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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 127 records · Page 7
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NASA NTRS2023

Psychophysiological Research Methods to Assess Airline Flight Crew Resilient Performance in High-Fidelity Flight Simulation Scenarios

New concepts in aviation system safety thinking have emerged to consider not only what may go wrong, but also what can be learned when things go right. This approach forms a more comprehensive approach to system safety thinking. A need exists for methods to enable a better understanding of human contributions to aviation safety and how they may inform Safety Management Systems (SMS). A high-fidelity 737-800 simulation study was conducted to study how current type-rated commercial airline flight crews anticipate, monitor, respond to, and learn from expected and unexpected disturbances during line operations. A number of dependent measures were collected that included traditional SMS data types, but also non-traditional safety data to include multiple psychophysiological metrics. This paper describes the psychophysiological measures results that evinced the capability of measures to help identify resilient flight crews. Implications for future research and design of future In-time Aviation Safety Management Systems are discussed.

Psychophysiology↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Towards Sustainable Aviation With Efficient Airspace Operations

In November 2021, the Federal Aviation Administration published the United States Aviation Climate Action Plan to accelerate innovation across the U.S. aviation ecosystem. In response, NASA has established the Sustainable Flight National Partnership to engage with industry, academia, and other agencies to accomplish net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. As part of the SFNP Mission, NASA is conducting a series of real world operational demonstrations in the current National Airspace System with a focus on delivering real world sustainability benefits. This paper presents the current work and future plan for the SFNP Ops Demo Series and describes the cloud based infrastructure used for virtual deployment of decision support tools to flight operators and Air Traffic Controllers to help improve operational efficiency of the National Airspace System. Validation results are shared along with the key sustainability benefits such as jet fuel savings and reduction in CO2 emissions. The operational efficiency metrics such as delay savings are also reported.

Sustainable Flight National Partnership↗
NASA NTRS2024

Evaluation of Machine Learning and Deep Learning Algorithms for Fire Prediction in Southeast Asia

Vegetation fires are prevalent in South/Southeast Asian countries, making fire prediction crucial due to their potential environmental, economic, and social impacts. Accurate predictions of fires facilitate timely interventions, helping to mitigate uncontrolled fires that can lead to biodiversity loss and air quality issues. In this study, we utilize VIIRS satellite-derived fire data alongside six machine learning and deep learning models—Simple Persistence, Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), CNN-LSTM, and ConvLSTM—to determine the most effective fire prediction model, using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) as the metric. Our results indicate that the CNN model is the most reliable in regions with spatial dependencies, such as Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Timor-Leste, and Thailand. Conversely, the ConvLSTM model excels in countries with complex spatiotemporal dynamics like Laos, Myanmar, and Vietnam. The CNN-LSTM hybrid model also performed well in Cambodia, suggesting a need for a balanced approach in areas requiring both spatial and temporal feature extraction. Furthermore, simpler models like Persistence and MLP showed limitations in capturing dynamic patterns and temporal dependencies. Our findings highlight the importance of evaluating models before implementing any decision support systems (DSS) in fire management. By tailoring models to specific regional fire data, we can enhance prediction accuracy and responsiveness, ultimately improving fire risk management in Southeast Asia and beyond.

Deep learning↗
NASA NTRS2021

Synthesizing Disparate LiDAR and Satellite Datasets through Deep Learning to Generate Wall-to-Wall Regional Inventories for the Complex, Mixed-Species Forests of the Eastern United States

Light detection and ranging (LiDAR) has become a commonly-used tool for generating remotely-sensed forest inventories. However, LiDAR-derived forest inventories have remained uncommon at a regional scale due to varying parameters among LiDAR data acquisitions and the availability of sufficient calibration data. Here, we present a model using a 3-D convolutional neural network (CNN), a form of deep learning capable of scanning a LiDAR point cloud, combined with coincident satellite data (spectral, phenology, and disturbance history). We compared this approach to traditional modeling used for making forest predictions from LiDAR data (height metrics and random forest) and found that the CNN had consistently lower uncertainty. We then applied the CNN to public data over six New England states in the USA, generating maps of 14 forest attributes at a 10 m resolution over 85% of the region. Aboveground biomass estimates produced a root mean square error of 36 Mg ha−1 (44%) and were within the 97.5% confidence of independent county-level estimates for 33 of 38 or 86.8% of the counties examined. CNN predictions for stem density and percentage of conifer attributes were moderately successful, while predictions for detailed species groupings were less successful. The approach shows promise for improving the prediction of forest attributes from regional LiDAR data and for combining disparate LiDAR datasets into a common framework for large-scale estimation.

