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At least 1,369 records · Page 76

A probabilistic model for the evaluation of fault-tolerant multiprocessor systems using concurrent error detection

A probabilistic model to evaluate fault-tolerant multiprocessor systems has been developed. The matrix-based model and the analysis algorihtms based on it are described. Various probabilities associated with an algorithm-based fault tolerance system are discussed and the fault coverage of a given check is derived analytically and illustrated with examples. The probability matrices that are formed by introducing the spatial probabilities into the matrix model are considered. Based on these matrices, a technique is developed to determine the combined coverage of multiple numbers of checks. Examples of the analysis of systems using the model are given.

Nair, V. S. S.↗

Discrete model reference adaptive control with an augmented error signal

A method for designing discrete model reference adaptive control systems when one has access to only the plant's input and output signals is given. Controllers for single-input, single-output, nonlinear, nonautonomous plants are developed via Liapunov's second method. Anticipative values of the plant output are not required, but are replaced by signals easily obtained from a low-pass filter operating on the plant's output. The augmented error signal method is employed, ensuring finally that the normally used error signal also approaches zero asymptotically.

Ionescu, T.↗

Gravity model development for TOPEX/POSEIDON: Joint gravity models 1 and 2

The TOPEX/POSEIDON (T/P) prelaunch Joint Gravity Model-1 (JGM-1) and the postlaunch JGM-2 Earth gravitational models have been developed to support precision orbit determination for T/P. Each of these models is complete to degree 70 in spherical harmonics and was computed from a combination of satellite tracking data, satellite altimetry, and surface gravimetry. While improved orbit determination accuracies for T/P have driven the improvements in the models, the models are general in application and also provide an improved geoid for oceanographic computations. The postlaunch model, JGM-2, which includes T/P satellite laser ranging (SLR) and Doppler orbitography and radiopositioning integrated by satellite (DORIS) tracking data, introduces radial orbit errors for T/P that are only 2 cm RMS with the commission errors of the marine geoid for terms to degree 70 being +/- 25 cm. Errors in modeling the nonconservative forces acting on T/P increase the total radial errors to only 3-4 cm root mean square (RMS), a result much better than premission goals. While the orbit accuracy goal for T/P has been far surpassed geoid errors still prevent the absolute determination of the ocean dynamic topography for wavelengths shorter than about 2500 km. Only a dedicated gravitational field satellite mission will likely provide the necessary improvement in the geoid.

Nerem, R. S.↗

Bit error rate testing of a proof-of-concept model baseband processor

Bit-error-rate tests were performed on a proof-of-concept baseband processor. The BBP, which operates at an intermediate frequency in the C-Band, demodulates, demultiplexes, routes, remultiplexes, and remodulates digital message segments received from one ground station for retransmission to another. Test methods are discussed and test results are compared with the Contractor's test results.

Stover, J. B.↗

Photometric redshifts and intrinsic alignments: Degeneracies and biases in the 3 × 2 pt analysis

We present a systematic study of cosmological parameter bias in weak lensing and large-scale structure analyses for upcoming imaging surveys induced by the interplay of intrinsic alignments (IA) and photometric redshift (photo-z) model misspecification error. We first examine the degeneracies between the parameters of the tidal alignment–tidal torquing (TATT) model for IA and of a photo-z model including a mean shift ( Δ z ¯ ) and variance ( σ z ) for each tomographic bin of lenses and sources, under a variety of underlying true IA behaviors. We identify strong degeneracies between: (1) the redshift scaling of the tidal alignment amplitude and the mean shift and variances of source bins, (2) the redshift scaling of the tidal torquing amplitude and the variance of the lowest- z source bin, and (3) the IA source density weighting and the mean shift and variance of several source bins. We then use this information to guide our exploration of the level of cosmological parameter bias which can be induced given incorrect modeling of IA, photo-z, or both. We find that marginalizing over all the parameters of TATT is generally sufficient to preclude cosmological parameter bias in the scenarios we consider. However, this does not necessarily mean that IA and photo-z parameters are themselves unbiased, nor does it mean that the best-fit model is a good fit to the data. We also find scenarios where the inferred parameters produce χ d . o . f . 2 values indicative of a good fit but cosmological parameter bias is significant, particularly when the IA source density weighting parameter is not marginalized over. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Rearrangements of 2.5 Kilobases of Noncoding DNA from the Drosophila even-skipped Locus Define Predictive Rules of Genomic cis-Regulatory Logic

