Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Individual Differences”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 1,405 records · Page 78
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2019

Evaluating the Impact of Price-Responsive Load on Power Systems Using Integrated T&D Simulation: Preprint

This paper explores the advantages and challenges of simulating price-responsive load (PRL) interactions with large-scale power systems using integrated transmission and distribution (T&D) models. This analysis uses the Integrated Grid Modeling System (IGMS) software to capture 'ISO-to-appliance' simulations using a synthetic T&D model built on the PJM 5 Bus transmission network with multiple full-scale taxonomy feeders that include physics-based models of thousands of PRLs. The results show substantial differences in the impacts of PRLs between integrated T&D and transmission-only (T-only) models. Similarly differences are observed between the price response of individual distribution feeders and the corresponding transmission bus in the integrated T&D simulations, which cannot be captured in T-only simulations. Experiments include both traditional price responsive load reductions and price-driven load increases during low net demand periods driven by high daytime generation from distributed generation-based photovoltaics (DGPV).

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2026

Lyman-$α$ forest holography: 3D predictions from 1D measurements

Cosmological analyses of Lyman-$α$ forest clustering rely on either one-dimensional correlations along individual sightlines or three-dimensional correlations between different sightlines. Because these observables probe the matter distribution on very different scales, they have traditionally been analyzed independently. In this work, we bridge this gap using ForestFlow, an emulator trained on a suite of cosmological hydrodynamical simulations that provides a unified description of Lyman-$α$ forest clustering from linear to nonlinear scales. This framework enables us to determine the range of three-dimensional clustering models compatible with the DESI one-dimensional flux power spectrum ($P_{\rm 1D}$). The resulting predictions successfully reproduce the large-scale clustering measured by the DESI BAO analysis and provide physically motivated priors on nonlinear clustering that are used in a companion paper presenting the full-shape analysis of the DESI DR2 Lyman-$α$ forest. We validate our methodology using the large-volume, high-resolution hydrodynamical simulation ACCEL-2, demonstrating excellent agreement across the full range of scales considered. Finally, we combine constraints from the $P_{\rm 1D}$ and BAO analyses on the parameter combinations $b_δσ_8$ and $b_ηf σ_8$, finding that the two probes provide comparable constraining power while exhibiting complementary parameter degeneracies. Our results establish a direct connection between one- and three-dimensional Lyman-$α$ forest measurements through ForestFlow, an approach we term Lyman-$α$ holography by analogy with the reconstruction of higher-dimensional structure from lower-dimensional information.

Chaves-Montero, J. [Barcelona, IFAE] (ORCID:000000↗
DOE OSTI2022

Cadmium isotope systematics in sedimentary carbonate: Extending the utility of the cadmium isotope palaeo-productivity proxy

The cadmium (Cd) isotope compositions of seven Holocene (<11.7 ka) carbonate sediments, including the bulk carbonate, as well as the > 140 μm (zooplankton), <63 μm and < 20 μm (phytoplankton) fractions, and individual species of foraminifera isolated from the bulk carbonate were obtained for sub-samples processed using the Cd-cleaning and Mg/Ca cleaning methods. The respective Cd isotope systematics of each carbonate archive were then compared with the Cd isotope signature within the ocean using modern seawater data. We show that a constant Cd isotope fractionation factor of -0.25 ± 0.03 ‰ (2SE, n = 4) describes the partitioning of Cd from seawater into the carbonate phase ($Δ^{114}Cd_{CdC O_3 - seawater}$), allowing for accurate reconstructions of the past seawater nutrient regime. The Cd isotope signature of the < 63 µm and < 20 µm (phytoplankton) fractions can display comparable values to those recorded in the modern surface ocean, and can be used to model the magnitude of Cd uptake and utilisation in the past ocean. Individual species of planktic and benthic foraminifera, which inhabit different depths of the water column, can provide a full surface to deep water column reconstruction of the Cd nutrient regime, while infaunal benthic foraminifera can be used to interrogate the Cd isotope systematics of sediment porewaters. Bulk sediment and the > 140 µm (zooplankton) fraction also retain important information relating to the overlying water column Cd isotope systematics and can serve as essential archives for palaeo-productivity reconstructions where the separation of individual components from the bulk sediment is not possible. This new Cd isotope palaeo-productivity toolkit can considerably aid reconstruction efforts and vastly improves the ability to quantify the role of phytoplankton in modulating carbon sequestration through transitions in Earth’s climate evolution.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Dislocation Patterning in Deforming Crystals: Theory, Computational Predictions and Validation (Final Technical Report)

