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At least 1,297 records · Page 72

Adaptive Stress Testing: Using Reinforcement Learning to Find Failures in Safety-Critical Systems

Emerging applications in artificial intelligence, such as driverless cars and autonomous aircraft promise to be more efficient, cheaper to operate, and always available. However, ensuring the safety of these systems remains a major challenge to their certification and adoption. These autonomous systems are expected to routinely make safety-critical decisions where failures can have serious consequences including loss of life and property. Testing and validation techniques aim to identify and diagnose potential failures before the system is deployed. However, finding failure scenarios in autonomous systems can be very challenging due to high-dimensional and continuous state spaces, interaction with large environments over many time steps, and the rarity of failures. This talk presents Adaptive Stress Testing (AST), a simulation-based testing framework for finding the most likely path to a failure event of a safety-critical system. The key idea of AST is that stress testing can be formulated as a Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP), which enables reinforcement learning techniques to be used for finding failure events. Reinforcement learning algorithms can efficiently explore the search space and have been shown to scale to very large systems. We present applications of AST to find failures in various safety-critical systems including the aircraft collision avoidance systems, autonomous cars, and small unmanned aerial vehicles.

autonomous vehicles↗

Life and Reliability Characteristics of TurboBrayton Coolers

Wear and internal contaminants are two of the primary factors that influence reliable, long-life operation of turbo-Brayton cryocoolers. This paper describes tests that have been conducted and methods that have been developed for turbo-Brayton components and systems to assure reliable operation. The turbomachines used in these coolers employ self-acting gas bearings to support the miniature high-speed shafts, thus providing vibration-free operation. Because the bearings are self-acting, rubbing contact occurs during initial start-up and shutdown of the machines. Bearings and shafts are designed to endure multiple stop/start cycles without producing particles or surface features that would impair the proper operation of the machines. Test results are presented for a variety of turbomachines used in these systems. The tests document extended operating life and start/stop cycling behavior for machines over a range of time and temperature scales. Contaminants such as moisture and other residual gas impurities can be a source of degraded operation if they freeze out in sufficient quantities to block flow passages or if they mechanically affect the operation of the machines. A post-fabrication bakeout procedure has been successfully used to reduce residual internal contamination to acceptable levels in a closed cycle system. The process was developed during space qualification tests on the NICMOS cryocooler. Moisture levels were sampled over a six-month time interval confirming the effectiveness of the technique. A description of the bakeout procedure is presented.

Breedlove, Jeff J.↗

Robust Dissimilar Metal Friction Welded Spool for Enhanced Capability for Steam Power Components (Final Program Report)

This project successfully demonstrated the feasibility and advantages of producing durable, friction-welded dissimilar-metal spools, both with and without transition pieces, as well as the use of advanced oxidation-protective coatings for steam power applications. The work encompassed the optimization and full-scale production of NFA tubing, overcoming manufacturing and processing challenges to achieve enhanced strength, creep, and fatigue properties validated by extensive microstructural characterization. Optimized welding techniques were developed and refined for joining dissimilar materials, resulting in defect-free welds optimized for both low- and high-pressure boiler circuits. Systematic evaluation of welding parameters, coupled with heat treatments, ensured reliable performance and minimized weld defects such as banding and cracking. Comprehensive mechanical and non-destructive testing, including tensile, bend, fatigue, and CT scanning, confirmed the superior integrity and durability of the friction-welded joints under representative service conditions. To address oxidation-related degradation, a range of protective alloy coatings—such as IN625, APMT, Duplex 2507, and FeCrAlY—were selected and evaluated for their ability to counteract oxide notch formation at dissimilar metal interfaces. These coatings demonstrated improved oxidation resistance and long-term stability under thermal cycling, thereby extending weld service life. Thermal cyclic testing and long-term studies captured the phase stability and diffusion behavior of coated and uncoated configurations. Validated models for low-cycle fatigue (LCF), creep, and thermal mechanical fatigue (TMF) were developed to predict component life and failure modes. These models confirmed that friction-welded configurations exhibited significantly enhanced performance compared to conventional gas-tungsten arc welding (GTAW), with up to 7× improvement in creep resistance and at least 2× enhancement in fatigue properties. The introduction of a tailored transition piece further reduced thermally induced strains, enhancing fatigue life. The results demonstrate a robust pathway for retrofitting existing steam fleet components and upgrading future equipment to deliver substantially improved cold-start cycling behavior and reduction of unplanned outages due to premature weld failures.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

