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At least 1,369 records · Page 76

Improved evaluation of safeguards parameters from spent fuel measurements with the Differential Die-Away (DDA) instrument

The Differential Die-Away (DDA) technique is a highly sensitive non-destructive assay method for characterizing and detecting the presence of fissile material within an item of interest. DDA utilizes a series of pulses from a neutron generator (NG) to actively interrogate an item of interest. The die-away time of the neutron population induced by this active interrogation and the integral of the total differential die-away signal can be used to characterize items such as nuclear waste drums and spent nuclear fuel assemblies. In this work, Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) conceptualized, designed, and fabricated a DDA instrument that was deployed for field test measurements at the Central Interim Storage Facility for Spent Nuclear Fuel (Clab) in Oskarshamn, Sweden. The instrument performed multiple static measurements at fixed locations and dynamic axial scans of 15 pressurized water reactor (PWR) and 10 boiling water reactor (BWR) spent fuel assemblies, collecting both passive and active measurement data. The static assays of the assemblies measured the differential die-away signal, die-away time, and total passive neutron emission rate to create calibration curves for the evaluation of assembly multiplication, burnup, initial enrichment, effective fissile mass, and total elemental plutonium mass. Each calibration curve was optimized by minimizing the relative root mean square error (RRMSE) of assembly assay results compared to declared assembly parameters. The same quantities were also measured with the axial scans, and the resulting data were applied in two ways: (1) in the creation of calibration curves to improve evaluation of the same safeguards parameters as static assays, and (2) for comparison to simulation. In most cases, across both PWR and BWR assemblies, axial scan data improved the estimation of the above parameters, quantified by decreasing the calibration curve RRMSE. These axial scan results demonstrate the ability of the DDA instrument and analysis method to characterize spent PWR and BWR fuel as well as, or better than, a static assay of the same assembly. Furthermore, the DDA instrument’s unique ability to obtain both active and passive data in a single, axial scan of an entire spent fuel assembly represents a more efficient and accurate way of assaying spent fuel for verification purposes. These results represent a significant advancement for characterizing spent nuclear fuel compared to current technologies.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

CDGPS-Based Relative Navigation for Multiple Spacecraft

This thesis investigates the use of Carrier-phase Differential GPS (CDGPS) in relative navigation filters for formation flying spacecraft. This work analyzes the relationship between the Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) design parameters and the resulting estimation accuracies, and in particular, the effect of the process and measurement noises on the semimajor axis error. This analysis clearly demonstrates that CDGPS-based relative navigation Kalman filters yield good estimation performance without satisfying the strong correlation property that previous work had associated with "good" navigation filters. Several examples are presented to show that the Kalman filter can be forced to create solutions with stronger correlations, but these always result in larger semimajor axis errors. These linear and nonlinear simulations also demonstrated the crucial role of the process noise in determining the semimajor axis knowledge. More sophisticated nonlinear models were included to reduce the propagation error in the estimator, but for long time steps and large separations, the EKF, which only uses a linearized covariance propagation, yielded very poor performance. In contrast, the CDGPS-based Unscented Kalman relative navigation Filter (UKF) handled the dynamic and measurement nonlinearities much better and yielded far superior performance than the EKF. The UKF produced good estimates for scenarios with long baselines and time steps for which the EKF would diverge rapidly. A hardware-in-the-loop testbed that is compatible with the Spirent Simulator at NASA GSFC was developed to provide a very flexible and robust capability for demonstrating CDGPS technologies in closed-loop. This extended previous work to implement the decentralized relative navigation algorithms in real time.

Mitchell, Megan Leigh↗

Analysis of Heat Transfer from Local Heating and Cooling Sources at Cryogenic Temperatures

