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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 127 records · Page 7

A DATA EFFICIENT SPARSE MODELING FRAMEWORK FOR POWER ESTIMATION IN WATER TREATMENT SENSING OPERATIONS

With increasing freshwater scarcity, advanced process design mechanisms such as Closed-Circuit Reverse Osmosis (CCRO) and Digital/Physical Twin systems are gaining traction in water treatment and reuse operations. While digital and physical twin models enable improved system insight and control, their development is often expensive and computationally intensive, requiring large volumes of synthetic or experimental data to characterize underlying process dynamics. This work introduces a sparse surrogate modeling framework to estimate power consumption from measured flow and pressure variables, along with their nonlinear polynomial and interaction expansions. To ensure model reliability and reduce overfitting, a two-stage pipeline is proposed. First, a dynamic data filtering algorithm is employed to remove uninformative observations and transient operational states. Second, a sparse penalized regression technique is applied to select a minimal set of parsimonious features. The proposed model achieves high sparsity, retaining only 7 out of 34 candidate features (≈79.41% sparsity) while delivering a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.072 on the test dataset.

Mukherjee, Subrata [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000309930338)↗

Integrating Safety, Security, and Nuclear Operations for Advanced Reactors

The traditional separation between safety, security, and operations teams has created significant barriers to achieving optimal outcomes. When security considerations are introduced late in the design process, they often conflict with already-established architectural, operational, or engineering parameters. Retrofitting security measures can lead to increased costs, schedule delays, and compromises in security effectiveness. For instance, the need to retrofit physical barriers or surveillance systems often results in trade-offs that could have been avoided with earlier input from security professionals. Delayed integration can also affect regulatory processes and result in licensing delays. Security reviews conducted at later stages frequently identify gaps that necessitate significant redesign efforts, impacting not only scope, schedule, and budget, but also adding risk and lowering stakeholder confidence in the project. This paper aims to address these challenges by identifying practical opportunities for integrating security considerations seamlessly with design and operations teams throughout the entire lifecycle of nuclear facilities—from conceptual design to commissioning and beyond. The research emphasizes the value of early and continuous collaboration among stakeholders to ensure that security measures are robust, operationally effective, and cost-efficient. By examining case studies, analyzing past incidents, and leveraging best practices from other high-security industries, this study highlights actionable strategies for bridging the gap between safety, security, and operations teams.

Zineddin, Dr. Z. [ORNL] (ORCID:0009000848740725)↗

Machine Learning of Plasma Science for Next Generation Microelectronics (Project Final Report)

Low temperature plasmas (LTPs) are an enabling technology behind reducing device dimensions and the continuation of Moore’s Law. It is estimated that 40-45% of all process steps necessary to manufacture semiconductor devices involve LTPs. However, challenges in plasma process design and continuous incorporation of novel materials for new device architectures are pushing the limits of what is possible with current plasma technology. For example, creating higher aspect ratio structures and etching features at the atomic scale both require finer control of the ion energy/velocity at wafer surfaces. To support these types of future innovations in the plasma processing systems that Sandia and the DOE rely upon, we have developed novel diagnostics, simulations, and machine learning capabilities to discover, characterize, and predict plasma phenomena affecting the ion energy/velocity distribution function (IEDF). These efforts also supported research program development and external collaboration with industry and academia through Sandia’s Plasma Research Facility (PRF). This report will focus on the following topics and accomplishments of this three year LDRD project, briefly summarized.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Practical and Optimal Sequential Bayesian Experimental Design for Complex Systems Incorporating Human Experimenter Preferences (Final Scientific/Technical Report)

