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At least 127 records · Page 7

Fine-scale vegetation composition and structure shape spatiotemporal variation in surface albedo across a low Arctic tundra landscape

The unprecedented rate of warming in the Arctic is driving changes in the structure and composition of tundra vegetation. Increases in deciduous tall shrub cover, height, and density are of particular concern, as these changes alter local surface albedo in ways that could amplify effects on the regional surface energy budget (SEB). Despite this importance, significant uncertainties remain in understanding the interplay between fine-scale vegetation patterns and emergent albedo dynamics across space and time. Here, we address these uncertainties by (1) quantifying spatiotemporal variation in surface shortwave albedo and (2) determining the relative influence of fine-scale vegetation composition, structure, and environmental conditions on albedo across a representative low-Arctic tundra landscape on Alaska’s Seward Peninsula. To do this, we synthesized multi-scale, multi-platform remote sensing observations, including a novel Landsat-derived albedo time series, a fine-scale map of Arctic plant functional type (PFT) fractional cover, and airborne LiDAR estimates of canopy height and topography. We show that there are substantial reductions in winter albedo for pixels dominated by tall, woody PFTs (28.13%) relative to pixels dominated by non-woody vegetation, but almost no change in summer albedo (3% increase). Further, we identified a unimodal trend in the relationship between canopy height and the timing of the springtime transition from high (snowy) to low (leafy) albedo (peak at 5.5 m), possibly because of competing ‘snow-fence’ and ‘protrusion’ snow-shrub interactions. To explore the primary drivers of albedo, we constructed a random forest model and found that canopy height and the fractional cover of woody PFTs were as- or more important predictors of winter albedo than topographic features. These findings provide strong evidence for the impacts of local vegetation characteristics on regional surface albedo, highlighting the need for better quantification of snow-shrub interactions to accurately predict the Arctic’s SEB under future environmental change.

Arctic↗

Designing Antifouling and Antimicrobial Interfaces: Structural Characterization using CryoEM, Automated Microscopy, and AI Image Segmentation

The design of functionalized surfaces for interactions with biological systems is critical across sectors such as healthcare, energy, and agriculture. Tailoring materials for specific applications, such as antifouling and antimicrobial surfaces, demands a comprehensive understanding of topology and chemistry across multiple length and time scales on both biological and materials systems. This work presents the development and characterization of nanostructured surfaces with controlled topographies and chemistries that enhance bacterial membrane disruption, reduce biofilm formation, and improve antimicrobial and antifouling capabilities. Two specific use cases will be presented - the use of cellulose nanocrystals (CNCs) for bacterial growth inhibition and the development of antifouling surfaces to prevent protein and bacterial adsorption [1-4]. By leveraging large language models (LLMs) for image segmentation and training [5], we enable automated analysis of terabyte-scale cryogenic electron microscopy (cryoEM) datasets. This analysis provides statistical insights into the biotic/abiotic interface and facilitates automated electron microscopy experiments to mitigate time and dose. The integration of cryogenic electron tomography (cryoET) and cryogenic focused ion beam (cryoFIB) milling enables high-resolution, near-native-state imaging and 3D reconstructions of bio/material interfaces [6]. Orthogonal characterization techniques and computational modeling further enhances our understanding, offering a robust platform for the design and optimization of next-generation functional surfaces [7].

Williams, Alexis [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000252835822)↗

