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NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Assessing the Variability of Radiation, Water and Energy in the Deep Tropics Over the Last 3 Decades

Global surface energy closure and its variability depends heavily upon the surface radiative energy budget in the deep tropics. A key process observed is the change in convection regimes from disorganized convection to organized deep convection. During these periods an imbalance is observed between energy and water fluxes in terms of energy closure in some atmospheric reanalysis systems, implying that processes are not simulated well. A recent paper by Hsaio et al (2023, pre-published version) found that the transition process has wind shear and longwave cloud radiative feedback signatures. In this presentation, we assess the surface radiative budget in the deep tropics by comparing multiple data products (GEWEX SRB Rel4IP, CERES Ed4.1, ISSCP FH, etc.) and describing the variability across the deep tropics for the period from 1988 to near present. We assess this variability of the radiative flux anomalies (including the net TOA, surface and the atmospheric divergence fluxes) against water vapor divergence, cloud properties (include ISCCP “Weather States, Tselioudis et al. 2021) and larger scale wind shear. We include further analysis contrasting 6 key tropical oceanic regions (Indian Ocean east and west, tropical western, central and eastern Pacific Ocean, and Tropical Atlantic Ocean) and the sensitivity of the fluxes as a function of fluctuations in cloud types in response to various larger scale atmospheric processes (e.g. El Niño, Indian Ocean Dipole). These are contrasted against the modeled radiative fluxes from ERA-5 and MERRA-2. Ocean buoy measurements of radiative fluxes are utilized to help assess data radiative flux uncertainty over the nearly 40 year period. In general, the variability for overlap periods of these various data products agrees well, but there are significant differences in the net fluxes that vary according to the rendering of surface, atmospheric, aerosol and cloud properties. We conclude with recommendations for continuing work.

Radiation budget↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project

The International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) was established as the first project of the World Climate Research Programme (WCP-2) to collect and analyze satellite radiance measurements to infer the global distribution of cloud radiative properties and their diurnal and seasonal variations. The operational phase of ISCCP began in July 1983 and is currently planned to continue through June 2010. [Mission Objectives] To produce a global, reduced resolution, infrared and visible, calibrated and normalized radiance data set containing basic information on the radiative properties of the atmosphere from which cloud parameters can be derived. To stimulate and coordinate basic research on techniques for inferring the physical properties of clouds from the condensed radiance data set and to apply the resulting algorithms to derive and validate a global cloud climatology for improving the parameterization of clouds in climate models. To promote research using ISCCP data and contributing to improved understanding of the Earth's radiation budget (top of the atmosphere and surface) and hydrological cycle. [Temporal_Coverage: Start_Date=1983-07-01; Stop_Date=] [Spatial_Coverage: Southernmost_Latitude=-90; Northernmost_Latitude=90; Westernmost_Longitude=-180; Easternmost_Longitude=180].

Rossow, William B.↗

DOE OSTI2024

Understanding aerosol–cloud interactions using a single-column model for a cold-air outbreak case during the ACTIVATE campaign

Marine boundary layer clouds play a critical role in Earth's energy balance. Their microphysical and radiative properties are highly impacted by ambient aerosols and dynamic forcings. In this study, we evaluate the representation of these clouds and related aerosol–cloud interaction processes in the single-column version of the E3SM climate model (SCM) against field measurements collected during the NASA ACTIVATE campaign over the western North Atlantic, as well as intercompare results with high-resolution process level models. We show that E3SM SCM reproduces the macrophysical properties of post-frontal boundary layer clouds in a cold-air outbreak (CAO) case well. However, it generates fewer but larger cloud droplets compared to aircraft measurements. Further sensitivity tests show that the underestimation of both aerosol number concentration and vertical velocity variance contributes to this bias. Aerosol–cloud interactions are examined by perturbing prescribed aerosol properties in E3SM SCM with fixed dynamics. Higher aerosol number concentration or hygroscopicity leads to more numerous but smaller cloud droplets, resulting in a stronger cooling via shortwave cloud forcing. This apparent Twomey effect is consistent with prior climate model studies. The cloud liquid water path shows a weakly positive relation with cloud droplet number concentration due to precipitation suppression. This weak aerosol effect on cloud macrophysics may be attributed to the dominant impact of strong dynamical forcing associated with the CAO. Our findings indicate that the SCM framework is a key tool to bridge the gap between climate models, process level models, and field observations to facilitate process level understanding.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