Experiments are indispensable for developing models of complex systems. Carefully designed experiments can provide substantial savings for these expensive data-acquisition opportunities. However, designs based on heuristics are often suboptimal for systems with multiphysics, nonlinear dynamics, and uncertain and noisy environments. Optimal experimental design, while leveraging predictive models, seeks to systematically quantify and maximize the value of experiments. In this project, we focused on the design of multiple experiments, where current approaches are largely suboptimal: batch-design does not adapt to new data acquired during the experiment campaign (no feedback), and greedy/myopic design ignores future dynamics and consequences (no lookahead). We developed the mathematical framework and computational methods for sequential optimal experimental design (sOED) for complex systems. We enabled tractable model-based sOED in a rigorous manner through novel algorithms based on reinforcement learning, and investigated the effects of human experimenters on the design process. Our methods are fully Bayesian, able to quantify and update uncertainty in a principled manner. The traits aimed by our approach—mathematical rigor and optimality, human effects and uncertainty quantification, computational practicality—are crucial for elevating the standards of artificial intelligence (AI) to support decision-making in scientific domains, and contribute toward trust and realistic adoption of AI in experimental design practice.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Predicting Initial Trans-Membrane Pressure for Optimized Operations in UF Unit Using Random Forest

With the growing scarcity of freshwater, innovative process design mechanisms like Ultra-filtration(UF) units are increasingly gaining attention among water treatment utilities to address the rising demand. Ensuring reliable water production necessitates efficient resource utilization, minimizing downtime in UF systems. Recent advancements in machine learning (ML) have enabled the development of accurate data-driven models for Model Predictive Control (MPC), often requiring minimal prior knowledge of underlying physical processes. In this study, we present predictive regression models based on Random Forest (RF) and Auto-Regressive (AR) approaches to forecast the initial Trans-Membrane Pressure (TMP) for each filtration cycle in data generated by Direct Potable Reuse (DPR) systems. The proposed RF-based model demonstrates superior performance compared to baseline methods, including historical mean, Last Observation Carried Forward (LOCF), and naïve AR models, across various forecasting horizons in terms of root mean square (RMSE) metric. Accurate prediction of initial TMP is critical for optimizing CCRO operations, as it enables the development of robust modelling frameworks that enhance process efficiency and reliability. The demonstrated efficacy of the RF-based approach highlights its potential as a tool for real-time decision-making in water treatment systems, paving the way for advanced process optimization and sustainable water resource management.

Mukherjee, Subrata [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000309930338)↗

Predicting Initial Trans-Membrane Pressure for Optimized Operations in UF Unit Using Random Forest

With the growing scarcity of freshwater, innovative process design mechanisms like Reverse Osmosis (RO) are increasingly gaining attention among water treatment utilities to address the rising demand. Ensuring reliable water production necessitates efficient resource utilization, minimizing downtime in (ultra-filtration) UF systems. Recent advancements in machine learning (ML) have enabled the development of accurate data-driven models for Model Predictive Control (MPC), often requiring minimal prior knowledge of underlying physical processes. In this study, we present predictive regression models based on Random Forest (RF) and Auto-Regressive (AR) approaches to forecast the initial Trans-Membrane Pressure (TMP) for each filtration cycle in data generated by Direct Potable Reuse (DPR) systems. The proposed RF-based model demonstrates superior performance compared to baseline methods, including historical mean, Last Observation Carried Forward (LOCF), and naïve AR models, across various forecasting horizons in terms of root mean square error (RMSE) metric. To evaluate how different classes of process variables contribute to TMP dynamics over time, we examine the feature importance of independent covariates across multiple forecast horizons. This analysis provides insight into the temporal relevance of operational and sensor-derived features, guiding control and monitoring strategies. Additionally, the impact of hyperparameter tuning on TMP prediction performance is studied for both direct and recursive RF modelling approaches across increasing forecast horizons. Accurate prediction of initial TMP is critical for optimizing RO operations, as it enables the development of robust modelling frameworks by accurately estimating membrane fouling trends, thereby enhancing process efficiency and long-term reliability. The demonstrated efficacy of the RF-based approach highlights its potential as a tool for real-time decision-making in water treatment systems, paving the way for advanced process optimization and sustainable water resource management.

