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At least 1,315 records · Page 73

Predictability of upper-atmospheric density and composition

Empirical models of upper-atmospheric density and composition are employed in a number of areas, ranging from basic research in atmospheric and ionospheric physics to practical applications in satellite ephemeris prediction. Such models are based on various kinds of data sets and have varying levels of complexity, strengths, and weaknesses. The characteristics of several of the widely used models are described and studies in which the predictions of these models were compared with observational data are reviewed. The relative advantages and limitations of the models in current use are discussed as well as ways in which the models might be improved.

Straus, J. M.↗

Ionic composition of the earth's radiation belts

Several different ion species have been positively identified in the earth's radiation belts. Besides protons, there are substantial fluxes of helium, carbon and oxygen ions, and there are measurable quantities of even heavier ions. European, American and Soviet space experimenters have reported ion composition measurements over wide ranges of energies: at tens of keV (ring-current energies) and below, and at hundreds of keV and above. There is still a gap in the energy coverage from several tens to several hundreds of keV where little observational data are available. In this review emphasis is placed on the radiation belt ionic structure above 100 keV. Both quiet time conditions and geomagnetic storm periods are considered, and comparison of the available space observations is made with theoretical analysis of geomagnetically trapped ion spatial, energy and charge state distributions.

Spjeldvik, W. N.↗

Methane, carbon monoxide and methylchloroform in the Southern Hemisphere

New observational data on CH4, CO and CH3CCl3 in the Southern Hemisphere are reported. The data are analyzed for long term trends and seasonal cycles. CH3CCl3 data are used to scale the OH fields incorporated in a two-dimensional model, which in turn, is used to constrain the magnitude of a global CH4 source function. The possible causes of observed seasonality of CH3CCl3, CH4 and CO are identified, and several other aspects of observed CH4 variability are discussed. Possible future research directions are also given.

Fraser, P. J.↗

A simple model for DSS-14 outage times

A model is proposed to describe DSS-14 outage times. Discrepancy Reporting System outage data for the period from January 1986 through September 1988 are used to estimate the parameters of the model. The model provides a probability distribution for the duration of outages, which agrees well with observed data. The model depends only on a small number of parameters, and has some heuristic justification. This shows that the Discrepancy Reporting System in the Deep Space Network (DSN) can be used to estimate the probability of extended outages in spite of the discrepancy reports ending when the pass ends. The probability of an outage extending beyond the end of a pass is estimated as around 5 percent.

Rumsey, H. C.↗

On the auroral current-voltage relationship

The auroral relationship between the upward parallel current and the parallel potential drop is predicted using Knight's (1973) collisionless-plasma kinetic theory, and the results are compared with near-simultaneously carried out measurements by DE 1 and DE 2. The agreement between the calculated and observed data is generally good. However, the Knight current, since it does not include upward ionospheric electrons, is not valid in the downward return current region. It was found that suprathermal electron bursts could be observed in the diffuse aurora at the same invariant latitudes, both at high and at low altitudes, suggesting that these bursts are a spatial rather than temporal phenomenon.

Lu, G.↗

Atlas of quasar energy distributions

We present an atlas of the spectral energy distributions (SEDs) of normal, nonblazar, quasars over the whole available range (radio to 10 keV X-rays) of the electromagnetic spectrum. The primary (UVSX) sample includes 47 quasars for which the spectral energy distributions include X-ray spectral indices and UV data. Of these, 29 are radio quiet, and 18 are radio loud. The SEDs are presented both in figures and in tabular form, with additional tabular material published on CD-ROM. Previously unpublished observational data for a second set of quasars excluded from the primary sample are also tabulated. The effects of host galaxy starlight contamination and foreground extinction on the UVSX sample are considered and the sample is used to investigate the range of SED properties. Of course, the properties we derive are influenced strongly by the selection effects induced by quasar discovery techniques. We derive the mean energy distribution (MED) for radio-loud and radio-quiet objects and present the bolometric corrections derived from it. We note, however, that the dispersion about this mean is large (approximately one decade for both the infrared and ultraviolet components when the MED is normalized at the near-infrared inflection). At least part of the dispersion in the ultraviolet may be due to time variability, but this is unlikely to be important in the infrared. The existence of such a large dispersion indicates that the MED reflects only some of the properties of quasars and so should be used only with caution.

