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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,333 records · Page 74

Jamaica Urban Transit Company Drive-Cycle Analysis

NREL partnered with the Jamaica Urban Transit Company (JUTC) to investigate the suitability of implementing battery electric buses (BEB) on JUTC bus routes in the Kingston vicinity. In December 2017 NREL captured drive cycle data of select buses to define the utilization patterns of existing buses and to estimate which routes could be best suited for electrification based on (1) the ability of available BEB options to cover the route distance while allowing sufficient time to recharge, and (2) the route drive cycle statistics that would allow for the greatest energy efficiency gains from switching from a diesel bus to a BEB.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Light-Duty Fuel Cell Electric Vehicle Validation Data (Final Report)

Since 2005, Mercedes-Benz Research & Development North America (MBRDNA) participated in the DOE’s Technology Validation Programs to help accelerate the market introduction of fuel cell vehicles. Under the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) contract DE-EE0005971, which ran from 2013 - 2019, MBRDNA collaborated with the DOE to evaluate overall vehicle degradation effects of fuel cell vehicles, as well as evaluate the generational improvements from one vehicle generation to another. The goal was to achieve a mileage target of 10,000-12,000 miles per vehicle per year and 750 to 1,000 operating hour accumulation per fuel cell stack. The MBRDNA Project Team (Project Team) leased a total of 69 fuel cell vehicles to regular Mercedes-Benz customers through select dealerships in Northern and Southern California. Of these 69 vehicles, a minimum of 20 active vehicles were chosen to participate in this project based on customer driving habits, average daily miles, and geographic conditions. These vehicles were equipped with a data acquisition system that automatically collected statistically relevant data for submission to the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, which monitors the progress of fuel cell vehicle technology for the DOE. As customer operation of GEN II vehicles ended in Q4 2017, a decision was made to focus GEN III vehicle operation in Europe and Japan only, and not to deploy the vehicle in the United States. Despite the intention to include three GEN III vehicles in durability runs in Southern California for purposes of data collection for this project, the plan could not be realized given the decision not to deploy GEN III vehicles in the U.S. market at this time. In total, over 1.3 million miles and 60,000 operational hours of fuel cell system and powertrain operation were submitted to DOE under this project. The data provided revealed insights into real-world customer operation and system durability of fuel cell vehicles, enabling the DOE to observe the technology maturity and readiness of fuel cell vehicles outside of the controlled corporate research and development environment. Mercedes-Benz Research and Development North America (MBRDNA) has been promoting fuel cell technology in the U.S. since 2000. Over this time, it has been a pleasure to work in conjunction with the Department of Energy (DOE) on two separate projects surrounding fuel cell vehicle and market readiness. MBRDNA looks forward to future opportunities to collaborate in the interest of helping to further a sustainable transportation future.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Microbiological testing of Skylab foods.

Review of some of the unique food microbiology problems and problem-generating circumstances the Skylab manned space flight program involves. The situations these problems arise from include: extended storage times, variations in storage temperatures, no opportunity to resupply or change foods after launch of the Skylab Workshop, first use of frozen foods in space, first use of a food-warming device in weightlessness, relatively small size of production lots requiring statistically valid sampling plans, and use of food as an accurately controlled part in a set of sophisticated life science experiments. Consideration of all of these situations produced the need for definite microbiological tests and test limits. These tests are described along with the rationale for their selection. Reported test results show good compliance with the test limits.

Heidelbaugh, N. D.↗

Variations of the occurrence rate of discontinuities in the interplanetary magnetic field

A statistical study of magnetic field discontinuities for the interval from February to October 1968 using data from the NASA Goddard Space Flight Center/University of Rome experiment on Pioneer 8 has been conducted. High-resolution data (10-sec averages) have been employed, stringent criteria being utilized to select more than 16,000 events, about 50 per cent being identified as disturbances that are probably tangential discontinuities (TD). Near 1 AU the average occurrence rate of discontinuities is about 3.6/hr, whereas that of tangential-like discontinuities is about 1.6/hr. The rate of occurrence of discontinuities is found to be correlated with the directional change of the field across the discontinuity surface. The normal to the TD discontinuity plane is most often perpendicular to the Archimedean spiral field configuration. A decrease in the rate of occurrence of TD is found with increasing heliocentric distance and/or with decreasing heliocentric latitude. Possible interpretations of the effect are discussed.

