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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Storage Futures Study: Key Learnings for the Coming Decades

This report is the final in NREL's Storage Futures Study, a multiyear research project that explored the role and impact of energy storage in the evolution and operation of the U.S. power sector. The SFS examined the potential impact of energy storage technology advancement on the deployment of utility-scale storage and the adoption of distributed storage, and the implications for future power system infrastructure investment and operations. The research findings and supporting data were published across a series of six reports, culminating in this final, seventh publication that draws upon findings from across the study, previous work, and additional analysis to identify eight key learnings about the future of energy storage and its impact on the power system. The key learnings can help policymakers, technology developers, and grid operators prepare for the coming way of energy storage deployment.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2026

A variational framework for residual-based adaptivity in neural PDE solvers and operator learning

Residual-based adaptive strategies are widely used in scientific machine learning yet remain largely heuristic. We introduce a variational framework that formalizes these methods through convex transformations of the residual, where different transformations correspond to distinct objective functionals. For instance, exponential weights target uniform error minimization, while linear weights recover quadratic error minimization. This perspective reveals adaptive weighting as a means of selecting sampling distributions that optimize a primal objective, directly linking discretization choices to error metrics. This principled approach yields three key benefits: it enables systematic design of adaptive schemes, reduces discretization error by lowering estimator variance, and enhances learning dynamics by improving gradient signal-to-noise ratio. Extending the framework to operator learning, we demonstrate substantial performance gains across diverse optimizers and architectures. Our results provide a theoretical perspective for residual-based adaptivity and establish a foundation for principled discretization and training.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Reinforcement Learning‐Based Adaptation of Grid Following Inverter's Internal Controller to Networked Microgrids' Strengths

The varying topological configurations, generator commitments and dispatches, and dynamic load demand lead to changing system's strengths during the operations of networked microgrids. When the system's strengths significantly change, the fixed control gains at large devices may result in unsatisfactory system performance; this necessitates the tuning of the control gains at large devices to adapt to the changing system's strengths. In this paper, observer-based reinforcement learning (RL) is utilised to automatically tune the proportional-integral (PI) gains of phase lock loop (PLL) controller of grid-following (GFL) inverters to adapt to the changing strengths of microgrids and networked microgrids. The RL agent in this framework augments an observer predicting system's strengths, from which the RL control policy will adjust accordingly to tune the PLL controller's gains towards the system's strengths. Also, to enhance the control performance, the recently introduced Barrier function-based RL framework is leveraged for the design of reward function to prevent the high frequency nadir. An operational 26 kV electric distribution system, which is modelled as networked microgrids, is used to illustrate the need and effectiveness of the proposed RL-tuned control.

frequency response↗
DOE OSTI2026

Introduction to and comparison of deep learning and optimization approaches to analytical wake modeling of a tilted wind turbine

This paper introduces innovative optimization and deep learning techniques to enhance the prediction of complex wake dynamics in the downstream wind velocity of tilted wind turbines. Traditional methods for calibrating the Bastankhah wake model often lead to increased errors in wind velocity distribution due to overfitting of the local wake characteristics. To address this issue, we propose an additional global optimization step to reduce errors in wind velocity predictions with respect to various wake parameters. Despite this improvement, the Bastankhah model's axisymmetric Gaussian wake shape limits its accuracy for complex wake structures. Therefore, we also propose a deep learning approach, which demonstrates promising results by accurately modeling complex wake shapes across a broader range of tilt angles with minimal computational cost. The deep learning approach achieves near-identical predictions to high-fidelity large-eddy simulations, representing a promising advancement in wake modeling.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2018

