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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,405 records · Page 78

Prediction of residual stresses in a multipass pipe weld by a novel 3D finite element approach

Due to enormous computation cost, current residual stress simulation of multipass girth welds are mostly performed using two-dimensional (2D) axisymmetric models. The 2D model can only provide limited estimation on the residual stresses by assuming its axisymmetric distribution. In this study, a highly efficient thermal-mechanical finite element code for three-dimensional (3D) model has been developed based on high performance Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) computers. Our code is further accelerated by considering the unique physics associated with welding processes that are characterized by steep temperature gradient and a moving arc heat source. It is capable of modeling large-scale welding problems that cannot be easily handled by the existing commercial simulation tools. To demonstrate the accuracy and efficiency, our code was compared with a commercial software by simulating a 3D multi-pass girth weld model with over 1 million elements. Our code achieved comparable solution accuracy with respect to the commercial one but with over 100 times saving on computational cost. Moreover, the three-dimensional analysis demonstrated more realistic stress distribution that is not axisymmetric in hoop direction.

Huang, Hui↗

On the Mechanism of Turbulent Shear Flows

As a result of our analysis of some facts of turbulent flows, whose explanation is beyond the scope of existing semiempirical theories, in particular, our estimate of the effective roughness height in pipes with distributed roughness characterized by two or more length scales, we present a version of the theory of turbulent flows in channels with smooth and rough walls with a unified mechanism of the dynamic interaction (friction mechanism) of a turbulent flow with its boundaries—the channel walls or external laminar flow. We have derived the expressions for a generalized law of friction that describe a turbulent flow at all admissible Reynolds numbers from the regime of flow with smooth walls to the regime with a complete manifestation of roughness elements and for sand roughness consistent with Nikuradse’s experimental data. One of the conclusions of the theory is the assertion that the only source of turbulence for turbulent flows in channels and jets are the vortices forming near the walls of channels and at the free boundaries of turbulent jets, and only through these vortices is the kinetic energy from the mean flow converted to the energy of turbulent pulsations. The difference between the mechanisms of the laminar and turbulent flow regimes can be clearly represented by Eq. (24).

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Differential responses of carbon and water vapor fluxes to climate among evergreen needleleaf forests in the USA

Here, understanding the differences in carbon and water vapor fluxes of spatially distributed evergreen needleleaf forests (ENFs) is crucial for accurately estimating regional or global carbon and water budgets and when predicting the responses of ENFs to current and future climate. We compared the fluxes of ten AmeriFlux ENF sites to investigate cross-site variability in net ecosystem exchange of carbon (NEE), gross primary production (GPP), and evapotranspiration (ET). We used wavelet cross-correlation analysis to examine responses of NEE and ET to common climatic drivers over multiple timescales and also determined optimum values of air temperature (T a) and vapor pressure deficit (VPD) for NEE and ET.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

1991 Boston Household Travel Survey

The Central Transportation Planning Staff conducted a household travel survey in 1991, featuring demographic, socioeconomic, and travel features of 2,347 households, generating 39,372 weekday trips. The survey took the form of an activity-based travel diary that each subject household filled out for one weekday. The data was used to estimate new models for trip generation, automobile ownership, trip distribution, and mode choice.

