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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,351 records · Page 75

Attract-repel path planner system for collision avoidance

A system for determining a travel direction that avoids objects when a vehicle travels from a current location to a target location is provided. The system determines a travel direction based on an attract-repel model. The system assigns a repel value to the object locations and an attract value. A repel represents a magnitude of a directional repulsive force, and the attract value represents the magnitude of a directional repulsive force. The system calculates an attract-repel field having an attract-repel magnitude and attract-repel direction for the current location based on the repel values and their directions and the attract value and its direction. The system then determines the travel direction for a vehicle to be the direction of the attract-repel field at the current location.

Paglieroni, David W.↗

Optimization and Experimental Validation of Annular Finned PCM-HX for a Domestic Hot Water Heater Application

The load profile for domestic water heating is time-dependent and can result in high energy demand during peak operating times. Shifting this peak load can have significant environmental and economic impacts. Phase change material (PCM)-based thermal energy storage (TES) is a potentially useful technology for peak load shifting in domestic hot water (DHW) applications thanks to its high latent heat and energy density. In this study, an annular finned-tube PCM-HX design concept was optimized for a load-shifting TES unit to meet the Department of Energy standard for a medium-usage DHW heater using a resistance-capacitance model (RCM) integrated with a Multi-Objective Genetic Algorithm. The optimized design comprised 70 identical annular finned-tube PCM-HX units connected in parallel and utilizing RT62HC as the PCM. A single PCM-HX unit was prototyped and tested in a vertically oriented setup with upward heat transfer fluid (HTF) flow. The hot water supply time was defined based on a cutoff temperature of 51.7°C. The as-designed mass flow rate (1.5 g/s) was tested to assess the performance of the prototyped PCM-HX unit for RCM validation. For the experimental investigation, RTD sensor bundles measured HTF temperature at the PCM-HX inlet and outlet, and a Coriolis flow meter accurately measured the HTF mass flow rate. The simulated discharging power underpredicted the experimental result by about 12%, and the simulated hot water supply time underpredicted the experimental result by approximately 13% for the as-designed mass flow rate (1.5 g/s). The average deviation of the hot water supply temperature between the experimental and RCM results during the complete PCM solidification process was 1.3 K for the as-designed mass flow rate. The overall good agreement between the experimental and RCM results provides confidence that computationally efficient models such as RCM can be utilized for design optimization of PCM-HXs.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Thermal-Mechanical Elastic-Plastic and Ductile Failure Model Calibrations for 304L Stainless Steel Alloy

Numerical simulations of metallic structures undergoing rapid loading into the plastic range require material models that accurately represent the response. In general, the material response can be seen as having four interrelated parts: the baseline response under slow loading, the effect of strain rate, the conversion of plastic work into heat and the effect of temperature. In essence, the material behaves in a thermal-mechanical manner if the loading is fast enough so when heat is generated by plastic deformation it raises the temperature and therefore influences the mechanical response. In these cases, appropriate models that can capture the aspects listed above are necessary. The material of interest here is 304L stainless steel, and the objective of this work is to calibrate thermal-mechanical models: one for the constitutive behavior and another for failure. The work was accomplished by first designing and conducting a material test program to provide data for the calibration of the models. The test program included uniaxial tension tests conducted at room temperature, 150 and 300 C and at strain rates between 10 –4 and 10 3 1/s. It also included notched tension and shear-dominated compression hat tests specifically designed to calibrate the failure model. All test specimens were extracted from a single piece of plate to maintain consistency. The constitutive model adopted was a modular $J_2$ plasticity model with isotropic hardening that included rate and temperature dependence. A criterion for failure initiation based on a critical value of equivalent plastic strain fitted the failure data appropriately and was adopted. Possible ranges of the values of the parameters of the models were determined partially on historical data from calibrations of the same alloy from other lots and are given here. The calibration of the parameters of the models were based on finite element simulations of the various material tests using relatively ne meshes and hexahedral elements. When using the model in structural finite element calculations, however, element formulations and sizes different from those in the calibration are likely to be used. A brief investigation demonstrated that the failure initiation predictions can be particularly sensitive to the element selection and provided an initial guide to compensate for the effect of element size in a specific example.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Modular HF Isolated MV String Inverters Enable a New Paradigm for Large PV Farms

