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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 127 records · Page 7
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Understanding the Impact of Unobservable Variables on the Performance of Predictive Models: The Need for Feature Space Partitioning and Fusion

When developing predictive models over a dataset, the model is globally optimized across the entire feature space to learn a decision boundary. However, when unobservable variables—which cannot be measured or estimated—interact with the observable variables, this can negatively impact the optimization applied to the decision boundary since the data samples introduced by unobservable variables may have little to no association with the applied global optimization. This, consequently, penalizes the entire decision boundary and model performance. This paper examines some of the detrimental effects of unobservable variables, particularly their role in creating new modes in the distribution of observable variables and reducing the separability of class distributions. Such challenges result in skewed or warped decision boundaries and decreased accuracy of model predictions, particularly for interpretable models like logistic regression and decision trees. Through two illustrative case examples, we highlight the need to address the challenges imposed by unobservable variables. We propose a strategy to mitigate these challenges by creating local regions within the feature space through partitioning. This enables the optimization of local models within the regions to overcome the impact of unobservability in different feature space localities. Research into a more sophisticated partitioning strategy and where the partition should be relative to the sample of interest is left as future work. Through the analysis of the impact of unobservability and the development of a partitioning method, we demonstrate the clear need for a partitioning strategy that integrates knowledge from multiple local models to estimate risk factors using information fusion. Thus, we establish the foundation and motivation for using partitioning and information fusion to overcome the effects of unobservability in predictive models. Formal fusion methods, such as Dempster-Shafer theory, can better leverage the information from local regions to improve the performance of interpretable predictive models in the presence of unobservable variables.

Time Series Data↗
DOE OSTI2024

Strength stability at high temperatures for additively manufactured alumina forming austenitic alloy

Several fast-spectrum nuclear reactors designed to generate high power (~450 MWe) rely on forced convection of media such as supercritical CO 2 , sodium, or liquid lead to cool the nuclear core, operating at temperatures up to 600 °C. Cost-effective, high-strength Fe-based alumina forming austenitic (AFA) alloys are a promising candidate for the fabrication of critical nuclear components. This study investigated laser powder bed fusion (LPBF) processing of an AFA alloy composition optimized for improved creep resistance. Electron microscopy revealed an elongated grain structure along the build direction with a fine sub-grain cellular structure decorated with (Cr,Fe,Nb) 23 C 6 carbide precipitates at the intercellular boundaries. Finally, at temperatures of 20–900 °C, the LPBF alloy's superior tensile properties compared to its arc-melted counterpart and other advanced steels (e.g., SS316) were attributed to the distribution of nano-sized carbide precipitates, whereas the high ductility was attributed to the LPBF alloy's elongated grain structure.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Direct microstability optimization of stellarator devices

Turbulent transport is regarded as one of the key issues in magnetic confinement nuclear fusion, both for tokamaks and stellarators. Here, in this work, we show that a significant decrease in a microstability-based proxy, as opposed to a geometric one, for the turbulent heat flux, namely the quasilinear heat flux, can be obtained in an efficient manner by coupling stellarator optimization with linear gyrokinetic simulations. This is accomplished by computing the quasilinear heat flux at each step of the optimization process, as well as the deviation from quasisymmetry, and minimizing their sum, leading to a balance between neoclassical and the turbulent transport proxy.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Optimizing the Smoothness and Thickness Uniformity of Thin-Film Parylene-N Vapor-Deposited Coatings for Inertial Confinement Fusion Experiments

Polymer coatings with submicrometer smoothness and constant thickness are a required component in a variety of inertial confinement fusion experiments. Smoothness is important for minimizing Rayleigh-Taylor-driven hydrodynamic instabilities, and uniform thickness is important for uniform shock propagation and shell convergence, both of which are critical phenomena that affect the experiment. The preferred polymer coating method is to vapor deposit the parylene-N polymer because it provides nominally smooth conformal coatings. As the coating thickness exceeds 5 µm, however, dome-shaped nodular growth defects develop and the thickness will vary by up to 17% over a distance of 3 cm. This study presents a deterministic method for achieving uniform film thicknesses with ±2% variability over 3 cm and a predictive method to control the thickness to within 5% of the desired value. A coating smoothness of ∼50 nm rms, measured over 40 000 µm 2 , was achieved by adding additional surfaces near the substrates. This additional area improved the thickness uniformity, an effect that is attributed to the low sticking coefficient of the parylene monomer.

