SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Space Applications”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

SourceResearch connectionFrom yearThrough year

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 127 records · Page 7

All sources NASA NTRS DOE OSTI

DOE OSTI2024

Evaluation of GlassNet for physics-informed machine learning of glass stability and glass-forming ability

Glassy materials form the basis of many modern applications, including nuclear waste immobilization, touch-screen displays, and optical fibers, and also hold great potential for future medical and environmental applications. However, their structural complexity and large composition space make design and optimization challenging for certain applications. Of particular importance for glass processing and design is an estimate of a given composition's glass-forming ability (GFA). However, there remain many open questions regarding the underlying physical mechanisms of glass formation, especially in oxide glasses. It is apparent that a proxy for GFA would be highly useful in glass processing and design, but identifying such a surrogate property has proven itself to be difficult. While glass stability (GS) parameters have historically been used as a GFA surrogate, recent research has demonstrated that most of these parameters are not accurate predictors of the GFA of oxide glasses. Here, in this work, we explore the application of an open-source pre-trained neural network model, GlassNet, that can predict the characteristic temperatures necessary to compute GS with reasonable performance and assess the feasibility of using these physics-informed machine learning (PIML)-predicted GS parameters to estimate GFA. In doing so, we track the uncertainties at each step of the computation—from the original ML prediction errors to the compounding of errors during GS estimation, and finally to the final estimation of GFA. While GlassNet exhibits reasonable accuracy on all individual properties, we observe a large compounding of error in the combination of these individual predictions for the PIML prediction of GS, finding that random forest models offer similar accuracy to GlassNet. We also break down the performance of GlassNet on different glass families and find that the error in GS prediction is correlated with the error in crystallization peak temperature prediction. Lastly, we utilize this finding to assess the relationship between top-performing GS parameters and GFA for two ternary glass systems: sodium borosilicate and sodium iron phosphate glasses. We conclude that to obtain true ML predictive capability of GFA, significantly more data needs to be collected.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Direction of impact for explainable risk assessment modeling

Abstract Several graphical indicators have been recently introduced to help analysts visualize the marginal effects of inputs in complex models. The insights derived from such tools may help decision‐makers and risk analysts in designing interventions. However, we know little about the adequacy and consistency of different indicators. This work investigates popular marginal effect indicators to understand whether they yield indications consistent with the properties of the quantitative model under inspection. Specifically, we examine the notions of monotonicity, Lipschitz, and concavity consistency. Surprisingly, only PD functions satisfy all these notions of consistency. However, when selecting the indicators, in addition to consistency, analysts need to consider the risk of model extrapolation. For situations where such risk is under control, we utilize individual conditional expectations together with PD plots. Two applications, on a NASA space risk assessment model and a susceptible exposed infected recovered (SEIR) model for the COVID‐19 pandemic illustrate the insights obtained from these indicators.

Mathematical Methods In Social Sciences↗

DOE OSTI2026

Seismic Recovery of Acoustic Source Height During the OSIRIS-REx Sample Return Capsule Re-Entry

Controlled hypersonic reentries with well‐constrained trajectories are exceedingly rare, yet they provide valuable reference cases for validating geophysical source characterization methods applicable to bolides and space debris. The 24 September 2023 re‐entry of the OSIRIS‐REx Sample Return Capsule, the first interplanetary capsule to return over the contiguous United States in nearly two decades, presented such an opportunity. Here, we present seismic observations of this event recorded at 16 stations across three sites at ground distances of 7–20 km from the trajectory. Using eigenray tracing through ground‐to‐space atmospheric specifications, we invert picked acoustic‐to‐seismic travel times for effective shock‐generated acoustic source altitudes along the known trajectory. The method recovers source heights of 57.9–59.5 km with travel‐time residuals <1 s across all stations. The seismic‐derived source heights, when compared at their along‐track positions, fall within the range of previously published infrasound‐derived heights for the corresponding trajectory segment, with intermethod differences comparable with the timing‐based uncertainty. These results suggest that air‐to‐ground coupling does not introduce a resolvable systematic timing bias in the picked near‐field seismic arrivals, supporting seismic observations as a complementary tool for altitude estimation of bolides, re‐entry vehicles, and other hypersonic atmospheric sources.

