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DOE OSTI2022

The role of geographical spreaders in infectious pattern formation and front propagation speeds

The pattern formation and spatial spread of infectious populations are investigated using a kernel-based Susceptible–Infectious–Recovered (SIR) model applicable across a wide range of basic reproduction numbers R O . The goal is to examine the role of geographical spreaders on transient spatial pattern formation of infectious populations and the associated maximum invasive front speeds c max . In the simulations conducted here, geographical spreaders are defined as a portion of the infected population Φ experiencing high mobility between identical communities. The spatial organization of the infected population and c max are determined when the infections are randomly initiated in space within multiple communities. For small but finite , scaling analysis and numerical simulations in 1-dimension suggest that when the spreading kernel is Gaussian-shaped, where is the inverse of the infectious duration. This finding for agrees with a diffusion-based representation of mobility in 1-D. Numerical simulations in 2-D across wide-ranging suggest that , the variance of the spatial kernel describing mobility of long-distance geographical spreaders across communities, determines the spatial organization of infections across communities. When (long-distance mobility, where is the minimum spatial extent defining adjacent communities), the infectious population will experience a transient but spatially coherent pattern with a wavelength that can be derived from the spreading kernel properties. Moreover, the 2-D simulations for the bounded kernel suggest that attainment of is also dictated by but the magnitude is not sensitive to unlike diffusion-based models.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

From electronic structure to model application of key reactions for gasoline/alcohol combustion: Hydrogen-atom abstraction by $CH_3O\dot{O}$ radicals

Hydrogen atom abstraction by methyl peroxy ($CH_3O\dot{O}$) radicals can play an important role in gasoline/ethanol interacting chemistry for fuels that produce high concentrations of methyl radicals. Detailed kinetic reactions for hydrogen atom abstraction by $CH_3O\dot{O}$ radicals from the components of FGF-LLNL (a gasoline surrogate) including cyclopentane, toluene, 1-hexene, n -heptane, and isooctane have been systematically studied in this work. Here, the M06-2X/6-311 ++ G(d,p) level of theory was used to obtain the optimized structure and vibrational frequency for all stationary points and the low-frequency torsional modes. The 1-D hindered rotor treatment for low-frequency torsional modes was treated at M06-2X/6-31G level of theory. The UCCSD(T)-F12a/cc-pVDZ-F12 and QCISD(T)/CBS level of theory were used to calculate single point energies for all species. High pressure limiting rate constants for all hydrogen atom abstraction channels were performed using conventional transition state theory with unsymmetric tunneling corrections. Individual rate constants are reported in the temperature range from 298.15 to 2000 K. Our computed results show that the abstraction of allylic hydrogen atoms from 1-hexene is the fastest at low temperatures. When the temperature increases, the hydrogen atom abstraction reaction channel at the primary alkyl site gradually becomes dominant. Thermodynamics properties for all stable species and high-pressure limiting rate constants for each reaction pathway obtained in this work were incorporated into the latest gasoline surrogate/ethanol model to investigate the influence of the rate constants calculated here on model predicted ignition delay times.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Spatially varying seasonal modulation to tidal stream energy potential due to mixed tidal regimes in the Aleutian Islands, AK

We provide an assessment of the tidal stream energy resource of the Aleutian Islands, Alaska via a validated barotropic tidal numerical model of the region. Eight island passes are identified as energy “hotspots”. The annual mean kinetic energy fluxes, KEF , calculated at each pass vary from 1000 to 11,000 MW, while the annual available energy, AAE , varies from 5 to 42 MWh m −2 . Notable seasonal modulation to monthly power density averages and ranges are noted at some passes and not others. Seasonal adjustment is linked to the semi-annual solar declination cycle which enhances (dampens) diurnal (D 1 ) tidal amplitudes in summer/winter (spring/fall) as well as the time-varying phase lag between D 1 and semidiurnal (D 2 ) fortnightly tidal cycles. Annual variability in monthly mean power density scales with the tidal current form factor, F u , with the largest seasonal change occurring for F u > 1 (D 1 dominated tide). The spread in power density over a month is on average smaller for passes with mixed tides (F u = 1 ) than those with D 1 or D 2 dominance, as changes to fortnightly phase lag become influential to net power density ranges when tides are mixed. This study outlines overlooked, but relevant, long-term modulation to tidal streams in regions with mixed tides.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

