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At least 127 records · Page 7

Resilient Observer Design for Cyber-Physical Systems with Data-Driven Measurement Pruning

Resilient observer design for Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS) in the presence of adversarial false data injection attacks (FDIA) is an active area of research. The existing state-of-the-art algorithms tend to break down as more and more knowledge of the system is built into the attack model; also as the percentage of attacked nodes increases. From the view of optimization theory, the problem is often cast as a classical error correction problem for which a theoretical limit of has been established as the maximum percentage attacked nodes for which state recovery is guaranteed. Beyond this limit, the performance of -minimization based schemes, for instance, deteriorates rapidly. Similar performance degradation occurs for other types of resilient observers beyond certain percentages of attacked nodes. In order to increase the corresponding percentage of attacked nodes for which state recoveries can be guaranteed, researchers have begun to incorporate prior information into the underlying resilient observer design framework. For the most pragmatic cases, this prior information is often obtained through a data-driven machine learning process. Existing results have shown a strong positive correlation between the maximum attacked percentages that can be tolerated and the accuracy of the data-driven model. Motivated by these results, this chapter examines the case for pruning algorithms designed to improve the Positive Prediction Value (PPV) of the resulting prior information, given stochastic uncertainty characteristics of the underlying machine learning model. Theoretical quantification of the achievable improvement is given. Simulation results show that the pruning algorithm significantly increases the maximum correctable percentage of attacked nodes, even for machine learning model whose prediction power is comparable to the random flip of a coin.

Resilient Observer, Cyber-physical Systems, Data-D↗

Machine learning-based surrogate modeling for data-driven optimization: a comparison of subset selection for regression techniques

Optimization of simulation-based or data-driven systems is a challenging task, which has attracted significant attention in the recent literature. A very efficient approach for optimizing systems without analytical expressions is through fitting surrogate models. Due to their increased flexibility, nonlinear interpolating functions, such as radial basis functions and Kriging, have been predominantly used as surrogates for data-driven optimization; however, these methods lead to complex nonconvex formulations. Alternatively, commonly used regression-based surrogates lead to simpler formulations, but they are less flexible and inaccurate if the form is not known a priori. In this work, we investigate the efficiency of subset selection regression techniques for developing surrogate functions that balance both accuracy and complexity. Subset selection creates sparse regression models by selecting only a subset of original features, which are linearly combined to generate a diverse set of surrogate models. Five different subset selection techniques are compared with commonly used nonlinear interpolating surrogate functions with respect to optimization solution accuracy, computation time, sampling requirements, and model sparsity. Furthermore, our results indicate that subset selection-based regression functions exhibit promising performance when the dimensionality is low, while interpolation performs better for higher dimensional problems.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A Convex Data-Driven Approach for Nonlinear Control Synthesis

We consider a class of nonlinear control synthesis problems where the underlying mathematical models are not explicitly known. We propose a data-driven approach to stabilize the systems when only sample trajectories of the dynamics are accessible. Our method is built on the density-function-based stability certificate that is the dual to the Lyapunov function for dynamic systems. Unlike Lyapunov-based methods, density functions lead to a convex formulation for a joint search of the control strategy and the stability certificate. This type of convex problem can be solved efficiently using the machinery of the sum of squares (SOS). For the data-driven part, we exploit the fact that the duality results in the stability theory can be understood through the lens of Perron–Frobenius and Koopman operators. This allows us to use data-driven methods to approximate these operators and combine them with the SOS techniques to establish a convex formulation of control synthesis. The efficacy of the proposed approach is demonstrated through several examples.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Hybrid Data-Driven Physics-Based Model Framework Implementation: Towards a Secure Cyber-Physical Operation of the Smart Grid

False data injection cyber-attack detection models on smart grid operation have been much explored recently, considering analytical physics-based and data-driven solutions. Recently, a hybrid data-driven physics-based model framework for monitoring the smart grid is developed. However, the framework has not been implemented in real-time environment yet. In this paper, the framework of the hybrid model is developed within a real-time simulation environment. OPAL-RT real-time simulator is used to enable Hardware-in-the-Loop testing of the framework. IEEE 9-bus system is considered as a testing grid for gaining insight. The process of building the framework and the challenges faced during development are presented. The performance of the framework is investigated under various false data injection attacks.

