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At least 127 records · Page 7

Sustainable Use of Groundwater May Dramatically Reduce Irrigated Production of Maize, Soybean, and Wheat

Groundwater extraction in the United States (US) is unsustainable, making it essential to understand the impacts of limited water use on irrigated agriculture. To improve this understanding, we integrated a gridded crop model with satellite observations, recharge estimates, and water survey data to assess the effects of sustainable groundwater withdrawals on US irrigated agricultural production. The gridded crop model agrees with satellite-based estimates of evapotranspiration (R2 = 0.68), as well as survey data from the United States Department of Agriculture (R2 = 0.82–0.94 for county-level production and 0.37–0.54 for county-level yield). Using the optimistic assumption that groundwater extraction equals effective aquifer recharge rate, we find that sustainable groundwater use decreases US irrigated production of maize, soybean, and winter wheat by 20%, 6%, and 25%, respectively. Using a more conservative assumption of groundwater availability, US irrigated production of maize, soybean, and winter wheat decreases by 45%, 37%, and 36%, respectively. The wide range of simulated losses is driven by considerable uncertainty in surface water and groundwater interactions, as well as accounting for the many aspects of sustainability. Our results demonstrate the vulnerability of US irrigated agriculture to unsustainable groundwater pumping, highlighting the difficulty of expanding or even maintaining irrigated food production in the face of climate change, population growth, and shifting dietary demands. These findings are based on reducing pumping by fallowing irrigated farmland; however, alternate pumping reduction strategies or technological advances in crop genetics and irrigation could produce different results.

sustainability↗

Combining Machine Learning and Numerical Simulation for High-Resolution PM2.5 Concentration Forecast

Forecasting ambient PM2.5 concentrations with spatiotemporal coverage is key to alerting decision-makers of pollution episodes and preventing detrimental public exposure, especially in regions with limited ground air monitoring stations. The existing methods either rely on chemical transport models (CTMs) to forecast spatial distribution of PM2.5 with nontrivial uncertainty or statistical algorithms to forecast PM2.5 concentration time-series at air monitoring locations without continuous spatial coverage. In this study, we developed a PM2.5 forecast framework by combining the robust Random Forest algorithm with a publicly accessible global CTM forecast product – NASA’s Goddard Earth Observing System “Composition Forecasting” (GEOS-CF), providing spatiotemporally continuous PM2.5 concentration forecasts for the next five days at a 1-km spatial resolution. Our forecast experiment was conducted for a region in Central China including the populous and polluted Fenwei Plain. The forecast for the next two days had overall validation R2 of 0.76 and 0.64, respectively; the R2 was around 0.5 for the following three forecast days. Spatial cross-validation showed similar validation metrics. Our forecast model, with validation normalized mean bias close to zero, substantially reduced the large biases in GEOS-CF. The proposed framework requires minimal computational resources compared to running CTMs at urban scales, enabling near-real-time PM2.5 forecast in resource-restricted environments.

PM2.5↗

Correlated Changes in Retinal Thickness and Visuomotor Function in Asymptomatic Plaquenil Toxicity Patients

We have previously shown that a 5-minute eye-movement test can capture a number of largely independent “oculometric” parameters of human visual/visuomotor function (Liston & Stone, 2014). This test has been successfully used to characterize mild neural impairment due to traumatic brain injury, sleep and circadian disruption, and alcohol consumption (Liston et al., 2017; Stone et al, 2019; Tyson et al, 2021). Here, we extend this approach to study patients at risk of progressive posterior-segment illness to see how oculometrics relate to standard clinical ophthalmological measures. Five female patients (<20:40 BCVA, 34-60 years old) undergoing hydroxychloroquine treatment (2-7mg/kg/day for 10-23 years for rheumatologic illness) have participated thus far. Under monocular viewing conditions in randomized order, they tracked a moving spot undergoing radial step-ramp motion in one of 90 randomized directions, at one of 5 randomized speeds, starting at random times (for details, see Stone et al, 2019). We computed nine independent oculometrics (latency, initial acceleration, steady-state gain, proportion smooth, saccadic rate, saccadic amplitude, direction noise, speed responsiveness, and speed noise). Spectral-domain optical coherence tomography (Zeiss, Dublin, CA) was used to measure the average thickness of the nine Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study macular sectors from the internal limiting membrane to the retinal pigmented epithelium. We used Pearson’s correlation between retinal thickness and our oculometrics with t-statistics to test separate one-sided hypotheses across 10 retinae. Our preliminary analysis found significant changes in several different aspects of visuomotor performance. Most notably, latency increased, initial acceleration decreased, and steady-state pursuit gain decreased as retinal thickness decreased (r2 = 0.364, 0.579, and 0.692; one-tailed P = 0.032, 0.005, and 0.001, respectively). Speed responsiveness appeared to decrease, but this effect was marginal for our current sample (r2 = 0.253, P = 0.069). Lastly, direction discrimination and saccadic behavior appeared unchanged. We conclude that oculometrics may provide sensitive measures of changes in retinal thickness. More importantly, oculometrics have the potential to detect impairment before it becomes evident with standard clinical imaging tools, while also providing insight into the behavioral implications of any resulting deficits in visual/visuomotor function.

