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DOE OSTI2025

AAPM Truth‐based CT (TrueCT) reconstruction grand challenge

Background: This Special Report summarizes the 2022, AAPM grand challenge on Truth-based CT image reconstruction. Purpose: To provide an objective framework for evaluating CT reconstruction methods using virtual imaging resources consisting of a library of simulated CT projection images of a population of human models with various diseases. Methods: Two hundred unique anthropomorphic, computational models were created with varied diseases consisting of 67 emphysema, 67 lung lesions, and 66 liver lesions. The organs were modeled based on clinical CT images of real patients. The emphysematous regions were modeled using segmentations from patient CT cases in the COPDGene Phase I dataset. For the lung and liver lesion cases, 1–6 malignant lesions were created and inserted into the human models, with lesion diameters ranging from 5.6 to 21.9 mm for lung lesions and 3.9 to 14.9 mm for liver lesions. The contrast defined between the liver lesions and liver parenchyma was 82 ± 12 HU, ranging from 50 to 110 HU. Similarly, the contrast between the lung lesions and the lung parenchyma was defined as 781 ± 11 HU, ranging from 725 to 805 HU. For the emphysematous regions, the defined HU values were −950 ± 17 HU ranging from −918 to −979 HU. The developed human models were imaged with a validated CT simulator. The resulting CT sinograms were shared with the participants. The participants reconstructed CT images from the sinograms and sent back their reconstructed images. Further, the reconstructed images were then scored by comparing the results against the corresponding ground truth values. The scores included both task-generic (root mean square error [RMSE] and structural similarity matrix [SSIM]), and task-specific (detectability index [d’] and lesion volume accuracy) metrics. For the cases with multiple lesions, the measured metric was averaged across all the lesions. To combine the metrics with each other, each metric was normalized to a range of 0 to 1 per disease type, with “0” and “1” being the worst and best measured values across all cases of the disease type for all received reconstructions. Results: The True-CT challenge attracted 52 participants, out of which 5 successfully completed the challenge and submitted the requested 200 reconstructions. Across all participants and disease types, SSIM absolute values ranged from 0.22 to 0.90, RMSE from 77.6 to 490.5 HU, d’ from 0.1 to 64.6, and volume accuracy ranged from 1.2 to 753.1 mm3. The overall scores demonstrated that participant “A” had the best performance in all categories, except for the metrics of d’ for lung lesions and RMSE for liver lesions. Participant “A” had an average normalized score of 0.41 ± 0.22, 0.48 ± 0.32, and 0.42 ± 0.33 for the emphysema, lung lesion, and liver lesion cases, respectively. Conclusions: The True-CT challenge successfully enabled objective assessment of CT reconstructions with the unique advantage of access to a diverse population of diseased human models with known ground truth. This study highlights the significant potential of virtual imaging trials in objective assessment of medical imaging technologies.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Understanding and controlling water-organic co-transport in amorphous microporous materials

The transport of molecules in microporous material is a significant and active area of research in separation applications. The movement of vapor/liquid molecules in a high-loading condition in microporous spaces is especially challenging to interrogate. This project aims to understand and control the transport of complex water and organic solvent mixtures in varying structures of microporous carbon molecular sieve (CMS) and activated carbon membranes. Modeling of transport behavior in such carbonaceous samples using computational modeling is difficult due to their amorphous structure. Therefore, this research intends to study the transport mechanism of water-organic mixtures by experimentally revealing fundamental transport properties, such as guest sorption amounts as well as diffusion and permeation rates. Considering the different size and guest-host affinity of water and organic solvent molecules, the objective of this research is to understand the structural conditions within the ultramicropores and micropores that generate different types of molecular transport and selection mechanisms within such complex systems. Carbonaceous materials are developed using tailored pyrolysis techniques to pyrolyze polymeric precursors, including polyvinylidene chloride (PVDC),polyvinylidene fluoride (PVDF), polymer of intrinsic microporosity (PIM) -1, and fully aromatic polyamide. The initial stage of the research will focus on the microscopic diffusion and sorption studies of pure component water, xylene isomers, and n,n- dimethylformamide within various carbons. Additional structural investigation on CMS, such as gas physisorption and neutron scattering studies, will be executed to gain deeper insight into these structure-transport relationships. Scanning electron microscopy and X-ray photoelectron microscopy are also used to further characterize these materials. The research will progress to probe mutual diffusion of complex water-organic mixtures within various CMS microstructures. Competitive sorption and permeation studies of the binary mixtures in different microstructural CMS will be followed. The obtained binary mixture transport parameters were used to predict binary water-organic mixtures transport.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Finch: Toxicity Dose Response Curve Prediction of Chemical Compounds and Mixtures