Rearrangements of about 2.5 kilobases of regulatory DNA located 59 of the transcription start site of the Drosophila even skipped locus generate large-scale changes in the expression of even-skipped stripes 2, 3, and 7. The most radical effects are generated by juxtaposing the minimal stripe enhancers MSE2 and MSE3 for stripes 2 and 3 with and without small ‘‘spacer’’ segments less than 360 bp in length. We placed these fusion constructs in a targeted transformation site and obtained quantitative expression data for these transformants together with their controlling transcription factors at cellular resolution. These data demonstrated that the rearrangements can alter expression levels in stripe 2 and the 2–3 interstripe by a factor of more than 10. We reasoned that this behavior would place tight constraints on possible rules of genomic cisregulatory logic. To find these constraints, we confronted our new expression data together with previously obtained data on other constructs with a computational model. The model contained representations of thermodynamic protein–DNA interactions including steric interference and cooperative binding, short-range repression, direct repression, activation, and coactivation. The model was highly constrained by the training data, which it described within the limits of experimental error. The model, so constrained, was able to correctly predict expression patterns driven by enhancers for other Drosophila genes; even-skipped enhancers not included in the training set; stripe 2, 3, and 7 enhancers from various Drosophilid and Sepsid species; and long segments of even-skipped regulatory DNA that contain multiple enhancers. The model further demonstrated that elevated expression driven by a fusion of MSE2 and MSE3 was a consequence of the recruitment of a portion of MSE3 to become a functional component of MSE2, demonstrating that cis-regulatory ‘‘elements’’ are not elementary objects.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Solution of geometrically nonlinear statics problems by the p-version of the finite element method

This project is concerned with the possibility of using computers for the simulation of structural systems with the same degree of reliability as full scale physical experiments. Reliable numerical simulation will make it possible to reduce the costs of engineering and improve the quality of engineering decisions based on computed information. An error of idealization is an error between the actual physical quantities on which engineering decisions are based (e.g., maximum principal stress, first natural frequency, etc.) and the same data corresponding to the exact solution of the mathematical model. An error of discretization is an error between the quantities of interest corresponding to the exact and approximate solutions of a mathematical model. A high degree of reliability can be achieved in numerical simulation only if both the errors of idealization and errors of discretization can be shown to be small.

Szabo, Barna A.↗

Data-Driven Study of Shape Memory Behavior of Multi-Component Ni-Ti Alloys

Ni-Ti based shape memory alloys (SMAs) have found wide-spread use in aerospace, automotive, biomedical, and commercial applications owing to their favorable properties and ease of operation. Especially important for many NASA applications is the ability to tune the martensitic transformation temperature of Ni-Ti alloys by varying the alloy composition and processing conditions. Recently, researchers at NASA have compiled an extensive database of shape memory properties of materials, including over 8,000 multi-component Ni-Ti alloys containing 37 different alloying elements. Using this dataset, machine learning models are trained to predict transformation temperatures, hysteresis, and transformation strain with extremely low mean absolute errors. These models are used to learn relationships between shape memory behavior and input parameters in the composition and processing space. ML predictions are validated through new experiments. The combination of an extensive experimental dataset and accurate learning models, together, make our approach highly suitable for the rapid discovery and design of novel SMAs with targeted properties. We are not aware of any current approaches capable of predicting SMA transformation behavior over such a wide range of compositions and processing conditions.