1Hz data↗

Stoichiometry of microbial carbon use efficiency in soils

The carbon use efficiency (CUE) of microbial communities partitions the flow of C from primary producers to the atmosphere, decomposer food webs, and soil C stores. CUE, usually defined as the ratio of growth to assimilation, is a critical parameter in ecosystem models, but is seldom measured directly in soils because of the methodological difficulty of measuring in situ rates of microbial growth and respiration. Alternatively, CUE can be estimated indirectly from the elemental stoichiometry of organic matter and microbial biomass, and the ratios of C to nutrient-acquiring ecoenzymatic activities. In this paper, we used this approach to estimate and compare microbial CUE in >2000 soils from a broad range of ecosystems. Mean CUE based on C:N stoichiometry was 0.269 ± 0.110 (mean ± SD). A parallel calculation based on C:P stoichiometry yielded a mean CUE estimate of 0.252 ± 0.125. The mean values and frequency distributions were similar to those from aquatic ecosystems, also calculated from stoichiometric models, and to those calculated from direct measurements of bacterial and fungal growth and respiration. CUE was directly related to microbial biomass C with a scaling exponent of 0.304 (95% CI 0.237–0.371) and inversely related to microbial biomass P with a scaling exponent of -0.234 (95% CI -0.289 to -0.179). Relative to CUE, biomass specific turnover time increased with a scaling exponent of 0.509 (95% CI 0.467–0.551). CUE increased weakly with mean annual temperature. CUE declined with increasing soil pH reaching a minimum at pH 7.0, then increased again as soil pH approached 9.0, a pattern consistent with pH trends in the ratio of fungal : bacteria abundance and growth. Structural equation models that related geographic variables to CUE component variables showed the strongest connections for paths linking latitude and pH to β-glucosidase activity and soil C:N:P ratios. Finally, the integration of stoichiometric and metabolic models provides a quantitative description of the functional organization of soil microbial communities that can improve the representation of CUE in microbial process and ecosystem simulation models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Measurement of the inclusive isolated prompt photon cross section in $p\bar{p}$ collisions at $\sqrt{s}=$1.96~TeV, using the full CDF data sample

The measurement of the cross section for the inclusive production of isolated prompt photons in proton-antiproton collisions at $\sqrt{s}$=1.96~TeV is presented. The data set corresponds to an integrated luminosity of 9.5~fb$^{-1}$, collected with the Collider Detector at Fermilab in Run~II. The measurement is performed as a function of the photon transverse energy ($E_T^{\gamma}$) covering the range of 30~GeV$< E_T^{\gamma} <$500~GeV in the pseudorapidity region $|\eta^{\gamma}|<$1.0. To reduce the background coming from the decays of $\pi^0$'s, $\eta$'s and other hadrons, photons are required to be isolated in the calorimeter. The output distributions of an Artificial Neural Network are exploited to estimate the remaining contamination from jets faking isolated photons. Results are compared to leading-order and next-to-leading-order perturbative QCD calculations.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Leach Testing of Laboratory-Scale Melter Evaporator Condensate Cementitious Waste Forms

Cementitious waste forms immobilizing evaporated AP-105 off-gas condensate were used to determine radionuclide and contaminant leachability in deionized water over a 63-day period. The off-gas condensate was collected during the actual tank AP-105 low activity waste continuous laboratory-scale melter (LSM)) run performed in fiscal year 2018 and was then solidified as a cementitious waste form using the Cast Stone formulation (8 weight percent [wt%] ordinary Portland cement, 45 wt% class F fly ash, 47 wt% blast furnace slag). Here, using the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Method 1315 leach testing procedure, the release rate of technetium 99 (Tc), iodine-129 (I), nitrate (NO 3 - ), and sodium (Na + ) from two Cast Stone specimens was measured. From these measurements, observed diffusivity values for each constituent were calculated and can be used in future iterations and maintenance of the Integrated Disposal Facility performance assessments. Furthermore, by testing Cast Stone specimens immobilizing off-gas produced while vitrifying actual tank waste, the results of this effort improve the technical defensibility of long-term waste form performance estimates for the Cast Stone formulation. Finally, 99 Tc distribution within a representative waste form at the end of the 63-day leach period as well as bulk mineralogy were determined using solid phase characterization methods.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Transitional Markov Chain Monte Carlo Sampler in UQTk

Transitional Markov Chain Monte Carlo (TMCMC) is a variant of a class of Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms known as tempering-based methods. In this report, the implementation of TMCMC in the Uncertainty Quantification Toolkit is investigated through the sampling of high-dimensional distributions, multi-modal distributions, and nonlinear manifolds. Furthermore, the Bayesian model evidence estimates obtained from TMCMC are tested on problems with known analytical solutions and shown to provide consistent results.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Internal 2-D Surface Temperature Measurements for Large Complex Geometries

