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At least 1,423 records · Page 79

Investigating the Impact of Temporal and Directional Traffic Distribution on Crash Frequencies

Safety Performance Functions (SPFs) are mathematical models that establish relationships between the frequency of various crash types and site-specific characteristics, serving as essential tools for traffic safety analysis and roadway design. Traditional SPFs, however, often overlook the temporal fluctuations in traffic flow (such as peak-hour surges) and directional imbalances between opposing traffic streams. These traffic patterns can exacerbate congestion, disrupt driver behavior, and create unexpected conflict points, potentially leading to increased crash frequencies and more severe accidents. In light of this gap, this study aims to explore the potential of incorporating K-factors (representing peak-hour traffic proportions) and D-factors (reflecting the imbalance of directional traffic) into the development of SPFs to assess whether these factors can effectively represent the impact of temporal and spatial traffic distribution on roadway safety. Using crash data from Pennsylvania urban-suburban collector roadways, it is found that the D-factor plays a significant role in predicting the frequency of total crashes, fatal + injury crashes, and angle crashes, with positive coefficient signs indicating that higher directional imbalances correspond to increased crash risks. Similarly, the K-factor emerges as a critical predictor for fatal + injury crashes and rear-end crashes, with negative coefficients suggesting that a more pronounced traffic peak is associated with a reduction in expected crash frequencies. These results highlight the importance of accounting for uneven traffic distribution in both time and direction when developing SPFs, offering deeper insights into crash patterns and supporting more effective safety interventions and roadway designs.

Xu, Guanhao [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000214326357)↗

Enhanced SO2 Concentrations Observed over Northern India: Role of Long-range Transport

Volcanic emissions and coal burning are among the major sources of SO2 over the continental environment. In this study, we show episodes of long-range transport of volcanic SO2 from Africa to Northern India using satellite observations. Monthly averaged SO2 from OMI were of the order of 0.6-0.9 DU during November, 2008 over the Indo-Gangetic Plain (IGP), which far exceeded background values (<0.3 DU) retrieved from observations across different locations over North India during 2005-2010. The columnar SO2 loadings were much higher on November 6 over most of the IGP and even exceeded 6 DU, a factor of 10 higher than background levels at some places. These enhanced SO2 levels were, however, not reciprocated in satellite derived NO2 or CO columns, indicating transport from a non-anthropogenic source of SO2. Backward trajectory analysis revealed strong winds in the free troposphere, which originated from the Dalaffilla volcanic eruption over the Afar region of Ethiopia during November 4-6, 2008. Wind streams and stable atmospheric conditions were conducive to the long-range transport of volcanic plume into the IGP. As most of the local aerosols over IGP region are below 3 km, a well separated layer at 4-5 km is observed from CALIPSO, most likely as a result of this transport. Apart from known anthropogenic sources, the additional transport of volcanic SO2 over the IGP region would have implications to air quality and radiation balance over this region.

India↗

Parallel Algorithms for Computing the Tensor-Train Decomposition

The tensor-train (TT) decomposition expresses a tensor in a data-sparse format used in molecular simulations, high-order correlation functions, and optimization. In this paper, we propose four parallelizable algorithms that compute the TT format from various tensor inputs: (1) Parallel-TTSVD for traditional format, (2) PSTT and its variants for streaming data, (3) Tucker2TT for Tucker format, and (4) TT-fADI for solutions of Sylvester tensor equations. We provide theoretical guarantees of accuracy, parallelization methods, scaling analysis, and numerical results. For example, for a d-dimension tensor in $\mathbb{R}$ $n\times∙∙∙$$\times$$n$ a two-sided sketching algorithm PSTT2 is shown to have a memory complexity of $O(n^{[d/2]})$, improving upon $O(n^{d—1})$ from previous algorithms.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Automated Design Space Exploration with Aspen