chemical vapor deposition (CVD)↗
DOE OSTI2024

Case Study: Leveraging GenAI to Build AI-based Surrogates and Regressors for Modeling Radio Frequency Heating in Fusion Energy Science

This work presents a detailed case study on using Generative AI (GenAI) to develop AI surrogates for simulation models in fusion energy research. The scope includes the methodology, implementation, and results of using GenAI to assist in model development and optimization, comparing these results with previous manually developed models.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
NASA NTRS2004

Computer Tomography 3-D Imaging of the Metal Deformation Flow Path in Friction Stir Welding

In friction stir welding, a rotating threaded pin tool is inserted into a weld seam and literally stirs the edges of the seam together. This solid-state technique has been successfully used in the joining of materials that are difficult to fusion weld such as aluminum alloys. To determine optimal processing parameters for producing a defect free weld, a better understanding of the resulting metal deformation flow path is required. Marker studies are the principal method of studying the metal deformation flow path around the FSW pin tool. In our study, we have used computed tomography (CT) scans to reveal the flow pattern of a lead wire embedded in a FSW weld seam. At the welding temperature of aluminum, the lead becomes molten and thus tracks the aluminum deformation flow paths in a unique 3-dimensional manner. CT scanning is a convenient and comprehensive way of collecting and displaying tracer data. It marks an advance over previous more tedious and ambiguous radiographic/metallographic data collection methods.

Schneider, Judy↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Target Tracking with Distributed Sensing and Optimal Data Migration

The paper presents an Extended Kalman Filter based framework for airborne target tracking using adaptive information fusion from multi-modal multi-rate distributed sensors network. First, the tracking algorithm execution location is determined using an optimal data migration strategy, which also computes the associated delays for each sensor data to arrive at the computing location. Next, the fast (zero-delay) sensors information is dynamically fused in the filter correction procedure at the arrival instance of each valid sensor reading. Finally, the target estimation is updated based on the valid slow (delayed) data, which are grouped according to the delay-time steps before application of the Larsen's method. This approach is applied to the synthetic sensor data generated by means of the ground based radar and camera models for the simulated target flight in Reflection simulation environment.

Distributed sensing↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Target Tracking with Distributed Sensing and Optimal Data Migration

The paper presents an Extended Kalman Filter based framework for airborne target tracking using adaptive information fusion from multi-modal multi-rate distributed sensors network. First, the tracking algorithm execution location is determined using an optimal data migration strategy, which also computes the associated delays for each sensor data to arrive at the computing location. Next, the fast (zero-delay) sensors information is dynamically fused in the filter correction procedure at the arrival instance of each valid sensor reading. Finally, the target estimation is updated based on the valid slow (delayed) data, which are grouped according to the delay-time steps before application of the Larsen's method. This approach is applied to the synthetic sensor data generated by means of the ground based radar and camera models for the simulated target flight in Reflection simulation environment.

Distributed sensing↗
DOE OSTI2026

Advanced Materials for Plasma-Exposed Robust Electrodes

The AMPERE project developed a new class of electrode materials that dramatically improve fusion device performance and longevity. By using Volumetrically Complex Materials (VCMs)—advanced porous metal foams optimized via plasma-material interaction science—the project achieved up to 85% reduction in sputtering erosion under fusion-relevant plasma conditions, far surpassing the goal of 40% reduction. This means these novel electrodes produce far fewer impurities and debris in the plasma, addressing a key challenge in fusion reactors by allowing greater plasma efficiency and power output due to the reduction of power losses due to unwanted interactions with wall-borne impurities.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2026

