{{\ast}}\sim 0.15$) in the high-power (P inj > 13 MW) hybrid scenario in DIII-D. Higher β p and higher q 95 appear to be beneficial to achieving the grassy ELM regime. The grassy ELM H-mode plasma shows high energy confinement performance (H 98y2 up to over 1.5) under the conditions of high neutral beam torque and high core rotation. The pedestal width appears to exceed the EPED1.0 model prediction by more than 50%. Pedestal stability analysis performed with the ELITE code indicates that the stability against low-n kink/peeling modes is improved with increased auxiliary heating power and the operational point in the grassy ELM regime is located near the ballooning boundary. The pedestal stability characteristics during the grassy ELM crashes have been investigated in comparison with the giant ELM crashes based on plasma profiles experimentally measured with high resolution and accuracy. It has been found that the underlying mechanism for the observed small-amplitude ELM crashes is mainly the expansion of the ballooning stability boundary induced by an initial radially localized collapse in the pedestal, which helps to stop the growth of instabilities and further collapse of the pedestal. The effect of electron density pedestal on mitigating edge localized instabilities has been analyzed by numerical simulation, suggesting that the electron density pedestal characterized by high n e,sep /n e,ped and low density gradient helps to stabilize peeling-ballooning modes because of a low pressure pedestal gradient and to lower the ballooning boundary mainly because of a low ion diamagnetic frequency in the pedestal region, thus triggering ballooning instabilities and producing the intrinsic grassy ELMs. Numerical simulation of the Chinese fusion engineering test reactor (CFETR) with the SOLPS code indicates that the separatrix density might be insensitive to the electron diffusivity in the pedestal region and increase with the power flowing from the core region to the edge region. Furthermore, pedestal stability analysis suggests that the flat density pedestal with high separatrix density obtained in the high-power plasma in CFETR would make the operational point close to the ballooning boundary, which is considered to help destabilize ballooning instabilities and facilitate the access to the grassy ELM regime.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Analytical Functions for 200 West Pump-and-Treat SCADA Sensor Data

Historical operations at the U.S. Department of Energy’s Hanford Site included disposal of waste fluids to the subsurface in the 200 West Area on the Hanford Central Plateau. Subsequent infiltration of fluids has resulted in groundwater contamination with carbon tetrachloride, nitrate, uranium, technetium-99, and other contaminants. A pump-and-treat (P&T) system, with an extraction/injection well network and an aboveground treatment plant, was implemented as part of interim and final remedies in the 200 West area. The HYPATIA single-page web application (part of the SOCRATES suite) is being developed to provide access to and analysis of chemistry and treatment facility sensor data for this 200 West P&T system. For the web application, analytical algorithms were developed to perform summing, differencing, smoothing, outlier detection, change-point detection, mass flow rate, and injectivity calculations on the data. Candidate algorithms were identified and tested, with the best-performing algorithms then assembled for implementation in HYPATIA. Because HYPATIA is hosted on the Amazon Web Services (AWS) cloud computing platform, algorithms were implemented in a back-end AWS Lambda function that can be called by the HYPATIA front end. The Lambda function applies the requested data processing to specified data via functions written in R, Python, and JavaScript. Development, testing, and review of the data analysis algorithms was completed under an NQA-1 quality program. This new HYPATIA functionality will provide information to support site decisions regarding P&T system performance and optimization.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2022

Unpolarized transverse momentum distributions from a global fit of Drell-Yan and semi-inclusive deep-inelastic scattering data

We present an extraction of unpolarized transverse-momentum-dependent parton distribution and fragmentation functions based on more than two thousand data points from several experiments for two different processes: semi-inclusive deep-inelastic scattering and Drell-Yan production. The baseline analysis is performed using the Monte Carlo replica method and resumming large logarithms at N 3 LL accuracy. The resulting description of the data is very good (χ 2 /N dat = 1.06). For semi-inclusive deep-inelastic scattering, predictions for multiplicities are normalized by factors that cure the discrepancy with data introduced by higher-order perturbative corrections.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Power Decoupling Method for Voltage Source Inverters Using Grid Voltage Modulated Direct Power Control in Unbalanced System

