PHM-RIAM Tools and Future Directions
Presentation for South Texas project meeting
97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
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Towards Sustainable Post-Exascale Leadership Computing
As computing systems approach the limits of traditional silicon technology, the diminishing returns in performance per watt present a significant barrier to sustaining growth in HPC. From a large-scale scientific supercomputing facility point of view, we propose a multifaceted strategy toward specialized hardware and architectures that are optimized for energy efficiency in specific applications. We also emphasize the need for integrating energy-aware practices across all levels of HPC, from system design and software development to operational policies. We discuss strategic opportunities such as the adoption of application-specific accelerators, the development of energy-efficient algorithms, and the implementation of data-driven operational analytics. Our goal is to develop a comprehensive roadmap ensuring that future leadership systems at OLCF can meet scientific demands while operating within stringent energy budgets, thereby supporting sustainable computing growth.
Shin, Woong↗
Computational Discovery and Design of MXenes for Energy Applications: Status, Successes, and Opportunities
MXenes (M n+1 X n , e.g., Ti 3 C 2 ) are the largest 2D material family developed in recent years. They exhibit significant potential in the energy sciences, particularly for energy storage. In this review, we summarize the progress of the computational work regarding the theoretical design of new MXene structures and predictions for energy applications including their fundamental, energy storage, and catalytic properties. We also outline how high-throughput computation, big data, and machine-learning techniques can help broaden the MXene family. Finally, we present some of the major remaining challenges and future research directions needed to mature this novel materials family.
25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
Compute-Efficient Deep Learning: Algorithmic Trends and Opportunities
Although deep learning has made great progress in recent years, the exploding economic and environmental costs of training neural networks are becoming unsustainable. To address this problem, there has been a great deal of research on algorithmically-efficient deep learning, which seeks to reduce training costs not at the hardware or implementation level, but through changes in the semantics of the training program. In this paper, we present a structured and comprehensive overview of the research in this field. First, we formalize the algorithmic speedup problem, then we use fundamental building blocks of algorithmically efficient training to develop a taxonomy. Our taxonomy highlights commonalities of seemingly disparate methods and reveals current research gaps. Next, we present evaluation best practices to enable comprehensive, fair, and reliable comparisons of speedup techniques. To further aid research and applications, we discuss common bottlenecks in the training pipeline (illustrated via experiments) and offer taxonomic mitigation strategies for them. Finally, we highlight some unsolved research challenges and present promising future directions.
97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
SciDAC – PSI: Plasma Surface Interactions involving Tungsten - A Summary of Project Accomplishments
Gaining physics understanding and predictive capabilities to describe the evolution of plasma facing components (PFC) requires simultaneously addressing complex and diverse physics occurring over a wide range of length and time scales, as well as integrating extensive physical processes across the plasma - surface - bulk materials boundaries. This requires development not only of detailed physics models and computational strategies at each of these scales, but computer science algorithms and methods to strongly couple them in a way that can be robustly validated through comparisons against available data and new experiments. Therefore, the objective of this project is to develop robust, high-fidelity simulation tools capable of predicting the PFC operating lifetime and the PFC impact on plasma contamination, recycling of hydrogenic species, and tritium retention in future magnetic fusion devices, with a focus on tungsten based material systems. Deploying these tools requires the development of a leadershipscale computational code, as well as a host of simulations that span the multiple scales needed to address complex physical and computational issues at the plasma - surface interface and the transition below the surface where neutron damage processes in the bulk material dominate behavior in multiple-component materials systems. Successful development will enable improved prediction of PFC performance needed to ensure magnetic fusion energy development beyond ITER.
70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
Route-Optimized Energy Management of Connected and Automated Multi-Mode Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicle Using Dynamic Programming
This paper presents a methodology to optimize the blending of charge-depleting (CD) and charge-sustaining (CS) modes in a multi-mode plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) that reduces overall energy consumption when the selected route cannot be completely driven in all-electric mode. The PHEV used in this investigation is the second-generation Chevrolet Volt and as many as four instrumented vehicles were utilized simultaneously on road to acquire validation data. The optimization method used is dynamic programming (DP) paired with a reduced-order powertrain model to enable onboard embedded controller compatibility and computational efficiency in optimally blending CD, CS modes over the entire drive route. The objective of the optimizer is to enable future Connected and Automated Vehicles (CAVs) to best utilize onboard energy for minimum overall energy consumption based on speed and elevation profile information from Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS), Internet of Things (IoT), High-definition Mapping, and onboard sensing technologies. Emphasis is placed on runtime minimization to quickly react and plan an optimal mode scheme in highly dynamic road conditions with minimal computational resources. On-road performance of the optimizer paired with automated CD and CS mode selection is evaluated on a fleet of four instrumented Chevrolet Volts in a variety of driving scenarios. Here, the results indicate variable energy savings depending on the drive route and initial battery SOC with potential ranging between 2 to 12% and less than 7 seconds initial optimization for a 24-mile drive cycle.
