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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

Interface and Thermophysical Properties of R 32 Refrigerant

Driven by the urgent demand for efficient cooling in microelectronics and advanced thermal management systems, difluoromethane (R32/CH 2 F 2 ) has emerged as a promising candidate owing to its favorable thermophysical properties, including high heat transfer efficiency and low viscosity. While bulk properties such as density, viscosity, and thermal conductivity have been widely studied, interfacial properties, including surface tension and interfacial thickness, remain comparatively underexplored, despite their importance in phase-transition dynamics. Here, we perform molecular dynamics (MD) simulations from 180 to 300 K using an optimized transferable force field for fluoropropenes with enhanced electrostatics to assess both bulk and interfacial behavior of R32. Simulations reproduced density within ±2.1%, viscosity within 3.05%, and thermal conductivity within 7.41% of NIST reference data. Heat capacities (C p and C v ) were predicted within 5%. For interfacial properties, surface tension trends were reproduced within 13.58% deviation, and the vapor–liquid coexistence curve closely matched reference data, yielding a critical temperature of 345.7 K (1.6% deviation) and a critical density of 0.397 g/cm 3 (6.4% deviation). Importantly, the vapor–liquid interface exhibited pronounced temperature-dependent broadening across the 180–290 K range. This behavior correlates with increasing molecular kinetic energy, reduction in intermolecular cohesive interactions, and a progressive loss of preferential dipole alignment, which collectively enhance thermal fluctuation amplitudes at elevated temperatures. These validated results provide predictive molecular-level insights, particularly for interfacial properties that remain less characterized. By reducing property prediction errors in key parameters such as critical temperature, this work provides reliable inputs for heat-exchanger and system models. Such correlations can support optimized component sizing, improved performance, and reduced refrigerant charge. Beyond R32, the methodology offers a transferable framework for blended and next-generation low-GWP refrigerants, contributing to sustainable thermal management aligned with the 2027 EU F-Gas regulation and 2030 Kigali Amendment.

Fluids↗
DOE OSTI2021

Microtearing instabilities and electron thermal transport in low and high collisionality NSTX discharges

Microtearing mode (MTM) real frequency, growth rate, magnetic fluctuation amplitude and resulting electron thermal transport are studied in systematic NSTX scans of relevant plasma parameters. Here, the dependency of the MTM real frequency and growth rate on plasma parameters, suitable for low and high collision NSTX discharges, is obtained by using the reduced MTM transport model. The plasma parameter dependencies are compared and found to be consistent with the results obtained from MTM using the Gyrokinetic GYRO code. The scaling trend of collision frequency and plasma beta is found to be consistent with the global energy confinement trend observed in the NSTX experiment. The strength of the magnetic fluctuation is found to be consistent with the gyrokinetic estimate. In earlier studies, it was found that the version of the Multi-Mode (MM) anomalous transport model, which did not contain the effect of MTMs, provided an appropriate description of the electron temperature profiles in standard tokamak discharges and not in spherical tokamaks. When the MM model, which involves transport associated with MTMs, is incorporated in the TRANSP code and is used in the study of electron thermal transport in NSTX discharges, it is observed that the agreement with the experimental electron temperature profile is substantially improved.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Aridification of Colorado River Basin's Snowpack Regions Has Driven Water Losses Despite Ameliorating Effects of Vegetation

Abstract The Colorado River Basin is an important natural resource for the semi‐arid southwestern United States (US), where it provides water to more than 40 million people. While nearly 1.5°C of anthropogenic warming has occurred across this region from the 1880s to 2021, climate models show little agreement in the precipitation change during the same historical period, with no trend in the mean of the latest (sixth) generation of Global Climate Models. As such, here we focus on how the CO 2 increase and associated anthropogenic warming over the historical period has impacted runoff across the Colorado Basin. We find that the Colorado Basin's runoff over the historical period has decreased by 8.1% per degree Celsius of warming (°C −1 ). However, the magnitude of this sensitivity is reduced to 6.8% °C −1 when considering vegetation response to historical CO 2 . For present‐day conditions, this translates to runoff reductions of 10.3% due to anthropogenic increases in both temperature and CO 2 since 1880. We demonstrate that Colorado Basin's natural flow has been decreased by roughly the storage of Lake Mead during the 2000–2021 megadrought due to this long term anthropogenic influence, suggesting the basin's first shortage in 2021 would likely not have occurred without anthropogenic warming. We further show warming has led to disproportionate aridification in snowpack regions, causing runoff to decline at double the rate relative to non‐snowpack regions. Thus, despite only making up ∼30% of the basin's drainage area, 86% of runoff decreases in the Colorado Basin is driven by water loss in snowpack regions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Hot-spot model for inertial confinement fusion implosions with an applied magnetic field

