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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,405 records · Page 78

Electrical Resistance Technique to Monitor SiC Composite Detection

Ceramic matrix composites are suitable for high temperature structural applications such as turbine airfoils and hypersonic thermal protection systems. The employment of these materials in such applications is limited by the ability to process components reliable and to accurately monitor and predict damage evolution that leads to failure under stressed-oxidation conditions. Current nondestructive methods such as ultrasound, x-ray, and thermal imaging are limited in their ability to quantify small scale, transverse, in-plane, matrix cracks developed over long-time creep and fatigue conditions. Electrical resistance of SiC/SiC composites is one technique that shows special promise towards this end. Since both the matrix and the fibers are conductive, changes in matrix or fiber properties should relate to changes in electrical conductivity along the length of a specimen or part. The effect of matrix cracking on electrical resistivity for several composite systems will be presented and some initial measurements performed at elevated temperatures under stress-rupture conditions. The implications towards electrical resistance as a technique applied to composite processing, damage detection (health monitoring), and life-modeling will be discussed.

Smith, Craig↗

Using Air Temperature to Quantitatively Predict the MODIS Fractional Snow Cover Retrieval Errors over the Continental US (CONUS)

In the middle to high latitude and alpine regions, the seasonal snow pack can dominate the surface energy and water budgets due to its high albedo, low thermal conductivity, high emissivity, considerable spatial and temporal variability, and ability to store and then later release a winters cumulative snowfall (Cohen, 1994; Hall, 1998). With this in mind, the snow drought across the U.S. has raised questions about impacts on water supply, ski resorts and agriculture. Knowledge of various snow pack properties is crucial for short-term weather forecasts, climate change prediction, and hydrologic forecasting for producing reliable daily to seasonal forecasts. One potential source of this information is the multi-institution North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) project (Mitchell et al., 2004). Real-time NLDAS products are used for drought monitoring to support the National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS) and as initial conditions for a future NCEP drought forecast system. Additionally, efforts are currently underway to assimilate remotely-sensed estimates of land-surface states such as snowpack information into NLDAS. It is believed that this assimilation will not only produce improved snowpack states that better represent snow evolving conditions, but will directly improve the monitoring of drought.

MODIS↗

Individual Data Sparsity in Smart Thermostat Big Data: Impacts on Modeling Thermostat Use Behavior Dynamics

This study explores the impacts of the sparsity of individual thermostat interaction data on modeling thermostat use behavior dynamics using a dataset of over 100,000 smart thermostats. In developing a data-driven model of Thermal Frustration Theory (TFT), we investigate the challenges and trade-offs in clustering occupant data to enhance predictive accuracy. Our findings reveal that a single, aggregated model fails to capture the diversity of occupant behaviors, resulting in extremely poor prediction performance. Conversely, excessive clustering exacerbates data sparsity, undermining model reliability. By identifying an optimal clustering strategy, we achieve a balance that significantly improves the prediction of manual setpoint changes during demand response (DR) events, enhancing energy management and occupant comfort

Fannon, David↗

Single Primary Heat Extraction and Removal Emulator (SPHERE) Long Duration Testing

For the development of heat-pipe cooled microreactors, it is crucial to thoroughly understand the characteristics and functioning of heat pipes across a wide spectrum of operating conditions. Passive heat removal and its long-term performance stability are critical factors in this context. Enhanced experimental data is vital for evaluating the operational lifespan of alkali metal heat pipes. Idaho National Laboratory (INL) has successfully conducted an extended duration test on a high-performance sodium-filled heat pipe, closely monitoring the axial temperature profile, power supplied by the heaters, and heat removed by a gas-gap calorimeter. The results from this testing provide valuable data that are instrumental in supporting heat pipe validation efforts. Specifically, this data aids in the development and validation of Sockeye, the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) tool under the US-DOE NEAMS program designed for heat pipe modeling. By comparing experimental results with Sockeye’s predictions, the tool's accuracy and reliability can be assessed and improved, thereby enhancing its capability to simulate heat pipe operations under various conditions.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Lifetimes and Reliabilities of Bevel-Gear Drive Trains

Statistical methods used to predict system lifetimes from component lifetimes. Report shows how to use information to determine system life of drive train, using methods of probability and statistics. Presents life and reliability model for bevel-gear drive trains. Bevel-gear and support-bearing lives analyzed for each gear and bearing in drive train, with results statistically combined to produce system life for entire drive train. Numerical example included.