An evaluation of the pressure proof test concept for 2024-T3 aluminium alloy sheet

The concept of pressure proof testing of fuselage structures with fatigue cracks to insure structural integrity was evaluated from a fracture mechanics viewpoint. A generic analytical and experimental investigation was conducted on uniaxially loaded flat panels with crack configurations and stress levels typical of longitudinal lap splice joints in commercial transport aircraft fuselages. The results revealed that the remaining fatigue life after a proof cycle was longer than that without the proof cycle because of crack growth retardation due to increased crack closure. However, based on a crack length that is slightly less than the critical value at the maximum proof stress, the minimum assured life or proof test interval must be no more than 550 pressure cycles for a 1.33 proof factor and 1530 pressure cycles for a 1.5 proof factor to prevent in-flight failures.

Dawicke, D. S.↗

Mathematical Modeling of Food Supply for Long Term Space Missions Using Advanced Life Support

A habitat for long duration missions which utilizes Advanced Life Support (ALS), the Bioregenerative Planetary Life Support Systems Test Complex (BIO-Plex), is currently being built at JSC. In this system all consumables will be recycled and reused. In support of this effort, a menu is being planned utilizing ALS crops that will meet nutritional and psychological requirements. The need exists in the food system to identify specific physical quantities that define life support systems from an analysis and modeling perspective. Once these quantities are defined, they need to be fed into a mathematical model that takes into consideration other systems in the BIO-Plex. This model, if successful, will be used to understand the impacts of changes in the food system on the other systems and vice versa. The Equivalent System Mass (ESM) metric has been used to describe systems and subsystems, including the food system options, in terms of the single parameter, mass. There is concern that this approach might not adequately address the important issues of food quality and psychological impact on crew morale of a supply of fiesh food items. In fact, the mass of food can also depend on the quality of the food. This summer faculty fellow project will involve creating an appropriate mathematical model for the food plan developed by the Food Processing System for BIO-Plex. The desired outcome of this work will be a quantitative model that can be applied to the various options of supplying food on long-term space missions.

Cruthirds, John E.↗

Levelized cost of charging of extreme fast charging with stationary LMO/LTO batteries

Extreme DC fast charging for electric vehicles (EVs) could be competitive with the internal combustion engine refueling experience and enable longer-distance travel, which could help with EV adoption and decarbonization, but these systems have high capital costs and extremely variable high-power demands. Behind-the-meter systems (BTMS) could support extreme-fast-charging (XFC) stations to increase nationwide adoption of EVs. Here, this study examines the optimal break-even levelized cost of charging (LCOC) across 96 BTMS scenarios to enable low-wait XFC stations providing 200 miles of charge in 10 min. This research simulates LCOC via synthetic XFC-capable EV loads, machine-learned battery life models from testing data, and nonlinear optimal controls, co-minimizing complex utility costs and battery replacements. An aggregate optimal BTMS design treating each EV load as equal likely gives an optimal LCOC per utility rate, the average of which is $\$$0.59/kWh. In addition, the sensitivity of optimal and off-optimal design factors, the long-life LMO/LTO chemistry, and optimized controls are analyzed. The battery control model, based on battery stressors to compare chemistries, optimizes LMO/LTO resting state of charge and cycle depth without compromising cost reduction, which enables greater flexibility in operation. The LCOC savings due to replacement reduction are small, up to $\$$0.035/kWh (6%), with an average of $\$$0.02/kWh (3.5%). Compared with gasoline stations, the aggregate XFC station design achieves comparable speed, experience of service, and cost at $\$$3.81/gal gasoline, showing that EVs can replace gasoline vehicles even for longer-distance travel.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Characterization of Piezoelectric Stacks for Space Applications