Elias Ayrey↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

ASCoT 3: Nonlinear Principal Components Analysis and Uncertainty Quantification in Early Concept Spacecraft Flight Software Cost Estimation

For mission planners and evaluators alike, value in cost models comes from a mean or median prediction, an understanding of the uncertainty on that prediction, and an understanding of model performance. Here we apply advanced statistical and machine learning methods to spacecraft flight software cost, effort, and SLOC estimation, and present the results in the latest version of the Analogy Software Cost Tool (ASCoT). We present in- and out-of-sample performance metrics for our models, each of which incorporate some amount of epistemic uncertainty. ASCoT, hosted on the One NASA Cost Engineering (ONCE) database via the Online NASA Space Estimation Tool (ONSET), was first showcased in 2016 as a number of analogy-based models and methods (kNN and Clustering) to support early project formulation. This ASCoT update improves upon the previous analogic methods by incorporating uncertainty in the data transformations. In particular, we use a Nonlinear Principal Components Analysis (NLPCA) to deal with ordinal data.

Robotic Spacecraft↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Nearest-Neighbor Machine Learning Feature Selection for Interpretation of Microbial Molecular Signatures from Isotope Ratio Mass Spectrometry Data

Mass spectrometry (MS) promises to be a powerful tool for potential biosignature detection during astrobiological missions on ocean worlds in our solar system. Accurate and generalizable machine learning methods could enhance science return on investment by predicting seawater chemistry and classifying isotopic biosignatures, either as a signature consistent with microbial life (biotic) or as a novelty (unclassified/unique). However, machine learning models are likely to be complex and involve interactions between MS features, making biosignatures difficult to interpret. Feature selection methods provide biological and chemical context that help interpret the mechanisms of machine learning models, but these methods also need the ability to detect complex interactions. Previously, we developed a machine learning feature selection algorithm called nearest-neighbor projected distance regression (NPDR) that has the ability to identify important model features that involve complex interactions and automatically reduce correlation and the dimensionality in a high-dimensional variable space. The standard distance metrics used in NPDR – Manhattan and Euclidean – assume the multivariate data are isotropic, which is often violated in real data due to differences in the covariance between variables. Thus, we extend NPDR to include a random forest distance, and other anisotropic distance metrics, for computing nearest neighbors. We also augment the isotope-ratio MS data with time-series features from the raw MS signal to improve biotic classification. We test NPDR on our novel experimental ocean world seawater analog MS data. We measure isotope fractionations of volatile CO 2 that could be measured in exospheres or plumes. Samples include baseline abiotic conditions using a range of possible seawater chemistry consistent with Europa and Enceladus, and biotic samples that include microbes in these seawaters. We use penalized NPDR with random forest proximity to identify interpretable microbial molecular signatures. We compare features with random forest importance, and we train a classifier that discriminates between biotic and abiotic samples with high accuracy. These ML-trained ocean-world analog MS data could be used to assist in identifying biosignatures during future missions.

geochemistry↗
NASA NTRS2016

Taxi Time Prediction at Charlotte Airport Using Fast-Time Simulation and Machine Learning Techniques

Accurate taxi time prediction is required for enabling efficient runway scheduling that can increase runway throughput and reduce taxi times and fuel consumptions on the airport surface. Currently NASA and American Airlines are jointly developing a decision-support tool called Spot and Runway Departure Advisor (SARDA) that assists airport ramp controllers to make gate pushback decisions and improve the overall efficiency of airport surface traffic. In this presentation, we propose to use Linear Optimized Sequencing (LINOS), a discrete-event fast-time simulation tool, to predict taxi times and provide the estimates to the runway scheduler in real-time airport operations. To assess its prediction accuracy, we also introduce a data-driven analytical method using machine learning techniques. These two taxi time prediction methods are evaluated with actual taxi time data obtained from the SARDA human-in-the-loop (HITL) simulation for Charlotte Douglas International Airport (CLT) using various performance measurement metrics. Based on the taxi time prediction results, we also discuss how the prediction accuracy can be affected by the operational complexity at this airport and how we can improve the fast time simulation model before implementing it with an airport scheduling algorithm in a real-time environment.