Elvis, Martin↗

A Comparison of Theory and Observation of the Echo I Satellite

Observations of the Echo I balloon satellite have been compared with a theory including the following perturbing effects: (1) solar radiation pressure; (2) lunar and solar gravitation; (3) second, third, and fourth harmonics of the earth's gravitational potential; and (4) atmospheric drag. With a set of orbital elements at the 26th day of the lifetime of the satellite, it was possible to match the observational data to 180 days with root mean square residuals as follows: Delta-a = 17.9 km, Delta-e = 0.0021, Delta-i = 0.0177 deg., Delta-omega = 1.1231 deg., Delta-Omega = 0.4821 deg., Delta-perigee height = 7.50 km. No differential correction has been applied as yet. Values of atmospheric density between 1500 and 930 km, assuming neutral drag effects only, have been inferred from the orbital data. The connection between solar activity and drag is also examined. As the Echo I perigee height continues to oscillate between 900 and 1500 km, more valuable orbital data will be obtained and atmospheric properties will be deduced. Further refinements in the mathematical model, especially in a time-dependent model atmosphere, should bring a substantial reduction in the residuals of the observations.

Bryant, R. W.↗

Waves in Radial Gravity Using Magnetic Fluid

Terrestrial laboratory experiments studying various fluid dynamical processes are constrained, by being in an Earth laboratory, to have a gravitational body force which is uniform and unidirectional. Therefore fluid free-surfaces are horizontal and flat. Such free surfaces must have a vertical solid boundary to keep the fluid from spreading horizontally along a gravitational potential surface. In atmospheric, oceanic, or stellar fluid flows that have a horizontal scale of about one-tenth the body radius or larger, sphericity is important in the dynamics. Further, fluids in spherical geometry can cover an entire domain without any sidewall effects, i.e. have truly periodic boundary conditions. We describe spherical body-force laboratory experiments using ferrofluid. Ferrofluids are dilute suspensions of magnetic dipoles, for example magnetite particles of order 10 nm diameter, suspended in a carrier fluid. Ferrofluids are subject to an additional body force in the presence of an applied magnetic field gradient. We use this body force to conduct laboratory experiments in spherical geometry. The present study is a laboratory technique improvement. The apparatus is cylindrically axisymmetric. A cylindrical ceramic magnet is embedded in a smooth, solid, spherical PVC ball. The geopotential field and its gradient, the body force, were made nearly spherical by careful choice of magnet height-to-diameter ratio and magnet size relative to the PVC ball size. Terrestrial gravity is eliminated from the dynamics by immersing the "planet" and its ferrofluid "ocean" in an immiscible silicone oil/freon mixture of the same density. Thus the earth gravity is removed from the dynamics of the ferrofluid/oil interface and the only dynamically active force there is the radial magnetic gravity. The entire apparatus can rotate, and waves are forced on the ferrofluid surface by exterior magnets. The biggest improvement in technique is in the wave visualization. Fluorescing dye is added to the oil/freon mixture and an argon ion laser generates a horizontal light that can be scanned vertically. Viewed from above, the experiment is a black circle with wave deformations surrounded by a light background. A contour of the image intensity at any light sheet position gives the surface of the ferrofluid "ocean" at that "latitude". Radial displacements of the waves as a function of longitude are obtained by subtracting the contour line positions from a no-motion contour at that laser sheet latitude. The experiments are run by traversing the forcing magnet with the laser sheet height fixed and images are frame grabbed to obtain a time-series at one latitude. The experiment is then re-run with another laser-sheet height to generate a full picture of the three-dimensional wave structure in the upper hemisphere of the ball as a function of time. We concentrate here on results of laboratory studies of waves that are important in Earth's atmosphere and especially the ocean. To get oceanic scaling in the laboratory, the experiment must rotate rapidly (4-second rotation period) so that the wave speed is slow compared to the planetary rotation speed as in the ocean. In the Pacific Ocean, eastward propagating Kelvin waves eventually run into the South American coast. Theory predicts that some of the wave energy should scatter into coastal-trapped Kelvin waves that propagate north and south along the coast. Some of this coastal wave energy might then scatter into mid-latitude Rossby waves that propagate back westward. Satellite observations of the Pacific Ocean sea-surface temperature and height seem to show signatures of westward propagating mid-latitude Rossby waves, 5 to 10 years after the 1982-83 El Nino. The observational data is difficult to interpret unambiguously owing to the large range of motions that fill the ocean at shorter timescales. This series of reflections giving eastward, north- ward, and then westward traveling waves is observed cleanly in the laboratory experiments, confirming the theoretical expectations.