Competition between roughness and strength for scale-dependent surfaces

Rocks famously have scale-dependent strength, yet the actual dependence is notoriously hard to measure or incorporate into any theoretical framework. Natural rough surfaces present an opportunity to solve the problem. Surfaces sliding in shear evolve as protrusions collide. These asperities can deform or break, thus creating a new surface shape. In particular, natural surfaces have roughness at all scales as well as scale-dependent strength. Based on a scaling analysis, we have previously suggested that the scale-dependent aspect ratio of steady-state surfaces should be proportional to the scale-dependent shear strain at yield. If true, scale-dependent strength could easily be inferred from natural surfaces. Thus, moving beyond the scaling argument to a rigorous treatment of scale-dependent strength for multiscale rough surfaces in shear is important. However, analytic frameworks for analyzing multiscale problems are challenging, as conventional continuum mechanics typically involves a single value for a material property across scales. Here, in this work, we build on the formalism of Persson (2001) that presents a method to compute contact area for rough surfaces with a prescribed topographic spectrum using a stochastic differential equation. The Persson formalism allows for plastic yield under normal loading of otherwise elastic materials and leaves open the possibility of scale-dependent yield stress. In this study, we pursue this route to develop a theory and numerical results for the yielding of a rough, elastoplastic surface with scale-dependent yield stress. Here, we examine surfaces for which the power spectrum of the topography 𝐶 and yield stress 𝑌 follow power laws as a function of scale 𝜆, such that 𝐶∼𝜆 −𝑚 and 𝑌∼𝜆 −𝑛 , respectively. In this formal treatment of the problem, we focus on surfaces in contact and the resulting yield and do not impose shear. Numerical solutions show that the deviation from the elastic scaling solution is bounded as expected by the prior 1D heuristic scaling argument that anticipates the Hurst exponent as 1−𝑛. We also show that the plasticity is expected to erode the contacts if 𝑚 is lower than 𝑛−3, which corresponds to a Hurst exponent lower than 1−𝑛/2. This result is rigorously sound for 2D, i.e., realistic surfaces, and quantitatively different than the prior scaling argument. The theory now permits a correspondingly quantitative approach to interpreting natural surfaces.

elasticity↗

Analyzer-based X-ray phase contrast imaging using the forward-diffracted o-beam in a few-millimetre-thick Bragg-case asymmetrically cut crystal

An analyzer-based X-ray phase contrast imaging experiment employing the forward-diffracted o-beam in a few-millimetre-thick Bragg-case asymmetrically cut analyzer crystal has been implemented and tested in a geometry similar to that used in conventional radiography. The high angular stability requirements were overcome using specially designed crystals and a closed-loop feedback intensity system, monitoring the intensity of the diffracted h-beam. Analyzer-based images (ABis) taken at different angular positions on the forward-diffracted o-beam rocking curve show different contrasts, as expected. However, the ABis did not show sharp borders. This was closely investigated by X-ray topography and Δ d / d mapping and was attributed to the stresses caused by the analyzer crystal's own weight in the bulk. Further investigation of the crystal design using finite element analysis coupled with dynamical theory of X-ray diffraction is envisaged.

Honnicke, Marcelo Goncalves (ORCID:000000033276432↗

Descriptor: High Temporal Resolution Meteorological Data at Oak Ridge Reservation (ORR-HiResMet)

Access to continuous, quality assessed meteorological data is critical for understanding the climatology and atmospheric dynamics of a region. Research facilities like Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) rely on such data to assess site-specific climatology, model potential emissions, establish safety baselines, and prepare for emergency scenarios. To meet these needs, on-site towers at ORNL collect meteorological data at 15-minute and hourly intervals. However, data measurements from meteorological towers are affected by sensor sensitivity, degradation, lightning strikes, power fluctuations, glitching, and sensor failures, all of which can affect data quality. To address these challenges, we conducted a comprehensive quality assessment and processing of five years of meteorological data collected from ORNL at 15-minute intervals, including measurements of temperature, pressure, humidity, wind, and solar radiation. The time series of each variable was pre-processed and gap-filled using established meteorological data collection and cleaning techniques, i.e., the time series were subjected to structural standardization, data integrity testing, automated and manual outlier detection, and gap-filling. The data product and highly generalizable processing workflow developed in Python Jupyter notebooks are publicly accessible online. As a key contribution of this study, the evaluated 5-year data will be used to train atmospheric dispersion models that simulate dispersion dynamics across the complex ridge-and-valley topography of the Oak Ridge Reservation in East Tennessee.