The grid voltage modulated direct power control (GVM-DPC) is a novel power regulation method for grid-connected voltage source inverters (VSI). However, interactions between real and reactive powers still exist in GVM-DPC under unbalanced grid voltage condition, which may deteriorate its transient performance. Here, this article proposes a power decoupling method for GVM-DPC-based VSI in unbalanced systems based on the dynamic feedforward power compensation strategy, which can reduce the coupling magnitudes of real and reactive powers in the transient stages. First, the power coupling mechanism of positive and negative sequence real and reactive powers of VSI under the unbalanced voltage condition is analyzed. Then, the power coupling magnitudes (PCM) are derived according to relationships among the positive sequence components of real power, reactive power and point of common coupling (PCC) voltages. Next, the PCM are compensated into the GVM-DPC for the better decoupling performance. Furthermore, a stability analysis of the proposed control system is studied based on the impedance model, and a comparison with the traditional power decoupling method based on virtual impedance is conducted to show the superiority of the proposed method. Finally, simulations, hardware-in-loop test and experiment are conducted to validate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2020

HEPfit: a code for the combination of indirect and direct constraints on high energy physics models

HEPfit is a flexible open-source tool which, given the Standard Model or any of its extensions, allows to (i) fit the model parameters to a given set of experimental observables; (ii) obtain predictions for observables. HEPfit can be used either in Monte Carlo mode, to perform a Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo analysis of a given model, or as a library, to obtain predictions of observables for a given point in the parameter space of the model, allowing HEPfit to be used in any statistical framework. In the present version, around a thousand observables have been implemented in the Standard Model and in several new physics scenarios. In this paper, we describe the general structure of the code as well as models and observables implemented in the current release.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Porting the Nonlinear Optimization Library HiOp to Accelerator-Based Hardware Architectures

While interior point method has been the centerpiece of nonlinear programming tools used in science and engineering, its reliance on linear solvers that can tackle sparse symmetric indefinite and highly ill-conditioned problems made it difficult to implement it effectively on hardware accelerators. HiOp optimization package attempts to provide an implementation of the interior point method suitable for hardware accelerators by compressing the original sparse problem to produce an underlying linear problem that is dense and of manageable size. Implementations of dense linear solvers are more mature and utilize hardware accelerators better than their sparse counterparts. There is a number of important domain problems, such as optimal power flow analysis for power grids, where the sparse problem can be effectively compressed and deploying dense linear solver within the interior point method can improve performance. Here we describe a portable implementation of HiOp optimization engine, which uses a linear solver from Magma library and runs entirely on hardware accelerators. To compress the problem, HiOp uses customized mixed dense-sparse linear algebra. All HiOp kernels are implemented using Umpire and RAJA portability libraries. We describe details of the implementation and discuss trade-offs between performance, portability and development cost.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Accelerated Aging Humidity Chamber for Nuclear Grade HEPA Filter Media