Imposing a magnetic field on inertial confinement fusion implosions magnetizes the electrons in the compressed fuel; this suppresses thermal losses, which increases temperature and fusion yield. Indirect-drive experiments at the National Ignition Facility with 12 and 26 T applied magnetic fields demonstrate up to 40% increase in temperature, 3× increase in fusion yield, and indicate that magnetization alters the radial temperature profile [Moody et al., Phys. Rev. Lett. 129, 195002 (2022); Lahmann et al., APS DPP (2022)]. In this work, we develop a semi-analytic hot-spot model, which accounts for the two-dimensional (2D) Braginskii anisotropic heat flow due to an applied axial magnetic field. First, we show that hot-spot magnetization alters the radial temperature profile, increasing the central peakedness, which is most pronounced for moderately magnetized implosions (with 8–14 T applied field), compared to both unmagnetized (with no applied field) and highly magnetized (with 26 T or higher applied field) implosions. This model explains the trend in the experimental data, which finds a similarly altered temperature profile in the 12 T experiment. Next, we derive the hot-spot model for gas-filled (Symcap) implosions, accounting for the effects of magnetization on the thermal conduction and in changing the radial temperature (and density) profiles. Using this model, we compute predicted central temperature amplification and yield enhancement scaling with the applied magnetic field. The central temperature fits the experimental data accurately, and the discrepancy in the yield suggests a systematic (independent of applied field) degradation, such as mix, and additional degradation in the reference unmagnetized shot, such as reduced laser drive, increased implosion asymmetry, or the magnetic field suppressing ablator mixing into the hot-spot.

Alpha particles↗
DOE OSTI2024

Feasibility of peak temperature targets in light of institutional constraints

Despite faster-than-expected progress in clean energy technology deployment, global annual CO 2 emissions have increased from 2020 to 2023. The feasibility of limiting warming to 1.5 °C is therefore questioned. Here we present a model intercomparison study that accounts for emissions trends until 2023 and compares cost-effective scenarios to alternative scenarios with institutional, geophysical and technological feasibility constraints and enablers informed by previous literature. Our results show that the most ambitious mitigation trajectories with updated climate information still manage to limit peak warming to below 1.6 °C (‘low overshoot’) with around 50% likelihood. However, feasibility constraints, especially in the institutional dimension, decrease this maximum likelihood considerably to 5–45%. Accelerated energy demand transformation can reduce costs for staying below 2 °C but have only a limited impact on further increasing the likelihood of limiting warming to 1.6 °C. Our study helps to establish a new benchmark of mitigation scenarios that goes beyond the dominant cost-effective scenario design.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

An Investigation into the Surface Skidding Response of PBX 9501 and PBX 9502

While polymer-bonded explosives, PBX, have reduced sensitivity to ignition from mechanical shock or heating compared to conventional explosives, the investigation of the mechanical ignition mechanisms for PBX remains vital to assessing the safety during machining and general handling. Under frictional heating, hot spot generation due to high melting point contaminants in the interface is a suspected source for increased probability of detonation. Here, to investigate such frictional heating, samples of PBX 9501 and PBX 9502 were impacted and skidded against a tangentially moving target and thermally imaged. Temporally resolved temperature and forces were simultaneously measured with and without 300 µm silica grit at the frictional interface. A trend of increasing temperature was observed as the speed and tangential force on the sample increased. Grit particles in the frictional interface were found to act as frictional heat concentration spots owing to the grit's protrusion from the surface and lesser susceptibility to melting compared to the PBX. The coefficient of friction between PBX 9501 and the skidding surface was observed to be largely constant for forces and speeds at the lower end of the test range. In contrast, at high tangential speeds, the coefficient was found to be significantly lower.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Role of Fe in long-range ordered Ni 2 Cr precipitates in Ni-Cr-Fe model alloys during isothermal aging