Steckler, Morgan R. [Oak Ridge National Laboratory↗

A Comprehensive Calibration Framework for the Northwest River Forecast Center

We present a comprehensive framework developed by the Northwest River Forecast Center for calibrating hydrologically diverse basins. The framework includes models for snow, soil moisture, routing, channel loss, and consumptive use. Data inputs include a wide range of open-access datasets for meteorology, land use, topography, and land cover. The framework uses conceptual hydrologic models to handle basins with various hydrologic regimes including rain-driven and snowmelt-dominated basins. We also develop a flexible automatic calibration system that can handle numerous unobservable model parameters in a computationally efficient manner. A single-basin automatic calibration run can typically be completed on a modern laptop in under 10 min. We found that model performance metrics for this new approach match the quality of the NWRFC's previous labor-intensive manual calibrations. The model performance also rivals that of a state-of-the-art deep learning model at a fraction of the computational cost. This framework presents a new standard for the quality of calibrations possible with lumped conceptual hydrologic models, combining careful data curation, an objective calibration framework, and expert local knowledge. In addition, we have made software packages available for the entire suite of National Weather Service River Forecast System models, including SAC-SMA, SNOW-17, and Lag-K. These modern interfaces are intended to increase accessibility and facilitate future research.

Forecasting↗

Spatial Replication Is Important for Developing Landscape Genetic Inferences for a Wetland Salamander

Habitat fragmentation is a pressing threat to wildlife populations, and maintenance of gene flow between populations is an essential goal of conservation. Resistance surfaces have emerged as an important tool for modelling connectivity and developing management strategies to mitigate effects of habitat fragmentation. However, recent studies have noted inconsistencies in the factors most strongly associated with connectivity across different landscapes. Thus, replication of genetic-based resistance surface optimisation across landscapes may be necessary for making robust conclusions about the influence of environmental variables. Accordingly, replication represents a substantive challenge and opportunity in the field of landscape genetics. In this study, we conducted replicated landscape genetic analyses across five landscapes in Tennessee and Kentucky for a threatened wetland amphibian, the four-toed salamander (Hemidactylium scutatum). We tested multiple hypotheses of how different landscape features that could directly affect small, desiccation-intolerant amphibians (e.g., canopy cover) influenced gene flow and assessed the appropriate scale at which to model different features. We found some concordance in the landscape features that influenced gene flow (e.g., a common importance of forest cover and topography), but also some differences—potentially owing to the difference in variability of predictors across landscapes. We also found discordance in the scale of effect of different features across landscapes. In conclusion, our work emphasises that flat areas of moist forest not bisected by roads may be important for H. scutatum conservation, and our replicated design allows us to identify relationships that would have been missed if only using one study site.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Temperature-dependent dielectric function of tantalum nitride formed by atomic layer deposition for tunnel barriers in Josephson junctions

Here, we report the dielectric functions of insulating tantalum nitride (TaN) films deposited by atomic layer deposition (ALD) on 300 mm Si/SiO 2 substrates to evaluate their suitability as tunnel barriers in tantalum-based Josephson junctions (JJs) for superconducting quantum circuits. Temperature-dependent ellipsometric angles were measured for ALD TaN films with nominal thicknesses of 13 and 25 nm at an incidence angle of 70°, over photon energy ranges of 0.03–0.7 eV (80–300 K) and 0.5–6.5 eV (80–600 K). These data were used to develop a dispersion model for insulating ALD TaN that incorporates a Tauc–Lorentz oscillator with an optical bandgap of 1.5–1.8 eV to describe interband transitions. The extracted dielectric function shows insulating behavior (mid-infrared transparency) at all temperatures and for both film thicknesses tested. In particular, ALD TaN does not exhibit infrared absorption due to free carriers, even at elevated temperatures, consistent with the insulating behavior required for a JJ tunnel barrier. Results from transmission electron microscopy (including selected area electron diffraction) and x-ray diffraction are also discussed. Sputter depth-profile x-ray photoelectron spectroscopy shows an N/Ta ratio of ∼1.2 throughout the film. The lower bandgap, low roughness, and thermal stability of ALD TaN compared to AlO x suggest the possibility of fabricating JJs with thicker barriers while achieving critical current densities required for qubits, enabling improved thickness and composition control, reduced topography, and resistance to aging.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Binary pseudo-random array standards for calibration of 3D optical surface profilers used for metrology with significantly curved x-ray optics