Understanding the dispersion of heat around a cryogenic fluid tank, specifically the interaction between the cryogenic fluid and the tank wall is critical in the analysis of long duration cryogen storage in microgravity. The heat transfer interaction between a cryogenic storage tank and heat sources from external spacecraft structures is also one of the many factors that determine how much heat enters a tank. Recent flight experiments with two-phase fluids have indicated that local concentrations of heat input (also known as “hot spots”) can cause unwanted affects including local boiling. Computational fluid dynamic (CFD) models can provide a detailed assessment of the heat transfer occurring across a cryogenic storage system. However, CFD modeling takes time to construct and run. A simpler approach that can act as initial guidance for later CFD modeling analyzes external “hot spots” as point or finite heat sources. A radial, finite element network or a local direct solution can effectively estimate the heat spread across a cryogenic storage tank by calculating the temperature and heat load as a function of distance from the heat source. This calculation accounts for the convective heat transfer between the cryogenic fluid and storage tank surface. Similar approaches can be used to determine the effectiveness of cooling from a cryocooler as a finite, local heat sink. This approach allows for quick approximations of the thermal map across a cryogenic tank as well as sensitivity analysis under a wide range of design parameters including gravitational fields as implied through natural convection coefficients.

Cryogenic Fluid Management↗

8760-Based Method for Representing Variable Generation Capacity Value in Capacity Expansion Models

Capacity expansion models (CEMs) are widely used to evaluate the least-cost portfolio of electricity generators, transmission, and storage needed to reliably serve load over many years or decades. CEMs can be computationally complex and are often forced to estimate key parameters using simplified methods to achieve acceptable solve times or for other reasons. In this paper, we discuss one of these parameters -- capacity value (CV). We first provide a high-level motivation for and overview of CV. We next describe existing modeling simplifications and an alternate approach for estimating CV that utilizes hourly '8760' data of load and VG resources. We then apply this 8760 method to an established CEM, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory's (NREL's) Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) model (Eurek et al. 2016). While this alternative approach for CV is not itself novel, it contributes to the broader CEM community by (1) demonstrating how a simplified 8760 hourly method, which can be easily implemented in other power sector models when data is available, more accurately captures CV trends than a statistical method within the ReEDS CEM, and (2) providing a flexible modeling framework from which other 8760-based system elements (e.g., demand response, storage, and transmission) can be added to further capture important dynamic interactions, such as curtailment.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Coupled magnetostructural continuum model for multiferroic BiFeO 3

Here, a continuum approach to study magnetoelectric multiferroic BiFeO 3 (BFO) is proposed. Our modeling effort marries the ferroelectric (FE) phase field method and micromagnetic simulations to describe the entire multiferroic order parameter sector (polarization, oxygen antiphase tilts, strain, and magnetism) self-consistently on the same time- and length scale. In this paper, we discuss our choice of FE and magnetic energy terms and demonstrate benchmarks against known behavior. We parametrize the lowest order couplings of the structural distortions against previous predictions from density functional theory calculations giving access to simulations of the FE domain wall (DW) topology. This allows us to estimate the energetic hierarchy and thicknesses of the numerous structural DWs. We then extend the model to the canted antiferromagnetic order and demonstrate how the FE domain boundaries influence the resulting magnetic DWs. We also highlight some capabilities of this model by providing two examples relevant for applications. We demonstrate spin-wave transmission through the multiferroic domain boundaries which identify rectification in qualitative agreement with recent experimental observations. As a second example of application, we model fully dynamical magnetoelectric switching, where we find a sensitivity on the Gilbert damping with respect to switching pathways. We envision that this modeling effort will set the basis for further work on properties of arbitrary 3D nanostructures of BFO (and related multiferroics) at the mesoscale.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Role of Satellite Rainfall Information in Improving Understanding of the Dynamical Link Between the Tropics and Extratropics Prospects of Improved Forecasts of Weather and Short-Term Climate Variability on Sub-Seasonal Time Scales

The tropics and extratropics are two dynamically distinct regimes. The coupling between these two regimes often defies simple analytical treatment. Progress in understanding of the dynamical interaction between the tropics and extratropics relies on better observational descriptions to guide theoretical development. However, global analyses currently contain significant errors in primary hydrological variables such as precipitation, evaporation, moisture, and clouds, especially in the tropics. Tropical analyses have been shown to be sensitive to parameterized precipitation processes, which are less than perfect, leading to order-one discrepancies between estimates produced by different data assimilation systems. One strategy for improvement is to assimilate rainfall observations to constrain the analysis and reduce uncertainties in variables physically linked to precipitation. At the Data Assimilation Office at the NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, we have been exploring the use of tropical rain rates derived from the TRMM Microwave Imager (TMI) and the Special Sensor Microwave/ Imager (SSM/I) instruments in global data assimilation. Results show that assimilating these data improves not only rainfall and moisture fields but also related climate parameters such as clouds and radiation, as well as the large-scale circulation and short-range forecasts. These studies suggest that assimilation of microwave rainfall observations from space has the potential to significantly improve the quality of 4-D assimilated datasets for climate investigations (Hou et al. 2001). In the next few years, there will be a gradual increase in microwave rain products available from operational and research satellites, culminating to a target constellation of 9 satellites to provide global rain measurements every 3 hours with the proposed Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission in 2007. Continued improvements in assimilation methodology, rainfall error estimates, and model parameterizations are needed to ensure that we derive maximum benefits from these observations.