NASA NTRS2019

Cloud Scattering Impact on Thermal Radiative Transfer and Global Longwave Radiation

The potential importance of longwave (LW) cloud scattering has been recognized but the actual estimate of this effect on thermal radiation varies greatly among different studies. General circulation models (GCMs) generally neglect or simplify the multiple scattering in the LW. In this study, we use a rigorous radiative transfer algorithm to explicitly consider LW multiple-scattering and apply the GCM to quantify the impact of cloud LW scattering on thermal radiation fluxes. Our study shows that the cloud scattering effect on downward thermal radiation at the surface is concentrated in the infrared atmospheric window spectrum (800–1250 cm9exp −1)). The scattering effect on the outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) is also present in the window region over low clouds but it is mainly in the far-infrared spectrum (300–600 cm(exp −1)) over high clouds. For clouds with small to moderate optical depth (τ < 10), the scattering effect on thermal fluxes shows large variation with the cloud τ and has a maximum at an optical depth of ∼3. For opaque clouds, the scattering effect approaches an asymptote and is smaller and less important. The 2-stream radiative transfer scheme could have an error over 10% with an RMS error around 3.5%–4.0% in the calculated LW flux. This algorithm error of the 2-stream approximation could readily exceed the no-scattering error in the LW, and thus it is worthless to include the time-consuming computation of multiple scattering in a 2-stream radiative transfer scheme. However, the calculation error rapidly decreases as stream number increases and the RMS error in LW flux using the 4-stream scheme is under 0.3%, an accuracy sufficient for most climate studies. We implement the 4-stream discrete-ordinate algorithm in the GISS GCM and run the GCM for 20 years with and without the LW scattering effect, respectively. When cloud LW scattering is included, we find that the global annual mean OLR is reduced by 2.7 W/m(exp 2), and the downward surface flux and the net atmospheric absorption are increased by 1.6 W/m2 and 1.8 W/m(exp 2), respectively. Using one year of ISCCP clouds and running the standalone radiative transfer offline, the global annual mean non-scattering errors in OLR, surface LW downward flux and net atmospheric absorption are 3.6 W/m(exp 2), −1.1 W/m(exp 2), and −2.5 W/m(exp 2), respectively. The global scattering impact of 2.7 W/m(exp 2) on the OLR is small when compared to the typical global OLR value of 240 W/m2, but it is significant when compared to cloud LW radiative forcing (30 W/m2) and net cloud forcing (−14 W/m(exp 2)). Overall, the effect of neglecting scattering on the thermal fluxes is comparable to the reported clear sky radiative effect of doubling CO2.

longwave cloud scattering↗

DOE OSTI2018

Local radiative feedbacks over the Arctic based on observed short-term climate variations

We compare various radiative feedbacks in response to short-term climate variations estimated from reanalysis, satellite, and global climate model datasets using the combined Kernel-Gregory approach over the Arctic (60-90°N). Except for the shortwave cloud feedback, all feedbacks are positive over the Arctic. Lapse rate feedback is comparable with surface albedo feedback. Relative to the tropics (30°S-30°N), the temperature feedback (lapse rate feedback plus Planck feedback deviation from its global mean) is the largest contributor to Arctic amplification among all feedbacks, followed by surface albedo feedback. The choice of meteorological fields has a small impact on the cloud feedback estimate, but different top-of-the-atmosphere clear-sky fluxes datasets can result in a wide spread of estimated cloud feedbacks. The net cloud feedback over the Arctic is positive due to a larger positive in longwave than the negative shortwave feedback, but has the largest uncertainty. Relative to the tropics, the longwave cloud feedback largely contributes to the Arctic amplification.

