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At least 127 records · Page 7

SOLPRO: A computer code to calculate probabilistic energetic solar proton fluences

A code was developed for the calculation of interplanetary solar proton fluences at 1 AU for the active years 1977 to 1983. The fluences are presented as functions of mission duration tau, energy threshold E, and confidence level Q. For a given combination of tau and Q, the routine determines whether ordinary or anomalously large events are to be considered, and in the latter case, the number of anomalously large events that are predicted by probabilistic theory for the specified mission duration. The code is described in detail. A listing and sample calculations are included.

Stassinopoulos, E. G.↗

The influence of the Earth's magnetosphere on the high-energy solar protons

In the Earth's polar regions the intensity of the solar protons with the energy above the critical energy of geomagnetic cutoff is the same as in the interplanetary space. The penumbra in the polar regions is small and the East-West effect is also small. However the geomagnetic cutoff rigidity R sub c in polar regions is difficult to calculate because it is not sufficient to include only the internal sources of the geomagnetic field. During the magneto-quiescent periods the real value of R sub c can be less by 0.1 GV than the calculated value because of the external sources. During the geomagnetic storms the real value of R sub c is still lower.

Bazilevskaya, G. A.↗

The Effect of Solar Proton Events on Ozone and Other Constituents in the Middle Atmosphere

Solar proton events (SPEs) can result in increases in both HO(x) (H, OH, HO2) and NO(x) (N, NO, NO2) constituents in the middle atmosphere polar region (>60 degrees geomagnetic). FlO(x) constituents produced by SPEs caused decreases in mesospheric and upper stratospheric ozone observed during several events. Recent SPEs in July and November of 2000 caused ozone decreases of over 30 percent during the event as measured by UARS HALOE and NOAA 14 SBUV/2. These HO(x)-driven ozone depletions last only during the SPEs (several hours to a few days) because of the short lifetimes of HO(x) constituents in the atmosphere. The NO(x) species feed into the entire odd nitrogen family NO(y) (N, NO, NO2, NO3, N2O5, HNO,14NO4, CIONO2, BrONO2) over a period of hours to weeks. The NO(y) family lasts several months or more in the stratosphere with low sun conditions. The two largest SPEs in the past 30 years, October 1989 and August 1972, caused polar stratospheric ozone depletions >10 percent for weeks past the events. The SPE in July 2000, third largest in 30 years, was measured by NOAA 14 SBUV/2 to decrease ozone by several percent for days past the event. Enhancements in mesospheric NO(x) of over 50 ppbv were also measured by UARS HALOE during this event. A review of the influence of SPEs on ozone and other constituents in the middle atmosphere will be given in this talk.

Jackman, Charles H.↗

The Influence of the Several Very Large Solar Proton Events in Years 2000-2003 on the Neutral Middle Atmosphere

Solar proton events (SPEs) are known to have caused changes in constituents in the Earth's polar neutral middle atmosphere. The past four years, 2000-2003, have been replete with SPEs and huge fluxes of high energy protons occurred in July and November 2000, September and November 2001, and October 2003. The highly energetic protons produce ionizations, excitations, dissociations, and dissociative ionizations of the background constituents, which lead to the production of HOx (H, OH, HO2) and NOy (N, NO, NO2, NO3, N2O5, HNO3, HO2NO2, ClONO2, BrONO2). The HOx increases lead to short-lived ozone decreases in the polar mesosphere and upper stratosphere due to the short lifetimes of the HOx constituents. Large mesospheric ozone depletions (>70%) due to the HOx enhancements were observed and modeled as a result of the very large July 2000 SPE. The NOy increases lead to long-lived stratospheric ozone changes because of the long lifetime of the NOy family in this region. Polar total ozone depletions >1% were simulated in both hemispheres for extended periods of time (several months) as a result of the NOy enhancements due to the very large SPEs.

Jackman, Charles H.↗

Solar proton fluences for 1977-1983 space missions

The probability with which any given solar proton fluence level will be exceeded during a space mission is computed for mission to be flown during the active phase of the next solar cycle (1977-1983). This probability is a function of fluence level, proton energy threshold, and mission duration. Calculations are based on 1966-1972 data only. In estimating mission fluences, a distinction is made between ordinary and anomalously large events. Probable numbers of each type of event are estimated from Burrell's extension of Poisson statistics. Fluences of all anomalously large events are assumed to have a spectrum given by the August 1972 event, while fluences of the ordinary events are assumed to obey a log normal distribution.

King, J. H.↗

Anisotropy measurements of nearly 50 KeV solar protons

The Energetic Particles Experiment on IMP-7 measures the angular distribution of 50-200 keV solar protons in 16 sectors. The velocity of 50 keV protons may be less than 5 times that of the solar wind. A generalized nonlinear Compton-Getting point transformation into the co-moving frame that contains no assumptions as to the angular distribution of either the spectrum or intensity is presented. Nearly 50 keV proton data in the spacecraft frame exhibit an anisotropy ratio that is large (not less than 5) and radial throughout the October 29, 1972 event lasting more than 9 days at this energy. This anisotropy argues against impulsive injection and diffusive decay in the inner solar system. Application of the transformation to the data reveals a long lasting residual anisotropy in the co-moving frame with protons streaming from the sun. Differences between the co-moving frame and solar wind frame velocities suggest residual electric fields upstream from the bow shock.

