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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,297 records · Page 72
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

Building water resilience in the face of cascading wildfire risks

Severe wildfire is altering the natural and the built environment and posing risks to environmental and societal health and well-being, including cascading impacts to water systems and built water infrastructure. Research on wildfire-resilient water systems is growing but not keeping pace with the scale and severity of wildfire impacts, despite their intensifying threat. In this study, we evaluate the state of knowledge regarding wildfire-related hazards to water systems. We propose a holistic framework to assess interactions and feedback loops between water quality, quantity, and infrastructure hazards as determinants of post-fire water availability and access. Efforts to address the evolving threat of wildfires to water systems will require more interdisciplinary research on the complex relationships shaping wildfire’s threat to water availability and access. To support this, we need reliable long-term data availability, consistent metrics, greater research in shared contexts, more extensive research beyond the burn area, and multistakeholder collaboration on wildfire risks to water systems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2017

Failures in Large Scale Systems: Long-term Measurement, Analysis, and Implications

Resilience is one of the key challenges in maintaining high efficiency of future extreme scale supercomputers. Researchers and system practitioners rely on field-data studies to understand reliability characteristics and plan for future HPC systems. In this work, we compare and contrast the reliability characteristics of multiple large-scale HPC production systems. Our study covers more than one billion compute node hours across five different systems over a period of 8 years. We confirm previous findings which continue to be valid, discover new findings, and discuss their implications.

Gupta, Saurabh↗
DOE OSTI2021

Methods—Analyzing Electrochemical Kinetic Parameters in Deep Eutectic Solvents Using an Extended Butler-Volmer Equation

Deep eutectic solvents (DESs) are promising electrolytes for electrochemical redox reactions, which can be used in redox flow batteries (RFBs). However, in some systems like the Fe 2+/3+ redox reaction in ethaline, traditional Tafel-based kinetic analysis generates unreasonable kinetic parameters (i.e., large anodic/cathodic charge transfer coefficients ( α a , α c ) along with low exchange current densities ( i 0 )). This hinders a comprehensive kinetic and kinetic mechanism study. Here, we perform a detailed investigation of the Tafel analysis using a series of synthetic rotating disk electrode (RDE) data. We find the Tafel analysis only works well when i 0 < 0.57 i lim (limiting current density) in our scenario and leads to abnormal kinetic values once i 0 exceeds this limiting value. Thus, we propose an extended Butler-Volmer (ex-BV) analysis based on modern non-linear fitting techniques to obtain the actual kinetic parameters for such systems. The results show that this method fits the RDE data closely and generates reliable α a , α c and i 0 values, demonstrating that it is a good replacement for traditional Tafel analysis for kinetic studies in high-viscosity electrolytes such as DES systems.

Electrochemistry↗
DOE OSTI2017

Development of Long-Pulse Heating and Current Drive Actuators and Operational Techniques Compatible with a High-Z Divertor and First Wall

Accurate measurement of the edge electron density profile is essential to optimizing antenna coupling and assessment of impurity contamination in studying long-pulse plasma heating and current drive in fusion devices. Measurement of the edge density profile has been demonstrated on the US fusion devices such as C-Mod, DIII-D, and TFTR amongst many devices, and has been used for RF loading and impurity modeling calculations for many years. University of Science and Technology of China (USTC) has recently installed a density profile reflectometer system on the EAST fusion device at the Institute of Plasma Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences in China based on the University of California Los Angeles (UCLA)-designed reflectometer system on the DIII-D fusion device at General Atomics Company in San Diego, California. UCLA has been working with USTC to optimize the existing microwave antenna, waveguide system, microwave electronics, and data analysis to produce reliable edge density profiles. During the past budget year, progress has been made in all three major areas: effort to achieve reliable system operations under various EAST operational conditions, effort to optimize system performance, and effort to provide quality density profiles into EAST’s database routinely.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2019

Early Career Award: An Enabling Computational Framework for Uncertainty Assimilation and Propagation in Complex PDE Systems: Sparse and Low-rank Techniques (Final Report)

