SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “refineries”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

SourceResearch connectionFrom yearThrough year

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 127 records · Page 7

All sources NASA NTRS DOE OSTI

DOE OSTI2026

Multi-objective Decisions on Integrated Energy Systems Planning and Operation for Industrial Combined Heat and Power Supply

Unlike the power sector—which can transmit electricity over long distances via established grids—the industrial sector poses a unique challenge due to its geographically concentrated large-scale heat processes. Enhancing energy security in such industrial parks provides a dual benefit: reduced exposure to volatile fossil fuel prices and improved economic viability, largely driven by economies of scale in energy supply and distribution. This study presents a comprehensive technoeconomic analysis of a nuclear energy hub, employing a mechanism-focused approach to evaluate uncertainties in operational strategies and capacity optimization. Load profiles from three major energy intesive industries—chemical, refinery, and steelmaking—are examined, each presenting unique challenges and opportunities for nuclear energy integration. We adopt a multi-objective optimization framework, converting multiple objectives into a single objective function through the e-constraint method. The findings highlight clear trade-offs between system conditions and varying levels of energy independence. Overall, this analysis is granular enough to address industry-specific concerns yet sufficiently generalizable to provide actionable insights into the feasibility of nuclear-based clean heat solutions for the industrial sector.

25 - ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2021

Potential Economic Values of Low-Vapor-Pressure Gasoline-Range Bio-Blendstocks: Property Estimation, and Blending Optimization

Adding non-traditional blendstocks derived from biomass into gasoline has gained renewed interest since it will reduce greenhouse gas emissions and potentially enhance fuel properties and boost engine efficiencies. A competitive bio-blendstock candidate should have either lower prices or superior properties or both relative to conventional gasoline blending components. Gasoline is a mixture of hundreds compounds specified by properties rather than compositions. The addition of bio-blendstocks, most likely oxygenates, will modify the property mixing rules due to the non-ideal interactions between polar and nonpolar components. This paper presents an equation-of-state-based model for predicting Reid vapor pressure, reduced order non-linear property blending models for computing key properties of final gasoline products, and a blending optimization approach to identify key economic drivers. This paper also evaluates the economic values of bio-blendstocks to petroleum refiners using those models. In additional to ethanol, six low-vapor-pressure bio-blendstock candidates were evaluated: i-propanol, n-propanol, i-butanol, diisobutylene, cyclopentanone, and a mixture of furans. Reid vapor pressure, distillation temperatures, and octane numbers were identified as the key economic drivers of adding bio-blendstock. The economic values of those bio-blendstocks range from 2.22 to 4.00 US dollar per gasoline gallon equivalent in 2013 to 2017 5-year averaged price basis. The bio-blendstocks with higher octane numbers may have higher economic values. The uncertainties in property predictions may lead to roughly 15% deviation in the economic value evaluation.

Jiang, Yuan↗

DOE OSTI2022

Screening and evaluation of biomass upgrading strategies for sustainable transportation fuel production with biomass-derived volatile fatty acids

Biomass conversion to fuels and chemicals is crucial to decarbonization, but choosing an advantageous upgrading pathway out of many options is challenging. Rigorously evaluating all candidate pathways (process simulation, product property testing) requires a prohibitive amount of research effort; even simple upgrading schemes have hundreds of possible permutations. We present a method enabling high-throughput screening by approximating upgrading unit operations and drop-in compatibility of products (e.g., fuel properties) and apply it to volatile fatty acid (VFA) conversion to liquid transportation fuels via a MATLAB script, VFA Upgrading to Liquid Transportation fUels Refinery Estimation (VULTURE). VULTURE selects upgrading configurations that maximize fuel blend bio-derived content. We validate VULTURE's approximations through surrogate fuel property testing and process simulation. Techno-economic and life cycle analyses suggest that VFA upgrading processes down-selected by VULTURE are profitable and have low carbon intensities, demonstrating the potential for the strategy to accelerate process development timelines at decreased costs.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Carbon fibers derived from liquefied and fractionated poplar lignins: The effect of molecular weight

