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At least 145 records · Page 8

OPEN-Augmented Reality GUI for Bioenergy Crop Phenotyping and Precision Agriculture (Donald Danforth Plant Science Center Final Scientific Technical Report)

The project led by the Donald Danforth Plant Science Center, in collaboration with Arizona State University, George Washington University, and Saint Louis University, has made significant strides in advancing the phenotypic analysis of bioenergy crops through the development of an innovative AI processing pipeline. This initiative was primarily funded by ARPA-E, with additional cost-sharing provided by the participating institutions. The project successfully utilized a variety of sensors—3D scanners, thermal, RGB, and hyperspectral—to refine algorithms for data-driven trait signature identification and improve the classification and visualization of plant traits. The developed AI processing pipeline is capable of handling the complex, multidimensional data characteristic of dynamic agricultural environments. 1) Contributions to understanding: The research has advanced the field of plant phenomics by showcasing the synergistic use of various sensor data to enhance the precision of trait analysis in bioenergy crops. Through the integration of 3D scanners, thermal, RGB, and hyperspectral sensors, the project has developed robust data-driven trait signature algorithms and visualization techniques. These innovations have facilitated detailed monitoring and management of plant traits, providing vital insights into plant growth dynamics and stress responses. Further, the project has broadened our understanding of how machine learning can be effectively applied in multi-sensor environments to refine trait analysis. By leveraging diverse datasets, the research has not only improved the accuracy of phenotypic assessments but also established a versatile methodological framework that can be extended beyond agriculture to other fields requiring detailed phenotypic analysis. 2) Technical effectiveness and economic feasibility: The AI processing pipeline developed in this project demonstrated significant technical effectiveness, achieving high throughput analysis of extensive phenotypic data and meeting targeted accuracies. This system exemplified the capability of advanced machine learning technologies to efficiently manage and analyze large, complex datasets. Economically, the implementation of the project-developed pipelines may offer substantial cost savings across multiple sectors. It enhances data analysis processes and significantly reduces the need for manual data interpretation, thereby decreasing both the time and resources required. 3) Public benefit: The project has significantly broadened the scope of agricultural methodologies to enhance phenotypic analysis, with potential applications in various sectors beyond agriculture. Additionally, the initiative fostered an enriching educational and collaborative environment, significantly enhancing the technical skills of participants. It also made substantial contributions to the scientific community by providing open-access data sets and tools, encouraging ongoing research and development across various disciplines. Overall, the project not only met its scientific goals but also showcased the extensive utility of integrating advanced machine learning and sensor data analysis technologies. These advancements have proven instrumental in driving forward both theoretical research and practical applications, setting a strong foundation for future explorations and innovations in data-driven science.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

MLSPICE: Machine Learning based SPICE Modeling Platform for Power Magnetics

Electrical power converters are critical to a wide range of applications ranging from renewable integration to transportation electrification, and can be a key factor determining the size, weight, and efficiency of energy conversion systems. Magnetic components are typically the largest and least efficient components in power electronics. While there have been major strides in the modeling and analysis of power semiconductor devices and circuit simulations, the necessary advances in the design of power magnetics have lagged. In this project, we have transformed the modeling and design of power magnetics with machine learning enabled methods and catalyze simultaneous disruptive improvements for ML-based power electronics design tools. A fully automated open-source machine learning based magnetics modeling platform – the MagNet project - with innovations in full stack have been developed to greatly accelerate the design process and provide new insights to magnetic material and geometry design. The ARPA-E funded MagNet platform contains three major building blocks: 1) a ML-Integrated Data Acquisition System (MIDAS): a highly automated data acquisition testbed which is capable of measuring a large number of magnetic cores with a wide range of electrical circuit excitations; 2) a ML-integrated Core Loss Model (MICLM): a machine-learning trained modeling method for modeling the core loss and saturation effects of magnetic materials for arbitrary excitation waveforms; 3) ML-guided Magnetics SPICE Simulation Tool (PMSPICE): a fully integrated CAD tool which can simulate the magnetics in SPICE. It can help the designers to quickly model the linear and non-linear characteristics of magnetic components and evaluate their behavior in SPICE simulations. The developed MagNet system has fully demonstrated the proposed performance target and has been open sourced to the entire power electronics community to advance the modeling and design of power magnetics from many different angles.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Fast and robust strategies for large-scale mixed-integer SCOPF