Zhang, Rudong↗

NASA NTRS1994

Shock propagation and the generation of magnetohydrodynamic wave fields in inhomogeneous molecular clouds

We develop a simple one-dimensional model for the interaction of a steady, thin, planar shock wave with a nonrigid cloud which may be in motion relative to the surrounding medium, and we apply the model to shocks impinging on, and propagating through, molecular clouds. Both 'adiabatic' (gamma = 5/3) and radiative (gamma = 1) shocks are considered and we allow for the presence of a uniform magnetic field directed either parallel or perpendicular to the shock normal. The former field orientation is equivalent to the hydrodynamic case, and the latter involves only fast MHD shocks. We focus on the manner in which such shocks can generate internal kinetic motions in the cloud on a range of size and density scales through the direct acceleration of cores and clumps by shocks transmitted into them and through the generation of an MHD wavefield via the reflection of the incident shock at clump boundaries. We find that stronger incident Mach numbers and smaller density contrasts lead to more efficient cloud acceleration, as do isothermal intercloud shocks and small intercloud magnetic field strengths. The acceleration efficiency is insensitive to the adiabatic index and the magnetic field strength in the cloud itself. For typical parameter choices, the direct acceleration of clouds and clumps by strong shocks is found to be substantial and could at least in part account for their observed velocity dispersions. If the shocks are moderately weak, the final velocity of the cloud is linearly related to its initial velocity, with higher acceleration giving shallower slopes (i.e., final velocity distributions which are less sensitive to the initial distribution). Compared to the kinetic energy of the postshock cloud, the energy given to the wavefield at each encounter is small, and the heating of the interclump medium by the dissipation of this wavefield is found to be insufficient to balance the cooling rate in the cloud as a whole (although it may be important in particular regions), even if this medium is warm, unless it is also extremely tenuous (n approximately less than 0.1/cu cm). Nevertheless, the correction for the velocity imparted to the cloud leads to a substantial increase in the critical incident Mach numner for wave emission over that reported by Spitzer for the rigid case. The implications of our model for shock-induced star formation are discussed briefly.

Miesch, Mark S.↗

DOE OSTI2017

The diurnal cycle of clouds and precipitation at the ARM SGP site: Cloud radar observations and simulations from the multiscale modeling framework

Millimeter Wavelength Cloud Radar (MMCR) data from December 1996 to December 2010, collected at the U.S. Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) program Southern Great Plains (SGP) site, are used to examine the diurnal cycle of hydrometeor occurrence. These data are categorized into clouds (-40 dBZ e ≤ reflectivity < -10 dBZ e ), drizzle and light precipitation (-10 dBZ e ≤ reflectivity < 10 dBZ e ), and heavy precipitation (reflectivity ≥ 10 dBZ e ). The same criteria are implemented for the observation-equivalent reflectivity calculated by feeding outputs from a Multiscale Modeling Framework (MMF) climate model into a radar simulator. The MMF model consists of the National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Atmosphere Model with conventional cloud parameterizations replaced by a cloud-resolving model. We find that a radar simulator combined with the simple reflectivity categories can be an effective approach for evaluating diurnal variations in model hydrometeor occurrence. It is shown that the MMF only marginally captures observed increases in the occurrence of boundary layer clouds after sunrise in spring and autumn and does not capture diurnal changes in boundary layer clouds during the summer. Above the boundary layer, the MMF captures reasonably well diurnal variations in the vertical structure of clouds and light and heavy precipitation in the summer but not in the spring.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

NASA NTRS2009

Evaluation of the OMI Cloud Pressures Derived from Rotational Raman Scattering by Comparisons with other Satellite Data and Radiative Transfer Simulations

