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DOE OSTI2019

QUIC-fire: A fast-running simulation tool for prescribed fire planning

Coupled fire-atmospheric modeling tools are increasingly used to understand the complex and dynamic behavior of wildland fires. Multiple research tools linking combustion to fluid flow use Navier-Stokes numerical solutions coupled to a thermodynamic model to understand fire-atmospheric feedbacks, but these computational fluid dynamics approaches require high-performance computing resources. We present a new simulation tool called QUIC-Fire to rapidly solve these feedbacks by coupling the mature 3-D rapid wind solver QUIC-URB to a physics-based cellular automata fire spread model Fire-CA. QUIC-Fire uses 3-D fuels inputs similar to the CFD model FIRETEC, allowing this tool to simulate effects of fuel structure on local winds and fire behavior. Results comparing fire behavior metrics to the computational fluid dynamic model FIRETEC show strong agreement. As a result, QUIC-Fire is the first tool intended to provide an opportunity for prescribed fire planners to compare, evaluate and design burn plans, including complex ignition patterns and coupled fire atmospheric feedbacks.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Insight into pseudo-film-boiling in supercritical water under simplified interfacial conditions

The focus of this paper is the physics of supercritical water film boiling through the simulation of natural convection of supercritical water in a rectangular cavity. It has been widely believed that above a fluid's critical point, only one phase exists. However, recent research has indicated the existence of distinct gas-like and liquid-like regions separated by the Widom line, which is the locus of the maxima of the specific heat. Along the Widom line, density decreases sixfold, viscosity drops by a factor of two, while specific heat spikes by an order of magnitude. These variations, specifically in density and viscosity, produce a thick pseudo-interface and flow dynamics behavior akin to film-boiling, denoted here as pseudo-two-phase flow dynamics. When the cavity is heated from the bottom, a pseudo-film of gas-like fluid is formed at the heated wall, and the flow complexity evolves, characterized by the formation of multiple vortices. Results demonstrate the ability of modern conjugate heat transfer computational fluid dynamics to capture the pseudo two-phase regime, with the formation of a pseudo-film at the heated wall. Further, the boiling curve is studied, showing an increase in heat flux with an increase in the temperature differential between the wall and the pseudo-critical temperature. Furthermore, results also show a previously uncharacterized instability, where the convection cells in the cavity oscillate and can flip directions under certain conditions.

Computational fluid dynamics↗

DOE OSTI2021

Comparative Analysis of ML Techniques for Data-Driven Anomaly Detection, Classification and Localization in Distribution System

High penetration of Distributed Energy Resources (DERs), fundamental load behavior changes, controllable loads, and significant increase in Electrical Vehicles (EVs) lead to complex dynamic behavior of the electric distribution system. Increasing number of components also means more measurements, more data and more data anomalies. Detecting, classifying and localizing these anomalies are important for situational awareness, and at the same time, very challenging given increasing complexity of the system. Highly accurate and high-resolution analytical techniques are needed to support anomaly detection, classification and localization (AD-C-L) for monitoring, root cause analysis and decision making. This paper provides comprehensive review and analysis of the existing spatio-temporal AD-C-L techniques within the distribution system. Challenges for specific problems in AD-C- L have been also discussed in this paper. Existing AD-C- L techniques have been categorized and synthesized for specific merits and limitations of multiple Machine Learning (ML) methodologies using common developed metrics of performance. The comparative analysis is summarized and presented with the open research challenges and path forward for future research needs.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2020

Dynamic Equivalence of Large-Scale Power Systems Based on Boundary Measurements

Parallel computing helped speed up many tasks that can be done independently. The advance in gaming industry did not produce a technology that helps the power industry to reduce the computation time for dynamic simulation in individual cases. To perform faster than real-time simulation for the purpose of predicting power system dynamic trajectory, power industry continues to struggle to reduce the system size and simulation time of large-scale power systems while keeping its dynamic behavior under various disturbances. There is also an acute need for real-time dynamic model reduction as more renewables enter the generation mix with dramatic changes in the generation outputs. All existing model reduction solutions are based on having access to a detailed dynamic model of the system. The system changes by the minutes, dynamic models are only updated annually. To solve this problem, wide-area measurements obtained by the phasor measurement unit (PMU) at the boundaries between the reduced system and the study system is used to represent the external area. An artificial neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) is established to perform the mapping of the measurement to the external equivalent model. Here the external area is regarded as a black-box. Model reduction studies are conducted on the Northeast Power Coordinating Council (NPCC) under various types of contingencies, by using a co-simulation approach between PSS/E and MATLAB. The results look very promising and will be discussed in this paper.