This project was awarded for an initial period of three years, followed by a no-cost extension for one year and a funded one-year renewal. During the first four years, the project focused on investigating the role of dislocation reactions and dislocation correlation in dislocation patterning in FCC metals. During the fifth year, the scope of research was expanded to investigate the effects of composition inhomogeneity on the mesoscale plastic response of Body-Centered Cubic (BCC) alloys. In addition to its impact on metal hardening during deformation, dislocation patterning provides the microstructure information required to understand phenomena like fracture and recrystallization in metals. The Continuum Dislocation Dynamics (CDD) framework was the methodology used during the first four years, followed by the use of Discrete Dislocation Dynamics (DDD) during the fifth year. CDD is a density-based formalism of dislocation dynamics in which the plastic deformation of crystals is predicted together with the mesoscale dislocation patterns by tracking the space-time evolution of dislocations as driven by the applied stress, short-range and long-range interactions of dislocations, and cross slip. CDD is a crystal mechanics approach in which the plastic constitutive part is replaced with the equations of dislocation dynamics, which is driven by the internal stress via a mobility laws, while the evolution of the density gives the eigenstrain required to update the internal stress itself. The governing equations are thus those of crystal mechanics cast as an eigenstrain problem and those of dislocation transport and reactions. Our investigations during the first four years were driven by the hypothesis that that dislocation patterning is triggered by spatiotemporal dislocation density and internal stress fluctuations, and that such fluctuations influence the collective dislocation dynamic through their effects on the short-range reaction rates and the collective dislocation mobility. This hypothesis was tested by modeling the influence of the dislocation reactions and dislocation correlations on collective dislocation dynamics. The main research components during the first four years were: 1) Reformulation of the CDD framework to integrate the dislocation correlations and dislocation reactions. 2) Simulation of the dislocation correlations and quantifying their contribution to the long-range stress of complex dislocation systems. 3) Computational implementation of the updated CDD model for FCC single crystals and development of an efficient CDD code. 4) Investigation of dislocation patterning in FCC crystals based on the updated CDD model. Some key findings from these investigations were: 1) The patterning of dislocations is initiated by cross slip and internal stress fluctuations, and the refinement of the pattern results from junction formation. 2) Patterning is more prominent under high stress. 3) The correlation stress was found to be a significant part of the mean field stress in continuum representations of dislocation dynamics. During the last year of the project, we have established a method for performing dislocation dynamics in inhomogeneous alloys and demonstrated the impact of composition inhomogeneity on the characteristics of initial yielding and dislocation character in BCC alloys. We also tested this method using an irradiated ferritic alloy in which the composition and dislocation loops effects are both present. In doing so, we have considered two aspects of the role of inhomogeneity, the creation of internal coherency stress due to the dependence of the lattice parameter on the local composition, and the dependence of the dislocation mobility on the local composition. These two aspects resulted in an unexpected behavior of the dislocation system, and, in turn, the yielding behavior of BCC alloys. Key findings include: 1) The composition inhomogeneity in BCC alloys alters the well-known role of screw dislocations by forcing a level of waviness on the average dislocation character, thus destroying the screw character dominance in the yielding observed in pure or homogeneous BCC metals. 2) In the case of irradiated alloys, while composition inhomogeneity by itself and dislocation loops by themselves result in some hardening, the superposition of the two mechanisms does not result in the sum of the two contributions via any known rule. The latter result contradicts the classical works related hardening via multiple mechanisms, which state that various hardening mechanisms can be added linearly or using some Pythagorean additive rule. We were able to rationalize this unexpected result by a closer loop at the origin of the hardening mechanisms themselves, which both involved long-range elastic interactions with dislocations. We reached the conclusion that the hardening resulting from the total stress associated with these two mechanisms (current work) differs from the sum of the effects of the individual stress fields (classical literature). We have also found a major flaw in the classical theory of spinodal hardening. The latter theory never considered the impact of composition undulation on the solute hardening. We have built a new general theory accounting for the effect of solute friction together with the composition undulations on the dislocation configuration at Critical Resolved Shear Stress (CRSS), which is yielding a new definition of the spinodal hardening and new different results. This work is the first to recognize the lack of the role of solute in spinodal hardening theory of alloys.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Unconventional Fractional Phases in Multiband Vortexable Systems