In this paper we examine differences between cloud pressures retrieved from the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) using the ultraviolet rotational Raman scattering (RRS) algorithm and those from the thermal infrared (IR) Aqua/MODIS. Several cloud data sets are currently being used in OMI trace gas retrieval algorithms including climatologies based on IR measurements and simultaneous cloud parameters derived from OMI. From a validation perspective, it is important to understand the OMI retrieved cloud parameters and how they differ with those derived from the IR. To this end, we perform radiative transfer calculations to simulate the effects of different geophysical conditions on the OMI RRS cloud pressure retrievals. We also quantify errors related to the use of the Mixed Lambert-Equivalent Reflectivity (MLER) concept as currently implemented of the OMI algorithms. Using properties from the Cloudsat radar and MODIS, we show that radiative transfer calculations support the following: (1) The MLER model is adequate for single-layer optically thick, geometrically thin clouds, but can produce significant errors in estimated cloud pressure for optically thin clouds. (2) In a two-layer cloud, the RRS algorithm may retrieve a cloud pressure that is either between the two cloud decks or even beneath the top of the lower cloud deck because of scattering between the cloud layers; the retrieved pressure depends upon the viewing geometry and the optical depth of the upper cloud deck. (3) Absorbing aerosol in and above a cloud can produce significant errors in the retrieved cloud pressure. (4) The retrieved RRS effective pressure for a deep convective cloud will be significantly higher than the physical cloud top pressure derived with thermal IR.

Vasilkov, Alexander↗

DOE OSTI2019

3D Shortwave Radiative Kernels of Marine Boundary-layer Clouds Using Scanning Radar/Lidar and Array Spectroradiometer

This project set out to use synergetic measurements from the ARM program to observe 3D cloud field observations, and to investigate how inadequate treatment of the observed 3D characteristics of clouds in models may impact estimates of low-cloud feedback magnitude. The project comprises three components, including 1) retrieving cloud and precipitation properties, 2) developing fast radiative transfer code incorporating 3D cloud effects, and 3) estimating 3D effects/impacts on a global scale. This report documents our main research outcomes. Specifically, a novel cloud retrieval method is developed, allowing us to better characterize cloud population and sizes, drizzle properties and precipitation formation, and to better understand their interactions with aerosols. These observed 3D cloud fields were used in a fast radiative transfer code, helping discover non-negligible 3D radiative effects in the longwave spectral region. The retrieved cloud properties were also used to investigate several hypothesized cloud feedback processes.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

NASA NTRS2019

Turbulent Transport in the Gray Zone: A Large Eddy Model Intercomparison Study of the CONSTRAIN Cold Air Outbreak Case

To quantify the turbulent transport at gray zone length scales between 1 and 10 km the Lagrangian evolution of the CONSTRAIN cold air outbreak (CAO) case was simulated with seven large eddy models. The case is characterized by rather large latent and sensible heat fluxes, and a rapid deepening rate of the boundary layer. In some models the entrainment velocity exceeds 4 cm/s. A significant fraction of this growth is attributed to a strong longwave radiative cooling of the inversion layer. The evolution and the timing of the breakup of the stratocumulus cloud deck differ significantly among the models. Sensitivity experiments demonstrate that a decrease in the prescribed cloud droplet number concentration, and the inclusion of ice microphysics, both act to speed up the thinning of the stratocumulus by enhancing the production of precipitation. In all models the formation of mesoscale fluctuations is clearly evident in the cloud fields but also in the horizontal wind velocity. Resolved vertical fluxes remain important for scales up to 10 km. The simulation results show that the resolved vertical velocity variance gradually diminishes with a coarsening of the horizontal mesh, but the total vertical fluxes of heat, moisture, and momentum are only weakly affected. This is a promising result as it demonstrates the potential use of a mesh size dependent turbulent length scale for convective boundary layers at gray zone model resolutions.

gray zone↗

NASA NTRS1980

Spatially resolved methane band photometry of Jupiter. III - Cloud vertical structures for several axisymmetric bands and the Great Red Spot

The paper presents cloud structure models for Jupiter's Great Red Spot, Equatorial and North Tropical Zones, North and South Temperate Zones, and North and South Polar Regions. The models are based on images of Jupiter in three methane bands and nearby continuum; radiative transfer calculations include multiple scattering and absorption from three aerosol layers. The model results include the transition in the upper-cloud altitude to 3 km lower altitude from the tropical zones to temperate zones and polar regions, a N/S asymmetry in cloud thickness in the tropical and temperature zones, and the presence of aerosols up to about 0.3 bar in the Great Red Spot and Equatorial Zone. It is concluded that polarization data are sensitive to aerosols in and above the upper cloud layer but insensitive to deeper cloud structure.