High-accuracy metrology is vitally important in manufacturing ultra-high-quality free-form mirrors designed to manipulate X-ray light with nanometer-scale wavelengths. The current capabilities and possibility for improvements in X-ray mirror manufacturing are limited by inherent imperfections of the integrated metrology tools. In the case of Fizeau interferometry, metrology tools are currently calibrated with super-polished flat test-standard/reference mirrors. This is acceptable for measuring slightly curved X-ray optics. However, for even moderately curved aspherical X-ray mirrors the flat-reference calibration is not sufficiently accurate and stitching Fizeau interferometer-based surface metrology is used to mitigate the problem. But still, the retrace and aberration errors, as well as the limited spatial resolution, described with the instrument transfer function (ITF), can be transferred into the optical surface topography of X-ray mirrors obtained in stitching metrology. For ITF calibration, we have developed an original technique, based on test standards structured as two-dimensional (2D) highly-randomized (HR) binary pseudo-random arrays (BPRAs). The technique employs the unique properties of the HR BPRA patterns in the spatial frequency domain., i.e. the inherent 2D power spectral density of the HR BPRA pattern has a deterministic white-noise-like character that allows direct determination of the ITF with uniform sensitivity over the entire spatial frequency range and field-of-view of an instrument. Here, we explore technological, metrological, and analytical aspects essential for calibration of the retrace and aberration errors of Fizeau interferometers using different types of tilted test samples, including a super-polished reference mirror for the re-trace calibration and the uniformly redundant array (URA) BPRA standards for the geometrical distortion (aberration) calibration. While the first method was previously demonstrated by researchers at DIAMOND Light Source, a method based on the URA BPRA is described and demonstrated here for the first time. We outline the design and fabrication process used in fabrication of URA BPRA test standards, and present the results of application of the URA BPRA standards demonstrating the high efficacy of our approach to geometrical distortion calibration of Fizeau interferometers. We also discuss the possible sources of unexpected peculiarities of the systematic errors, including an astigmatic character of the retrace error, observed with Fizeau interferometers at the Advanced Light Source X-Ray Optics Laboratory.

Munechika, Keiko↗

Small-scale roughness entraps water and controls underwater adhesion

While controlling underwater adhesion is critical for designing biological adhesives and in improving the traction of tires, haptics, or adhesives for health monitoring devices, it is hindered by a lack of fundamental understanding of how the presence of trapped water impedes interfacial bonding. Here, by using well-characterized polycrystal diamond surfaces and soft, nonhysteretic, low–surface energy elastomers, we show a reduction in adhesion during approach and four times higher adhesion during retraction as compared to the thermodynamic work of adhesion. Our findings reveal how the loading phase of contact is governed by the entrapment of water by ultrasmall (10-nanometer-scale) surface features. In contrast, the same nanofeatures that reduce adhesion during approach serve to increase adhesion during separation. The explanation for this counterintuitive result lies in the incompressibility-inextensibility of trapped water and the work needed to deform the polymer around water pockets. Unlike the well-known viscoelastic contribution to adhesion, this science unlocks strategies for tailoring surface topography to enhance underwater adhesion.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Swirls and scoops: Ice base melt revealed by multibeam imagery of an Antarctic ice shelf

Knowledge gaps about how the ocean melts Antarctica’s ice shelves, borne from a lack of observations, lead to large uncertainties in sea level predictions. Using high-resolution maps of the underside of Dotson Ice Shelf, West Antarctica, we reveal the imprint that ice shelf basal melting leaves on the ice. Convection and intermittent warm water intrusions form widespread terraced features through slow melting in quiescent areas, while shear-driven turbulence rapidly melts smooth, eroded topographies in outflow areas, as well as enigmatic teardrop-shaped indentations that result from boundary-layer flow rotation. Full-thickness ice fractures, with bases modified by basal melting and convective processes, are observed throughout the area. This new wealth of processes, all active under a single ice shelf, must be considered to accurately predict future Antarctic ice shelf melt.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Diurnal urban rainfall anomalies across different landscapes

Urbanization influences regional climates and extreme weather. While previous research has documented urban-induced precipitation for specific cities or storm cases, diurnal urban precipitation anomalies across different landscapes remain poorly understood. Analyzing diurnal and seasonal variations of urban precipitation anomalies across 175 US cities, we found strong urban effects on precipitation especially during summer afternoons. Large, inland cities can receive 10% more summer afternoon rainfall, and the pattern varies with urban heat islands and wind conditions. Coastal cities, under the influence of sea-land breeze, experience three times amplified daily urban precipitation enhancements than inland cities. Urban impacts are also noted for mountain cities, affecting their topography-dominated precipitation patterns. With increasing thresholds of extreme precipitation, most US cities experience more intense rainfall compared to their rural backgrounds. This study enhances our understanding of hitherto poorly documented diurnal aspects of urban rainfall through geographically distributed, landscape-specific rainfall anomalies.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