DOE OSTI2022

Competing Charge/Spin-Stripe and Correlated Metal Phases in Trilayer Nickelates (Pr 1– x La x ) 4 Ni 3 O 8

We report low valent nickelates R n+1 Ni n O 2n+2 (R = rare earth) containing Ni 1+ (d 9 ) with a quasi-two-dimensional (quasi-2D) square-planar coordination geometry possess structural and electronic properties that are similar to those of high T c cuprates, including superconductivity itself in the doped infinite-layer (n = ∞) RNiO 2 system. Within this R n+1 Ni n O 2n+2 nickelate family, the crystallographic isomorphs Pr 4 Ni 3 O 8 and La 4 Ni 3 O 8 exhibit singularly different ground states: Pr 4 Ni 3 O 8 is metallic, and La 4 Ni 3 O 8 is a charge- and spin-stripe-ordered insulator. To explore and understand the ground state evolution from metallic Pr 4 Ni 3 O 8 to stripe-ordered La 4 Ni 3 O 8 in the R 4 Ni 3 O 8 family, we have grown a series of isovalent, substituted single crystals (Pr 1-x La x ) 4 Ni 3 O 8 . Combining thermodynamic, transport, magnetic, and synchrotron X-ray single crystal diffraction measurements, we reveal a T = 0 transition between metallic and stripe-insulator phase regions, with this putative quantum phase transition at x ≈ 0.45. We propose two possible models for (Pr 1-x La x ) 4 Ni 3 O 8 : an electronically inhomogeneous system that could serve as a candidate for exploring quantum Griffiths phase physics or a homogeneous system with a clean quantum critical point at the phase boundary

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2022

Combining different 3-D global and regional seismic wave propagation solvers towards box tomography in the deep Earth

SUMMARY In previous publications, we presented a general framework, which we called ‘box tomography’, that allows the coupling of any two different numerical seismic wave propagation solvers, respectively outside and inside a target region, or ‘box’. The goal of such hybrid wavefield computations is to reduce the cost of computations in the context of full-waveform inversion for structure within the target region, when sources and/or receivers are located at large distances from the box. Previously, we had demonstrated this approach with sources and receivers outside the target region in a 2-D acoustic spherical earth model, and demonstrated and applied this methodology in the 3-D spherical elastic Earth in a continental scale inversion in which all stations were inside the target region. Here we extend the implementation of the approach to the case of a 3-D global elastic earth model in the case where both sources and stations are outside the box. We couple a global 3-D solver, SPECFEM3D_GLOBE, for the computation of the wavefield and Green’s functions in a reference 3-D model, with a regional 3-D solver, RegSEM, for the computation of the wavefield within the box, by means of time-reversal mirrors. We briefly review key theoretical aspects, showing in particular how only the displacement is needed to be stored at the boundary of the box. We provide details of the practical implementation, including the geometrical design of the mirrors, how we deal with different sizes of meshes in the two solvers, and how we address memory-saving through the use of B-spline compression of the recorded wavefield on the mirror. The proposed approach is numerically efficient but also versatile, since adapting it to other solvers is straightforward and does not require any changes in the solver codes themselves, as long as the displacement can be recovered at any point in time and space. We present benchmarks of the hybrid computations against direct computations of the wavefield between a source and an array of stations in a realistic geometry centred in the Yellowstone region, with and without a hypothetical plume within the ‘box’, and with a 1-D or a 3-D background model, down to a period of 20 s. The ultimate goal of this development is for applications in the context of imaging of remote target regions in the deep mantle, such as, for example, Ultra Low Velocity Zones.