false data injection attack, machine learning, sta↗

A Hybrid Framework Combining Model-Based and Data-Driven Methods for Hierarchical Decentralized Robust Dynamic State Estimation: Preprint

This paper combines model-based and data-driven methods to develop a hierarchical decentralized robust dynamic state estimator (DSE). A two-level hierarchy is proposed, where the lower level is comprised of robust model-based decentralized DSEs. The state estimates sent from the lower level are received at the upper level, where they are filtered by a robust data- driven DSE, after a principled sparse selection. This selection allows us to shrink the dimension of the problem at the upper level, and hence to speed up the computational time significantly. The proposed hybrid framework does not depend upon the centralized infrastructure of the control centers, thus it can be completely embedded into the wide-area measurement systems. This feature will ultimately facilitate the placement of hierarchical decentralized control schemes at the phasor data concentrator (PDC) locations. Also, the network model is not necessary, thus a topology processor is not required. Finally, there is no assumption on the dynamics of the electric loads. The proposed framework is tested on a 2000-bus network.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Data-driven Feature Analysis in Control Design for Series-Compensated Transmission Systems

One challenge in power-system control designs is the gap between numerical model-based analysis and complex real-world power systems. With increased data and measurements being collected from power systems, data-driven analysis (e.g., machine learning) may provide an alternative approach to reveal hidden information through learning from the real system data, and provide insights for better control scheme design during the utility planning process. Data-driven feature analysis was performed to evaluate the relationships between series compensation, power generation, and path flows in a real transmission system, as well as temporal patterns. The main data-driven analysis methods, including statistical cross-correlation, multinomial logistical regression, and classification and regression trees, were integrated for feature selection and developing predictive models of series compensation. Analysis results demonstrated the effectiveness of the proposed methodology in feature analysis and the potential to help improve power-system control scheme design.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Testing the Accuracy of Data-driven MHD Simulations of Active Region Evolution

Models for the evolution of the solar coronal magnetic field are vital for understanding solar activity, yet the best measurements of the magnetic field lie at the photosphere, necessitating the development of coronal models which are “data-driven” at the photosphere. We present an investigation to determine the feasibility and accuracy of such methods. Our validation framework uses a simulation of active region (AR) formation, modeling the emergence of magnetic flux from the convection zone to the corona, as a ground-truth data set, to supply both the photospheric information and to perform the validation of the data-driven method. We focus our investigation on how the accuracy of the data-driven model depends on the temporal frequency of the driving data. The Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager on NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory produces full-disk vector magnetic field measurements at a 12-minute cadence. Using our framework we show that ARs that emerge over 25 hr can be modeled by the data-driving method with only ∼1% error in the free magnetic energy, assuming the photospheric information is specified every 12 minutes. However, for rapidly evolving features, under-sampling of the dynamics at this cadence leads to a strobe effect, generating large electric currents and incorrect coronal morphology and energies. We derive a sampling condition for the driving cadence based on the evolution of these small-scale features, and show that higher-cadence driving can lead to acceptable errors. Future work will investigate the source of errors associated with deriving plasma variables from the photospheric magnetograms as well as other sources of errors, such as reduced resolution, instrument bias, and noise.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Equation-based and data-driven modeling: Open-source software current state and future directions

Here, a review of current trends in scientific computing reveals a broad shift to open-source and higher-level programming languages such as Python and growing career opportunities over the next decade. Open-source modeling tools accelerate innovation in equation-based and data-driven applications. Significant resources have been deployed to develop data-driven tools (PyTorch, TensorFlow, Scikit-learn) from tech companies that rely on machine learning services to meet business needs while keeping the foundational tools open. Open-source equation-based tools such as Pyomo, CasADi, Gekko, and JuMP are also gaining momentum according to user community and development pace metrics. Integration of data-driven and principles-based tools is emerging. New compute hardware, productivity software, and training resources have the potential to radically accelerate progress. However, long-term support mechanisms are still necessary to sustain the momentum and maintenance of critical foundational packages.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Data-driven chemical kinetic reaction mechanism for F-24 jet fuel ignition