A paradigm shift in chemical risk assessment is emphasizing mixture testing over single compound analysis, eliminating animal testing, and adopting advanced modeling approaches to understand mixture activity profiles. However, existing computational models largely focus on single chemicals, with few effective solutions for modeling complex mixtures that account for synergistic or antagonistic effects and multiple Modes of Action (MoA). Conventional methods like concentration addition (CA) and independent action (IA) are insufficient for this task as they are designed for simplistic interactions and struggle to account for the dynamic and multifaceted nature of chemical mixtures, such as overlapping MoA and non-linear interactions. Finch offers a novel approach utilizing deep learning (DL) embeddings and multi-task quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) models to improve chemical exposure prediction. By leveraging molecular descriptors, physiochemical properties, and large language model (LLM) embeddings from SMILES inputs, Finch preserves critical information in a latent space thereby enhancing predictive accuracy. The multi-task learning aspect of Finch is highly advantageous, as it simultaneously optimizes multiple loss functions, leveraging all available data across tasks to develop generalized representations that effectively capture complex ingredient interactions within mixtures.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Reduced-Order Modeling of Hydrogen Releases from Vent Stacks and with Wind

This report describes computational modeling in the HyRAM+ software for study of hydrogen behavior in two common scenarios. First, models of unignited plumes exiting a vent stack were considered. It was shown that entrainment and vent backpressure were major factors in plume physics. Second, HyRAM+ was extended to include wind effects on plumes by modifying the plume momentum balance and entrainment modeling. Use of the model showed that plume shape and length changed with wind speed and direction; in all cases, wind causes a shortening of the plume along the streamline. While the no-wind case in HyRAM+ has been validated and the newly developed wind model was fitted to very limited experimental data, more controlled experimental configurations would help validate the models and ensure accurate simulation of hydrogen plume behavior for vent stack releases or in wind.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2024

DEM simulation of the compression of crushable sand: does the initial particle shape matter?

Advances in DEM modeling, combined with high-resolution X-ray tomography, opened the way for computer models based on virtual replicas of the particles which preserve nearly all facets of their geometry. This leads to simulation advantages, but also high computational costs. Here we tackle a question stemming from this trend: how accurate should particle models be to ensure accuracy? We address this question for the case of the compression of crushable sand. LS-DEM was used to generate three models of Ottawa sand (exact replicas, ellipsoids, and spheres) from digital images of its grains. Compression-induced crushing was simulated for all sets by tracking evolving size and shape distribution. The results confirm that exact replicas provide the closest match of the measurements. However, intermediate degrees of rendering (e.g. ellipsoids preserving volume and aspect ratio of the real grains) led to satisfactory results only marginally different from those of exact replicas. In conclusion, these findings provide an example of the protocols that may be followed to identify the optimal degree of particle approximation which should be regarded as mandatory to achieve a conscious, sustainable use of computational resources.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Leveraging Intramolecular π-Stacking to Access an Exceptionally Long-Lived 3 MC Excited State in an Fe(II) Carbene Complex

The ability to manipulate excited-state decay cascades using molecular structure is essential to the application of abundant-metal photosensitizers and chromophores. Ligand design has yielded some spectacular results elongating charge-transfer excited state lifetimes of Fe(II) coordination complexes, but triplet metal-centered ( 3 MC) excited states - recently demonstrated to be critical to the photoactivity of isoelectronic Co(III) polypyridyls - have to date remained elusive, with temporally isolable examples limited to the picosecond regime. Here, with this report, we show how strong-field donors and intramolecular π-stacking can conspire to stabilize a long-lived 3 MC excited state for a remarkable 4.1 ± 0.3 ns in fluid solution at ambient temperature. Analysis of variable-temperature time-resolved absorption data using theoretical models ranging from Arrhenius to semiclassical Marcus theory, combined with computational modeling and X-ray crystallography, reveal a Jahn−Teller stabilized excited state with a high activation barrier for ground-state recovery. The net result is a chromophore with a 3 MC excited-state lifetime that is orders of magnitude longer than anything yet observed for an Fe(II) complex.