Lewicki, D.↗

Predicting bulge to total luminosity ratio of galaxies using deep learning

ABSTRACT We present a deep learning model to predict the r-band bulge-to-total luminosity ratio (B/T) of nearby galaxies using their multiband JPEG images alone. Our Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) based regression model is trained on a large sample of galaxies with reliable decomposition into the bulge and disc components. The existing approaches to estimate the B/T ratio use galaxy light-profile modelling to find the best fit. This method is computationally expensive, prohibitively so for large samples of galaxies, and requires a significant amount of human intervention. Machine learning models have the potential to overcome these shortcomings. In our CNN model, for a test set of 20 000 galaxies, 85.7 per cent of the predicted B/T values have absolute error (AE) less than 0.1. We see further improvement to 87.5 per cent if, while testing, we only consider brighter galaxies (with r-band apparent magnitude <17) with no bright neighbours. Our model estimates the B/T ratio for the 20 000 test galaxies in less than a minute. This is a significant improvement in inference time from the conventional fitting pipelines, which manage around 2–3 estimates per minute. Thus, the proposed machine learning approach could potentially save a tremendous amount of time, effort, and computational resources while predicting B/T reliably, particularly in the era of next-generation sky surveys such as the Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) and the Euclid sky survey which will produce extremely large samples of galaxies.

Grover, Harsh (ORCID:0000000321338142)↗

Residual Stress Modeling and Advanced Diffraction Measurements of 347H Steel Weldments

The 347H stainless steel is a primary high-temperature material for many energy and power generation industries. Stress relief cracking (SRC) has been a particular concern in welding of this material. The residual stress induced by welding and its evolution during post-welding heat treatment (PWHT) and subsequent operating and service conditions is one of the primary factors contributing to SRC. The lifetime of welded structure components is also controlled by the precipitation kinetics that accompanies PWHT, stress relaxation process, and long-term aging and complex synergistic factors. Various theories have been proposed in the past to explain SRC. However, a widely accepted approach to predicting the entire damage evolution and the resulting performance reduction is still lacking. This study is to demonstrate a reliable solution for two critical issues that affect the predictions. First, the residual stress distribution obtained from both simulation and neutron diffraction is compared, which increases the accuracy of mechanical analysis simulation model and therefore builds a solid basis for the lifetime prediction model. Second, the generation, evolution, and annihilation of precipitates are monitored by the synchrotron diffraction experiment. Preliminary results demonstrate the critical importance of precipitation kinetics on the residual stress distribution/redistribution during heat treatments.

Yang, Yi↗

A Photometric Machine-Learning Method to Infer Stellar Metallicity

Following its formation, a star's metal content is one of the few factors that can significantly alter its evolution. Measurements of stellar metallicity ([Fe/H]) typically require a spectrum, but spectroscopic surveys are limited to a few x 10(exp 6) targets; photometric surveys, on the other hand, have detected > 10(exp 9) stars. I present a new machine-learning method to predict [Fe/H] from photometric colors measured by the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS). The training set consists of approx. 120,000 stars with SDSS photometry and reliable [Fe/H] measurements from the SEGUE Stellar Parameters Pipeline (SSPP). For bright stars (g' < or = 18 mag), with 4500 K < or = Teff < or = 7000 K, corresponding to those with the most reliable SSPP estimates, I find that the model predicts [Fe/H] values with a root-mean-squared-error (RMSE) of approx.0.27 dex. The RMSE from this machine-learning method is similar to the scatter in [Fe/H] measurements from low-resolution spectra..