Gold, R. E.↗

Anisotropies in the interplanetary intensity of solar protons with energies greater than 0.3 MeV.

By using Explorer 35 interplanetary observations of solar protons with energies greater than 0.3 MeV during ten selected solar events (1967-1970) the tine dependence of intensity and of the angular distribution of intensity has been studied for the first time in the sub-MeV range of energy. The respective contributions of diffusive and convective transport are resolved. Results are qualitatively similar to those of McCracken et al. (1968, 1971) in the energy range from 7.5to 45 MeV; but, as was expected, convective transport is found to be relatively more important at the lower energies. The convective component of the anisotropy vector yields values of the solar wind velocity in good agreement with directly measured values.

Innanen, W. G.↗

Time Exceedances for High Intensity Solar Proton Fluxes

A model is presented for times during a space mission that specified solar proton flux levels are exceeded. This includes both total time and continuous time periods during missions. Results for the solar maximum and solar minimum phases of the solar cycle are presented and compared for a broad range of proton energies and shielding levels. This type of approach is more amenable to reliability analysis for spacecraft systems and instrumentation than standard statistical models.

Xapsos, Michael A.↗

Solar proton effects on austral ozone during the final months of 1989

Intense solar activity during 1989 prompted six major particle events. Four of these occurred between August and December. Energetic solar protons are a natural source of ozone depletion due to the nitric oxides they produce in the polar atmospheres. In particular, modelling (Reid et al., 1991) of an event that peaked on October 20 (with greater than 10 MeV proton flux of 73000 particles sq cm s(exp -1) ster(exp -1) yields 55 percent column density enhancements of NO over the southern polar cap. Total column ozone data from the total ozone ,mapping spectrometer (TOMS) instrument aboard the Nimbus 7 satellite used at times when solar illumination facilitates measurements by TOMS over the entire southern polar regions. The impact of odd nitrogen enhancements on the spatial extent of low total column ozone and of the total ozone mass, over a region August to December. Comparisons are made with previous years (1984 to 1988) of moderate solar activity. The effect, if any, of these events on ozone during times of heterogeneous chlorine chemistry and dynamic processes is discussed.

Stephenson, Judy A. E.↗

Time Exceedances for High Intensity Solar Proton Fluxes

A new model is presented for the total time during a space mission that specified solar proton flux levels are exceeded. It is applicable to any time period during the solar cycle and covers a broad proton energy range for both shielded and unshielded conditions.

Xapsos, Michael A.↗

Stratospheric ozone response to a solar proton event - Hemispheric asymmetries

Large-scale stratospheric ozone reduction due to precipitating energetic solar protons is examined, based on the backscattered ultraviolet experiment on the Nimbus 4 satellite during the 1972 solar flare. Some chemical equations for the processes are outlined. Distinct asymmetries in the columnar ozone content, the amount of ozone depression, and their temporal variation above 4 mb level (about 38 km) were observed between the two hemispheres. These asymmetries are ascribed to the differences mainly in dynamics and partly in the solar illumination and the vertical temperature structure between the summer and the winter polar atmospheres.

Maeda, K.↗

Monte Carlo calculations of relativistic solar proton propagation in interplanetary space

Particle fluxes and pitch angle distributions of relativistic solar protons at 1 AU were determined by Monte Carlo calculations. The analysis covers two hours after the release of the particles from the Sun and total of eight 100000 particle trajectories were simulated. The pitch angle scattering was assumed to be isotropic ad the scattering mean free path was varied from 0.1 to 4 AU. As an application, the solar injection time and interplanetary scattering mean free path of particles that gave rise to the GLE on May, 1978 were determined. Assuming exponential form, the injection decay time was found to be about 11 minutes. The m.f.p. of pitch angle scattering during the event was about 1 AU.

Lumme, M.↗

Mars surface radiation exposure for solar maximum conditions and 1989 solar proton events

The Langley heavy-ion/nucleon transport code, HZETRN, and the high-energy nucleon transport code, BRYNTRN, are used to predict the propagation of galactic cosmic rays (GCR's) and solar flare protons through the carbon dioxide atmosphere of Mars. Particle fluences and the resulting doses are estimated on the surface of Mars for GCR's during solar maximum conditions and the Aug., Sep., and Oct. 1989 solar proton events. These results extend previously calculated surface estimates for GCR's at solar minimum conditions and the Feb. 1956, Nov. 1960, and Aug. 1972 solar proton events. Surface doses are estimated with both a low-density and a high-density carbon dioxide model of the atmosphere for altitudes of 0, 4, 8, and 12 km above the surface. A solar modulation function is incorporated to estimate the GCR dose variation between solar minimum and maximum conditions over the 11-year solar cycle. By using current Mars mission scenarios, doses to the skin, eye, and blood-forming organs are predicted for short- and long-duration stay times on the Martian surface throughout the solar cycle.

Simonsen, Lisa C.↗

PPS76: A computerized event mode solar proton forecasting technique

A procedure was developed to generate a computerized time intensity profile of the solar proton intensity expected at the Earth after the occurrence of a significant solar flares on the Sun. A combination of many pieces of independent research and theoretical results are included. A construction of selected experimental and theoretical results from the entire domain of solar terrestrial physics is given.

Smart, D. F.↗