carbene compounds↗

DOE OSTI2024

Learning Nonlinear Reduced Models from Data with Operator Inference

This review discusses Operator Inference, a nonintrusive reduced modeling approach that incorporates physical governing equations by defining a structured polynomial form for the reduced model, and then learns the corresponding reduced operators from simulated training data. The polynomial model form of Operator Inference is sufficiently expressive to cover a wide range of nonlinear dynamics found in fluid mechanics and other fields of science and engineering, while still providing efficient reduced model computations. The learning steps of Operator Inference are rooted in classical projection-based model reduction; thus, some of the rich theory of model reduction can be applied to models learned with Operator Inference. This connection to projection-based model reduction theory offers a pathway toward deriving error estimates and gaining insights to improve predictions. Furthermore, through formulations of Operator Inference that preserve Hamiltonian and other structures, important physical properties such as energy conservation can be guaranteed in the predictions of the reduced model beyond the training horizon. This review illustrates key computational steps of Operator Inference through a large-scale combustion example.

Mechanics↗

DOE OSTI2025

COCOMO2: A Coarse-Grained Model for Interacting Folded and Disordered Proteins

Biomolecular interactions are essential in many biological processes, including complex formation and phase separation processes. Coarse-grained computational models are especially valuable for studying such processes via simulation. Here, we present COCOMO2, an updated residue-based coarse-grained model that extends its applicability from intrinsically disordered peptides to folded proteins. This is accomplished with the introduction of a surface exposure scaling factor, which adjusts interaction strengths based on solvent accessibility, to enable the more realistic modeling of interactions involving folded domains without additional computational costs. COCOMO2 was parametrized directly with solubility and phase separation data to improve its performance on predicting concentration-dependent phase separation for a broader range of biomolecular systems compared to the original version. COCOMO2 enables new applications including the study of condensates that involve IDPs together with folded domains and the study of complex assembly processes. COCOMO2 also provides an expanded foundation for the development of multiscale approaches for modeling biomolecular interactions that span from residue-level to atomistic resolution.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2025

Correction to “COCOMO2: A Coarse-Grained Model for Interacting Folded and Disordered Proteins”

Molecular interactions↗

DOE OSTI2024

Surrogate construction via weight parameterization of residual neural networks

Surrogate model development is a critical step for uncertainty quantification or other sample-intensive tasks for complex computational models. Here, in this work, we develop a multi-output surrogate form using a class of neural networks (NNs) that employ shortcut connections, namely Residual NNs (ResNets). ResNets are known to regularize the surrogate learning problem and improve the efficiency and accuracy of the resulting surrogate. Inspired by the continuous, Neural ODE analogy, we augment ResNets with weight parameterization strategy with respect to ResNet depth. Weight-parameterized ResNets regularize the NN surrogate learning problem and allow better generalization with a drastically reduced number of learnable parameters. We demonstrate that weight-parameterized ResNets are more accurate and efficient than conventional feed-forward multi-layer perceptron networks. We also compare various options for parameterization of the weights as functions of ResNet depth. We demonstrate the results on both synthetic examples and a large scale earth system model of interest.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Modeling multihole Ge spins in quantum dot systems

Beyond the title, this talk is about improving the computational modeling of germanium hole spins in lithographic quantum dots to work towards a better understanding of how potential qubit properties of these systems are affected by the effective shell filling of these holes in the electric potential.

