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NASA NTRS2018

Computational Aerothermodynamic Environments for the Mars 2020 Entry Capsule

The simulation tools and processes used to generate aerothermodynamic environment definitions for the Mars 2020 entry capsule are presented. The Mars 2020 capsule leverages the heritage Mars Science Laboratory design, but the entry will follow a different trajectory, landing at a different location and altitude on Mars. The general strategy for creating the Mars 2020 mission-specific environments follows from the Mars Science Laboratory experience. The primary difference is that now the effects of shock-layer radiation are modeled, with particular concern for the backshell.

Wise, Adam J.↗
NASA NTRS2019

Common Probe Design Study and Follow-On Activities

The Common Probe Study was funded by the NASA's Planetary Science Division in the Science Mission Directorate in 2018 to investigate the feasibility of a common aeroshell design for atmospheric probe missions at Venus, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune. The study involved 4 NASA Centers: Ames Research Center, Goddard Space Flight Center, Langley Research Center, and the Jet Propulsion Laboratory. The common aeroshell design that was studied was a 400 kg, 1.5 m diameter, 45-degree sphere cone shape with a high density heatshield material (Heatshield for Extreme Entry Environments Technology, or HEEET) and a parachute system to extract the descent vehicle. This size of aeroshell could accommodate a descent vehicle of 0.75 m diameter, which could encompass both Tier 1 and Tier 2 science instruments at each of the 5 destinations. Study methodology: First, a notional payload of instruments for each destination was defined based on the top priority measurements indicated by the Planetary Science Decadal Survey. Steep and shallow entry flight path angles (EFPA) were defined for each planet based on qualification and operational g-load limits for current, state-of-the-art instruments. Interplanetary trajectories were then identified that bounded the EFPA range.Next, 3-DoF simulations for entry trajectories were run using the entry state vectors from the interplanetary trajectories. Conical ribbon parachutes were sized based on heatshield separation dynamics. Aero-heating correlations were used to generate stagnation point convective and radiative heat flux profiles. High fidelity thermal response models for various TPS materials were used to size stagnation point thicknesses, with margins based on previous studies. Backshell TPS masses were assumed based on scaled heat fluxes from the heatshield and also from previous mission concepts.Based on these analyses, we have found that the common design is applicable for atmospheric probe missions for 4 out of the 5 destinations. Because of the unique gravity well for Jupiter, the entry environments are more severe resulting in heat loads an order of magnitude higher than for the other destinations.The next step is to determine what follow-on activities NASA should engage in. A questionnaire for the atmospheric probe community has been developed, with a focus on what size of aeroshell should be further analyzed (smaller or same diameter), and what incentives would make using such an aeroshell, if assembled and available, desirable to mission proposers.Preliminary results from this questionnaire will be presented.

Hwang, Helen H.↗
NASA NTRS2019

A Discussion of the Need to Sustain Mission Ready TPS and for Continued Development of Innovative Entry System Technologies

Flight proven entry system and TPS technologies are critical for the successful execution of in-situ science missions at Venus. Emerging new technologies point to new possibilities and offer innovative approaches to delivering small satellites for orbital science. Venus entry can be very demanding and there are only a few flight proven TPS, some developed by Industry and others by NASA, capable of meeting the mission needs. NASA developed TPS has predominately been transferred to Industry and it is assumed industry will maintain the fabrication capability. However, lack of mission needs may result in obsolence of TSP fabrication capability if there is no money and no motivation. Even within NASA, its' expertise could be diverted to higher priority objectives and thereby the readiness for particular material systems can be impacted or lost. Atrophy of capabilities can come about in other ways as well such as changes to raw materials. Even small manufacturing process changes can demand requalification and TRL may be degraded. Carbon-Phenolic is a text book example. After a long period of absence of US Venus missions, VEXG and the Science community is making the case for future missions. It is insufficient to assume the TSP technologies will be there in 5 or 10 years without active and continual planning and assessment. After Galileo, Carbon-Phenolic materials and fabrication skills were allowed to atrophy. Then when missions needed it, in early 2000, it was no longer possible to make the heritage Carbon-Phenolic. What do we need to do? The first step is to advocate for the establishment of TPS readiness assess-ment. The assessment will involve understanding threats and opportunities, and the development of risk mitigation strategies. VEXAG needs to advocate for such an active monitoring of the needed capabilities, assessment of emerging risks and development of risk mitigation strategies with implementation plans. Such an approach reduces the threat of material obsolence and helps maintain the availability of entry system and TPS technology capabilities, both old and new. Venus probes, landers, balloons and other variable altitude missions, and skimmer missions such as "Cu-pid's Arrow" as well as aerocapture missions to deliver small spacecraft require qualified entry systems and ablative TPS. VEXAG advocated for HEEET in 2013/2014 and the community is well versed with the need to sustain it. But, other TPS that need to be sustained may not be apparent to VEXAG community. The following figure summarizes the ablative TPS capabilities vs Venus mission needs for both primary heatshield and backshell.