The precipitation of new phases during long-term service at elevated temperatures is a concern for the thermal stability of engineering alloys. In Ni-Cr-based alloys, e.g., Alloy 690, the formation of long-range ordered Ni 2 Cr causes embrittlement and may impact the lifetime of nuclear power plant components. In this work, we quantify the formation and evolution of Ni 2 Cr precipitation in eleven Ni-Cr-Fe model alloys with 0, 5, 7, and 10wt % Fe contents, and with Ni/Cr atomic ratios of 1.8, 2.0, 2.2, 2.4. These alloys were isothermally aged up to 10,000h at temperatures between 330 and 475°C. The alloys were characterized by synchrotron-based x-ray diffraction and Vickers hardness testing to quantify Ni 2 Cr precipitate size, and the impact of precipitate size on the mechanical properties as a function of Fe content. After 10,000 h of aging at 475°C and 418°C, the formation of Ni 2 Cr was observed in all alloys with 0 and 5wt % Fe. After 10,000h of aging at 418°C, Ni 2 Cr precipitates were also observed in the 7wt % Fe containing Ni/Cr=2.0 sample. Further, no clear evidence of Ni 2 Cr was observed in any of the 10wt % Fe samples at any time and temperature combination. We find that the face-centered cubic matrix lattice contraction and Vickers hardness are correlated with the Ni 2 Cr formation. The greatest change in hardness and lattice contraction occurs in stoichiometric alloys (Ni/Cr=2.0) with 0wt % Fe at 475°C. The rate of change in the material properties for the 5wt % Fe alloys is reduced, however the magnitude of changes is similar to 0wt % Fe alloys. A precipitation hardening model developed for Ni-Cr alloys based on critical resolved shear stress with weakly coupled dislocations shows a clear link between Ni 2 Cr precipitate size and hardness. This trend held across all alloys with Ni 2 Cr formation regardless of Fe concentration. This important structure-property relationship can potentially help define Ni-Cr-Fe-based component lifetimes directly through an understanding of how Ni 2 Cr formation impacts mechanical properties as a function of Fe content.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Increasing evapotranspiration decouples the positive correlation between vegetation cover and warming in the Tibetan plateau

Plant growth generally responds positively to an increase in ambient temperature. Hence, most Earth system models project a continuous increase in vegetation cover in the future due to elevated temperatures. Over the last 40 years, a considerable warming trend has affected the alpine ecosystem across the Tibetan Plateau. However, we found vegetation growth in the moderately vegetated areas of the plateau were negatively related to the warming temperatures, thus resulting in a significant degradation of the vegetative cover (LAI: slope = -0.0026 per year, p < 0.05). The underlying mechanisms that caused the decoupling of the relationship between vegetation growth and warming in the region were elaborated with the analysis of water and energy variables in the ecosystem. Results indicate that high temperatures stimulated evapotranspiration and increased the water consumption of the ecosystem (with an influence coefficient of 0.34) in these degrading areas, significantly reducing water availability (with an influence coefficient of -0.68) and limiting vegetation growth. Moreover, the negative warming effect on vegetation was only observed in the moderately vegetated areas, as evapotranspiration there predominantly occupied a larger proportion of available water (compared to the wet and highly vegetated areas) and resulted in a greater increase in total water consumption in a warmer condition (compared to dry areas with lower levels of vegetation cover). These findings highlight the risk of vegetation degradation in semi-arid areas, with the degree of vulnerability depending on the level of vegetation cover. Furthermore, results demonstrate the central role of evapotranspiration in regulating water stress intensity on vegetation under elevated temperatures.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Thermal field reconstruction and compressive sensing using proper orthogonal decomposition

Model order reduction allows critical information about sensor placement and experiment design to be distilled from raw fluid mechanics simulation data. In many cases, sensed information in conjunction with reduced order models can also be used to regenerate full field variables. In this paper, a proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) inferencing method is extended to the modeling and compressive sensing of temperature, a scalar field variable. The method is applied to a simulated, critically stable, incompressible flow over a heated cylinder (Re = 1000) with Prandtl number varying between 0.001 and 50. The model is trained on pressure and temperature data from simulations. Field reconstructions are then generated using data from selected sensors and the POD model. Finally, the reconstruction error is evaluated across all Prandtl numbers for different numbers of retained modes and sensors. The predicted trend of increasing reconstruction accuracy with decreasing Prandtl number is confirmed and a Prandtl number/sensor count error matrix is presented.