Architects and applications scientists often use performance models to explore a multidimensional design space of architectural characteristics, algorithm designs, and application parameters. With traditional performance modeling tools, these explorations forced users to first develop a performance model and then repeatedly evaluate and analyze the model manually. These manual investigations proved laborious and error prone. More importantly, the complexity of this traditional process often forced users to simplify their investigations. To address this challenge of design space exploration, we extend our Aspen (Abstract Scalable Performance Engineering Notation) language with three new language constructs: user-defined resources, parameter ranges, and a collection of costs in the abstract machine model. Then, we use these constructs to enable automated design space exploration via a nonlinear optimization solver. We show how four interesting classes of design space exploration scenarios can be derived from Aspen models and formulated as pure nonlinear programs. The analysis tools are demonstrated using examples based on Aspen models for a three-dimensional Fast Fourier Transform, the CoMD molecular dynamics proxy application, and the DARPA Streaming Sensor Challenge Problem. Our results show that this approach can compose and solve arbitrary performance modeling questions quickly and rigorously when compared to the traditional manual approach.

Spafford, Kyle L.↗

Specific Adaptation of Gas Atomization Processing for Al-Based Alloy Powder for Additive Manufacturing

The initial three atomization attempts resulted in “freeze-outs” within the pour tubes in the pilot-scale system and yielded no powder. Re-evaluation of the alloy liquidus temperatures and melting characteristics, in collaboration with Alcoa, showed further superheat to be necessary to allow the liquid metal to flow through the pour tube to the atomization nozzle. A subsequent smaller run on the experimental atomization system verified these parameters and was successful, as were all successive runs on the larger pilot scale system. One alloy composition froze-out part way through the atomization on both pilot scale runs. SEM images showed needle formation and phase segregations within the microstructure. Analysis of the pour tube freeze-out microstructures showed that large needles formed within the pour tube during the atomization experiment, which eventually blocked the melt stream. Alcoa verified the needle formation in this alloy using theoretical modeling of phase solidification. Sufficient powder of this composition was still generated to allow powder characterization and additive manufacturing trials at Alcoa.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Onset of condensation effects with an NACA 0012-64 airfoil tested in the Langley 0.3-meter transonic cryogenic tunnel

The onset of condensation effects as determined by varying the stagnation temperature was found to correlate better with the amount of supercooling in the free stream than it did with the supercooling in the region of maximum local Mach number over the air foil. Effects in the pressure distribution over the air foil were seen to appear over its entire length at nearly the same total temperature. Both observations suggest that heterogeneous nucleation does occur in the free stream. The benefits realized from supercooling are presented in terms of increased Reynolds number capability at a given tunnel total pressure and reduced drive-fan power and liquid nitrogen consumption if Reynolds number is held constant. Depending on total pressure and free-stream Mach number, these three benefits are found to vary respectively from 8 to 19 percent, 12 to 24 percent, and 9 to 19 percent. The data analysis and error estimates are given.

Hall, R. M.↗

The stability of quasi-geostrophic fields induced by potential vorticity sources

A determination of the conditions leading to instabilities which grow in place in quasi-geostrophic fields induced by localized potential vorticity sources is presented. The analysis considers a quasi-geostrophic barotropic flow in a horizontally open domain, and a nondimensional quasi-geostrophic vorticity equation is defined which governs the deviation stream function. Weak forcing is considered, and it is shown that the field induced by the topography is stable while the field induced by the potential vorticity source can be unstable. The growth rate is exponential and a function of nonlinearity and friction, which, if absent, indicates an unstable flowfield. The instability is shown to be capable of changing the flowfield from one quasi-steady state to another, with energy extraction occurring at the source

Merkine, L.-O.↗

Analysis and interpretation of the shocklike electrostatic noise observed during the AMPTE solar wind lithium releases

