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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 145 records · Page 8

US-EUSST SSA Data Exchange for Improved Orbital Safety

Data sharing and exchange among different Space Situational Awareness (SSA) data collectors/providers is frequently discussed as a mechanism to improve the accuracy and precision of orbital safety products. Indeed, at the conceptual level this claim is quite sensible: objects with more tracking, and thus presumably better distribution of that tracking about their orbit, should produce updates with smaller epoch errors and more realistic covariances at epoch, which should then translate into better performance in prediction and thus improved close approach calculations. However, this thesis has not been verified with any large study involving two different data providers, through which the amount of realized improvement can be quantified and, perhaps more importantly, the logistics of effecting observation data sharing in a regularized way can be established and circulated to assist others. To create rubrics for helpful data sharing for conjunction assessment applications, and to collect empirical data on the improvements achieved through sharing of measurement data, the US Office of Space Commerce and the European Union Space Surveillance and Tracking (EUSST) Support Framework have embarked on a joint experiment to collect and exchange satellite metric observations on selected satellites of interest over an experimental period. Each entity will perform orbit determination with their own observations, the other entity’s observations, and with both observation data sets combined. The product results will be compared with each other, showing differences attributable both to the three different data groups and to the two entities’ different approaches to orbit determination. The exemplar satellites include both objects that have external precision reference ephemerides and those that do not, allowing the experiment to exercise both precision-comparison and assimilative-comparison techniques. The present reporting will give preliminary results and a set of lessons learned for data sharing; a second presentation later in 2023 will provide a full accounting of the experiment’s results. The hope is that, through this work, a pathway can be established for the expeditious and fruitful sharing among collection entities, both commercial and governmental.

space situational awareness↗

OSIRIS-REx Earth Return & Entry: Navigation Operations & Lessons Learned

The Origins, Spectral Interpretation, Resource Identification, and Security–Regolith Explorer (OSIRIS-REx) spacecraft successfully returned to Earth on September24, 2024, safely delivering its Sample Return Capsule (SRC) to the Utah Test and Training Range (UTTR). This paper describes the navigation operations that occurred between the departure from Bennu and the return of the SRC. An overview is given of the Flight Dynamics System (FDS) that includes tracking, orbit determination (OD), maneuver planning, and interfaces with entry, descent, and landing. Operational details on the SRC release criteria and conjunction assessment considerations are also provided. Lessons learned are presented that may help future sample return or interplanetary entry missions.

Kenneth M. Getzandanner↗

OSIRIS-REx Conjunction Screenings: Earth Gravity Assist and Earth Return Analysis and Results

The NASA OSIRIS-REx asteroid sample return mission performed an Earth gravity assist on September 22, 2017, and returned to Earth to drop off the sample on September 24, 2023. In each case, the NASA Conjunction Assessment Risk Analysis (CARA) team screened the OSIRIS-REx trajectories against the satellite catalog in search of high-risk close approaches. This paper describes the preparation for collision avoidance and screening results, along with lessons learned, providing a baseline for support of future missions in this category, particularly as space traffic around the Earth and in cis-lunar space continues to rapidly expand.

Dolan E. Highsmith↗

OSIRIS-REx Conjunction Screenings: Earth Gravity Assist and Earth Return Analysis and Results

The NASA OSIRIS-REx asteroid sample return mission performed an Earth gravity assist on September 22, 2017, and returned to Earth to drop off the sample on September 24, 2023. In each case, the NASA Conjunction Assessment Risk Analysis (CARA) team screened the OSIRIS-REx trajectories against the satellite catalog in search of high-risk close approaches. This paper describes the preparation for collision avoidance and screening results, along with lessons learned, providing a baseline for support of future missions in this category, particularly as space traffic around the Earth and in cis-lunar space continues to rapidly expand.

Dolan Highsmith↗

Effect of Cross-Correlation of Orbital Error on Probability of Collision Determination

This paper discusses the effect of global model error on probability of collision (Pc) determination. Modifications to the Pc formulation for cross-correlation of orbital error in prediction are developed and assessed for recent conjunctions. While specific geometries can be identified or constructed to produce significant change in Pc for the modified formulation, it is of operational interest to quantify the relative occurrence of such cases for satellite conjunction risk assessment. Such analysis is feasible per data collections in place over the past year.

Cross-correlation↗

Effect of Cross-Correlation of Orbital Error on Probability of Collision Determination

This paper discusses the effect of global model error on probability of collision (Pc) determination. Modifications to the Pc formulation for cross-correlation of orbital error in prediction are developed and assessed for recent conjunctions. While specific geometries can be identified or constructed to produce significant change in Pc for the modified formulation, it is of operational interest to quanti- fy the relative occurrence of such cases for satellite conjunction risk assessment. Large-scale analysis is feasible per data collections in place over the past year.