A data-driven chemical kinetic mechanism for the military version of Jet A, F-24, is developed for numerical simulations of the ignition process. The main purpose of this study is to obtain a practical F-24 mechanism across wide temperature and equivalence ratio ranges, with a particular focus on the negative temperature coefficient and low temperature regions. The new mechanism (ARLMech-HC-F24) is based on the HyChem model of a similar fuel and optimized using a micro-genetic algorithm against an experimental ignition delay data set of the target fuel. The development and optimization processes include reaction selection, population creation, shuffled tournament implementation based on a merit function, and child-individual creation for the next generation. Several techniques and parameters are proposed to generate an accurate mechanism through an efficient process. The newly introduced data-driven mechanism based on these techniques shows better merit value convergence and represents the ignition behavior more accurately than that without the techniques. This practical mechanism is suitable for the numerical simulations of the F-24 or Jet A ignition problem, and the suggested strategies can be employed in similar problems of rate coefficients estimation.

42 ENGINEERING↗

X-BASE: the first terrestrial carbon and water flux products from an extended data-driven scaling framework, FLUXCOM-X

Mapping in situ eddy covariance measurements of terrestrial land–atmosphere fluxes to the globe is a key method for diagnosing the Earth system from a data-driven perspective. We describe the first global products (called X-BASE) from a newly implemented upscaling framework, FLUXCOM-X, representing an advancement from the previous generation of FLUXCOM products in terms of flexibility and technical capabilities. The X-BASE products are comprised of estimates of CO 2 net ecosystem exchange (NEE), gross primary productivity (GPP), evapotranspiration (ET), and for the first time a novel, fully data-driven global transpiration product (ETT), at high spatial (0.05°) and temporal (hourly) resolution. X-BASE estimates the global NEE at −5.75 ± 0.33 Pg C yr −1 for the period 2001–2020, showing a much higher consistency with independent atmospheric carbon cycle constraints compared to the previous versions of FLUXCOM. The improvement of global NEE was likely only possible thanks to the international effort to increase the precision and consistency of eddy covariance collection and processing pipelines, as well as to the extension of the measurements to more site years resulting in a wider coverage of bioclimatic conditions. However, X-BASE global net ecosystem exchange shows a very low interannual variability, which is common to state-of-the-art data-driven flux products and remains a scientific challenge. With 125 ± 2.1 Pg C yr −1 for the same period, X-BASE GPP is slightly higher than previous FLUXCOM estimates, mostly in temperate and boreal areas. X-BASE evapotranspiration amounts to 74.7×10 3 ± 0.9×10 3 km 3 globally for the years 2001–2020 but exceeds precipitation in many dry areas, likely indicating overestimation in these regions. On average 57 % of evapotranspiration is estimated to be transpiration, in good agreement with isotope-based approaches, but higher than estimates from many land surface models. Despite considerable improvements to the previous upscaling products, many further opportunities for development exist. Pathways of exploration include methodological choices in the selection and processing of eddy covariance and satellite observations, their ingestion into the framework, and the configuration of machine learning methods. For this, the new FLUXCOM-X framework was specifically designed to have the necessary flexibility to experiment, diagnose, and converge to more accurate global flux estimates.