Brickson, Mitchell Ian↗

DOE OSTI2026

Reduced‐Order Modeling of Energetic Materials Using Physics‐Aware Recurrent Convolutional Neural Networks in a Latent Space (LatentPARC)

Physics-aware deep learning (PADL) has gained popularity for use in spatiotemporal dynamics simulations, such as those in computational modeling of energetic materials (EM). We show that the challenge PADL methods face while learning complex field evolution problems can be simplified and accelerated by decoupling it into two tasks: learning complex geometric features in evolving fields and modeling dynamics over these features in a lower-dimensional feature space. We build upon our previous work on physics-aware recurrent convolutional neural networks (PARC). PARC embeds knowledge of underlying physics into its neural network architecture for more robust and accurate prediction of evolving physical fields. PARC was shown to effectively learn complex nonlinear features such as the formation of hotspots and coupled shock fronts in various initiation scenarios of EMs, as a function of microstructures, serving effectively as a microstructure-aware burn model. Here, we further accelerate PARC and reduce its computational cost by projecting the original dynamics onto a lower-dimensional invariant manifold, or “latent space.” The projected latent representation encodes the complex geometry of evolving fields (e.g., temperature and pressure) in a set of data-driven features. The reduced dimension of this latent space allows us to learn the dynamics during the initiation of EM with a lighter and more efficient model. We observe a significant decrease in training and inference time while maintaining results comparable to PARC at inference. This work takes steps towards enabling rapid prediction of EM thermomechanics at larger scales and characterization of EM structure–property–performance linkages at a full application scale.

Mathematics and Computing↗

DOE OSTI2024

Formulation of a one-dimensional electrostatic plasma model for testing the validity of kinetic theory

Here, we present a one-dimensional (1-D) model composed of aligned, electrostatically interacting charged disks, conceived to address in a computable model the validity of the Bogoliubov assumption on the decay of particle correlations in the Born–Bogoliubov–Green–Kirkwood–Yvon hierarchy. This assumption is a basic premise of plasma kinetic theory. The disk model exhibits spatially 1-D features at short distances, but retains 3-D features at large distances. Here the collective dynamics of this model plasma is investigated by solving the corresponding Vlasov equation. In addition, the implementation of the model for the numerical validation of the Bogoliubov assumption is formulated.

1-D plasma model↗

DOE OSTI2025

Examples of Mission-driven Data Science from Jefferson Lab and ACES

This presentation details mission-driven data science initiatives at Jefferson Lab and the Joint Institute for Advanced Computing on Environmental Studies (ACES). JLab, a U.S. Department of Energy Office of Science national laboratory, operates the Continuous Electron Beam Accelerator Facility (CEBAF), and is the lead institute for the new High Performance Data Facility (HPDF) Hub. The Joint Institute for ACES brings together interdisciplinary teams in health informatics, climate modeling, computer science, and physics to address environmental challenges, including flood modeling. The Hampton Roads region, particularly Norfolk and Virginia Beach, faces increasing flood risks, motivating the need for rapid, reliable, and risk-aware decision support. ACES’s flooding work has a focus on uncertainty quantification (UQ) and machine learning (ML) for coastal flood management. The work is motivated by the increasing vulnerability of communities such as Norfolk and Virginia Beach, Virginia, to frequent coastal flooding events, and the need for rapid, reliable decision support. The research develops computationally efficient ML surrogate models to forecast water levels and flooding risk. A central theme is the quantification and calibration of predictive uncertainty, especially for out-of-distribution (OOD) scenarios, using techniques such as Monte Carlo Dropout, Deep Ensembles, Gaussian Processes, and Deep Quantile Regression (DQR). The study demonstrates that distance-aware UQ is critical for reliable scientific AI, particularly in high-dimensional, safety-critical, and real-time applications.

McSpadden, Diana [Thomas Jefferson National Accele↗

DOE OSTI2025

One‐at‐a‐Time Parameter Perturbation Ensemble of the Community Land Model, Version 5.1

Comprehensive land models are subject to significant parametric uncertainty, which can be hard to quantify due to the large number of parameters and high model computational costs. We constructed a large parameter perturbation ensemble (PPE) for the Community Land Model version 5.1 with biogeochemistry configuration (CLM5.1-BGC). We performed more than 2,000 simulations perturbing 211 parameters across six forcing scenarios. This provides an expansive data set, which can be used to identify the most influential parameters on a wide range of output variables globally, by biome, or by plant functional type. We found that parameter effects can exceed scenario effects and that a small number of parameters explains a large fraction of variance across our ensemble. The most important parameters can differ regionally and also based on the forcing scenario. The software infrastructure developed for this experiment has greatly reduced the human and computer time needed for CLM PPEs, which can facilitate routine investigation of parameter sensitivity and uncertainty, as well as automated calibration.