Data Driven Temperature Control of Heat Exchangers

The following poster presents a couple of approaches for temperature control at heat exchanger’s exit. One of the approaches is based on using n-step ahead neural network while the other approach utilizes a combination of control + learning module for temperature control. Designing robust controllers for typical heat exchangers is very challenging primarily because of complexities associated with the synthesis of dynamics of industrial heat exchangers. Even if a dynamics model is synthesized, the accuracy of it would be called into question as there can be lot of unmodeled system dynamics and random noise in input parameters. In many situations, the degree of uncertainty in the model of system being controlled limits the utility of optimal control design. Controller can be manually tuned on the field but it is very difficult to determine manual adjustments that result in overall improvement. These practical challenges call for learning based approaches for temperature control that would result in optimal heat exchanger performance. We utilize the existing mathematical model for air-water system synthesized by Underwood and Crawford for testing our algorithms. Underwood and Crawford developed a model of heating coil by fitting a second-order non-linear equations to measurements of air and water temperature and flow rates obtained from the actual coil. The uncertainties in the model include air and water inlet temperatures and air-flow rate. These uncertainties are modeled as random variables that are sampled from a uniform distribution. The control variable is the water flow rate which is controlled for regulating the air-outlet temperature. Neural networks are frequently used in various literatures for learning time-series. We propose a modified version of neural networks known as n-step ahead neural network that take the state variables and output at time t as input to successfully predict output at time t+n. The variable n is a hyper-parameter which can be optimized based on performance constraints. The n-step ahead neural network was then trained on training data generated from experimental model to high training accuracies. This trained model performed appreciably in its objective to regulate outlet temperature of a heat exchanger. The second approach uses a combination of control and learning module for temperature regulation. The control module used is a proportional controller while the learning module used is steady state neural network. The steady state neural network is used to learn the controller output as a function of random variables and temperature set-point. The proportional controller is then used to compensate for transient behavior of linearized system around various operating points. The algorithm works effectively for temperature regulation as neural network captures the non-linear input-output behavior of closed loop system leaving proportional controller to compensate for steady state errors of a linearized plant. The proposed algorithm’s performances were evaluated against the performance of a PI controller. Further, the robustness of the algorithms were also studied in great detail under small perturbations around tuned parameters of the proposed algorithms.

Sundar, Sreenath↗
DOE OSTI2024

Reconstruction of the 4D beam matrix

The widely used transverse parameters characterizing particle beams are the Twiss parameters. These parameters can be measured experimentally but they do not fully characterize the beam since they do not account for possible correlations in particle distribution between two transverse coordinates. These correlations may occur due to uncompensated magnetic field at the cathode or misalignment of focusing quadrupoles in the transport beamline. We test a novel diagnostic for diagnosing full 4D beam matrix which may be used to identify such imperfections. The diagnostic is based on transporting the beam through the beamline which includes a quadrupole and a skew quadrupole magnets and measuring the resulting 2D beam distribution at the screen downstream. Such a measurement can be viewed as measuring a 2D projection of the 4D distribution. Different settings of the quads provide measurements of different slices of the phase space. The reconstruction of the original beam matrix from a number of measurements is done using machine learning algorithm, which provides a fast and reliable way of reconstruction for an arbitrary configuration of the scanning beamline. In August 2024, we set up the diagnostic beamline to perform a quadrupole scan of the beam. The setup includes a skew quadrupole, a regular quadrupole, and a screen. The images on the screen were post-processed to remove experimental artifacts and enhance contrast by eliminating background noise outside the core of the distribution=. The rms parameters of the distribution were then calculated and used as inputs for the reconstruction algorithm. This algorithm attempts to determine the initial beam matrix that produces expected images on the screen closely matching the observed images across all quadrupole settings. The algorithm found a solution in which the expected rms parameters closely align with the observations. Validation of the results is planned for FY25.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Augmenting machine learning of energy landscapes with local structural information

We present a machine learning approach for accurately predicting formation energies of binary compounds in the context of crystal structure predictions. The success of any machine learning model depends significantly on the choice of representation used to encode the relevant physical information into machine-learnable data. We test different representation schemes based on partial radial and angular distribution functions (RDF+ADF) on Al–Ni and Cd–Te structures generated using our genetic algorithm for structure prediction. We observe a remarkable improvement in predictive accuracy upon transitioning from global to atom-centered representations, resulting in a threefold decrease in prediction errors. We show that a support vector regression model using a combination of atomic radial and angular distribution functions performs best at the formation energy prediction task, providing small root mean squared errors of 3.9 meV/atom and 10.9 meV/atom for Al–Ni and Cd–Te, respectively. We test the performance of our models against common traditional descriptors and find that RDF- and ADF-based representations significantly outperform many of those in the prediction of formation energies. The high accuracy of predictions makes our machine learning models great candidates for the exploration of energy landscapes.

Honrao, Shreyas J. (ORCID:0000000166155257)↗
DOE OSTI2021

OPFLearnData: Dataset for Learning AC Optimal Power Flow

The datasets are resulting from OPFLearn.jl, a Julia package for creating AC OPF datasets. The package was developed to provide researchers with a standardized way to efficiently create AC OPF datasets that are representative of more of the AC OPF feasible load space compared to typical dataset creation methods. The OPFLearn dataset creation method uses a relaxed AC OPF formulation to reduce the volume of the unclassified input space throughout the dataset creation process. The dataset contains load profiles and their respective optimal primal and dual solutions. Load samples are processed using AC OPF formulations from PowerModels.jl. More information on the dataset creation method can be found in our publication, "OPF-Learn: An Open-Source Framework for Creating Representative AC Optimal Power Flow Datasets" and in the package website: https://github.com/NREL/OPFLearn.jl.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2024