A Multiscale Simulation Study of the Effects of Nantucket Island on Atmospheric Boundary Layer Flow

Multiscale atmospheric simulations were conducted to investigate how Nantucket Island modifies the marine atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) flow, how the mechanisms responsible are represented in mesoscale versus large-eddy simulation (LES) domains, and potential impacts on wind energy production downstream, in moderate and high wind speed cases. Here, to isolate the effects of the island, each case study was simulated (i) with and without island topography included and (ii) with observed versus spatially uniform sea surface temperature (SST) values, the latter removing the influence of spatial variability in SST, while also enabling the examination of how the island effects vary with near-surface thermodynamic stability over the surrounding ocean. Island effects were found to be strongest during daytime heating, which generates convective rolls that redistribute momentum vertically over the island and downstream. Colder SSTs and weaker winds strengthen these rolls and extend their influence. Flow statistics within a representative wind turbine rotor-swept area downstream show that while vertical momentum redistribution enhances near-surface wind speeds, those aloft decrease, resulting in minimal net change to rotor-equivalent wind speed and slightly reduced vertical shear. Comparisons of mesoscale and LES domains reveal that both capture the roughness-driven near-surface slowdown, but mesoscale models underestimate vertical momentum transport compared to LES, which explicitly resolves convective rolls. Increasing LES resolution beyond the grid spacing required to begin capturing the largest convective roll structures ∼ O(100) m yields minimal additional momentum transport but increases resolved turbulence kinetic energy, relevant for stress loading.

Atmosphere-land interaction↗

End-of-Century Changes in Orographic Precipitation with the Intermediate Complexity Atmospheric Research Model over the Western United States

Abstract Downscaled precipitation projections were created using the Intermediate Complexity Atmospheric Research (ICAR) model over the western United States to increase the physical realism in orographic precipitation changes. End-of-century simulations from eight models in phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) were downscaled with ICAR and compared to the widely utilized statistically downscaled dataset, localized constructed analogs (LOCAs), to understand where and why projections of cool-season (September–May) precipitation differed. ICAR and LOCA precipitation projections were similar, but their sign differed in hydrologically relevant regions likely due to ICAR’s simulation of microphysics and mesoscale dynamics with high-resolution topography (6 km). In the Pacific Northwest, cool-season precipitation projections from ICAR showed an increase on the windward side of the Cascades and no significant change within the lee. This difference between the windward and leeward side was attributed to reduced zonal wind speeds, allowing more time for microphysical processes within ICAR. This contrast is enhanced by rain’s faster fall speed compared to snow, limiting transport into the lee. Meanwhile, LOCA projected an increase in precipitation across the Cascades. In the Upper Colorado River basin, LOCA projected an increase in precipitation in high elevation regions (>3000 m), but ICAR projected no significant change or a decrease in precipitation. High elevation differences were most evident in the spring and fall and were also attributed to a snow-to-rain transition and dynamical processes that impacted orographic enhancement within ICAR. Idealized, controlled studies are needed to better isolate individual processes, but these results underscore the importance of including microphysics and mesoscale dynamics within regional-scale precipitation projections. Significance Statement A set of global climate model simulations was downscaled using an atmospheric model that contains key physical equations, referred to as Intermediate Complexity Atmospheric Research (ICAR). ICAR was used to examine projected changes in end-of-century cool-season precipitation over mountains in the western United States. Precipitation projections from ICAR were similar to projections that used statistical relationships to downscale climate projections. However, projections differed between ICAR and statistically downscaled datasets in whether they increased, decreased, or stayed the same in specific, hydrologically relevant regions such as the eastern Cascades and high elevation areas of the Upper Colorado River basin. These differences were attributed to the simulation of physical processes in ICAR. The results highlight the importance of kilometer-scale atmospheric processes in regional climate projections.