33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
Modeling of wave processes in blocky media with porous and fluid-saturated interlayers
The wave processes in blocky media are analyzed by applying different mathematical models, wherein the elastic blocks interact with each other via pliant interlayers with the complex mechanical properties. Four versions of constitutive equations are considered. In the first version, an elastic interaction between the blocks is simulated within the framework of linear elasticity theory, and the model of elastic–plastic interlayers is constructed to take into account the appearance of irreversible deformation of interlayers at short time intervals. In the second one, the effects of viscoelastic shear in the interblock interlayers are taken into the consideration using the Poynting–Thomson rheological scheme. In the third option, the model of an elastic porous material is used in the interlayers, where the pores collapse if an abrupt compressive stress is applied. In the fourth case, the model of a fluid-saturated material with open pores is examined based on Biot's equations. The collapse of pores is modeled by the generalized rheological approach, wherein the mechanical properties of a material are simulated using four rheological elements. Three of them are the traditional elastic, viscous and plastic elements, the fourth element is the so-called rigid contact, which is used to describe the behavior of materials with the different resistance to tension and compression. It was shown that the thermodynamically consistent model is provided, which means that the energy balance equation is fulfilled for an entire blocky structure, where the kinetic and potential energy of the system is the sum of the kinetic and potential energies of the blocks and interlayers. Under numerical implementation of the interlayers models, the dissipationless finite difference Ivanov's method was used. The splitting method by spatial variables in the combination with the Godunov gap decay scheme was applied in the blocks. As a result, robust and stable computational algorithms are built and tested. Using MPI technology, the parallel software was designed for the modeling of wave processes in 2D setting. The numerical results are presented, discussed and future studies are outlined. - Highlights: • We model the propagation of waves in a blocky medium with compliant interlayers. • Models of porous and fluid saturated interlayers are proposed using Biot's approach. • A parallel computational algorithm is developed for supercomputers of cluster type. • Problems of instant rotation of central and boundary blocks are solved numerically. • Wave motions are compared in the cases of elastic and fluid-saturated interlayers.
71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
Navy Enhanced Sierra Mechanics (NESM): Toolbox for predicting Navy shock and damage
Here, the US Navy is developing a new suite of computational mechanics tools (Navy Enhanced Sierra Mechanics) for the prediction of ship response, damage, and shock environments transmitted to vital systems during threat weapon encounters. NESM includes fully coupled Euler-Lagrange solvers tailored to ship shock/damage predictions. NESM is optimized to support high-performance computing architectures, providing the physics-based ship response/threat weapon damage predictions needed to support the design and assessment of highly survivable ships. NESM is being employed to support current Navy ship design and acquisition programs while being further developed for future Navy fleet needs.
97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
Learning-Based Inversion-Free Model-Data Integration to Advance Ecosystem Model Prediction
Ecosystem model prediction is important for understanding ecosystem responses to climate change and for management support. Model prediction and quantification of predictive uncertainty of ecosystems have long been investigated. The traditional workflow, which calibrates models to match observations and then uses the calibrated models for predictions, relies heavily on inverse modeling to constrain uncertain parameters in complex forward models. This inversion-based prediction approach is infeasible for complex models with heterogeneous parameter uncertainties and incapable of rapid integration of streaming and multiple sources of data because of the difficulty and computational cost in the model inversion, which is typically ill-posed and can require hundreds of thousands of expensive forward simulations to be performed iteratively. We propose to circumvent inverse modeling by precomputing an ensemble of unconstrained forward simulations and then using machine learning (ML) methods to learn the statistical relationship between simulated observation and prediction quantities. Once the ML model has learned the relationship, it can be used to make predictions of future system behavior with uncertainty quantification based on observations. The proposed learningbased inversion-free model prediction (LIMP) framework is computationally efficient which only requires a few thousands of fully parallelizable forward simulations. Additionally, LIMP can continually update predictions based on streaming observations from multiple locations and sources without necessarily requiring extra model simulations. In this study, we apply LIMP to a regional terrestrial ecosystem model with 47 parameters for testing, refining, and evaluating the approach. We demonstrate that LIMP can be used for efficient model prediction, rapid data assimilation, and cost-effective experimental design for improving robust predictive understanding of ecosystems.