airport surface traffic↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Recent Progress on Rans-Based Transition Model Verification

The current efforts to assess and improve the Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS)-coupled transition models in the NASA FUN3D and OVERFLOW codes are summarized in this study. The first AIAA Transition Modeling Workshop and the NATO AVT-313 Transition Workshop both emphasized the need for code verification for transport equations based transition models as a top priority. We discuss the methods used for the model verification, the resulting grid families, the flow solutions, and other supporting information collected with at least two established NASA flow solvers, namely, FUN3D and OVERFLOW. These results, which will be uploaded onto the NASA Turbulence Modeling Resource, should assist other members of the computational fluid dynamics (CFD) community in verifying their own implementations of various transition models, such as the Langtry-Menter (LM2009) model, the one-equation γ model, and Coder’s amplification factor transport (AFT) model. Grid convergence is assessed using both global and local flow metrics of interest such as lift and drag as well as local skin-friction coefficients. We also explore the anisotropic unstructured metric-based adaptive mesh refinement library known as refine with the NASA FUN3D solver to determine if this capability can achieve the same accuracy as handcrafted structured grids with a significantly smaller node count and to learn the characteristics of the resulting grid distribution, especially in the vicinity of the transition zone.

Transition↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Recent Progress on RANS-Based Transition Model Verification

The current efforts to assess and improve the Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS)-coupled transition models in the NASA FUN3D and OVERFLOW codes are summarized in this study. The first AIAA Transition Modeling Workshop and the NATO AVT-313 Transition Workshop both emphasized the need for code verification for transport equations based transition models as a top priority. We discuss the methods used for the model verification, the resulting grid families, the flow solutions, and other supporting information collected with at least two established NASA flow solvers, namely, FUN3D and OVERFLOW. These results, which will be uploaded onto the NASA Turbulence Modeling Resource, should assist other members of the computational fluid dynamics (CFD) community in verifying their own implementations of various transition models, such as the Langtry-Menter (LM2009) model, the one-equation γ model, and Coder’s amplification factor transport (AFT) model. Grid convergence is assessed using both global and local flow metrics of interest such as lift and drag as well as local skin-friction coefficients. We also explore the anisotropic unstructured metric-based adaptive mesh refinement library known as refine with the NASA FUN3D solver to determine if this capability can achieve the same accuracy as handcrafted structured grids with a significantly smaller node count and to learn the characteristics of the resulting grid distribution, especially in the vicinity of the transition zone.

RANS↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

PALMO: An OVERFLOW Machine Learning Airfoil Performance Database

The OVERFLOW Machine Learning Airfoil Performance (PALMO) database has been created to enable robust modeling of airfoil performance in a variety of applications. The PALMO database uses OVERFLOW simulation data second-order accurate in time and fourth-order accurate in space with Spalart-Allmaras turbulence closure. The foundation of the in-development PALMO database is the airfoil base cube. Each base cube includes simulation data parametrized over a range of Mach numbers, Reynolds numbers, and angles-of-attack. This database includes the NACA 4-series airfoils, with parametrization in airfoil thickness and camber from an NACA 0006 to an NACA 4424. In total, 52,480 NACA 4-series OVERFLOW calculations were run on the NASA High-End Compute Capability (HECC) supercomputer. This provides high-order-accurate simulation data covering a wide range of aerospace design applications, which enables users to develop accurate airfoil performance look-up tables without additional high-performance computing. In addition to engineering design and analysis of aerospace vehicles, PALMO is well suited to be a benchmark dataset for the development and testing of machine learning methods in aerospace engineering. This work presents an example PALMO surrogate model that enables accurate airfoil performance predictions for any arbitrary combination of camber, thickness, Mach number, Reynolds number, and angle of attack within the bounds of the database. Airfoil performance tables predicted for an airfoil not used in training the model are used in three-dimensional OVERFLOW simulations to quantify the downstream accuracy on aggregate rotor performance metrics. For the NACA 3415 airfoil, which had no common thickness or camber with the training data, the surrogate predicted and CFD generated tables were within 2.1% of each other in the forward flight lift to drag metric. This suggests that performance tables generated for airfoils within the bounds of the PALMO database will yield aggregate rotor performance predictions on par with tables generated from directly running OVERFLOW airfoil calculations. The PALMO airfoil performance coefficients are available publicly.