For 2D-temperature monitoring applications, a variant of EIT (Electrical Impedance Tomography) is evaluated computationally in this work. Literature examples of poor sensor performance in the center of the 2D domains away from the side electrodes motivated this study which seeks to overcome some of the previously noted shortcomings. In particular, the use of ‘sensing skins’ with novel tailored baseline conductivities were examined using the EIDORS package for EIT. It was found that the best approach for detecting a hot spot depends on several factors such as the current injection (stimulation) patterns, the measurement patterns, and the reconstruction algorithms. For a well-performing combination of these factors, tailored baseline conductivities were assessed and compared to the baseline uniform conductivity. It was discovered that for some EIT applications, a tailored distribution needs to be smooth and that sudden changes in the conductivity gradients should be avoided. Still, the benefits in terms of improved EIT performance were small for conditions for which the EIT measurements had been ‘optimized’ for the uniform baseline case. Within the limited scope of this study, only two specific cases showed benefits from tailored distributions. For one case, a smooth tailored distribution with increased baseline conductivity in the center provided a better separation of two centrally located hot spots. For another case, a smooth tailored distribution with reduced conductivity in the center provided better estimates of the magnitudes of two hot spots near the center of the sensing skin.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Formal Experimentation and Analysis of Handheld RFID Readers as a Tool for Nuclear Material Accounting

Commercial, off-the-shelf Radio Frequency Identification (RFID) systems have been successfully deployed for inventory tracking in numerous industries, but their viability in the tracking of complex environments containing nuclear material is less understood. Of primary interest in this setting is a RFID tracking system for nuclear material accounting which can reliably identify as many tags as possible with high accuracy, while also reducing an operator’s exposure to radiation. In this work, we develop a formal statistical approach to identify relevant handheld RFID reader settings which optimize tagging performance. To achieve this goal, we design a full factorial split-plot experiment for a static shelf configuration scene with 50 randomly placed nuclear material containers affixed with RFID tags. We use Bayesian inference to fit a second-order response surface model which expresses the probability of a successful match for each container as a function of the experimental factors. Such effects are allowed to vary across individual containers and the containers’ population in its entirety to estimate overall effects. Uncertainties of estimates and predictions are quantified via their corresponding posterior distributions. Following extensive model checking and validation, the fitted model is used to identify experimental factors which maximize matching probabilities at both the container-level and for the full shelf configuration scene. We also analyze sensitivity of performance to relevant factors.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Multi-State Transportation Electrification Impact Study: Preparing the Grid for Light-, Medium-, and Heavy-Duty Electric Vehicles

Recent U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) notices of proposed rulemakings for GHG emissions standards for light-, medium-, and heavy-duty on-road vehicles would accelerate ongoing advancements already happening in the industry because of private investment, consumer demand, state-level policies, and federal incentives. As the EPA finalizes these regulations, questions persist regarding the cost of the requisite charging infrastructure and associated upgrades to the nation's electric grid. With support from the U.S. Department of Energy, U.S. Joint Office of Energy and Transportation, and the EPA, a multidisciplinary team conducted a Multi-State Transportation Electrification Impact Study that quantitatively assesses the incremental investment necessary to enable the levels of vehicle electrification expected to be induced by pending EPA regulations and to estimate the potential value of deferred investments in electric distribution infrastructure stemming from proactive vehicle-grid integration planning and deployment. This study finds the simulated incremental capital cost of charging infrastructure (including grid upgrades) to be at least 2.5 times smaller than the lifetime net benefits of vehicle electrification (including fuel savings but excluding the value of avoided emissions). Additionally, the incremental distribution grid upgrade cost of the EPA Action-Unmanaged scenario was found to be approximately 3% of existing utility distribution system investments (on an annual basis). Finally, the potential for managed charging to defer distribution grid upgrades was found to be significant with costs found to decrease from $2.3 billion to an incremental cost of $1 billion across five states in the Action-Managed scenario (relative to the No Action-Unmanaged scenario).

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Cost of Wind Energy Review: 2024 Edition [Slides]

The primary elements of this analysis include: Estimated LCOE for (1) a representative land-based wind energy project installed in a moderate wind resource in the United States, (2) a representative fixed-bottom offshore wind energy project installed in the U.S. North Atlantic, and (3) a representative floating offshore wind energy project installed off the U.S. Pacific Coast. It also updates the LCOE estimates for representative residential-, commercial-, and large-scale distributed wind projects installed in a moderate wind resource in the United States. A sensitivity analyses is included that shows the range of effects that basic LCOE variables could have on the cost of wind energy for land-based and offshore wind projects and provides updated Fiscal Year 2024 values for land-based and offshore wind energy used for Government Performance and Results Act (GPRA) reporting and illustrated progress toward established GPRA targets.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Random Forests as a Viable Method to Select and Discover High-redshift Quasars