West, R. A.↗

DOE OSTI2019

Evaluating Large-Eddy Simulations of Boundary-Layer Cloud Response to Climate Change using MAGIC Observations

Over the cool waters off California, a persistent and extensive deck of low-lying clouds forms atop a shallow, turbulent layer of moist air extending 500-2000 meters above the ocean, above which the air is much warmer and drier. Its west edge varies with weather and season and is typically half way to Hawaii. This cloud deck and similar cloud decks elsewhere reflect sunlight back to space, cooling the underlying ocean and indeed the entire planet. They must be accurately represented by a climate model to correctly simulate our current climate or future global warming. Most climate models suggest these cloud decks will thin and break up in a warmer CO 2 -enriched climate, so extra sunlight would reach the ocean surface and amplify warming worldwide. But these models have difficulty accurately simulating the cloud thickness and extent because the turbulent cloud-forming air currents are much too small to be simulated by their coarse computational grid. In 2012-2013, the DOE Atmospheric Radiation Measurement MAGIC program instrumented a container ship transiting between California and Hawaii to observe clouds and rain, small particles (aerosols), and weather conditions. Data were obtained from 20 4-6 day cruises in each direction. This study tested whether a sophisticated ‘large-eddy simulation’ (LES) of the turbulent air motions that create the clouds in this region accurately predicts the variations in cloud properties seen across the different cruises. If so, that model is more believable for predicting cloud changes in this region in a future warmer climate. Our LES used a numerical mesh over a 6.4x6.4 km region with 50 m horizontal and 5 m vertical grid spacing to simulate the cloud-forming eddies and the sharp overlying transition between moist and dry air. To better compare with MAGIC observations, we configured our model to simulate a region that moved along with the ship. We used a weather forecast model to specify effects of the large-scale air flow. We compared our results with balloon ascents, a radar and other instruments pointed upward at the clouds, measurements of downward sunlight and infrared radiation, aerosols, and weather variables for all suitable cruise periods. Our LES was remarkably skillful in predicting the cloudiness variations measured by the ship. MAGIC also sampled mesoscale cells, regions of cloud thickening and thinning over distances of 10-50 km. An LES run over a larger region 100 km on a side shows these cells form spontaneously, enhanced by strong radiative heat loss at the cloud tops.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

NASA NTRS2002

Cloud-Scale Numerical Modeling of the Arctic Boundary Layer

The research objective of this NASA grant-funded project was to determine in detail how large-scale processes. in combination with cloud-scale radiative, microphysical, and dynamical processes, govern the formation and multi-layered structure of Arctic stratus clouds. This information will be useful for developing and improving 1D (one dimensional) boundary layer models for the Arctic. Also, to quantitatively determine the effects of leads on the large-scale budgets of sensible heat, water vapor, and condensate in a variety of Arctic winter conditions. This information will be used to identify the most important lead-flux processes that require parameterization in climate models. Our approach was to use a high-resolution numerical model, the 2D (two dimensional) University of Utah Cloud Resolving Model (UU CRM), and its 1D version, the University of Utah Turbulence Closure Model (UU TCM), a boundary layer model based on third-moment turbulence closure, as well as a large-eddy simulation (LES) model originally developed by C.H. Moeng.