Silber, Elizabeth Allaryce [Sandia National Labora↗

DOE OSTI2024

Molten Salt Electrodeposition: Review

Molten salt electrodeposition is the process of producing impressively dense deposits of refractory metals using the electrolysis of molten salts. However, predicting which electrochemical parameters and setup will best control different kinds of deposition (density, homogeneity, etc.) is an ongoing challenge, due to our limited understanding of the properties and mechanisms that drive molten salt electrodeposition. Because these advancements have been made rapidly and in different arenas, it is worth taking the time to stop and assess the progress of the field as a whole. These advancements have increasing relevance for the energy sector, the development of space materials and engineering applications. In this review, we assess four critical facets of this field: (1) how the current understanding of process variables enhances the electrodeposition of various molten salts and the quality of the resulting product; (2) how the electrochemical setup and the process parameters (e.g., cell reactions) are known to impact the electrodeposition of different metal coatings and refractory-metal coatings; (3) the benefits and drawbacks of non-aqueous molten salt electrodeposition, and (4) promising future avenues of research. The aim of this work is to enhance our understanding of the many procedures and variables that have been developed to date. The expectation is that this review will act as a stimulant, motivating scientists to delve further into the investigation of refractory-metal alloys by utilizing molten salt electrodeposition.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2025

Graph reinforcement learning for exploring model spaces beyond the standard model

We present a methodology for performing scans of beyond the standard model (BSM) parameter spaces with reinforcement learning. We identify a novel procedure using graph neural networks that is capable of exploring spaces of models without the user specifying a fixed particle content, allowing broad classes of BSM models to be explored—in theory, the technique is applicable to nearly any model space with a prespecified gauge group. We provide a generic procedure by which a suitable graph grammar can be developed for any BSM model that features user-specified symmetry groups and a finite number of different possible particle species, the use of which is applicable to a variety of machine learning tasks over the actions of BSM theories beyond our particular reinforcement learning use case. As a proof of concept, we construct the graph grammar for theories with vectorlike leptons that may or may not be charged under a dark U ( 1 ) group, inspired by portal matter extensions of the sub-GeV vector portal/kinetic mixing simplified dark matter models. We then use this graph grammar to create a reinforcement learning environment tasked with creating models with these vectorlike leptons that are consistent with a list of a variety of precision observables. The reinforcement learning agent succeeds in developing models that can address the observed muon anomalous magnetic moment discrepancy while remaining consistent with flavor violation and electroweak precision observables, including both constructions that have previously been studied as well as new models that have not, to our knowledge, previously been identified. By inspecting the resulting ensembles of models that the agent produces and experimenting with different configurations for our reinforcement learning environment and graph grammar, we also infer various lessons about the development of these environments that can be transferable to reinforcement learning scans of more complicated model spaces and comment on future directions for the development of this technique into a more mature tool. Published by the American Physical Society 2025

Wojcik, George N.↗

DOE OSTI2026

Quantitative Analysis of the Semiconductor–Electrolyte Interface Using Cyclic Voltammetry Measurements

Small changes in the chemical potential at a semiconductor interface can result in dramatic changes to the space-charge layer that underpins applications in the electronic and photovoltaic industries as well as in photoelectrochemical cells for fuel production. There has hence been great interest in techniques that directly probe the space-charge layer, yet many fail at the semiconductor–electrolyte interface due to the potential drop in the electric double-layer region of the electrolyte. This article demonstrates that photovoltages, obtained from straightforward cyclic voltammetry measurements, provide an experimental and quantitative approach for characterizing the semiconductor–electrolyte interface. Key parameters accessible through this approach include the flat-band potential ( E fb ), the fraction of the total potential that drops across the space-charge layer (γ sc ) and the electric double layer, as well as the surface recombination lifetime (τ s ). Here, we report photovoltage measurements for p -type Si(111) photoelectrodes in contact with electrolytes containing redox-active species with a range of known reduction potentials that exceed the 1.1 eV bandgap. In tetrabutylammonium [NBu 4 ] + electrolyte, the flat-band potential determined for hydrogen-terminated ( p -Si–H), methyl-terminated ( p -Si–CH 3 ), and chemically oxidized ( p -Si–cSiO x ) surfaces were −0.02, −0.31, and 0.30 V vs Fc +/0 , respectively, agreeing well with expected shifts arising from surface dipole modifications. The quantitative analysis also reveals that 67% of the applied bias drops across the space-charge layer for p -Si–H, 73% for p -Si–CH 3 , and only 44% for p -Si–cSiO x . The remaining potential drop is attributed to the interfacial surface layer, which consists of a molecular dipole or oxide overlayer, and the Helmholtz layer within the electrolyte. When the larger [NBu 4 ] + electrolyte was replaced with Li + , the flat-band position showed minimal changes, but the fraction of the potential drop across the space-charge layer increased significantly, consistent with the small cation altering the structure of the electric double layer.