Future NASA missions are increasingly seeking to actuate mechanisms to precision levels in the nanometer range and below. Co-fired multilayer piezoelectric stacks offer the required actuation precision that is needed for such mechanisms. To obtain performance statistics and determine reliability for extended use, sets of commercial PZT stacks were tested in various AC and DC conditions at both nominal and high temperatures and voltages. In order to study the lifetime performance of these stacks, five actuators were driven sinusoidally for up to ten billion cycles. An automated data acquisition system was developed and implemented to monitor each stack's electrical current and voltage waveforms over the life of the test. As part of the monitoring tests, the displacement, impedance, capacitance and leakage current were measured to assess the operation degradation. This paper presents some of the results of this effort.

active mirrors↗

Probabilistic Life and Reliability Analysis of Model Gas Turbine Disk

In 1939, W. Weibull developed what is now commonly known as the "Weibull Distribution Function" primarily to determine the cumulative strength distribution of small sample sizes of elemental fracture specimens. In 1947, G. Lundberg and A. Palmgren, using the Weibull Distribution Function developed a probabilistic lifing protocol for ball and roller bearings. In 1987, E. V. Zaretsky using the Weibull Distribution Function modified the Lundberg and Palmgren approach to life prediction. His method incorporates the results of coupon fatigue testing to compute the life of elemental stress volumes of a complex machine element to predict system life and reliability. This paper examines the Zaretsky method to determine the probabilistic life and reliability of a model gas turbine disk using experimental data from coupon specimens. The predicted results are compared to experimental disk endurance data.

Holland, Frederic A.↗

Comparison of Exploration Portable Life Support Subsystem (xPLSS) Thermal Modeling to Thermal Vacuum Testing

To support NASA’s goal to return to the Moon through the Artemis mission, the development of an exploration portable life support system (xPLSS) has been conducted at Johnson Space Center (JSC). As part of this development process, a large system level thermal/fluid model of the xPLSS was developed using Thermal Desktop and an in-house human model (METMAN). The xPLSS model was used throughout the design process to predict the performance and temperature of nearly all components within the xPLSS. In the fall of 2023, the design, verification, and testing (DVT) unit of the xPLSS was tested in a thermal vacuum (TVAC) chamber at JSC. This testing consisted of combining the xPLSS with an upper torso of the exploration pressure garment system (xPGS) and simulating five extravehicular activities (EVAs) in extreme thermal conditions (two cold EVAs and three hot EVAs). The data generated in this test series provided system level data of the xPLSS operating in vacuum and at flight-like environmental temperatures for the first time. This data was compared to results output by the xPLSS system model to assess the accuracy of previous analyses and improve the fidelity and accuracy of the xPLSS system model. The comparison between model and test hardware provides valuable insight that will help improve the design and fidelity of next generation space suits. In general, comparison between test data and model data generally showed slightly un-conservative values (model predicting colder temperatures than test in hot environments, and hotter temperatures than test in cold environments). Model assumptions and test assumptions were assessed to understand potential causes of some of these sources in error. Recommendations to improve the fidelity of the xPLSS model were also made based on the results presented in this paper.

xPLSS↗

Comparison of Exploration Portable Life Support Subsystem (xPLSS) Thermal Modeling to Thermal Vacuum Testing