Mariani, F.↗

Thrust imbalance of the Space Shuttle solid rocket motors

The Monte Carlo statistical analysis of thrust imbalance is applied to both the Titan IIIC and the Space Shuttle solid rocket motors (SRMs) firing in parallel, and results are compared with those obtained from the Space Shuttle program. The test results are examined in three phases: (1) pairs of SRMs selected from static tests of the four developmental motors (DMs 1 through 4); (2) pairs of SRMs selected from static tests of the three quality assurance motors (QMs 1 through 3); (3) SRMs on the first flight test vehicle (STS-1A and STS-1B). The simplified internal ballistic model utilized for computing thrust from head-end pressure measurements on flight tests is shown to agree closely with measured thrust data. Inaccuracies in thrust imbalance evaluation are explained by possible flight test instrumentation errors.

Foster, W. A., Jr.↗

Mapping sand and gravel pits in the Patuxent River watershed

LANDSAT data from July 1973 and June 1978 for the Patuxent River Watershed of Maryland were processed in an effort to devise an economical method of monitoring the reclamation of sand and gravel pits. ASTEP-II and IDIMS software were utilized to derive signatures for sand and gravel pits and other land use/land cover types. Both unsupervised and supervised classifications of the two data sets were produced. Resultant statistics and color output products were compared in order to determine the extent of reclamation and expansion of sand and gravel pits over the five-year time span and to check the locations of more recent sand and gravel pits. Preliminary results indicate that, for a selected northern sub-acre, signatures derived for sand and gravel pits were nearly 90 percent accurate.

Schmidt, T. J.↗

Utilizing remote sensing of Thematic Mapper data to improve our understanding of estuarine processes and their influence on the productivity of estuarine-dependent fisheries

LANDSAT thematic mapper (TM) data are being used to refine and validate a stochastic spatial computer model to be applied to coastal resource management problems in Louisiana. Two major aspects of the research are: (1) the measurement of area of land (or emergent vegetation) and water and the length of the interface between land and water in TM imagery of selected coastal wetlands (sample marshes); and (2) the comparison of spatial patterns of land and water in the sample marshes of the imagery to that in marshes simulated by a computer model. In addition to activities in these two areas, the potential use of a published autocorrelation statistic is analyzed.

Browder, J. A.↗

Quasars as indicators of galactic ages

Theoretical models of QSO evolution and their use in estimating the ages of galaxies containing QSOs are discussed, with a focus on the problems involved in extrapolating from statistical data on relatively nearby objects (z less than 2) to characterize distant objects. Graphs and histograms are provided, and it is concluded that the sharp decrease in the number of QSOs between z = 2 and z =3, if not the result of obscuration or some other selection effect, makes it probable that the galaxy-formation processes which led to the formation of the QSOs occurred at z greater than 5. In that case, the QSOs would be one of the only observational probes of these processes. Mechanisms which could account for the time delay between galaxy formation and QSO turn-on are considered.

Cavaliere, A.↗

Forecasting disease risk for increased epidemic preparedness in public health

Emerging infectious diseases pose a growing threat to human populations. Many of the world's epidemic diseases (particularly those transmitted by intermediate hosts) are known to be highly sensitive to long-term changes in climate and short-term fluctuations in the weather. The application of environmental data to the study of disease offers the capability to demonstrate vector-environment relationships and potentially forecast the risk of disease outbreaks or epidemics. Accurate disease forecasting models would markedly improve epidemic prevention and control capabilities. This chapter examines the potential for epidemic forecasting and discusses the issues associated with the development of global networks for surveillance and prediction. Existing global systems for epidemic preparedness focus on disease surveillance using either expert knowledge or statistical modelling of disease activity and thresholds to identify times and areas of risk. Predictive health information systems would use monitored environmental variables, linked to a disease system, to be observed and provide prior information of outbreaks. The components and varieties of forecasting systems are discussed with selected examples, along with issues relating to further development.