electrolytes↗

DOE OSTI2026

Data Center High-Temperature Liquid Cooling and Heat Reuse Techno-Economic Study: Preprint

Data centers are energy-intensive facilities with growing demands for efficiency and cost-effective operations. Smaller, more distributed edge inference data centers are expected to proliferate as AI applications require low latency closer to the user of AI tools, which presents a growing opportunity to explore the systems implications of liquid cooling on water and energy use. This study analyzes the implementation of high-temperature liquid cooling systems in a prototypical inference 1-MW data center and explores the potential for heat reuse across varying climates with a goal to optimize energy efficiency, reduce capital and operational costs, and identify opportunities for high-performance cooling and water use reduction infrastructure. This analysis evaluated configurations utilizing a peak day hourly sizing and systems performance spreadsheet to evaluate design and operational conditions from which component sizes, installed cost, operational cost, and performance metrics were determined for the Base case and the Elevated case. The techno-economic analysis included heat reuse applications across a range of heat recovery temperatures and heat rejection options. The analysis shows that high-temperature liquid cooling allows for improved energy efficiency, lower water consumption, and lower capital costs compared to traditional cooling approaches. Transitioning to elevated water inlet/outlet temperatures (50 degrees C/60 degrees C) eliminates the need for chillers, cooling towers, and heat recovery equipment in many scenarios across three distinct climate zones. This results in up to 75% capital cost savings for the cooling and heat recovery equipment, and with significantly reduced water consumption, especially in non-heat reuse applications. Heat generated from data centers can also be repurposed for space heating, domestic hot water, and other applications, and is most cost-effective when data center outlet temperatures exceed 55-60 degrees C.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Review of Medium-Mn, Low-Density Steels for Transportation Applications

Low-density steels constitute a broad and complex alloy space (Fe–Mn–Al–C) suitable for a variety of applications. In particular, there has been growing interest in duplex (ferrite + austenite) or multiphase (+ martensite, carbides) low-density steels as a lightweight, advanced high-strength steel (AHSS) for vehicle applications, spurred by extensive decarbonization efforts. Medium-Mn (med-Mn) (3 to 12 wt pct) steels with 3.5 to 10 wt pct Al additions have decreased densities, presenting an interesting opportunity for high-specific strength, intrusion-resistant, and energy-absorbing sheet components with reduced alloying contents compared to high-Mn grades like austenitic Fe–Mn–Al–C or twinning-induced plasticity steels. Compared to leaner med-Mn steels, the physical metallurgy of med-Mn, low-density steels (MMLS) is complex and distinguished by increased δ-ferrite fractions and austenite stacking fault energies, decreased martensite start temperatures, and modified phase transformation windows. Mechanical properties of MMLS are comparable to 3rd generation AHSS, attributable to the unique, multiphase microstructures, and the array of strengthening mechanisms that can be accessed. Despite this, challenges and unknowns remain with respect to their industrial implementation, and new processing routes may need to be developed. Here, this review aims to highlight the composition effects, processing methods, microstructural evolution, deformation behavior, and application properties geared toward manufacturing and performance, altogether assessing the potential of MMLS for transportation applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