During the AMPTE (Active Magnetospheric Particle Tracer Explorers) solar wind lithium release on September 11, and again on September 20, 1984, an intense burst of electrostatic noise was observed near the upstream edge of the ion cloud. Comparisons with measurements by the IMP-6 and ISEE-1 spacecraft show that the spectrum and overall features of this noise are very similar to electrostatic noise observed at the Earth's bow shock. A stability analysis using realistic parameters shows that the electrostatic noise can be accounted for by an ion beam-plasma instability caused by the solar wind proton beam streaming through the nearly stationary lithium cloud. The growth rate of this instability is largest when the ion density and solar wind proton density are similar, which explains why the noise only occurs near the outer edge of the ion cloud. The similarity to the noise in the Earth's bow shock suggest that a shock may exist in the solar wind plasma flow upstream of the ion cloud. If the noise is associated with a shock, then it must be an electrostatic shock, since the ion cyclotron radii are too small for the existence of a MHD shock. Since the electrostatic instability occurs at phase velocities near the lithium thermal velocity, the electrostatic turbulence may play a role in heating the lithium ions and transferring momentum from the solar wind to the ion cloud.

Gurnett, D. A.↗

A kinematic analysis of the high-latitude thermospheric neutral circulation pattern

'Synthesized' thermospheric neutral wind fields for solar maximum, December solstice conditions for both quiet and active levels of geometric activity, are provided on the basis of averaged measurements from the Dynamics Explorer 2 (DE 2) satellite combined with theoretical model calculations. High-latitude DE 2 wind data obtained from multiorbit averages are merged with modeled winds from the NCAR thermosphere-ionosphere general circulation model. A 'kinematic analysis' is performed to decompose the merged semiempirical wind fields into their respective divergent and nondivergent components at high latitudes and to calculate the corresponding potential and stream functions. It is concluded that the nondivergent component of the high-latitude thermospheric neutral wind is representative of the convection-driven component of the neutral wind at F region altitudes. The nondivergent wind component comprises a large percentage of the total wind field for both quiet and active geomagnetic conditions.

Thayer, J. P.↗

A Probable Taurid Impact on the Moon

On November 7, 2005, at 23:41:52 UT, observers located at the Marshall Space Flight Center captured the flash produced by a kilogram-size meteoroid striking the lunar surface. Photometric analysis of the event video, combined with the plausible assumptions of a luminous efficiency of 2x10" and that the meteoroid was a member of the Taurid meteoroid stream, yield a striking power of approximately 640 lbs of TNT and a mass of approximately 3.8 kg. Even though no confirming independent observations are known to exist, there is high confidence in the impact origin of the flash; reasonable attempts have been made to eliminate other possibilities, such as cosmic ray hits on the CCD and glints from satellites that may have crossed the lunar disk near the impact time.

Cooke, William J.↗

Three-Dimensional Thermal Boundary Layer Corrections for Circular Heat Flux Gauges Mounted in a Flat Plate with a Surface Temperature Discontinuity

Three-dimensional Navier-Stokes computational fluid dynamics (CFD) analysis has been performed in an effort to determine thermal boundary layer correction factors for circular convective heat flux gauges (such as Schmidt-Boelter and plug type)mounted flush in a flat plate subjected to a stepwise surface temperature discontinuity. Turbulent flow solutions with temperature-dependent properties are obtained for a free stream Reynolds number of 1E6, and freestream Mach numbers of 2 and 4. The effect of gauge diameter and the plate surface temperature have been investigated. The 3-D CFD results for the heat flux correction factors are compared to quasi-21) results deduced from constant property integral solutions and also 2-D CFD analysis with both constant and variable properties. The role of three-dimensionality and of property variations on the heat flux correction factors has been demonstrated.

Kandula, M.↗

Toward the Probabilistic Forecasting of High-latitude GPS Phase Scintillation

The phase scintillation index was obtained from L1 GPS data collected with the Canadian High Arctic Ionospheric Network (CHAIN) during years of extended solar minimum 2008-2010. Phase scintillation occurs predominantly on the dayside in the cusp and in the nightside auroral oval. We set forth a probabilistic forecast method of phase scintillation in the cusp based on the arrival time of either solar wind corotating interaction regions (CIRs) or interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs). CIRs on the leading edge of high-speed streams (HSS) from coronal holes are known to cause recurrent geomagnetic and ionospheric disturbances that can be forecast one or several solar rotations in advance. Superposed epoch analysis of phase scintillation occurrence showed a sharp increase in scintillation occurrence just after the arrival of high-speed solar wind and a peak associated with weak to moderate CMEs during the solar minimum. Cumulative probability distribution functions for the phase scintillation occurrence in the cusp are obtained from statistical data for days before and after CIR and ICME arrivals. The probability curves are also specified for low and high (below and above median) values of various solar wind plasma parameters. The initial results are used to demonstrate a forecasting technique on two example periods of CIRs and ICMEs.