We study topological flat bands with distinct features that deviate from conventional Landau level behavior. We show that even in the ideal quantum geometry limit, moiré flat band systems can exhibit physical phenomena fundamentally different from Landau levels without lattices. In particular, we find new fractional quantum Hall states emerging from multiband vortexable systems, where multiple exactly flat bands appear at the Fermi energy. While the set of bands as a whole exhibits ideal quantum geometry, individual bands separately lose vortexability, and thus making them very different from a stack of Landau levels. At certain filling fractions, we find fractional states whose Hall conductivity deviates from the filling factor. Through careful numerical and analytical studies, we rule out all known mechanisms—such as fractional quantum Hall crystals or separate filling of trivial and topological bands—as possible explanations. Leveraging the exact solvability of vortexable systems, we use analytic Bloch wave functions to uncover the origin of these new fractional states, which arises from the commensurability between the moiré unit cell and the magnetic unit cell of an emergent effective magnetic field.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2021

Quantifying the Occurrence of Record Hot Years Through Normalized Warming Trends

Surface air temperature trends and extreme events are of global concern and they are related. Here we show that the occurrence of record hot years over different latitudes from 1960-2019 are more strongly correlated with the observational annual mean temperature trends normalized by internal variability. Compared with the raw trends showing Arctic amplification, the normalized trends show a tropical amplification over land. Two hot spots with more frequent occurrence of record hot years are identified: northern hemisphere ocean (versus land) and southern hemisphere tropical land (versus mid- and high-latitude lands). Ensemble mean results from 32 Earth system models agree with observations better than individual models, but they do not reproduce observed large differences in correlations across latitudes between normalized trends and record-breaking events over land versus ocean. Furthermore, our results enable the quantification of record hot year occurrence through normalized warming trends and provide new metrics for model evaluation and improvement.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2016

Photoluminescence Imaging of Polyfluorene Surface Structures on Semiconducting Carbon Nanotubes: Implications for Thin Film Exciton Transport

Single-walled carbon nanotubes (SWCNTs) have potential to act as light-harvesting elements in thin film photovoltaic devices, but performance is in part limited by the efficiency of exciton diffusion processes within the films. Factors contributing to exciton transport can include film morphology encompassing nanotube orientation, connectivity, and interaction geometry. Such factors are often defined by nanotube surface structures that are not yet well understood. We present the results of a combined pump-probe and photoluminescence imaging study of polyfluorene (PFO)-wrapped (6,5) and (7,5) SWCNTs that provide additional insight into the role played by polymer structures in defining exciton transport. The pump-probe measurements suggest exciton transport occurs over larger length scales in films composed of PFO-wrapped (7,5) SWCNTs, compared to those prepared from PFO-bpy-wrapped (6,5) SWCNTs. To explore the role the difference in polymer structure may play as a possible origin of differing transport behaviors, we performed a photoluminescence imaging study of individual polymer-wrapped (6,5) and (7,5) SWCNTs. The PFO-bpy-wrapped (6,5) SWCNTs showed more uniform intensity distributions along their lengths, in contrast to the PFO-wrapped (7,5) SWCNTs, which showed irregular, discontinuous intensity distributions. These differences likely originate from differences in surface coverage and suggest the PFO wrapping on (7,5) nanotubes produces a more open surface structure than is available with the PFO-bpy wrapping of (6,5) nanotubes. Furthermore, the open structure likely leads to improved intertube coupling that enhances exciton transport within the (7,5) films, consistent with the results of our pump-probe measurements.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
NASA NTRS1979

Eye torsion and visual tilt are mediated by different binocular processes

Viewing a large, patterned field rotating about the line of sight produces two measurable effects; cyclotorsion of the eyes (torsion) and a perceived displacement of vertical and horizontal (tilt). Experiments examining binocular interaction for these effects show: (1) both effects demonstrate summation in normal individuals and thus both involve a binocular process; (2) the process for tilt is different than for torsion, since summation for torsion is spared in stereodeficient individuals while that for tilt is eliminated.