ELECTRONIC STRUCTURE METHODS AND PROTOCOLS WITH APPLICATION TO DYNAMICS, KINETICS AND THERMOCHEMISTRY

Hydrocarbon combustion involves the reaction dynamics of a tremendous number of species beginning with many-component fuel mixtures and proceeding via a complex system of intermediates to form primary and secondary products. Combustion conditions corresponding to new advanced engines and/or alternative fuels rely increasingly on autoignition and low-temperature-combustion chemistry. In these regimes various transient radical species such as HO2, ROO·, ·QOOH, HCO, NO2, HOCO, and Criegee intermediates play important roles in determining the detailed as well as more general dynamics. A clear understanding and accurate representation of these processes is needed for effective modeling. Given the difficulties associated with making reliable experimental measurements of these systems, computation can play an important role in developing these energy technologies. Accurate calculations have their own challenges since even within the simplest dynamical approximations such as transition state theory, the rates depend exponentially on critical barrier heights and these may be sensitive to the level of quantum chemistry. Moreover, it is well-known that in many cases it is necessary to go beyond statistical theories and consider the dynamics. Quantum tunneling, resonances, radiative transitions, and non-adiabatic effects governed by spin-orbit or derivative coupling can be determining factors in those dynamics. Building upon progress made during a period of prior support through the DOE Early Career Program, this project combines developments in the areas of potential energy surface (PES) fitting and multistate multireference quantum chemistry to allow spectroscopically and dynamically/kinetically accurate investigations of key molecular systems (such as those mentioned above), many of which are radicals with strong multireference character and have the possibility of multiple electronic states contributing to the observed dynamics. An ongoing area of investigation is to develop general strategies for robustly convergent electronic structure theory for global multichannel reactive surfaces including diabatization of energy and other relevant surfaces such as dipole transition. Combining advances in ab initio methods with automated interpolative PES fitting allows the construction of high-quality PESs (incorporating thousands of high-level data) to be done rapidly through parallel processing on high-performance computing (HPC) clusters. In addition, new methods and approaches to electronic structure theory will be developed and tested through applications. This project will explore limitations in traditional multireference calculations (e.g., MRCI) such as those imposed by internal contraction, lack of high-order correlation treatment and poor scaling. Methods such as DMRG-based extended active-space CASSCF and various Quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) methods will be applied (including VMC/DMC and FCIQMC). Insight into the relative significance of different orbital spaces and the robustness of application of these approaches on leadership class computing architectures will be gained. Synergy with other components of this research program such as automated PES fitting and multireference quantum chemistry will be used to address challenges encountered by the standard approaches to computational thermochemistry (those being single-reference quantum chemistry and perturbative treatments of the anharmonic vibrational energy, which break down for some cases of electronic structure or floppy strongly coupled vibrational modes).

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Study of a High-speed Outer Rotor Burst Containing Enclosure

The increasing demand for high-speed electric machines in many applications pushes the development of high-power density electric motors. Outer rotor motors, which can be designed with a larger airgap diameter than inner rotor motors for the same overall diameter and, therefore, provide higher torque, distinguish themselves in space-constrained but high torque applications. However, increasing the motor speed and diameter results in significant centrifugal loads for the outer rotor motor due to its higher airgap diameter. Additional attention must be paid at the design stage to consider the extreme situation of possible mechanical failure, such as the sudden burst of the high-speed rotating parts in the motor, and measures must be taken to prevent their damage to other system components in advance. Through the finite element dynamic impact analysis, we studied the damage caused by broken parts on the inner wall of the electric motor housing when the motor rotates at 20,000 RPM. The proposed method is expected to provide reasonable recommendations of the enclosure material and its thickness required to protect other components in the same powertrain system when the high-power density motor fails unexpectedly.

Lin, Lianshan↗

DOE OSTI2026

Velocity-space Origins of the Pressure–Strain Interaction in Multipopulation Distributions and Its Application to Magnetic Reconnection

A forefront research question is how energy evolves in weakly collisional plasmas for which departures from local thermodynamic equilibrium (LTE) are significant. The standard approach is studying the terms in the non-LTE energy evolution equation derived by taking the second moment of the Boltzmann equation, but the resultant fluid metrics do not retain information about which particles at which velocities drive energy evolution. A widely studied channel for internal energy density evolution is the pressure–strain interaction. Here, we employ the kinetic pressure–strain, a phase-space diagnostic whose velocity-space integral recovers the pressure–strain interaction to disambiguate the contributions to the pressure–strain interaction from disparate particle populations in composite phase-space densities. We develop phase-space analogs of the pressure–strain interaction decompositions to provide the phase-space origins of normal versus sheared flow. We introduce the “kinetic strain-rate” tensor, the phase-space analog of the strain-rate tensor, which we argue is needed to interpret the phase-space origins of the pressure–strain interaction. To demonstrate the utility of these quantities, we investigate them for composite electron distributions near the electron diffusion region in two-dimensional particle-in-cell simulations of antiparallel symmetric magnetic reconnection. We find that the phase-space-based diagnostics isolate the roles of distinct populations. These results contribute to a growing body of work providing new methods for quantifying phase-space energy evolution for a broad array of processes, from magnetic reconnection to collisionless shocks and turbulence, opening new pathways for answering longstanding problems of particle energization in weakly collisional plasmas.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Deployment of neural-network-based neutron microscopic cross sections in the Griffin reactor physics application