Geochemistry & Geophysics↗

DOE OSTI2025

The Dark Energy Survey Supernova Program: an updated measurement of the Hubble constant using the inverse distance ladder

We measure the current expansion rate of the Universe, Hubble’s constant $H_0$, by calibrating the absolute magnitudes of supernovae to distances measured by baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO). This ‘inverse distance ladder’ technique provides an alternative to calibrating supernovae using nearby absolute distance measurements, replacing the calibration with a high-redshift anchor. We use the recent release of 1829 supernovae from the Dark Energy Survey spanning $0.01\lt z\lt 1.13$ anchored to the recent baryon acoustic oscillation measurements from Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) spanning $0.30 \lt z_{\mathrm{eff}}\lt 2.33$. To trace cosmology to $z=0$, we use the third-, fourth-, and fifth-order cosmographic models, which, by design, are agnostic about the energy content and expansion history of the universe. With the inclusion of the higher redshift DESI-BAO data, the third-order model is a poor fit to both data sets, with the fourth-order model being preferred by the Akaike Information Criterion. Using the fourth-order cosmographic model, we find $H_0=67.19^{+0.66}_{-0.64}\mathrm{~km} \mathrm{~s}^{-1} \mathrm{~Mpc}^{-1}$, in agreement with the value found by Planck without the need to assume Flat-$\Lambda$CDM. However, the best-fitting expansion history differs from that of Planck, providing continued motivation to investigate these tensions.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Dark Energy Survey Year 6 results: cell-based coadds and METADETECTION weak lensing shape catalogue

We present the metadetection weak lensing galaxy shape catalogue from the 6-yr Dark Energy Survey (DES Y6) imaging data. This data set is the final release from DES, spanning 4422 deg 2 of the southern sky. We describe how the catalogue was constructed, including the two new major processing steps, cell-based image coaddition, and shear measurements with metadetection. The DES Y6 M etadetection weak lensing shape catalogue consists of 151 922 791 galaxies detected over riz bands, with an effective number density of n eff = 8.22 galaxies per arcmin 2 and shape noise of σ e = 0.29. We carry out a suite of validation tests on the catalogue, including testing for point spread function (PSF) leakage, testing for the impact of PSF modelling errors, and testing the correlation of the shear measurements with galaxy, PSF, and survey properties. In addition to demonstrating that our catalogue is robust for weak lensing science, we use the DES Y6 image simulation suite to estimate the overall multiplicative shear bias of our shear measurement pipeline. We find no detectable multiplicative bias at the roughly half-per cent level, with m = (3.4 ± 6.1) x 10 –3 , at 3σ uncertainty. This is the first time both cell-based coaddition and Metadetection algorithms are applied to observational data, paving the way to the Stage-IV weak lensing surveys.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2025

Spectroscopic Characterization of redMaPPer Galaxy Clusters with DESI

Optical galaxy cluster identification algorithms such as redMaPPer promise to enable an array of astrophysical and cosmological studies, but suffer from biases whereby galaxies in front of and behind a galaxy cluster are mistakenly associated with the primary cluster halo. These projection effects caused by irreducible photometric redshift uncertainty must be quantified to facilitate the use of optical cluster catalogues. We present measurements of galaxy cluster projection effects and velocity dispersion using spectroscopy from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument. Our findings are as follows: we confirm that the fraction of redMaPPer putative member galaxies mistakenly associated with cluster haloes is richness dependent, being more than twice as large at low richness than high richness; we present the first spectroscopic evidence of an increase in projection effects with increasing redshift, by as much as 25 per cent from $z\sim 0.1$ to $z\sim 0.2$; moreover, we find qualitative evidence for luminosity dependence in projection effects, with fainter galaxies being more commonly far behind clusters than their bright counterparts; finally, we fit the scaling relation between measured mean spectroscopic richness and velocity dispersion, finding an implied linear scaling between spectroscopic richness and halo mass. We discuss further directions for the application of spectroscopic data sets to improve use of optically selected clusters to test cosmological models.