Database↗
NASA NTRS2022

MLtool: Universal Supervised Machine Learning Tool to Model Tabulated Data

Machine Learning (ML) is a subfield of Artificial Intelligence that gives computers the ability to learn from past data without being explicitly programmed. The predictive capabilities of ML models have already been used to facilitate several scientific breakthroughs. However, the practical application of ML is often limited due to the gaps in technical knowledge of its users. The common issue faced by many scientific researchers is the inability to choose the appropriate ML pipelines that are needed to treat real-world data, which is often sparse and noisy. To solve this problem, we have developed an automated Machine Learning tool (MLtool) that includes a set of ML algorithms and approaches to aid scientific researchers. The current version of MLtool is implemented as an object-oriented Python code that is easily extensible. It includes 44 different regression algorithms used to model data. MLtool helps users select the best model for their data, based on the scoring metrics used. Besides regression algorithms, MLtool also includes a suite of pre- and post-processing techniques such as missing value imputation, categorical variable encoding, input feature normalization, uncertainty quantification, exploratory data analysis (EDA), etc. MLtool was tested on several publicly available multi-dimensional data sets and was found capable of making accurate predictions.

Machine learning↗
NASA NTRS2022

MLtool Python Code

Machine Learning (ML) is a subfield of Artificial Intelligence that gives computers the ability to learn from past data without being explicitly programmed. The predictive capabilities of ML models have already been used to facilitate several scientific breakthroughs. However, the practical application of ML is often limited due to the gaps in technical knowledge of its users. The common issue faced by many scientific researchers is the inability to choose the appropriate ML pipelines that are needed to treat real-world data, which is often sparse and noisy. To solve this problem, we have developed an automated Machine Learning tool (MLtool) that includes a set of ML algorithms and approaches to aid scientific researchers. The current version of MLtool is implemented as an object-oriented Python code that is easily extensible. It includes 44 different regression algorithms used to model data. MLtool helps users select the best model for their data, based on the scoring metrics used. Besides regression algorithms, MLtool also includes a suite of pre- and post-processing techniques such as missing value imputation, categorical variable encoding, input feature normalization, uncertainty quantification, exploratory data analysis (EDA), etc. MLtool was tested on several publicly available multi-dimensional data sets and was found capable of making accurate predictions.

Machine Learning↗
NASA NTRS2011

Prediction of Weather Impacted Airport Capacity using Ensemble Learning

Ensemble learning with the Bagging Decision Tree (BDT) model was used to assess the impact of weather on airport capacities at selected high-demand airports in the United States. The ensemble bagging decision tree models were developed and validated using the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) Aviation System Performance Metrics (ASPM) data and weather forecast at these airports. The study examines the performance of BDT, along with traditional single Support Vector Machines (SVM), for airport runway configuration selection and airport arrival rates (AAR) prediction during weather impacts. Testing of these models was accomplished using observed weather, weather forecast, and airport operation information at the chosen airports. The experimental results show that ensemble methods are more accurate than a single SVM classifier. The airport capacity ensemble method presented here can be used as a decision support model that supports air traffic flow management to meet the weather impacted airport capacity in order to reduce costs and increase safety.

Weather impact↗
NASA NTRS2008

Towards Intelligent Control for Next Generation Aircraft

NASA Aeronautics Subsonic Fixed Wing Project is focused on mitigating the environmental and operation impacts expected as aviation operations triple by 2025. The approach is to extend technological capabilities and explore novel civil transport configurations that reduce noise, emissions, fuel consumption and field length. Two Next Generation (NextGen) aircraft have been identified to meet the Subsonic Fixed Wing Project goals - these are the Hybrid Wing-Body (HWB) and Cruise Efficient Short Take-Off and Landing (CESTOL) aircraft. The technologies and concepts developed for these aircraft complicate the vehicle s design and operation. In this paper, flight control challenges for NextGen aircraft are described. The objective of this paper is to examine the potential of state-of-the-art control architectures and algorithms to meet the challenges and needed performance metrics for NextGen flight control. A broad range of conventional and intelligent control approaches are considered, including dynamic inversion control, integrated flight-propulsion control, control allocation, adaptive dynamic inversion control, data-based predictive control and reinforcement learning control.