A unique accelerated aging humidity chamber for simulating the natural aging process of nuclear grade high efficiency particulate air (HEPA) filter media is being designed, implemented, and tested. The nuclear industry currently lacks information regarding the shelf life and service life of HEPA filter media. The Department of Energy recommends disposing of HEPA filters 10 years after the manufacture date for filters operated under dry conditions. Studies have shown the tensile strength and water repellency of HEPA filter media diminish with age. The chamber's principal function is to sustain an elevated relative humidity condition for an extended duration specified by the Arrhenius aging model. To accomplish this, various design parameters were established: (1) consistently achieve uniform humidity conditions within the chamber to equally expose media sheets, (2) ensure the chamber is sufficiently sealed to mitigate the uncontrolled infiltration of air, (3) confidently secure the media sheets to avert the introduction of unnecessary stressing/creasing, (4) fabricate the chamber from clear polycarbonate material to allow inspection of the media sheets, (5) provide a safe and ergonomic design for personnel, (6) ensure the chamber design is replicable and relatively easy to fabricate/assemble. A humidity source, fan, PID controller, humidity and temperature transmitters, and data loggers are required for proper operation and control of the chamber. The humidity source must accommodate target values up to 95% relative humidity throughout the chamber. The three humidity and temperature transmitters are strategically spaced throughout the chamber to ensure uniform conditions. The 10 cubic feet per minute (CFM) fan selected intends to accomplish the desired air change rate inside the chamber of approximately 20 air changes per hour (ACH). The 2 plenums on the upper and lower portions of the chamber utilize a perforated design to uniformly distribute air, promote air mixing, and control the air velocity entering the chamber. Industrial blueprint hanging clamps are being retrofitted to be seated within the chamber drawers and firmly secure the nuclear grade filter media. The aged media will be evaluated using autopsy methodology, and the results obtained intend to help clarify the useful life of nuclear grade HEPA filters. Nuclear grade high efficiency particulate air (HEPA) filters are defined as disposable, extended-media, dry-type filters with a rigid casing enclosing the full depth of the pleats and have a minimum particle removal efficiency of 99.97%. [1] - HEPA filters are constantly exposed to stressors and subsequently have been shown to degrade as the filter ages. Properties such as tensile strength and water repellency, along with others, are negatively impacted. [2] - Due to the scarcity of naturally aged HEPA filters available, it is crucial to develop accelerated aging methods which effectively mimic the natural degradation effects. - After accelerated aging, the filters are subject to testing in the Axial Flow Large Scale Test Stand (ALSTS) and other analysis techniques such as the same qualification tests performed directly after being manufactured. - Quality data is necessary for future decisions regarding the lifetime of nuclear grade HEPA filters. - The objective is to develop a prototype accelerated aging humidity chamber for nuclear grade HEPA filter media. The chamber should expose the media to commonly occurring stressors to expedite the degradation process caused by aging. PID yields reliable and reproducible results: - CFD model correlates well with actual performance; - Further analysis is needed to complete characterization; - Future work for the chamber is still to be completed. The data shown in Figure 5 and Table 1 indicate the system is functioning as designed. As can be determined from the system response evaluation in Table 1, the PID controller is yielding reliable and reproducible results at each set point. As the set point increases, the time constant and 20% settling time increase accordingly. From the results in Table 1, it stands to reason that the CFD model correlates well with the actual performance of the system. Each system response parameter for the 90%RH* CFD model is slightly lower than the parameters collected from the physical model tested at an equivalent set point. This is to be expected considering the inlet in the CFD model is a constant supply of water vapor, whereas the physical model uses a PID controller to monitor the amount of water vapor needed and reacts accordingly. More analysis is still to be done on the prototype chamber. A pressure test will be conducted in order to determine the hourly leak rate of the chamber. This test will involve constant air flow into the chamber until the desired pressure is reached. A uniformity test will also be conducted in order to ensure each filter medium is being exposed to equivalent relative humidity levels. This test will involve an array of humidity meters strategically oriented inside the chamber to record any possible gradients. Future work for the chamber includes dehumidification abilities, tests while fully loaded with filters, and temperature control. Once completed, the autopsy team at Institute of Clean Energy Technology will conduct necessary accelerated aging studies as needed.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2024

Chapter 7.1: Microalgae

Microalgae is a unique biomass resource that does not need to compete for land and water with other biomass feedstocks because it can be cultivated on low-quality unencumbered land using noncompetitive water types including saline and wastewater. It is included as a complementary resource alongside other biomass feedstocks reported in this study, albeit at higher biomass production costs reflective of more capital-intensive farming operations than typical for terrestrial biomass. Higher biomass costs can be offset by the potential to produce value-added coproducts unique to compositional constituents of microalgae. Relative to BT16, this chapter reflects the latest analysis from the 2022 Algae Harmonization Update, which uses the latest parameterized and high-performing saline algal strain, second-generation carbon capture of point-source waste CO2 and high-pressure pipeline transport resolved to specific point-source types, saline water sourcing up to 40,000 mg/L total dissolved solids for source and makeup water salinity, blowdown water treatment and recycle, and brine disposal handling. National-scale algal biomass availability potential was calculated at 152 million tons/yr ash-free dry weight (AFDW) (191 million tons/yr dry weight) at an average biomass productivity of 26.2 g/m2 -day AFDW (about 50 tons/acre/yr dry weight).1 The algal biomass was cultivated on 3.9 million acres of multi-criteria screened and potentially available land for CONUS and fixed 268 million tons of waste CO2 based on biomass uptake. The algae biomass can be produced at an average MBSP of $674/ton AFDW ($536/ton dry weight) in 2020 dollars,2 corresponding to a total energy potential of 3.3 quads/yr at an average MBSP of $31.2/MMBtu (higher-heating-value [HHV] basis).