This project develops scalable, computationally efficient algorithms to solve realistic large-scale power system optimization problems, including systems with more than 8,000 buses, as part of a larger series of competitions run by ARPA-E. These problems are critical because the secure and reliable operation of the power grid is becoming increasingly challenging, especially under conditions of increased uncertainty and variability. The economic feasibility of our methods is high, given that they are purely software-based solutions designed to operate power grids more efficiently. The technical effectiveness balances heuristics and approximations to provide a trade-off between speed and accuracy.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Capability in Theory, Modeling, and Validation for a Range of Innovative Fusion Concepts using High-Fidelity Moment-Kinetic Models

A computational modeling capability is created and available to the fusion community to understand and design lower-cost and innovative fusion concepts. The approach uses high- fidelity kinetic, moment-kinetic, and moment models and includes sophisticated plasma- boundary interactions. A majority of fusion-relevant simulations are performed with magnetohydrodynamic models and hybrid particle-in-cell codes, with limited-fidelity electron and kinetic physics. However, in fusion configurations like Z-pinches, field-reversed- configurations, plasma jet magneto-inertial fusion, spinning mirrors, and others, kinetic effects (both electron and ions) are critical to understand the physics and design scaling into the highly kinetic regime of a burning fusion plasma. Furthermore, as present fusion machines move towards a burning plasma regime, liquid-metal blankets are needed to handle first-wall heat- flux, reduce erosion, and eventually for energy conversion and fuel breeding. The work performed under this ARPA-E BETHE Capability Team advances the state-of-the-art in modeling and understanding plasma dynamics in fusion devices and its coupling with liquid-metal dynamics. These are critical areas of research for fusion energy to become realizable. To address these complex problems, we have leveraged and extended computational capabilities through the code, Gkeyll (developed jointly with Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory and academic partners), for kinetic and moment modeling of fusion plasmas. The Concept Teams supported by this Capability Team include the Wisconsin High-field Axisymmetric Mirror (WHAM), Centrifugal Mirror Experiment (CFME), Plasma-Jet Magneto- Inertial Fusion (PJMIF), and solid and liquid wall plasma-material interaction studies relevant to a number of fusion concepts including Zap Energy’s Z-pinch. This software is open-source and available to the fusion community as a high-fidelity tool for the design of lower-cost fusion experiments. 3D gyrokinetic simulations of WHAM are now possible for long enough time scales to understand the evolution of interchange instabilities. 3D multi-fluid simulations of CMFE at higher Mach numbers are now possible for detailed design iterations with the goal of stability. The state-of-the-art in understanding shock formation and shock mitigation regimes in merging liners for PJMIF have been furthered by our kinetic simulations. Our novel models and frameworks studying plasma-material interaction by incorporating wall emission for various solid wall materials of relevance to pulsed and steady fusion concepts have advanced the state-of-the-art in our understanding of particle fluxes, heat fluxes, and other quantities at cathodes and anodes. The results from this work may explain discrepancies between experimental and theoretical predictions of achieved current densities in pulsed concepts such as Z-pinches. Another significant contribution of this Capability Team is the development and deployment of a novel experimental platform, LEX (Liquid Electrode eXperiment), at Virginia Tech to understand liquid metal free-surface response to electromagnetic pulses. The novel experiments along with model validation quantified the effect of different materials and sizes of liquid metal droplets on the radiative power balance of fusion plasmas for pulsed concepts. Furthermore, these experiments provided mitigation strategies for violent liquid metal response for high current pulses as would be expected in fusion regimes.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Zero-Power Wireless Infrared Digitizing Sensors for Large Scale Energy-Smart Farm

