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NASA NTRS2018

The GMAO Hybrid Ensemble-Variational Atmospheric Data Assimilation System: Version 2.0

This document describes the implementation and usage of the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) Hybrid Ensemble-Variational Atmospheric Data Assimilation System (Hybrid EVADAS). Its aim is to provide comprehensive guidance to users of GEOS ADAS interested in experimenting with its hybrid functionalities. The document is also aimed at providing a short summary of the state-of-science in this release of the hybrid system. As explained here, the ensemble data assimilation system (EnADAS) mechanism added to GEOS ADAS to enable hybrid data assimilation applications has been introduced to the pre-existing machinery of GEOS in the most non-intrusive possible way. Only very minor changes have been made to the original scripts controlling GEOS ADAS with the objective of facilitating its usage by both researchers and the GMAO's near-real-time Forward Processing applications. In a hybrid scenario two data assimilation systems run concurrently in a two-way feedback mode such that: the ensemble provides background ensemble perturbations required by the ADAS deterministic (typically high resolution) hybrid analysis; and the deterministic ADAS provides analysis information for recentering of the EnADAS analyses and information necessary to ensure that observation bias correction procedures are consistent between both the deterministic ADAS and the EnADAS. The nonintrusive approach to introducing hybrid capability to GEOS ADAS means, in particular, that previously existing features continue to be available. Thus, not only is this upgraded version of GEOS ADAS capable of supporting new applications such as Hybrid 3D-Var, 3D-EnVar, 4D-EnVar and Hybrid 4D-EnVar, it remains possible to use GEOS ADAS in its traditional 3D-Var mode which has been used in both MERRA and MERRA-2. Furthermore, as described in this document, GEOS ADAS also supports a configuration for exercising a purely ensemble-based assimilation strategy which can be fully decoupled from its variational component. We should point out that Release 1.0 of this document was made available to GMAO in mid-2013, when we introduced Hybrid 3D-Var capability to GEOS ADAS. This initial version of the documentation included a considerably different state-of-science introductory section but many of the same detailed description of the mechanisms of GEOS EnADAS. We are glad to report that a few of the desirable Future Works listed in Release 1.0 have now been added to the present version of GEOS EnADAS. These include the ability to exercise an Ensemble Prediction System that uses the ensemble analyses of GEOS EnADAS and (a very early, but functional version of) a tool to support Ensemble Forecast Sensitivity and Observation Impact applications.

Todling, Ricardo↗
NASA NTRS2018

Validation of Ozone Profile Retrievals Derived from the OMPS LP Version 2.5 Algorithm Against Correlative Satellite Measurements

The Limb Profiler (LP) is a part of the Ozone Mapping and Profiler Suite launched on board of the Suomi NPP satellite in October 2011. The LP measures solar radiation scattered from the atmospheric limb in ultraviolet and visible spectral ranges between the surface and 80 km. These measurements of scattered solar radiances allow for the retrieval of ozone profiles from cloud tops up to 55 km. The LP started operational observations in April 2012. In this study we evaluate more than 5.5 years of ozone profile measurements from the OMPS LP processed with the new NASA GSFC version 2.5 retrieval algorithm. We provide a brief description of the key changes that had been implemented in this new algorithm, including a pointing correction, new cloud height detection, explicit aerosol correction and a reduction of the number of wavelengths used in the retrievals. The OMPS LP ozone retrievals have been compared with independent satellite profile measurements obtained from the Aura Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS), Atmospheric Chemistry Experiment Fourier Transform Spectrometer (ACE-FTS) and Odin Optical Spectrograph and InfraRed Imaging System (OSIRIS). We document observed biases and seasonal differences and evaluate the stability of the version 2.5 ozone record over 5.5 years. Our analysis indicates that the mean differences between LP and correlative measurements are well within required +/- 10% between 18 and 42 km. In the upper stratosphere and lower mesosphere (>43 km) LP tends to have a negative bias. We find larger biases in the lower stratosphere and upper troposphere, but LP ozone retrievals have significantly improved in version 2.5 compared to version 2 due to the implemented aerosol correction. In the northern high latitudes we observe larger biases between 20 and 32 km due to the remaining thermal sensitivity issue. Our analysis shows that LP ozone retrievals agree well with the correlative satellite observations in characterizing vertical, spatial and temporal ozone distribution associated with natural processes, like the seasonal cycle and quasi-biennial oscillations. We found a small positive drift approx. 0.5%/yr in the LP ozone record against MLS and OSIRIS that is more pronounced at altitudes above 35 km. This pattern in the relative drift is consistent with a possible 100m drift in the LP sensor pointing detected by one of our altitude-resolving methods.