algae↗
DOE OSTI2020

An ideal MHD δW stability analysis that bypasses the Newcomb equation

In the following work, we demonstrate the efficacy of a Riccati δW ideal MHD stability analysis that bypasses the numerically intractable integration of the Newcomb equation. By transforming the linear Newcomb equation into a quadratic Riccati equation, an accurate and equivalent δW analysis is performed that is shown to enjoy some numerical advantages. Additionally, we demonstrate that the Riccati approach is better conditioned than its Newcomb counterpart at the magnetic axis, and we apply dynamical systems insights to examine its behavior at singular points. We further discuss the constraints involved in solving for the extremal admissible perturbations of a δW analysis.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Investigations into the Ternary NaF-KF-UF4 Salt System – Phase A

A knowledge gap exists in the data and understanding of fresh fuel salt and irradiated multicomponent fuel salt systems thermophysical properties. Quantifying these properties is necessary for the design and construction of test reactors, as well as the licensing of future commercial molten-salt reactors. To facilitate thermal property determination on a proposed fuel salt composition for Seaborg Technologies, several samples containing depleted uranium tetrafluoride (UF4), sodium fluoride (NaF), and potassium fluoride (KF) were blended, and a melt temperature analysis was performed. From the melting temperature analysis, it was determined that sample Seaborg-7, a ternary salt composition of 26.4UF4-24.7KF-48.9NaF (mol%), was very near a ternary eutectic point. Therefore, thermal properties such as melting temperature, salt stability, density, heat capacity, thermal diffusivity, and viscosity were experimentally determined on the Seaborg-7 salt. These measurements document the baseline properties of fresh fuel salt as a function of temperature, where future experiments on irradiated fuel salt will provide a holistic perspective on the change of thermophysical properties during reactor operations. Several precision instruments were used to collect property data, and instrument calibrations and data collection were performed and documented in a standardized and reproducible manner with meticulous detail. This process ensured that the measurement procedures and resulting data can readily be duplicated elsewhere. The Seaborg-7 salt was shown to be stable at temperatures up to 900°C, as no mass change was observed upon repeated heating and cooling. The peak melting temperature was determined to be 547°C (557°C endset). The enthalpy of fusion (??H?_fus^o) was determined to be 167.5 ± 2.7 J/g while the enthalpy of crystallization (??H?_c^o) was determined to be -147.8 ± 13.3 J/g. In addition to the eutectic melting peak, upon heating, several pre eutectic peaks were observed, occurring at 470°C (onset) and 499°C (peak). Specific heat capacity measurements showed a slightly increasing trend with respect to temperature in the solid phase, while the liquid-specific heat capacity showed a somewhat flat trend with an average value of 106.1 ± 1.24 J/mol·K between 600 to 800°C. Three independent trials using the Seaborg-7 salt determined the density to be ?(T) = 4.908 – 0.000363·T(°C), validated between 32 to 200°C, and ?(T) = 4.808 – 0.00113·T(°C), validated between ~575 to 850°C. Thermal diffusivity was determined for the liquid state and is represented by the linear equation y = 0.1581 + 0.000207·T(°C) between 550 to 850°C. The viscosity was determined from 600 to 800°C and is represented by the exponential fit equation, ? (mPa·s) = 736.58e^(-0.006·T(°C)). This report documents the conclusion of fuel salt thermophysical property measurements for the Seaborg SPP, Phase A project.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Carbon dioxide (CO2) flux, amplicon sequencing and liquid chromatography–mass spectrometry (LC-MS) data for pyrogenic organic matter (PYOM) amended soil incubations in lab, Madison, WI, 2021-22