This project, funded by ARPA-E and led by Northeastern University, developed zeropower infrared digitizing sensors to optimize irrigation and enhance crop yields. Traditional water stress detection methods are costly and require frequent maintenance, limiting their effectiveness. Our research identified shortwave infrared (SWIR) transmittance as the most reliable indicator of plant water stress and developed plasmonically enhanced micromechanical photoswitches (PMPs) that operate with minimal power. The sensors offer low-cost, large-scale deployment, auto-calibration across different crops, and a 10-year battery life, significantly reducing maintenance costs. The system achieved 4x greater accuracy than conventional soil moisture sensors while ensuring economic feasibility. By enabling precision irrigation, this technology conserves water, enhances crop productivity, and lowers operational costs, making it a scalable solution for sustainable agriculture and global food security.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

GO Competition Challenge 1 Benchmark Approach and Validation Support

At the outset ARPA-e’s grid optimization competition sought to test a hypothesis that modern nonlinear optimization methods had reached a level of performance and reliability necessary to optimize energy grids using nonlinear power flow equations. The results demonstrated by this project and the other participants in the grid optimization competition have demonstrated beyond any shadow of doubt that this hypothesis is true. This result suggest that the mathematical optimization technology now exists to produce a revolution in power grid optimization software, which would improve the efficiency of energy grid operations to the broad benefit of society.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Reinforced AEM Separators Based on Triblock Copolymers for Electrode-decoupled RFBs

Washington University in St. Louis (WUSTL), in collaboration with The University of Texas at San Antonio (UTSA) and Giner Inc. developed highly selective anion exchange membranes (AEMs) and a novel electrode-decoupled redox flow battery (RFB) for grid scale energy storage as part of the ARPA-E IONICS program (with connections to the DAYS program in the later part of the project). RFBs exhibit the crucial characteristic of system-level decoupled scaling of energy and power which makes them cost effective for the multi-GWh scales envisioned for grid-scale energy storage solutions. This has led to extensive (and deserved) research interest and attention. This project aimed to enhance the design space available for redox-flow batteries (RFBs) by enabling the long-term separation of disparate cationic (elemental) actives using a highly selective membrane separator, while concurrently permitting the transport of anions to balance charge. The approach proposed was to design and develop a highly selective anion-exchange membrane (AEM), which would in turn permit the design and development of electrode-decoupled RFBs. Pairs of (different element) cationic species with redox reactions exhibiting a large difference in their standard electrode potentials were identified to develop high voltage, high power RFBs while disrupting the existing paradigm of using a single element which can ionize to more than two soluble oxidation states (e.g.: Vanadium).

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Integrated Spatial, Spectral, & Temporal Optical Reflectance System for Precision Occupancy & Location Sensing to Improve Building Energy Efficiency

Buildings consume approximately 35% of the electricity used in the U.S. and building owners can significantly reduce this energy use by providing services like heating, electrical power and lighting only when people are present. The ARPAe funded program titled “INTEGRATED SPATIAL, SPECTRAL, & TEMPORAL OPTICAL REFLECTANCE SYSTEM FOR PRECISION OCCUPANCY & LOCATION SENSING TO IMPROVE BUILDING ENERGY EFFICIENCY” demonstrates how a low cost sensor technology developed for measuring distances can be used to count and locate occupants with a high degree of precision with a very low error rates. This platform tells a building control system where occupants are located (but not who they are) so that energy consuming services can be provided only when the services are needed by building occupants. The original proof of concept involved using low cost, commercially available time-of-flight (TOF) sensors that measure distance, but the performance of these existing sensors was lacking, as they could not operate properly in the presence of sunlight, which blinded the simple TOF sensors and limited their utility in buildings. This project proposed a powerful new class of TOF sensors that used state-of-the-art integrated circuit (IC) fabrication processes that combined advanced photonics with conventional silicon chip circuitry for improved sensor performance. An equally important part of this project was to find ways to maximize occupant count and location accuracy while using the fewest number of sensors possible, in order to keep costs low. By using building blueprints to create digital twins of commercial building spaces, the team developed new algorithms to maximize occupant count and tracking accuracy by properly locating the minimum number of sensors at just the right spots in the building. This capability not only minimizes system costs but also simplified sensor installation and system commissioning. Our simulations of our sensor networks for a range of commercial floorplan designs demonstrated that our installed cost target of $0.08/sqft was attainable, though not fully demonstrated during the project. Finally, we noted that the TOF sensor concept could provide a valuable role in health and eldercare by tracking patients without the need for worn sensors and would be useful for fall detection and other patient safety metrics, including tracking healthcare/patient interactions. We feel that, when fully developed, this new class of sophisticated TOF sensors and support software will be a powerful new approach to improving building energy efficiency based on occupant centric control platforms and will also open new levels of patient safety in healthcare operations. To realize this potential, the team formed the Troy Sensor Company LLC to oversee licensing of the programs patents and continue to seek commercialization of this program’s activity sensing technologies.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