eye movements↗

Spectrally Simplified Approach for Leveraging Legacy Geostationary Oceanic Observations

The use of multispectral geostationary satellites to study aquatic ecosystems improves the temporal frequency of observations and mitigates cloud obstruction, but no operational capability presently exists for the coastal and inland waters of the United States. The Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) on the current iteration of the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites, termed the R Series (GOES-R), however, provides sub-hourly imagery and the opportunity to overcome this deficit and to leverage a large repository of existing GOES-R aquatic observations. The fulfillment of this opportunity is assessed herein using a spectrally simplified, two-channel aquatic algorithm consistent with ABI wave bands to estimate the diffuse attenuation coefficient for photosynthetically available radiation, K(d)(PAR). First, an in situ ABI dataset was synthesized using a globally representative dataset of above- and in-water radiometric data products. Values of K(d)(PAR) were estimated by fitting the ratio of the shortest and longest visible wave bands from the in situ ABI dataset to coincident, in situ K(d)(PAR) data products. The algorithm was evaluated based on an iterative cross-validation analysis in which 80% of the dataset was randomly partitioned for fitting and the remaining 20% was used for validation. The iteration producing the median coefficient of determination (R2) value (0.88) resulted in a root mean square difference of 0.319 m−1, or 8.5% of the range in the validation dataset. Second, coincident mid-day images of central and southern California from ABI and from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) were compared using Google Earth Engine (GEE). GEE default ABI reflectance values were adjusted based on a near infrared signal. Matchups between the ABI and MODIS imagery indicated similar spatial variability (R2 = 0.60) between ABI adjusted blue-to-red reflectance ratio values and MODIS default diffuse attenuation coefficient for spectral downward irradiance at 490 nm, K(d)(490), values. This work demonstrates that if an operational capability to provide- ABI aquatic data products was realized, the spectral configuration of ABI would potentially support a sub-hourly, visible aquatic data product that is applicable to water-mass tracing and physical oceanography research.

Advanced Baseline Imager↗

Improving the MODIS LAI Compositing Using Prior Time-Series Information

The Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) long-term leaf area index (LAI) products have significantly contributed to global energy fluxes, climate change, and biogeochemistry research. However, the maximum fraction of photosynthetically active radiation absorbed by vegetation (Max-FPAR) compositing strategy of the Collection 6 (C6) products dictates that the main or backup algorithm is always triggered by observations of different quality, which indirectly causes the observed instability in the LAI time-series. Based on MODIS daily LAI retrievals, this study develops a prior knowledge time-series compositing algorithm (PKA) using a linear kernel driven (LKD) model. Our results show that the newly proposed PKA can significantly improve the LAI composites compared to the Max-FPAR strategy using ground-based observations for validation. We found that the PKA performs better than Max-FPAR in various aspects (different sites, seasons, and retrieval index (RI) ranges), with R2 increasing from 0.69 to 0.76 and root means square error (RMSE) decreasing from 1.01 to 0.84 compared to GBOV ground truth. The same improvement was shown for the ground truth LAIs measured at the Honghe and Hailun sites in northeastern China, with R2 increasing from 0.23 to 0.41 and RMSE decreasing from 1.27 to 1.25. In addition, three newly proposed temporal uncertainty metrics (time-series stability, TSS and time-series anomaly, TSA and reconstruction error metric, RE (the proximity to the main RT-based retrievals)) were applied to compare the stability of LAI time-series before and after PKA implementation. We found that the time series stability of PKA LAI was improved, the time series anomalies were reduced, and the retrieval rates of the main algorithm were also greatly enhanced compared to Max-FPAR LAI. A case intercomparison for Max-FPAR-MODIS, Max-FPAR-VIIRS (Visible Infrared Imager Radiometer Suite), and PKA-MODIS LAIs in the Amazon Forest region showed that the PKA is also effective in improving the LAI retrieval over large regions with few qualified observations due to poor atmospheric conditions (RE decreased from 2.37/2.35 (Max-FPAR-MODIS/Max-FPAR-VIIRS) to 2.25 (PKA-MODIS) and RI increased from 61.94%/59.62% to 66.88%). The same improvement was seen in the BELMANIP 2.1 sites for almost all biomes except deciduous broadleaf forest, where the RE decreased from 1.85/2.13 to 1.15 overall. We note that the PKA has the potential to be easily implemented in the operational algorithms of subsequent MODIS and MODIS-like LAI Collections.