Mukherjee, Subrata [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000309930338)↗

Comparison of Commercial, State-of-the-Art, Fossil-Based Ammonia Production

This NETL report provides a comprehensive techno-economic analysis of current, state-of-the-art, fossil-based ammonia production processes, explicitly utilizing natural gas as the feedstock. The study thoroughly investigates three distinct configurations: conventional Steam Methane Reforming (SMR) without carbon capture, SMR integrated with carbon capture and storage (CCS), and Autothermal Reforming (ATR) also with CCS. The analysis incorporates detailed equipment cost accounting as part of its methodology. The primary objective is to meticulously evaluate the cost and performance of these established and emerging technological pathways, considering factors such as capital expenditures, operational costs, and energy consumption. While the report acknowledges and quantifies environmental impacts, its central focus remains on the economic and technical feasibility of each process design employing these current technologies. The analysis provides a direct comparison of the Levelized Cost of Ammonia (LCOA) for each pathway, revealing how the integration of CCS within these state-of-the-art systems impacts the overall production cost. The ATR+CCS configuration, representing an advanced approach, emerged with a slightly more favorable LCOA compared to SMR+CCS. This benefit was attributed to its inherent process efficiencies, high carbon capture rates, and economy of scale advantages. The report details the energy consumption profiles for each case, including metrics like net energy consumption and thermal efficiency, which are critical for assessing the performance of these contemporary industrial processes. Sensitivity analyses further explore how variables such as natural gas price, capital costs, and capacity factors influence the LCOA across all scenarios, offering critical insights into the economic robustness and scalability of these current ammonia production technologies.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

CryoPDK Development for 22nm FDSOI CryoCMOS

Cryogenic Process Design Kits (PDKs) are an indispensable tool in the design of complex integrated circuits across a wide spectrum of applications, from noble element detectors to Quantum Information Science, Superconducting Nanowire Single Photon Detectors (SNSPDs), and precision atomic clocks. The development of PDK-compatible SPICE models is a complex endeavor requiring test structures, measurements, model extraction and fitting. We will present the cryogenic modeling and development of a cryo-PDK for a 22nm FDSOI CMOS process for operation at 3.8 Kelvin.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Maximizing long-term biohydrogen production with Clostridium thermocellum for high solids conversion of lignocellulosic biomass

Biological hydrogen production from lignocellulosic biomass sustainably couples organic waste reduction with renewable energy generation. Efficient conversion is challenged by the structural complexity of lignocellulose and resulting recalcitrance to enzymatic degradation. Clostridium thermocellum natively breaks down biomass with highly effective hemi-/cellulases systems (i.e., cellulosomes) and generates hydrogen in anaerobic cultivation, creating a compelling platform for lignocellulosic biohydrogen production. Achieving commercially viable production rates requires balancing high biomass loading and throughput against uniform mixing conditions required for enzyme dispersion, pH and temperature control, and efficient hydrogen and metabolite removal in continuous operation. To address these barriers to process intensification, we implemented novel reactor and process designs for high-solids lignocellulosic biomass fermentations using the C. thermocellum KJC19-9 strain, genetically engineered for co-utilization of cellulose and hemicellulose sugars (i.e., xylose). Via computational fluid dynamics (CFD) modeling and experimental validation, we achieved a >50% improvement in biohydrogen production with an improved anchor-type impeller morphology, coupled to a threefold reduction in agitation rate. To further reduce rheological constraints and accumulation of toxic metabolites, we then transitioned the process to sequencing fed-batch operation. The resulting process generated 24.87 L H 2 L −1 from 160 g L −1 of deacetylated and mechanically refined (DMR)-pretreated corn stover biomass over 16 days while solubilizing >95% of influent cellulose and hemicellulose, setting a new performance benchmark for continuous production of biohydrogen from lignocellulose.