machine learning↗

Design of Oil-Lubricated Machine for Life and Reliability

In the post-World War II era, the major technology drivers for improving the life, reliability, and performance of rolling-element bearings and gears have been the jet engine and the helicopter. By the late 1950s, most of the materials used for bearings and gears in the aerospace industry had been introduced into use. By the early 1960s, the life of most steels was increased over that experienced in the early 1940s, primarily by the introduction of vacuum degassing and vacuum melting processes in the late 1950s. The development of elastohydrodynamic (EHD) theory showed that most rolling bearings and gears have a thin film separating the contacting bodies during motion and it is that film which affects their lives. Computer programs modeling bearing and gear dynamics that incorporate probabilistic life prediction methods and EHD theory enable optimization of rotating machinery based on life and reliability. With improved manufacturing and processing, the potential improvement in bearing and gear life can be as much as 80 times that attainable in the early 1950s. The work presented summarizes the use of laboratory fatigue data for bearings and gears coupled with probabilistic life prediction and EHD theories to predict the life and reliability of a commercial turboprop gearbox. The resulting predictions are compared with field data.

Zaretsky, Erwin V.↗

Resonance Control System for the CEBAF Separator Upgrade

Abstract The Continuous Electron Beam Accelerator Facility (CEBAF) energy upgrade from 6 GeV to 12 GeV includes the installation of four new 748.5 MHz normal conducting deflecting cavities in the 5th pass extraction region. The RF system employs two digital LLRF systems controlling four normal conducting cavities in a vector sum setting. Cavity tune information of the individual cavities is obtained using a multiplexing scheme of the forward and reflected RF signals. Water skids equipped with heaters and valves are used to control resonance. A new FPGA-based hardware and EPICS-based predictive control algorithm has been developed to support reliable operation of the beam extraction process. This paper presents the architecture design of the existing hardware and software as well as a plan to develop a model predictive control system.

Plawski, Tomasz↗

RELICS: Strong Lensing Analysis of MACS J0417.5–1154 and Predictions for Observing the Magnified High-redshift Universe with JWST

Strong gravitational lensing by clusters of galaxies probes the mass distribution at the core of each cluster and magnifies the universe behind it. MACS J0417.5–1154 at z = 0.443 is one of the most massive clusters known based on weak lensing, X-ray, and Sunyaev–Zel'dovich analyses. In this work we compute a strong lens model of MACS J0417 based on Hubble Space Telescope imaging observations collected, in part, by the Reionization Lensing Cluster Survey (RELICS), and recently reported spectroscopic redshifts from the MUSE instrument on the Very Large Telescope (VLT). We measure an Einstein radius of ${\theta }_{E}\simeq 36^{\prime\prime} $ at z = 9 and a mass projected within 200 kpc of ${M}_{(200\mathrm{kpc})}={1.78}_{-0.03}^{+0.01}\times {10}^{14}$ M ${}_{\odot }$. Using this model, we measure a ratio between the mass attributed to cluster-member galaxy halos and the main cluster halo of order 1:100. We assess the probability to detect magnified high-redshift galaxies in the field of this cluster, both for comparison with RELICS HST results and as a prediction for the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) Guaranteed Time Observations upcoming for this cluster. Our lensing analysis suggests that this cluster has similar lensing strength to other clusters in the RELICS program. Our lensing analysis predicts a detection of at least a few z ~ 6–8 galaxies behind this cluster, at odds with a recent analysis that yielded no such candidates in this field. Reliable strong lensing models are important for accurately predicting the intrinsic properties of lensed galaxies. As part of the RELICS program, our strong lensing model produced with the Lenstool parametric method is publicly available through the Mikulski Archive for Space Telescopes.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Ab initio multireference study of the BN molecule

The lowest 1Sigma(+) and 3Pi states of the BN molecule are studied using multireference configuration interaction (MRCI) and averaged coupled-pair functional (ACPF) methods and large atomic natural orbital (ANO) basis sets, as well as several coupled cluster methods. Our calculations strongly support a 3Pi ground state, but the a1Sigma(+) state lies only 381 +/- 100/cm higher. The a1Sigma(+) state wave function exhibits strong multireference character and, consequently, the predictions of the perturbationally-based single-reference CCSD(T) coupled cluster method are not as reliable in this case as the multireference results. The theoretical predictions for the spectroscopic constants of BN are in good agreement with experiment for the Chi3Pi state, but strongly suggest a misassignment of the fundamental vibrational frequency for the a1Sigma(+) state.