Nelson, Jacob A.↗

A systematic feature extraction and selection framework for data-driven whole-building automated fault detection and diagnostics in commercial buildings

In data-driven automated fault detection and diagnostics (AFDD) modeling for building energy systems, feature engineering is a critical process of extracting information from high-dimensional and noisy sensor measurement and turning it into informative and representative inputs or features for data-driven modeling. However, few studies specifically discuss the feature engineering, especially the interactions between feature extraction and feature selection in whole-building AFDD. We developed a systematic feature extraction and selection framework for whole-building AFDD. In this framework, features are aggressively extracted from raw sensor data using statistical feature extraction techniques with various window sizes and statistics. With many features extracted, a hybrid feature selection algorithm that combines the filter and wrapper method then selects the best feature set. The framework considers diversity in the duration of fault behavior among fault types in whole-building AFDD, thus achieving high model generalization. We implemented our developed framework in a virtual testbed calibrated with measured data from Oak Ridge National Laboratory's Flexible Research Platform designed to mimic the operation of a typical small commercial building. The AFDD model is trained by the simulation data generated from the virtual testbed. The results show that (1) the developed framework improves the generalization of the AFDD model by 10.7% compared with literature-reported feature extraction and selection methods and (2) features with diverse window sizes and statistics are selected, providing insight into physical systems beyond the current understanding of buildings and faults and improving the detection and diagnostics of multiple fault types.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

SAM-ML: Integrating data-driven closure with nuclear system code SAM for improved modeling capability

Advanced reactors often involve complicated thermal-fluid (T-F) phenomena. Modeling such phenomena with the traditional one-dimensional (1-D) system code is a challenging task. The System Analysis Module (SAM), a modern nuclear system code, has developed a coarse mesh multi-dimensional (multi-D) flow model to capture the spatial effect of T-F phenomena in advanced reactors. As a coarse mesh solver, constitutive relations are required for SAM's multi-D model for unresolved fine-scale physics, such as turbulence. Here this work presents a novel approach that integrates neural networks as data-driven closure for SAM's multi-D flow model. The data-driven closure is trained with fine-resolution data to ensure its accuracy while maintaining a coarse mesh setup to ensure its efficiency and consistency with SAM. We demonstrate the applicability of this SAM-ML capability in an open volume thermal stratification problem, where a neural network model serves as the eddy viscosity closure. A customized interface between the neural network and SAM is developed to ensure flexible and efficient data exchange. The SAM-ML results demonstrate superior performance compared to SAM's built-in zero-equation eddy viscosity closure. The case study shows that although the generalization capability of the data-driven closure still needs to be improved for different transient case or different geometric setup, SAM -ML demonstrates good potential for challenging simulation problems with improved accuracy and computational efficiency.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

A Perspective on Traditional and Data Driven Electrochemical Modeling and Analysis

To understand the behavior of electrochemical systems, we need to reduce the dimensionality of the measured current-voltage-time (I-V-t) data by fitting models, thus enabling us to analyze and compare the governing physics. Traditionally, the process for this is an 'expert first' approach: defining the model and its explicit assumptions based on inductive reasoning or empirical observation, fitting small portions of the I-V-t data where assumptions are most valid or carefully designing experiments to enforce key assumptions, and then interpreting the model parameters. However, modern data-driven methods enable a new paradigm: a 'data first' approach, where the latent behaviors governing the system's measured response are identified directly using machine-learning models that optimize both model structure and parameters from the I-V-t data, guaranteeing that the learned model explains as much of the observed system response as possible. After model identification, the model can then be interrogated by an expert to connect observed behaviors with underlying physics. This talk will review several different types of electrochemical analysis (electrochemical impedance, differential voltage-capacity, electrochemical kinetics) and compare the traditional and data-driven methods for analyzing the data.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Data-driven subtraction of anisotropic flows in jet-like correlation studies in heavy-ion collisions

Measurements of two-particle azimuthal angle correlations are a useful tool to study the distribution of jet energy loss; however, they are complicated because of the significant anisotropic flow background. We devise a data-driven method for subtracting anisotropic flow background in jet-like correlation analysis. We first require a large recoil momentum (P x ) within a given pseudorapidity (η) range from a high-transverse momentum particle to enhance in-acceptance population of away-side jet-like correlations. Then we take the difference of two-particle correlations in the close region and far region with respect to the η region of P x to subtract the anisotropic flow background. Here, we use a toy model which contains only anisotropic flow and pythia8 which has jets, to demonstrate the validity of our data-driven method. The results indicate that the data-driven method can subtract anisotropic flow effectively.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