Lignin recovered from poplar, a key woody biomass resource proposed for lignocellulosic refineries, was investigated for conversion into carbon fibers. Aqueous solutions of ethanol at selected temperatures and compositions, where the requisite solvent and liquefied-lignin phases form, were used to purify and fractionate hybrid poplar (HP) lignin using the Aqueous Lignin Purification with Hot Agents (ALPHA) process. Sugars (<0.1%) and ash (0.01 ± 0.01%) content of the highest molecular weight fraction (Mw = 52 kDa) approached the limits of detection. This 52 kDa fraction could be dry spun with excellent stability and was subsequently converted into carbon fibers having strength (1.1 ± 0.2 GPa) and modulus (78 ± 8 GPa) essentially double those previously achieved with neat poplar and other hardwood lignins. Of equal importance, stabilization times were decreased by a factor of five. Such stabilization and strength/modulus improvements are essential for reducing the overall manufacturing cost of carbon fibers being proposed for cost-sensitive applications.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Alkene adsorption and cracking on acidic zeolites – A gradual process of understanding

Cracking of light alkenes on solid acids and, in particular on zeolites, is ubiquitous in refineries. Different zeolite framework topologies in the catalysts used provide spatial constraints for reactants and products, leading to discrete reaction routes and varying selectivities. The conversion of alkenes in cracking proceeds either via monomolecular or bimolecular reaction pathways. In both routes, the reacting alkene adsorbs first on Brønsted acid sites forming the initial state (e.g., π-complex, carbenium ion or alkoxide), followed by β-cleavage in the carbenium transition state, generating a smaller alkene and a carbenium ion (monomolecular route) or forming a dimer by alkene addition that cracks subsequently (bimolecular route). The current state of understanding alkene sorption and cracking is critically discussed in this paper and four questions are formulated that may be the central questions from our perspective in further developing new generations of catalysts and processes for alkene conversion.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2026

Filling the cellulosic bio-economy gap by utilizing a wedge approach combined with stakeholder collaboration

The price gap between the market and breakeven prices of cellulosic biomass for farmers represents a significant barrier to the development of a low-carbon cellulosic bioeconomy. Using a bottom-up, agent-based modeling tool that replicates the behaviors and interactions of key stakeholders, this study analyzes the emergence of a cellulosic bioeconomy at the local scale through a wedge approach that examines an integrated portfolio of multiple policy options, including subsidies for small-scale bioproducts and environmental credits. Here, the role of collaboration among multiple stakeholders, such as biomass producers (farmers), bio-refinery industry, government, and society, is assessed for filling the price gap. Using the Sangamon River Basin as a case study site, we evaluate the effectiveness of the wedge approach by comparing simulation results from multiple scenarios, each incorporating different combinations of bioeconomy wedges, with and without stakeholder collaboration. Results underscore that active collaboration among stakeholders acts as a catalyst enlarging the effectiveness of bioeconomy wedges. Including the carbon credits and environmental value in the policy portfolio is found to bridge the price gap through collective contributions from diverse stakeholders, where the cellulosic biofuel and bioproduct industry plays a pivotal role. Although this study is conducted at the local watershed scale, the methodology and findings offer valuable insights for market development in other watersheds and the potential scaling of local markets to regional and national levels.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Life-cycle energy use and greenhouse gas emissions of palm fatty acid distillate derived renewable diesel

This study aims to quantify life-cycle fossil energy use and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions for palm fatty acid distillate (PFAD) derived renewable diesel (RD) taking into consideration different feedstock classifications that are applicable to PFAD (residue, byproduct, or coproduct), and incorporating updated data for key processes. Under the three classifications, the PFAD to RD pathway was modeled using the Greenhouse gases, Regulated Emissions, and Energy Use in Technologies (GREET®) model. PFAD-derived RD could reduce fossil energy consumption by 77%–88%, relative to petroleum diesel. GHG emissions are very sensitive to PFAD classification and coproduct handling methods. Considering the production of palm oil and PFAD and economic value, we maintain that PFAD should be treated as a byproduct in palm oil refineries. With this treatment, PFAD-derived RD could achieve 84% GHG emissions reductions, compared to the emissions of petroleum diesel. We also employed a substitution method to address the substitution of PFAD by other materials in the marketplace. Compared to coproduct allocation results, we found substituting PFAD by tallow, soy oil, barley, and canola oil results in lower GHG emissions. Due to high induced land-use change emissions associated with palm farming, if PFAD is treated as a coproduct with refined palm oil, PFAD-derived RD may not deliver GHG reductions. A sensitivity analysis identified key parameters such as palm fruit yield, oil extraction efficiency in oil mills, and energy use intensity for RD production affects LCA results significantly; future efforts to improve these parameters could result in further GHG reductions.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Milligrams to kilograms: making microbes work at scale