Disease Outbreaks↗

Cancer Risk in Astronauts: A Constellation of Uncommon Consequences

Excess cancers resulting from external radiation exposures have been noted since the early 1950s, when a rise in leukemia rates was first reported in young atomic bomb survivors [1]. Further studies in atomic bomb survivors, cancer patients treated with radiotherapy, and nuclear power plant workers have confirmed that radiation exposure increases the risk of not only leukemia, but also a wide array of solid cancers [2,3]. NASA has long been aware of this risk and limits astronauts' risk of exposure-induced death (REID) from cancer by specifying permissible mission durations (PMD) for astronauts on an individual basis. While cancer is present among astronauts, current data does not suggest any excess of known radiation-induced cancers relative to a comparable population of U.S. adults; however, very uncommon cancers have been diagnosed in astronauts including nasopharyngeal cancer, lymphoma of the brain, and acral myxoinflammatory fibroblastic sarcoma. In order to study cancer risk in astronauts, a number of obstacles must be overcome. Firstly, several factors make the astronaut cohort considerably different from the cohorts that have previously been studied for effects resulting from radiation exposure. The high rate of accidents and the much healthier lifestyle of astronauts compared to the U.S. population make finding a suitable comparison population a problematic task. Space radiation differs substantially from terrestrial radiation exposures studied in the past; therefore, analyses of galactic cosmic radiation (GCR) in animal models must be conducted and correctly applied to the human experience. Secondly, a large enough population of exposed astronauts must exist in order to obtain the data necessary to see any potential statistically significant differences between the astronauts and the control population. Thirdly, confounders and effect modifiers, such as smoking, diet, and other space stressors, must be correctly identified and controlled for in those analyses. In order to begin work assessing the astronaut population, the earliest groups of astronauts (selection groups 1-7) provide a unique model. These astronauts were relatively homogenous, white males whose lifestyle characteristics were similar to an average U.S. citizen of the same birth cohort. This work reviews radiation exposure levels, age, and causes of mortality among these early NASA astronauts and discusses the benefits and limitations of assessing such a cohort for radiation-induced cancer risk.

Milder, Caitlin M.↗

Probing nuclear effects in neutrino induced pion production

The discovery of neutrino oscillations has opened the door to searches for matterantimatter asymmetries in the lepton sector. Current accelerator-based longbaseline neutrino oscillation experiments, like T2K and NOnA, probing this phenomenon are moving into the realm of high statistics but systematically limited measurements. As a result work in reducing the dominant uncertainties in neutrino oscillations has become crucial in developing our understanding of leptonic CP Violation. One of the dominant uncertainties lies in our understanding of neutrinonucleus interactions. These affect our ability to determine the selection efficiencies for the respective signal and backgrounds, and the reconstruction of the neutrino energy spectra. This is due to our limited knowledge of nuclear effects and has renewed interest in neutrino-nucleus scattering measurements. This thesis presents work on a novel method of isolating nuclear effects which can be applied to isolate interactions on hydrogen. Using Double Transverse Momentum— a kinematic imbalance of the final state hadronic system transverse to the neutrino direction and muon momentum plane, phenomenological studies are performed into its ability to probe nuclear effects. We assess the feasibility of isolating neutrino-interactions on hydrogen in composite nuclear targets using the T2K near detector, ND280. This work is extended on to the MINERnA Experiment where work is undertaken in order to understand the heavy nuclear background. The first differential dpTT cross section measurement for final states containing at least one proton and p0 using the MINERnA detector is reported.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Contrasting Time-Frequency Representations for Unknown Waveform Detection