Venkatapathy, Ethiraj↗
NASA NTRS2020

Pterodactyl: Trade Study for an Integrated Control System Design of a Mechanically Deployable Entry Vehicle

This paper presents the trade study method used to evaluate and downselect from a set of guidance and control (G&C) system designs for a mechanically Deployable Entry Vehicle (DEV). The Pterodactyl project was prompted by the challenge to develop an effective G&C system for a vehicle without a backshell, which is the case for DEVs. For the DEV, the project assumed a specific aeroshell geometry pertaining to an Adaptable, Deployable Entry and Placement Technology (ADEPT) vehicle, which was successfully developed by NASA’s Space Technology Mission Directorate (STMD) prior to this study. The Pterodactyl project designed three different entry G&C systems for precision targeting. This paper details the Figures of Merit (FOMs) and metrics used during the course of the project’s G&C system assessment. The relative importance of the FOMs was determined from the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), which was used to develop weights that were combined with quantitative design metrics and engineering judgement to rank the G&C systems against one another. This systematic method takes into consideration the project’s input while simultaneously reducing unintentional judgement bias and ultimately was used to select a single G&C design for the project to pursue in the next design phase.

Alunni, Antonella I.↗
NASA NTRS2020

Pterodactyl: Trade Study for an Integrated Control System Design of a Mechanically Deployed Entry Vehicle

This paper presents a trade study method used to evaluate and down-select from a set of guidance and control (G&C) system designs for a mechanically deployable entry vehicle (DEV). The Pterodactyl project, funded by NASA's Space Technology Mission Directorate (STMD), was prompted by the challenge to develop an effective G&C system for a vehicle without a backshell, which is the case for DEVs. For the DEV, the project assumed a specific aeroshell geometry pertaining to an Adaptable, Deployable, Entry Placement Technology (ADEPT) vehicle, which was successfully developed by STMD prior to this study. The Pterodactyl project designed three different G&C systems for the vehicle's precise entry, which this paper briefly discusses. This paper details the Figures of Merit (FOMs) and metrics used during the course of the project's G&C system assessment. Each G&C configuration was traded against the three FOMs categories: G&C system performance, affordability and life cycle costs, and safety and mission success. The relative importance of the FOMs was determined from the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), which was used to develop weights that were combined with quantitative design metrics and engineering judgement to rank the G&C systems against one another. This systematic method takes into consideration the project's input while simultaneously reducing unintentional judgement bias and ultimately was used to select a single G&C design for the project to continue pursuing in the next prototyping and testing phase.

Alunni, Antonella I.↗
NASA NTRS2019

The Multi-Mission Earth Entry Vehicle for Sample Return Missions – Past, Present, and Future