Kennedy, Daniel [NSF National Center for Atmospher↗

DOE OSTI2024

Quantum-centric supercomputing for materials science: A perspective on challenges and future directions

Computational models are an essential tool for the design, characterization, and discovery of novel materials. Computationally hard tasks in materials science stretch the limits of existing high-performance supercomputing centers, consuming much of their resources for simulation, analysis, and data processing. Quantum computing, on the other hand, is an emerging technology with the potential to accelerate many of the computational tasks needed for materials science. In order to do that, the quantum technology must interact with conventional high-performance computing in several ways: approximate results validation, identification of hard problems, and synergies in quantum-centric supercomputing. Here in this paper, we provide a perspective on how quantum-centric supercomputing can help address critical computational problems in materials science, the challenges to face in order to solve representative use cases, and new suggested directions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Temperature sensitivity of the equilibrium neutronics and accident analysis of the HTR-10

Pebble-Bed High-Temperature Gas-cooled Reactors (PB-HTGR) are moderated by the graphite in the fuel pebbles and the graphite reflector surrounding the pebble-bed. Because graphite is by far the most abundant material in PB-HTGRs and the primary moderator, accurate modeling of the graphite material, including density, impurities, and temperatures, is crucial for accurate computational modeling and simulation of these reactors. While main characteristics of the graphite components are often known, the local temperature is less well known and often averaged over all components. Here, this work studies the impact of considering accurate temperature profiles in the graphite material on the generation of a small PB-HTGR model at the state of equilibrium operation and on short-term accident progression. The fuel compositions for the PB-HTGR were determined using a jump-in equilibrium modeling method, the Axial Radial Zone Equilibrium Modeling (AR-ZEM) method. In contrast to previous work, the AR-ZEM method was used considering thermal-hydraulic feedback from the MELCOR code to determine temperatures of the fuel pebbles and the surrounding graphite reflector. The consideration of an axial and radial temperature profile in the core and reflector, as opposed to uniform material temperatures, had an impact of almost 1,300 pcm on the equilibrium core eigenvalue and caused significant differences in the discharged plutonium fuel inventory with up to 4.9% and 11.0% for Pu-239 and Pu-242, respectively. To assess the impact on short-term accident progression, two Anticipated Transient Without SCRAM (ATWS) events, a Pressurized Loss of Forced Coolant (PLOFC) and a Control Rod Withdrawal (CRW) with loss of flow, were simulated with MELCOR. The use of temperature profiles in the equilibrium core models did not reveal a significant impact on the temperature, power, or reactivity responses during the transients. In conclusion, a need for consideration of accurate temperature profiles, in particular for the graphite reflector, was found for the generation of equilibrium PB-HTGRs core models using jump-in methods, but detailed temperature profiles may not be necessary when performing conservative transient analysis.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Attractive Noncovalent Interactions versus Steric Confinement in Asymmetric Supramolecular Catalysis

The remarkable catalytic performance of enzymes stems from their ability to engage in precise noncovalent interactions (NCIs) within a sterically confined space. Supramolecular catalysis seeks to emulate and understand these strategies through the rational design of simple and controlled catalyst microenvironments. While both steric confinement and attractive interactions have been invoked as key to host activity, their relative contribution to rate enhancement and selectivity, as well as potential trade-offs, remains an outstanding question. Here, we address this question by systematically comparing two metal–organic supramolecular catalysts, which differ in the strength of their attractive noncovalent interactions and in their cavity volume. Our findings reveal that the catalyst with the larger cavity, and with stronger available NCIs, exhibits both significant rate acceleration (100-fold) and enhanced enantioselectivity (84% vs 14% ee) in a model ketone reduction compared to its smaller analogue. Mechanistic analysis, binding competition experiments, and computational modeling indicate that these differences predominantly stem from stabilizing noncovalent interactions in the larger catalyst, a result that challenges existing steric-based models of supramolecular stereoinduction. Understanding the governing factors of asymmetric induction and rate acceleration in supramolecular hosts will undoubtedly inform future catalyst design.

Catalysts↗