Matulis, John↗
DOE OSTI2021

Microtearing Instabilities and Electron Thermal Transport in Low and High Collisionality NSTX Discharges

Microtearing mode (MTM) real frequency, growth rate, magnetic fluctuation amplitude and resulting electron thermal transport are studied in systematic NSTX scans of relevant plasma parameters. The dependency of the MTM real frequency and growth rate on plasma parameters, suitable for low and high collision NSTX discharges, is obtained by using the reduced MTM transport model [T. Rafiq, et al., Phys. Plasmas 23, 062507 (2016)]. The plasma parameter dependencies are compared and found to be consistent with the results obtained from MTM using the Gyrokinetic GYRO code. The scaling trend of collision frequency and plasma beta is found to be consistent with the global energy confinement trend observed in the NSTX experiment. The strength of the magnetic fluctuation is found to be consistent with the gyrokinetic estimate.In earlier studies, it was found that the version of the Multi-Mode (MM) anomalous transport model, which did not contain the effect of MTMs, provided an appropriate description of the electron temperature profiles in standard tokamak discharges and not in spherical tokamaks. When the MM model, which involves transport associated with MTMs, is incorporated in the TRANSP code and is used in the study of electron thermal transport in NSTX discharges, it is observed that the agreement with the experimental electron temperature profile is substantially improved.

fusion plasma technology↗
DOE OSTI2020

Sparse thermal data for cellular automata modeling of grain structure in additive manufacturing

Grain growth in the wake of the melt pool formed during alloy-based additive manufacturing (AM) is complex and multifaceted, depending on parameters governing heat transport, fluid flow, and solidification itself. Cellular automata (CA) models have proven effective in providing computationally efficient and physically sound predictions of grain structure for several AM problems, but their efficiency is tied to the performance of heat transport models. CA models use only a small portion of the problem's temperature data (near the moving melt pool boundary), and much of the CA calculations do not affect the final result due to re-melting of material. Coupling of and communication between heat transport and solidification models, and eliminating operations irrelevant towards final grain structure prediction, will be necessary for using these methods for efficient simulation of large parts. In this work, we introduce a procedure of decoupling the CA from temperature field simulation, using files of relevant temperature data written by the heat transport model. This approach is validated against the standard coupling approach using data obtained through the computational fluid dynamics software OpenFOAM. Negligible differences are seen in grain size, volume, and texture distributions for multilayer simulation of test problems, while the quantity of temperature data for these test problems was reduced by four orders of magnitude (from 100s of GB to 10s of MB) and the code performance sped up by a factor of around 50. Furthermore, variability in microstructure as a function of cell size, substrate, time step, and nucleation parameters is studied, and it is found that cell sizes less than or equal to 1.67 μm and sufficiently small time steps yield Αstatistically equivalent microstructures. Finally, a potential use case for this CA approach—the layer-wise convergence in grain structure starting from extremes in initial grain size—is examined. This approach's ability to simulate expected trends in nucleation and epitaxial grain growth for large regions of microstructure, simulated independently of heat transport models themselves, should prove useful for investigation of various microstructure uncertainties and prediction of part-scale experimental results.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Signatures of Coherent Phonon Transport in Ultralow Thermal Conductivity Two-Dimensional Ruddlesden–Popper Phase Perovskites