To support NASA’s goal to return to the Moon through the Artemis Mission, the development of an Exploration Portable Life Support Subsystem (xPLSS) has been conducted at Johnson Space Center (JSC). As part of this development process, a large system level thermal/fluid model of the xPLSS was developed using Thermal Desktop and an in-house human model (METMAN). The xPLSS model was used throughout the design process to predict the performance and temperature of nearly all components within the xPLSS. In the fall of 2023, the Design, Verification, and Testing (DVT) unit of the xPLSS was tested in a thermal vacuum (TVAC) chamber at JSC. This testing consisted of combining the xPLSS with an upper torso of the Exploration Pressure Garment System (xPGS) and simulating five Extravehicular Activities (EVAs) in extreme thermal conditions (two cold EVAs and three hot EVAs). The data generated in this test series provided system level data of the xPLSS operating in vacuum and at flight-like environmental temperatures for the first time. These data were compared to results output by the xPLSS system model to assess the accuracy of previous analyses and improve the fidelity and accuracy of the xPLSS system model. The comparison between model and test hardware provides valuable insight that will help improve the design and fidelity of next generation space suits. In general, comparison between test data and model data generally showed slightly un-conservative values (model predicting colder temperatures than test in hot environments, and hotter temperatures than test in cold environments). Model assumptions and test assumptions were assessed to understand potential causes of some of these sources in error. Recommendations to improve the fidelity of the xPLSS model were also made based on the results presented in this paper.

xPLSS↗

Influence of Heat Flow from the Planetary Interior on Surface Habitability

an primordial and/or radiogenic heat flow from a rocky planet’s interior help maintain a surface environment amenable to life?On rocky Earth-like planets with shallow oceans (≤5 km depth) that are on the outer edge of the habitable zone, the additional energy provided might make the difference between a world supporting regional habitat space and a world uninhabitable by any known life-form. To test this hypothesis, we introduce heat flux from the planetary interior as a forcing to the NASA/GISSROCKE-3D exoplanet GCM, and explore whether it can enhance the habitability of marginal terrestrial rocky planets (e.g.,paleo Earth in a “snowball” climate state).GCM simulations of modern Earth have not included geothermal heat flux as a climate forcing, as it is more than an order of magnitude less than the 2.9 W/m heating caused by anthropogenic greenhouse gases [Flanner, GRL 2009]. Modern Earth measurements in the oceans [Downes et al., GRL 2019] and results from ocean GCMs [Barnes et al., Ocean Model. 2017]suggest that localized higher heat flux can have measurable thermodynamic and dynamic impacts, such as weakening deep ocean stratification and increased poleward ocean heat transports. A similar result with ROCKE-3D would be important, since our snowball Earth simulations without heat flux produce features like ocean stratification that should have hampered the survival of life. We have created a set of spatially variable geothermal heat fluxes at varying horizontal resolutions based on modern Earth heat flow patterns [Davies, Geochem. Geophys. Geosys. 2013] to test the sensitivity of the ROCKE-3D GCM initially in a modern Earth context. Preliminary results show that even modest heat fluxes have a measurable impact on deep ocean temperatures (upto +0.9°C locally) and that this heat can be transported at depth along ocean circulation paths. Estimates of heat flux impacts on vertical ocean mixing and surface ocean conditions require long simulations at the higher spatial resolutions needed to express heat flow at the scale of most ocean ridges. Ongoing simulations are focused on testing the impacts of horizontal resolution and flux scaling on surface environments, especially for “snowball” climate scenarios.

Heat flow↗

Oxidation resistant porous material for transpiration cooled vanes

Porous metal sheet with controlled permeability was made by space winding and diffusion bonding fine wire. Two iron-chromium-aluminum alloys and three-chromium alloys were used: GE 1541 (Fe-Cr-Al-Y), H 875 (Fe-Cr-Al-Si), TD Ni Cr, DH 245 (Ni-Cr-Al-Si) and DH 242 (Ni-Cr-Si-Cb). GE 1541 and H 875 were shown in initial tests to have greater oxidation resistance than the other candidate alloys and were therefore tested more extensively. These two materials were cyclic furnace oxidation tested in air at 1800 and 2000 F for accumulated exposure times of 4, 16, 64, 100, 200, 300, 400, 500, and and 600 hours. Oxidation weight gain, permeability change and mechanical properties were determined after exposure. Metallographic examination was performed to determine effects of exposure on the porous metal and electron beam weld joints of porous sheet to IN 100 strut material. Hundred hour stress rupture life and tensile tests were performed at 1800 F. Both alloys had excellent oxidation resistance and retention of mechanical properties and appear suitable for use as transpiration cooling materials in high temperature gas turbine engines.