Wolfe, J. M.↗
DOE OSTI2022

Root exudate composition from different plant species influences the growth of rhizosphere bacteria

Plant roots release exudates that fuel microbial activities and can structure rhizosphere microbial communities, but how different plant species use their root exudate to potentially select for different soil microbes in the rhizosphere is not well understood. Here, we investigated how root exudate from plants of three diverging lineages, Lactuca sativa (lettuce), Brassica juncea (mustard cabbage), and Zea mays (maize) influence the growth of their own rhizosphere bacteria (host) and those from other plant species (non-host) in growth bioassays. We found that on the community level, lettuce rhizosphere bacteria grew better in non-host exudate, but mustard cabbage and maize rhizosphere bacteria grew similarly well in both host and non-host exudate. However, individual bacteria taxa showed strong preferences for exudate from different plant species. The bacterial growth patterns were independent of C and N quantity, suggesting that certain exometabolic compounds may drive the growth patterns. Our results demonstrate that root exudate from a given plant species have the potential to stimulate or suppress soil bacteria and hint at a mechanism that different plant species use to select for their specific suite of rhizosphere bacteria. Furthermore, these findings contribute to our broader understanding of how root exudate quality could be a mechanism that plants use to select for distinct microbial communities in the rhizosphere.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Post-Release Survivorship in a New Population of Blanding's Turtles Established Using Headstarted and Directly Released Turtles

Blanding’s Turtles are facing a variety of anthropogenic threats that decrease population viability. We initiated a project to establish a new population of Blanding’s Turtles on a National Wildlife Refuge in Massachusetts using hatchlings obtained from a nearby robust donor population. We released 440 head-started individuals and 401 directly-released hatchlings between 2007–2013 and conducted multiple years of post-release monitoring via aquatic trapping to estimate survival. Between 2014–2021 we released an additional 824 head-started and 433 directly-released individuals and conducted one year of aquatic trapping in 2021 to estimate population size. First year post-release survival of head-started turtles was six times that of directly-released hatchlings (0.72 vs. 0.12, respectively), but annual survival of both groups was 0.78–0.90 in subsequent years. Only 19% of turtles released at <60 mm carapace length (CL) were subsequently recaptured compared to 60% of those released at ≥60 mm CL, supporting 60 mm CL as a target minimum release size. The mean population estimates using two different study designs were 164 and 202, with 91 individuals encountered. Now that turtles released early in the project are approaching reproductive maturity, we recommend resampling and expanding trapping efforts to include more wetlands to assess long-term survival, abundance, and distribution of Blanding’s Turtles in this newly established population. Furthermore, our results, combined with other evaluations of head-starting across the species’ range, add credence to the use of head-starting as a population recovery tool for Blanding’s Turtles.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2015

Where does streamwater come from in low-relief forested watersheds? A dual-isotope approach

The time and geographic sources of streamwater in low-relief watersheds are poorly understood. This is partly due to the difficult combination of low runoff coefficients and often damped streamwater isotopic signals precluding traditional hydrograph separation and convolution integral approaches. Here we present a dual-isotope approach involving 18 O and 2 H of water in a low-angle forested watershed to determine streamwater source components and then build a conceptual model of streamflow generation. We focus on three headwater lowland sub-catchments draining the Savannah River Site in South Carolina, USA. Our results for a 3-year sampling period show that the slopes of the meteoric water lines/evaporation water lines (MWLs/EWLs) of the catchment water sources can be used to extract information on runoff sources in ways not considered before. Our dual-isotope approach was able to identify unique hillslope, riparian and deep groundwater, and streamflow compositions. Thus, the streams showed strong evaporative enrichment compared to the local meteoric water line (δ 2 H = 7.15 · δ 18 O +9.28&permil;) with slopes of 2.52, 2.84, and 2.86. Based on the unique and unambiguous slopes of the EWLs of the different water cycle components and the isotopic time series of the individual components, we were able to show how the riparian zone controls baseflow in this system and how the riparian zone "resets" the stable isotope composition of the observed streams in our low-angle, forested watersheds. Although this approach is limited in terms of quantifying mixing percentages between different end-members, our dual-isotope approach enabled the extraction of hydrologically useful information in a region with little change in individual isotope time series.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