An emerging class of methylammonium lead iodide (MAPbI 3 )-based Ruddlesden-Popper (RP) phase perovskites, BA 2 MA n-1 Pb n I 3n+1 (n = 1-7), exhibit enhanced stability to environmental conditions relative to MAPbI 3 , yet still degrade at elevated temperatures. Here, we experimentally determine the thermal conductivities of these layered RP phases for n = 1-6, where n defines the number of repeated perovskite octahedra per layer. We measure thermal conductivities of 0.37 ± 0.13/0.12, 0.17 ± 0.08/0.07, 0.21 ± 0.05/0.04, and 0.19 ± 0.04/0.03 W/m∙K in thin films of n = 1-4 and 0.08 ± 0.06/0.04, 0.06 ± 0.04/0.03, 0.06 ± 0.03/0.03, and 0.08 ± 0.07/0.04 W/m∙K in single crystals of n = 3-6. With the exception of n = 1, these thermal conductivities are lower than the range of 0.34-0.50 W/m∙K reported for single-crystal MAPbI 3 . Reduced-order lattice dynamics modeling suggests that the initially decreasing trend of thermal conductivity in similarly oriented perovskites with increasing n may result from the transport properties of coherent phonons, emergent from the superstructure, that do not scatter at the interfaces of organic butylammonium chains and perovskite octahedra. Reduced group velocity of coherent phonons in n = 3-6, a consequence of band flattening in the phonon dispersion, is primarily responsible for their ultralow thermal conductivities. Similar effects on thermal conductivity have been experimentally demonstrated in deposited superlattices, but never in naturally defined materials such as RP phases. GIWAXS measurements reveal that higher n RP phase thin films are less orientationally controlled and therefore possess apparently elevated thermal conductivities relative to single crystals of the same n.

2D perovskites↗
DOE OSTI2025

Advances in supervisory control strategies for a heat pump centric HVAC system − a comprehensive review on applications

There is an increase in research investigating the development and deployment of supervisory controllers that enable high efficiency electrically driven vapor compression heat pumps operating within grid interactive efficient buildings to provide demand side management. This paper reviews over sixty relevant case studies within this domain that focus on commercial off-the-shelf heat pumps whose primary task is providing space conditioning. The concept of a heat pump-centric heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning system is introduced, accompanied by a detailed overview of various kinds of electric heat pumps and building-level thermal energy storage configurations. Additionally, the different types of supervisory controller designs, including rule-based control and model predictive control, are discussed, along with the various methods for communication between a supervisory controller and a downstream heat pump’s local controller. A comparative analysis is conducted in order to categorize the reviewed case studies based on their system design, supervisory control algorithm, and validation methodology. This detailed analysis allows the review to establish current research trends, identify potential gaps, and suggest future directions for the development of this technology. Overall, the authors recommend that more future research be devoted to low-cost practical retrofits that allow for easy integration of active thermal energy storage within heat pump-centric heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning system systems that utilize direct expansion heat pumps. We also suggest more research into the development and deployment of supervisory controllers that can properly communicate with commercial off-the-shelf heat pump local controller available control inputs, e.g., zone temperature setpoint. Lastly, more rigorous experimental demonstrations of advanced supervisory control within real and or closed-loop, transient/ quasi-steady state environments are necessary to reduce industry wide skepticism of this technology.

Demand side management↗
DOE OSTI2024

Iodine speciation in basaltic melts at depth

The speciation of iodine in basalts has been investigated by combining in situ X-ray diffraction at high pressures and temperatures up to 4.9 GPa and 1600 °C, and Raman spectroscopy on recovered high pressure glasses at ambient conditions. Both methods point to iodine being oxidized in basalts, whether molten or quenched as glasses. Observed interatomic distances and Raman vibrational modes are consistent with iodine being dissolved as complex iodate groups alike polyiodates or periodates, not as IO$^-_3$ groups. Iodine speciation in basalts therefore seems to reflect a trend amongst halogens, with lighter chlorine bonding to network modifying cations, and bromine changing affinity from network modifying cations to oxygen anions under pressure. In the absence of a fluid aqueous phase, iodine could thus reach the Earth’s surface in basaltic magmas as an oxide, not as a reduced species.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Tailoring the rheological properties of high protein suspension by thermal-mechanical treatment