Hou, Arthur Y.↗

Analysis of Wind Tunnel Lateral Oscillatory Data of the F-16XL Aircraft

Static and dynamic wind tunnel tests were performed on an 18% scale model of the F-16XL aircraft. These tests were performed over a wide range of angles of attack and sideslip with oscillation amplitudes from 5 deg. to 30 deg. and reduced frequencies from 0.073 to 0.269. Harmonic analysis was used to estimate Fourier coefficients and in-phase and out-of-phase components. For frequency dependent data from rolling oscillations, a two-step regression method was used to obtain unsteady models (indicial functions), and derivatives due to sideslip angle, roll rate and yaw rate from in-phase and out-of-phase components. Frequency dependence was found for angles of attack between 20 deg. and 50 deg. Reduced values of coefficient of determination and increased values of fit error were found for angles of attack between 35 deg. and 45 deg. An attempt to estimate model parameters from yaw oscillations failed, probably due to the low number of test cases at different frequencies.

Klein, Vladislav↗

Dynamic Model of Basic Oxygen Steelmaking Process Based on Multizone Reaction Kinetics: Modeling of Decarburization

In a previous study by the authors (Rout et al. in Metall Mater Trans B 49:537–557, 2018), a dynamic model for the BOF, employing the concept of multizone kinetics was developed. In the current study, the kinetics of decarburization reaction is investigated. The jet impact and slag–metal emulsion zones were identified to be primary zones for carbon oxidation. The dynamic parameters in the rate equation of decarburization such as residence time of metal drops in the emulsion, interfacial area evolution, initial size, and the effects of surface-active oxides have been included in the kinetic rate equation of the metal droplet. A modified mass-transfer coefficient based on the ideal Langmuir adsorption equilibrium has been proposed to take into account the surface blockage effects of SiO{sub 2} and P{sub 2}O{sub 5} in slag on the decarburization kinetics of a metal droplet in the emulsion. Further, a size distribution function has been included in the rate equation to evaluate the effect of droplet size on reaction kinetics. The mathematical simulation indicates that decarburization of the droplet in the emulsion is a strong function of the initial size and residence time. A modified droplet generation rate proposed previously by the authors has been used to estimate the total decarburization rate by slag–metal emulsion. The model’s prediction shows that about 76 pct of total carbon is removed by reactions in the emulsion, and the remaining is removed by reactions at the jet impact zone. The predicted bath carbon by the model has been found to be in good agreement with the industrially measured data.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Atomistic and cluster dynamics modeling of fission gas (Xe) diffusivity in TRISO fuel kernels

TRISO fuel particles are candidates for use in next generation reactors including gas reactors, fluoride salt-cooled high temperature reactors, and micro-reactors. The UCO fuel kernel consists of a uranium dioxide (UO) and uranium carbide mixture. The addition of UC helps suppress the formation of carbon monoxide gas, which led to failures during initial TRISO development. The addition of uranium carbide alters the chemistry of the UO kernel, which is known to influence performance parameters such as fission gas diffusivity, although the impact has not been quantified and no models exist that take the change in chemistry into account. Therefore, better understanding and more accurate models of the impact of chemistry on fuel performance are of high priority. In this paper, a first-principles density functional theory (DFT) and empirical potential based multi-scale study has been carried out to model the diffusivity of fission gas xenon (Xe) in UCO TRISO fuel kernels. The focus is on the UO component in the UCO fuel kernels, as that represents the largest volume fraction of the fuel kernels. The study relies on DFT and empirical potential calculations to determine Xe and point defect properties, which are then used in thermodynamic and kinetic models to predict diffusion for intrinsic conditions. In addition, the information is utilized in cluster dynamics simulations using the Centipede code to estimate the impact of irradiation on defect transport. Additionally, the presence of UC or UC in the UCO fuel kernels is shown to have a substantial impact on the UO non-stoichiometry by inducing oxygen vacancies and driving UO sub-stoichiometric, which causes much slower Xe diffusion in UCO compared to light water reactor UO fuel. The application of this model in fuel performance simulations using the Bison code is also demonstrated.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