This project aims to develop a set of new theories, algorithms, and computational tools that enable ultra-scalable representation and propagation of high-dimensional uncertainties to circumvent the issue of curse-of-dimensionality. The research components are motivated by the fact that highly scalable algorithms are needed to achieve exascale performance for uncertainty quantification and predictive simulation at extreme scales. Although these developments are generic and applicable to a wide range of high-dimensional, complex, stochastic, partial-differential-equation (PDE) systems, this research effort will focus on predictive simulation of high-energy-density lithium batteries. To create knowledge about the precise failure mechanisms of these batteries and ultimately predict their performance and reliability, a truly data-driven, multi-scale, multi-physics framework is needed that allows studying (i) dominant sources of uncertainty in the governing physical models at all scales of relevance and (ii) the interface between the interchanging physics and scales. The impact of the planned mathematical and numerical advancements in prediction of high-dimensional uncertain systems will be broad across areas of engineering and science such as climate modeling, fusion energy, combustion, and nanoscience, among others.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Metal-Supported Ceria Electrolyte-based SOFC Stack for Scalable, Low-Cost, High-Efficiency and Robust Stationary Power Systems (Final Report)

This is the end of project report for the DOE Project DE-FE-0027844 “Metal-Supported Ceria Electrolyte-based SOFC Stack for Scalable, Low-Cost, High-Efficiency and Robust Stationary Power Systems”. The objectives of the project were to develop several technologies required for the mass adoption of Solid Oxide Fuel Cell systems for medium to large power generation applications. The key achievements of this project were: 1) Development of fuel cells with complete internal fuel reforming capability. 2) Fuel cell power scale up with production of cells with larger active areas. 3) Assembly of an integrated 5 kW modular stack platform capable of installation into medium to large power systems. 4) Demonstration of a 10 kW Fuel Cell Power System utilizing the integrated 5 kW modular stack platform. 5) Cost modelling to show system cost of $1,500/kW are achievable at production volumes. 6) Development of cathode air poison getters for reduced degradation and extended fuel cell life. 7) Assessment of fuel poison on anode degradation, particularly poisons frequently produced from the process of gasification of coal. The Cummins led Voice of Customer (VOC) work identified several significant markets for natural gas powered fuel cell systems, where the end customer is interested in reducing energy consumption and emissions, or increasing reliability of electrical supply. Data centers and truck Auxiliary Power Units (APU) were highlighted as 2 key future markets for fuel cell systems.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗
DOE OSTI2021

Design of the New DARHT X-ray and Neutron Shielding and Measured Results

The DARHT Weather Enclosure (WE) project provided an excellent opportunity to redesign and rebuild some of DARHT systems without introducing interruptions to normal operations. Multiple improvements were made to the facility to improve data quality and operational reliability.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Solar, Wind, and Load Forecasting Dataset for MISO, NYISO, and SPP Balancing Areas

The Performance-based Energy Resource Feedback, Optimization, and Risk Management (PERFORM) program is an initiative intended to foster "a fundamental shift in grid management rooted in an understanding of asset risk and system risk" (ARPA-E 2020). Launched by the Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy (ARPA-E), the program supports efforts to incorporate uncertainty in electric power decision making. In support of PERFORM, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) has produced a set of time-coincident forecasts of solar, wind, and load profiles. As part of Phase I of the PERFORM effort, NREL created a dataset that consists of one year of time-coincident load, wind, and solar actuals and probabilistic forecasts based on data from the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) (Bryce et al. 2023). In Phase II, NREL developed similar datasets for three other U.S. Independent System Operators (ISO): the Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO), the New York Independent System Operator (NYISO), and the Southwest Power Pool (SPP).

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2024

National Electric Vehicle Infrastructure Formula Program (NEVI) Brief for State Public Utility Commissions

The National Electric Vehicle Infrastructure (NEVI) Formula Program (NEVI program) is a funding opportunity for all 50 U.S. states, the District of Columbia, and Puerto Rico, established by the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law (BIL). The NEVI program instructs states to “strategically deploy electric vehicle (EV) charging infrastructure and to establish an interconnected network to facilitate data collection, access, and reliability.” The NEVI program allocates more than $\$$5 billion to states from Fiscal Year (FY) 2022 to 2026 on a formula basis. NEVI funds are available to private entities, including utilities, to build EV Supply Equipment (EVSE)1 and associated EV grid infrastructure.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2025