Kruegen, Steven K.↗

NASA NTRS2012

Simulating Mars' Dust Cycle with a Mars General Circulation Model: Effects of Water Ice Cloud Formation on Dust Lifting Strength and Seasonality

The dust cycle is critically important for the current climate of Mars. The radiative effects of dust impact the thermal and dynamical state of the atmosphere [1,2,3]. Although dust is present in the Martian atmosphere throughout the year, the level of dustiness varies with season. The atmosphere is generally the dustiest during northern fall and winter and the least dusty during northern spring and summer [4]. Dust particles are lifted into the atmosphere by dust storms that range in size from meters to thousands of kilometers across [5]. Regional storm activity is enhanced before northern winter solstice (Ls~200 degrees - 240 degrees), and after northern solstice (Ls~305 degrees - 340 degrees ), which produces elevated atmospheric dust loadings during these periods [5,6,7]. These pre- and post- solstice increases in dust loading are thought to be associated with transient eddy activity in the northern hemisphere with cross-equatorial transport of dust leading to enhanced dust lifting in the southern hemisphere [6]. Interactive dust cycle studies with Mars General Circulation Models (MGCMs) have included the lifting, transport, and sedimentation of radiatively active dust. Although the predicted global dust loadings from these simulations capture some aspects of the observed dust cycle, there are marked differences between the simulated and observed dust cycles [8,9,10]. Most notably, the maximum dust loading is robustly predicted by models to occur near northern winter solstice and is due to dust lifting associated with down slope flows on the flanks of the Hellas basin. Thus far, models have had difficulty simulating the observed pre- and post- solstice peaks in dust loading.

Kahre, Melinda A.↗

DOE OSTI2021

Impacts of secondary ice production on Arctic mixed-phase clouds based on ARM observations and CAM6 single-column model simulations

For decades, measured ice crystal number concentrations have been found to be orders of magnitude higher than measured ice-nucleating particle number concentrations in moderately cold clouds. This observed discrepancy reveals the existence of secondary ice production (SIP) in addition to the primary ice nucleation. However, the importance of SIP relative to primary ice nucleation remains highly unclear. Furthermore, most weather and climate models do not represent SIP processes well, leading to large biases in simulated cloud properties. This study demonstrates a first attempt to represent different SIP mechanisms (frozen raindrop shattering, ice–ice collisional breakup, and rime splintering) in a global climate model (GCM). The model is run in the single column mode to facilitate comparisons with the Department of Energy (DOE)'s Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Mixed-Phase Arctic Cloud Experiment (M-PACE) observations. We show the important role of SIP in four types of clouds during M-PACE (i.e., multilayer, single-layer stratus, transition, and frontal clouds), with the maximum enhancement in ice crystal number concentrations up to 4 orders of magnitude in moderately supercooled clouds. We reveal that SIP is the dominant source of ice crystals near the cloud base for the long-lived Arctic single-layer mixed-phase clouds. The model with SIP improves the occurrence and phase partitioning of the mixed-phase clouds, reverses the vertical distribution pattern of ice number concentrations, and provides a better agreement with observations. The findings of this study highlight the importance of considering SIP in GCMs.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

NASA NTRS2008

Radiative Susceptibility of Cloudy Atmospheres to Droplet Number Perturbations: 1. Theoretical Analysis and Examples from MODIS

Theoretical and satellite-based assessments of the sensitivity of broadband shortwave radiative fluxes in cloudy atmospheres to small perturbations in the cloud droplet number concentration (N) of liquid water clouds under constant water conditions are performed. Two approaches to study this sensitivity are adopted: absolute increases in N, for which the radiative response is referred to as absolute cloud susceptibility, and relative increases in N or relative cloud susceptibility. Estimating the former is more challenging as it requires an assumed value for either cloud liquid water content or geometrical thickness; both susceptibilities require an assumed relationship between the droplet volume and effective radius. Expanding upon previous susceptibility studies, present radiative calculations include the effect of AN perturbations on droplet asymmetry parameter and single-scattering albedo, in addition to extinction. Absolute cloud susceptibility has a strong nonlinear dependence on the droplet effective radius as expected, while relative cloud susceptibility is primarily dependent on optical thickness. Molecular absorption and reflecting surfaces both reduce the relative contribution of the cloud to the top-of-atmosphere (TOA) flux and therefore also reduce the TOA albedo susceptibility. Transmittance susceptibilities are negative with absolute values similar to albedo susceptibility, while atmospheric absorptance susceptibilities are about an order of magnitude smaller than albedo susceptibilities and can be either positive or negative. Observation-based susceptibility calculations are derived from MODIS pixel-level retrievals of liquid water cloud optical thickness, effective radius, and cloud top temperature; two data granule examples are shown. Susceptibility quantifies the aerosol indirect effect sensitivity in a way that can be easily computed from model fields. As such, susceptibilities derived from MODIS observations provide a higher-order test of model cloud properties used for indirect effect studies. MODIS-derived global distributions of cloud susceptibility and radiative forcing calculations are presented in a companion paper.