Ohlsen, D. R.↗

Open Science Practices at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center

Open Science is defined as “the principle and practice of making research products and processes available to all, while respecting diverse cultures, maintaining security and privacy, and fostering collaborations, reproducibility, and equity” by Federal Agencies. The CCMC has been practicing open science based on FAIR (Findable, Accessible, Interoperable and Reusable) principle by providing access to the state-of -the art space science and space weather models to users around the world through various simulation services such as Runs-on-Request, Instant Runs, Real time runs on iSWA system. The CCMC also provides a wide range of tools and framework to help users easily utilize modeled data. One of the tools is the official NASA open-sourced software called Kamodo. Kamodo allows users to work with complex space weather models and data with little or no coding experience. Additionally, to support transparent model validation efforts, the CCMC is providing an integrated and flexible framework called CAMEL. CAMEL allows users to seamlessly compare model outputs with observational data sets. Currently, we are working on a user-friendly database of the papers and research that used CCMC services, so that the future users will have open access to previously performed research by other users and its details. In this presentation, we will show the open tools and resources provided by the CCMC. Furthermore, we will share our new efforts to support open data and open science results.

Ja Soon Shim↗

Diurnal Cycles in SST: Coupled Data Assimilation and Future Observational Requirements

Most operational centers are developing coupled (atmosphere-ocean) data assimilation systems as an alternative to uncoupled counterparts (atmosphere- or ocean-only). The Sea Surface Temperature (SST) is one of the key variables that tightly connects the atmosphere and ocean states and also air-sea fluxes. However, current prototype coupled data assimilation systems rely on external (L4) gridded SST or along-track (L3 or L2) SST retrievals as observed data or relaxation field. But in reality, SST are measurements are available from sparse in-situ network of ships, moorings, and buoys; all of them combined together are far less than those from satellites. However, satellites do not directly measure temperature, and inferring SST from satellite measured radiances requires a radiative transfer model, its calibration and also bias correction.The NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) is developing a coupled data assimilation system which assimilates SST directly from the raw observations, i.e., satellite radiances and in-situ observations. The methodology to directly assimilate radiances for SST became operational in Jan, 2017 in the GMAO's near-real time Weather Analysis and Prediction System. There were many modifications to the GMAO system in order to implement SST assimilation, most of which generally improved the predictability of the system. In order to maintain and further improve this system, we advocate for the availability of a microwave satellite radiometer in future beyond the currently operational GPM- GMI and AMSR-2 missions. For improved modeling of the near-surface temperature, salinity and mixing processes, we suggest adding more than one temperature sensor and salinity sensors to the drifting buoy network.

Akella, Santha↗

The Effects of Assumed Source Depth and Shear-Wave Velocity on Moment Tensors Estimated for Small, Contained Chemical Explosions in Granite