Tong, Ning↗

DOE OSTI2024

Unified understanding of the impact of semiflexibility, concentration, and molecular weight on macromolecular-scale ring diffusion

Conformationally fluctuating, globally compact macromolecules such as polymeric rings, single-chain nanoparticles, microgels, and many-arm stars display complex dynamic behaviors due to their rich topological structure and intermolecular organization. Synthetic rings are hybrid objects with conformations that display both ideal random walk and compact globular features, which can serve as models of genomic DNA. To date, emphasis has been placed on the effect of ring molecular weight on their unusual behaviors. Here, we combine simulations and a microscopic force-level theory to build a unified understanding for how key aspects of ring dynamics depend on different tunable molecular properties including backbone rigidity, monomer concentration, degree of traditional entanglement, and molecular weight. Our large-scale molecular dynamics simulations of ring melts with very different backbone stiffnesses reveal unanticipated behaviors which agree well with our generalized theory. This includes a universal master curve for center-of-mass diffusion constants as a function of molecular weight scaled by a chemistry and thermodynamic state-dependent critical molecular weight that generalizes the concept of an entanglement cross-over for linear chains. The key physics is how backbone rigidity and monomer concentration induced changes of the entanglement length, interring packing, degree of interpenetration, and liquid compressibility slow down space-time dynamic-force correlations on macromolecular scales. A power law decay of the center-of-mass diffusion constant with inverse molecular weight squared is the first consequence, followed by an ultraslow activated hopping transport regime. Our results set the stage to address slow dynamics and kinetic arrest in different families of compact synthetic and biological polymeric systems.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

DOE OSTI2026

Challenges of conventional iterative all-atom and coarse-grained multiscale molecular dynamics

In this work, we evaluate the biomolecular dynamics behaviors when conventionally iterating between all-atom (AA) and coarse-grained (CG) molecular dynamics (MD) simulations over multiple cycles. We implemented the workflow to iterate between AA and CG in OpenMM, namely the iterative multiscale MD (iMMD) simulation workflow. In particular, we aim to identify practical applications for iterating between AA and CG simulations in a conventional manner without any constraints or model modifications. We evaluate the iMMD workflow on four representative systems, spanning folding of two soluble proteins and protein-protein as well as protein-lipid interactions of two membrane proteins. We observe that iteration between AA and CG representations could help the soluble proteins exit undesirable metastable states to fold, resulting from random protein structural distortions due to cycling. Consequently, the most reliable use of iterative AA and CG simulations appears to be to accelerating complex lipid mixing for membrane-bound protein systems rather than sampling protein conformational space. Our work explores the practical usages and limitations for iterative AA and CG simulations using readily available AA and CG force fields. The evaluated iMMD workflow in OpenMM is made available at https://github.com/lanl/iMMD.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

A population data-driven workflow for COVID-19 modeling and learning

CityCOVID is a detailed agent-based model that represents the behaviors and social interactions of 2.7 million residents of Chicago as they move between and colocate in 1.2 million distinct places, including households, schools, workplaces, and hospitals, as determined by individual hourly activity schedules and dynamic behaviors such as isolating because of symptom onset. Disease progression dynamics incorporated within each agent track transitions between possible COVID-19 disease states, based on heterogeneous agent attributes, exposure through colocation, and effects of protective behaviors of individuals on viral transmissibility. Throughout the COVID-19 epidemic, CityCOVID model outputs have been provided to city, county, and state stakeholders in response to evolving decision-making priorities, while incorporating emerging information on SARS-CoV-2 epidemiology. Here we demonstrate our efforts in integrating our high-performance epidemiological simulation model with large-scale machine learning to develop a generalizable, flexible, and performant analytical platform for planning and crisis response.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2023

WeakIdent: Weak formulation for identifying differential equation using narrow-fit and trimming