Automated ICRF heating surrogate modeling via machine learning

This work introduces automated machine learning workflows that address critical bottlenecks in surrogate model development for Ion Cyclotron Range of Frequencies (ICRF) heating applications. The automated framework includes data analysis tools that transform raw datasets into actionable insights in seconds, replacing weeks of manual exploratory effort and ensuring consistent, reproducible dataset characterization. By integrating advanced hyperparameter optimization (HPO) methods including Bayesian optimization via BoTorch and Tree-structured Parzen Estimators (TPE), the framework significantly reduces model development time from weeks to hours, decreasing computational cost and required expertise, while enabling high-accuracy surrogate models. Compared to traditional hyperparameter scanning (HPS) techniques such as methodical, randomized, and grid searches, HPO methods achieve superior convergence and predictive performance, even when compared to already well-tuned reference models. On NSTX High Harmonic Fast Wave (HHFW) heating datasets, both Random Forest Regressor (RFR) and neural network surrogates demonstrate improved accuracy, achieving R 2 values beyond 0.97 and 0.98, respectively. The results show that while HPO gains are modest for robust architectures like RFR, they become essential for more sensitive models such as neural networks, highlighting the trade-offs across optimization strategies. Through automated workflows that eliminate manual hyperparameter tuning and require minimal ML expertise, this work enables widespread adoption of high-fidelity surrogate models across the fusion community for real-time plasma control, uncertainty quantification, rapid experimental scenario development, and integrated system optimization.

Sanchez-Villar, Alvaro [Princeton Plasma Physics L↗
DOE OSTI2025

Multi-physics Topology OPtimization and Additive Manufacturing for High-temperature Heat Exchangers

This research significantly advances the understanding of high-temperature heat exchanger design through an integrated approach that combines topology optimization (TO), triply periodic minimal surface (TPMS) structures, additive manufacturing (AM) and thermohydraulic testing. Each of these components contributes uniquely to a unified, high-performance design, fabrication and testing workflow. Topology optimization serves as the foundation of the design methodology by providing a systematic way to determine the most effective material layout for separating hot and cold fluids while maximizing thermal performance. The researchers introduced a novel three-material optimization framework using two density fields to represent hot fluid, cold fluid, and solid domains. This approach enables automated discovery of optimal shapes and flow paths that cannot be intuitively designed, especially under constraints imposed by manufacturing technologies. Furthermore, constraints such as minimal wall thickness and overhang angles were embedded into the optimization process, ensuring that resulting designs are not only thermally efficient but also manufacturable using modern additive techniques. In parallel, the study delves into the use of Gyroid-based TPMS geometries for constructing the core of the heat exchanger. TPMS structures are known for their high surface area, excellent fluid mixing capabilities, and minimal pressure drop characteristics. The researchers applied a data-driven modeling framework using Heteroscedastic Sparse Gaussian Process Regression (HSGPR) combined with genetic algorithms. This allowed for the rapid evaluation and optimization of key geometric parameters such as frequency, iso-value, and phase shift. The result was a set of Gyroid structures tailored for high heat transfer and low flow resistance, demonstrating clear improvements over conventional straight-channel designs. After the designing process, additive manufacturing played a critical role by turning these highly complex, optimized geometries into physical components. Utilizing Laser Powder Bed Fusion (LPBF) with Haynes 282, the study demonstrated the feasibility of fabricating these heat exchangers at high precision. Post-processing methods, including dilation-erosion operations, were applied to ensure local features adhered to self-supporting constraints. The fabricated structures were then subjected to thermohydraulic testing under conditions representative of supercritical CO 2 Brayton cycles, validating the predicted performance and confirming the viability of the full design-to-fabrication pipeline. Finally, thermohydraulic testing across the above studies served as a crucial experimental validation of advanced heat exchanger. Under consistent high-temperature and high-pressure conditions using supercritical CO 2 , the testing demonstrated that both TO and Gyroid-based TPMS designs significantly outperformed conventional straight-channel HXs. The TO design achieved a 115% increase in UA and NTU and a 27.6% boost in gravimetric power density, while the data-driven optimized Gyroid design delivered a 166% increase in UA and NTU and improved effectiveness from 68.7% to 86.1%. These results validate the simulation models, confirm the manufacturability of complex geometries under AM constraints, and provide key insights into design-performance trade-offs, thereby advancing the development of high-efficiency, compact heat exchangers for extreme environments.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Lightweight Thrust Chamber Assemblies using Multi-Alloy Additive Manufacturing and Composite Overwrap