The Multi-Mission Earth Entry Vehicle (MMEEV) is an enabling technology developed at NASA’s Langley Research Center (LaRC) over the last two decades for returning samples to Earth across a wide array of space science missions. Currently, the MMEEV is being considered for NASA’s Mars Sample Return (MSR) mission. The original vehicle concept, the Earth Entry Vehicle (EEV), was innovated at LaRC in 1998 as a robust solution to return Mars soil samples to Earth under stringent backward contamination requirements. These backward contamination requirements drove the EEV to have higher reliability than any capsule previously designed for a return-to-Earth sample return mission. The EEV achieved this high reliability by employing a passive (no active systems) vehicle architecture optimized for fault tolerance in a compact, low-mass configuration that is extensible to virtually any sample return mission. The original EEV concept utilized a carbon-carbon primary structure with high-density carbon phenolic thermal protection system. The capsule had a 60-degree sphere-cone forebody and a backshell geometry uniquely tailored to produce aerodynamics that would passively re-orient the vehicle if it entered the atmosphere with an off-nominal attitude. Contrary to every other sample return capsule conceived at the time, the EEV was designed to land without a parachute. The vehicle incorporated an integral energy-absorbing crushable structure that protected the Mars sample for landings on surfaces ranging from soft soil to solid concrete. This paper describes 20 years of technological advancements LaRC has incorporated into the EEV architecture to evolve it from the original, MSR-enabling vehicle, to a true multi-mission capability relevant to any sample return mission. The vehicle’s unique Integrated Composite Stiffener Structure (ICoSS) has been optimized for specific strength - supporting high-G atmospheric entries with steep entry angles that produce precise landing footprints on the ground. The vehicle geometry has been refined through wind tunnel testing and computational fluid dynamics simulations to improve the vehicle’s aerodynamic stability and robustness to off-nominal conditions from hypersonic to subsonic flight. The resulting configuration of the current MMEEV architecture is described, with details provided on its sample carrying capacity and atmospheric entry trajectory capabilities. The upgraded vehicle performance is mapped into current space science objectives, showing how the MMEEV supports future sample return missions and continues to be an enabling technology for NASA’s vision to return samples from Mars.

J M Corliss↗
NASA NTRS2020

Low Lift-to-Drag Morphing Shape Design

One advantage of the low lift-to-drag (L/D) inflatable vehicle being evaluated for the human Mars Entry, Descent, and Landing Architecture Study (EDLAS) is the lower launch mass compared to the other concepts being considered. Mass reduction is achieved by using a strong but lightweight inflatable structure and by eliminating the need for a backshell. Performance analysis has shown that additional mass savings is achievable using entry guidance technologies that reduce powered descent propellant mass by directly controlling angle of attack and sideslip, rather than the traditional bank angle control approach used by the current state-of-the-art Mars Science Laboratory entry vehicle. Two methods of implementing this guidance scheme are presented, one uses aerodynamic flaps, the other changes or morphs the shape of the inflatable aeroshell during flight. This paper describes both control methods for the EDLAS low-L/D vehicle, including the aerodynamic model of the aerosurfaces and various methods to achieve the morphing shape deflection (internal motors, shifting tori, etc.). Results of trajectory performance simulations for both the aerodynamic flap and morphing designs are also presented along with details of mechanical implementation options available to ground test the system.

Alicia Dwyer Cianciolo↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Features of Afterbody Radiative Heating for Jupiter Entry

In this extended abstract, a preliminary analysis of a trajectory-based heating and ablation study in the afterbody of a Jovian entry probe is presented. The radiative flux in the afterbody impinging on the backshell of the probe is investigated with and without the presence of ablation product gas. The heritage tangent-slab approximation for radiative heating is shown to underpredict the radiative heating by as much as 50% in the afterbody making the highfidelity, yet computationally expensive, ray-tracing approach necessary to accurately predict the radiative heating predictions. An investigation into the merits of employing the ray-tracing approach for the prediction of the divergence of radiative flux in the afterbody flow field will be presented in the final manuscript. Nonequilibrium effects in the afterbody region will be investigated in the final manuscript including the impact of electron-ion recombination rates. To bound the problem based on the best available knowledge, an uncertainty analysis will be performed. Sources of uncertainty are identified in the ablation modeling, radiation modeling, flowfield kinetics, and thermodynamic properties of select species.

Thermophysics↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Design Considerations for a Mars Highland Helicopter

Mars is sharply divided into the relatively low-lying northern hemisphere, filled with plains, to the higher-elevation, rugged, southern hemisphere. All landers sent so far to Mars have only landed on the plains of the northern hemisphere. Access to the Martian Highlands would present an opportunity to acquire unique insights into the early geologic history of Mars. But landing on the Martian highlands presents many engineering challenges. A new approach has recently been proposed to consider the use of mid-air deployment, during the final subsonic stages of entry, descent, and landing, of a small rotorcraft from the aeroshell. The rotorcraft would enter a powered descent state (rotors would be spun to full speed at moderate collectives) after aeroshell release until reaching a modest altitude above the ground where the vehicle would pullout to level flight. After completing this initial EDL mid-air-deployment and landing, the rotorcraft, which would be capable of solar-electric recharging, would recharge over the course of a few days until ready for subsequent flight sorties to explore the highlands. This overall vehicle/mission concept is called the Mars Highland Helicopter. The paper will next demonstrate that a key necessary condition – efficient hover and forward flight under the much thinner atmospheric conditions of the highlands (0.01 kg/m3 vs. 0.015 kg.m3 for the Ingenuity Mars Helicopter Technology Demonstrator at Jezero Crater) – is indeed possible. This paper considers a number of EDL release/deployment strategies to minimize deployment aeroloads and maximize controllability during release from the EDL backshell. This mid-air-deployment discussion will be followed by a general analytical treatment of a Mars rotorcraft entering fully-powered descent and then forward flight cruise.