Energy is one of the most complex fields of study and an issue that influences nearly every aspect of modern life. Over the past century, combustion of fossil fuels, particularly in the transportation sector, has been the dominant form of energy release. Refining of petroleum and natural gas into liquid transportation fuels is also the centerpiece of the modern chemical industry used to produce materials, solvents, and other consumer goods. In the face of global climate change, the world is searching for alternative, sustainable means of producing energy carriers and chemical building blocks. The use of biofuels in engines predates modern refinery optimization and today represents a small but significant fraction of liquid transportation fuels burnt each year. Similarly, white biotechnology has been used to produce many natural products through fermentation. The evolution of recombinant DNA technology into modern synthetic biology has expanded the scope of biofuels and bioproducts that can be made by biocatalysts. This opinion examines the current trends in this research space, highlighting the substantial growth in computational tools and the growing influence of renewable electricity in the design of metabolic engineering strategies. In short, advanced biofuel and bioproduct synthesis remains a vibrant and critically important field of study whose focus is shifting away from the conversion of lignocellulosic biomass towards a broader consideration of how to reduce carbon dioxide to fuels and chemical products.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

Hydrogen Analysis by Gas Chromatography–Mass Spectrometry

The detection of hydrogen in complex gas mixtures is essential for many applications. Conventional approaches such as gas chromatography (GC) with thermal conductivity detection (TCD) and residual gas analyzers (RGAs) face significant limitations: TCD exhibits poor response when helium is used as a carrier gas, whereas RGAs lack chromatographic separation, preventing reliable quantification of hydrogen because of interference from other species. Traditional GC methods rely on dual-column configurations with packed or molecular-sieve porous layer open tubular (PLOT) columns to separate hydrogen from O2, N2, CO, CO2, CH4, and other hydrocarbons, increasing system complexity and limiting compatibility with mass spectrometry (MS) detection. In this work, we developed and validated a robust GC–MS method capable of directly detecting and quantifying hydrogen using electron ionization (EI) without dopants, reagent gases, or ion–molecule reaction schemes. By integrating a modified EI source and a cryogenically cooled single capillary column configuration, we achieved baseline separation of hydrogen from all major permanent gases and hydrocarbons in a refinery gas mixture using helium as the carrier gas. The method demonstrated excellent linearity, high sensitivity, and exceptional reproducibility. Adjustable sample-loop volumes and split ratios enabled optimization of peak shape and signal-to-noise performance for trace-level and percent-level hydrogen concentrations. Beyond hydrogen quantitation, the method provides simultaneous compositional profiling of other gases in a mixture in a single run, making it valuable for a wide range of tasks.

Lobodin, Vlad [ORNL]↗

DOE OSTI2025

Recent Advances in the Use of Ionic Liquids and Deep Eutectic Solvents for Lignocellulosic Biorefineries and Biobased Chemical and Material Production

Biorefineries, which process biomass feedstocks into valuable (bio)products, aim to replace fossil fuel-based refineries to produce energy and chemicals, reducing environmental and health hazards, including climate change, and supporting a sustainable economy. In particular, lignocellulose-based biorefineries, utilizing the most abundant renewable feedstock on Earth, have significant potential to supply sustainable energy, chemicals and materials. Ionic liquids (ILs, organic salts with low melting temperatures) and deep eutectic solvents (DESs, mixtures with eutectic points lower than the ideal mixture) are capable of dissolving some of the key lignocellulose polymers, and even the whole biomass. Furthermore, they have intrinsic advantages over molecular solvents, including safer usage profiles and high tunability, which allow tailored physicochemical properties. Such properties provide unique opportunities for the development of new processes that could unlock the full potential of future biorefineries. Here, we review the current state of lignocellulosic biomass processing with ILs and DESs, with a specific focus on the pretreatment chemistry, process flow and products from each component; followed by discussions on sustainability assessments and technological challenges. We aim to inform the research community about the opportunities, challenges and perspectives in developing truly sustainable lignocellulose-based biorefineries.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Comparative Techno-economic Analysis and Life Cycle Assessment of Producing High-Value Chemicals and Fuels from Waste Plastic via Conventional Pyrolysis and Thermal Oxo-degradation