We present a method of selecting quasars up to redshift ≈6 with random forests, a supervised machine-learning method, applied to Pan-STARRS1 and WISE data. We find that, thanks to the increasing set of known quasars, we can assemble a training set that enables supervised machine-learning algorithms to become a competitive alternative to other methods up to this redshift. We present a candidate set for the redshift range 4.8–6.3, which includes the region around z = 5.5 where selecting quasars is difficult due to their photometric similarity to red and brown dwarfs. We demonstrate that, under our survey restrictions, we can reach a high completeness (66% ± 7% below redshift 5.6/83{sub -9}{sup +6}% above redshift 5.6) while maintaining a high selection efficiency (78{sub -8}{sup +10}%/94{sub -8}{sup +5}%). Our selection efficiency is estimated via a novel method based on the different distributions of quasars and contaminants on the sky. The final catalog of 515 candidates includes 225 known quasars. We predict the candidate catalog to contain additional 148{sub -33}{sup +41} new quasars below redshift 5.6 and 45{sub -8}{sup +5} above, and we make the catalog publicly available. Spectroscopic follow-up observations of 37 candidates led us to discover 20 new high redshift quasars (18 at 4.6 ≤ z ≤ 5.5, 2 z ~ 5.7). These observations are consistent with our predictions on efficiency. We argue that random forests can lead to higher completeness because our candidate set contains a number of objects that would be rejected by common color cuts, including one of the newly discovered redshift 5.7 quasars.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

GRB 191016A: A Long Gamma-Ray Burst Detected by TESS

The Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) exoplanet-hunting mission detected the rising and decaying optical afterglow of GRB 191016A, a long gamma-ray burst (GRB) detected by Swift-BAT but without prompt XRT or UVOT follow-up due to proximity to the Moon. The afterglow has a late peak at least 1000 s after the BAT trigger, with a brightest-detected TESS data point at 2589.7 s post-trigger. The burst was not detected by Fermi-LAT, but was detected by Fermi-GBM without triggering, possibly due to the gradual nature of the rising light curve. Using ground-based photometry, we estimate a photometric redshift of z phot = 3.29 ± 0.40. Combined with the high-energy emission and optical peak time derived from TESS, estimates of the bulk Lorentz factor Γ BL range from 90 to 133. The burst is relatively bright, with a peak optical magnitude in ground-based follow-up of R = 15.1 mag. Using published distributions of GRB afterglows and considering the TESS sensitivity and sampling, we estimate that TESS is likely to detect ~1 GRB afterglow per year above its magnitude limit.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Collapsar R-process Yields Can Reproduce [Eu/Fe] Abundance Scatter in Metal-poor Stars

It is unclear if neutron star mergers can explain the observed r-process abundances of metal-poor stars. Collapsars, defined here as rotating massive stars whose collapse results in a rapidly accreting disk around a black hole that can launch jets, are a promising alternative. We find that we can produce a self-consistent model in which a population of collapsars with stochastic europium yields synthesizes all of the r-process material in metal-poor ([Fe/H] < - 2.5) stars. Our model reproduces the observed scatter and evolution of scatter of [Eu/Fe] abundances. We find that if collapsars are the dominant r-process site for metal-poor stars, r-process synthesis may be linked to supernovae that produce long γ-ray bursts. Our results also allow for the possibility that core-collapse supernovae beyond those that launch γ-ray bursts also produce r-process material (e.g., potentially a subset of Type Ic-BL supernovae). Furthermore, we identify collapsar jet properties (isotropic energy, engine luminosity, or engine time) that may trace r-process yield and verify that the amount of r-process yield produced per collapsar in our model ( ~ 0.07M⊙) is consistent with other independent estimates. In the future, achieving 0.05 dex precision on distribution scatter or a reliable selection function would further constrain our probe of r-process production. Our model would also hold for another prompt r-process site with a power-law yield, and work is needed to determine if, for example, fast-merging neutron stars can also explain abundance scatter.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗

A Strong Gravitational Lens Is Worth a Thousand Dark Matter Halos: Inference on Small-scale Structure Using Sequential Methods