Additive Manufacturing (AM) has brought significant design and fabrication opportunities for complex components with internal features such as liquid rocket engine thrust chambers not previously possible. This technology allows for significant cost savings and schedule reductions in addition to new performance optimization through weight reduction and increased margins. Specific to regeneratively-cooled combustion chambers and nozzles for liquid rocket engines, additive manufacturing offers the ability to form the complex internal coolant channels and the closeout of the channels to contain the high pressure liquid propellants with a single operation. Much of additive manufacturing development has focused on monolithic alloys using Laser Powder Bed Fusion (L-PBF), which do not allow for complete optimization of the structure. The National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) completed feasibility of an AM bimetallic L-PBF GRCop-84 copper-alloy combustion chamber with an AM electron beam freeform Inconel 625 structural jacket under the Low Cost Upper Stage Propulsion (LCUSP) Project. A follow-on project called Rapid Analysis and Manufacturing Propulsion Technology (RAMPT) is under development to further expand large-scale multi-alloy thrust chambers while maturing composite overwrap technology for significant weight savings opportunities. The RAMPT project has three primary objectives: 1) Advancing blown powder Directed Energy Deposition (DED) to fabricate integral-channel large scale nozzles, 2) Develop composite overwrap technology to reduce weight and provide structural capability for thrust chamber assemblies, and 3) Develop bimetallic and multi-metallic additively manufactured radial and axial joints to optimize material performance. In addition to these primary manufacturing developments, analytical modeling efforts compliment the process development to simulate the AM processes to reduce build failures and distortions. The RAMPT project is also maturing the supply chain for various manufacturing processes described above in addition to L-PBF of GRCop-42. This paper will present an overview of the RAMPT project, the process development and hardware progress to date, material and hot-fire testing results, along with future developments.

Additive Manufacturing↗
DOE OSTI2024

AEPF: Attention-Enabled Point Fusion for 3D Object Detection

Current state-of-the-art (SOTA) LiDAR-only detectors perform well for 3D object detection tasks, but point cloud data are typically sparse and lacks semantic information. Detailed semantic information obtained from camera images can be added with existing LiDAR-based detectors to create a robust 3D detection pipeline. With two different data types, a major challenge in developing multi-modal sensor fusion networks is to achieve effective data fusion while managing computational resources. With separate 2D and 3D feature extraction backbones, feature fusion can become more challenging as these modes generate different gradients, leading to gradient conflicts and suboptimal convergence during network optimization. To this end, we propose a 3D object detection method, Attention-Enabled Point Fusion (AEPF). AEPF uses images and voxelized point cloud data as inputs and estimates the 3D bounding boxes of object locations as outputs. An attention mechanism is introduced to an existing feature fusion strategy to improve 3D detection accuracy and two variants are proposed. These two variants, AEPF-Small and AEPF-Large, address different needs. AEPF-Small, with a lightweight attention module and fewer parameters, offers fast inference. AEPF-Large, with a more complex attention module and increased parameters, provides higher accuracy than baseline models. Experimental results on the KITTI validation set show that AEPF-Small maintains SOTA 3D detection accuracy while inferencing at higher speeds. AEPF-Large achieves mean average precision scores of 91.13, 79.06, and 76.15 for the car class’s easy, medium, and hard targets, respectively, in the KITTI validation set. Results from ablation experiments are also presented to support the choice of model architecture.

Chemistry↗
DOE OSTI2024

Autonomous hybrid optimization of a SiO 2 plasma etching mechanism

Computational modeling of plasma etching processes at the feature scale relevant to the fabrication of nanometer semiconductor devices is critically dependent on the reaction mechanism representing the physical processes occurring between plasma produced reactant fluxes and the surface, reaction probabilities, yields, rate coefficients, and threshold energies that characterize these processes. The increasing complexity of the structures being fabricated, new materials, and novel gas mixtures increase the complexity of the reaction mechanism used in feature scale models and increase the difficulty in developing the fundamental data required for the mechanism. This challenge is further exacerbated by the fact that acquiring these fundamental data through more complex computational models or experiments is often limited by cost, technical complexity, or inadequate models. In this paper, we discuss a method to automate the selection of fundamental data in a reduced reaction mechanism for feature scale plasma etching of SiO 2 using a fluorocarbon gas mixture by matching predictions of etch profiles to experimental data using a gradient descent (GD)/Nelder–Mead (NM) method hybrid optimization scheme. These methods produce a reaction mechanism that replicates the experimental training data as well as experimental data using related but different etch processes.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Towards a Robust Adaptive Digital Twin for Fusion Applications

