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First Lunar Outpost (FLO) mission objectives

This paper discusses four approaches that could be chosen for determining FLO mission objectives. Most important in this discussion is the exploration of the limits set by varying FLO design objectives. The first approach is the FLO design as a 'first and only' lunar visit. Second, the 'independence' approach, is a FLO design as an independent program separate from any Mars program but having long range lunar activities. Third, the 'synergism' approach, is a FLO design with a broad set of future lunar needs and with a primary adjunct of a strong need to help prepare for the Mars missions. Fourth, the 'Mars Prime' approach, is a FLO design drawn from the modification of Mars designs. If cost is paramount but a lunar return is desired, then a 'first and only' is favored. However, most believe that an evolvable lunar program with strong ties to Mars preparation is preferred over the 'first and only'. More recently, the fourth design approach which calls for designs based on Mars needs and lunar elements based on modified Mars elements is drawing more support. This trade is still to be made.

Dupont, Allan L.↗

First entry operations for spacecraft

First entry procedures implemented in the industrial setting are considered to identify those applicable to the situation on the SSF. Particular attention is given to consequences when these procedures are not followed. Operational scenarios for nominal first entry procedures intended to verify air quality before the crew enters the module are outlined. Components of the Environmental Health System will provide necessary monitoring capability to protect crew health and safety during the planned first entry procedures of the man-tended capability phase of the SSF program. It is apparent that first-entry scenarios have drawn heavily upon industry experience, tempered with the specific characteristics of the space flight environment.

Wilson, Steven↗

Evidence of Boundary Reflection of Kelvin and First-Mode Rossby Waves from Topex/Poseidon Sea Level Data

The TOPEX/POSEIDON sea level data lead to new opportunities to investigate some theoretical mechanisms suggested to be involved in the El Nino-Southern Oscillation phenomenon in the tropical Pacific ocean. In particular, we are interested in studying the western boundary reflection, a process crucial for the delayed action oscillator theory, by using the TOPEX/POSEIDON data from November 1992 to May 1995. We first projected the sea level data onto Kelvin and first-mode Ross waves. Then we estimated the contribution of wind forcing to these waves by using a single baroclinic mode simple wave model forced by the ERS-1 wind data. Wave propagation was clearly observed with amplitudes well explained by the wind forcing in the ocean interior. Evidence of wave reflection was detected at both the western and eastern boundaries of the tropical Pacific ocean. At the eastern boundary, Kelvin waves were seen to reflect as first-mode Rossby waves during the entire period. The reflection efficiency (in terms of wave amplitude) of the South American coasts was estimated to be 80% of that of an infinite meridional wall. At the western boundary, reflection was observed in April-August 1993, in January-June 1994, and, later, in December 1994 to February 1995. Although the general roles of these reflection events in the variability observed in the equatorial Pacific ocean are not clear, the data suggest that the reflections in January-June 1994 have played a role in the onset of the warm conditions observed in late 1994 to early 1995. Indeed, during the January-June 1994 period, as strong downwelling first-mode Rossby waves reflected into downwelling Kelvin waves, easterly wind and cold sea surface temperature anomalies located near the date line weakened and eventually reversed in June-July 1994. The presence of the warm anomalies near the date line then favored convection and westerly wind anomalies that triggered strong downwelling Kelvin waves propagating throughout the basin simultaneously with the beginning of the 1994-1995 warm conditions.

Boulanger, Jean-Philippe↗

The Life Cycle Application of Intelligent Software Modeling for the First Materials Science Research Rack

Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC) has been funding development of intelligent software models to benefit payload ground operations for nearly a decade. Experience gained from simulator development and real-time monitoring and control is being applied to engineering design, testing, and operation of the First Material Science Research Rack (MSRR-1). MSRR-1 is the first rack in a suite of three racks comprising the Materials Science Research Facility (MSRF) which will operate on the International Space Station (ISS). The MSRF will accommodate advanced microgravity investigations in areas such as the fields of solidification of metals and alloys, thermo-physical properties of polymers, crystal growth studies of semiconductor materials, and research in ceramics and glasses. The MSRR-1 is a joint venture between NASA and the European Space Agency (ESA) to study the behavior of different materials during high temperature processing in a low gravity environment. The planned MSRR-1 mission duration is five (5) years on-orbit and the total design life is ten (IO) years. The MSRR-1 launch is scheduled on the third Utilization Flight (UF-3) to ISS, currently in February of 2003). The objective of MSRR-1 is to provide an early capability on the ISS to conduct material science, materials technology, and space product research investigations in microgravity. It will provide a modular, multi-user facility for microgravity research in materials crystal growth and solidification. An intelligent software model of MSRR-1 is under development and will serve multiple purposes to support the engineering analysis, testing, training, and operational phases of the MSRR-1 life cycle development. The G2 real-time expert system software environment developed by Gensym Corporation was selected as the intelligent system shell for this development work based on past experience gained and the effectiveness of the programming environment. Our approach of multi- uses of the simulation model and its intuitive graphics capabilities is providing a concurrent engineering environment for rapid prototyping and development. Operational schematics of the MSRR-1 electrical, thermal control, vacuum access, and gas supply systems, and furnace inserts are represented graphically in the environment. Logic to represent first order engineering calculations is coded into the knowledge base to simulate the operational behavior of the MSRR-1 systems. An example of engineering data provided includes electrical currents, voltages, operational power, temperatures, thermal fluid flow rates. pressures, and component status indications. These type of data are calculated and displayed at appropriate instrumentation points, and the schematics are animated to reflect the simulated operational status of the MSRR-1. The software control functions are also simulated to represent appropriate operational behavior based on automated control and response to commands received by the crew or ground controllers. The first benefit of this simulation environment is being realized in the high fidelity engineering analysis results from the electrical power system G2 model. Secondly, the MSRR-1 simulation model will be embedded with a hardware mock-up of the MSRR-1 to provide crew training on MSRR-1 integrated payload operations. G2 gateway code will output the simulated instrumentation values, termed as telemetry, in a flight-like data stream so that the crew has realistic and accurate simulated MSRR-1 data on the flight displays which will be designed for crew use. The simulation will also respond appropriately to crew or ground initiated commands, which will be part of normal facility operations. A third use of the G2 model is being planned; the MSRR-1 simulation will be integrated with additional software code as part of the test configuration of the primary onboard computer, or Master Controller, for MSRR-1. We will take advantage of the G2 capability to simulate the flight like data stream to test flight software responses and behavior. A fourth use of the G2 model will be to train the Ground Support Personnel that will monitor the MSRR-1 systems and payloads while they are operating aboard the ISS. The intuitive, schematic based environment will provide an excellent foundation for personnel to understand the integrated configuration and operation of the MSRR-1, and the anticipated telemetry feedback based on operational modes of the equipment. Expert monitoring features will be enhanced to provide a smart monitoring environment for the operators. These features include: (1) Animated, intuitive schematic-based displays which reflect telemetry values, (1) Real-time plotting of simulated or incoming sensor values, (3) High/Low exception monitoring for analog data, (4) Expected state monitoring for discrete data, (5) Data trending, (6) Automated malfunction procedure execution to diagnose problems, (7) Look ahead capability to planned MSRR-1 activities in the onboard timeline. And finally, the logic to calculate telemetry values will be deactivated, and the same environment will interface to the incoming data for the real-time telemetry stream to schematically represent the onboard hardware configuration. G2 will be the foundation for the real-time monitoring and control environment. In summary, our MSRR-1 simulation model spans many elements of the life cycle development of this project: Engineering Analysis, Test and Checkout, Training of Crew and Ground Personnel, and Real-time monitoring and control. By utilizing the unique features afforded by an expert system development environment, we have been able to synergize a powerful tool capable of addressing our project needs at every phase of project development.

Rice, Amanda↗

A First-Order Radiative Transfer Model for Microwave Radiometry of Forest Canopies at L-Band

In this study, a new first-order radiative transfer (RT) model is developed to more accurately account for vegetation canopy scattering by modifying the basic r-co model (the zero-order RT solution). In order to optimally utilize microwave radiometric data in soil moisture (SM) retrievals over moderately to densely vegetated landscapes, a quantitative understanding of the relationship between scattering mechanisms within vegetation canopies and the microwave brightness temperature is desirable. A first-order RT model is used to investigate this relationship and to perform a physical analysis of the scattered and emitted radiation from vegetated terrain. The new model is based on an iterative solution (successive orders of scattering) of the RT equations up to the first order. This formulation adds a new scattering term to the i-w model. The additional term represents emission by particles (vegetation components) in the vegetation layer and emission by the ground that is scattered once by particles in the layer. The new model is tested against 1.4 GHz brightness temperature measurements acquired over deciduous trees by a truck-mounted microwave instrument system called ComRAD in 2007. The model predictions are in good agreement with the data and they give quantitative understanding for the influence of first-order scattering within the canopy on the brightness temperature. The model results show that the scattering term is significant for trees and modifications are necessary to the T-w model when applied to dense vegetation. Numerical simulations also indicate that the scattering term has a negligible dependence on SM and is mainly a function of the angle and polarization of the microwave observation.