clusters↗

DOE OSTI2025

It is not σ 8 : constraining the non-linear matter power spectrum with the Dark Energy Survey Year-5 supernova sample

The weak gravitational lensing magnification of Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) is sensitive to the matter power spectrum on scales $k\gt 1 h$ Mpc$^{-1}$, making it unwise to interpret SNe Ia lensing in terms of power on linear scales. We compute the probability density function of SNe Ia magnification as a function of standard cosmological parameters, plus an empirical parameter $A_{\rm mod}$ which describes the suppression or enhancement of matter power on non-linear scales compared to a cold dark matter only model. While baryons are expected to enhance power on the scales relevant to SN Ia lensing, other physics such as neutrino masses or non-standard dark matter may suppress power. Using the Dark Energy Survey Year-5 sample, we find $A_{\rm mod} = 0.77^{+0.69}_{-0.40}$ (68 per cent credible interval around the median). Although the median is consistent with unity there are hints of power suppression, with $A_{\rm mod} \lt 1.09$ at 68 per cent credibility.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Comparing the DES-SN5YR and Pantheon+ SN cosmology analyses: investigation based on ‘evolving dark energy or supernovae systematics’?

Recent cosmological analyses measuring distances of type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) and baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO) have all given similar hints at time-evolving dark energy. To examine whether underestimated SN Ia systematics might be driving these results, Efstathiou (2025) compared overlapping SN events between Pantheon+ and DES-SN5YR (20 per cent SNe are in common), and reported evidence for an $\sim$0.04 mag offset between the low- and high-redshift distance measurements of this subsample of events. If this offset is arbitrarily subtracted from the entire DES-SN5YR sample, the preference for evolving dark energy is reduced. In this paper, we show that this offset is mostly due to different corrections for Malmquist bias between the two samples; therefore, an object-to-object comparison can be misleading. Malmquist bias corrections differ between the two analyses for several reasons. First, DES-SN5YR used an improved model of SN Ia luminosity scatter compared to Pantheon+ but the associated scatter-model uncertainties are included in the error budget. Secondly, improvements in host mass estimates in DES-SN5YR also affected SN standardized magnitudes and their bias corrections. Thirdly, and most importantly, the selection functions of the two compilations are significantly different, hence the inferred Malmquist bias corrections. Even if the original scatter model and host properties from Pantheon+ are used instead, the evidence for evolving dark energy from CMB, DESI BAO Year 1 and DES-SN5YR is only reduced from 3.9$\sigma$ to 3.3$\sigma$, consistent with the error budget. Finally, in this investigation, we identify an underestimated systematic uncertainty related to host galaxy property uncertainties, which could increase the final DES-SN5YR error budget by 3 per cent. In conclusion, we confirm the validity of the published DES-SN5YR results.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2026

The Dark Energy Survey supernova program: a reanalysis of cosmology results and evidence for evolving dark energy with an updated Type Ia supernova calibration

We present improved cosmological constraints from a re-analysis of the Dark Energy Survey (DES) 5-year sample of Type Ia supernovae (DES-SN5YR). This re-analysis includes an improved photometric cross-calibration, recent white dwarf observations to cross-calibrate between DES and low-redshift surveys, retraining the salt3 light-curve model and fixing a numerical approximation in the host-galaxy colour law. Our fully recalibrated sample, which we call DES-Dovekie, comprises ~1600 likely Type Ia SNe from DES and ~200 low-redshift SNe from other surveys. With DES-Dovekie, we obtain Ω m = 0.330 ± 0.015 in flat Lambda-cold dark matter (⁠ΛCDM) which changes Ω m by –0.022 compared to DES-SN5YR. Combining DES-Dovekie with cosmic microwave background data from Planck, Atacama Cosmology Telescope, and South Pole Telescope and the DESI DR2 measurements in a flat CDM cosmology, we find ω 0 = –0.803 ± 0.054 and ω a = –0.72 ± 0.21⁠. Our results hold a significance of 3.2σ, reduced from 4.2σ for DES-SN5YR, to reject the null hypothesis that the data are compatible with the cosmological constant. This significance is equivalent to a Bayesian model preference odds of approximately 5:1 in favour of the flat ω 0 ω a CDM model. Using generally accepted thresholds for model preference, our updated data exhibits only a weak preference for evolving dark energy.