Ozone Mapping↗
NASA NTRS2018

Effects of Version 2 of the International Sunspot Number on Naive Predictions of Solar Cycle 25

The recalibration of the International Sunspot Number brings new challenges to predictions of Solar Cycle 25. One is that the list of extrema for the original series is no longer usable because the values of all maxima and minima are different for the new version of the sunspot number. Timings of extrema are less sensitive to the recalibration but are a natural result of the calculation. Predictions of Solar Cycle 25 published before 2016 must be converted to the new version of the sunspot number. Any prediction method that looks across the entire time span will have to be reconsidered because values in the nineteenth century were corrected by a larger factor than those in the twentieth century. We report a list of solar maxima and minima values and timings based on the recalibrated sunspot number. Naïve forecasts that depend only on the current values of the time series are common in economic studies. Several naïve predictions of Solar Cycle 25, the climatological average (180 ± 60), two versions of the inertial forecast, and two versions of the even-odd forecast, are derived from that table. The climatological average forecast is the baseline for more accurate predictions and the initial forecast in assimilative models of the Sun. It also provides the error estimate for Monte Carlo techniques that anticipate the long-term effects on the terrestrial environment. The other four predictions are shown to be statistically insignificant.

Pesnell, W. Dean↗
NASA NTRS2020

NASA Meteoroid Engineering Model (MEM) Version 3

The Meteoroid Engineering Model (MEM) version 3 is NASA’s most current and accurate model of the meteoroid environment. MEM 3 supersedes all previous versions of MEM, including MEM Release 2.0 (MEMR2), MEM Release 1.0c (MEMR1c), and previously internally controlled and released versions of MEMCxP v2.0 and LunarMEM v2.0. Earlier versions of MEM superseded older models of the meteoroid environment such as the Grün model and its derivative, Technical Memo 4527 (hereafter abbreviated as TM 4527) [1]. Prior to the establishment of the NASA Meteoroid Environment Office (MEO), NASA’s meteoroid environment models relied on a simple empirical expression derived from [2], as described in [3] and later in [1]. This expression describes the meteoroid flux incident on a flat plate near 1 au. TM 4527 assumes an isotropic environment, making the orientation of the plate irrelevant [4]. The flux was combined with scale factors to account for the reduction in flux occurring when the Earth shields the spacecraft from a portion of the meteoroid environment and the enhancement in flux due to the focusing effect of Earth’s gravitational field. TM 4527 also introduced a crude, piecewise meteoroid speed distribution with an average velocity of 19 km/s for an orbiting spacecraft based on [5]. Finally, TM 4527 assumed a three-step density distribution in which dust particles smaller than 10−6 g have a density of 2 g/cu cm, micrometeoroids between 10−6 g and 0.01 g have a density of 1 g/cu cm, and meteoroids larger than 0.01 g have a density of 0.5 g/cm3. Thus, the meteoroid model presented in TM 4527 was assembled from multiple independent sources. The model of TM 4527 was also used for years in Space Station risk assessments, and is described in Space Station Specification (SSP) 30425.