Steve Casali↗

Assessment and Validation of Collision "Consequence" Method of Assessing Orbital Regime Risk Posed by Potential Satellite Conjunctions

Collision risk management theory requires a thorough assessment of both the likelihood and consequence of potential collision events. Satellite conjunction risk assessment has produced a highly-developed theory for assessing the likelihood of collision but neglects to account for the consequences of a given collision. While any collision may compromise the operational survival of a spacecraft, the amount of debris produced by the potential collision, and therefore the degree to which the orbital corridor may be compromised, can vary greatly among satellite conjunctions. Previous studies leveraged work on satellite collision modeling to develop a method to estimate whether a particular collision is likely to produce a relatively large or relatively small amount of resultant debris. The approximation of the number of debris pieces is dependent on a mass estimation process for the secondary objects utilizing the radar cross section of said object. This study examines the validity of the mass estimation process and establishes uncertainty bounds on the secondary object mass, which will be used to best approximate the possible consequences of a potential collision. This process is then applied to a large set of historical conjunctions to assess the frequency at which possible collisions may significantly augment the orbital debris environment in operational spacecraft.

Collision Consequence↗

Setting the Bar for the Replacement of the Probability of Collision Metric

Recent research in satellite conjunction risk assessment has levelled a number of criticisms at the probability of collision (Pc) parameter as a durable statement of satellite collision likelihood, and a number of different alternatives to this calculation have been proposed. Many of these proposals, however, stop at the outlining of the theory and do not discuss the additional philosophical and practical issues that must be confronted in evaluating such proposals for adoption. The present work seeks to outline some of these philosophical and practical considerations, and therefore the kinds of analyses and profiling that will be needed before the Pc, which is at present nearly universally adopted in the conjunction risk mitigation community, can be replaced with a new (and superior) paradigm and associated metric.

conjunction assessment↗

Metrics on Predictive Probability of Collision Assessments Reliant on Object State Updates

The probability of collision (Pc) metric is the dominant method of risk charac-terization for evaluating satellite close approaches, and has become of particular interest following major debris production incidents. However, confidence in the use of Pc for actionability has been questioned due in part due to its non-intuitive and often significant corrections following messaging updates. This paper assesses predictively computed probabilities and confidence bounds on Pc values corresponding to orbit determination updates by comparing these predic-tive values to observed operational values. This paper also presents use cases for this methodology in assessing event actionability.

conjunction assessment↗

Tackling the Giants: Applying Smart Labs Principles to Constant Air Volume Lab Buildings

Laboratories typically consume 3 to 10 times more energy than similarly sized commercial buildings, and as much as 50% of that energy is wasted by inefficient and poorly operating fume hoods and ventilation systems. One challenge faced by older laboratory buildings is the heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning systems serving many of these buildings. The older systems are usually constant air volume (CAV) systems that maintain constant ventilation rates that cause excess airflow and inefficient energy use. Variable air volume systems can be more efficient systems with sensors to detect the need for a change in volumetric flow rate; however; renovation of ventilation systems can create disruption to ongoing research and operations along with considerable up-front costs. When a Smart Labs program is implemented, an organization has a systems-based management approach that yields a high-performing laboratory building. As decarbonization continues as a priority for sites, buildings with CAV systems are difficult to address. This work centers around practical guidance for improving lab buildings with CAV. In conjunction with industry input on top technology solutions and best practices, recommendations will include performing a laboratory ventilation risk assessment in conjunction with robust retro-commissioning work, which is a crucial step in the Smart Lab process. By applying Smart Labs principles, the aging laboratory building stock of 153,343 (Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory [LBNL] 2017), comprising roughly 500,000 lab spaces in the United States, can be brought to safe and high-performance operations.

building↗

S-band Fence Study Phase 1: Estimating the Increased Level of Screening Volume Incursions

Motivation: CARA assesses collision risk for a set of high-value satellites. Deploying the S-band Fence (SBF) radar system will significantly increase the number of conjunctions to process, possibly overloading the current CARA system.Phase 1 study objective: Estimate changes in screening volume incursion rates caused by the SBF deploymentPhase 2 study objective: Estimate associated changes in serious conjunction rates (e.g., Pc > 10-4) Phase 3 study objective: Develop methods for filtering and prioritizing the increased tasking, as requiredAll to be discussed today are Phase I results