Shape memory alloys↗

On the Choice of Variable for Atmospheric Moisture Analysis

The implications of using different control variables for the analysis of moisture observations in a global atmospheric data assimilation system are investigated. A moisture analysis based on either mixing ratio or specific humidity is prone to large extrapolation errors, due to the high variability in space and time of these parameters and to the difficulties in modeling their error covariances. Using the logarithm of specific humidity does not alleviate these problems, and has the further disadvantage that very dry background estimates cannot be effectively corrected by observations. Relative humidity is a better choice from a statistical point of view, because this field is spatially and temporally more coherent and error statistics are therefore easier to obtain. If, however, the analysis is designed to preserve relative humidity in the absence of moisture observations, then the analyzed specific humidity field depends entirely on analyzed temperature changes. If the model has a cool bias in the stratosphere this will lead to an unstable accumulation of excess moisture there. A pseudo-relative humidity can be defined by scaling the mixing ratio by the background saturation mixing ratio. A univariate pseudo-relative humidity analysis will preserve the specific humidity field in the absence of moisture observations. A pseudorelative humidity analysis is shown to be equivalent to a mixing ratio analysis with flow-dependent covariances. In the presence of multivariate (temperature-moisture) observations it produces analyzed relative humidity values that are nearly identical to those produced by a relative humidity analysis. Based on a time series analysis of radiosonde observed-minus-background differences it appears to be more justifiable to neglect specific humidity-temperature correlations (in a univariate pseudo-relative humidity analysis) than to neglect relative humidity-temperature correlations (in a univariate relative humidity analysis). A pseudo-relative humidity analysis is easily implemented in an existing moisture analysis system, by simply scaling observed-minus background moisture residuals prior to solving the analysis equation, and rescaling the analyzed increments afterward.

Dee, Dick P.↗

Persistence of systematic errors in the Asian-Australian monsoon precipitation basic states in climate models: a way forward

The annual cycle of the Asian-Australian monsoon (AAM) system can be regarded as the seasonal displacement of the large-scale Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), which is anchored by the north-south migration of the Indo-Pacific warm pool. In the respective hemispheres, intense solar heating over land during spring and early summer provide the necessary thermodynamic conditions for the occurrence of deep convection off the equator. The rainfall and diabatic heating associated with the AAM is perhaps the most vigorous of all the regional monsoon components in the globe. Yet, skill in monsoon prediction (days to seasons) by dynamical models remains low, partly due to our lack of understanding of the entirety of the monsoon system and our inability to model the interactive processes that govern it. Simulating the monsoon precipitation climatology remains a grand challenge. The multi-model mean (MMM) errors for summertime precipitation relative to GPCP observations have shown little improvement in CMIP5 as compared to CMIP3. For the Asian Summer Monsoon, the MMM monsoon rainfall is weaker over South Asia, the western equatorial Indian Ocean and tropical West Pacific. For the Australian summer monsoon, it is excessive over most of the Maritime Continent, and deficient over northern Australia. Throughout the year, excessive rainfall is simulated over South China Sea – Maritime Continent regions, and CMIP5 models do not capture the annual cycle of the AAM. One implication is that uncertainties in future projections (e.g., IPCC 2013) of AAM mean rainfall may not have reduced from CMIP3 to CMIP5. Solutions from an intermediate model show that diabatic heating (Q) associated with the AAM influences the global circulation. Compared to the reanalysis, many models tend to have maxima at the mid-troposphere but their simulated amplitude is overestimated in the lower troposphere (900-700 hPa) and underestimated from 600-300 hPa, a feature readily apparent in the MMM composite (dashed black line). The lower troposphere peak may be attributed to misrepresentations in shallow convection. Some outliers, such as CSIROMk3- 6-0 and ACCESS1-3, do not show any appreciable vertical structure, and the simulated monsoon over South Asia is virtually absent in these models. TRMM observations indicate that over the monsoon region the contribution from stratiform rainfall is about 40% to the Q intensity. In contrast, most of the CMIP3 models produce too much convective rainfall (95% of the total) and too little stratiform precipitation. Given the persistence of errors, we speculate that errors in the partitioning of total rainfall into convective-stratiform still persist in CMIP5, and may be one of the reasons for underestimation (overestimation) of Q in the layer 600-300 (900-700) hPa. In summary, the rather slow progress in modeling in the last decade or so led us to wonder: Has the scientific community reached a “plateau” in modeling mean monsoon precipitation?