Kurum, Mehmet↗

Ares I-X: First Step in a New Era of Exploration

Since 2005, NASA's Constellation Program has been designing, building, and testing the next generation of launch and space vehicles to carry humans beyond low-Earth orbit (LEO). On October 28, 2009, the Ares Projects successfully launched the first suborbital development flight test of the Ares I crew launch vehicle, Ares I-X, from Kennedy Space Center (KSC). Although the final Constellation Program architecture is under review, data and lessons obtained from Ares I-X can be applied to any launch vehicle. This presentation will discuss the mission background and future impacts of the flight. Ares I is designed to carry up to four astronauts to the International Space Station (ISS). It also can be used with the Ares V cargo launch vehicle for a variety of missions beyond LEO. The Ares I-X development flight test was conceived in 2006 to acquire early engineering, operations, and environment data during liftoff, ascent, and first stage recovery. Engineers are using the test flight data to improve the Ares I design before its critical design review the final review before manufacturing of the flight vehicle begins. The Ares I-X flight test vehicle incorporated a mix of flight and mockup hardware, reflecting a similar length and mass to the operational vehicle. It was powered by a four-segment SRB from the Space Shuttle inventory, and was modified to include a fifth, spacer segment that made the booster approximately the same size as the five-segment SRB. The Ares I-X flight closely approximated flight conditions the Ares I will experience through Mach 4.5, performing a first stage separation at an altitude of 125,000 feet and reaching a maximum dynamic pressure ("Max Q") of approximately 850 pounds per square foot. The Ares I-X Mission Management Office (MMO) was organized functionally to address all the major test elements, including: first stage, avionics, and roll control (Marshall Space Flight Center); upper stage simulator (Glenn Research Center); crew module/launch abort system simulator (Langley Research Center); and ground systems and operations (KSC). Interfaces between vehicle elements and vehicle-ground elements, as well as environment analyses were performed by a systems engineering and integration team at Langley. Experience and lessons learned from these integrated product teams area are already being integrated into the Ares Projects to support the next generation of exploration launch vehicles.

Davis, Stephan R.↗

Ares I-X First Flight Loss of Vehicle Probability Analysis

As part of the Constellation (Cx) Program development effort, several test flights were planned to prove concepts and operational capabilities of the new vehicles being developed. The first test, involving the Eastern Test Range, is the Ares I-X launched in 2009. As part of this test, the risk to the general public was addressed to ensure it is within Air Force requirements. This paper describes the methodology used to develop first flight estimates of overall loss of vehicle (LOV) failure probability, specifically for the Ares I-X. The method described in this report starts with the Air Force s generic failure probability estimate for first flight and adjusts the value based on the complexity of the vehicle as compared to the complexity of a generic vehicle. The results estimate a 1 in 9 probability of failure. The paper also describes traditional PRA methods used in this assessment, which were then combined with the updated first flight risk methodology to generate inputs required by the malfunction turn analysis to support estimate of casualty (Ec) calculations as part of the Final Flight Data Package (FFDP) delivered to the Eastern Range for Final Flight Plan Approval.