Martin, J. M. L.↗

Drivetrain Reliability from Inherent to Operational

Despite reliability improvements made to wind turbine drivetrains over the years, premature component failures are still challenging the wind industry. There are, however, opportunities to understand drivetrain reliability challenges and investigate potential mitigation solutions. This presentation discusses a few research and development (R&D) activities on drivetrain reliability carried out by the U.S. Department of Energy's National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) over the last ten years. It covers two angles of reliability, inherent and operational, and goes into detail on specific R&D activities. Some inherent reliability challenges covered include gearbox planetary stage loads investigation, high speed shaft and main bearing operational condition understanding, dynamic modeling approaches, and recommended practices. The R&D activities on operational reliability improvements covered include benchmarking, performance and condition monitoring, and predictions on the remaining useful life of components. The presentation concludes with a list of necessary drivetrain reliability improvements that could close the loop between operational and inherent reliability efforts. The team hopes that some of these lessons learned can contribute to relevant international standards or recommended practices.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Design Parameters Influencing Reliability of CCGA Assembly: A Sensitivity Analysis

Area Array microelectronic packages with small pitch and large I/O counts are now widely used in microelectronics packaging. The impact of various package design and materials/process parameters on reliability has been studied through extensive literature review. Reliability of Ceramic Column Grid Array (CCGA) package assemblies has been evaluated using JPL thermal cycle test results (-50(deg)/75(deg)C, -55(deg)/100(deg)C, and -55(deg)/125(deg)C), as well as those reported by other investigators. A sensitivity analysis has been performed using the literature da to study the impact of design parameters and global/local stress conditions on assembly reliability. The applicability of various life-prediction models for CCGA design has been investigated by comparing model's predictions with the experimental thermal cycling data. Finite Element Method (FEM) analysis has been conducted to assess the state of the stress/strain in CCGA assembly under different thermal cycling, and to explain the different failure modes and locations observed in JPL test assemblies.

reliability↗

Igniter adapter-to-igniter chamber deflection test

Testing was performed to determine the maximum RSRM igniter adapter-to-igniter chamber joint deflection at the crown of the inner joint primary seal. The deflection data was gathered to support igniter inner joint gasket resiliency predictions which led to launch commit criteria temperature determinations. The proximity (deflection) gage holes for the first test (Test No. 1) were incorrectly located; therefore, the test was declared a non-test. Prior to Test No. 2, test article configuration was modified with the correct proximity gage locations. Deflection data were successfully acquired during Test No. 2. However, the proximity gage deflection measurements were adversely affected by temperature increases. Deflections measured after the temperature rise at the proximity gages were considered unreliable. An analysis was performed to predict the maximum deflections based on the reliable data measured before the detectable temperature rise. Deflections to the primary seal crown location were adjusted to correspond to the time of maximum expected operating pressure (2,159 psi) to account for proximity gage bias, and to account for maximum attach and special bolt relaxation. The maximum joint deflection for the igniter inner joint at the crown of the primary seal, accounting for all significant correction factors, was 0.0031 in. (3.1 mil). Since the predicted (0.003 in.) and tested maximum deflection values were sufficiently close, the launch commit criteria was not changed as a result of this test. Data from this test should be used to determine if the igniter inner joint gasket seals are capable of maintaining sealing capability at a joint displacement of (1.4) x (0.0031 in.) = 0.00434 inches. Additional testing should be performed to increase the database on igniter deflections and address launch commit criteria temperatures.