The rapid rise in global plastic production in recent decades has resulted in the massive generation of plastic waste. Over 75% of the plastic waste generated in the United States was sent to landfills, with a meager 8.7% recycled. Plastics are valuable feedstocks for platform chemicals and fuels. Chemical upcycling of waste high-density polyethylene (HDPE) is gaining more attention as a potentially feasible and environmentally friendly plastic waste management technology. Conventional pyrolysis (CPY) and thermal oxo-degradation (TOD) are two chemical upcycling technologies actively researched for decomposing waste HDPE into valuable chemicals and fuels. However, there are few studies on the techno-economic analysis (TEA) and life cycle assessment (LCA) of these technologies for converting waste HDPE to valuable products. This study conducts a comparative TEA and LCA study of the thermochemical decomposition of waste HDPE to produce gaseous (ethylene and propylene) and liquid (naphtha, diesel, and wax) products by CPY and TOD. The study elucidates and compares the impact of hydrocracking longer chain hydrocarbons to produce more valuable products on the TEA and LCA. The TEA showed that the fixed capital investment could range from $\$32.5$ million for TOD without hydrocracking to $\$244$ million for CPY with hydrocracking scenarios. Annual revenues range from $\$28.1$ million to $\$71.5$ million in favor of scenarios with hydrocracking. However, the net present value ranges from $\$1.4$ million to $\$265.8$ million in favor of scenarios without hydrocracking. Sensitivity analysis showed that fixed capital cost, facility capacity, and product prices have the biggest impact on the process economics of the facilities, while utilities and waste transportation to refineries have the biggest impact on environmental impacts. Here, the LCA showed that primary products from scenarios without hydrocracking can be more environmentally friendly than virgin products from petroleum processes. However, TOD and CPY with hydrocracking primary products have more emissions than those of virgin products.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2025

Techno-Economic Analysis and Life Cycle Assessment of Alternative Fuels for Locomotives in the U.S. Freight Rail Sector

Freight rail is more energy-efficient than truck transport over long-haul distances, offering a low-energy and emissions-intensive option for transporting freight. This study evaluates techno-economic analysis and life cycle assessment of seven alternative unblended fuels for freight locomotive engines─biodiesel, renewable diesel (RD), bio-oils, methanol, dimethyl ether (DME), ethanol, and ammonia─across 16 fuel pathways utilizing soybean, corn, woody biomass, renewable hydrogen, and waste sources, e.g., sludge, manure, and industrial CO 2 , and compares these to conventional diesel. The minimum fuel selling price (MFSP) ranged from $\$2.05$ to $\$8.27$ per diesel gallon equivalent (2020 US dollars), with biocrude and RDs produced from hydrothermal liquefaction (HTL) of sludge having the lowest MFSPs due to coproduct credits and avoided waste treatment cost. Life cycle GHG emissions ranged from −41 to 53 g of CO 2 e/MJ. RD from waste via HTL achieves negative emissions by diverting sludge/manure from GHG-intensive conventional management. Few pathways such as biocrude, methanol, and DME require additional control for SO X emissions in the refinery, while ethanol, FT-diesel, and bio-oil require additional control for particulate matter emissions. Bio-oil and RD from sludge have lower marginal abatement cost or MAC (–$\$38$/tonne CO 2 lowest) while methanol and ammonia with renewable hydrogen have higher MAC ($\$490$/tonne CO 2 maximum).