Bigler, Mark A.↗

First Stage Solid Propellant Multi Debris Thermal Analysis

The crew launch vehicle considered for the Constellation (Cx) Program utilizes a first stage solid rocket motor. If an abort is initiated in first stage flight the Crew Module (CM) will separate and be pulled away from the launch vehicle via a Launch Abort System (LAS) in order to safely and quickly carry the crew away from the malfunction launch vehicle. Having aborted the mission, the launch vehicle will likely be destroyed via a Flight Termination System (FTS) in order to prevent it from errantly traversing back over land and posing a risk to the public. The resulting launch vehicle debris field, composed primarily of first stage solid propellant, poses a threat to the CM. The harsh radiative thermal environment induced by surrounding burning propellant debris may lead to CM parachute failure. A methodology, detailed herein, has been developed to address this concern and quantify the risk of first stage propellant debris leading to radiative thermal demise of the CM parachutes. Utilizing basic thermal radiation principles, a software program was developed to calculate parachute temperature as a function of time for a given abort trajectory and debris piece trajectory set. Two test cases, considered worst-case aborts with regard to launch vehicle debris environments, were analyzed using the simulation: an abort declared at Mach 1 and an abort declared at maximum dynamic pressure (Max Q). For both cases, the resulting temperature profiles indicated that thermal limits for the parachutes were not exceeded. However, short duration close encounters by single debris pieces did have a significant effect on parachute temperature, with magnitudes on the order of 10 s of degrees Fahrenheit. Therefore while these two test cases did not indicate exceedance of thermal limits, in order to quantify the risk of parachute failure due to radiative effects from the abort environment, a more thorough probability-based analysis using the methodology demonstrated herein must be performed.

Toleman, Benjamin M.↗

Readiness for First Crewed Flight

The NASA Engineering and Safety Center (NESC) was requested to develop a generic framework for evaluating whether any given program has sufficiently complete and balanced plans in place to allow crewmembers to fly safely on a human spaceflight system for the first time (i.e., first crewed flight). The NESC assembled a small team which included experts with experience developing robotic and human spaceflight and aviation systems through first crewed test flight and into operational capability. The NESC team conducted a historical review of the steps leading up to the first crewed flights of Mercury through the Space Shuttle. Benchmarking was also conducted with the United States (U.S.) Air Force and U.S. Navy. This report contains documentation of that review.

Schaible, Dawn M.↗

A First-Order Radiative Transfer Model for Microwave Radiometry of Forest Canopies at L-Band

In this study, a first-order radiative transfer (RT) model is developed to more accurately account for vegetation canopy scattering by modifying the basic Tau-Omega model (the zero-order RT solution). In order to optimally utilize microwave radiometric data in soil moisture (SM) retrievals over vegetated landscapes, a quantitative understanding of the relationship between scattering mechanisms within vegetation canopies and the microwave brightness temperature is desirable. The first-order RT model is used to investigate this relationship and to perform a physical analysis of the scattered and emitted radiation from vegetated terrain. This model is based on an iterative solution (successive orders of scattering) of the RT equations up to the first order. This formulation adds a new scattering term to the . model. The additional term represents emission by particles (vegetation components) in the vegetation layer and emission by the ground that is scattered once by particles in the layer. The model is tested against 1.4-GHz brightness temperature measurements acquired over deciduous trees by a truck-mounted microwave instrument system called ComRAD in 2007. The model predictions are in good agreement with the data, and they give quantitative understanding for the influence of first-order scattering within the canopy on the brightness temperature. The model results show that the scattering term is significant for trees and modifications are necessary to the . model when applied to dense vegetation. Numerical simulations also indicate that the scattering term has a negligible dependence on SM and is mainly a function of the incidence angle and polarization of the microwave observation. Index Terms Emission,microwave radiometry, scattering, soil, vegetation.

Kurum, Mehmet↗

The Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder (ATMS): First Year On-Orbit

The Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder (ATMS) is a new satellite microwave sounding sensor designed to provide operational weather agencies with atmospheric temperature and moisture profile information for global weather forecasting and climate applications. A TMS will continue the microwave sounding capabilities first provided by its predecessors, the Microwave Sounding Unit (MSU) and Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit (AMSU). The first flight unit was launched a year ago in October, 2011 aboard the Suomi-National Polar-Orbiting Partnership (S-NPP) satellite, part of the new Joint Polar-Orbiting Satellite System (JPSS). Microwave soundings by themselves are the highest-impact input data used by Numerical Weather Prediction models; and A TMS, when combined with the Cross-track Infrared Sounder (CrIS), forms the Cross-track Infrared and Microwave Sounding Suite (CrIMSS). The microwave soundings help meet sounding requirements under cloudy sky conditions and provide key profile information near the surface. ATMS was designed & built by Aerojet Corporation in Azusa, California, (now Northrop Grumman Electronic Systems). It has 22 channels spanning 23-183 GHz, closely following the channel set of the MSU, AMSU-AI/2, AMSU-B, Microwave Humidity Sounder (MHS), and Humidity Sounder for Brazil (HSB). It continues their cross-track scanning geometry, but for the first time, provides Nyquist sample spacing. All this is accomplished with approximately V. the volume, Y, the mass, and Y, the power of the three AMSUs. A description will be given of its performance from its first year of operation as determined by post-launch calibration activities. These activities include radiometric calibration using the on-board warm targets and cold space views, and geolocation determination. Example imagery and zooms of specific weather events will be shown. The second ATMS flight model is currently under construction and planned for launch on the "Jl" satellite of the JPSS program in approximately 2016. Additional units are expected on the J2 and 13 satellites, as well as potentially on future European METOP satellites.