A Probabilistic Model for Global EMIC Wave Activity Using Van Allen Probes Observations

Electromagnetic ion cyclotron (EMIC) waves play a key role in radiation belt dynamics through resonant interactions. However, their low occurrence probability, high variability, and spatial intermittency pose challenges for accurate modeling. In this study, we present a machine learning (ML)-based global EMIC wave model built on the entire data set from the Van Allen Probes mission. To capture the distinct statistical characteristics of wave occurrence and amplitude, the model is separated into two modules: an occurrence model trained using ML techniques, and a wave amplitude model sampled from observed probability distributions. The input parameters are limited to real-time or predictable variables to ensure practical applicability. Our model shows strong performance across the entire test set and demonstrates improved predictive capability over a baseline random occurrence model, particularly during quiet geomagnetic conditions. Evaluation during both quiet and active periods confirms the model's ability to represent the clustered and intermittent nature of EMIC wave activity. Furthermore, the model provides global estimates of wave power, enabling integration with radiation belt electron data and showing signatures consistent with wave-induced scattering. We found a good correlation between the global wave activity from the model and relativistic electron observation by Van Allen Probes, regardless of the availability of in situ wave observations. The modular structure of the model also allows for straightforward expansion for additional wave properties, such as wave frequency, which can be modeled independently. This flexible, event-sensitive approach offers a promising framework for data-driven radiation belt simulations and space weather applications.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

The XXL Survey: XVII. X-ray and Sunyaev-Zel’dovich properties of the redshift 2.0 galaxy cluster XLSSC 122

We present results from a 100 ks XMM-Newton observation of galaxy cluster XLSSC 122, the first massive cluster discovered through its X-ray emission at z ≈ 2. The data provide the first precise constraints on the bulk thermodynamic properties of such a distant cluster, as well as an X-ray spectroscopic confirmation of its redshift. We measure an average temperature of kT = 5.0 ± 0.7 keV; a metallicity with respect to solar of Z/Z ⊙ = 0:33 -0.17 +0.19 , consistent with lower-redshift clusters; and a redshift of z = 1.99 -0.07 -0.06 , consistent with the earlier photo-z estimate. The measured gas density profile leads to a mass estimate at r 500 of M 500 = (6.3 ± 1.5) x 10 13 M ⊙ . From CARMA 30 GHz data, we measure the spherically integrated Compton parameter within r 500 to be Y 500 = (3.6 ± 0.4) x 10 -12 . We compare the measured properties of XLSSC 122 to lower-redshift cluster samples, and find good agreement when assuming the simplest (self-similar) form for the evolution of cluster scaling relations. While a single cluster provides limited information, this result suggests that the evolution of the intracluster medium in the most massive, well developed clusters is remarkably simple, even out to the highest redshifts where they have been found. At the same time, our data reaffirm the previously reported spatial offset between the centers of the X-ray and SZ signals for XLSSC 122, suggesting a disturbed configuration. Higher spatial resolution data could thus provide greater insights into the internal dynamics of this system.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Reaction rates for reaction-diffusion kinetics on unstructured meshes

The reaction-diffusion master equation is a stochastic model often utilized in the study of biochemical reaction networks in living cells. It is applied when the spatial distribution of molecules is important to the dynamics of the system. A viable approach to resolve the complex geometry of cells accurately is to discretize space with an unstructured mesh. Diffusion is modeled as discrete jumps between nodes on the mesh, and the diffusion jump rates can be obtained through a discretization of the diffusion equation on the mesh. Reactions can occur when molecules occupy the same voxel. Here in this paper, we develop a method for computing accurate reaction rates between molecules occupying the same voxel in an unstructured mesh. For large voxels, these rates are known to be well approximated by the reaction rates derived by Collins and Kimball, but as the mesh is refined, no analytical expression for the rates exists. We reduce the problem of computing accurate reaction rates to a pure preprocessing step, depending only on the mesh and not on the model parameters, and we devise an efficient numerical scheme to estimate them to high accuracy. We show in several numerical examples that as we refine the mesh, the results obtained with the reaction-diffusion master equation approach those of a more fine-grained Smoluchowski particle-tracking model.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Global Data-Driven Determination of Baryon Transition Form Factors