The capability to utilize neural networks to predict macroscopic and microscopic cross section parametric spaces has been developed for the Griffin reactor physics application. The LibTorch interface enables Griffin's MOOSE-based materials to interact with LibTorch-trained models, allowing for the evaluation of complex macroscopic or microscopic cross section spaces, which are then used to evaluate the neutronic properties of the Griffin finite element model. This study benchmarks traditional ISOXML-formatted tabulation libraries against neural network-based models for 279 nuclides on 20,160 grid points for zero-dimensional and two-dimensional reactor models. Benchmark metrics include the fundamental mode eigenvalue, fission and absorption rates, and various temperature coefficients of reactivity (isothermal, fuel, and moderator). From the perspective of storage space, the complete set of LibTorch models uses 11 MB on disk, compared to the 10 GB for the ISOXML multigroup library that covers the same grid space. For the two-dimensional performance case considered in Griffin, the Torch model uses 97% less RAM than the reference ISOXML dataset while runtime increases by a factor of 3 when using the LibTorch model compared to the ISOXML dataset with multi-linear interpolation. The LibTorch model consistently yields errors within 0.01% for most analyzed quantities except for the temperature coefficients of reactivity where the maximum discrepancies are up to 0.3 $\frac{pcm}{K}$. Due to the neural network attempting to best predict quantities with no regard for a positive or negative bias for any given quantity, predictions may experience random fluctuations, resulting in both positive and negative errors. Future work will entail both depletion and coupled transient analysis to determine the predictive capabilities of Griffin with neural network-based cross sections.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Generative diffusion model surrogates for mechanistic agent-based biological models

Mechanistic, multicellular, agent-based models are commonly used to investigate tissue, organ, and organism-scale biology at single-cell resolution. The Cellular-Potts Model (CPM) is a powerful and popular framework for developing and interrogating these models. CPMs become computationally expensive at large space- and time- scales making application and investigation of developed models difficult. Surrogate models may allow for the accelerated evaluation of CPMs of complex biological systems. However, the stochastic nature of these models means each set of parameters may give rise to different model configurations, complicating surrogate model development. In this work, we leverage denoising diffusion probabilistic models (DDPMs) to train a generative AI surrogate of a CPM used to investigate in vitro vasculogenesis. We describe the use of an image classifier to learn the characteristics that define unique areas of a 2-dimensional parameter space. We then apply this classifier to aid in surrogate model selection and verification. Our CPM model surrogate generates model configurations 20,000 timesteps ahead of a reference configuration and demonstrates approximately a 22x reduction in computational time as compared to native code execution. Our work represents a step towards the implementation of DDPMs to develop digital twins of stochastic biological systems.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

ML-driven Strong Lens Discoveries: Down to θ E ~ $0^{_{''}}_{^.}03$ and M halo < 10 11 M ⊙