Data-driven identification of differential equations is an interesting but challenging problem, especially when the given data are corrupted by noise. When the governing differential equation is a linear combination of various differential terms, the identification problem can be formulated as solving a linear system, with the feature matrix consisting of linear and nonlinear terms multiplied by a coefficient vector. This product is equal to the time derivative term, and thus generates dynamical behaviors. The goal is to identify the correct terms that form the equation to capture the dynamics of the given data. We propose a general and robust framework to recover differential equations using a weak formulation with two new mechanisms, narrow-fit and trimming, for both ordinary and partial differential equations (ODEs and PDEs). The weak formulation facilitates an efficient and robust way to handle noise, and two new mechanisms, narrow-fit and trimming, improve the coefficient support and value recoveries respectively. For each sparsity level, Subspace Pursuit is utilized to find an initial set of support from the large dictionary. Then, we focus on highly dynamic regions (rows of the feature matrix), and error normalize the feature matrix in the narrow-fit step. The support is further updated via trimming the terms that contribute the least. Finally, the support set of features with the smallest Cross-Validation error is chosen as the result. A comprehensive set of numerical experiments are presented for both systems of ODEs and PDEs with various noise levels. The proposed method gives a robust recovery of the coefficients, and a significant denoising effect which can handle up to 100% noise-to-signal ratio for some equations. We compare the proposed method with several state-of-the-art algorithms for the recovery of differential equations.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2023

Implementation of a feature selection algorithm in FARM to identify important state variables and time-invariant matrices

The FARM (Feasible Actuator Range Modifier) software module is a component of the RAVEN-based FORCE framework for analysis of Integrated Energy Systems (IES). FARM aids the HERON software module in the evaluation of the optimal dispatch for the different IES components. Set-point trajectories are required to meet limits on both production variables (i.e., the variables to be optimized such as the electrical power, the hydrogen production rate, etc.) and process variables tied to the service life of equipment (e.g., steam flowrate, vessel pressure, turbine firing temperature, etc.). To evaluate the feasibility of HERON generated set-points and to do so in an acceptable time, FARM employs reduced order models to represent the dynamic behavior of the systems to be dispatched. These surrogate models take the form of a linear dynamic system with sets of Linear Parameter Varying (LPV) matrices that are mapped to the system operating space. These matrices are derived from the trajectories of system state variables and system output variables during transients. The accuracy of LPV matrices depends on the selection of state variables. In previous reports, state variables were selected by adopting a complicated workflow requiring multiple software licenses and an advanced level of user expertise. In this report, a new workflow that automates the state variable selection process is presented. It significantly reduces the frequency of user interventions and does not require multiple software licenses. Each module in the new workflow is described in detail, and the input / output examples in each step of the workflow are provided. It was demonstrated that this workflow can greatly reduce the complexity of the state variable selection process, and that the updated FARM-Gamma and FARM-Delta validators can benefit from this workflow when solving the power dispatch problem of a representative IES test case. Finally, some code improvements that can further enhance the efficiency are suggested.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Behavior of Multiple PV Plants in Future Power Grids During Events

As the integration of multiple photovoltaic (PV) plants into power grids grows, the dynamic response of each plant and their interactions during transient events demands a deeper understanding. In this paper, the dynamic behavior of multiple PV plants connected to future power grids is comprehensively explored using site-specific high-fidelity electromagnetic transient (EMT) PV plant models and generic high-fidelity EMT PV plant models. This research demonstrates the need to employ multiple high-fidelity EMT PV plant models to understand the intricate interactions between multiple PV plants during grid events. These models, developed in Fortran within the PSCAD environment, encompass a range of operational scenarios and plant configurations, offering invaluable insights crucial for future system planning with multiple PV plants to enhance grid stability.

Marthi, Phani Ratna Vanamali [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000↗

DOE OSTI2026

Heterogeneous estimations of non-pharmaceutical mitigation behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic

The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the importance of human behavior in mitigating the spread of disease. Nonetheless, human behavior is often overlooked in models of disease spread, particularly by underutilizing real-world data. We address this by estimating probabilities that individuals engage in behaviors that influence SARS-CoV-2 transmission risk during the COVID-19 pandemic, between September 2020 and June 2022. These behaviors include wearing a mask, using public transportation, spending time with others, avoiding contact with others, and going to work. Our estimates account for the age and sex of individuals and are generated for every county in the United States. We utilized multiple open-source datasets and United States Census data to produce these estimates. Multiple datasets were used for validation, showing our estimates demonstrated comparable accuracy and robustness. Our estimates aid in understanding human behavior dynamics during the COVID-19 pandemic and could be used to inform monthly or longer-term behavior in simulations of COVID-19. Moreover, the methods presented can be applied to other behaviors and features for future simulations of infectious disease.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2022