Multi-Edge Graph Convolutional Networks for Power Systems

The exponential electrification of transportation has contributed to highly intermittent load variations in the distribution grid. This uncertainty has raised challenges for distribution system operation and control. Accurate nodal voltage estimation is highly essential for the safe and reliable operation of the grid. Graph convolutional networks have been used in machine-learning-based models for power grid applications like voltage estimation for their ability to capture the network topology of the grid. This paper presents a novel multi-edge graph convolutional layer that considers resistance and reactance as edge attributes. This layer is created by modifying the message-passing function within the graph convolutional network. The novel layer is then used to create a multi-edge graph convolutional network-based surrogate model for estimating voltage in the distribution network with highly uncertain electric vehicle loads. Results indicate improved performance of the multi-edge graph convolutional network model when compared to a standard graph convolutional network model.

Ravi, Abhijith↗
DOE OSTI2026

Spatiotemporal Learning in Power Modules: Wavelet-Enhanced Forecasting of Thermomechanical Degradation

Detecting internal defects in power electronics packages is critical for their performance and reliability, especially under extreme operating conditions, as these defects can lead to catastrophic failure if not properly addressed. Confocal scanning acoustic microscopy (C-SAM) plays a key role in the nondestructive evaluation of bond layer degradation within a power electronics package by detecting defects such as delamination, voids, and cracks. However, accurately quantifying and predicting these defects from C-SAM images remains a significant challenge due to the low noise-to-signal ratio, which typically arises from both imaging process and bond patterns itself. In this paper, we explore machine learning strategies for processing C-SAM images and providing predictive models of defect growth. We use C-SAM images of sintered copper and sintered silver samples, which are obtained under accelerated thermal experiments, as the representative dataset for our study. We investigate the effect of Fourier transforms and wavelet transforms on these datasets to remove high-frequency noise and address noise across multiple scales with histogram equalization to enhance the contrast and improve the visibility of defects. As a result, defect boundaries can be clearly distinguished, enabling more accurate tracking of their growth over time. We then employ different time-series forecasting algorithms on the denoised images to formulate an image-based lifetime prediction model. Statistical models and deep-learning techniques are trained on images obtained in the early stages of thermal shock, and defect growth in the later stages is predicted. Our work serves as a preliminary attempt to improve the accuracy of lifetime prediction models of power electronics packages, which is critical under extreme operating environments.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2024

Characterization of Fuel Cladding Chemical Interaction on a High Burnup U-10Zr Metallic Fuel via Electron Energy Loss Spectroscopy Enhanced by Machine Learning

Fuel cladding chemical interaction (FCCI) is one of the main performance limiting factors for metallic nuclear fuels. The interaction destabilizes the martensitic microstructure and deteriorates mechanical properties of HT-9 cladding. The detection of low atomic number elements (Z<10) and overlapping of elemental peaks can be problematic in interpreting energy dispersive X-ray spectroscopy (EDS) data. Electron energy loss spectroscopy (EELS) provides precise elemental edge energy values and can detect elements with a low atomic number. This work utilizes EELS to study the distribution of lanthanides and light elements at the interaction region. The sample was prepared from the FCCI region of a U-10Zr (wt.%) solid fuel with HT-9 cladding, irradiated to a burnup of 13.2 at.%. Processing the EELS data included three major steps: 1) enhance the signal to noise ratio by denoising the spectrum with principal component analysis (PCA) method, removing background and performing deconvolution; 2) identify chemical elements with core energy loss edges; 3) confirm different phases using a popular machine learning method, K-means. This work presents qualitative assessment of lanthanides and light elements like carbon (C) and oxygen (O) enhanced by the application of machine learning algorithms. By comparing with EDS elemental maps, EELS provides higher resolution chemical maps, reveals the distribution of carbon at the interaction region supporting the formation of zirconium carbide, a rind-like microstructure feature that was proposed to mitigate the chemical interaction. Furthermore, the plasmon peak map was also found to indicate an energy shift associated with the formation of phases/compounds. K-means clustering method was used on the processed electron energy loss (EEL) spectrum to automatically reveal different phases. The resulting clustered maps from K-means clustering align well with elemental maps confirming certain phases, especially Fe-Ce and Zr-C, in the FCCI region.