PersGNN: Applying Topological Data Analysis and Geometric Deep Learning to Structure-Based Protein Function Prediction

Understanding protein structure-function relationships is a key challenge in computational biology, with applications across the biotechnology and pharmaceutical industries. While it is known that protein structure directly impacts protein function, many functional prediction tasks use only protein sequence. In this work, we isolate protein structure to make functional annotations for proteins in the Protein Data Bank in order to study the expressiveness of different structure-based prediction schemes. We present PersGNN - an end-to-end trainable deep learning model that combines graph representation learning with topological data analysis to capture a complex set of both local and global structural features. While variations of these techniques have been successfully applied to proteins before, we demonstrate that our hybridized approach, PersGNN, outperforms either method on its own as well as a baseline neural network that learns from the same information. PersGNN achieves a 9.3% boost in area under the precision recall curve (AUPR) compared to the best individual model, as well as high F1 scores across different gene ontology categories, indicating the transferability of this approach.

Swenson, Nicolas↗
DOE OSTI2020

The effects of stress, temperature and facet structure on growth of { 10 1 &#xAF; 2 } twins in Mg: a molecular dynamics and phase field study

The present study focuses on the roles of structure, stress and temperature on the mobility of facets bounding twin domains and on the overall impact on the growth kinetics of { 10 1 &#xAF; 2 } twins in Mg. We first use molecular dynamics simulations (MD) to study the relationship between interface structures, stress, temperature and mobility. As facets can exhibit distinct atomic scale structures, we also quantify the effect of stress relaxation mediated by misfit dislocations on the mobility of the basal-prismatic interface. The information gathered for ten different facets is used to calibrate an anisotropic phase field model predicting the effects of temperature and stress on the kinetics and shape of a growing { 10 1 &#xAF; 2 } 3D twin, by comparison with MD data. The comparative analysis suggests that, as compared to simulations of individual facets, the effective mobility of facets can be significantly different during growth of a 3D twin. This can be attributed to the complex three-dimensional internal stress state of the twin and to coupling in facet motion triggered by facet junctions. As such, by directly fitting both the twin growth kinetics and morphology as predicted by MD for different stresses and temperatures, we can identify a limited set of rate-limiting facets that control twin growth and morphology, and measure their effective mobility.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2018

Identifying Sociomarkers of Pediatric Asthma Patients at Risk of Hospital Revisiting

ObjectiveAsthma is one of the most common chronic childhood diseases in the United States [2, 3]. In addition to its pervasiveness, pediatric asthma shows high sensitivity to the environment. Combining medical-social dataset with machine learning methods we demonstrate how socio-markers play an important role in identifying patients at risk of hospital revisits due to pediatric asthma within a year.IntroductionA socio-marker is a measurable indicator of social conditions where a patient is embedded in and exposed to, being analogous with a biomarker indicating the severity or presence of some disease state. Social factors are one of the most clinical health determinants [1], which play a critical role in explaining health outcomes. Socio-markers can help medical practitioners and researchers to reliably identify high-risk individuals in a timely manner.MethodsWe collected data from three different sources: pediatric asthma encounter records from Jan 1st, 2016 to Dec 31st, 2016 at a children’s hospital, the 2010 U.S census data and neighborhood quality survey data by Memphis Property Hub. After merging these datasets we examine the effect of social features in identifying the patients who visited the hospital more than once during the observation period. We only use the first time visit (3,678 cases) to avoid over-counting of the same patients. In addition to demographic features (age, gender, insurance type, and race (African American and White)), we incorporate the social features such as the proportion of individuals living below the federal poverty level, blight prevalence, neighborhood quality, neighborhood quality inequality, trash dumping presence, the broken window pervasiveness within the zip code area of patients’ residence are included.We then implemented a Support Vector Machine (SVM) based classification model using abovementioned 11 social features. The classification outcome is either patient visits the hospital only one-time (class 0) or revisits the hospital within a year (class 1). Among 3,678 unique patients in the dataset, only 823 pediatric patients revisited hospital with asthma. So, to overcome the class imbalance issue, we have used 823 patients’ data (randomly selected in 1,000 iterations) from each class. Further, to avoid overfitting and ensure generalizability, we divided the dataset as training, test, and validation with a proportion of 60%, 20%, and 20%, respectively. The reported test (5-folds cross-validation using training and testing data) and validation accuracy of the SVM method are averaged over 1,000 iterations to avoid sampling error and bias.ResultsThe proposed socio-marker model resulted in an average classification accuracy of 63.70% for the test set and 63.67 % for the validation set. Further, the average specificity (the total true negative cases divided by the sum of true negative and false positive) and sensitivity (the total number of true positive cases divided by the sum of positive predicted cases) is found to be 62.79% and 64.77%, respectively for the test set and 62.79% and 64.83%, respectively for the validation set. Results of this study suggest that socio-marker features that are not directly related to a patient’s medical conditions can still predict whether the patient will come back to the hospital within a year or not with approximately 64% accuracy.ConclusionsBringing the socio-marker features in the surveillance system may ease the burden of detecting the patients at risk of revisiting the hospital. The results should be interpreted with caution because we only used 12-month period of observation and the visit beyond the observation window is not considered. Also the patients may have visited different hospitals which are not captured in the data.References1. Booske BC, Athens JK, Kindig DA, Park H, Remington PL: Different perspectives for assigning weights to determinants of health. University of Wisconsin: Population Health Institute 2010.2. Subbarao P, Mandhane PJ, Sears MR: Asthma: epidemiology, etiology and risk factors. Canadian Medical Association Journal 2009, 181(9):E181-E190.3. Gold DR, Wright R: Population disparities in asthma. Annu Rev Public Health 2005, 26:89-113.