Kim, Edward J.↗

An Integrated 0-1 Hour First-Flash Lightning Nowcasting, Lightning Amount and Lightning Jump Warning Capability

Lightning one of the most dangerous weather-related phenomena, especially as many jobs and activities occur outdoors, presenting risk from a lightning strike. Cloud-to-ground (CG) lightning represents a considerable safety threat to people at airfields, marinas, and outdoor facilities-from airfield personnel, to people attending outdoor stadium events, on beaches and golf courses, to mariners, as well as emergency personnel. Holle et al. (2005) show that 90% of lightning deaths occurred outdoors, while 10% occurred indoors despite the perception of safety when inside buildings. Curran et al. (2000) found that nearly half of fatalities due to weather were related to convective weather in the 1992-1994 timeframe, with lightning causing a large component of the fatalities, in addition to tornadoes and flash flooding. Related to the aviation industry, CG lightning represents a considerable hazard to baggage-handlers, aircraft refuelers, food caterers, and emergency personnel, who all become exposed to the risk of being struck within short time periods while convective storm clouds develop. Airport safety protocols require that ramp operations be modified or discontinued when lightning is in the vicinity (typically 16 km), which becomes very costly and disruptive to flight operations. Therefore, much focus has been paid to nowcasting the first-time initiation and extent of lightning, both of CG and of any lightning (e.g, in-cloud, cloud-to-cloud). For this project three lightning nowcasting methodologies will be combined: (1) a GOESbased 0-1 hour lightning initiation (LI) product (Harris et al. 2010; Iskenderian et al. 2012), (2) a High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) lightning probability and forecasted lightning flash density product, such that a quantitative amount of lightning (QL) can be assigned to a location of expected LI, and (3) an algorithm that relates Pseudo-GLM data (Stano et al. 2012, 2014) to the so-called "lightning jump" (LJ) methodology (Shultz et al. 2011) to monitor lightning trends and to anticipate/forecast severe weather (hail > or =2.5 cm, winds > or =25 m/s, tornadoes). The result will be a time-continuous algorithm that uses GOES satellite, radar fields, and HRRR model fields to nowcast first-flash LI and QL, and subsequently monitors lightning trends on a perstorm basis within the LJ algorithm for possible severe weather occurrence out to > or =3 hours. The LI-QL-LJ product will also help prepare the operational forecast community for Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) data expected in late 2015, as these data are monitored for ongoing convective storms. The LI-QL-LJ product will first predict where new lightning is highly probable using GOES imagery of developing cumulus clouds, followed by n analysis of NWS (dual-polarization) radar indicators (reflectivity at the -10 C altitude) of lightning occurrence, to increase confidence that LI is immanent. Once lightning is observed, time-continuous lightning mapping array and Pseudo-GLM observations will be analyzed to assess trends and the severe weather threat as identified by trends in lightning (i.e. LJs). Additionally, 5- and 15-min GOES imagery will then be evaluated on a per-storm basis for overshooting and other cloud-top features known to be associated with severe storms. For the processing framework, the GOES-R 0-1 hour convective initiation algorithm's output will be developed within the Warning Decision Support System - Integrated Information (WDSS-II) tracking tool, and merged with radar and lightning (LMA/Psuedo-GLM) datasets for active storms. The initial focus of system development will be over North Alabama for select lightning-active days in summer 2014, yet will be formed in an expandable manner. The lightning alert tool will also be developed in concert with National Weather Service (NWS) forecasters to meet their needs for real-time, accurate first-flash LI and timing, as well as anticipated lightning trends, amounts, continuation and cessation, so to provide key situational awareness and decision support information. The NASA Short-term Prediction Research and Transition (SPoRT) Center will provide important logistical and collaborative support and training, involving interactions with the NWS and broader user community.