scintillation↗

July 2018 Mid-Atlantic Atmospheric River and Extreme Precipitation Event Captured by MERRA-2

Despite starting off the month with hardly any precipitation, July 2018 turned out to be one of the wettest on record in the Baltimore/Washington D.C. area. Daily rainfall records were demolished as an entire month's worth of precipitation fell in a matter of days and flash flood warnings covered the region. Beginning on July 21, 2018, an atmospheric river, or a narrow stream of enhanced water vapor transport, positioned itself over the region, bringing gray skies and precipitation for days. This was captured by GMAO's Modern Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2), and given the nearly 40-year record of MERRA-2, can be placed in the context of past events and the overall climate for the region during July. Not only was the multi-day rainfall out of character, but large-scale features throughout July differed from climatology and there were even bigger differences in the state of the atmosphere between the first and second halves of July 2018.

Collow, Allie↗

PMU Data Integrity Evaluation through Analytics on a Virtual Test-Bed

Power systems are rapidly becoming populated by phasor measurement units (PMUs) in ever increasing numbers. PMUs are critical components of today s energy management systems, designed to enable near real-time wide area monitoring and control of the electric power system. They are able to measure highly accurate bus voltage phasors as well as branch current phasors incident to the buses at which PMUs are equipped. Synchrophasor data is used for applications varying from state estimation, islanding control, identifying outages, voltage stability detection and correction, disturbance recording, and others. However, PMU-measured readings may suffer from errors due to meter biases or drifts, incorrect configurations, or even cyber-attacks. Furthermore, the testing of early PMUs showed a large disparity between the reported values from PMUs provided by different manufacturers, particularly when frequency was off-nominal, during dynamic events, and when harmonic/inter-harmonic content was present. Detection and identification of PMU gross measurement errors are thus crucial in maintaining highly accurate phasor readings throughout the system. In this paper, we present our work in conducting analytics to determine the trustworthiness and worth of the PMU readings collected across an electric network system. By implementing the IEEE 118 bus test case on a virtual test bed (VTB) , we are able to emulate PMU readings (bus voltage and branch current phasors in addition to bus frequencies) under normal and abnormal conditions using (virtual) PMU sensors deployed across major substations in the network. We emulate a variety of failures such as bus, line, transformer, generator, and/or load failures. Data analytics on the voltage phase angles and frequencies collected from the PMUs show that specious (or compromised) PMU device(s) can be identified through abnormal behaviour by comparing the trend of its frequency and phase angle reading with the ensemble of all other PMU readings in the network. If the reading trend of a particular PMU deviates from the weighted average of the reading trends of other PMUs at nearby substations, then it is likely that the PMU is malfunctioning. We assign a weight to each PMU denoting how electric-topology-wise close it is from where the PMU under consideration is located. The closer a PMU is, the higher the weight it has. To compute the closeness between two nodes in the power network, we employ a form of the resistance distance metric. It computes the electrical distance by taking into consideration the underlying topology as well as the physical laws that govern the electrical connections or flows between the network components. The detection accuracy of erroneous PMUs should be improved by employing this metric. We present results to validate the proposed approach. We also discuss the effectiveness of using an end-to-end VTB approach that allows us to investigate different types of failures and their responses as seen by the ensemble of PMUs. The collected data on certain types of events may be amenable to certain types of analysis (e.g., alerting for sudden changes can be done on a small window of data) and hence determine the data analytics architectures is required to evaluate the streaming PMU data.