conjunction assessment operations↗

Validation of A Simulation Environment for Future Space Traffic Management

This study presents initial results of a newly developed simulation environment intendedto explore and assess future Space Traffic Management (STM) scenarios. The number ofnew Resident Space Objects (RSOs) in near-Earth orbit is expected to increase significantlywith the expected future deployment of a number of large constellations. These futurescenarios involve the addition of many tens of thousands of new RSOs, making the analysisinto their impact on collision risk extend beyond what traditional data-mining of present-dayconjunction data can reliably predict. To address this, a robust simulation environment wasdeveloped that implements a full force-model for orbit propagation, and computes continuousall-on-all conjunction statistics for arbitrarily large catalog sizes and simulation timeframes.Collision avoidance and station-keeping maneuvers can be optionally implemented based onconfigurable user inputs including physical characteristics and spacecraft meta-data (e.g.,commercial/government, owner country, etc.). Constellation build-out and de-orbit scenarioswere also implemented and modeled based on real-data analysis. Validation of the simulationresults was a critical component of the simulation development, and was done using the currentcatalog with comparisons against both public and internal NASA data-sets. The comparisonsdemonstrate that, with the appropriate settings, representative levels of conjunction ratesand probabilities can be obtained, providing confidence that the simulation tool can generatemeaningful outcomes for test scenarios. As an initial demonstration of the tool’s capabilities,year-long simulations with station-keeping were conducted to examine conjunction historiesusing both the current object catalog (5800 active satellites) and a hypothetical 60,000 objectscenario involving five potential large constellations. Output metrics include the number ofconjunction events, estimates of collision consequence (fragmentation), delta-V maneuver costs,and the probability of at least one collision occurring. The results highlight the potential thatthe simulation tool has for incorporating and running performance comparisons between, e.g.,various sets of maneuver guidelines, industry norms, and definitions of risk, with the overallobjective of providing actionable data to STM policy makers. The presentation will providean overview of the simulation development and validation efforts, as well as a discussion ofobservations gathered from the initial simulations performed.

conjunction assessment↗

Micro-elastohydrodynamic Lubrication

Conventional elastohydrodynamics, which is based on assumption of smooth surfaces, is reviewed briefly to show its insufficiency for explaining the failure processes in these contacts. For conditions approaching failure, lubrication breakdown occurs locally at asperity contacts where the lubrication behavior is controlled by micro-elastohydrodynamic lubrication (Micro-EHL). Description is given to the film formation mechanisms in micro-EHL conjunctions. An assessment is made to the level of film thickness due to normal approach and sliding of a single asperity and due to asperlty-asperlty collision between two asperities; Possible influence of the micro-EHL to incipient scuffing failure, surface crack propagation and wear are discussed.

H S Cheng↗

Radiative transfer to space through a precipitating cloud at multiple microwave frequencies. I - Model description. II - Results and analysis

The impact of time-dependent cloud microphysical structure on the transfer to space of passive microwave radiation is studied at several frequencies across the EHF and lower SHF portions of the microwave spectrum. The feasibility of using multichannel passive-microwave retrieval techniques to estimate precipitation from space-based platforms is examined. The model is described, and the results are assessed in conjunction with a Nimbus-7 SMMR case study of precipitation in an intense tropical Pacific storm. It is concluded that the effects of cloud liquid water content must be considered to obtain a realistic estimation and distribution of rainrates.

Mugnai, Alberto↗

Summary of Aqua, Aura, and Terra High Interest Events

Single-obs tracking Sparsely tracked objects are an unfortunate reality of CARA operations Terra vs. 32081: new track with bad data was included in OD solution for secondary object and risk became high CARA and JSpOC discussed tracking and OSAs threw out the bad data. Event no longer presented high risk based on new OD Improvement: CARA now sends JSpOC a flag indicating when a single obs is included, so OSAs can evaluate if manual update to OD is required. Missing ASW OCMsAura vs. 87178, TCA: 317 at 08:04 UTC. Post-maneuver risk (conjunction was identified in OO results)CARA confirmed with JSpOC that ASW OCMs should have been received in addition to OO OCMsJSpOC corrected the manual error in their script that prevented the data from being delivered to CARAJSpOC QAd their other scripts to ensure this error did not exist in other places.

Conjunction↗

Cara Status and Upcoming Enhancements

RIC Miss Values in Summary TableTabular presentation of miss vector in Summary Section RIC Uncertainty Values in Details SectionNumerical presentation of miss component uncertainty values in Details SectionGreen Events with Potentially Maneuverable Secondary ObjectsAll potentially maneuverable secondary objects will be reported out to 7-days prior to TCA for LEO events and 10-days for NONLEO events, regardless of risk (relates to MOWG Action Item 1309-11) All green events with potentially active secondary objects included in Summary ReportsAllows more time for contacting other OOBlack Box FixSometimes a black square appeared in the summary report where the ASW RIC time history plot should beAppendix Orbit RegimeMission Name MismatchPc 0 Plotting BugAll Pc points less than 1e-10 (zero) are now plotted as 1e-10 (instead of not at all)Maneuver Indication FixManeuver indicator now present even if maneuver was in the past.

Operations↗