08 HYDROGEN↗

MARVEL Lessons Learned – 2026 Edition Fabrication, Fuel Procurement, Quality Assurance, and Safety Basis

The Microreactor Applications Research Validation and Evaluation (MARVEL) project is intended to be among the first U.S. advanced reactor demonstrations in four decades. By virtue of being sponsored directly by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), the reactor is expected to benefit the broader nuclear community by exercising design processes, safety reviews, and supply chains. This project is committed to publicly documenting key lessons learned along the way toward demonstration. Building on a 2025 report that focused on lessons learned from guard vessel fabrication and Primary Coolant Apparatus Test (PCAT) testing (Abou-Jaoude et al. 2025), this 2026 edition captures findings spanning structural fabrication, quality assurance (QA), reactivity control system (RCS) assembly, fuel fabrication and shipment, safety basis development, balance-of-plant design, and overall reactor design.

21 - SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLAN↗

A Bayesian Multi-fidelity Neural Network to Predict Nonlinear Frequency Backbone Curves

The use of structural mechanics models during the design process often leads to the development of models of varying fidelity. Often low-fidelity models are efficient to simulate but lack accuracy, while the high-fidelity counterparts are accurate with less efficiency. Here, this paper presents a multi-fidelity surrogate modeling approach that combines the accuracy of a high-fidelity finite element model with the efficiency of a low-fidelity model to train an even faster surrogate model that parameterizes the design space of interest. The objective of these models is to predict the nonlinear frequency backbone curves of the Tribomechadynamics Research Challenge benchmark structure which exhibits simultaneous nonlinearities from frictional contact and geometric nonlinearity. The surrogate model consists of an ensemble of neural networks that learn the mapping between low and high-fidelity data through nonlinear transformations. Bayesian neural networks are used to assess the surrogate model's uncertainty. Once trained, the multi-fidelity neural network is used to perform sensitivity analysis to assess the influence of the design parameters on the predicted backbone curves. Additionally, Bayesian calibration is performed to update the input parameter distributions to correlate the model parameters to the collection of experimentally measured backbone curves.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Innovating the next generation of commercial smart building software

Nearly 30% of commercial building energy use is wasted due to equipment faults and HVAC controls problems. The result is increased emissions, compromised comfort and productivity, and less reliable coordination of building power needs with a clean grid. The energy impact alone represents $17 billion in potential savings. Today’s smart building software provides a robust solution to address these operational deficiencies. Energy management and information systems (EMIS) are saving up to 9% on average, with two-year paybacks. They are being incorporated into energy management processes, commissioning services, and utility programs. As effective as they are, two barriers prevent even deeper benefits; limited personnel to fix problems once they are identified, and the expense and time to manually implement changes in control systems. In partnership with the research community, the EMIS industry is developing new capabilities to overcome these barriers. Moving beyond siloed products for either fault detection and diagnostics, or optimal control, these new capabilities empower users to not only automatically identify faults, but also to push corrective action, and control improvements to their buildings. In this paper, several areas for enhancements are documented: ‘one-time’ correction of faults such as setpoints, schedules, and economizer lockouts; short-term active testing for automated proportional integral derivative (PID) loop tuning and functional testing; and continuous supervisory control for demand flexibility and year-round efficiency. Results are presented from a pair of partner implementations out of a dozen providers integrating these enhancements into their products, including field tests from across the country, and insights into operator acceptance and integration into operations and maintenance practices.

Casillas, Armando↗

The Role of Azimuthal Prestress in the Longitudinal Degradation of Nb 3 Sn Superconducting Magnets