and data analytics architecture.↗

Semantic Complex Event Processing over End-to-End Data Flows

Emerging Complex Event Processing (CEP) applications in cyber physical systems like SmartPower Grids present novel challenges for end-to-end analysis over events, flowing from heterogeneous information sources to persistent knowledge repositories. CEP for these applications must support two distinctive features - easy specification patterns over diverse information streams, and integrated pattern detection over realtime and historical events. Existing work on CEP has been limited to relational query patterns, and engines that match events arriving after the query has been registered. We propose SCEPter, a semantic complex event processing framework which uniformly processes queries over continuous and archived events. SCEPteris built around an existing CEP engine with innovative support for semantic event pattern specification and allows their seamless detection over past, present and future events. Specifically, we describe a unified semantic query model that can operate over data flowing through event streams to event repositories. Compile-time and runtime semantic patterns are distinguished and addressed separately for efficiency. Query rewriting is examined and analyzed in the context of temporal boundaries that exist between event streams and their repository to avoid duplicate or missing results. The design and prototype implementation of SCEPterare analyzed using latency and throughput metrics for scenarios from the Smart Grid domain.

Zhou, Qunzhi↗

Using dynamic mode decomposition for real-time background/foreground separation in video

The technique of dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) is disclosed herein for the purpose of robustly separating video frames into background (low-rank) and foreground (sparse) components in real-time. Foreground/background separation is achieved at the computational cost of just one singular value decomposition (SVD) and one linear equation solve, thus producing results orders of magnitude faster than robust principal component analysis (RPCA). Additional techniques, including techniques for analyzing the video for multi-resolution time-scale components, and techniques for reusing computations to allow processing of streaming video in real time, are also described herein.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Techno-Economic Analysis and Life-Cycle Assessment for Gas Phase Catalytic Oxidation of Lignin to Produce Phenolic Compounds

Displacing fossil fuels with biofuels is an effective way to sustainably mitigate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and natural resource consumption. As DOE's only national laboratory solely dedicated to researching and developing clean energy and energy efficiency technologies, NREL has been developing conceptual biomass-to-fuels conversion processes. To improve the economic feasibility of biofuels production from lignocellulosic biomass, NREL's researchers have been exploring various design options. Our team has developed a vapor phase selective oxidation process that will convert lignin streams from biofuels production into high-value chemicals and thereby improve the economics and GHG emissions of biofuels plants. This approach is directed towards valorizing lignin, which is often treated as waste or burnt for low value process heat. For techno-economic analysis (TEA) and life-cycle assessment (LCA), we have developed and modeled this hybrid process: 1) biochemically converting C5/C6 sugars from biomass to a hydrocarbon blendstock, and 2) thermochemically converting lignin from biomass, via selective partial oxidation of lignin pyrolysis vapor, to phenols. Results from the TEA and LCA for this process will be presented and discussed. The lignin valorization readily improves the biofuel production cost and reduces the life cycle carbon footprint. Even though more electricity is required as lignin is used for coproduct production instead of for heat and power generation, the GHG coproduct credit from phenols is more than enough to compensate for the GHG associated with the additional import electricity use. These analyses show that our process to produce phenol has significant economic and environmental impacts, which will enable biofuel production.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Development of a fast framing detector for electron microscopy

A high frame rate detector system is described that enables fast real-time data analysis of scanning diffraction experiments in scanning transmission electron microscopy (STEM). This is an end-to-end development that encompasses the data producing detector, data transportation, and real-time processing of data. The detector will consist of a central pixel sensor that is surrounded by annular silicon diodes. Both components of the detector system will synchronously capture data at almost 100 kHz frame rate, which produces an approximately 400 Gb/s data stream. Low-level preprocessing will be implemented in firmware before the data is streamed from the National Center for Electron Microscopy (NCEM) to the National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center (NERSC). Live data processing, before it lands on disk, will happen on the Cori supercomputer and aims to present scientists with prompt experimental feedback. This online analysis will provide rough information of the sample that can be utilized for sample alignment, sample monitoring and verification that the experiment is set up correctly. Only a compressed version of the relevant data is then selected for more in-depth processing.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