Moorhead, A. V.↗
NASA NTRS2020

GEOS S2S Version 3: The New NASA/GMAO High Resolution Seasonal Prediction System

The NASA/Goddard Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) released Version 2 of the Subseasonal to Seasonal (GEOS-S2S) forecast system in the fall of 2017, and it has been producing near-real time subseasonal to seasonal forecasts and a weakly coupled atmosphere-ocean data assimilation record since then. A new version of the coupled modeling and analysis system (Version 3) was released by the GMAO at the end of 2019. The new version runs at higher oceanic resolution than the previous (approximately 1/2 degree for the atmosphere, 1/4 degree for the ocean), and includes interactive earth system model components not typically present in seasonal prediction systems (two moment cloud microphysics for aerosol indirect effect and an interactive aerosol model). The weakly coupled atmosphere-ocean data assimilation system now includes assimilation of sea surface salinity, that has been shown to result in improved ocean mixed layer simulation and ENSO prediction skill.

Molod, Andrea↗
NASA NTRS2019

JPSS-2 VIIRS Version 1 spectral characterization and performance assessment

The JPSS-2 VIIRS instrument is set to be the third VIIRS instrument when it launches in 2022 following S-NPP and NOAA-20 VIIRS which launched in October 2011and November 2017, respectively. To date JPSS-2 VIIRS has undergone extensive pre-launch testing at the instrument system level to determine the radiometric, spatial, and spectral performance. Spectral testing was conducted by the instrument vendor, Raytheon Corporation, at their test facility in mid-to-late 2017 with a test configuration that utilized a double monochrometer with illumination provided by tungsten lamp and ceramic glow bar to cover the full spectral range. The purpose of these measurements was to measure the relative spectral response curve and assess the spectral characteristics necessary to determine compliance with the sensor design requirements. In addition to Raytheon team, the spectral measurements were analyzed by an independent government team with members from NASA, the University of Wisconsin, and Aerospace Corporation. Two RSR curves were released by the government team from this data set: a version 0 release which was the verified RSR as calculated by Raytheon, and version 1 which was the RSR assessment from the government team. The results discussed here are those of the government team (version 1) including the independent assessment of sensor compliance and a comparison of the JPSS-2 VIIRS spectral characteristics with the two previous VIIRS instruments. The version 1 RSR was publicly released to the science community in the fall of 2018, and remains available for their use.

VIIRS↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Newly Released GPCP Version 3.2 Global Precipitation Datasets at NASA GES DISC

The Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) is the precipitation component of an internationally coordinated set of (mainly) satellite-based global products dealing with the Earth's water and energy cycles, under the auspices of the Global Water and Energy Experiment (GEWEX) Data and Assessment Panel (GDAP) of the World Climate Research Program. As the follow-on to the GPCP Version 2.X products, GPCP Version 3 (GPCP V3.2) seeks to continue the production of long, homogeneous precipitation record using modern input and calibration datasets. The GPCP V3.2 provides globally complete analyses of surface precipitation on a 0.5°x 0.5° latitude/longitude grid at both monthly and daily intervals, respectively covering 1983 to the present and June 2000 to the present. New data fields have been introduced to better characterize the precipitation, particularly including an estimate of the fraction of the precipitation that is liquid (rain) in both the Monthly and Daily, and a Quality Index for the Monthly. Compared to the operational GPCP V2.3 Monthly, the V3.2 Monthly provides a more reasonable climatology in the Southern Ocean, and increases the global average precipitation by about 4.46%, which is in line with recommendations of recent assessments. However, the two versions have comparable global and regional trends for 1983-2020. Compared to the operational One-Degree Daily (Version 1.3) product, the V3.2 Daily better represents the histogram of precipitation rates, particularly at high values. In this presentation, we will present the latest GPCP V3.2 daily and monthly datasets archived and distributed at NASA Goddard Earth Sciences (GES) Data and Information Services Center (DISC) along with examples from NASA Giovanni.

Precipitation↗
NASA NTRS2023

Version 2 of the global catalogue of large anthropogenic and volcanic SO 2 sources and emissions derived from satellite measurements