Shin, Eun Kyong↗
DOE OSTI2025

Differentially Private Map Matching (DPMM) v1.0

Human mobility trajectories provide valuable information for developing mobility applications, as they contain diverse and rich information about the users. User mobility data is valuable for various applications such as intelligent transportation systems (ITS), commercial business models, and disease-spread models. However, such spatio-temporal traces may pose a threat to user privacy. GPS trajectories in their raw form are not suitable for transportation studies, as they require matching locations with nearest road links — a process called map-matching. This software implements a differential privacy (DP)-based map-matching algorithm, called DPMM, that generates link-level location trajectories in a privacy-preserving manner to protect users' origin destinations (OD) and travel paths. OD privacy is achieved by injecting Planar Laplace noise to the user OD GPS points. Travel-path privacy is provided with randomized travel path construction using exponential DP mechanism. The injected noise level is selected adaptively, by considering the link density of the location and the functional category of the localized links. For path privacy, our mechanism samples waypoints and selects candidate paths between waypoints. DPMM provides privacy effectively with respect to link density instead of other trajectory samples in the database compared to other privacy mechanisms. Compared to the different baseline models our DP-based privacy model offers closer query responses to the raw data in terms of individual and aggregate trajectory-level statistics with an average at absolute deviation from the baseline for individual statistics on ϵ = 1.0. Beyond individual trajectory statistics, the DPMM outperforms the other benchmark DP-based mechanisms on different aggregate statistics with up to 8x improvement in utility.