A Hybrid Data-Driven and Model-Based Anomaly Detection Scheme for DER Operation

This paper proposes a hybrid data and model-based anomaly detection scheme to secure the operation of distributed energy resources (DERs) in distribution grids. Data-driven autoencoders are set up at the edge device level and they use local DER operational data as inputs. The abnormal statuses are detected by analyzing reconstruction errors. In parallel, modelbased state estimation (SE) is set up at the central level and it uses system-wide models and measurements as data inputs. The anomalies are identified by analyzing measurement residuals. The hybrid scheme preserves the benefits of both data-driven and model-based analyses and thus improves the robustness and the accuracy of anomaly detection. Numerical tests based on the model of a real distribution feeder in Southern California highlight the proposed scheme's effectiveness and benefits.

anomaly detection↗

Crossing the Finish Line: Integration of Data-Driven Process Control for Maximization of Energy and Resource Efficiency in Advanced Water Resource Recovery Facilities

Improvements in process monitoring and control at water resource recovery facilities (WRRFs) could result in reductions in electricity consumption, chemical inputs, and greenhouse gas emissions, as well as improved energy recovery. Many current WRRF data collection, monitoring, and control approaches use 20th century process monitoring and control systems, which require large design safety factors to ensure reliability in the absence of more advanced, precise controls. Implementation of more modern data-driven control tools could lead to more efficient operations that provide intrinsic reliability with better overall process performance at full-scale. This presentation provides an overview of a recently initiated project "Crossing the Finish Line: Integration of Data-Driven Process Control for Maximization of Energy and Resource Efficiency in Advanced Water Resource Recovery Facilities" which will (1) develop and demonstrate data-driven process controls at full-scale facilities for five promising WRRF Applications (i.e., process technologies) that provide whole-plant approaches and offer substantial energy and resource recovery benefits, and (2) create a toolbox of new process control approaches and an implementation guide including five examples for application at utilities. The presentation also provides a detailed overview of the research approach and progress being made on one of the five Applications, namely Application 2: Biological Nutrient Removal (BNR): ammonium-based aeration control (ABAC) / ammonia vs. NOx (AvN) + partial denitration with anammox (PdNA), which is being implemented at Hampton Roads Sanitation District. This project is a collaboration of work being conducted by DC Water, Hampton Roads Sanitation District, Metro Water Recovery, University of Michigan, Northwestern University, US Military Academy - West Point, Black & Veatch, and Oak Ridge National Laboratory. Research partner: U.S. Department of Energy.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Towards Trust-Augmented Visual Analytics for Data-Driven Energy Modeling

The promise of data-driven predictive modeling is being increasingly realized in various science and engineering disciplines, where experts are used to the more conventional, simulation-driven modeling practices. However, trust remains a bottleneck for greater adoption of machine learning-based models for domain experts, who might not be necessarily trained in data science. In this paper, we focus on the building energy domain, where physics-based simulations are being complemented or replaced by machine learning-based methods for forecasting energy supply and demand at various spatio-temporal scales. We study the trust problem in close collaboration with energy scientists and engineers and describe how visual analytics can be leveraged for alleviating this trust bottleneck for stakeholders with varying degrees of expertise and analytics goals in this domain.

Kandakatla, Akshith R.↗

A Hybrid Data-Driven and Model-Based Anomaly Detection Scheme for DER Operation: Preprint

This paper proposes a hybrid data and model-based anomaly detection for securing the operation of distributed energy resources (DERs) in distribution grids. Data-driven autoencoders (AE) are set up at the edge level by taking local DER data and detect anomalous operations by leveraging the reconstruction ability. In parallel, model-based state estimation (SE) is running at the system level by taking system models and measurements, the anomalies are identified by analyzing the measurements residual. The hybrid scheme preserves the benefits of both data-driven and model-based analysis and thus improves the robustness and accuracy of anomaly detection. It can be established by getting full use of the existing infrastructures in distribution grids. Numerical tests on a realistic distribution feeder in Southern California highlight the effectiveness as well as benefits of the proposed scheme.

anomaly detection↗