Mars Highland Helicopter↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Revisiting MEDLI with Improved Modeling and Simulation Tools

The thermal protection system (TPS) of the Mars 2020 capsule will carry a suite of sensors called MEDLI2 (Mars Entry, Descent, and Landing Instrument 2). This suite consists of pressure sensors/transducers and thermocouple plugs meant to measure atmospheric properties, vehicle attitude, TPS performance, etc. While the suite is similar to that carried on the successful MSL (Mars Science Laboratory) mission in 2012, it now includes pressure sensors, thermocouple plugs, and radiometers on the backshell as well. An analysis plan is therefore necessary to help with the interpretation of flight measurements.

Atmospheric Entry↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

MEDLI2: Ablator Models for Flight

During the entry of Mars Science Laboratory (MSL) the heatshield was equipped with the instrumentation suite Mars Entry, Descent, and Landing Instruments (MEDLI). In-depth thermocouple (TC) data was used to reconstruct the surface heating[1,2]. Discrepancies between MEDLI’s flight heating data and predicted thermal response and recession[3] led to a campaign to characterize and test Mars2020 and MEDLI2 (Mars Entry, Descent, and Landing Instrument 2)[4] flight-lot thermal protection materials (TPS) at relevant ground test conditions. This paper covers the development and validation of flight-lot material response models for the heatshield material Phenolic Impregnated Carbon Ablator (PICA) and the backshell material SLA-561V (Super Lightweight Ablator). Virgin and char properties such as thermal conductivity and emissivity were updated as a function of temperature and pressure in the MEDLI2 specific material response models. Other material properties were characterized and determined to be similar to prior TPS material measurements used for the heritage models. MEDLI2 also investigated the impact of the protective coating that was applied to MSL and Mars2020’s PICA heatshield to reduce the particulate matter shedding. Evidence from arc jet experiments on coated PICA showed that although there were no adverse effects on the performance of the TPS, there were differences in the in-depth temperatures and reduced recession compared to material response predictions of uncoated PICA.[5,6]. Fully Implicit Ablation and Thermal response (FIAT)[7] material response simulations were conducted with the heritage and MEDLI2 flight-lot material models. FIAT-predicted in-depth temperature responses and recession predictions were compared to flight-lot certification ground-test arc jet test data and MEDLI2 thermocouple data.

Materials Response↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Next Generation Thermal Protection System for Outer Planet Probes and Orbiter