dark energy↗

DOE OSTI2022

PNV J00444033+4113068: Early superhumps with 0.7 mag amplitude and non-red color

Abstract In the first days of WZ Sge-type dwarf nova (DN) outbursts, the 2 : 1 resonance induces a spiral arm structure in the accretion disk, which is observed as early superhumps in optical light curves. We reports on our optical observations of an eclipsing WZ Sge-type DN PNV J00444033+4113068 during its 2021 superoutburst using the 3.8 m Seimei telescope and through the Variable Star Network collaboration. The eclipse analysis showed that its orbital period was 0.055425534(1) d. Our observations confirmed early superhumps with an amplitude of 0.7 mag, the largest amplitude among known WZ Sge-type DNe. More interestingly, its early superhumps became the reddest around their secondary minimum, whereas other WZ Sge-type DNe show the reddest color around the early superhump maximum. The spectrum around the peak of the outburst showed two double-peaked emission lines of He ii 4686 Å and Hα with a peak separation of ≥700 km s−1, supporting a very high-inclination system. With the early superhump mapping, the unique profile and color of the early superhump are successfully reproduced by an accretion disk with a vertically extended double arm structure. Therefore, a large amplitude and a unique color behavior of the early superhumps in PNV J00444033+4113068 can be explained by the 2 : 1 resonance model along with other WZ Sge-type DNe.

Tampo, Yusuke (ORCID:0000000301963936)↗

DOE OSTI2022

Shear strain alters the structure and migration mechanism of self-interstitial atoms in copper

Here, we use atomistic modeling to show that externally applied shear strain causes the lowest energy self-interstitial atom (SIA) structure in copper (Cu) to change from a <100>-type dumbbell to a <110>-type dumbbell. Concurrently, SIA migration switches from the 3-D random walk characteristic of <100>-type dumbbells to a 1-D mechanism analogous to that of crowdion SIAs. Furthermore, the relative energies of these two dumbbell structures as a function of strain are well predicted using elastic dipole tensors computed at zero strain, indicating that examination of these tensors may be used to assess the likelihood of strain-induced SIA structure transitions in other materials. Changes in lowest energy SIA structures and associated migration mechanisms stand to impact predictions of SIA behavior in irradiated solids.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2026

Insights on carbon dioxide adsorption in a flexible 1-D coordination polymer from in situ X-ray scattering and density functional theory

A combination of in situ small-angle X-ray scattering (SAXS) microstructure characterization over scales ranging from 1 nm to 10 µm and powder X-ray diffraction (XRD) structure characterization under various gas/pressure/temperature conditions with density functional theory (DFT) calculations provides new insights for the CO2 sorption behavior of a one-dimensional porous coordination polymer: catena-bis(dibenzoylmethanato)(4,4′-bipyridyl)nickel(II), denoted NiDBM-Bpy. The NiDBM-Bpy chains are held together by van der Waals forces, but the structure of guest-free NiDBM-Bpy is unsolved due to a lack of suitable crystals and high-quality powder XRD patterns. Nevertheless, SAXS and powder XRD can follow microstructural and structural changes as a function of gas pressure, composition and temperature. Both mixed-gas flow and static supercritical CO2 regimes are explored experimentally. DFT calculations are used to model the structural variation associated with XRD changes and hysteresis in the sorption isotherms. XRD and DFT calculations suggest that an orthorhombic Fddd structure with two CO2 per Ni emerges following a transition from the structure with lower molar volume and symmetry that exists without CO2 present.