The “Modular HF Isolated MV String Inverters Enable a New Paradigm for Large PV Farms” project focuses on exploring alternative power converter and system-level plant configurations to achieve the lowest cost and highest energy output for a given solar plus storage (e.g., PV + battery) plant, including the use of medium voltage (MV) collection while taking into account detailed models of all elements. To realize this objective, four approaches were utilized (i) employ a novel Medium Voltage String Inverter (MVSI) topology (soft switching solid state transformer – S4T) to convert 1000 Vdc to 4.16 kVac; (ii) plant collection using standard, low-cost overhead MV distribution network; (iii) enable energy storage integration without additional converter cost to achieve dispatchability of the PV resource; and (iv) provide advanced functionality (autonomous operation, track ISO signals for dynamic balancing and ancillary services, and PV farm operation as a virtual grid resource). Subsequently and in alignment with the previously mentioned approaches, the project was structured in five efforts (i) S4T MVSI simulation and design; (ii) system analysis and storage optimization; (iii) financial analysis; (iv) power converter prototype build and test; and (v) regulatory and commercial impact study. The outcomes provided by each effort can be summarized as follows (i) Project explored the use of MV AC distribution architecture for hybrid PV+storage utility-scale PV farms; (ii) Detailed loss and LCOE analysis for AC and DC side BESS architecture, including multiple converter topologies, as well as for proposed MVSI/MDCT systems; (iii) MVSI was built and holds promise but needs lower-cost high-voltage Si-C devices, which does not seem possible in the near term; (iv) MDCT provides a simpler modular building block – validated through HIL and farm level modeling, simulation and experimental validation; (v) 300 kVA MDCT prototype built and tested, technology is being commercialized; and (vi) Regulatory model of utility building PV plants, where PV panels are treated as DC generation (IPP), seems viable and can allow improved grid integration.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Property of hepatitis B virus replication in Tupaia belangeri hepatocytes

The northern treeshrew (Tupaia belangeri) has been reported to be an effective candidate for animal infection model with hepatitis B virus (HBV). The objective of our study was to analyze the growth characteristics of HBV in tupaia hepatocytes and the host response to HBV infection. We established primary tupaia hepatocytes (3–6-week old tupaia) and infected them with HBV genotypes A, B and C, and all the genotypes proliferated as well as those in human primary hepatocytes (>10{sup 5} copies/ml in culture supernatant). We next generated a chimeric mouse with tupaia liver by transplantation of tupaia primary hepatocytes to urokinase-type plasminogen activator cDNA (cDNA-uPA)/severe combined immunodeficient (SCID) mice and the replacement ratio with tupaia hepatocytes was found to be more than 95%. Infection of chimeric mice with HBV (genotypes B, C, and D) resulted in HBV-DNA level of 10{sup 4}-10{sup 6} copies/ml after 8 weeks of infection, which were almost similar to that in humanized chimeric mouse. In contrast, serum HBV level in adult tupaia (1-year-old tupaia) was quite low (<10{sup 3} copies/ml). Understanding the differences in the response to HBV infection in primary tupaia hepatocytes, chimeric mouse, and adult tupaia will contribute to elucidating the mechanism of persistent HBV infection and viral eradication. Thus, T. belangeri was found to be efficient for studying the host response to HBV infection, thereby providing novel insight into the pathogenesis of HBV. - Highlights: • Primary hepatocytes were established from tupaia that is a novel HBV infection model. • Tupaia primary hepatocytes were susceptible for HBV infection. • The immunodeficient chimeric mice with tupaia hepatocytes were established. • The chimeric mice with tupaia hepatocytes were susceptible for HBV infection.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Final Project Report: Performance Models and Standards for Bifacial PV Module Technologies

This project has three main objectives: (1) to field and collect performance data from bifacial PV systems and share this information with the stakeholder community; (2) to develop and validate bifacial performance models and deployment guides that will allow users to accurately predict and assess the use of bifacial PV as compared with monofacial technologies and (3) to help develop international power rating standards for bifacial PV modules.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

A Comparison of Modeling Strategies for Additively Manufactured HFIR Control Elements