Electron and Electron-Nuclear Dynamics of Open Quantum Subsystems

Leveraging an open-subsystem formulation of Density Functional Theory (DFT) we aim at describing periodic and molecular systems alike, including their electronic and nuclear dynamics. Subsystem DFT enables first principles simulations to approach realistic time- and length-scales, and most importantly sheds light on the dynamical behavior of complex systems. Taking subsystem DFT to the time domain allows us to inspect the electron dynamics of condensed-phase systems in real time. In liquids and interfaces, we observe all the relevant regimes proper of non-Markovian open quantum system dynamics, such as electronic energy transfer, and screening. In addition, the ab-initio modeling of system-bath interactions brought us to observe and justify the holographic time-dependent electron density theorem. Contrary to interactions between molecular (finite) systems, when molecules interact with metal or semiconductor surfaces the electron dynamics is strongly non-Markovian with dramatic repercussions to the molecule’s response to external perturbations. Metals and semiconductors typically have large polarizabilities, and even in a regime of low coupling their effect on impinging molecular species is significant–line broadening, peak shift, and intensity borrowing are observed, characterized, and explained in terms of inter-subsystem dynamical interactions and a many-body decomposition of the system’s density-density response function in a way that transcends the canons of Fermi Golden Rule.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Effect of Topology on Transient Dynamic and Shock Response of Polymeric Lattice Structures

Architected cellular materials, such as lattice structures, offer potential for tunable mechanical properties for dynamic applications of energy absorption and impact mitigation. In this work, the static and dynamic behavior of polymeric lattice structures was investigated through experiments on octet-truss, Kelvin, and cubic topologies with relative densities around 8%. Here, dynamic testing was conducted via direct impact experiments (25–70 m/s) with high-speed imaging coupled with digital image correlation and a polycarbonate Hopkinson pressure bar. Mechanical properties such as elastic wave speed, deformation modes, failure properties, particle velocities, and stress histories were extracted from experimental results. At low impact velocities, a transient dynamic response was observed which was composed of a compaction front initiating at the impact surface and additional deformation bands whose characteristics matched low strain-rate behavior. For higher impact velocities, shock analysis was carried out using compaction wave velocity and Eulerian Rankine–Hugoniot jump conditions with parameters determined from full-field measurements.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Concentration Dependent Interfacial Chemistry of the NaOH(aq):Gibbsite Interface

Caustic conditions are often employed for dissolution of a wide variety of minerals, where ion sorption, surface diffusion, and interfacial organization impact surface reactivity. In the case of gibbsite, gamma-Al(OH)3, the chemistry at the NaOH(aq) interface is deeply intertwined with industrial processing of aluminum, including metal production and the disposition of Al-containing wastes. To date, little is known about the structure, speciation, and dynamic behavior of gibbsite interfaces (and that of many other minerals) with NaOH(aq)—particularly as a function of ionic strength. Yet concentration-dependent interfacial organization and dynamics are a critical starting point to develop a fundamental understanding of the factors that influence dissolution. This work reports equilibrium molecular dynamics simulations of the gamma-Al(OH)3:NaOH(aq) interface, revealing the sorption behavior and speciation of ions from 0.5–10 M [NaOH]. As inner-sphere complexes, Na+ primarily coordinates to the side of the gibbsite hexagonal cavities, while OH accepts hydrogen-bonding from the surface-OH groups. The mobility of inner-sphere Na+ and OH ions is significantly reduced due to a strong surface affinity in comparison to previous reports of NaCl, CaCl2, or BaCl2 electrolytes. At high [NaOH], contact ion pairing that is observed in the bulk solution is partially disrupted upon sorption to the gibbsite surface by the individual ion–surface interactions. The molecular-scale changes to surface speciation and competition between ion–surface vs. ion–ion interactions influence surface characterization of gibbsite and potential dissolution processes, providing a valuable baseline for starting conditions needed within future reactive molecular simulations.

alkaline solutions, IDREAM, gibbsite, molecular dy↗

DOE OSTI2025

Mapping in situ the assembly and dynamics in aqueous supramolecular polymers

Supramolecular polymers, bonded through directional non-covalent interactions, closely mimic dynamic behaviors of biological nanofibers. However, the complexity of assembly pathways makes it highly challenging to unravel the nature of supramolecular dynamics in aqueous environments. Here we introduce a precise combinatorial titration methodology to probe in situ the assembly of peptide amphiphiles (PAs). This approach reveals a binary assembly mechanism governed by equilibrium between spheroidal micelles and β-sheet polymers. Weakening hydrogen bonding shifts the equilibrium towards micelles and decreases the internal structural order of filamentous polymers, promoting supramolecular dynamics. Extending this methodology to two-component copolymerization systems, we find a surprising tendency to form blocky nanostructures with reduced internal phase separation as the mismatch in peptide sequence decreases. Interestingly, while well-mixed copolymers acquire different dynamics, mismatched ones retain the characteristic supramolecular motion of their homopolymer counterparts. These critical insights into supramolecular dynamics offer strategies to tailor the dynamic functions of supramolecular nanomaterials.