High-Fidelity, Large-Scale, Realistic Dataset Development

The final report summarizes the work performed for supporting the ARPA-E Grid Optimization Competition (Challenge 2 and Challenge 3) within the stated period. Challenge 2 For the challenge period, the main responsibility of the team is to investigate, gen- erate, and deliver parts of the data sets for the competition, based on the competition model for Challenge 2, existing data sets from Challenge 1, and data source supplied by other data set teams. Challenge 3 For the challenge period, the main responsibility of the team is to propose, create, deliver, and maintain the data format during the competition period. The data format will specify how the benchmark data will be represented and communicated to competitors. It will also specify how competitors should report back the solutions. The data format will be closely aligned with the problem formulation (maintained by the formulation team) and the solution validation process (maintained by the validation team). Our team is also responsible in investigating, generating, and delivering parts of the data sets for the competition. The data sets will be created based on the competition model for Challenge 3, existing data sets from Challenge 1 and Challenge 2, and data source supplied by other data set teams.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Rapid Design of Cost-Effective Refractory High Entropy Alloys Strengthened by Precipitation

Funded by the ARPA-E ULTIMATE program, this project aims to develop cost-effective refractory high entropy alloys (RHEAs) for gas turbine blades applications at 1300 degree Celsius and above. The alloy design focuses on carbides precipitation strengthening in a strong and ductile solid solution BCC matrix. The goal is to achieve balanced mechanical properties including room temperature ductility & fracture toughness and high temperature strength and creep resistance, while maintaining comparable oxidation resistance and densities to Ni-base superalloys. To accelerate alloy design, multiscale modeling including CALPHAD and first-principles density functional theory (DFT) calculations and machine learning are performed. Specifically, high throughput phase diagram calculations and screening are carried out using CALPHAD; DFT calculations are performed to predict intrinsic ductility, grain boundary strengthening potential, coefficient of thermal expansion (CTE) and temperature-dependent elastic constants. Temperature dependent yield stress, creep strain and CTE are also predicted using machine learning. Down-selected alloys are synthesized in small buttons of about 250g using arc melting for rapid evaluation on microstructure and mechanical properties before employing plasma arc melting and additive manufacturing for producing large ingots. Preliminary computational and experimental results of this project will be presented and future direction in RHEA development will be discussed.

high temperature materials↗

A Novel Integrated Fermentation Process with Engineered Microbial Consortia for Butanol Production from Lignocellulose Sugars without CO 2 Emission

The goal of this project was to develop a synthetic microbial consortium consisting of a lactic acid bacterium, a carboxydotrophic acetogen, and a solventogenic clostridia for the production of n butanol, an advanced biofuel and industrial chemical, from lignocellulose sugars (mainly glucose and xylose) and formate (produced from CO 2 by electrochemical reduction) in an integrated bioprocess (biorefinery), which can provide an effective solution to the technical challenges in developing energy and carbon optimized synthesis for the bioeconomy and achieve the program objectives of ARPA-E. The project focused on the design, modeling and construction of synthetic microbial consortia consisting of three bacterial species to maximize carbon conversion and butanol production with a 100% theoretical product yield from glucose and zero or negative CO 2 emission.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Co-synthesis of Hydrogen and High-Value Carbon Products from Methane Pyrolysis