Madsen, P.↗

Water and Ammonia Desorption from 5A Zeolite

Demonstrate adsorption and desorption characteristics of water and ammonia on 5A zeolite during regeneration conditions using a Thermogravimetric analyzer (TGA) on samples previously evaluated by residual gas analyzer (RGA)/mass balance. Molecular sieve (zeolite) adsorbents have the following characteristics: Crystalline alumino-silicates containing pores or 'cages' that adsorb water or other molecules. Polar compound are adsorbed with high loading even at very low concentrations of the fluid. A 5A molecular sieve was chosen for its ability to adsorb both water and ammonia (NH{sub 3}) from a carrier gas stream. Preliminary RGA/mass balance testing indicated: 5A zeolite captured both NH{sub 3} and water as anticipated based on molecular size; Reloading showed limited success after zeolite heated beyond manufacturer recommended operating conditions: Steam dealumination theorized cause; Tests were reprioritized to focus on NH{sub 3} removal and end of life potential holdup of NH{sub 3} and water on 5A zeolite material. TGA measures a sample's weight and volatile composition as it is heated or cooled in a furnace. TGA heats sample to release volatile materials, (change in mass is measured). MS detects/measures low levels of impurities. Perform TGA desorption of zeolite samples taken at the following conditions tested with RGA (RGA results not shown here): Initial Bakeout conditions: hydrogen carrier gas, slowly raise temp to approximately 300 deg. C until desired moisture content <<100 ppm is achieved. Water loading (re-loading): argon carrier gas through bubbler until breach is observed. Ammonia loading (re-loading): hydrogen carrier gas through system. Regenerations/End of life conditions: hydrogen carrier gas, raise temp to approximately 300 deg. C, then slowly to 450 deg. C (end of life). After end of life testing less than 4% of the total mass was residual ammonia or water at bakeout conditions. Peak water and ammonia removal occurred around 275 deg. C and 150 deg. C respectively.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Orientation and temperature dependence of some mechanical properties of the single-crystal nickel-base superalloy Rene N4. II - Low cycle fatigue behavior

The low cycle fatigue (LCF) properties of a single-crystal nickel-base superalloy Rene N4, have been examined at 760 and 980 C in air. Specimens having crystallographic orientations near the 001, 011, -111, 023, -236, and -145 lines were tested in fully reversed, total-strain-controlled LCF tests at a frequency of 0.1 Hz. At 760 C, this alloy exhibited orientation dependent tension-compression anisotropies of yielding which continued to failure. Also at 760 C, orientations exhibiting predominately single slip exhibited serrated yielding for many cycles. At 980 C, orientation dependencies of yielding behavior were smaller. In spite of the tension-compression anisotropies, cyclic stress range-strain range behavior was not strongly orientation dependent for either test temperature. Fatigue life on a total strain range basis was highly orientation dependent at 760 and 980 C and was related chiefly to elastic modulus, low modulus orientations having longer lives. Stage I crack growth on 111 planes was dominant at 760 C, while Stage II crack growth occurred at 980 C. Crack initiation generally occurred at near-surface micropores, but occasionally at oxidation spikes in the 980 C tests.

Gabb, T. P.↗

Defining Reliability and Robustness from a Human Factors Perspective

A human factors team was tasked with assessing best practices for developing a crewed space vehicle that is both reliable and robust. The team identified two broad dimensions of human factors are relevant to system design. Namely, the attributes of the product, and the processes used to develop the product. The “product” includes hardware, software, documentation, training systems, and procedures throughout all phases of the system life, including construction, testing, operation and maintenance. Three product attributes relevant to robustness are the extent to which task demands are within human capabilities, the capacity of the system to cope with unanticipated human actions, and the ability of the system to make use of unique human capabilities during non-routine situations. The “process” dimension of human factors relates to the activities that start in the early stages of design, and continue throughout the life of the system. There are, of course, no guarantees that a formal consideration of human factors throughout the design process will identify all the relevant human issues. In the absence of such a consideration, however, problems are virtually assured.