Sulfur dioxide (SO 2 ) measurements from the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI), Ozone Mapping and Profiler Suite (OMPS), and TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI) satellite spectrometers were used to update and extend the previously developed global catalogue of large SO 2 emission sources. This version 2 of the global catalogue covers the period of 2005–2021 and includes a total of 759 continuously emitting point sources releasing from about 10 kt yr −1 to more than 4000 kt yr −1 of SO 2 , that have been identified and grouped by country and primary source origin: volcanoes (106 sources); power plants (477); smelters (74); and sources related to the oil and gas industry (102). There are several major improvements compared to the original catalogue: it combines emissions estimates from three satellite instruments instead of just OMI, uses a new version 2 of the OMI and OMPS SO 2 dataset, and updated consistent site-specific air mass factors (AMFs) are used to calculate SO 2 vertical column densities (VCDs). The newest TROPOMI SO 2 data processed with the Covariance-Based Retrieval Algorithm (COBRA), used in the catalogue, can detect sources with emissions as low as 8 kt yr −1 (in 2018–2021) compared to the 30 kt yr −1 limit for OMI. In general, there is an overall agreement within ±12 % in total emissions estimated from the three satellite instruments for large regions. For individual emission sources, the spread is larger: the annual emissions estimated from OMI and TROPOMI agree within ±13 % in 50 % of cases and within ±28 % in 90 % of cases. The version 2 catalogue emissions were calculated as a weighted average of emission estimates from the three satellite instruments using an inverse-variance weighting method. OMI, OMPS, and TROPOMI data contribute 7 %, 5 %, and 88 % to the average, respectively, for small (<30 kt yr −1 ) sources and 33 %, 20 %, and 47 %, respectively, for large (>300 kt yr −1 ) sources. The catalogue data show an approximate 50 % decline in global SO 2 emissions between 2005 and 2021, although emissions were relatively stable during the last 3 years. The version 2 of the global catalogue has been posted at the NASA global SO 2 monitoring website (https://doi.org/10.5067/MEASURES/SO2/DATA406, Fioletov et al., 2022).

volcanic↗
NASA NTRS2024

VIIRS Version 2 Deep Blue Aerosol Products

NASA's Deep Blue aerosol project has developed global aerosol data records using consistent retrieval algorithms applied to various satellite sensors. The primary components of these data records are derived from the series of Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) aboard the Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (SNPP) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration or NOAA-20+ satellites as well as the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), among others. These instruments provide over 23 years of measurements with similar radiometric characteristics for aerosol retrievals. The algorithms used for the initial Version 1 SNPP VIIRS data set were based on the MODIS Collection 6.1 Deep Blue algorithm over land and Satellite Ocean Aerosol Retrieval (SOAR) algorithm over water. For VIIRS Version 2 data reprocessing, major updates have been made to the algorithm suite, including better accounting for effects of surface pressure, improved determination of surface reflectance, and the inclusion of fine-mode aerosol optical models to better represent anthropogenic aerosols over land. Cross-calibration gain factors are derived for the NOAA-20 VIIRS measurements to be consistent with the SNPP VIIRS, which allows the use of a unified algorithm package for both instruments. Comparisons against AERONET observations indicate that the Version 2 AOD data from SNPP VIIRS are significantly better than the Version 1 counterpart over land and slightly degraded over water in exchange for better spatial coverage. The AOD data from SNPP and NOAA-20 VIIRS are comparable, indicating that cross-calibration enables the creation of consistent aerosol data records using the series of VIIRS sensors.

Deep Blue↗
NASA NTRS2024

Decade-Long Ozone Profile Record from Suomi NPP OMPS Limb Profiler: Assessment of Version 2.6 Data

We evaluate a decadal ozone profile record derived from the Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (SNPP) Ozone Mapping and Profiler Suite (OMPS) Limb Profiler (LP) satellite instrument. In 2023, the OMPS LP data were re-processed with the new version 2.6 retrieval algorithm that combines measurements from the ultraviolet (UV) and visible (VIS) parts of the spectra and employs the second order Tikhonov regularization to retrieve a single vertical ozone profile between 12.5 km (or cloud tops) and 57.5 km with the vertical resolution of about 1.9 - 2.5 km between 20-55 km. The algorithm uses radiances measured at six UV ozone-sensitive wavelengths (295, 302, 306, 312, 317 and 322 nm) paired with 353 nm, and one VIS wavelength at 606 nm combined with 510 nm and 675 nm to form a triplet. Each wavelength pair or triplet is used over a limited range of tangent altitudes where the sensitivity to ozone changes are strongest. A new implemented aerosol correction scheme is based on a gamma-function particle size distribution. Numerous calibration changes that affected ozone retrievals were also applied to measured LP radiances, including updates in altitude registration, radiometric calibration, stray light, and spectral registration. The key version 2.6 improvement is the reduction in relative drifts between LP ozone and correlative measurements, linked previously to a drift in the version 2.5 LP altitude registration. We compare LP ozone profiles with those from Aura Microwave Limb Sensor (MLS) to quantify ozone changes in version 2.6.