Saturn Probe and Ice Giant Orbiter along with in-situ Probe Missions continue to be very high priority mis-sions. A result of the advocacy by OPAG and other Analysis Groups, the 3D Woven, Dual-Layer HEEET thermal protection system, mature at TRL 6, has closed the TPS gap for extreme environment missions. A mid density follow on to DL HEEET, developed to meet earth entry requirements, is a Single Layer vari-ant of the 3D woven TPS, which provides a mass effi-cient single layer 3D Mid-Density TPS (3MDCP) that has been baselined as the heatshield for MSR EEV. Continued development of 3MDCP will elevate it to TRL 6 by 2025. Conformal-PICA (C-PICA) devel-opment was pursued to establish a more efficient and robust alternate to PICA, and it is at TRL 4+. Our rationale for the next generation of TPS de-velopment is based on the on the missions needs of the next decade Outer Planet missions that are unique and more demanding than any other destinations. Taking advantage of the recent planned development of sev-eral materials, the next generation of TPS offers a much more mass efficient option for small, medium, and large class Outer Planet missions. Saturn Probes: While mission designers are gen-erally interested in shallow entry to maintain the g-load during entry around 50g, the heat-load for shallow entry can range between (100 kJ/cm2 – 300 kJ/cm2), two orders of magnitude higher than Venus or Sample Return missions. TPS must not only offer protection but must be mass efficient to perform reasonable sci-ence. TPS mass can quickly become 50% or more of the mass of the entire entry system. Recent analysis performed shows Saturn Probe missions could signifi-cantly benefit from the single layer HEEET (SL-HEEET/3MDCP). A DL-HEEET based heatshield mass could be ~ (40% -50%), SL-HEEET can provide additional (30% - 50%) mass savings. At the same time, C-PICA can provide (30% - 50%) mass savings on the backshell. The combined mass savings can be significant enough to carry an additional probe, if de-sired. Ice Giant Aerocapture Missions: Aerocapture mission architectures can provide significant ad-vantage over traditional propulsive insertion missions in multiple ways. 1) Reduced trip time ~ (4- 6) years (30% -40%), 2) Enables placing the orbiter, probe, and lander, all together and 3) Allows for greater science mass (probes and landers) due to mass efficiency. The delivery of a probe from orbit makes it easier and eliminates mission design constraints by HEEET for direct entry [4] of probes and allows for more targeted in-situ science once the Orbiter is able to collect data. In the past 20 years, progress made in GN&C for lift-guided entry missions (MSL, Orion EFT1, Mars 2020) and the expertise in blunt body aerodynamics at large scale (~ 5m) has led the EDL community to conclude that aerocapture is a “go do” engineering activity. An aerocapture mission that will deplete the excess energy of a fast arrival mission will require a mass efficient TPS that can handle extreme heat-load, ~ (100 kJ/cm2 – 500 kJ/cm2). Hence TPS, feasibility as well as mass efficiency requires assessment. Utilizing the recent developments, a comprehensive, bounding analysis was done to establish the potential for SOA (HEEET) system as well as emerging new TPS such as SL-HEEET and C-PICA. In this proposed poster, we will outline the process by which we establish bounding aerocapture trajecto-ries for hyperbolic excess velocities ranging from 27 km/s to 35 km/s, for low L/D (~ 0.4) configurations and determine conservative/bounding estimate of aer-othermal environment by using a combination of CFD simulations and stagnation point heating estimates [7]. This engineering approach allows us to assess the TPS need vs. TPS capability and determine the applicability of existing TPS. Once an applicable suite of TPS is determined, the TPS thickness and mass are comput-ed. We show that the TPS mass fraction can be as low as 5% to as high as 20%, depending on the use of ad-vanced TPS, while HEEET is sufficient but will require 50% of the entry mass.

E Venkatapathy↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Mars Entry, Descent, and Landing Instrumentation 2 Trajectory, Aerodynamics, and Atmosphere Reconstruction

On February 18th, 2021, the Mars 2020 entry system successfully delivered the Perseverance rover to the surface of Mars at Jezero Crater. The entry capsule carried a set of instrumentation installed on the heat shield and backshell, named the Mars Entry, Descent, and Landing Instrumentation 2. The instruments include pressure transducers, thermocouples, heat flux gauges, and radiometers to measure the aerodynamic and aerothermodynamic performance of the entry vehicle. This paper describes the trajectory and atmosphere reconstruction results based on the pressure sensor measurements. The process uses a Kalman filter approach to estimate the freestream atmospheric properties from the pressure measurements combined with a model of the pressure distribution of the heatshield and other sensor inputs, including an inertial measurement unit and other on-board navigation sensors, and several external atmospheric observations. The results indicate upper altitude density was up to 150% higher than nominal, which is consistent with the observed early entry guidance start time. The density below 40 km was within 12% the pre-flight predictions. The reconstructed axial force coefficient was approximately 2% lower than the pre-flight prediction across the flight range.