This dataset comprises soil-pyrogenic organic matter (PyOM) incubation experiments conducted in a laboratory setting. The focus was on measuring carbon dioxide (CO2) flux emitted in the headspace of incubation jars over a one-month period. The aim was to estimate carbon mineralization from two different carbon fractions in PyOM, as well as carbon mineralization from soil organic carbon (SOC). Bacterial and fungal community profiles were tracked at various time points during the incubation to observe changes in the overall community and specific responders to PyOM. LC-MS analysis of soil samples was also performed to monitor changes in the soil's chemical composition.The provided dataset includes processed CO2 flux measurements obtained from the Picarro-multiplexer measurement setup for each sample incubation jar. This data is available in the "CO2Flux.csv" file. Additionally, the dataset includes CO2 flux data partitioned to estimate mean carbon mineralization from the two PyOM carbon fractions, bulk PyOM, and SOC. The cumulative carbon mineralization data is provided in "cml_respired.csv," while the rate of carbon mineralization data is in "rate_respired.csv." The file "cml_respired_lastcyc.csv" contains cumulative carbon mineralization data for the PyOM carbon fractions, bulk PyOM, and SOC throughout the entire incubation period.For the LC-MS analysis, the raw data can be found in the "20220721_NZ_PeakHeights_FinalAnalysis.csv" file, while sample metadata is provided in "20220721_NZpilot_Metadata.csv". Processed LC-MS data is available in the file "20220721_NZ_FINAL_msdat_sub3.csv". Lastly, the dataset includes the relative abundance data for bacterial genera that exhibited a significant positive response to the addition of PyOM produced at 350 degrees Celsius, which can be found in "resp_genera_350.csv".

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

High-Throughput Microfluidics Platform for Intracellular Delivery and Sampling of Biomolecules from Live Cells

Nondestructive cell membrane permeabilization systems enable the intracellular delivery of exogenous biomolecules for cell engineering tasks as well as the temporal sampling of cytosolic contents from live cells for the analysis of dynamic processes. Here, in this paper, we report a microwell array format live-cell analysis device (LCAD) that can perform localized-electroporation induced membrane permeabilization, for cellular delivery or sampling, and directly interfaces with surface-based biosensors for analyzing the extracted contents. We demonstrate the capabilities of the LCAD via an automated high-throughput workflow for multimodal analysis of live-cell dynamics, consisting of quantitative measurements of enzyme activity using self-assembled monolayers for MALDI mass spectrometry (SAMDI) and deep-learning enhanced imaging and analysis. By combining a fabrication protocol that enables robust assembly and operation of multilayer devices with embedded gold electrodes and an automated imaging workflow, we successfully deliver functional molecules (plasmid and siRNA) into live cells at multiple time-points and track their effect on gene expression and cell morphology temporally. Furthermore, we report sampling performance enhancements, achieving saturation levels of protein tyrosine phosphatase activity measured from as few as 60 cells, and demonstrate control over the amount of sampled contents by optimization of electroporation parameters using a lumped model. Lastly, we investigate the implications of cell morphology on electroporation-induced sampling of fluorescent molecules using a deep-learning enhanced image analysis workflow.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Experiments to Measure the Inversion Point of the Isothermal Reactivity Coefficient in a Water-Moderated Pin-Fueled Critical Assembly at Sandia

A new set of critical experiments exploring the temperature-dependence of the reactivity in a critical assembly is described. In the experiments, the temperature of the critical assembly will be varied to determine the temperature that produces the highest reactivity in the assembly. This temperature is the inversion point of the isothermal reactivity coefficient of the assembly. An analysis of relevant configurations is presented. Existing measurements are described and an analysis of these experiments presented. The overall experimental approach is described as are the modifications to the critical assembly needed to perform the experiments.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Build Orientation Dependent Microstructure in Polymer Laser Sintering: Relationship to Part Performance and Evolution with Aging