Hobbs, Alan↗

Design, Development, and Testing of a Water Vapor Exchanger for Spacecraft Life Support Systems

Thermal and environmental control systems for future exploration spacecraft must meet challenging requirements for efficient operation and conservation of resources. Maximizing the use of regenerative systems and conserving water are critical considerations. This paper describes the design, development, and testing of an innovative water vapor exchanger (WVX) that can minimize the amount of water absorbed in, and vented from, regenerative CO2 removal systems. Key design requirements for the WVX are high air flow capacity (suitable for a crew of six), very high water recovery, and very low pressure losses. We developed fabrication and assembly methods that enable high-efficiency mass transfer in a uniform and stable array of Nafion tubes. We also developed analysis and design methods to compute mass transfer and pressure losses. We built and tested subscale units sized for flow rates of 2 and 5 cu ft/min (3.4–8.5 cu m/hr). Durability testing demonstrated that a stable core geometry was sustained over many humid/dry cycles. Pressure losses were very low (less than 0.5 in. H2O (125 Pa) total) and met requirements at prototypical flow rates. We measured water recovery efficiency across a range of flow rates and humidity levels that simulate the range of possible cabin conditions. We measured water recovery efficiencies in the range of 80 to 90%, with the best efficiency at lower flow rates and higher cabin humidity levels. We compared performance of the WVX with similar units built using an unstructured Nafion tube bundle. The WVX achieves higher water recovery efficiency with nearly an order of magnitude lower pressure drop than unstructured tube bundles. These results show that the WVX provides uniform flow through flow channels for both the humid and dry streams and can meet requirements for service on future exploration spacecraft. The WVX technology will be best suited for long-duration exploration vehicles that require regenerative CO2 removal systems while needing to conserve water.

Izenson, Michael G.↗

Determination of life for a polyimide-epoxy alternator insulation system

Tests were conducted to predict remaining electrical insulation life of a polyimide epoxy insulated 60 KW, 208 volt homopolar inductor alternator, following completion of 23,130 hours of turbo-alternator endurance tests. The sectioned armature winding of this alternator stator was used as means to evaluate and measure end-life at several aging temperatures for development of an Arrhenius plot. A one-half life rate of 11.3 C was established from these data with a predicted remaining life of 60,000 hours at an armature winding temperature of 248 C and a total life, including endurance test time, of 61,645 hours.

Penn, W. B.↗

An Engineering Approach for Weld Creep Lifetime Assessment Based on Local Property Measurement

The localized creep failure in the heat-affected zone (HAZ) of Grade 91 steel weldments has been identified as one of the most important factors causing significantly shortened service lifetime and structural integrity issues of welded components in advanced fossil and nuclear power plants. To conduct a reliable creep lifetime assessment, a new engineering assessment approach has been developed by incorporating the experimentally determined local properties of the heterogeneous HAZ. By creep testing a purposely simulated HAZ specimen with in situ digital image correlation (DIC) technique, the highly gradient creep properties across the HAZ of Grade 91 steel was quantitatively measured. A physical creep cavitation constitutive model was proposed to investigate the local creep deformation and damage accumulation within the heterogeneous HAZ, which takes into account the nucleation of creep cavities and their growth by both grain boundary diffusion and creep deformation. The relationship among the local material property, creep strain accumulation, and evolution characteristic of creep cavities was established. The approach was then utilized to investigate the creep response and subsequent life for an ex-service 9% Cr steel weldment by incorporating the effects of pre-existing damages which developed and accumulated during long-term services. The predicted results exhibited quantitative agreement with the DIC measurement in terms of both nominal/local creep deformation as well as the subsequent life under the test conditions at 650 and 80 MPa.

Zhang, Wei↗