Hadronic resonances emerge from strong interactions encoding the dynamics of quarks and gluons. The structure of these resonances can be probed by virtual photons parametrized in transition form factors. Here, in this study, twelve N* and Δ transition form factors at the pole are extracted from data with the center-of-mass energy from πN threshold to 1.8 GeV, and the photon virtuality 0 ≤ Q 2 /GeV 2 ≤ 8. For the first time, these results are determined from a simultaneous analysis of more than one state, i.e., ~10 5 π⁢N, η⁢N, and K⁢Λ electroproduction data. In addition, about 5×10 4 data in the hadronic sector as well as photoproduction serve as boundary conditions. For the Δ⁡(1232) and N⁡(1440) states our results are in qualitative agreement with previous studies, while the transition form factors at the poles of some higher excited states are estimated for the first time. Realistic uncertainties are determined by further exploring the parameter space.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Attitude determination using an adaptive multiple model filtering Scheme

Attitude determination has been considered as a permanent topic of active research and perhaps remaining as a forever-lasting interest for spacecraft system designers. Its role is to provide a reference for controls such as pointing the directional antennas or solar panels, stabilizing the spacecraft or maneuvering the spacecraft to a new orbit. Least Square Estimation (LSE) technique was utilized to provide attitude determination for the Nimbus 6 and G. Despite its poor performance (estimation accuracy consideration), LSE was considered as an effective and practical approach to meet the urgent need and requirement back in the 70's. One reason for this poor performance associated with the LSE scheme is the lack of dynamic filtering or 'compensation'. In other words, the scheme is based totally on the measurements and no attempts were made to model the dynamic equations of motion of the spacecraft. We propose an adaptive filtering approach which employs a bank of Kalman filters to perform robust attitude estimation. The proposed approach, whose architecture is depicted, is essentially based on the latest proof on the interactive multiple model design framework to handle the unknown of the system noise characteristics or statistics. The concept fundamentally employs a bank of Kalman filter or submodel, instead of using fixed values for the system noise statistics for each submodel (per operating condition) as the traditional multiple model approach does, we use an on-line dynamic system noise identifier to 'identify' the system noise level (statistics) and update the filter noise statistics using 'live' information from the sensor model. The advanced noise identifier, whose architecture is also shown, is implemented using an advanced system identifier. To insure the robust performance for the proposed advanced system identifier, it is also further reinforced by a learning system which is implemented (in the outer loop) using neural networks to identify other unknown quantities such as spacecraft dynamics parameters, gyro biases, dynamic disturbances, or environment variations.

Lam, Quang↗

Static and Dynamic Contributions to the Splitting of the Eu{sup 2+} Ground State in SrMoO{sub 4}

The EPR spectrum of an Eu{sup 2+} impurity center in a SrMoO{sub 4} single crystal in the temperature range T = 1.8, 111–300 K has been studied, and the temperature changes in the spin Hamiltonian parameters describing the EPR spectrum of odd europium isotopes have been determined. It is shown that small temperature changes in the diagonal parameters of the spin Hamiltonian (for odd Eu{sup 2+} isotopes) b{sub 2}{sup 0}(T) = b{sub 2}(F) + b{sub 2}(L) and P{sub 2}{sup 0}(T) = P{sub 2}(F) + P{sub 2}(L) are explained by the compensation of spin–phonon contributions b{sub 2}(F) and P{sub 2}(F) by the contributions of the lattice thermal expansion b{sub 2}(L) and P{sub 2}(L). The quantities b{sub 2}(L) and P{sub 2}(L) that are dependent on the static lattice parameters at a given temperature, are estimated in terms of the superposition Newman model. Then, the spin–phonon b{sub 2}(F) and P{sub 2}(F) contributions determined by the lattice ion vibrations are separated. An analysis shows that b{sub 2}{sup 0}(F) and P{sub 2}{sup 0}(F) > 0, b{sub 2}(L) and P{sub 2}(L) < 0, and the temperature behavior of the spin–phonon contribution is well described by G. Pfister’s model of local vibrations.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

