DOE OSTI2014
This is the last in a series of reports that completes the life cycle analyses (LCAs) of geothermal power production technologies conducted by Argonne National Laboratory. It addresses the remaining critical issues pertaining to the LCAs of geothermal electricity production: the relative contributions from plant operations and maintenance (O&M), from decommissioning (dcm), from well field exploration, and from plant operational greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions to the total life cycle performance of geothermal power plants. Contributions from O&M and dcm to the performance of other power generating technologies are also discussed. Also included in this study are LCA results for a new series of scenarios for geothermal power production. Our analysis uses fossil fuel energy consumption and GHG emissions per unit of lifetime electricity output (referred to as the fossil energy and GHG ratios, respectively) as the life cycle metrics for quantifying life cycle stage contributions to their corresponding totals, which were subsequently used for comparing the environmental performance of geothermal and other electric power production plants. Based on literature results, we concluded that the contribution from dcm to both ratios is negligible for power plants in general. Further, we found that the contribution from O&M to both ratios is generally significant for facilities with no fuel cycle (fuel production and use) burdens. In the case of geothermal power production, O&M contributes about 20% to the total for enhanced geothermal power plants, 10% for geothermal binary plants, and about 25% of the energy ratio for geothermal flash and dry steam plants. However, due to operational GHG emissions that are unique among geothermal power plants, O&M contributes only about 1% of total GHG ratios for flash and dry steam plants. These GHG emissions arise when the geofluids of these plants become exposed to the atmosphere, thus releasing dissolved GHGs. The amount of GHG emissions from these plants had a wide range. However, we found that 85% of California’s running capacity in flash and dry steam plants released 160 grams or less per kilowatt-hour of electricity produced. We developed an exploration model to account for core hole, slim hole, and confirmation well drilling that includes a probability of success for confirmation well drilling. The model shows that well field exploration represents about 20% of the total life cycle burden for large geothermal plants with numerous wells and 32% of the burden for small plants with few wells. We also analyzed a set of geothermal scenario pairs. The objective was to identify geothermal scenarios with a lower levelized cost of electricity and lower life cycle burdens. A comparison of reference with improved cases within each pair revealed that the improved cases demonstrated a lower levelized cost of electricity and lower fossil energy consumption and GHG metrics. The scenario pairs covered a range of plant capacities, well numbers and depths, resource temperatures, and plant lifetimes. Finally, we found that compared to fossil-fuel generation of electricity, both flash and dry steam geothermal electricity generation result in fewer GHG emissions: on average, only one-fifth of the GHG emissions per kilowatt-hour from a natural gas combined-cycle plant, and one-tenth of those from a coal-fired plant. Moreover, these fractions were much smaller when the fossil plants were compared with plants that use geothermal binary technology.