Peisert, Sean [Lawrence Berkeley National Laborato↗
DOE OSTI2025

Wellbore Fracture Imaging Using Inflow Detection Measurements

One of the most striking measurements taken during DOE’s EGS Collab project at the 4850-foot depth location was the so-called ‘sewer cam’, which enabled direct visualization of the flow of water into the production well through fractures during the stimulation. The ability to see directly which fractures were flowing and (roughly) how much was a breakthrough in understanding the topology of the created fracture network. Achieving this kind of fracture flow imaging at FORGE would be more challenging because of the 225°C temperature, but equally or even more valuable if it could be achieved. In 2017, a joint project between Sandia and Stanford developed a downhole tool concept to measure the enthalpy of multiphase fluid entering a geothermal well from individual fractures (Gao et al., 2017). For the FORGE project, measuring enthalpy is of less interest because the fluid is expected to be single-phase liquid water. However, the foundation of the device was the measurement of chloride ion concentration, which could form the basis for a direct measurement of inflow from fractures. During the 2017 project, this novel chloride sensing system was implemented into a laboratory test instrument, and we confirmed the capability of the system to measure the ion concentration of fluid entering a model wellbore through a small entry port. The wellbore was a 6-inch diameter model well, and the port was approximately 0.08 inch (2mm) in diameter. The device could measure the chloride concentration accurately even when the well was flowing in a bubbly flow. Given its accuracy, the tool should be able to identify locations of water entering the wellbore even if the ion concentration differs only slightly from that of the water in the well. It is likely that different fractures may flow slightly different chloride concentrations, which would make it feasible to detect individual fractures as well as to estimate the volume of their flow. Ultimately, we could also recognize different fractures flowing back significantly different ion concentrations after fracturing in the FORGE wells. This could be realized by adding different ions in the fracturing fluids in different fractures created at different stages of stimulation (and modifying the tool to include different ion specificity). Sandia’s tool was shown during the study to have the capability to withstand the 225°C temperature, and the electrochemical sensing elements were tested in the laboratory to 225°C at 1500 psia for 24 hours. An early implementation of the fully integrated downhole electrochemical tool, including high-temperature electronics, robust housing, and wireline truck interface, had previously been constructed and tested successfully at Sandia; thus, hardware development tasks focused on advancing the technology readiness level (TRL) of this promising technology for FORGE deployment, rather than on developing a new scientific basis for its operation. The data collection electronics in this tool allowed for several other sensors (pressure, temperature, flow spinner) to be implemented in parallel as well. The research was a new collaboration between Stanford and Sandia to modify and refine the tool for FORGE deployment, to make the downhole measurements, and to characterize the evolving fractures.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

LCOE reduction through proactively optimized monitoring of PV Systems (Final Technical Report)

The project demonstrates the value proposition for a high-resolution monitoring system (HRMS) with diagnostic-prognostic capability and determine its impact on LCOE. The HRMS differs from conventional monitoring systems in a number of ways. First it will include the capability to automatically measure IV curves at the string and module levels. This provides a much richer view into the DC performance of the PV system and allows classification of many typical failure and degradation modes. Second, it will incorporate software capable of quantifying power and energy losses in the field as well as define the location and mechanism of the power and energy loss. Moreover, we aimed to deliver a prognostic system that is capable of predicting certain failures before they occur and giving system operators the opportunity to more efficiently plan operations and maintenance (O&M) activity in order to lower costs and increase yield over the life of the system. The research identifies cost targets required for different monitoring stages, including at the string combiner, at the individual string, and at the module level, to lower the levelized cost of energy (LCOE). Finally, a comprehensive guide determines the value PV monitoring brings to PV field operations. The guide assists plant operators in maximizing value from existing plants and identify the trade-offs of different monitoring solutions for future plants depending on the size, location, and expected system lifetime.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
NASA NTRS2010

Collective Intelligence and Three Aspects of Planning in Organizations: A NASA Example

For many complex sociotechnical systems, planning seems to require explicit coordination; certainly, in executing a plan the activities of different actors must be tightly coupled. However, distributing the needed planning information can be very burdensome and error prone, because different groups need different collections of information, updated or kept current on different time cycles. Further, the information needed to form successful plans is often highly distributed, and while feedback about the success of prior plans may exist, it may not be available to those in a position of using this to improve plans or to detect and resolve other problems in the system (Weick, 1995). Tools to support various aspects of planning have been developed, and can provide a huge benefit to the individuals working on that aspect. To be tractable, most solutions address a quite bounded slice of work, isolating it from the larger context. Prospective planning takes place over multiple, nested cycles of decision making. This builds a plan that specifies activities of different granularity. "Subplans" may specify multiple parallel activities by different groups and individuals, as well as sequential, nested actions by a single actor. Planning produces valuable, sharable, external, representations: in addition to prospective use, plans support retrospective assessment and also action in the present. Viewing planning in a larger context - both temporal and organizational -- enables noticing what one does not know and generating more systemic and effective solutions. Viewing a problem as one of collective intelligence invites thinking about the larger organizational context. Many approaches to supporting collective intelligence do not support execution of highly contingent actions, distributed across many players, and hence provide incomplete support for planning. However, CI technology maybe helpful in managing the processes of gathering information for decision making in planning and of distributing plan information to various actors, needed on various time cycles.

Billman, Dorrit↗