ABSTRACT The Source Phenomenology Experiment (SPE-Arizona) included of a series of chemical explosions detonated within a copper mine in Arizona. This study focuses on ground motions from detonations in the copper mine, which are analyzed to assess the uniqueness of the resulting source representation when the source region propagation characteristics have a range of possible models. P-wave velocities are well constrained by refraction data with less constraint of the S-wave velocities. The effects of explosion source depth and VS are assessed with Green’s functions for a range of models in which VP is held constant. Propagation models with a Poisson’s value of 0.25 and a source depth 30–60 m most accurately replicate the data. The explosion was detonated at a centroid depth of 30 m, so trade-offs in depth are demonstrated. The compensated linear vector dipole and explosion components of the Green’s functions convolved with a Mueller–Murphy source function are compared. Both produce significant energy in the 2–12 Hz band, due to surface-wave contributions with no clear depth dependencies above 20 Hz. The range of propagation models is used with the observational data to invert for the frequency-domain moment tensor. Fits to the data from these inversions have cross-correlation values of 0.64, demonstrating effectiveness in replicating the observations with the assumed propagation path effects and resulting source function. Inversions produce horizontal dipoles (Mxx and Myy), roughly half the maximum amplitude of Mzz, consistent with a compensated linear vector dipole source, which is frequency dependent. Denny and Johnson, Mueller–Murphy, Walter and Ford, and the revised Mueller–Murphy source models, parameterized for granite, are compared to the moment tensors. Despite a nonisotropic moment tensor source, the revised Mueller–Murphy isotropic source model best replicates the long-period moments, overshoot, and corner frequency.

Geochemistry & Geophysics↗

Hydraulic Modeling of Induced and Propagated Fractures: Analysis of Flow and Pressure Data From Hydromechanical Experiments in the COSC-1 Deep Borehole in Crystalline Rock Near Åre, Sweden

To characterize the coupled hydromechanical behavior of rock fractures, the step-rate injection method for fracture in-situ properties (SIMFIP) was conducted with a specialized downhole probe developed by Guglielmi et.al. In June 2019, a field campaign was carried out near Åre, Sweden, where the SIMFIP probe was applied in the Collisional Orogeny in the Scandinavian Caledonides-1 scientific borehole to understand the dynamics of injection-induced fracture initiation, fracture opening, and shearing due to water injection-withdrawal in a borehole interval isolated by two packers. Three intervals were investigated at ~500 m depth: (a) an unfractured section (intact rock), (b) a section with non-conductive fractures, and (c) a section with hydraulically conductive fractures. Pressure, injection flow rate, and borehole wall displacement were simultaneously measured during the tests. In the present study, the geometry of the induced fracture and deformation of existing fractures at different time stages of the tests are determined based on a hydrologic model by using the measured pressure and flow data during each time stage of the experiment. A numerical model for the fluid flow within the fracture and the packed-off borehole interval is implemented within COMSOL Multiphysics. By matching model simulations with observed data for all three sections, estimates of the induced and propagated fractures' radius and aperture at successive time stages have been obtained in each case. We could also determine the non-linear relationship between fracture aperture and pressure for values above fracture opening pressures. The model results provide insights for the understanding of pressure-induced fracture initiation and propagation in crystalline rock.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Forest Soil Carbon Efflux Evaluation Across China: A New Estimate With Machine Learning

Forest soil respiration (Rs) plays an important role in the carbon balance of terrestrial ecosystems. China's forest occupies a large part of the world's forest. However, due to the lack of integrated observation data and appropriate upscaling methodologies, substantial uncertainties exist in the Rs evaluation, which limits our understanding of the carbon balance. Here, we re-evaluated the total soil carbon effluxes across China by combining field observations from 634 published annual Rs with a machine learning technique (i.e., Random Forest (RF)). Our results revealed that the combination of systematic measurements with the RF model allowed a definite estimate. The average annual Rs was 773.6 g C m -2 yr -1 , ranging from 404.6 to 1,772.3 g C m -2 yr -1 . Total forest soil carbon effluxes amounted to 1.17 Pg C yr -1 in China. Geographically, annual Rs showed a clear spatially increasing trend from northeast to southwest. Forest type is an important factor in determining the soil respiration rate. Bamboo and Evergreen broadleaf forests were higher than other types of forests. In conclusion, these results provide a unique insight into the magnitudes and mechanisms of soil CO 2 emissions in China's forest ecosystems.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Validation of Computational Fluid Dynamics Simulations for Biological Performance Assessment in Hydropower units (Final Report)