EELS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Assurance by Design for Cyber Physical Data-Driven Systems

Currently, Cyber Physical Data-Driven Systems (CPDDS) employ machine learning for the classification, data fusion, and control of our nation’s infrastructure, such as the power grid, transportation networks (e.g., fuel distribution, air traffic control), and DoD long-duration collaborative autonomous platforms including unmanned underwater, ground, surface, space, and aerial systems. Many CPDDSs are system-of-systems that should be designed to communicate over disadvantaged networks. It is important to assure that the CPDDSs are resilient against physical and cyber threats by design. Additionally, their design should tolerate misclassification errors resulting from natural and/or adversarial distribution shifts within their data driven components. The all-domain nature of the problem of assuring the design of CPDDSs requires a multi-disciplinary perspective as outlined in this chapter.

Chikkagoudar, Satish↗
DOE OSTI2015

BI-sparsity pursuit for robust subspace recovery

Here, the success of sparse models in computer vision and machine learning in many real-world applications, may be attributed in large part, to the fact that many high dimensional data are distributed in a union of low dimensional subspaces. The underlying structure may, however, be adversely affected by sparse errors, thus inducing additional complexity in recovering it. In this paper, we propose a bi-sparse model as a framework to investigate and analyze this problem, and provide as a result , a novel algorithm to recover the union of subspaces in presence of sparse corruptions. We additionally demonstrate the effectiveness of our method by experiments on real-world vision data.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2023

ML-Based Power System Stability Assessment Considering Network Topology Changes: WECC 20,000+ Bus System Case Study

Modern power grids are fast-changing and thus require real-time monitoring and online stability assessment. With the rapid development of machine learning (ML) techniques, using data-driven models to provide fast and accurate estimations of power system stability marginal information, such as frequency nadir for frequency stability and critical clearing time (CCT) for transient stability, have become possible. However, despite the numerous research on ML-based methods for frequency nadir and CCT prediction, there is limited work on the impact of different network topology changes. Furthermore, most previous studies only focused on small or synthetic systems, and there is a lack of research on actual large power system models. In this paper, the above issues are addressed by studying the actual U.S. Western Electricity Coordinating Council (WECC) system model with more than 20,000 buses. Massive simulations are conducted in PowerWorld Simulator to study the impact of various topology change scenarios on both frequency stability and transient stability. System operating information is extracted from the success dispatch cases of various network topologies to generate a comprehensive dataset for ML-based models. Two ML methods, random forest (RF) and multilayer perceptron (MLP) neural network, are trained and tested for both frequency nadir prediction and CCT prediction. Test results have proven the models are capable of online stability assessment for large power networks such as the WECC system with sufficient accuracy.

critical clearing time↗
DOE OSTI2018

System Advisor Model (SAM) General Description (Version 2017.9.5)

This document describes the capabilities of the System Advisor Model (SAM) developed and distributed by the U.S. Department of Energy's National Renewable Energy Laboratory. The document is for potential users and others wanting to learn about the model's capabilities. SAM is a techno-economic computer model that calculates performance and financial metrics of renewable energy projects. Project developers, policy makers, equipment manufacturers, and researchers use graphs and tables of SAM results in the process of evaluating financial, technology, and incentive options for renewable energy projects. SAM simulates the performance of photovoltaic, concentrating solar power, solar water heating, wind, geothermal, biomass, and conventional power systems. The financial models are for projects that either buy and sell electricity at retail rates (residential and commercial) or sell electricity at a price determined in a power purchase agreement (PPA). SAM's simulation tools facilitate parametric and sensitivity analyses, Monte Carlo simulation and weather variability (P50/P90) studies. SAM can also read input variables from Microsoft Excel worksheets. For software developers, the SAM software development kit (SDK) makes it possible to use SAM simulation modules in their applications written in C/C plus plus, C sharp, Java, Python, MATLAB, and other languages. NREL provides both SAM and the SDK as free downloads at https://sam.nrel.gov. SAM is an open source project, so its source code is available to the public. Researchers can study the code to understand the model algorithms, and software programmers can contribute their own models and enhancements to the project. Technical support and more information about the software are available on the website.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2026

Convex Optimization with Smart Grid Examples

In this talk, we give an overview of the field of convex optimization and work through four canonical problems that relate to electrical power systems and smart grids. The purpose of these examples is to demonstrate the breadth of applications of convex optimization in energy research and to show that toy versions of these problems can be solved in just a few lines of code, indicating the scale and complexity of problems that can be tackled with a more detailed treatment. We emphasize the cvxpy modeling language as a foundational technology that enables rapid development and prototyping of convex optimization problems, allowing researchers to focus on model development rather than get caught in the weeds of numerical and code implementation.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