Platnick, Steven↗

NASA NTRS2009

A Contribution by Ice Nuclei to Global Warming

Ice nuclei (IN) significantly affect clouds via supercooled droplets, that in turn modulate atmospheric radiation and thus climate change. Since the IN effect is relatively strong in stratiform clouds but weak in convective ones, the overall effect depends on the ratio of stratiform to convective cloud amount. In this paper, 10 years of TRMM (Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission) satellite data are analyzed to confirm that stratiform precipitation fraction increases with increasing latitude, which implies that the IN effect is stronger at higher latitudes. To quantitatively evaluate the IN effect versus latitude, large-scale forcing data from ten field campaigns are used to drive a CRM (cloud-resolving model) to generate longterm cloud simulations. As revealed in the simulations, the increase in the net downward radiative flux at the TOA (top of the atmosphere) from doubling the current IN concentrations is larger at higher latitude, which is attributed to the meridional tendency in the stratiform precipitation fraction. Surface warming from doubling the IN concentrations, based on the radiative balance of the globe, is compared with that from anthropogenic COZ . It is found that the former effect is stronger than the latter in middle and high latitudes but not in the Tropics. With regard to the impact of IN on global warming, there are two factors to consider: the radiative effect from increasing the IN concentration and the increase in IN concentration itself. The former relies on cloud ensembles and thus varies mainly with latitude. In contrast, the latter relies on IN sources (e.g., the land surface distribution) and thus varies not only with latitude but also longitude. Global desertification and industrialization provide clues on the geographic variation of the increase in IN concentration since pre-industrial times. Thus, their effect on global warming can be inferred and then be compared with observations. A general match in geographic and seasonal variations between the inferred and observed warming suggests that IN may have contributed positively to global warming over the past decades, especially in middle and high latitudes.

Zeng, Xiping↗

NASA NTRS2016

The South Residual CO2 Cap on Mars: Investigations with a Mars Global Climate Model

The CO2 cycle is one of the three controlling climate cycles on Mars. One aspect of the CO2 cycle that is not yet fully understood is the existence of a residual CO2 ice cap that is offset from the south pole. Previous investigations suggest that the atmosphere could control the placement of the south residual cap (e.g., Colaprete et al., 2005). These investigations show that topographically forced stationary eddies in the south during southern hemisphere winter produce colder atmospheric temperatures and increased CO2 snowfall over the hemisphere where the residual cap resides. Since precipitated CO2 ice produces higher surface albedos than directly deposited CO2 ice, it is plausible that CO2 snowfall resulting from the zonally asymmetric atmospheric circulation produces surface ice albedos high enough to maintain a residual cap only in one hemisphere. Our current work builds on these initial investigations with a version of the NASA Ames Mars Global Climate Model (GCM) that includes a sophisticated CO2 cloud microphysical scheme. Processes of cloud nucleation, growth, sedimentation, and radiative effects are accounted for. Simulated results thus far agree well with the Colaprete et al. study—the zonally asymmetric nature of the atmospheric circulation produces enhanced snowfall over the residual cap hemisphere throughout much of the winter season. However, the predicted snowfall patterns vary significantly with season throughout the cap growth and recession phases. We will present a detailed analysis of the seasonal evolution of the predicted atmospheric circulation and snowfall patterns to more fully evaluate the hypothesis that the atmosphere controls the placement of the south residual cap.

climate cycles on Mars↗