The High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR) at Oak Ridge National Laboratory is a flux-trap type research reactor that is used for a range of research applications, including neutron scattering experiments, materials irradiation tests, and isotope production. The HFIR core comprises several concentric cylindrical regions; starting from the core centerline and moving radially outwards, these are the flux trap target (FTT) region, the inner and outer fuel elements (IFE and OFE), the inner and outer control elements (ICE and OCE), and the reflector region. The control elements (CEs) are axially zoned into regions of differing absorption strength: the white regions contain only structural aluminum and do not significantly contribute to reactivity control; the gray regions contain tantalum as the primary absorber with a concentration of 38% by volume, and the black regions contain europia (Eu{sub 2}O{sub 3}) as the primary absorber with a concentration of 31% by volume. During operation, the CEs are withdrawn symmetrically in opposite directions from the core to remove the neutron absorbers from the core and maintain criticality. The current approach to fabrication of the HFIR CEs is tedious, outdated, and expensive. In an effort to improve the operational economics of HFIR and to demonstrate the feasibility of advanced manufacturing techniques for production of nuclear reactor components, novel methods for production of neutron-poison bearing aluminum structures have been initiated at ORNL. For this application, the ultrasonic additive manufacturing (UAM) process involves the use of 3D printing technology to construct small cylindrical compacts (0.559 cm in diameter and 0.171 cm in height) of aluminum mixed with neutron-absorbing material. The compacts contain 60% poison (Ta or Eu{sub 2}O{sub 3}) by volume. These compacts are then embedded into an aluminum matrix before formation into the cylindrical shape appropriate for use in HFIR. The CEs produced in this process therefore contain discrete regions of absorbing material, in contrast to the traditional design with homogeneously distributed absorbers. It is therefore of interest to investigate how the HFIR core behavior with discrete CEs differs from the case with homogeneous CEs with respect to some key reactor physics parameters. The primary objective of this study is to compare modeling strategies for the discrete CE design and examine differences in the core physics between the discrete and homogeneous CE designs as predicted by each model. Lessons learned from this investigation may then be used to inform the design process in future endeavors. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Generative design of de novo proteins based on secondary-structure constraints using an attention-based diffusion model

We report two generative deep-learning models that predict amino acid sequences and 3D protein structures on the basis of secondary-structure design objectives via either the overall content or the per-residue structure. Both models are robust regarding imperfect inputs and offer de novo design capacity because they can discover new protein sequences not yet discovered from natural mechanisms or systems. The residue-level secondary-structure design model generally yields higher accuracy and more diverse sequences. These findings suggest unexplored opportunities for protein designs and functional outcomes within the vast amino acid sequences beyond known proteins. Our models, based on an attention-based diffusion model and trained on a dataset extracted from experimentally known 3D protein structures, offer numerous downstream applications in the conditional generative design of various biological or engineering systems. Future work could include additional conditioning and an exploration of other functional properties of the generated proteins for various properties beyond structural objectives.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Impact of Storage Dispatch Assumptions on Resource Adequacy and Capacity Credit

Representing energy-limited resources in power system probabilistic resource adequacy assessment introduces new considerations that invalidate classical modeling assumptions. In particular, such resources have multi-period operating objectives and constraints that in real systems are addressed via a sequence of rolling intertemporal optimizations. Ideally, adequacy models would develop dispatch decisions by solving a similar sequence of problems, but this approach has historically been too computationally intensive for practical use in Monte Carlo simulations, with studies making use of simplifying approximations instead. These simplifications have the potential to distort the assessed value of energy-limited resources on the system.This work describes three classes of storage dispatch assumptions in current use and discusses their theoretical differences. It then provides an empirical analysis of their differences on test systems with different levels of storage, assessing the potential for a study's modeling assumptions to influence the perceived contribution of energy-limited resources.

capacity credit↗

Evaluation Of Glass Density to Support the Estimation of Fissile Mass Loadings in Sludge Batch 10 Glasses

Per a directive from the Department of Energy Savannah River Operations Office (DOE-SR) in 2008, the fissile mass loading concentration must remain below 897 g/m 3 in each high-level waste (HLW) glass canister produced by the Defense Waste Processing Facility (DWPF). To support Sludge Batch 5 (SB5) processing, the Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) developed a technical basis that facilitates the evaluation of fissile mass loading of the glass product. The calculation is based on the iron (Fe) concentration in the glass as determined by measurements from the Slurry Mix Evaporator acceptability analysis as well as the glass density. In April 2022, a subsequent DOE-SR directive increased the fissile mass loading limit to 2500 g/m 3 beginning with Sludge Batch 11. Thus, the 897 g/m 3 limit still applies to Sludge Batch 10 (SB10) processing. For SB5 through initial Sludge Batch 9 (SB9) processing prior to coupled operation with the Salt Waste Processing Facility (SWPF), SRNL provided DWPF a bounding glass density value that was based on a statistical evaluation of density measurements. To eliminate the need for experimental work, a composition-based density model for HLW glasses was developed at SRNL in 2019. The objective of this report is to present the bounding glass density determined with the composition-based density model for SB10 sludge-only (SO) and coupled processing.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Prototypical Region Proposal Networks for Few-Shot Localization and Classification