Christopher D Karlgaard↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

MEDLI2 Material Response Model Development and Validation

During the entry of Mars Science Laboratory (MSL) the heatshield was equipped with the instrumentation suite Mars Entry, Descent, and Landing Instruments (MEDLI). In-depth thermocouple (TC) data was used to reconstruct the surface heating and temperatures. Discrepancies between MEDLI’s recorded in-depth heating data and the predicted thermal response and recession led to a campaign to characterize and test Mars Entry, Descent, and Landing Instrument 2 (MEDLI2) flight lot thermal protection materials (TPS) at relevant temperatures and pressures for Martian entry conditions. This paper covers the development and validation of MEDLI2 flight lot material response models for the heatshield material Phenolic Impregnated Carbon Ablator (PICA) and the backshell material Super-Lightweight Ablator (SLA-561V). Virgin and char thermal conductivities were updated as a function of temperature and pressure in the MEDLI2 specific material response models. Other material properties such as virgin and char density, emissivity, absorptivity, and specific heat capacitance was also characterized and compared to the “Heritage” models used during the TPS design phase of Mars 2020. Fully Implicit Ablation and Thermal response (FIAT) simulations were completed using the Heritage and MEDLI2 material response models to provide evidence of the increased accuracy of the MEDLI2 model. FIAT predicted in-depth temperatures were compared to flight lot certification ground-test arc jet test data and MEDLI2 flight thermocouple data.

Material response↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

MEDLI2: MISP Measured Aftbody Aerothermal Environments

The Mars Entry, Descent, and Landing Instrumentation 2 (MEDLI2) sensor suite on the Mars 2020 mission included two total heat flux sensors and one radiometer on the backshell to directly measure the aftbody aerothermal environments during entry into the Martian atmosphere. All three sensors successfully returned aftbody entry heating measurements. Comparisons between the total heat flux sensor measurements and DPLR/NEQAIR predictions show excellent agreement and provide confidence in the models. The radiometer measured significant radiative heating but compared to the model predictions the signal was attenuated by 50% at the end of the entry heat pulse. The loss of signal is attributed to blockage by thermal protection system (TPS) ablation product deposits on the radiometer window. Ground-based testing in the NASA Ames arc jet facilities was conducted to understand the impact of ablation product deposits on the measured radiometer signal. A discussion of the test results, how flight-like the test conditions were, and future work to further characterize the effect of TPS ablation product deposits on the radiometer performance are presented. In addition to measuring the entry heat pulse all three sensors were sensitive enough to measure solar radiation during cruise, the radiometer measured solar flux during the entry heat pulse, and the leeside total heat flux sensor picked up the descent reaction control system firings.

Ruth A Miller↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Shock-Layer Radiation Insights Available Through Flowfield Property Binning

This paper introduces a method for assessing similarity between available shock-layer radiation measurements and the radiative heating to a vehicle of interest. This method will be referred to as the flowfield property binning (FPB) approach. The challenge in developing this approach is that radiometer measurements from a surface normal line of sight, observed radiation measurements of the entire shock-layer from a distance, or measured shock-tube nonequilibrium profiles are notably different geometrically than the radiative flux to a vehicle surface. Therefore, the relative contributions of various regions of the shock-layer to the measurement, and how these relative contributions compare with the radiative heating to a vehicle of interest, are unclear. By tracking the radiation contribution from each flowfield location, and then grouping this contribution based on two local flowfield properties, these geometric differences are removed. This provide a two dimensional group, or bin, distribution that represents the radiation environment in the same format for various types of radiation simulations, such as observed radiation or radiative flux to a vehicle surface. In the limits of optically-thin radiation transport and thermochemical equilibrium flow, the choice of pressure and temperature as the binning flowfield properties is shown to provide a bin distribution that uniquely defines the radiation simulation. This concept is found to be sufficient for establishing similarity between two cases even when the optically-thin radiation transport and thermochemical equilibrium assumptions are not satisfied. A simple metric of comparison between bin distributions from different cases is provided by the histogram intersection algorithm. This algorithm results in a histogram intersection factor (H) between 0 and 1, which represents the fraction of the radiation that is similar between the two cases. Therefore, if H evaluated between bin distributions for two completely different radiation problems is near 1, then they represent essentially the same radiation problem. This means that they depend on the same weighting of various radiation modeling parameters evaluated at the same pressure and temperature. If one of these cases agrees well with a radiation measurement, then the matching bin distributions provide justification for applying this experimental validation to the other case. Even for H values as low as 0.2, the measurement case could be considered relevant if there are no other useful measurements. This approach allows observed radiation measurements to directly inform radiative heating simulations, which allows NASA’s past and future investments in observed radiation measurements to directly inform the radiative heating uncertainty or margins for future vehicle design. This FPB approach is also used to determine shock-tube conditions for informing backshell radiative heating simulations, where the normal shock velocity and Lagrangian time from the shock is used for the binning variables instead of pressure and temperature.