Mecikalski, John↗

An Analytic Model for Estimating the First Contact Resistance Needed to Avoid Damaging ESD During Spacecraft Docking in GEO

NASA’s Gateway program will involve spacecraft (s/c) docking in the outer radiation belt in order to transfer Gateway elements between s/c for transport to lunar orbit. The charging of these s/c to different potentials prior to docking raises the possibility of a damaging electrostatic discharge (ESD) at the time of first contact between the s/c. A proposed mitigation strategy is for first contact to occur prior to docking through a resistor with resistance R that would lower the potential difference at an optimal rate to a sufficiently low value to prevent ESD damage. The coupling of s/c by a resistor can be modeled by SPIS, but for realistic two s/c models SPIS can take hours to simulate the evolution of the s/c surface charges and potentials to an equilibrium state. Our objective is to develop a simpler model of s/c resistive coupling that runs orders of magnitude faster while providing useful first design estimates of the time variation of the s/c potentials, current through the resistor, and how these vary with R and s/c configuration This configuration is defined by the relative separation and orientation of the s/c, and their solar illumination. The configuration and geometry of the s/c determine their capacitive coupling. The s/c capacitances are computed using Nascap-2K. This poster presents the first version of such a model, and initial tests.

Goodman, Michael L.↗

An Analytic Model for Estimating the First Contact Resistance Needed to Avoid Damaging ESD During Spacecraft Docking in GEO

NASA’s Gateway program is to involve spacecraft (s/c) docking in the outer radiation belt in order to transfer Gateway elements between s/c for transport to lunar orbit. The charging of these s/c to different potentials prior to docking raises the possibility of a damaging electrostatic discharge (ESD) at the time of first contact between the s/c. A proposed mitigation strategy is for first contact to occur prior to docking through a resistor with resistance R that would lower the potential difference at an optimal rate to a sufficiently low value to prevent a damaging ESD. The coupling of s/c by a resistor can be modeled by SPIS (Spacecraft Plasma Interaction System), but for realistic two s/c models SPIS can take hours to simulate the evolution of the s/c surface charges and potentials to an equilibrium state. Our objective is to develop a simpler model of s/c resistive coupling that runs orders of magnitude faster while providing useful first design estimates of the time variation of the s/c potentials, current through the resistor, and how these vary with R and s/c configuration. This configuration is defined by the relative separation and orientation of the s/c, and their solar illumination. The configuration and geometry of the s/c determine their capacitive coupling. The s/c capacitances are computed using Nascap-2K. This abstract and the associated poster describe the first version of such a model, and initial tests.

Goodman, Michael L.↗

Downwelling Far-Infrared Emission Spectra Measured by FIRST at Cerro Toco, Chile and Table Mountain Facility, CA

The Far-Infrared Spectroscopy of the Troposphere (FIRST) instrument is a fourier transform spectrometer developed to measure the far-infrared portion of the Earth's longwave spectrum. Specifically, the purpose is measurement of the important, yet under-investigated 100 to 1000 cm-1 band. Presented here are measurements made by FIRST at two successful deployments in a ground-based configuration to measure downwelling longwave radiation. The initial deployment was to Cerro Toco, Chile. FIRST operated from August to October, 2009 as part of the Radiative Heating in Underexplored Bands Campaign (RHUBC-II) campaign. After recalibration, FIRST was deployed to the Table Mountain Facility from August to October, 2012. Dry days for both campaigns were chosen for analysis ? 09/24/2009 and 10/19/2012. Also available from both deployments are coincident radiosonde temperature and water vapor vertical profiles used as inputs to radiance calculations performed by two platforms, the AER Line-by-Line Radiative Transform Model (using the AER line database), and a research platform, MRTA utilizing HITRAN 2012. Thus, we have three streams of data for the closure studies, and results of the comparisons are presented showing good agreement in the optically thick regions of 200-400 cm-1 and 600-800 cm-1. Differences between measured and coincident calculated spectra between 400 and 600 cm-1 are less than 10 mW/m^2/sr/cm-1. Uncertainties accounted for in this study include uncertainty from multiple detectors, water vapor, temperature, line strength and width as presented in HITRAN 2012, and due to internal heating caused by black bodies. The residuals fall within the root-sum-square envelope of the uncertainties.

J Mast↗

Can the Streaming Instability Form the First Planetesimals in Globally Turbulent Protoplanetary Disks?