Recently proposed few-shot image classification methods have generally focused on use cases where the objects to be classified are the central subject of images. Despite success on benchmark vision datasets aligned with this use case, these methods typically fail on use cases involving densely-annotated, busy images: images common in the wild where objects of relevance are not the central subject, instead appearing potentially occluded, small, or among other incidental objects belonging to other classes of potential interest. To localize relevant objects, we employ a prototype-based few-shot segmentation model which compares the encoded features of unlabeled query images with support class centroids to produce region proposals indicating the presence and location of support set classes in a query image. These region proposals are then used as additional conditioning input to few-shot image classifiers. We develop a framework to unify the two stages (segmentation and classification) into an end-to-end classification model---PRoPnet---and empirically demonstrate that our methods improve accuracy on image datasets with natural scenes containing multiple object classes.

Skomski, Steven E.↗

The Cannon: A data-driven approach to stellar label determination

New spectroscopic surveys offer the promise of stellar parameters and abundances (“stellar labels”) for hundreds of thousands of stars; this poses a formidable spectral modeling challenge. In many cases, there is a subset of reference objects for which the stellar labels are known with high(er) fidelity. We take advantage of this with The Cannon, a new data-driven approach for determining stellar labels from spectroscopic data. The Cannon learns from the “known” labels of reference stars how the continuum-normalized spectra depend on these labels by fitting a flexible model at each wavelength; then, The Cannon uses this model to derive labels for the remaining survey stars. We illustrate The Cannon by training the model on only 542 stars in 19 clusters as reference objects, with T{sub eff}, log g, and [Fe/H] as the labels, and then applying it to the spectra of 55,000 stars from APOGEE DR10. The Cannon is very accurate. Its stellar labels compare well to the stars for which APOGEE pipeline (ASPCAP) labels are provided in DR10, with rms differences that are basically identical to the stated ASPCAP uncertainties. Beyond the reference labels, The Cannon makes no use of stellar models nor any line-list, but needs a set of reference objects that span label-space. The Cannon performs well at lower signal-to-noise, as it delivers comparably good labels even at one-ninth the APOGEE observing time. We discuss the limitations of The Cannon and its future potential, particularly, to bring different spectroscopic surveys onto a consistent scale of stellar labels.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Cluster Analysis of Downscaled and Explicitly Simulated North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Tracks

A realistic representation of the North Atlantic tropical cyclone tracks is crucial as it allows, for example, explaining potential changes in U.S. landfalling systems. Here, the authors present a tentative study that examines the ability of recent climate models to represent North Atlantic tropical cyclone tracks. Tracks from two types of climate models are evaluated: explicit tracks are obtained from tropical cyclones simulated in regional or global climate models with moderate to high horizontal resolution (1°–0.25°), and downscaled tracks are obtained using a downscaling technique with large-scale environmental fields from a subset of these models. Here, for both configurations, tracks are objectively separated into four groups using a cluster technique, leading to a zonal and a meridional separation of the tracks. The meridional separation largely captures the separation between deep tropical and subtropical, hybrid or baroclinic cyclones, while the zonal separation segregates Gulf of Mexico and Cape Verde storms. The properties of the tracks’ seasonality, intensity, and power dissipation index in each cluster are documented for both configurations. The authors’ results show that, except for the seasonality, the downscaled tracks better capture the observed characteristics of the clusters. The authors also use three different idealized scenarios to examine the possible future changes of tropical cyclone tracks under 1) warming sea surface temperature, 2) increasing carbon dioxide, and 3) a combination of the two. The response to each scenario is highly variable depending on the simulation considered. Lastly, the authors examine the role of each cluster in these future changes and find no preponderant contribution of any single cluster over the others.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