Shock Layer Radiation↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

MEDLI2: MISP Inferred Aerothermal Environment and Flow Transition Assessment

The Mars Entry, Descent, and Landing Instrumentation 2 (MEDLI2) sensor suite on the Mars2020 mission contained multiple sensors on the aeroshell to measure the aerothermal environment during entry into the Martian atmosphere. These sensors performed superbly and successfully returned forebody and aftbody heating measurements. Analysis of MEDLI2 data indicated flow transitioning from a laminar to turbulent state on the heatshield. No evidence of flow transition was observed on the backshell. Two methods were used to estimate flow transition times on the heatshield: (1) temperature gradient of near-surface thermocouple data and (2) heat flux gradient from an inverse reconstruction approach using thermocouple data and material response modeling. Both methods produced similar transition times with an estimated accuracy of ±1 s. To assess various transition criteria, transition parameters were evaluated at each sensor location using flow field solutions from computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations. The idea was to use conservative values inferred from MEDLI2 data as transition criteria for other Mars missions. To test this hypothesis, MEDLI data from the Mars Science Laboratory (MSL) mission was used to compare predicted vs. actual flow transition times. The comparisons suggest smooth wall transition criteria are not well-suited in modeling the rapid progression of a turbulent transition front. Transition criteria containing a roughness element parameter agreed better with the flight data. In summary, critical transition values derived from MEDLI2 data may be used as a starting point in constructing a flow transition model for future Mars missions.

Chun Y Tang↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Variance Decomposition of MEDLI2 Reconstructed Heating Using Neural Networks

The Mars Entry, Descent, and Landing Instrumentation (MEDLI2) sensor suite collected data during entry of the Mars 2020 Perseverance rover into Mars’ atmosphere. This suite included a network of MEDLI2 Instrumented Sensor Plugs (MISPs). Each MISP was comprised of a cylinder made of Thermal Protection System (TPS) material with 1-3 embedded thermocouples (TCs), and it was flush mounted into the heatshield or backshell. Data from these in-depth TCs were used to reconstruct the aeroheating environment of the vehicle throughout entry. Surface heating was posed as an inverse problem, with the goal of estimating the surface heating by minimizing an objective function of the difference between MISP temperature measurements during flight and the temperature predictions derived from the Fully Implicit Ablation and Thermal response (FIAT) program. Given an aerothermal environment, FIAT calculates the material response and provides in-depth temperatures throughout the TPS material. To achieve the reverse, an internal tool called FIAT_Opt runs through multiple different environments until the output temperature at the TC depth closely matches the flight data. 95% confidence intervals on the reconstructed surface heating were obtained using Monte Carlo analysis, in which uncertainties in the thermocouple depth and the TPS material properties (e.g., density, thermal conductivity, heat capacity, emissivity) based on flight-lot material testing were included. A variance decomposition method using Sobol indices was employed to assess the sensitivity of the reconstructed peak heating to the TC placement and material property uncertainties. Variance decomposition was found to require tens of thousands of FIAT_Opt runs in order for the Sobol indices to converge. With a single FIAT_Opt run taking on the order of 40 minutes, the required number of computations would take months to complete, even if using multiple CPUs. To mitigate this problem, three machine learning models (ridge regression with cross-validation, random forest regression, and a deep neural network) were trained and tested using the 2000 Monte Carlo runs that were already completed. A subset of 1600 runs were used to train the model (i.e., training set), while the remaining 400 runs were used as the test set. The predictions from the deep neural network (DNN) on the test set showed nearly perfect agreement to the actual values computed with FIAT_Opt (R2 > 0.99). Using the DNN as a surrogate model, the variance decomposition using 50,000 runs was completed within minutes. The resulting Sobol indices showed that the reconstructed peak surface heating was most sensitive to the uncertainties in the thermal conductivity (ST = 0.37) and heat capacity (ST = 0.26). This method can be leveraged to provide requirements for material property measurements needed to improve the accuracy of surface heating prediction and ultimately lead to the reduction of design margins in the future. This presentation will include background on the MEDLI2 suite; the method used for inverse heating estimation; the way that material property uncertainties were accounted for using Monte Carlo analysis; a brief background on variance decomposition; the motivation for using machine learning in this context; how a neural network was trained on the data to enable variance decomposition in a fraction of the time; and the variance decomposition results for one of the MISPs.

Hannah Alpert↗