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Co-Location of Cellulosic Bioethanol and Alcohol-to-Jet (ATJ) Production Facilities for Targeted Scale-Up of Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Production

Achieving aerospace industry net-zero emissions by 2050 requires rapid scaling of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production. Leveraging existing infrastructure, proven technologies like Alcohol-to-Jet (ATJ), and low carbon intensity (CI) feedstocks (e.g., switchgrass and miscanthus) can support this transition and help achieve near-term emissions reduction targets. This study evaluates the implications of lignocellulosic ethanol biorefinery siting and integration with petroleum refineries to produce SAF across 1000 sites randomly sampled from areas suitable for perennial grasses in the U.S. rainfed region. To better understand the logistics of material transport and handoffs, we integrated models of biomass harvest, transport, ethanol, and ATJ production in a stochastic framework based on Monte Carlo simulations to characterize SAF minimum selling price (MSP) and carbon intensity (CI), considering site-specific parameters (e.g., feedstock production, transportation, taxes, incentives). The results indicate trade-offs between MSP and CI across locations, with median MSP ranging from 7.9 to 12.8 USD·gal −1 and CI from −9.7 to 39.4 gCO 2 e·MJ −1 . Despite high estimated decarbonization costs (580 USD·tonCO 2 e −1 ), our results indicate that site-specific deployment of ATJ with low-CI feedstocks can improve sustainability outcomes. The framework provides a systematic approach to assess cost and sustainability trade-offs across locations, considering the end-to-end supply chain and supporting an informed investment in SAF production.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Perspectives on Cobalt Supply through 2030 in the Face of Changing Demand

Lithium-ion battery demand, particularly for electric vehicles, is projected to increase by over 300% throughout the next decade. With these expected increases in demand, cobalt (Co)-dependent technologies face the risk of significant impact from supply concentration and mining limitations in the short term. In this study, increased extraction and secondary recovery form the basis of modeling scenarios that examine implications on Co supply to 2030. Demand for Co is estimated to range from 235 to 430 ktonnes in 2030. This upper bound on Co demand in 2030 corresponds to 280% of world refinery capacity in 2016. Supply from scheduled and unscheduled production as well as secondary production is estimated to range from 320 to 460 ktonnes. Our analysis suggests the following: (1) Co price will remain relatively stable in the short term, given that this range suggests even a supply surplus, (2) future Co supply will become more diversified geographically and mined more as a byproduct of nickel (Ni) over this period, and (3) for this demand to be met, attention should be paid to sustained investments in refined supply of Co and secondary recovery.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Silver(I) Supported Liquid Membranes for Selective Ethylene Recovery from Mixed-Gas Streams of Tandem CO 2 Electrolysis

Large-scale olefin separations from unreacted paraffins and other byproduct gases are primarily done by energy-intensive cryogenic distillation processes at refineries. Silver(I) supported liquid membranes (Ag SLMs) can be implemented at smaller production scales of ethylene (C 2 H 4 ), a critical industrial chemical, such as its electrocatalytic (EC) production from CO 2 . Challenges of EC C 2 H 4 production mainly stem from reducing gases like hydrogen (H 2 ), where the redox reactions pertinent to Ag(I) facilitators diminish olefin transport. Herein we report that aqueous Ag(I) solution in a composite Ag SLM can operate in mixed-gas conditions containing H 2 gas utilizing reduced titania compounds, such as titanium(III) oxide (Ti 2 O 3 ). Embedding Ti 2 O 3 in the polydimethylsiloxane layer of Ag SLM assisted in selectively separating C 2 H 4 from mixed-gas feed streams related to CO 2 electrolysis containing H 2 . The direct exposure of a mixed-gas stream containing C 2 H 4 , CO 2 , CO, N 2 , and CH 4 with as high as 50 vol % H 2 maintained excellent C 2 H 4 separations for 7 days of continuous operation. The Ag SLM provided effective separations of C 2 H 4 from CO (at detection limits), CH 4 (selectivity ratio (α) = 20–30), and H 2 (α = ∼20), but C 2 H 4 from CO 2 (α = 2–4) revealed a slightly lower separation. These data show that aqueous Ag(I) solution(s) used in the SLMs can separate C 2 H 4 for extended periods, even under highly reducing gas conditions. Also, we report C 2 H 4 recovery from the gas mixture produced in the EC CO 2 reduction process. In conclusion, the Ag SLM gave C 2 H 4 selective separation from a five-component complex mixed-gas stream, relevant to tandem CO 2 electrolysis.