Molecular self-assembly↗

DOE OSTI2021

Dynamic Transcriptomic and Phosphoproteomic Analysis During Cell Wall Stress in Aspergillus nidulans

The fungal cell-wall integrity signaling (CWIS) pathway regulates cellular response to environmental stress to enable wall repair and resumption of normal growth. This complex, interconnected, pathway has been only partially characterized in filamentous fungi. To better understand the dynamic cellular response to wall perturbation, a β-glucan synthase inhibitor (micafungin) was added to a growing A. nidulans shake-flask culture. From this flask, transcriptomic and phosphoproteomic data were acquired over 10 and 120 min, respectively. To differentiate statistically-significant dynamic behavior from noise, a multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) model was applied to both data sets. Over 1800 genes were dynamically expressed and over 700 phosphorylation sites had changing phosphorylation levels upon micafungin exposure. Twelve kinases had altered phosphorylation and phenotypic profiling of all non-essential kinase deletion mutants revealed putative connections between PrkA, Hk-8–4, and Stk19 and the CWIS pathway. Our collective data implicate actin regulation, endocytosis, and septum formation as critical cellular processes responding to activation of the CWIS pathway, and connections between CWIS and calcium, HOG, and SIN signaling pathways.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

EV charging site day-ahead load prediction in a synthetic environment for RL based grid-informed charging

Ensuring grid health in the face of increasing demand for power is an emerging challenge especially due to transportation electrification. A free market approach to influencing electric vehicle (EV) load through grid-informed hourly dynamic pricing is introduced in this work. The setting of charging price is done by a reinforcement learning (RL) agent that learns the complicated dynamics by interacting with a synthetic environment. This synthetic environment is a combination of distribution feeder simulation, EV charger user behavior dynamics, and EV charging simulation. A key module in this synthetic environment involves obtaining the day-ahead charging profile of EV charging stations based on real-world past data. The day-ahead prediction is also useful in other traditional optimizations related to EV charge scheduling. The proposed approach involves using EV charging data from two different past time horizons – one to determine the shape of the daily profile and the other to determine a scaling value to capture actual energy consumption. Real-world charging data over many years from the ACN charging network has been used to demonstrate the ability to predict the day-ahead profile with only charge session data. Both Python and MATLAB have been used for data cleaning, processing, analysis, and prediction.

Suryanarayana, Harish↗

DOE OSTI2021

Spatiotemporal mapping of mesoscopic liquid dynamics

The study of liquid dynamics at mesoscopic scales is still strewn with difficulty due to limitations in theory and experiment. Historically, significant attention has been given to the analysis of space-time correlation functions and their frequency-Fourier transforms at a few discrete wave numbers. The massive computing power afforded by modern high performance computing clusters and the advent of a wide-angle neutron spin-echo spectrometer, however, have unlocked a more intuitive and fruitful approach to this problem. Using molecular dynamics simulations, here we demonstrate the benefits of spatiotemporally mapping intermediate scattering functions on a dense grid of correlation times and wave numbers. Four model systems are investigated: a Lennard-Jones liquid, a coarse-grained bead-spring polymer, a molten sodium chloride, and a poly(ethylene oxide) melt. We show that the spatiotemporal mapping approach is particularly useful for elucidating the mesoscopic dynamics in these liquids, where several underlying mechanisms, such as molecular relaxations, hydrodynamic modes, and nonhydrodynamic excitations, are potentially at play. Therefore, compared to the traditional method, direct visualization of density space-time correlation functions on two-dimensional color maps permits appraisals of complicated dynamical behavior at mesoscales in a global manner. For example, the scaling relations between space and time for different types of molecular motions can be straightforwardly identified on these plots, without any model-dependent analysis. Additionally, we show how theoretical ideas regarding collective mesoscopic dynamics, such as the classical hydrodynamic theory, the convolution approximation, and a recently proposed phenomenological model, can be discussed in terms of the global features of spatiotemporal maps of intermediate scattering functions. The new perspective offered by the spatiotemporal mapping method should prove useful for the study of liquid dynamics in general.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