Understanding the formation of the first planetesimals remains key to deciphering the history of planet formation within our own solar system and beyond. Evidence from the vast meteorite record [e.g., 1] as well as observations [e.g., 2] strongly suggest that the first planetesimals, and perhaps giant planet core accretion occurred well within the first million years of disk evolution. Moreover, chemical and lithological mixing as well as observations of line-broadening in protoplanetary disks (PPDs) [e.g., 3-6] suggest that the solar system nebula in this epoch was weakly-to-moderately turbulent in the regions where particle growth is of the greatest interest [7-8]. It is a well-known though that global hydrodynamic turbulence complicates particle growth due to a slew of barriers that can slow or even stall particle or aggregate growth at pebble sizes (with corresponding small particle Stokes numbers St) that can lead to loss to the central star via radial drift before planetesimals can ever form [9,10], requiring that some other mechanism come into play that collects growth-frustrated pebbles into gravitationally bound multi-km bodies – objects that are “born big” [11]. The current leading candidate for such a “leap-frog” mechanism is the so-called Streaming Instability (SI), a gas-drag mediated momentum exchange resonance in which the relative velocity between the particle component and a rotating gaseous fluid can lead to high densities in the particle field [12], which has been invoked in a number of recent PPD models that include a turbulent intensity α [e.g., 13-14] as the defacto mechanism for planetesimal formation if conditions for the SI (depending on particle St and the solids-to-gas mass ratio) are satisfied. However, these previous works use conditions established from occurrence studies for the onset of SI in laminar disks [15-17] in which the only source of turbulence is that self-generated by the settling particle layer, and not externally driven global turbulence. Recent analytical theories of the SI subject to global turbulence predict much more stringent conditions for the effectiveness of the SI than the laminar case [18-19]. Thus, whether the efficient operation of the SI can be attained in realistic models of the solar nebula have yet to be established. In this work, we ask whether the conditions under which the SI can produce gravitationally bound particle overdensities can actually be met in the first million years of evolution in globally turbulent PPDs.

P R Estrada↗

TruePAL – An AI Assistant for First Responder Safety

This paper presents the development of an AI assistant, Trusted and Explainable Artificial Intelligence for Saving Lives (TruePAL), to provide real-time warning of risks of potential crashes to the first responders. The TruePAL system employs an AI and deep learning technology for saving first responders and roadside crews lives in and around active traffic. A deep neural network (DNN) and a Non-Axiomatic Reasoning System (NARS) are implemented as an AI system. A mobile app with AI interface is developed to perform verbal communication with the first responders. The TruePAL team has developed an explainable AI approach by opening up the DNN blackbox to extract the activation filters of various features and parts of the targeted objects. The combination of DNN and NARS makes the TruePAL system explainable to the users. TruePAL ingests on-board cameras, radar, and other sensor signals, analyzes the environment and traffic patterns to generate timely warning to drivers and roadside crews to avoid crashes. The TruePAL team, in collaboration with the Miami/Dade Police Dept., has designed five use cases and multiple sub-scenarios in a CARLA driving simulator to test the capability of TruePAL in timely warning to the first responder drivers in potential crash scenarios. We have successfully demonstrated its capability of timely warning in over a dozen scenarios based on the use cases. The preliminary test simulation results show that TruePAL could provide the drivers and crew members advanced warning before a crash occurs.

Chow, Edward↗

Lignin-First Biorefinery Development

Cost-effective biomass fractionation is an enabling, grand challenge for biorefining, especially when both carbohydrates and lignin are targeted for valorization. The advent of Reductive Catalytic Fractionation (RCF) - an active stabilization approach that solubilizes lignin from biomass and catalytically depolymerizes it into a narrow slate of monomers and oligomers - represents a potential step forward for this important goal. In the Lignin-First Biorefinery Development project, we are employing techno-economic analysis (TEA) and life cycle assessment (LCA) to guide bench-scale R&D efforts towards cost-effective RCF-based biorefining. This project is critical to lignin valorization efforts and could enable the use of woody feedstocks in a traditional biochemical conversion context. To date, we have conducted the first rigorous TEA and LCA study of the RCF process, developed a flow-through system to separate biomass and the chemical catalyst in RCF chemistry, developed models for solvolysis chemistry and transport phenomena for poplar, and co-led an international, authoritative perspective on guidelines for the research community on how to best practice lignin-first biorefining. The primary challenges for the lignin-first RCF process going forward are catalyst stability, the need to utilize, recover, and recycle high boiling point solvents to lower RCF reactor pressure, and the challenge of operating RCF continuously - all of which are being directly tackled by this project.

biomass↗