Currier, William Ryan [NOAA/Physical Sciences Labo↗

Development of the Contamination Distribution Centered Toxics Mobility Vulnerability Index in the Beaumont–Port Arthur Region of Texas

This study advances the Toxics Mobility Inventory (TMI) and the Toxics Mobility Vulnerability Index (TMVI) to develop a new tool to assess the movement of hazardous substances and their implications for vulnerable communities. It emphasizes the need to include contamination distribution variables in such indices to address disproportionate impacts and more accurately reflect vulnerability. The study uses the TMI framework and TMVI methodology in the Beaumont–Port Arthur region of Texas, also integrating contamination distribution considerations into the analysis to develop a new framework and process. The new Contamination Distribution Centered Toxics Mobility Vulnerability Index (CDC-TMVI) consolidates climate change and topography variables into a broader built environment vulnerability category while introducing a contamination sources category. Using ArcGIS Pro and ToxPi tools, the study evaluates 27 geospatial variables across four categories: built environment vulnerability, social vulnerability, health outcomes, and contamination sources. The results indicate significant contributions from contamination and social vulnerability variables, highlighting areas with higher risks of flooding and air pollution. This article advocates for future research and policy efforts to enhance the integration of contamination sources and their spatial distributions into toxics mobility assessments to better protect vulnerable populations. Furthermore, the unique methodology and findings serve as a basis for developing targeted measures and strategic planning to improve environmental health.

contamination↗

Advancing 3D surface imaging: single-axis structured light illumination plenoptic camera with machine learning integration

Structured light illumination (SLI) is a configurable 3D surface imaging modality that can function largely independently of surface texture. At the same time, machine learning (ML) approaches are providing new ways to capture relevant information from SLI patterns, avoiding the need to develop advanced computer vision algorithms. By projecting an optical pattern onto a surface and measuring the apparent distortion of that pattern, one can determine surface topography from a single image. Common realizations of SLI 3D imaging use off-axis SLI to allow for parallax-based determination of depth; however, in constrained geometries, the ability to make single-axis measurements can be of major benefit. While plenoptic imaging (PI) cameras have long been developed for the purpose of single-axis 3D imaging, they are generally reliant on the surface texture of the measured object, thus making them unreliable in certain experimental conditions. Therefore, we present a single-axis 3D SLI plenoptic camera, which combines the single-axis benefits of PI technology while using coaxial SLI to maintain indifference to surface conditions. We also present a study of the camera capabilities paired with the development of several algorithms, including traditional feature tracking methods as well as ML methods, which are found to enhance resolution and range. We report depth sensitivity down to 0.2% $\frac{dz}{z_0}$. The single-axis SLI 3D plenoptic camera demonstrates potential applicability for in-situ topographical measurements under a wide range of conditions including, but not limited to, objects without trackable surface texture, high temperatures, and constrained geometry environments.

Imaging systems↗

Litter Production and Foliar Nutrient Resorption in Pioneer and Non-Pioneer Species in a Selective Logging Experiment in the Central Amazon, BIONTE, ZF-2, Manaus, 2022-23

This dataset was collected near the city of Manaus, Brazil, at the Experimental Station of Tropical Forestry (EEST, aka “ZF2”), inside the BIONTE (BIOmass and NuTrient Experiment). The experiment included three levels of increasing selective logging intensity, along with control, with 1-hectare permanent plots (12 total) located at the center of 4-hectare treatment plots. The vegetation has a high floristic diversity, the soils of the region are poor in nutrients, and the topography is characterized by plateaus (where BIONTE is located), and also valley bottoms and slopes. Three treatments of differing logging intensities were applied in the BIONTE experiment (T1, T2 and T3). The study was conducted in Treatment 3 (Block I – permanent plot), which represents the most intensive logging treatment, with 69% of the basal area (m²∙ha⁻¹) removed in 1988. The present dataset spans the period from May 1, 2022, to May 1, 2023. The data package includes leaf_nutrient_data, litterfall_total_data, leaf_litterfall_species_specific_data, and species_info, all provided in .csv format. These formats allow users to process and analyze the data in various software applications and programming languages, such as Python and R. This dataset was collected to advance knowledge on nutrient cycling in Amazonian forests, specifically distinguishing between species with two distinct functional traits: fast-growing and slow-growing. It also aims to improve Earth System Models, such as the E3SM Functionally Assembled Terrestrial Ecosystem Simulator (FATES). Additionally, it was used in a paper currently in preparation (Carvalho et al., in prep.), which aims to quantify seasonal litter production and foliar nutrient resorption in pioneer (fast-growing) and non-pioneer (slow-growing) tree species in the central Amazon. Specifically, it seeks to answer two key questions: 1) Is there a difference in leaf litter production, leaf nutrient flux and leaf nutrient concentration between pioneers and non-pioneers species? Is there a difference in the efficiency of foliar nutrient resorption between pioneers and non-pioneers species?