The ARPA-E Methane Pyrolysis Project successfully developed a scalable technology for hydrogen production with low-CO x emission through methane pyrolysis, co-producing high-value carbon nanotubes (CNTs). The project focused on optimizing reactor design, enhancing catalyst performance, and assessing techno-economic feasibility to create a commercially viable and environmentally sustainable process. The fluidized bed reactor achieved over 90% methane (CH 4 ) conversion by using a 5% CO 2 co-feed, which stabilizes carbon yields and minimizes catalyst deactivation. This setup allowed for continuous operation across ten cycles, each consisting of a 14-minute pyrolysis phase followed by a 10-minute dislodging phase to remove a fraction of the accumulated carbon, resulting in stable performance and high-quality CNT production. In parallel, monolith reactors coated with Fe demonstrated a sustained methane conversion of 73% while producing CNTs with high crystallinity. Although promising for continuous operation, monolith reactors face challenges in coating durability and scalability, highlighting areas for further optimization in commercial applications. Catalyst formulation played a key role in enhancing process efficiency. The core catalyst used was 5%Fe/Al 2 O 3 (wt%), optimized through wet impregnation, which improved CNT morphology, yielding longer and more uniform CNTs. The catalyst's performance was further enhanced by adding promoters: 2.5 wt% Ni increased methane conversion close to the thermodynamic limit, while 2.5 wt% Mn improved CNT alignment and crystallinity, and 1.5 wt% NaCl boosted CNT morphology but slightly lowered methane conversion. These adjustments allowed the reactor to maintain high methane conversion while producing high-quality CNTs, enabling stable performance over multiple cycles. To address carbon buildup and ensure uninterrupted operation, a pneumatic conveying tube was implemented for effective carbon dislodging in the fluidized bed configuration. CO 2 and H 2 O co-feeds were also introduced to enhance carbon removal, with CO 2 boosting CNT yield by approximately 15%. This setup enabled stable reactor operation across multiple cycles, preventing clogging and minimizing catalyst wear, making the process suitable for industrial scaling. Techno-economic analysis (TEA) projected hydrogen production costs between $\$$1.00 and $\$$1.64 per kilogram, with CNT values assumed at $\$$375/ton and $\$$100/ton. The life cycle assessment showed that CO 2 emissions could be as low as 0.64 kg CO 2 e/kg H 2 at 95% methane conversion assuming an electricity input of 50 kg CO 2 e/MWh. Even at 50% methane conversion, emissions remained below 1 kg CO 2 e/kg H 2 , demonstrating the process's low-emission potential and making it a viable alternative to traditional steam methane reforming. Overall, the results from this project demonstrate the feasibility of a pyrolysis process where carbon is continuously removed from the catalyst surface and hydrogen is continuously produced until a catalyst regeneration step is required to fully clean the catalyst surface and renew catalyst performance. Major open challenges are related to avoiding the loss of catalyst material in the dislodged carbon during fluidized bed conditions, since our best result demonstrated a carbon purity of ~70 wt. % (rest being iron and alumina). A monolith reactor was used to favor dislodgement of carbon compared to fluidized bed conditions but our results do not demonstrate an advantage of the monolith configuration. Catalyst performance was similar to fluidized bed conditions with slower deactivation rates overall, but we could not observe carbon dislodging in any of the tens of experiments that were run at Stanford. Our results show that the most relevant areas of improvement are related to the fundamental understanding of the iron-carbon interface for dislodging, and the development of catalyst that can produce CNTs via a base-growth mechanism such that catalyst is not lost in the dislodgement steps. The final report documents all findings and methodologies in detail, providing a valuable resource for the scientific community. By building on these results, researchers can further advance methane pyrolysis technology, moving toward a more sustainable, scalable pathway for hydrogen production. This work lays the foundation for future research and commercial efforts to reduce emissions in hydrogen production while generating valuable carbon products.