How Low Can You Go? Using Synthetic 3D Imagery to Drastically Reduce Real-World Training Data for Object Detection

Deep convolutional neural networks (DCNNs) currently provide state-of-the-art performance on image classification and object detection tasks, and there are many global security mission areas where such models could be extremely useful. Crucially, the success of these models is driven in large part by the widespread availability of high-quality open source data sets such as Image Net, Common Objects in Context (COCO), and KITTI, which contain millions of images with thousands of unique labels. However, global security relevant objects-of-interest can be difficult to obtain: relevant events are low frequency and high consequence; the content of relevant images is sensitive; and adversaries and proliferators seek to obscure their activities. For these cases where exemplar data is hard to come-by, even fine-tuning an existing model with available data can be effectively impossible. Recent work demonstrated that models can be trained using a combination of real-world and synthetic images generated from 3D representations; that such models can exceed the performance of models trained using real-world data alone; and that the generated images need not be perfectly realistic (Tremblay, et al., 2018). However, this approach still required hundreds to thousands of real-world images for training and fine tuning, which for sparse, global security-relevant datasets can be an unrealistic hurdle. In this research, we validate the performance and behavior of DCNN models as we drive the number of real-world images used for training object detection tasks down to a minimal set. We perform multiple experiments to identify the best approach to train DCNNs from an extremely small set of real-world images. In doing so, we: Develop state-of-the-art, parameterized 3D models based on real-world images and sample from their parameters to increase the variance in synthetic image training data; Use machine learning explainability techniques to highlight and correct through targeted training the biases that result from training using completely synthetic images; and Validate our results by comparing the performance of the models trained on synthetic data to one another, and to a control model created by fine-tuning an existing ImageNet-trained model with a limited number (hundreds) of real-world images.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Iodine Distribution During Evaporation of Hanford Waste Treatment Plant Direct Feed Low Activity Waste Effluent Management Facility Simulant

The Hanford Waste Treatment and Immobilization Plant (WTP) Low Activity Waste (LAW) vitrification facility will generate an aqueous condensate recycle stream from the off-gas system. The baseline plan for disposition of this stream during full WTP operations is to send it to the WTP Pretreatment Facility, where it will be blended with LAW, concentrated by evaporation, and recycled to the LAW vitrification facility. However, during the Direct Feed LAW (DFLAW) scenario, planned disposition of this stream involves concentrating the condensate in a new evaporator at the Effluent Management Facility (EMF) and returning it to the LAW melter. The LAW melter condensate stream will contain components, e.g. halides and sulfates, that are volatile at melter temperatures, have limited solubility in glass waste forms, and present a material corrosion concern. Further, some minor constituents in the melter condensate, such as volatile organic compounds and iodine, have been found to be at least partially volatile in the EMF. The condensate from the EMF will be sent to the Hanford Effluent Treatment Facility (ETF). The presence of some recalcitrant organics and iodine, as 129I, are expected to be problematic in the ETF. In order to better predict and prepare for the distribution of organics and 129I in the flowsheet, it is key to understand their chemistry and experimentally determine their behavior during evaporation. To do this, modeling and testing were performed to examine the speciation of iodine under relevant conditions, as well as determine partitioning of iodine and the organics in the EMF evaporator. This overall program examines the potential treatment and immobilization of the LAW melter condensate stream to enable alternative disposal. The objective of this task was to (1) perform modeling to determine the speciation and fate of iodine species, (2) prepare a simulant of the LAW Melter Off-gas Condensate expected during DFLAW operations, (3) spike in the key volatile organics and non-radioactive iodine, and (4) demonstrate evaporation in order to predict the final composition of the effluents from the EMF evaporator to aid in planning for their disposition. The results of the modeling of iodine speciation indicate that the iodine is expected to remain in the evaporator pot as iodide and possibly iodate ion if the pH is raised to 11.5-12, which is the planned condition for the EMF. Experimental testing confirmed that the iodide remained in the evaporator concentrate and was below detection limits in all condensate and knock-out pot samples, indicating it was not volatile. The organic nitrile compounds that were added to the simulant were absent from the evaporator feed solution, either lost through evaporation, or more likely, decomposition. The acetone and methylene chloride were below the target values in the feed and condensate samples, and were presumably lost to evaporation or decomposition.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Machine learning for detection of 3D features using sparse x-ray tomographic reconstruction