The biological performance assessment (BioPA) toolset developed by Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) estimates the relative biological performance of fish passage at a hydroelectric power turbine unit. The tool is based on the use of computational fluid dynamics (CFD) and fish biological response relationships. The recent release, BioPA-v3, is based on directly computed trajectory and collision of material Lagrangian particles using CFD simulation codes rather than the prior version that relies on Tecplot to compute streamtrace trajectories. Before modifying the toolset, a series of validation tests were performed at the various steps of modification in the toolset. Validation is a critical step of any numerical investigation that reflects the accuracy and reliability of the predicted results. It raises the confidence level of the user to use the modified version of the BioPA toolset. Several test cases were simulated and compared, where available, to observed data. The trajectory and collision of the small spherical and cylindrical particles in a water flume were compared to in-house experiments. The CFD predicted collision rate and flow field compared well with experimental observation for vane array and large cylinder as target bodies. Next, the CFD-predicted flow field and hydraulic performance of a laboratory-scale model of a Francis turbine was also successfully validated. Note that the trajectory of the particles is significantly affected by the flow field in such extreme conditions. In addition to the particle trajectories and flow field, the collision detection method employed in the CFD simulations was also successfully validated. The CFD predicted impact velocity, collision time, velocity, and trajectory of a sphere excellently matched with analytical value for a bouncing ball in the elastic collision. A similar approach was also tested and successfully validated for a collision of sphere with a 45° inclined plane. After successfully validating different cases, the BioPA toolset was modified to use direct output of the CFD prediction and the new version can be used in evaluating biological performance at hydroelectric turbines.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Magnetospheric plasma waves

Space measurements have provided a wealth of data on wave phenomena, plasma parameters, and energetic particle characteristics within the earth's magnetosphere. In the present paper, the generation, propagation, and interaction of plasma waves are discussed, along with the interpretation of the observations. Data on plasma waves from other planetary magnetospheres and cosmic plasma systems are examined and interpreted by analogy to the earth's magnetosphere. Areas requiring continued plasma wave research are indicated.

Shawhan, S. D.↗

Dark matter in the galactic disk

Observational data on the distributions of tracer stars, F dwarfs and K giants were used as input to obtain self-consistent solutions for the Poisson and Vlasov equations to set bounds on the amount of missing matter in the solar neighborhood. The numerical computations were carried out using Galaxy models which feature multiple disk components and an unseen massive halo. The star data included the mass components and velocity dispersions. Consideration of various possible distributions of the unseen matter leads to the conjecture that half of the disk material in the solar neighborhood has yet to be observed. Techniques for determining if brown dwarfs are a significant component of the missing mass are discussed, as are improved models which would use limited numbers of tracer stars to set further constraints on the amount and distribution of the missing mass.

Bahcall, John N.↗

The particulate environment surrounding the space station: Estimates from the PACS data

The objectives of the Particle Analysis Cameras for Shuttle (PACS) experiment (flown on STS-61C) are described and the experiment results are discussed in reference to the expected Space Station environment. Estimates of the sources of particulates surrounding the Space Station were made based on the existing orbital observations data base. Particulates surrounding the shuttle are mostly event related or from the residual release of mass (dust) brought to orbit from the ground. The particulates surrounding the Space Station are likely to arise from additional sources such as operations, docking, erosion, and abrasion. Thus, scaling of the existing data base to long-duration missions in low-Earth orbit requires analysis, modeling, and simulation testing.

Green, Byron David↗

Iron ionization and recombination rates and ionization equilibrium

In the past few years important progress has been made on the knowledge of ionization and recombination rates of iron, an astrophysically abundant heavy element and a major impurity in laboratory fusion devices. We make a critical review of the existing data on ionization and dielectronic recombination and present new computations of radiative recombination rate coefficients of Fe(+14) through Fe(+25) using the photoionization cross sections of Clark et al. (1986). We provide analytical fits to the recommended data (direct ionization and excitation-autoionization cross sections; radiative and dielectronic recombination rate coefficients). Finally we determine the iron ionic fractions at ionization equilibrium and compare them with previous computations as well as with observational data.

Arnaud, M.↗