08 HYDROGEN↗

LLGoMAX : Enhancing Industry-Standard Tools for AC Optimal Unit Commitment

In 2018, the Advanced Research Project Agency – Energy (ARPA-E) launched the Grid Optimization Competition (GOC) [1], a series of competitive challenges intended to accelerate innovation in decision support software used to schedule power grid operations, making them as efficient as possible, while respecting operational constraints of power equipment and operational security. This report covers the participation of the LLGoMAX team—a collaboration of the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) and ECCO International, Inc.—in Challenge 3 of the competition.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

An Integrated Paradigm for the Management of Delivery Risk in Electricity Markets: From Batteries to Insurance and Beyond

If power systems transition to integrate higher amounts of variable renewable energy sources, storage technologies, and distributed energy resources (DERs), new risk management frameworks are necessary to ensure cost-effective and reliable power system operations. Projects funded by the Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy (ARPA-E) Performance-based Energy Resource Feedback, Optimization, and Risk Management (PERFORM) program aim to contribute new risk management frameworks by developing methods to quantify and manage risk at grid asset and system levels. The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) led a PERFORM project in collaboration with the Johns Hopkins University, the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), kWh Analytics, Packetized Energy, and Imperial Consultants (ICON). The project addressed two challenges related to risk management in electricity markets: managing net load imbalances and flexibility from DERs. This final technical report presents a list of project accomplishments, activities, and outputs.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

High Fidelity Digital Twins for BWRX-300 Critical Systems

This project developed and demonstrated digital-twin technology for advanced nuclear systems under the ARPA-E GEMINA program, with a focus on the BWRX-300 small modular reactor. The primary objective was to reduce operation and maintenance (O&M) costs through predictive health monitoring and model-based fault detection. The project combined MIT’s high-fidelity physics models and machine-learning and digital-twin algorithms, and GE Hitachi’s digital-twin algorithms and operational expertise to build physics-based digital twins capable of real-time system monitoring and maintenance scheduling.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Expansion and Update of the R&D Feedstock Carbon Intensity Calculator (FD-CIC) for R&D GREET 2025

The R&D Feedstock Carbon Intensity Calculator (R&D FD-CIC) is a transparent and easy-touse tool to estimate feedstock-specific carbon intensity (CI) of biofuel feedstocks, and to examine potential CI variations of different farming practices to grow agricultural feedstocks for biofuel production. The objective of the tool is to assess potential effects of different farming practices with underlined factors to reduce uncertainties in such assessment and help R&D activities. The original work and early versions of R&D FD-CIC were supported by Advanced Research Projects Agency–Energy (ARPA-E) of the Department of Energy, with recent support by the Bioenergy Technologies Office of the Department of Energy. The tool uses life cycle inventory (LCI) data of key farming inputs from the R&D Greenhouse gases, Regulated Emissions, and Energy use in Technologies (R&D GREET) model. The system boundary of R&D FD-CIC covers the cradle-to-farm-gate activities, including upstream emissions related to farming input manufacturing and feedstock production.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

LLGOMAX: Enhancing Industry-Standard Tools for AC Optimal Unit Commitment (CRADA Final Report)

This was a collaborative effort between Lawrence Livermore National Security, LLC ("LLNS"), as manager and operator of Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory ("LLNL") and ECCO International Inc. ("Participant"). The team designed and implemented a new approach for the Security-Constrained Alternating-Current Unit Commitment (SCACUC) problem. The SCACUC problem is a mathematical optimization problem that decides which generating units should be online and how much power should be produced (and consumed) at each point of the power grid. The decisions are made so as to minimize the total cost of supplying electricity while respecting technical constraints of the power grid, both under normal and emergency conditions. The team developed a solution for SCACUC as specified in the ARPA-E Grid Optimization Competition (GOC) Challenge 3, which put forth a forward-looking version of the problem, which many features not present in today’s electricity market specifications for SCACUC.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