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Comparing Unstructured Adaptive Mesh Solutions for the High Lift Common Research Model Airfoil

Discretization error is a common source of uncertainty in Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) analyses. Traditional means of controlling discretization error through fixed-mesh refinement studies has proven to be difficult particularly when modeling complex geometries and flow fields. One reason for this is that mesh generation in today’s production CFD workflow is often a labor intensive process that is heavily dependent on user judgment. Unstructured mesh adaptation is known to be an efficient way to control discretization errors in CFD. Adaptive methods replace user based decision making with automated processes that optimize a mesh to reduce discretization error. This paper compares the application of multiple solution adaptive techniques in combination with multiple flow solvers to solve for the flow field about a 2D airfoil section of the NASA High-Lift Common Research Model (HL-CRM). By driving the adaptive mesh processes to a similar level of mesh convergence, the ability to achieve consistent results between multiple adaptive techniques and flow solvers is demonstrated. Mesh convergence for the various adaptive mesh approaches is compared identifying potential areas for improvement and providing mesh generation guidance for future workshops.

mesh adaptation high-lift 2D airfoil↗

Comparing Unstructured Adaptive Mesh Solutions for the High Lift Common Research Model Airfoil

Discretization error is a common source of uncertainty in Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) analyses. Traditional means of controlling discretization error through fixed-mesh refinement studies has proven to be difficult particularly when modeling complex geometries and flow fields. One reason for this is that mesh generation in today’s production CFD workflow is often a labor intensive process that is heavily dependent on user judgment. Unstructured mesh adaptation is known to be an efficient way to control discretization errors in CFD. Adaptive methods replace user based decision making with automated processes that optimize a mesh to reduce discretization error. This paper compares the application of multiple solution adaptive techniques in combination with multiple flow solvers to solve for the flow field about a 2D airfoil section of the NASA High-Lift Common Research Model (HL-CRM). By driving the adaptive mesh processes to a similar level of mesh convergence, the ability to achieve consistent results between multiple adaptive techniques and flow solvers is demonstrated. Mesh convergence for the various adaptive mesh approaches is compared identifying potential areas for improvement and providing mesh generation guidance for future workshops.

mesh adaptation↗

Subsurface Emission Effects in AMSR-E Measurements: Implications for Land Surface Microwave Emissivity Retrieval

An analysis of land surface microwave emission time series shows that the characteristic diurnal signature associated with subsurface emission in sandy deserts carry over to arid and semi-arid region worldwide. Prior work found that diurnal variation of Special Sensor Microwave/Imager (SSM/I) brightness temperatures in deserts was small relative to International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project land surface temperature (LST) variation and that the difference varied with surface type and was largest in sand sea regions. Here we find more widespread subsurface emission effects in Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer-EOS (AMSR-E) measurements. The AMSR-E orbit has equator crossing times near 01:30 and 13 :30 local time, resulting in sampling when near-surface temperature gradients are likely to be large and amplifying the influence of emission depth on effective emitting temperature relative to other factors. AMSR-E measurements are also temporally coincident with Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) LST measurements, eliminating time lag as a source of LST uncertainty and reducing LST errors due to undetected clouds. This paper presents monthly global emissivity and emission depth index retrievals for 2003 at 11, 19, 37, and 89 GHz from AMSR-E, MODIS, and SSM/I time series data. Retrieval model fit error, stability, self-consistency, and land surface modeling results provide evidence for the validity of the subsurface emission hypothesis and the retrieval approach. An analysis of emission depth index, emissivity, precipitation, and vegetation index seasonal trends in northern and southern Africa suggests that changes in the emission depth index may be tied to changes in land surface moisture and vegetation conditions