MODIS↗

Reconstructing PM 2.5 Data Record for the Kathmandu Valley Using a Machine Learning Model

This paper presents a method for reconstructing the historical hourly concentrations of particulate matter 2.5 (PM2.5) over the Kathmandu Valley from 1980 to the present. The method uses a machine learning model that is trained using PM2.5 readings from US Embassy (Phora Durbar) as a ground truth, and the meteorological data from Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications v2 (MERRA2) as input. The Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model acquires a credible 10-fold cross-validation (CV) score of ~83.4%, an r2-score of ~84%, a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of ~15.82 µg/m3, and a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of ~10.27 µg/m3. Further demonstrating the model's applicability to years other than those for which truth values are unavailable, the multiple cross-test with an unseen data set offered r2-scores for 2018, 2019, and 2020 ranging from 56% to 67%. The model-predicted data agrees with true values and indicates that MERRA2 underestimates PM2.5 over the region. It strongly agrees with ground-based evidence showing substantially higher mass concentrations in the dry pre- and post-monsoon seasons than in the monsoon months. It also shows a strong anti-correlation between PM2.5 concentration and humidity. The results also demonstrate that none of the years fulfilled the annual mean air quality index (AQI) standards set by the World Health Organization (WHO).

machine learning↗

A Well-Defined Bipolar Outflow Shell

We report in this letter the results of a study of the massive bipolar outflow in the central region of the giant molecular cloud Monoceros R2.

bipolar outflow shell extended blue lobe of bipola↗

A simple, radially correlated ground state wavefunction for two electron atoms.

A one parameter function is presented as an approximation to the ground state wavefunction of the two electron radial hamiltonian. The parameter may be fixed by a nonvariational criterion. The resulting expectation value of the radial hamiltonian differs from its exact eigenvalue by about 2 parts in 3000 for helium while the 'local energy' never differs by more than 10% from the exact value over the entire r1-r2 plane. The cases Z = 1 and Z = 3 are also investigated.

Altick, P. L.↗

CO, CS, and HCN in a clustering of reflection nebulae in Monoceros

Observations are reported of the 2.6-mm line of CO from an extended region in Monoceros containing a complex of dust clouds as well as a group of reflection nebulae (Mon R2) and where a source of relatively strong millimeter emission from CS and HCN has been found. Lower limits are obtained for the CO and H2 column densities in this region, and five CO emission peaks are identified, each of which is approximately coincident with at least one reflection nebula. Around the position of the strongest peak, extended emission is observed from CS and HCN, suggesting the existence of a rotating core with an H2 density which corresponds to a mass of 5500 solar masses. The CO profiles in the direction of the strongest peak appear to show self-absorption, which may indicate a collapsing cloud.

Kutner, M. L.↗

Further observations of new sources in the AFCRL survey

Salient aspects of follow-up observations carried out on new sources discovered earlier in the AFCRL rocket IR sky survey are summarized. Ground-based searches, studies of class properties of the new AFCRL sources (galactic distribution, IR spectra, time variation), and closer examination of some 'unusual objects' are discussed. Brief descriptions are offered of some unusual objects: possible protostars, and specifically CRL 877; H2O masers in the Mon R2 cloud; the Egg Nebula (CRL 2688); CRL 618, with featureless IR spectrum and optical spectrum reminiscent of a planetary nebula; CRL 437 and other objects associated with multiple-reflection nebulae.

Kleinmann, S. G.↗

Infrared studies of star formation

Infrared observations at wavelengths of a few microns to 1 mm are reviewed which pertain to the problem of star formation. The data considered include observations of large gas and dust clouds within which stars may be forming and detailed studies of individual objects within these clouds. Stages of star formation are outlined, the IR luminosity of forming stars is examined, and criteria for selecting interstellar regions for IR studies are discussed along with the importance of dust in the IR energy distributions of star-formation regions. Detailed results, including IR maps, are evaluated for the Orion Molecular Cloud 1 (OMC-1), W3, OMC-2, Mon R2, RCW 57, M17, CRL 2591, and NGC 7538. Some general properties of star-formation regions are summarized, and observational techniques for IR astronomy are described. It is noted that the discovery of possible pre-main-sequence (PMS) objects in the densest central portions of larger clouds supports the generally accepted premise of gravitational collapse as the driving mechanism for the star-formation process and that the observed properties of possible PMS objects agree qualitatively with the predictions of detailed models based on gravitational collapse.