Superconducting magnet coils are subject to enormous electro-magnetic forces which push the cables away from the winding pole, and against the surrounding structure. This structure is usually optimized trying to limit the overall motion and the strains experienced by the superconducting elements. To achieve this, preload forces are applied both in the coil cross-section and along its length. If the e.m. forces overcome these preloads, separation between the coil and the pole occurs, resulting in an overall loss of rigidity. During the magnet design process, it is often tempting to treat the optimization of the azimuthal and longitudinal preload systems separately. However, the two are inextricably related: as the cross-section preload increases, friction can prevent any motion in the longitudinal plane, and decreasing it can instead allow dangerous motions in the conductor ends. The latter can result in very high strains and, in Nb 3 Sn conductors, damage that can prevent the magnet to reach the desired performances. In an attempt to define design guidelines, in this paper we use simplified numerical models to compute, as a function of the in-plane prestress, the variation of the peak strains in the end region of the coils. Finally, we investigate the impact of the azimuthal prestress on a real magnet case, the High-Luminosity Nb 3 Sn Quadrupole MQXF.

Nb3Sn↗

A Computational Framework to design 3D stiffness gradient acoustic metamaterials for impedance matching

Acoustic waves play a crucial role in various applications, including medical imaging, non-destructive testing, and sonar systems. One of the significant challenges in these applications is impedance matching, which is essential for minimizing reflections and maximizing the transfer of acoustic energy between different media. Acoustic metamaterials offer a promising solution to this challenge. In addition to impedance control, gradient stiffness can enhance structural efficiency and enable spatial control of wave propagation, making it a valuable feature in acoustic metamaterial design. In this pa- per, we present our developed computational method to design 3D stiffness gradient acoustic metamaterials for impedance matching. The key steps in our approach include generating initial designs using a periodic covariance function to provide unit cells that are both periodic on the boundaries and randomly formed inside the unit cell. Furthermore, we integrated manufacturing constraints into the design process, ensuring that the structures are interconnected for fabrication. We propose two computational optimization algorithms: GenUnit, based on a non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm (NSGA-II), and MLMatch, which leverages differentiable machine learning. The two approaches are not separate contributions but complementary com- ponents of a unified framework. GenUnit requires no training data and directly interfaces with physics-based simulations, making it highly accurate but slower for large-scale exploration. In contrast, MLMatch is data-hungry during training but, once trained, enables near-instantaneous inference and broad design-space coverage. Together, they form a hybrid strategy: ML- Match rapidly explores the global design space, and GenUnit provides local refinement with high-fidelity accuracy. This balance between training cost, inference time, and precision is the motivation for including both methods in the same study. We applied this dual-algorithm framework to generate two metallic-based metamaterial designs that match the acoustic impedance of water while exhibiting a controlled gradient in stiffness (from stiff to soft). The stiffness gradient is particularly advantageous in applications where one side of the structure must interface with soft or sensitive surfaces, such as human tissue or delicate components. Here, this work paves the way for improved materials in various acoustic applications, particularly in ultrasound devices, by providing better impedance.

Metamaterial↗

Transformational Nano-confined Ionic Liquid Membrane for Greater than or Equal to 97 Percent Carbon Dioxide Capture from Natural Gas Combined Cycle Flue Gas

A transformational process based on nano-confined ionic liquid (NCIL) membranes was developed for capturing ≥97% CO 2 from natural gas combined cycle (NCCC) flue gas. The NCIL membranes were prepared by loading amino acid ionic liquid into a framework composed of single-walled carbon nanotube mesh filled with graphene oxide quantum dots. The membranes exhibited CO 2 permeance as high as 2,000 GPU with a CO 2 /N2 selectivity of 2,300 for a typical NGCC flue gas composition. When H 2 O vapor sweep was applied in the permeate side, 96.6% CO2 dry-basis purity and 97.6% CO 2 capture rate were achieved for a simulated NGCC flue gas with single stage. In the process design, a highly H 2 O-selective membrane would be needed to recover majority of the H 2 O vapor, and the recovered H 2 O vapor could be recycled to the permeate side of the NCIL membrane. Sulfonated poly(ether ether ketone) membranes were successfully developed for this purpose. These membranes exhibited H 2 O permeance great than 11,000 GPU and H 2 O/CO 2 selectivity greater than 1,000 at 70ºC for a feed mixture consisting of 14.5 vol% H2O and balanced CO 2 . A standalone membrane model using MATLAB platform was developed for process simulation. The model was validated with experimental data. Techno-economic analysis based on the testing data collected during the current program suggests this transformational membrane process can achieve 97% CO 2 capture efficiency with a cost of $47.8/tonne of CO 2 , which is a 21% reduction versus DOE’s reference case B31B.97.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Jacobian-based Model Diagnostics and Application to Equation Oriented Modeling of a Carbon Capture System