Galantowicz, John F.↗

A Measurement‐Model Fusion Approach for Improved Wet Deposition Maps and Trends

Abstract Air quality models provide spatial fields of wet deposition (WD) and dry deposition that explicitly account for the transport and transformation of emissions from thousands of sources. However, many sources of uncertainty in the air quality model including errors in emissions and meteorological inputs (particularly precipitation) and incomplete descriptions of the chemical and physical processes governing deposition can lead to bias and error in the simulation of WD. We present an approach to bias correct Community Multiscale Air Quality model output over the contiguous United States using observation‐based gridded precipitation data generated by the Parameter‐elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model and WD observations at the National Atmospheric Deposition Program National Trends Network sites. A cross‐validation analysis shows that the adjusted annual accumulated WD for NO 3 − , NH 4 + , and SO 4 2− from 2002 to 2012 has less bias and higher correlation with observed values than the base model output without adjustment. Temporal trends in observed WD are captured well by the adjusted model simulations across the entire contiguous United States. Consistent with previous trend analyses, WD NO 3 − and SO 4 2− are shown to decrease during this period in the eastern half of the United States, particularly in the Northeast, while remaining nearly constant in the West. Trends in WD of NH 4 + are more spatially and temporally heterogeneous, with some positive trends in the Great Plains and Central Valley of CA and slightly negative trends in the south.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

LTAU-FF: Loss Trajectory Analysis for Uncertainty in atomistic Force Fields

LTAU (Loss Trajectory Analysis for Uncertainty) is a technique for estimating the uncertainty in a model's predictions for any regression task by approximating the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the model's errors over the course of training. The approximated CDF, combined with a similarity search algorithm in the model's descriptor space, can then be used to estimate the likelihood that the model's predictions on any given test point will fall below a chosen threshold. LTAU-FF (LTAU in atomistic Force Fields) is the application of LTAU specifically for use with atomistic force fields.

Vita, JoshuaA↗

The tropospheric calibration model for Mariner Mars 1971

The effects of the troposphere on arrival time, range, and range rate measurement of radio signals propagating from spacecraft are examined. A tropospheric calibration model which takes into account seasonal variations, various elevations, and apparent location changes was developed. A comparison was made of the effects before and after calibration. Without calibration, a 16-m change in the distance off the spin axis, is induced for a 10-deg minimum elevation symmetrical pass. Even after calibration with the old model, the error in spin axis is still greater than 1 m. Calibration results and estimated uncertainties of the model are given in tabular form. Test results also show that the model met the required accuracy for the Mariner Mars 1971 mission.

C. C. Chao↗

Predictions of Cockpit Simulator Experimental Outcome Using System Models

This study involved predicting the outcome of a cockpit simulator experiment where pilots used cockpit displays of traffic information (CDTI) to establish and maintain in-trail spacing behind a lead aircraft during approach. The experiments were run on the NASA Ames Research Center multicab cockpit simulator facility. Prior to the experiments, a mathematical model of the pilot/aircraft/CDTI flight system was developed which included relative in-trail and vertical dynamics between aircraft in the approach string. This model was used to construct a digital simulation of the string dynamics including response to initial position errors. The model was then used to predict the outcome of the in-trail following cockpit simulator experiments. Outcome included performance and sensitivity to different separation criteria. The experimental results were then used to evaluate the model and its prediction accuracy. Lessons learned in this modeling and prediction study are noted.

Sorensen, J. A.↗

Simulation and analysis of a geopotential research mission

Methods for the determination of the initial conditions for the two satellites that will satisfy Geopotential Research Mission (GRM) requirements are investigated. For certain gravitational recovery techniques, the satellites must remain close to a specified separation distance and their groundtracks must repeat after a specified interval of time. Since the objective of the GRM mission is to improve the gravity model, any pre-mission orbit predicted using existing gravity models will be in error. A technique has been developed to eliminate the drift between the two satellites caused by gravitational modeling errors and return them to repeating groundtracks. The concept of frozen orbits, which minimize altitude variations over given latitudes, was investigated. Finally, the effects of temporal perturbations on the relative range-rate signal were studied. At the proposed altitude of 160 km, the range-rate signal produced by perturbations other than the static geopotential field are dominated by the luni-solar effect. This study demonstrates that the combined effects of all the temporal perturbations does not prevent the orbit from being frozen or the satellites from obtaining a repeating groundtrack to within a specified closure distance.

White, Lisa K.↗