Cook, M.↗

Scalable Unit Commitment with Security Constrained AC Power Flow via ADMM and Hybrid Modeling Strategies

This research introduces a more efficient way to optimize power grid operations, breaking the problem into manageable steps and using advanced mathematical techniques to speed up calculations. By incorporating smart heuristics, improved preprocessing, and contingency analysis, the approach allows operators to make better decisions faster. These innovations enhance our understanding of how to optimize energy generation, making it possible to anticipate failures before they happen, reduce system costs, and improve overall grid performance. Ultimately, this research helps bridge the gap between theoretical models and real-world applications, paving the way for a smarter, more resilient power grid. This research directly benefits the public by making electricity more affordable, reliable, and sustainable. By improving how power grids schedule and distribute electricity, the project helps energy providers reduce operational costs, which can lead to lower electricity prices for consumers. Additionally, the ability to predict and prevent power system failures enhances grid reliability, reducing the likelihood of blackouts that can disrupt homes, businesses, and critical infrastructure such as hospitals. From an environmental perspective, optimizing power generation reduces energy waste and lowers carbon emissions, contributing to cleaner air and a more sustainable energy system. Furthermore, with extreme weather events becoming more frequent, these advancements make the power grid more resilient, ensuring communities are better prepared for emergencies and natural disasters. By strengthening the nation's energy infrastructure, this research plays a crucial role in improving economic stability, public safety, and environmental sustainability.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

High Accuracy Signal Validation Framework for Sensor Calibration Assessment in NPPs

Effective and efficient health management of sensing channels and instrumentation supports reliable and accurate process monitoring capacities in any industry. Current practice in the nuclear industry relies on periodic calibration assessment and correction activities. This time based maintenance technique consists of three steps: i) removal of sensor to a test environment, ii) testing and recalibration, and iii) reinstallation of sensor into its working environment. This procedure is highly labor intensive, adds to the outage cost and timeline, and contributes to worker radiation exposure and ALARA requirements. Furthermore, the human element contributes to error factors in all stages of the procedure. The effectiveness of this calibration procedure after sensors are returned to working environmental variables also raises concerns, and the practicability of this periodic approach is uncertain for future reactor designs with longer operating cycles between refueling outages. Studies indicate that periodic calibration assessment find only 10% of sensing instrumentations with calibration issues during a single outage (18- 24 months), meaning at least 90% of sensors are undergoing unnecessary maintenance actions. This provides an opportunity to maintain the current levels of safety and functional integrity with fewer, more targeted maintenance actions and lower economic burden. Performance-based maintenance planning shows much promise over current periodic maintenance approaches. Specifically, online monitoring (OLM) utilizes the continually collected process data to non-intrusively monitor the calibration status of process instrumentation and detect the onset of de-calibration, thereby minimizing the number of recalibration procedures required. Ultimately, this can lead to termination of time based recalibration at NPPs. OLM utilizes the process measurements made for process monitoring and control to evaluate the calibration status of the sensors and instrumentation making the measurements. OLM can detect and differentiate sensor faults and process anomalies, thus providing a valuable tool to suit the industry's and regulatory body's requirements. Though supported by more than a decade of research, OLM for sensor calibration assessment is yet to be implemented in the US fleet due to regulatory requirements and constraints. As shown in Figure 1, OLM utilizes process data to train statistical models that predict normal, error-free process behavior. Measured process values are compared with error-corrected predictions to ascertain the presence of faults. The reliability of OLM is dependent on the quality of its predictions, measured in part by the uncertainty in these predictions. This research develops a framework to accurately quantify the prediction uncertainty based on Bayesian inference techniques to provide the required confidence levels for OLM systems. The expected outcomes include signal validation by high-accuracy, high-confidence uncertainty quantification for variable sensor types and operating ranges. Furthermore, the framework will facilitate fault detection capacities and so-called virtual sensors, a capability to replace faulty sensor measurements with error-corrected values when a sensor fault is detected. (authors)

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