37 - INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL AND ANALYTICAL C↗

DOE OSTI2020

Preparation and Characterization of Various Kraft Lignins and Impact on Their Pyrolysis Behaviors

Lignin-derived chemicals and fuel products have received much attention in the context of bio-refinery. In this study we prepared and characterized various lignin samples from black liquor (BL), a major byproduct from the pulp and paper manufacturing processes, and studied the pyrolysis behaviors of these isolated lignin samples at 600 °C under a N2 atmosphere. Three lignin samples were isolated from the Kraft pulping BL of Loblolly pine linerboard grade process (KL, obtained by direct evaporation; L10, obtained by precipitation at pH 10; L3, obtained by precipitation at pH 3), while another three were from the Kraft pulping BL of Loblolly pine bleach grade process (KB, B10, B3). The inorganic elements present in lignin samples were analyzed using an inductively coupled plasma (ICP) analyzer. The KL and KB samples contained a larger amount of inorganic elements, especially Na and S, than did the other lignin samples. Owing to large quantities of inorganic elements, the ash contents in KL and KB were higher than in the precipitated lignin samples (L10, B10, L3, and B3). These inorganic elements have a significant effect on the subsequent pyrolysis process, as a result, more extensive depolymerization of lignin occurred in KL and KB samples, leading to the formation of fewer pyrolysis oils, with lower molecular weights. NMR analyses of pyrolysis oils show that more methoxyl groups and ether bonds were cleaved, resulting in fewer methoxyl groups and aromatic C–O bonds for the KL and KB heavy oil than for the precipitated lignin heavy oil.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2023

Aqueous Interfaces in Chemical Separations

Chemical separations play a vital role in refinery and reprocessing of critical materials, such as platinum group metals, rare earths, and actinides. The choice of separation system─whether it is liquid–liquid extraction (LLE), sorbents, or membranes─depends on specific needs and applications. In almost all separation processes, the desired metal ions adsorb or transfer across an aqueous interface, such as the solid/liquid interface in sorbents or oil/water interfaces in LLE. Despite these separation technologies being extensively used for decades, our understanding of the molecular-scale mechanisms governing ion adsorption and transport at interfaces remains limited. This knowledge gap presents a significant challenge in meeting the increasing demands for these critical materials due to their growing use in advanced technologies. Fortunately, recent advancements in surface-specific experimental and computational techniques offer promising avenues to bridge this gap and facilitate the development of next-generation separation systems. Interestingly, unanswered questions regarding interfacial phenomena in chemical separations hold great relevance to various fields, including energy storage, geochemistry, and atmospheric chemistry. Therefore, the model interfacial systems developed for studying chemical separations, such as amphiphilic molecules assembled at a solid/water, air/water, or oil/water interface, may have far-reaching implications, extending beyond separations and opening doors to addressing a wide range of scientific inquiries. This perspective discusses recent interfacial studies elucidating amphiphile–ion interactions in chemical separations of metal ions. Finally, these studies provide direct, molecular-scale information about solute and solvent behavior at aqueous interfaces, including multivalent and complex ions in highly concentrated solutions, which play key roles in LLE of critical materials.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2025

Primary material supply configurations and domestic recycling for cost-effective battery material production in the US

Battery cathode active material costs hinge on regionally concentrated, price-volatile metal supply. Here. we construct a regional facility-level cost model based on over 80 global lithium, cobalt, and nickel mines, refineries, and battery-grade material plants. Our model yields aggregated lithium, nickel, manganese, and cobalt production material costs from 392 region-based supply configurations for five different cathode active materials. Focusing on the United States, all-domestic supply is 9–34% costlier than global average, increasing by cobalt content, while these shortfalls can be overcome by selective low-cost material imports. Furthermore, we analyze costs of two U.S.-based recycling facilities from primary data and techno-economic modelling and compare resulting cathode active material-level costs to primary supply. Although it is still significantly higher on cathode active material cost-level, rising end-of-life flows and lowered black-mass prices will, however, make secondary supply cost-competitive to domestic and foreign primary supply cost floors. Facility-level benchmarks reveal targeted import, scaling, and production cost optimization as levers for a resilient, cost-effective U.S. battery-material supply chain.

Energy↗