On the estimation algorithm for adaptive performance optimization of turbofan engines

The performance seeking control (PSC) algorithm is designed to continuously optimize the performance of propulsion systems. The PSC algorithm uses a nominal propulsion system model and estimates, in flight, the engine deviation parameters (EDPs) characterizing the engine deviations with respect to nominal conditions. In practice, because of measurement biases and/or model uncertainties, the estimated EDPs may not reflect the engine's actual off-nominal condition. This factor has a direct impact on the PSC scheme exacerbated by the open-loop character of the algorithm. In this paper, the effects produced by unknown measurement biases over the estimation algorithm are evaluated. This evaluation allows for identification of the most critical measurements for application of the PSC algorithm to an F100 engine. An equivalence relation between the biases and EDPs stems from the analysis; therefore, it is undecided whether the estimated EDPs represent the actual engine deviation or whether they simply reflect the measurement biases. A new algorithm, based on the engine's (steady-state) optimization model, is proposed and tested with flight data. When compared with previous Kalman filter schemes, based on local engine dynamic models, the new algorithm is easier to design and tune and it reduces the computational burden of the onboard computer.

Espana, Martin D.↗

Surface Time-Variable Gravity Signals and Possible Sources Including Core Mass Flow

Over two decades of geodetic satellite-laser-ranging (SLR) data show that the variation of the Earth's oblateness parameter J2 has a clear seasonal signal of amplitude of about 3e-10 and a secular decrease of about -2.8e-11/year, superimposed on some interesting interannual fluctuations. Physically, any change in mass distribution or/inside the Earth will be reflected in the time-variable gravity signal obtained outside the Earth, according to Newton s gravitational law. Therefore, such signal contains contributions from all geophysical sources that redistribute mass, on all temporal and spatial scales, including those from the core. Besides Earth rotation and geomagnetic field variations, the time-variable gravity also contains information linking Earth surface observations with internal core dynamical processes. The time scales of the gravity signal are critical in helping differentiate different contributions. The atmosphere and hydrosphere are responsible for the seasonal and much of the interannual and intraseasoanl fluctuations, while the secular trend is due mainly to the post-glacial rebound but possibly core mass flow. To estimate the latter effect, we use our MoSST (Modular, Scalable, Self-consistent, Three-dimensional) core dynamics model to forward simulate the core flow, and density variation due to the core convection. Our results suggest that, when upward continued to the surface, the J2 component of the core mass redistribution can reach an overall amplitude of e-11/year, approaching the SLR detectability and significant in geophysical terms. We also find a general westward drift of the mass flow, with a speed comparable to that of the geomagnetic westward drift.

Chao, Benjamin F.↗

Cutting out the middleman: calibrating and validating a dynamic vegetation model (ED2-PROSPECT5) using remotely sensed surface reflectance

Canopy radiative transfer is the primary mechanism by which models relate vegetation composition and state to the surface energy balance, which is important to light- and temperature-sensitive plant processes as well as understanding land–atmosphere feedbacks. In addition, certain parameters (e.g., specific leaf area, SLA) that have an outsized influence on vegetation model behavior can be constrained by observations of shortwave reflectance, thus reducing model predictive uncertainty. Importantly, calibrating against radiative transfer outputs allows models to directly use remote sensing reflectance products without relying on highly derived products (such as MODIS leaf area index) whose assumptions may be incompatible with the target vegetation model and whose uncertainties are usually not well quantified. Here, we created the EDR model by coupling the two-stream representation of canopy radiative transfer in the Ecosystem Demography model version 2 (ED2) with a leaf radiative transfer model (PROSPECT-5) and a simple soil reflectance model to predict full-range, high-spectral-resolution surface reflectance that is dependent on the underlying ED2 model state. We then calibrated this model against estimates of hemispherical reflectance (corrected for directional effects) from the NASA Airborne Visible/Infrared Imaging Spectrometer (AVIRIS) and survey data from 54 temperate forest plots in the northeastern United States. The calibration significantly reduced uncertainty in model parameters related to leaf biochemistry and morphology and canopy structure for five plant functional types.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