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Mountain Basin Controls on the Snow-to-Streamflow Signal: An AIC-Weighted Multiple Linear Regression Framework

A regression-based analysis quantifies how basin characteristics modulate the snow-to-streamflow signal. First, we use the ERA5-Land reanalysis gridded product (European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts reanalysis 5 -Land component) for 4,655 hydrologic unit code - 10 (HUC10) mountain basins across the western United States (US) for water years 1987–2024. Linear regressions are performed for peak snow water equivalent (SWE) and annual streamflow for each mountain basin. Models use ordinary least squares in Python’s statsmodels package. After which, an Akaike Information Criterion (AIC)–weighted ensemble multiple linear regression (MLR) framework with 47 watershed traits is used to predict the linear regression coefficient of determination (r-squared) defining the ability of peak SWE to predict annual streamflow across all mountain basin. Predictor sets are constrained to avoid multicollinearity by excluding models with variance inflation factors (VIF) greater than 5. Mountain basin traits included in the MLR include seasonal climate, topography, vegetation type and structure, and bedrock geology. Accepted models are considered if their AIC is within 2.0 of the model with the minimum AIC, or best model. To compare predictor influence across acceptable models, we computed standardized regression coefficients. To evaluate structural redundancy among models, we constructed binary inclusion vectors for each acceptable model, denoting whether a predictor was present (1) or absent (0). Core predictor variables are defined as occurring in at least 67% of the acceptable models. For this regional analysis, only one model was found acceptable, with higher snow-to-streamflow translation (higher r-squared) occurring in colder mountain basins with higher relative winter precipitation, more snow accumulation and a lower fraction of annual precipitation that falls in the spring and summer. The second component of the data package uses previously published, high-resolution output from an integrated hydrological model of the East River watershed using the U.S. Geological Survey Groundwater and Surface water Flow model (GSFLOW, doi:10.15485/1998576). East River MLR expands upon the approach described above to explore the response of five streamflow metrics—annual streamflow, runoff efficiency, 7-day minimum flow, low-flow duration, and non-perennial stream fraction to snow system indicators including peak SWE, snow-covered area, snow disappearance date, and the fraction of basin area characterized by low-to-no snow, as well as seasonal precipitation and temperature, and annual hydrologic variables representing soil moisture, evapotranspiration (ET), the partitioning of incoming precipitation to evapotranspiration (ET/P), groundwater storage, and groundwater inflow to streams. MLR was done on all water years (P0: 1987-2024) and for each period as determined in the split analysis using pooled regression techniques (P1: 1987-2011 and P2: 2012-2024) to evaluate shifting predictor variable emphasis on streamflow generation. Results indicate that since 2012, peak SWE has lost statistical strength in its prediction of annual streamflow and runoff efficiency, and the indirect influence of spring temperature has emerged as critically important. Low-flow metrics remain largely influenced by soil moisture, vegetation water use and groundwater inflows with summer precipitation becoming a direct influence on minimum summer flow. Together, these data and Python-based analysis tools provide a framework for identifying the key watershed characteristics that control how streamflow responds to snow from year to year. The package also helps quantify uncertainty in statistical models and assess how snow–streamflow relationships vary across regions and over time. This dataset contains comma-separated values files (.csv), text files (.txt), python code files (.py), figure files (.png), and shapefiles (.cpg, .dbf, .prj, .sbn, .sbx, .shp, .xml). Further details on file contents and MLR execution can be found in the readme file and the FLMD files. Work was supported by the Watershed Function Science Focus Area at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory funded by the US Department of Energy, Office of Science, Biological and Environmental Research under Contract No. DE-AC02-05CH11231.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