Limb scattering↗
NASA NTRS2024

NASA Risk Management Handbook: Version 2.0, Part 1

The purpose of this handbook is to provide an in-depth reference for the practice of risk management in NASA, updating the guidance offered in its original version, NASA/SP-2011-3422 (November 2011), and closely aligning the updated guidance with the current NASA Procedural Requirements for Agency Risk Management, NPR 8000.4, and the parent NASA Policy Directive for NASA Governance and Strategic Management, NPD 1000.0. NPD 1000.0 introduces with emphasis the concept of “Risk Leadership,” making it a fundamental tenet and pillar of the risk management culture that it advocates for the Agency. NPR 8000.4 applies this concept and establishes Risk Management (RM) requirements for the Agency as an integrated enterprise, as well as the RM requirements for portfolio elements within the enterprise. Such elements include the various programs and projects that contribute to the Agency’s objectives and the various institutional activities carried out by entities that contribute to mission support. The present version of the handbook also emphasizes the integration of risk management processes across activity and project life cycles and their coordination and interaction with day-to-day programmatic and organizational functions. Areas of application of risk assessment and management that were not covered with specific guidance in the preceding version are addressed in this version with in-depth examples. The handbook is structured into two parts, whose chapters are in turn organized in a sequential order intended to facilitate a gradual and progressive introduction of the reader to risk management principles and practices. Part 1 of the handbook is dedicated to the introduction of the basic foundations of the NASA integrated risk management framework, the related fundamental risk concepts, the description of the risk management and decision processes that are to be implemented within the framework, the discussion of the risk assessment techniques that should be utilized in support of such processes, and the management and organizational interactions and interfaces that should be enabled to implement an effective integration of risk management activities within the Agency. Part 2 provides self-contained, end-to-end examples of application of the processes and techniques introduced in Part 1, in the context of both programmatic (i.e., project and/or mission related) and institutional activities.

Uncertainty↗
NASA NTRS2024

NASA Risk Management Handbook: Version 2.0, Part 2

The purpose of this handbook is to provide an in-depth reference for the practice of risk management in NASA, updating the guidance offered in its original version, NASA/SP-2011-3422 (November 2011), and closely aligning the updated guidance with the current NASA Procedural Requirements for Agency Risk Management, NPR 8000.4, and the parent NASA Policy Directive for NASA Governance and Strategic Management, NPD 1000.0 (January 2020). NPD 1000.0 introduces with emphasis the concept of “Risk Leadership,” making it a fundamental tenet and pillar of the risk management culture that it advocates for the Agency. NPR 8000.4 applies this concept and establishes Risk Management (RM) requirements for the Agency as an integrated enterprise, as well as the RM requirements for portfolio elements within the enterprise. Such elements include the various programs and projects that contribute to the Agency’s objectives and the various institutional activities carried out by entities that contribute to mission support. The present version of the handbook also emphasizes the integration of risk management processes across activity and project life cycles and their coordination and interaction with day-to-day programmatic and organizational functions. Areas of application of risk assessment and management that were not covered with specific guidance in the preceding version are addressed in this version with in-depth examples. The handbook is structured into two parts, whose chapters are in turn organized in a sequential order intended to facilitate a gradual and progressive introduction of the reader to risk management principles and practices. Part 1 of the handbook is dedicated to the introduction of the basic foundations of the NASA integrated risk management framework, the related fundamental risk concepts, the description of the risk management and decision processes that are to be implemented within the framework, the discussion of the risk assessment techniques that should be utilized in support of such processes, and the management and organizational interactions and interfaces that should be enabled to implement an effective integration of risk management activities within the Agency. Part 2 provides self-contained, end-to-end examples of application of the processes and techniques introduced in Part 1, in the context of both programmatic (i.e., project and/or mission related) and institutional activities.