Consistent $\overline{ν}$ evaluation for minor U isotopes with $\tt{CGMF}$

Following several successful prompt $\overline{ν}$ evaluations using $\tt{CGMF}$, including consistent evaluations for minor Pu isotopes, we detail in this report our efforts to perform a consistent $\overline{ν}$ evaluation for minor U isotopes during FY25. Although we have not yet produced a finalized evaluation, we present the progress that we have made towards such an evaluation for 232,233,234,236,237,239 U prompt $\overline{ν}$. Our milestone explicitly calls out evaluations for 233 U, 234 U, and 236 U, however, to better constrain the model with reliable experimental $\overline{ν}$ data, we also include 235 U and 238 U in the evaluation procedure. Then, we additionally produce evaluations for 232 U, 237 U and 239 U $\overline{ν}$ as a byproduct. Elsewhere, we will report our efforts on a stand-alone 233 U $\overline{ν}$ evaluation. This report is organized in the following manner. In Sec. 2, we briefly outline the updates to CGMF that were needed to be able to calculate all of these minor U fission reactions. The experimental data overview is given in Sec. 3. The evaluation methodology and results are presented in Secs. 4 and 5, respectively. Finally, we conclude and outline work for FY26 in Sec. 6.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Advanced Semi-Supervised Learning with Uncertainty Estimation for Phase Identification in Distribution Systems

The integration of advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) into power distribution networks generates valuable data for tasks such as phase identification; however, the limited and unreliable availability of labeled data in the form of customer phase connectivity presents challenges. To address this issue, we propose a semi-supervised learning (SSL) framework that effectively leverages labeled and unlabeled data. Our approach incorporates self-training, label spreading, and Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) to enhance phase identification with AMI data. Our method uses an ensemble of multilayer perceptron classifiers in a self-training setup, iteratively adding high-confidence pseudo-labels to improve robustness. We also apply label spread to propagate labels based on data similarity, which enhances generalization across diverse distributions. In addition, we employ a BNNs with uncertainty estimation, boosting confidence in predictions and reducing phase identification errors. In our case study, we achieved approximately 98% +/- 0.08 accuracy with uncertainty using minimal and unreliable labeled data from a real U.S. utility, Duquesne Light Company. Our SSL approach, combined with uncertainty estimation, provides an efficient solution for phase identification in AMI data, ultimately improving the reliability of smart grid applications.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2026

Advanced Semi-Supervised Learning With Uncertainty Estimation for Phase Identification in Distribution Systems

The integration of advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) into power distribution networks generates valuable data for tasks such as phase identification; however, the limited and unreliable availability of labeled data in the form of customer phase connectivity presents challenges. To address this issue, we propose a semi-supervised learning (SSL) framework that effectively leverages labeled and unlabeled data. Our approach incorporates self-training, label spreading, and Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) to enhance phase identification with AMI data. Our method uses an ensemble of multilayer perceptron classifiers in a self-training setup, iteratively adding high-confidence pseudo-labels to improve robustness. We also apply label spread to propagate labels based on data similarity, which enhances generalization across diverse distributions. In addition, we employ a BNNs with uncertainty estimation, boosting confidence in predictions and reducing phase identification errors. In our case study, we achieved approximately 98% +/- 0.08 accuracy with uncertainty using minimal and unreliable labeled data from a real U.S. utility, Duquesne Light Company. Our SSL approach, combined with uncertainty estimation, provides an efficient solution for phase identification in AMI data, ultimately improving the reliability of smart grid applications.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2020

Remaining Useful Strength (RUS) Prediction of SiCf-SiCm Composite Materials Using Deep Learning and Acoustic Emission

Prognosis techniques for prediction of remaining useful life (RUL) are of crucial importance to the management of complex systems for they can lead to appropriate maintenance interventions and improvements in reliability. While various data-driven methods have been introduced to predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of machinery systems or batteries, no research has been reported on the remaining useful strength (RUS) prediction of silicon carbide fiber reinforced silicon carbide matrix (SiCf-SiCm) materials with pivotal role in its potential usage as a structural material in nuclear reactors and turbine engines. Knowledge of its degradation process is of the utmost importance to the manufacturers. For this purpose, two approaches based on the machine-learning techniques of random-forest (RF) and convolutional neural network (CNN) are proposed to predict the RUS of SiCf-SiCm using only acoustic emission (AE) signals generated during the material’s stress applying process. Experimental results show that the CNN models achieved better predictive performance than the RF models but the latter with expert-engineered features achieves better prediction for AE signals in the early stage of degradation. Additionally, our results demonstrate that both models can correctly predict the SiCf-SiCm RUS as evaluated by our robust testing method from which the best average root mean square error (RMSE) and Pearson correlation coefficient of 3.55 ksi units and 0.85 were obtained.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Entropy-Assisted Quality Pattern Identification in Finance