We present results on extending the strong lens discovery space down to much smaller Einstein radii ( θ E ≲ $0^{_{''}}_{^.}03$) and much lower halo mass (M halo < 10 11 M ⊙ ) through the combination of JWST observations and machine learning (ML) techniques. First, we forecast detectable strong lenses with JWST using CosmoDC2 as the lens catalog, and a source catalog down to 29th magnitude. By further incorporating the VELA hydrodynamical simulations of high-redshift galaxies, we simulate strong lenses. We train a ResNet on these images, achieving near-100% completeness and purity for “conventional” strong lenses ( θ E ≳ $0^{_{''}}_{^.}05$), applicable to JWST, the Hubble Space Telescope (HST), the Roman Space Telescope, and Euclid VIS. For the first time, we also search for very low halo mass strong lenses (M halo < 10 11 M ⊙ ) in simulations, with θ E << $0^{_{''}}_{^.}05$, down to the best resolution ($0^{_{''}}_{^.}03$) and depth (10,000 s) limits of JWST using ResNet. A U-Net model is employed to pinpoint these small lenses in images, which are otherwise virtually impossible for human detection. Our results indicate that JWST can find ∼17/deg 2 such low-halo-mass lenses, with the locations of ∼1.1/deg 2 of these detectable by the U-Net at ∼100% precision (and ∼7.0/deg 2 at a 99.0% precision). To validate our model for finding “conventional” strong lenses, we apply it to HST images, discovering two new strong lens candidates previously missed by human classifiers in a crowdsourcing project (E. O. Garvin et al. 2022). This study demonstrates the (potentially “superhuman”) advantages of ML combined with current and future space telescopes for detecting conventional, and especially, low-halo-mass strong lenses, which are critical for testing cold dark matter models.

Silver, Ethan [Harvard University, Cambridge, MA (↗

DOE OSTI2026

Robotics for Energy Infrastructure Construction on Earth and Beyond: Pilot Study Exploring Level 3-4 Semi-Autonomous Installation of a Reduced-Scale Photovoltaic Power Plant Prototype: Preprint

There is a growing need to build energy infrastructure at massive scale on both Earth and in space. On Earth, increasing electricity demand from applications such as AI data centers is driving rapid expansion of power systems, while in space, long-duration missions such as lunar operations require reliable and resilient energy infrastructure that can be deployed quickly. These needs outpace the capabilities of conventional construction methods. Robotic construction offers a path to faster, lower-cost, and more consistent deployment, yet most existing approaches focus on automating individual tasks rather than end-to-end assembly. The Industrialized Construction Innovation (ICI) team at the National Laboratory of the Rockies (NLR), in collaboration with the Colorado School of Mines, has been investigating robotics and automation strategies for rapid end-to-end energy infrastructure construction. This paper presents a pilot study demonstrating level 3-4 semi-autonomous, end-to-end robotic assembly of a reduced-scale photovoltaic power plant prototype under terrestrial conditions. The approach combines hardware redesign of photovoltaic components for robotic compatibility, discrete-event and physics-based robotic simulations in synthetic environments, and sim-to-real deployment to execute end-to-end robotic assembly of[NM1.1][NM1.2] tracking components, structural members, photovoltaic modules, and embedded electrical connections. The pilot identifies key limitations like tolerance management, perception and localization, end effector capability, fastening methods, and multi-physics simulation fidelity, that must be addressed to enable end-to-end robotic assembly of full-scale energy infrastructure. The study highlights how these insights inform scaling strategies for terrestrial energy infrastructure and adaptation to unstructured and extreme environments, including off-world scenarios such as robotic assembly of vertical tall lunar towers.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Discovery and Characterization of a Metastable Cubic Interstitial Nickel–Carbon System with an Expanded Lattice

Metastable, i.e., kinetically favored but thermodynamically not stable, interstitial solid solutions of carbon in iron are well-understood. Carbon can occupy the interstitial atoms of the host metal, altering its properties. Alloying of the host metal results in the stabilization of the FeC x phases, widening its application. Pure nickel finds niche applications, mainly focusing on catalysis, while nickel alloys are widely applied, e.g., in gas turbines, reactors, and seawater piping. Nickel carbide (Ni 3 C) is the well-known stable Ni–C system displaying a rhombohedral (R3̅c) crystal structure. Some reports describe an elusive cubic Ni–C system, observed during certain catalytic reactions occurring on nickel and formed by the occupation of the interstitials of the metal with carbon: to date, the stabilization and characterization of this phase have not been accomplished. Hereby, we report on the synthesis of a cubic metastable NiC x phase using chemical vapor deposition of methane on supported nickel nanoparticles. The structure was predicted by DFT/ReaxFF, synthesized and monitored with in situ time-resolved synchrotron XRD, and experimentally confirmed by Rietveld refinement and (S)TEM-EELS under ambient conditions. The results show an Fm3̅m phase with a lattice parameter of a = 3.749 ± 0.037 Å at room temperature, with the highest ever reported atomic percentage of carbon occupying the octahedral interstices of 23.1%, resulting in a NiC 0.3 phase. The degree of occupation of the interstitial voids by carbon can be controlled, enabling the tuning of the host metal’s d-spacing and composition, highlighting the applicability of this synthesis route for catalytic nanoparticle preparation.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2025