Risk Leadership↗
NASA NTRS2013

SRT Status and Plans for Version-7

Status of Version-6 at GSFC-GSFC version-6 must match JPL version-6 before we can improve it. Short-range plans evolutionary improvements. Mid-Range plans- New thrusts, Higher spatial resolution retrievals cloud spectral emissivity. Long-range plans- more challenging ideas

Version-6↗
NASA NTRS1974

An improved version of the table look-up algorithm for pattern recognition

The table look-up approach to pattern recognition has been used for 3 years at several research centers in a variety of applications. A new version has been developed which is faster, requires significantly less core memory, and retains full precision of the input data. The new version can be used on low-cost minicomputers having 32K words (16 bits each) of core memory and fixed-point arithmetic; no special-purpose hardware is required. An initial FORTRAN version of this system can classify an ERTS computer-compatible tape into 24 classes in less than 15 minutes.

Eppler, W. G.↗
NASA NTRS1980

USSAERO computer program development, versions B and C

Versions B and C of the unified subsonic and supersonic aerodynamic analysis program, USSAERO, are described. Version B incorporates a new symmetrical singularity method to provide improved surface pressure distributions on wings in subsonic flow. Version C extends the range of application of the program to include the analysis of multiple engine nacelles or finned external stores. In addition, nonlinear compressibility effects in high subsonic and supersonic flows are approximated using a correction based on the local Mach number at panel control points. Several examples are presented comparing the results of these programs with other panel methods and experimental data.

Woodward, F. A.↗
NASA NTRS1982

Production version of the extended NASA-Langley Vortex Lattice FORTRAN computer program. Volume 1: User's guide

The latest production version, MARK IV, of the NASA-Langley vortex lattice computer program is summarized. All viable subcritical aerodynamic features of previous versions were retained. This version extends the previously documented program capabilities to four planforms, 400 panels, and enables the user to obtain vortex-flow aerodynamics on cambered planforms, flowfield properties off the configuration in attached flow, and planform longitudinal load distributions.

Lamar, J. E.↗
NASA NTRS1982

Production version of the extended NASA-Langley vortex lattice FORTRAN computer program. Volume 2: Source code

The source code for the latest production version, MARK IV, of the NASA-Langley Vortex Lattice Computer Program is presented. All viable subcritical aerodynamic features of previous versions were retained. This version extends the previously documented program capabilities to four planforms, 400 panels, and enables the user to obtain vortex-flow aerodynamics on cambered planforms, flowfield properties off the configuration in attached flow, and planform longitudinal load distributions.

Herbert, H. E.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Wavenumber dependent investigation of the terrestrial infrared radiation budget with two versions of the LOWTRAN5 band model

Two versions of the LOWTRAN5 radiance code are used in a study of the earth's clear sky infrared radiation budget in the interval 30 per cm (333.3 microns) to 3530 per cm (2.8 microns). One version uses 5 per cm resolution and temperature dependent molecular absorption coefficients, and the second uses 20 per cm resolution and temperature independent molecular absorption coefficients. Both versions compare well with Nimbus 3 IRIS spectra, with some discrepancies at particular wavenumber intervals. Up and downgoing fluxes, calculated as functions of latitude, are displayed for wavenumbers at which the principle absorbers are active. Most of the variation of the fluxes with latitude is found in the higher wavenumber intervals for both clear and cloudy skies. The main features of the wavenumber integrated cooling rates are explained with reference to calculations in more restricted wavenumber intervals. A tropical lower tropospheric cooling maximum is produced by water vapor continuum effects in the 760-1240 per cm window. A secondary upper tropospheric cooling maximum, with wide meridional extent, is produced by water vapor rotational lines between 30-430 per cm. Water vapor lines throughout the terrestrial infrared spectrum prevent the upflux maximum from coinciding with the surface temperature maximum.

Charlock, T. P.↗