Short-term patterns in financial time series form the cornerstone of many algorithmic trading strategies, yet extracting these patterns reliably from noisy market data remains a formidable challenge. In this paper, we propose an entropy-assisted framework for identifying high-quality, non-overlapping patterns that exhibit consistent behavior over time. We ground our approach in the premise that historical patterns, when accurately clustered and pruned, can yield substantial predictive power for short-term price movements. To achieve this, we incorporate an entropy-based measure as a proxy for information gain: patterns that lead to high one-sided movements in historical data yet retain low local entropy are more “informative” in signaling future market direction. Compared to conventional clustering techniques such as K-means and Gaussian Mixture Models (GMMs), which often yield biased or unbalanced groupings, our approach emphasizes balance over a forced visual boundary, ensuring that quality patterns are not lost due to over-segmentation. By emphasizing both predictive purity (low local entropy) and historical profitability, our method achieves a balanced representation of Buy and Sell patterns, making it better suited for short-term algorithmic trading strategies. This paper offers an in-depth illustration of our entropy-assisted framework through two case studies on Gold vs. USD and GBPUSD. While these examples demonstrate the method’s potential for extracting high-quality patterns, they do not constitute an exhaustive survey of all possible asset classes.

Physics↗
DOE OSTI2020

Laboratory Calibrations of Fe xii–xiv Line-Intensity Ratios for Electron Density Diagnostics

In this work, we have used an electron beam ion trap to measure electron-density-diagnostic line-intensity ratios for extreme ultraviolet lines from Fe xii, xiii, and xiv at wavelengths of ≈185–205 and 255–276 Å. These ratios can be used as density diagnostics for astrophysical spectra and are especially relevant to solar physics. We found that density diagnostics using the Fe xiii 196.53/202.04 and the Fe xiv 264.79/274.21 and 270.52A/274.21 line ratios are reliable using the atomic data calculated with the Flexible Atomic Code (FAC). On the other hand, we found a large discrepancy between the FAC theory and experiment for the commonly used Fe xii (186.85 + 186.88)/195.12 line ratio. These FAC theory calculations give results similar to the data tabulated in CHIANTI, which are commonly used to analyze solar observations. Our results suggest that the discrepancies seen between solar coronal density measurements using the Fe xii (186.85 + 186.88)/195.12 and Fe xiii 196.54/202.04 line ratios are likely due to issues with the atomic calculations for Fe xii.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2020

DSCOVR/EPIC-derived global hourly and daily downward shortwave and photosynthetically active radiation data at 0.1° × 0.1° resolution

Downward shortwave radiation (SW) and photosynthetically active radiation (PAR) play crucial roles in Earth system dynamics. Spaceborne remote sensing techniques provide a unique means for mapping accurate spatiotemporally continuous SW–PAR, globally. However, any individual polar-orbiting or geostationary satellite cannot satisfy the desired high temporal resolution (sub-daily) and global coverage simultaneously, while integrating and fusing multisource data from complementary satellites/sensors is challenging because of co-registration, intercalibration, near real-time data delivery and the effects of discrepancies in orbital geometry. The Earth Polychromatic Imaging Camera (EPIC) on board the Deep Space Climate Observatory (DSCOVR), launched in February 2015, offers an unprecedented possibility to bridge the gap between high temporal resolution and global coverage and characterize the diurnal cycles of SW–PAR globally. In this study, we adopted a suite of well-validated data-driven machine-learning models to generate the first global land products of SW–PAR, from June 2015 to June 2019, based on DSCOVR/EPIC data. The derived products have high temporal resolution (hourly) and medium spatial resolution (0.1°×0.1°), and they include estimates of the direct and diffuse components of SW–PAR. We used independently widely distributed ground station data from the Baseline Surface Radiation Network (BSRN), the Surface Radiation Budget Network (SURFRAD), NOAA's Global Monitoring Division and the U.S. Department of Energy's Atmospheric System Research (ASR) program to evaluate the performance of our products, and we further analyzed and compared the spatiotemporal characteristics of the derived products with the benchmarking Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System Synoptic (CERES) data. We found both the hourly and daily products to be consistent with ground-based observations (e.g., hourly and daily total SWs have low biases of -3.96 and -0.71 W m -2 and root-mean-square errors (RMSEs) of 103.50 and 35.40 W m -2 , respectively). The developed products capture the complex spatiotemporal patterns well and accurately track substantial diurnal, monthly, and seasonal variations in SW–PAR when compared to CERES data. They provide a reliable and valuable alternative for solar photovoltaic applications worldwide and can be used to improve our understanding of the diurnal and seasonal variabilities of the terrestrial water, carbon and energy fluxes at various spatial scales.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS1965

Nasa's new electronics research center.

NASA space Electronics Research Center noting objectives in guidance, control, communications, instrumentation, data processing and system reliability

NASA PROGRAM↗