Lu, Dan↗
Supporting multiple hardware architectures at CMS: the integration and validation of POWER9
Computing resources in the Worldwide LHC Computing Grid (WLCG) have been based entirely on the x86 architecture for more than two decades. In the near future, however, heterogeneous non-x86 resources, such as ARM, POWER and Risc-V, will become a substantial fraction of the resources that will be provided to the LHC experiments, due to their presence in existing and planned world-class HPC installations. The CMS experiment, one of the four large detectors at the LHC, has started to prepare for this situation, with the CMS software stack (CMSSW) already compiled for multiple architectures. In order to allow for a production use, the tools for workload management and job distribution need to be extended to be able to exploit heterogeneous architectures. Profiting from the opportunity to exploit the first sizable IBM Power9 allocation available on Marconi100 HPC system at CINECA, CMS developed all the needed modifications to the CMS workload management system. After a successful proof of concept, a full physics validation has been performed in order to bring the system in production. The experiences are of very high value, when it comes to commissioning of the similar (even larger) Summit HPC system at Oak Ridge, where CMS is also expecting a resource allocation. Moreover the compute power of those systems is being provided also via GPUs and this represents an extremely valuable opportunity to exploit the offloading capability already implemented in CMSSW. The status of the current integration including the exploitation of the GPUs, the results of the validation as well as the future plans will be shown and discussed.
Boccali, Tommaso [INFN, Pisa]↗
Predicting the Activity and Selectivity of Bimetallic Metal Catalysts for Ethanol Reforming using Machine Learning
Machine learning is ideally suited for the pattern detection in large uniform datasets, but consistent experimental datasets on catalyst studies are often small. Here we demonstrate how a combination of machine learning and first-principles calculations can be used to extract knowledge from a relatively small set of experimental data. The approach is based on combining a complex machine-learning model trained on an extensive computational library of transition-state energies with simple linear regression models of experimental catalytic activities and selectivities from the literature. Using the combined model, we identify the key C–C bond scission reactions involved in ethanol reforming and perform a computational screening for ethanol reforming on monolayer bimetallic catalysts with architectures TM-Pt-Pt(111) and Pt-TM-Pt(111) (TM = 3d transition metals). The model also predicts four promising catalyst compositions for future experimental studies. In conclusion, the approach is not limited to ethanol reforming but is of general use for the interpretation of experimental observations as well as for the computational discovery of novel catalytic materials.
37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
Edison - A New Cray Supercomputer Advances Discovery at NERSC
When a supercomputing center installs a new system, users are invited to make heavy use of the computer as part of the rigorous testing. In this video, find out what top scientists have discovered using Edison, a Cray XC30 supercomputer, and how NERSC's newest supercomputer will accelerate their future research.
97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
Hierarchical sensitivity analysis for simulating barrier island geomorphologic responses to future storms and sea-level rise
This paper presents a new application of an advanced hierarchical sensitivity analysis of a new climate model of barrier island geomorphological evolution. The implemented sensitivity analysis in this study integrates a hierarchical uncertainty framework with a variance-based global sensitivity analysis to decompose the different model input uncertainties. The analysis can provide quantitative and accurate measurements for the relative importance of uncertain model input factors while considering their dependence relationships. The climate model used in this research was the barrier island profile (BIP) model, which is a new computer code developed to simulate barrier island morphological evolution over periods ranging from years to decades under the impacts of accelerated future sea-level rise and long-term changes in the storm climate. In the application of the model, the BIP model was used to evaluate the responses of a series of barrier island cross-sections derived for Santa Rosa Island, Florida, to random storm events and five potential accelerated rates of sea-level rise projected over the next century. The uncertain model input factors thus include the scenario uncertainty caused by alternative future sea-level rise scenarios and the parametric uncertainties of random storm parameters and dune characteristics. The study results reveal that the occurrence of storms is the most important factor for the evolution of sand dunes on the barrier island and the impact of sea-level rise is essential to the morphological change of the island backshore environment. The analysis can provide helpful insights for coastal management and planning. This hierarchical sensitivity analysis is mathematically general and rigorous and can be applied to a wide range of climate models.