Strong gravitational lenses are a singular probe of the Universe’s small-scale structure—they are sensitive to the gravitational effects of low-mass (<10 10 M ⊙ ) halos even without a luminous counterpart. Recent strong-lensing analyses of dark matter structure rely on simulation-based inference (SBI). Modern SBI methods, which leverage neural networks as density estimators, have shown promise in extracting the halo-population signal. However, it is unclear whether the constraints from these models are limited by the methodology or the data. In this study, we introduce an accelerator-optimized simulation pipeline that can generate lens images with realistic subhalo populations in milliseconds. Leveraging this simulator, we identify the main limitation of our fiducial SBI analysis: training set size. We then adopt a sequential neural posterior estimation (SNPE) approach, allowing us to refine the training distribution to align with the observed data. Using only one-fifth as many mock Hubble Space Telescope images, SNPE matches the constraints on the low-mass halo population produced by our best nonsequential model. Our experiments suggest that an over 3 order-of-magnitude increase in training set size and GPU hours would be required to achieve an equivalent result without sequential methods. While the full potential of the existing lens sample remains to be explored, the notable improvement in constraining power enabled by our sequential approach highlights that current constraints are limited primarily by methodology and not the data itself. Moreover, our results emphasize the need to treat training set generation and model optimization as interconnected stages of any cosmological analysis using SBI.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Evaluation of the new capture vapourizer for aerosol mass spectrometers (AMS) through laboratory studies of inorganic species

Aerosol mass spectrometers (AMSs) and Aerosol Chemical Speciation Monitors (ACSMs) commercialized by Aerodyne are widely used to measure the non-refractory species in submicron particles. With the standard vapourizer (SV) that is installed in all commercial instruments to date, the quantification of ambient aerosol mass concentration requires the use of the collection efficiency (CE) to correct for the loss of particles due to bounce. Thus, a new capture vapourizer (CV) has been designed to reduce the need for a bounce-related CE correction. Two high-resolution AMS instruments, one with a SV and one with a CV, were operated side by side in the laboratory. Four standard species, NH 4 NO 3 , NaNO 3 , (NH 4 ) 2 SO 4 and NH 4 Cl, which typically constitute the majority of the mass of ambient submicron inorganic species, are studied. The effect of vapourizer temperature ( T v ∼ 200–800 °C) on the detected fragments, CE and size distributions are investigated. A T v of 500–550 °C for the CV is recommended. In the CV, CE was identical (around unity) for more volatile species (e.g. NH 4 NO 3 ) and comparable to or higher than the SV for less-volatile species (e.g. (NH 4 ) 2 SO 4 ), demonstrating an improvement in CE for laboratory inorganic species in the CV. The detected relative intensities of fragments of NO 3 and SO 4 species observed with the CV are different from those observed with the SV, and are consistent with additional thermal decomposition arising from the increased residence time and multiple collisions. Increased residence times with the CV also lead to broader particle size distribution measurements than with the SV. A method for estimating whether pure species will be detected in AMS sizing mode is proposed. Production of CO 2 (g) from sampled nitrate on the vapourizer surface, which has been reported for the SV, is negligible for the CV for NH 4 NO 3 and comparable to the SV for NaNO 3. . We observe an extremely consistent fragmentation for ammonium compared to very large changes for the associated anions. Together with other evidence, this indicates that it is unlikely that a major fraction of inorganic species vapourizes as intact salts in the AMS.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Time-Dependent Reliability Analysis of Nuclear Hybrid Energy Systems

This paper focuses on developing a framework for comprehensive time-dependent reliability analysis of a nuclear hybrid energy system (NHES) design. Subsystem interactions of this complex integrated system under stochastic electricity demand and load-following operation capabilities requires dynamic reliability assessment of the NHES in component, subsystem and system level. In order to capture the dynamic operational behavior of critical systems and components, a detailed thermal hydraulic model of the NHES is generated using Modelica and tested under different electricity demand histories generated using RAVEN. The physical data (e.g., valve position, flow rates, inlet outlet water temperatures) gathered from Modelica used to calculate time-dependent failure rates through fitting data into the piecewise Weibull distribution. Optimum maintenance interval is calculated, and maintenance cost estimates based on the calculated reliability metric is presented for the selected component. Component time-dependent failure rates fed into the subsystem reliability model built with non-Markovian Stochastic Petri Nets. The component and subsystem failure rates are calculated and updated in every hour to characterize the system behavior appropriately and to understand operational reliability of the NHES design in a given time.

Guler Yigitoglu, Askin↗