Werner, M. W.↗

Timesharing without synchronization

The capacity region of a multiple-access channel has recently been identified as the convex hull (barred K) of a certain set (K) of points in the first quadrant of the (R1,R2) plane. For a pair of rates in K, a more or less standard random-coding argument can be used to show the existence of a good pair of codes. But for points in barred K-K, it is apparently necessary for the two senders to use some form of time sharing to achieve the desired rates. However, in order to share time, at least one of the senders must have knowledge of the other's phase; and in many practical situations this knowledge does not exist. This paper investigates the problems which arise in coding for multiple-access channels when the senders cannot synchronize with each other.

Mceliece, R. J.↗

Observations of five moderate-luminosity far-infrared sources in Orion and Monoceros

Far-infrared and submillimeter observations of Orion Molecular Cloud-2 (OMC-2), OMC-1, OMC-3, NGC 2024 and Monoceros R2 are reported. The areas surveyed include far-infrared sources with luminosities between 100 and 250,000 solar luminosities. The data are employed to estimate masses and column densities for the radiating clouds, the radial dependence of the density in the clouds, and the masses of the stellar clusters. Brightness temperatures of both the extended and compact far-infrared sources in OMC-2 are found to be lower than the brightness temperature of the extended (C-12)O emission, indicating an important role in (C-12)O heating for stars external to the compact center.

Thronson, H. A., Jr.↗

Enhancement of the jets in NGC 1097

Plates of NGC 1097 taken in four spectral bands have been digitized and processed at JPL's Image Processing Laboratory. The processing has revealed that (1) there is a fourth jet, R4, counter to the L-shaped jet, R1; (2) the area density of point sources in the jets is no different from that found on the sky; (3) two of the jets, R1 and R2, are bluer than the night sky, while one of the jets, R3, is redder than the night sky; (4) the nonstellar objects situated on the jets are noticeably bluer than the night sky; and (5) color-enhanced images of the spiral structure illustrate the distribution of both gaseous and spiral-arm stellar population disrupted from symmetry by an apparent companion elliptical.

Lorre, J. J.↗

Development of SiAlON materials

Cold pressing and sintering techniques were used to produce ceramic test specimens in which the major phase was either Si3N4 or a solid solution having the beta Si3N4 structure. Additional components were incorporated to promote liquid phase sintering. Glass and/or crystalline phase were consequently retained in boundaries between Si3N4 grains which largely determined the physical properties of the bodies. Systems investigated most extensively included R-Si-Al-O-N (R = rare earth element) Zr-Si-Al-O-N, Y-Si-Be-O-N, and R1-R2-Si-O-N. Room temperature and 1370 C modulus of ruptured, 1370 C creep, and oxidation behavior are discussed in terms of phase relationships in a parent quinery, and relavent oxide systems.

Layden, G. K.↗

Far-infrared lasing in ruby

The feasibility of submillimeter wavelength (870 GHz) lasing in Al2O3 is discussed. The proposed scheme is based on the pumping of the 2A level of ruby via a ruby laser operating on its R2 line. Lasing is expected on the 2A to E transition of the split E-2 level.

Lawandy, N. M.↗

Echelle efficiencies - Theory and experiment

The effect of one echelle spectrograph design factor, orientation of the incident light bundle, is examined. Comparison of theoretical calculations and experimental measurements of echelle grating efficiencies are given for R2 echelles used in three possible configurations: alpha greater than beta, alpha smaller than beta, and the quasi-Littrow mode. The throughput-resolution products for these various cases are also compared.

Schroeder, D. J.↗

Temperatures of galactic molecular clouds showing CO self-absorption

The CO J = 2-1 line has been observed and, in most cases, mapped in 10 star-forming molecular clouds (W3, NGC 1333, NGC 2071, Mon R2, CRL 961, Rho Oph, W49N, W51A, DR 21, and Cep A). The CO J = 3-2 line has been observed in W3 and DR 21. The CO lines from all these sources are strongly self-absorbed. By comparing the present results with published CO(1-0) line profiles, it is found that large corrections to the temperatures of the cloud cores, as measured by the CO(1-0) lines, are required. The corrections for self-absorption bring the CO brightness temperatures into closer agreement with the grain temperatures inferred from far-IR photometry.

Phillips, T. G.↗