Allen, Andrew J.↗

DOE OSTI2023

CTH v.13.0

SAND2023-06647O The latest version of the CTH suite of computer codes is a flexible software system designed to treat a wide range of shock wave propagation and material motion phenomena in 1-D, 2-D, or 3-D. CTH has models suitable for most conditions encountered in shock physics including material strength, fracture, distended materials, high explosives, and a variety of boundary conditions. Finite-volume analogs of the Lagrangian equations of momentum and energy conservation are employed with continuous rezoning to construct Eulerian differencing. Adaptive mesh refinement is available for maximizing resolution in regions of interest. Full Lagrangian numerical methods are available for mechanical or structural response.

Schumacher, Shane↗

DOE OSTI2023

Verification and Benchmarking of High Fidelity Physics Peat Smoldering Model

Peat fires are a major contributor to greenhouse gas emissions. The estimates of these emissions currently contain major uncertainties, due to the difficulty of determining the mass of peat burned in a fire. To address these uncertainties, we develop a computational physics-based peat smoldering model, which will be leveraged for high-fidelity quantitative estimates of peat fire emissions relevant to climate change. We present the verification of the 2-D axisymmetric model, a first step towards developing a full 3-D model. Verification includes the solution verification against a literature model for the 0-D smoldering case and verification of the heat transfer problem in 1-D and 2-D. Also presented is the effect of reaction mechanism on the smoldering model, for which we found a relatively simple three-step reaction mechanism is able to capture key behavior. These verification results provide the foundation for moving forward with validation against experimental data of the 2-D model.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2025

Simulating Isotropic Rayleigh Wave Horizontal to Vertical Ratios at Rock Valley

Elastic anisotropy in the subsurface can manifest from pre-existing structure or stress-induced cracking – both phenomena are of interest at the Rock Valley site in Nevada. The azimuthal dependence of Rayleigh wave ellipticity, also known as H/V, can reveal elastic anisotropy, but the effect of isotropic variability in H/V must first be accounted for. To that end, we simulate synthetic seismograms from a ring of sources in a fully 3-D isotropic velocity model that captures the geology at Rock Valley. We measure H/V from these waveforms and compare them with H/V predictions obtained using 1D models extracted at specific locations from the 3D model. We find that an average of the azimuthal H/V measurements from the 3-D simulations and 1-D predictions agree, but that the azimuthal variability of H/V is a large fraction of the mean value. These results estimate the noise character in azimuthal H/V so it can be factored out of future anisotropic simulations.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Dual-pump Coherent anti-Stokes Raman scattering measurements in H 2 /CH 4 Counterflow Flames

Temperature and major species concentration measurements are reported in a Williams Seshadri counterflow burner using dual-pump coherent anti-Stokes Raman scattering (DPCARS). Hencken burner H2/Air flames with equivalence ratio of 0.8-1.4 were used to characterize the accuracy of the system. The mean errors for temperature, XH2/XN2 mole fraction ratio, and XO2/XN2 mole fraction ratio are 1.0%, 14.7%, and 5.5%, respectively. The counterflow burner uses a CH4, H2, and N2 mixture as fuel and synthetic air as oxidizer. Measurements were performed along the counterflow burner central axis for two different fuel compositions: 4% H2/86% CH4/10% N2 and 87%H2/3% CH4/10% N2. The measured temperature and species mole fractions agree well with the 1-D opposed-flow diffusion flame simulation. One observation is that the fuel inlet temperature is higher than 300 K, which suggests the possibility of the stagnation plane residing closer to the fuel side. Lastly, these measurements provide valuable data for testing and validation of advanced 2-D flame models.

Murdock, Benjamin K.↗