Identifying unseen electromagnetic waveforms is critical for many applications, like interference management, electronic warfare and spectrum management. Traditionally this is done using statistical methods for anomaly detection, which has evolved to deep learning models for identifying the unseen data, formally termed as open set recognition. Some prior methods use a generative model to emulate open set data, which face challenges in generating synthetic samples for open set while simultaneously selecting an optimal discriminator for accurate classification. To alleviate this issue, we propose a discriminative model that effectively combines time and frequency domain features of communication signals for accurate predictions. We further introduce a cosine similarity loss that makes the domain specific features unique to enhance the prediction rate. Additionally, our model avoids generic feature vectors by extracting class-specific features during training, resulting in improved class representation. The experiment results show that this combined feature approach with cosine loss outperforms single-domain models and improves accuracy by 10% over models without cosine loss.

99 - GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Constraints on the Optical Depth of Galaxy Groups and Clusters

Future data from galaxy redshift surveys, combined with high-resolutions maps of the cosmic microwave background, will enable measurements of the pairwise kinematic Sunyaev–Zel’dovich (kSZ) signal with unprecedented statistical significance. This signal probes the matter-velocity correlation function, scaled by the average optical depth (τ) of the galaxy groups and clusters in the sample, and is thus of fundamental importance for cosmology. However, in order to translate pairwise kSZ measurements into cosmological constraints, external constraints on τ are necessary. In this work, we present a new model for the intracluster medium, which takes into account star formation, feedback, non-thermal pressure, and gas cooling. Our semi-analytic model is computationally efficient and can reproduce results of recent hydrodynamical simulations of galaxy cluster formation. We calibrate the free parameters in the model using recent X-ray measurements of gas density profiles of clusters, and gas masses of groups and clusters. Our observationally calibrated model predicts the average τ{sub 500} (i.e., the integrated τ within a disk of size R {sub 500}) to better than 6% modeling uncertainty (at 95% confidence level). If the remaining uncertainties associated with other astrophysical uncertainties and X-ray selection effects can be better understood, our model for the optical depth should break the degeneracy between optical depth and cluster velocity in the analysis of future pairwise kSZ measurements and improve cosmological constraints with the combination of upcoming galaxy and CMB surveys, including the nature of dark energy, modified gravity, and neutrino mass.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

WE-DE-201-02: A Statistical Analysis Tool for Plan Quality Verification in HDR Brachytherapy Forward Planning for Cervix Cancer

Purpose: High Dose Rate (HDR) brachytherapy forward planning is principally an iterative process; hence, plan quality is affected by planners’ experiences and limited planning time. Thus, this may lead to sporadic errors and inconsistencies in planning. A statistical tool based on previous approved clinical treatment plans would help to maintain the consistency of planning quality and improve the efficiency of second checking. Methods: An independent dose calculation tool was developed from commercial software. Thirty-three previously approved cervical HDR plans with the same prescription dose (550cGy), applicator type, and treatment protocol were examined, and ICRU defined reference point doses (bladder, vaginal mucosa, rectum, and points A/B) along with dwell times were collected. Dose calculation tool then calculated appropriate range with a 95% confidence interval for each parameter obtained, which would be used as the benchmark for evaluation of those parameters in future HDR treatment plans. Model quality was verified using five randomly selected approved plans from the same dataset. Results: Dose variations appears to be larger at the reference point of bladder and mucosa as compared with rectum. Most reference point doses from verification plans fell between the predicted range, except the doses of two points of rectum and two points of reference position A (owing to rectal anatomical variations & clinical adjustment in prescription points, respectively). Similar results were obtained for tandem and ring dwell times despite relatively larger uncertainties. Conclusion: This statistical tool provides an insight into clinically acceptable range of cervical HDR plans, which could be useful in plan checking and identifying potential planning errors, thus improving the consistency of plan quality.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Advanced Gear Alloys for Ultra High Strength Applications