Laser sintering (LS) is widely used to produce functional polymeric parts; however, the resulting parts are often limited by their porous structure, and performance of the part may be strongly anisotropic. Relating the structural features of parts to build process conditions or powder feedstock has been explored previously. In contrast, little is known regarding how the unique internal structures of LS parts evolve and relate to their performance later in their life cycle, for example, after use in a real-world operating environment. In this study, a tightly controlled LS build process and measurement campaign by standard X-ray computed tomography (XCT), supported by high-resolution synchrotron XCT, was used to benchmark the internal microstructure (e.g. porosity) as a function of four different build orientations in printed polyamide-12 (PA-12) parts. The initial performance of the parts after printing was characterized by tensile testing and dynamic mechanical analysis (DMA). Arrays of PA-12 parts in different build orientations were exposed to steam (under pressure) and air across multiple temperature and time points for the purposes of accelerated aging through oxidative and hydrolytic breakdown. Exposing parts to steam dramatically altered the internal microstructure and functional properties such as the glass transition temperature, tensile properties, and damping behavior. Notably, post-aging XCT revealed large microstructural changes after only 40 h of steam treatment relative to the as-printed specimens. Furthermore, pore reorganization and changes in crystallinity occurred regardless of whether the steam temperature was aggressive enough to induce a significant loss in mechanical properties. The build orientation dependence on the aging rate was minimal with the relative trend in performance persisting across most metrics among the different orientations even after aging.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Living on the edge: a non-perturbative resolution to the negativity of bulk entropies

Lin, Maldacena, Rozenberg, and Shan (LMRS) presented a new information paradox in black hole physics by noticing that the entanglement and Rényi entropies in a two-sided black hole can become negative when the geometry contains a very large number of matter excitations behind the black hole horizon. While originally this puzzle was presented in the context of BPS two-sided black holes in two-dimensional supergravity, the negativity in fact persists for more general two-sided black holes in the presence of a large number of matter excitations. Since the entanglement and Rényi entropies in ordinary quantum systems cannot be negative, resolving this puzzle is a necessary step towards understanding the quantum mechanical description of black holes. In this paper, we explain how to address the entanglement negativity puzzle, both in the original setting discussed by LMRS and in more general non-supersymmetric settings, by summing over all non-perturbative contributions to the gravitational path integral. We then interpret this result from the point of view of a dual matrix integral, which we use to extend our analysis beyond the regime of validity of the genus re-summation performed in the gravitational path integral. In this regime, positivity is rescued by new saddles of the matrix integral, a one-eigenvalue instanton and a two-eigenvalue instanton. Finally, we formulate a similar puzzle and its resolution using random tensor network techniques.

2D Gravity↗
DOE OSTI2024

Comparing net zero pathways across the Atlantic A model inter-comparison exercise between the Energy Modeling Forum 37 and the European Climate and Energy Modeling Forum

Europe and North America account for 32 % of current carbon emissions. Due to distinct legacy systems, energy infrastructure, socioeconomic development, and energy resource endowment, both regions have different policy and technological pathways to reach net zero by the mid-century. Against this background, our paper examines the results from the net zero emission scenarios for Europe and North America that emerged from the collaboration of the European and American Energy Modeling Forums. Here, in our analysis, we perform an inter-comparison of various integrated assessments and bottom-up energy system models. A clear qualitative consensus emerges on five main points. First, Europe and the United States reach net zero targets with electrification, demand-side reductions, and carbon capture and sequestration technologies. Second, the use of carbon capture and sequestration is more predominant in the United States due to a steeper decarbonization schedule. Third, the buildings sector is the easiest to electrify in both regions. Fourth, the industrial sector is the hardest to electrify in the United States and transportation in Europe. Fifth, in both regions, the transition in the energy mix is driven by the substitution of coal and natural gas with solar and wind, but to a different extent.

100 % renewables↗