The viscoelasticity of concentrated protein suspensions associates closely with the mixing efficiency and cleaning frequency of facility during high-protein food development. This study investigated the effects of thermal-mechanical treatment on the viscoelasticity of milk protein isolate (MPI) suspensions and their underlying mechanisms to develop protein ingredient with low viscoelasticity. MPI suspensions (20%) were treated at 25, 50 and 85°C for 10-60 min under constant shear (100 s -1 ), followed by storage at 4°C. The viscosity (η) of MPI suspension treated at 50°C and 85°C was similar to 1-10% as those treated at 25 ° C. After four days of storage at 4°C, η showed the least value in 50°C-treated samples compared to those at 25 ° C and 85 ° C. The η and storage modulus (G') was decreased with prolonged treatment at 25 and 50°C, whereas opposite trend was found in 85°C treated samples. Differential scanning calorimetry found proteins in 50°C treated samples had smaller enthalpy than those in the control and 25°C treated samples. Protein surface hydrophobicity was increased slightly from 25°C to 50°C, but remarkably in 85°C treated samples. Ultra-small angle x-ray scattering showed the radius of gyration (R-g) of casein micelle was similar to 38 nm at 25°C and 50°C treated samples but increased to similar to 44 nm 85°C treated samples with reduced compactness. A new sphere-like structure with R-g of 18 nm was generated in 85°C treated samples. These findings suggested modulating temperature during thermal-mechanical treatment is essential to alter protein structures and morphology for desirable rheological properties.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Anomalous cross-field transport in a Hall thruster inferred from direct measurement of instability growth rates

The contribution of the electron drift instability to anomalous electron transport is experimentally assessed in a Hall effect discharge. The transport is represented by an anomalous collision frequency, which is related through quasilinear theory to the energy and growth rate of the instability. The wave energy is measured directly with ion saturation probes, while estimates of the growth rate are employed based on both linearized theory and direct measurement. The latter measurement is performed with a bispectral analysis method. The wave-driven collision frequency is compared to measurements of the actual collision frequency inferred from a method based on laser- induced fluorescence. It is found that estimates for transport using linearized theory for the growth differ by over an order of magnitude from the actual anomalous collision frequency in the plasma. The wave-driven anomalous collision frequency with measured growth, however, is shown to agree with the electron collision frequency in magnitude and capture aspects of the trends in spatial variation. This result demonstrates experimentally that wave-driven effects ultimately can explain the observed cross-field transport in these devices. As a result, the implications of this finding are discussed in the context of the key lengthscales that drive the transport as well as the implications identifying reduced fidelity models that could be used to predict anomalous collision frequency.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Source attribution of Arctic black carbon and sulfate aerosols and associated Arctic surface warming during 1980–2018

Observations show that the concentrations of Arctic sulfate and black carbon (BC) aerosols have declined since the early 1980s. Previous studies have reported that reducing sulfate aerosols potentially contributed to the recent rapid Arctic warming. In this study, a global aerosol–climate model (Community Atmosphere Model, version 5) equipped with Explicit Aerosol Source Tagging (CAM5-EAST) is applied to quantify the source apportionment of aerosols in the Arctic from 16 source regions and the role of aerosol variations in affecting changes in the Arctic surface temperature from 1980 to 2018. The CAM5-EAST simulated surface concentrations of sulfate and BC in the Arctic had a decrease of 43% and 23%, respectively, in 2014–2018 relative to 1980–1984 mainly due to the reduction of emissions from Europe, Russia and local Arctic sources. Increases in emissions from South and East Asia led to positive trends in Arctic sulfate and BC in the upper troposphere. All aerosol radiative impacts are considered including aerosol–radiation and aerosol–cloud interactions, as well as black carbon deposition on snow- and ice-covered surfaces. Within the Arctic, sulfate reductions caused a top-of-atmosphere (TOA) warming of 0.11 and 0.25 W m -2 through aerosol–radiation and aerosol–cloud interactions, respectively. While the changes in Arctic atmospheric BC has little impact on local radiative forcing, the decrease in BC in snow and ice led to a net cooling of 0.05 W m -2 . By applying climate sensitivity factors for different latitudinal bands, global changes in sulfate and BC during 2014–2018 (with respect to 1980–1984) exerted a +0.088 and 0.057 K Arctic surface warming, respectively, through aerosol–radiation interactions. Through aerosol–cloud interactions, the sulfate reduction caused an Arctic warming of +0.193 K between the two time periods. The weakened BC effect on snow–ice albedo led to an Arctic surface cooling of -0.041 K. The changes in atmospheric sulfate and BC outside the Arctic produced a total Arctic warming of +0.25 K, the majority of which is due to the midlatitude changes in radiative forcing. Our results suggest that changes in aerosols over the midlatitudes of the Northern Hemisphere have a larger impact on Arctic temperature than other regions through enhanced poleward heat transport. The combined total effects of sulfate and BC produced an Arctic surface warming of +0.297 K, explaining approximately 20% of the observed Arctic warming since the early 1980s.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