Single tooth bending fatigue (STBF) test data of UHS Ferrium C61 and C64 alloys are presented in comparison with historical test data of conventional gear steels (9310 and Pyrowear 53) with comparable statistical analysis methods. Pitting and scoring tests of C61 and C64 are works in progress. Boeing statistical analysis of STBF test data for the four gear steels (C61, C64, 9310 and Pyrowear 53) indicates that the UHS grades exhibit increases in fatigue strength in the low cycle fatigue (LCF) regime. In the high cycle fatigue (HCF) regime, the UHS steels exhibit better mean fatigue strength endurance limit behavior (particularly as compared to Pyrowear 53). However, due to considerable scatter in the UHS test data, the anticipated overall benefits of the UHS grades in bending fatigue have not been fully demonstrated. Based on all the test data and on Boeing s analysis, C61 has been selected by Boeing as the gear steel for the final ERDS demonstrator test gearboxes. In terms of potential follow-up work, detailed physics-based, micromechanical analysis and modeling of the fatigue data would allow for a better understanding of the causes of the experimental scatter, and of the transition from high-stress LCF (surface-dominated) to low-stress HCF (subsurface-dominated) fatigue failure. Additional STBF test data and failure analysis work, particularly in the HCF regime and around the endurance limit stress, could allow for better statistical confidence and could reduce the observed effects of experimental test scatter. Finally, the need for further optimization of the residual compressive stress profiles of the UHS steels (resulting from carburization and peening) is noted, particularly for the case of the higher hardness C64 material.

Shen, Tony↗

The statistics of gravitational lenses - The distributions of image angular separations and lens redshifts

An analytical calculation is presented which determines the probability that the light from a distant quasar can be lensed by objects in a different redshift range. Three types of information are used to make the calculation: (1) the physical properties of the intervening scattering lenses; (2) the intrinsic properties of the quasars and (3) the selection procedures by which the quasar samples are acquired. A series of differential equations is given in which the probability is derived, and a number of recommendations are offered with respect to VLA and Space Telescope observations of quasars lensed in this way.

Turner, E. L.↗

Highly tunable structure-by-design polymer brush membranes for organic solvent nanofiltration

Synthetic polymeric nanofiltration membrane processes offer an alternate low-energy option to energy-intensive distillation to fractionate similar size organic solvents for chemical, petroleum, food and biotechnology industries. Here, in this study, we synthesize and test a new class of structure-by-design hydrophilic polymeric brush membranes, that address the limitations of commercial polymer membranes, are tunable and exhibit commercially relevant filtration performance. Because these brush membranes are grafted by Single Electron Transfer-Living Radical Polymerization (SET-LRP) and replace statistically random phase inversion or interfacial polymerization used for synthesizing commercial polymer membranes, their porous structure can be remodeled by varying their morphology and chemistry. We graft hydroxyethyl methacrylate (HEMA) brush structures with short and long crosslinkers, demonstrate two competing phenomena - pore stiffening and opening - and obtain high selectivity at reasonable permeability for commercially relevant methanol/toluene separation. This new class of stable, tunable, and scalable membranes offers exciting opportunities to reduce energy for separation of organic solvents.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Advanced Method Optimization for Sampling and Analysis Instrumentation

This work presents a generalized approach for analytical method optimization that branches the gap between techniques historically employed and accurate modern optimization techniques suitable for various applications. The novelty of the described strategy is the utilization of multivariate, multiobjective optimization with Karush-Kuhn-Tucker conditions to bound the optimization space to solutions within the physical limitations of instrumentation. Briefly, the basic steps outlined in this paper are to (1) determine the objective(s) that should be maximized or minimized based on the goals of the analytical application, (2) conduct a screening experiment, (3) perform ANOVA to determine the parameters which have a statistically significant effect on the objective, (4) conduct an experiment (e.g., Box-Behnken design) to collect data for fitting the objective equation, and (5) determine the physical constraints of the parameters and solve the Lagrangian to determine the optimal method parameters. A broad approach to optimization target selection allows for robust method tuning to develop improved data sets amenable for chemometrics and machine learning algorithm development. Gas chromatography-mass spectrometry was selected as a use case due to its broad use across scientific fields and time-consuming method development involving numerous parameters. In conclusion, this strategy can reduce the cost of research, improve data quality, and enable the rapid development of new analytical technique.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