The development of a digital twin system for fusion applications is essential for enhancing the prediction, analysis, and optimization of complex plasma processes. Machine learning (ML), particularly deep learning has demonstrated strong capabilities in modeling such highly nonlinear and intricate systems. However, two critical challenges limit the deployment of deep learning-based digital twins: Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) and data drift. UQ is vital for ensuring trustworthy predictions, especially in decision-support scenarios. Additionally, data-driven models are often sensitive to changes in the underlying data distribution, such as shot-to-shot variations in fusion experiments, which can lead to performance degradation over time. To address these challenges, we are developing an uncertainty-aware, adaptive digital twin framework. Our approach incorporates deep learning models enhanced with Gaussian Process approximations for predictive uncertainty estimation, coupled with an online learning mechanism that enables continuous model adaptation to new experimental data. This adaptive capability allows the data driven models to respond effectively to evolving plasma behaviors and equipment conditions. Specifically, to mitigate the effects of shot-to-shot drift, our system updates itself incrementally as new data becomes available, improving both robustness and fidelity. Our vision is to evolve this data driven model into a self-sustaining digital twin system that leverages UQ based feedback to continuously refine itself and potentially support real-time decision making. This presentation will cover a brief background on uncertainty quantification for ML, our ongoing effort on development of UQ capabilities for ML, our data science pipeline from data collection to model development and analysis and online learning framework for modeling coil deflection at DIII-D. I will also briefly touch upon opportunities and challenges in development of digital twin framework.

Sammuli, Brian [General Atomics]↗
DOE OSTI2024

Corrosion Testing Of Additively Manufactured Stainless Steel 316H In Molten Salt Environments

The development of a new ASTM standard for evaluating the corrosion resistance of additive manufactured (AM) stainless steel (SS) 316H in chloride molten salts is critical for the use of these materials in extreme environments such as molten salt reactors (MSRs). This report pertains to a work package of the Advaned Materials and Manufacturing Technologies (AMMT) developing a systematic methodology to link changes in AM fabrication parameters, namely surface finishing, porosity, microstructure, and chemical heterogeneity, to corrosion performance in NaCl-MgCl2 salt, a proposed secondary coolant for MSRs. During Fiscal Year 2024, Idaho National Laboratory investigators in the AMMT program, utilized SS316H bars, fabricated with laser bed powder fusion at Los Alamos National Laboratory, to establish and optimize the workflow for evaluating these process-to-performance relationships. Standard practices for specimen preparation were established using these specimens, with particular focus on descaling and sectioning methods that align with ASTM guidelines. A comprehensive experimental design for static corrosion testing was developed, with pre- and post-exposure analysis utilizing optical microscopy and scanning electron microscopy. So far standard descaling techniques were optimized, one static corrosion test was conducted on the LANL AM SS316H specimens, and pre- and post-corrosion practices were established. In addition, the work package yielded a review paper on corrosion testing gaps for AM materials in nuclear applications and submitted a proposal for a rapid-turnaround experiment to the Nuclear Science User Facilities Program to investigate the combined effects of proton irradiation and corrosion on AM SS316H. This work package establishes a foundation for evaluating processing-to-performance relationships for AM SS316H in harsh conditions, contributing to the safe and efficient design of components for next-generation nuclear reactors. The creation of a standardized methodology and the generation of relevant publications and future research pathways represent significant strides towards integrating AM materials into critical applications where corrosion resistance is paramount.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Effects of Target Protium Content on SteadyState Isotope Rebalancing and Protium Removal Distillation Column Operation

• SRNL Fusion Fuel Cycle Research • SRNL Fuel Cycle Tritium Inventory Optimization Approaches • RHINO/Aspen • CODFISH • Direct Internal Recycling • IFE Fuel Cycle Overview • Direct Internal Recycling Applied to IFE • CODFISH Isotope Rebalancing and Protium Removal Column Optimization • RHINO Fuel Cycle Analysis • Conclusions and Future Work

Somers, Alex [Savannah River National Laboratory (↗