Acosta, Diana Michelle↗
NASA NTRS2014

Lunar Station: The Next Logical Step in Space Development

The International Space Station (ISS) is the product of the efforts of sixteen nations over the course of several decades. It is now complete, operational, and has been continuously occupied since November of 20001. Since then the ISS has been carrying out a wide variety of research and technology development experiments, and starting to produce some pleasantly startling results. The ISS has a mass of 420 metric tons, supports a crew of six with a yearly resupply requirement of around 30 metric tons, within a pressurized volume of 916 cubic meters, and a habitable volume of 388 cubic meters. Its solar arrays produce up to 84 kilowatts of power. In the course of developing the ISS, many lessons were learned and much valuable expertise was gained. Where do we go from here? The ISS offers an existence proof of the feasibility of sustained human occupation and operations in space over decades. It also demonstrates the ability of many countries to work collaboratively on a very complex and expensive project in space over an extended period of time to achieve a common goal. By harvesting best practices and lessons learned, the ISS can also serve as a useful model for exploring architectures for beyond low-­‐ earth-­‐orbit (LEO) space development. This paper will explore the concept and feasibility for a Lunar Station. The Station concept can be implemented by either putting the equivalent capability of the ISS down on the surface of the Moon, or by developing the required capabilities through a combination of delivered materials and equipment and in situ resource utilization (ISRU). Scenarios that leverage existing technologies and capabilities as well as capabilities that are under development and are expected to be available within the next 3-­5 years, will be examined. This paper will explore how best practices and expertise gained from developing and operating the ISS and other relevant programs can be applied to effectively developing Lunar Station.

Lunar↗
NASA NTRS2015

Towards an Understanding of Atmospheric Balance

During a 35 year period I published 30+ pear-reviewed papers and technical reports concerning, in part or whole, the topic of atmospheric balance. Most used normal modes, either implicitly or explicitly, as the appropriate diagnostic tool. This included examination of nonlinear balance in several different global and regional models using a variety of novel metrics as well as development of nonlinear normal mode initialization schemes for particular global and regional models. Recent studies also included the use of adjoint models and OSSEs to answer some questions regarding balance. lwill summarize what I learned through those many works, but also present what l see as remaining issues to be considered or investigated.

Balance↗
NASA NTRS2018

Examining the Conceptual Design Process for Future Hybrid-Electric Rotorcraft

Hybrid-electric propulsion systems introduce immense complexity and numerous design challenges not previously encountered in aircraft design. Traditional conceptual-level rotorcraft design approaches may not adequately capture the level of propulsion system detail desired for hybrid-electric vehicle conceptual design. As part of a NASA Small Business Innovative Research (SBIR) Phase II contract, Empirical Systems Aerospace (ESAero) investigated the implementation of several hybrid-electric propulsion architectures onto three rotorcraft configurations. Unique hybrid-electric variants of these configurations were compared against their conventionally-powered counterparts using typical metrics such as payload, range, and energy efficiency. The feasibility and performance of these vehicles was also investigated in the +15 and +30-year timeframes based on third-party estimations for future component performance. Using the lessons learned during this trade study, ESAero then conducted a conceptual design effort for a hybrid-electric tiltrotor demonstrator based on the XV-15. A detailed integration of the hybrid-electric propulsion system into the vehicle airframe was also performed. The hybrid-electric XV-15 concept vehicle was estimated to achieve a 10% reduction in cruise fuel consumption compared to the original NASA XV-15 at the cost of increasing the vehicle empty weight by almost 25%. The success of this design effort suggests that the design of a manned, hybrid-electric tiltrotor is technically feasible at current technology levels.

Future↗
NASA NTRS2020

ATD-2 Phase 3 Scheduling in a Metroplex Environment Incorporating Trajectory Option Sets

The NASA Airspace Technology Demonstration 2 Phase 1 and 2 Field Evaluations have successfully demonstrated new technologies developed to manage the Integrated Arrival, Departure, and Surface traffic flows at a single airport. The Phase 3 Field Evaluation extends the capabilities to a Metroplex environment where multiple airports are interacting and sharing resources along the terminal boundary. This paper describes the scheduling algorithm enabling the coordinated scheduling and describes the interaction between airports within the Metroplex and the terminal boundary. We describe the metrics developed to inform flight operators about reroute opportunities and discuss the potential benefits to the rerouted flight and the system-wide aggregate benefits of a single reroute. We believe that the capabilities developed and the lessons learned during the Phase 3 Field Evaluation will set up the National Airspace System for future success.

Airspace Technology Demonstration 2↗