In many inertial confinement fusion (ICF) experiments, the neutron yield and other parameters cannot be completely accounted for with one and two dimensional models. This discrepancy suggests that there are three dimensional effects that may be significant. Sources of these effects include defects in the shells and defects in shell interfaces, the fill tube of the capsule, and the joint feature in double shell targets. Due to their ability to penetrate materials, x rays are used to capture the internal structure of objects. Methods such as computational tomography use x-ray radiographs from hundreds of projections, in order to reconstruct a three dimensional model of the object. In experimental environments, such as the National Ignition Facility and Omega-60, the availability of these views is scarce, and in many cases only consists of a single line of sight. Mathematical reconstruction of a 3D object from sparse views is an ill-posed inverse problem. These types of problems are typically solved by utilizing prior information. Neural networks have been used for the task of 3D reconstruction as they are capable of encoding and leveraging this prior information. We utilize half a dozen, different convolutional neural networks to produce different 3D representations of ICF implosions from the experimental data. Deep supervision is utilized to train a neural network to produce high-resolution reconstructions. These representations are used to track 3D features of the capsules, such as the ablator, inner shell, and the joint between shell hemispheres. Machine learning, supplemented by different priors, is a promising method for 3D reconstructions in ICF and x-ray radiography, in general.

Wolfe, Bradley T. (ORCID:0000000268301614)↗

The impact of (n, γ ) reaction rate uncertainties of unstable isotopes near N = 50 on the i-process nucleosynthesis in He-shell flash white dwarfs

The first-peak s-process elements Rb, Sr, Y and Zr in the post-AGB star Sakurai's object (V4334 Sagittarii) have been proposed to be the result of i-process nucleosynthesis in a post-AGB very-late thermal pulse event. We estimate the nuclear physics uncertainties in the i-process model predictions to determine whether the remaining discrepancies with observations are significant and point to potential issues with the underlying astrophysical model. We find that the dominant source in the nuclear physics uncertainties are predictions of neutron capture rates on unstable neutron rich nuclei, which can have uncertainties of more than a factor 20 in the band of the i-process. We use a Monte Carlo variation of 52 neutron capture rates and a 1D multi-zone post-processing model for the i-process in Sakurai's object to determine the cumulative effect of these uncertainties on the final elemental abundance predictions. We find that the nuclear physics uncertainties are large and comparable to observational errors. Within these uncertainties the model predictions are consistent with observations. A correlation analysis of the results of our MC simulations reveals that the strongest impact on the predicted abundances of Rb, Sr, Y and Zr is made by the uncertainties in the (n, γ) reaction rates of 85 Br, 86 Br, 87 Kr, 88 Kr, 89 Kr, 89 Rb, 89 Sr, and 92 Sr. This conclusion is supported by a series of multi-zone simulations in which we increased and decreased to their maximum and minimum limits one or two reaction rates per run. We also show that simple and fast one-zone simulations should not be used instead of more realistic multi-zone stellar simulations for nuclear sensitivity and uncertainty studies of convective–reactive processes. Lastly, our findings apply more generally to any i-process site with similar neutron exposure, such as rapidly accreting white dwarfs with near-solar metallicities.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

A Game-Theoretic Data-Driven Approach for Pseudo-Measurement Generation in Distribution System State Estimation

In this paper, we present an efficient computational framework with the purpose of generating weighted pseudo-measurements to improve the quality of distribution system state estimation (DSSE) and provide observability with advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) against unobservable customers and missing data. The proposed technique is based on a game-theoretic expansion of relevance vector machines (RVMs). This platform is able to estimate the nodal power consumption and quantify its uncertainty while reducing the prohibitive computational burden of model training for large AMI datasets. To achieve this objective, the large training set is decomposed and distributed among multiple parallel learning entities. The resulting estimations from the parallel RVMs are then combined using a game-theoretic model based on the idea of repeated games with vector payoff. It is observed that through this approach and by exploiting the seasonal changes in customers’ behavior the accuracy of pseudo-measurements can be considerably improved, while introducing robustness against bad training data samples. The proposed pseudo-measurement generation model is integrated into a DSSE using a closed-loop information system, which takes advantage of a branch current state estimator (BCSE) to further improve the performance of the designed machine learning framework. This method has been tested on a practical distribution feeder model with smart meter data for verification.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