Equation-oriented (EO) modeling has the potential to enable the effective design and optimization of the operation of advanced energy systems. However, advanced modeling of energy systems results in a large number of variables and non-linear equations, and it can be difficult to search through these to identify the culprit(s) responsible for convergence issues. The Institute for the Design of Advanced Energy Systems Integrated Platform (IDAES-IP) contains a tool to identify poorly scaled constraints and variables by searching for rows and columns of the Jacobian matrix with small L2-norms so they can be rescaled. A further singular value decomposition can be per-formed to identify degenerate sets of equations and remaining scaling issues. This work presents an EO model of a flowsheet developed for post-combustion carbon capture using a monoethanolamine (MEA) solvent system as a case study. The IDAES diagnostics tools were successfully applied to this flowsheet to identify problems to improve model robustness and enable the optimization of process design and operating conditions of a carbon capture system.

Allan, Douglas↗

Studies as a function of different ALD capping layers on cavity losses for QIS and accelerators

Niobium-based bulk SRF cavities have demonstrated exceptional performance. To further improve niobium cavity performance, we present studies involving a novel surface engineering process designed to prevent the formation of amorphous niobium oxides on the surface. This is achieved by encapsulating the niobium surface using thermal Atomic-Layer-Deposition (ALD). This technique has been shown to enhance the properties of niobium cavities and 2D resonators. This study not only aims to improve SRF performance at high fields but also has the potential to enhance the quality factor in low-field regimes, particularly for quantum applications. For the method to be effective, it is essential to have a clean interface between the encapsulating layer and the bulk niobium. Achieving this requires a uniform coating across the entire cavity surface and efficient removal of the underlying niobium oxides. To optimize the process, a variety of material characterization tools have been utilized to refine parameters such as thin film thickness and annealing conditions. Cavity RF measurements were performed at the vertical test facilities at FNAL to assess the Q vs. Eacc curves for accelerator applications, as well as at the SQMS dilution refrigerators to investigate the full two-level system (TLS) losses at milliKelvin and single-photon levels. Based on the results, we characterized the loss of different oxides in various regimes and applications, comparing them to natural niobium pentoxide.

Grassellino, L. [Fermilab]↗

Modeling Reversible Volume Change in Automotive Battery Cells with Porous Silicon Oxide-Graphite Composite Anodes

Automotive battery manufacturers are working to improve the individual cell and overall pack design by increasing durability, performance, and range, while reducing cost, and active material volume change is a key aspect that needs to be considered during this design process. Recently, silicon oxide-graphite composite anodes are being explored to increase total anode capacity while maintaining a tolerable amount of cell level reversible volume expansion due to the relatively lower reversible volume change of the silicon oxide compared to pure battery grade or metallurgical grade silicon. To predict the blended anode response and contribution to the overall cell volume change, we integrated the mechanical behavior of the individual active materials with the multi-species, multi-reaction model to predict the state-of-lithiation of the active materials in the cell at a given potential. The resulting simulations illustrate the tradeoff in volume change between the silicon oxide and the graphite during cell operation. This type of modeling approach will allow designers to virtually consider the impact of cell level and pack level design changes on overall system mechanical performance for automotive and grid storage applications, namely that relatively small addition of silicon containing materials can drive a significant increase in the volume change at the cell level, as demonstrated by the 5 wt% addition of silicon oxide accounting for half of the overall volume change in the cell.

Garrick, Taylor R. (ORCID:0000000322518129)↗