Dai, Heng↗
Balanced k -means clustering on an adiabatic quantum computer
Adiabatic quantum computers are a promising platform for efficiently solving challenging optimization problems. Therefore, many are interested in using these computers to train computationally expensive machine learning models. We present a quantum approach to solving the balanced k-means clustering training problem on the D-Wave 2000Q adiabatic quantum computer. In order to do this, we formulate the training problem as a quadratic unconstrained binary optimization (QUBO) problem. Unlike existing classical algorithms, our QUBO formulation targets the global solution to the balanced k-means model. We test our approach on a number of small problems and observe that despite the theoretical benefits of the QUBO formulation, the clustering solution obtained by a modern quantum computer is usually inferior to the solution obtained by the best classical clustering algorithms. Nevertheless, the solutions provided by the quantum computer do exhibit some promising characteristics. We also perform a scalability study to estimate the run time of our approach on large problems using future quantum hardware. Finally, as a final proof of concept, we used the quantum approach to cluster random subsets of the Iris benchmark data set.
97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
Techno-economic analysis of DC power distribution in commercial buildings
Improvements in building end-use efficiency have significantly reduced the energy intensity of new buildings, but diminishing returns make it a challenge to build very-low energy buildings cost-effectively. A largely untapped efficiency strategy is to improve the efficiency of power distribution within buildings. Direct current (DC) distribution with modern power electronics has the potential to eliminate much of the power conversion loss in alternating current (AC) building distribution networks that include photovoltaics and DC end uses. Previous literature suggests up to 15% energy savings from DC power distribution in very energy efficient buildings with onsite generation and battery storage. This paper extends prior energy modeling of DC versus AC distribution in buildings, to consider the cost of implementing DC systems on a life-cycle basis. A techno-economic analysis framework based on commercially available products that evaluates the cost-effectiveness of DC systems is presented. The analysis is conducted for three commercial building types in two California climate zones and for various PV and battery storage capacities. Monte Carlo simulation is used to compute the payback period and lifecycle cost savings of DC versus AC distribution systems. A future-market scenario is also examined, which evaluates how future efficiency improvements in power converters and changes in electricity tariffs may affect cost savings. This analysis shows that DC systems can be cost-effective in all scenarios that include large capacities of battery storage and onsite solar, whereas for systems without storage, DC distribution is generally not cost-effective.
24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
Substitutional doping of 2D transition metal dichalcogenides for device applications: Current status, challenges and prospects
Two-dimensional (2D) transition metal dichalcogenides (TMDs) have emerged as a class of materials with exceptional electronic, optical, and mechanical properties, making them highly tunable for diverse applications in nanoelectronics, optoelectronics, and catalysis. Here, this review focuses on substitutional doping of TMDs, a key strategy to tailor their properties and enhance device performance, with a focus on its applications over the past five years (2019–2024). We delve into both theoretical and experimental doping approaches, including established methods like chemical vapor transport (CVT) and chemical vapor deposition (CVD) alongside liquid phase exfoliation (LPE) and post-synthesis treatments. Advanced growth techniques are also explored. Challenges like dopant uniformity, concentration control, and stability are addressed. The influence of various dopants on the electronic band structure, carrier concentration, and defect engineering is analyzed in detail. We further explore recent advancements in utilizing doped TMDs for field-effect transistors (FETs), photodetectors, sensors, photovoltaics, optoelectronic devices, energy storage and conversion, and even quantum computers. By examining both the potential and limitations of substitutional doping, this review aims to propel future research and technological advancements in this exciting field.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
Electroweak nuclear radii constrain the isospin breaking correction to V ud
We lay out a novel formalism to connect the isospin-symmetry breaking correction to the rates of superallowed nuclear beta decays, δ C , to the isospin-breaking sensitive combinations of electroweak nuclear radii that can be accessed experimentally. We individuate transitions in the superallowed decay chart where a measurement of the neutron skin of a stable daughter even at a moderate precision could already help discriminating between models used to compute δ C . We review the existing experimental situation and make connection to the existing and future experimental programs.
73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
Microsecond Molecular Dynamics Simulations of Proteins Using a Quasi-Equilibrium Solvation Shell Model
In this work, we describe the development and implementation of a quasi-equilibrium hydration shell model of biomolecular solvation with adaptive boundaries. Applying the model to microsecond-long molecular dynamics simulations of several protein systems of varying complexity, we find that the model simulation results are of comparable quality to those obtained from simulations of fully solvated systems, but at a reduced computational cost. We discuss the dominant sources of error in the model and outline directions for future improvements.
37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