Space‐Time Causal Discovery in Earth System Science: A Local Stencil Learning Approach

Causal discovery tools enable scientists to infer meaningful relationships from observational data, spurring advances in fields as diverse as biology, economics, and climate science. Despite these successes, the application of causal discovery to space-time systems remains immensely challenging due to the high-dimensional nature of the data. For example, in climate sciences, modern observational temperature records over the past few decades regularly measure thousands of locations around the globe. To address these challenges, we introduce Causal Space-Time Stencil Learning (CaStLe), a novel meta-algorithm for discovering causal structures in complex space-time systems. CaStLe leverages regularities in local space-time dependencies to learn governing global dynamics. This local perspective eliminates spurious confounding and drastically reduces sample complexity, making space-time causal discovery practical and effective. For causal discovery, CaStLe flexibly accepts any appropriately adapted time series causal discovery algorithm to recover local causal structures. These advances enable causal discovery of geophysical phenomena that were previously unapproachable, including non-periodic, transient phenomena such as volcanic eruption plumes. Regularities in local space-time dependencies are transformed into informative spatial replicates, which actually improve CaStLe's performance when applied to ever-larger spatial grids. We successfully apply CaStLe to discover the atmospheric dynamics governing the climate response to the 1991 Mount Pinatubo volcanic eruption. We provide validation experiments to demonstrate the effectiveness of CaStLe over existing causal-discovery frameworks on a range of geophysics-inspired benchmarks while identifying the method's limitations and domains where its assumptions may not hold.

Nichol, J. Jake [Univ. of New Mexico, Albuquerque,↗

DOE OSTI2025

Design of novel refractory equiatomic multi-principal elemental alloys based on Mo-Nb-Ti system for Gen IV reactor applications

Excellent irradiation damage resistance demonstrated by multi-principal elemental alloys (MPEAs) has sparked significant interest among researchers, prompting exploration into their vast compositional space, to validate their suitability for nuclear applications. A combined approach of thermodynamic and empirical parameters calculations alongside CALPHAD (CALculation of PHAse Diagrams) for phase formation predictions enable high-throughput material selection for sophisticated applications like nuclear, overcoming laborious and time-consuming experiments. Key thermodynamic and empirical parameters for eight novel equiatomic MPEAs, based on seven low thermal neutron cross section refractory elements, for predicting phase formation were calculated, and equilibrium and non-equilibrium simulations in CALPHAD were employed to comprehensively model the systems. Pseudo binary phase diagram simulations showed that Zr, V or equiatomic CrV additions to the base MoNbTi alloy (MoNbTi-Zr, MoNbTi-V and MoNbTi-CrV alloys) favor the formation of isomorphous body-centered cubic (BCC) phase at high temperatures, while Cr, Al, equiatomic ZrV, or equiatomic CrAl additions (MoNbTi-Cr, MoNbTi-Al, MoNbTi-ZrV or MoNbTi-CrAl alloys) limit the solubility of them. Equilibrium CALPHAD simulations at 750 oC were consistent with XRD results on MoNbTi, MoNbTiZr and MoNbTiCr alloys, and partially for others. Notably, elemental segregation observed in the backscattered electron (BSE) scanning electron microscopy (SEM) images of the alloys was accurately simulated through non-equilibrium Scheil solidification calculations in CALPHAD, further verified by experiments. The precipitation of TiCr2 Laves phase in Cr containing MoNbTiCr and MoNbTiCrAl was accurately predicted while discrepancies were noted in MoNbTiCrV. The equilibrium simulations also provided insights into phase compositions at specific temperatures offering a pathway for tailoring the desired microstructure and properties of these systems. Empirical parameters calculations successfully predicted random solid solution in the base MoNbTi alloy, and with an exception in MoNbTiV and MoNbTiAl, predicted intermetallic precipitation in the rest, especially, Laves phase precipitation in Cr containing alloys.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