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At least 145 records · Page 8

A Visual Atlas on Strategic Trade

Strategic trade concerns global trade flows of items with strategic military value. Items include goods with exclusive military use, but also dual-use items that can have both military and civil uses. Many countries require licenses for trade in strategic items as a measure of non-proliferation. For example, items listed for trade control by multilateral export control arrangements, such as the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG), typically are considered strategic goods. Analysts and officials involved in strategic trade control often lack quantitative global understanding of relevant trade patterns that would help them focus control and enforcement efforts, select companies for outreach and audit, target transactions for verification and inspection, and assess the potential economic impact of trade control policies. Many are unaware of available open source data on international trade that can inform these issues. Many do not know how to make use of such data or lack the tools necessary to do so. A book of charts dubbed a ‘Strategic Trade Atlas’ was developed to illustrate global trade flows of strategic goods and raise awareness of the availability and utility of open source trade data. The Atlas was prepared for the World Customs Organization (WCO) and its Member States to support their planning and execution of Strategic Trade Control Enforcement (STCE) operations. It offers macroscopic graphical representations of global trade flows classified under Harmonized System (HS) codes associated by the WCO with commodities described in its STCE Implementation Guide. While these HS codes are understood to also encompass many non-strategic items, they nevertheless provide a good overview of potentially strategic trade flows. These include HS codes covering nuclear and nuclear-related commodities listed by the NSG, such as uranium, heavy water, graphite, carbon fiber, nickel powder, beryllium, aluminum tubes, vacuum pumps, valves, machine tools, cameras, and many others. The Atlas uses trade data from the Base pour l’Analyse du Commerce International (BACI), a statistical elaboration of public UN Comtrade data. BACI data reconciles trade flows, taking into account asymmetries in import and export trade valuation. The data visualization approach facilitates rapid sense making, pattern recognition, and anomaly detection. Country-based profiles summarize vast amounts of data into readily understandable graphical representations of each country’s primary strategic imports and exports and their main trading partners. Commodity-based profiles provide a global view of major exporters, importers, and trade patterns for each commodity. These insights can inform the risk management approach employed by customs to allocate enforcement and compliance efforts.

customs controls↗

Machine Learning-Based Prediction of Distribution Network Voltage and Sensors Allocation: Preprint

Increasing penetration of fast-varying energy resources may negatively affect power systems' operation. At the same time, sensor deployment throughout distribution networks improves system awareness and enables the development of new and advanced voltage control solutions. Such control techniques rely on accurate prediction in anticipation to voltage violation scenarios. This paper analyzes various approaches for voltage prediction in a distribution system; it is shown that combining multiple techniques into a single regressor improves its predictive power. Moreover, a two-step regressor is proposed, where initial predictions based on a global regressor are refined by local regressors; in this case, prediction errors decrease significantly. Additionally, a clustering approach is employed for performing sensor allocation, so that only the most influential buses are selected for monitoring without diminishing prediction accuracy.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Machine Learning-Based Prediction of Distribution Network Voltage and Sensor Allocation

Increasing penetration levels of fast-varying energy resources might negatively affect power system operation. At the same time, sensor deployment throughout distribution networks improves system awareness and enables the development of new and advanced voltage control solutions. Such control techniques rely on accurate prediction in anticipation of voltage violation scenarios. This paper analyzes various approaches to voltage prediction in a distribution system, and it is shown that combining multiple techniques into a single regressor improves its predictive power. Moreover, a two-step regressor is proposed in which initial predictions based on a global regressor are refined by local regressors; in this case, prediction errors decrease significantly. Additionally, a clustering approach is employed to perform sensor allocation so that only the most influential buses are selected for monitoring without diminishing prediction accuracy.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

A Novel Multi-Agent Deep Reinforcement Learning-enabled Distributed Power Allocation Scheme for mmWave Cellular Networks

We consider the power allocation problem over shared spectrum for millimeter-Wave (mmWave) cellular downlink. Existing approaches usually find sub-optimal solutions by solving a non-convex optimization which leads to scalability issues due to centralized control. Therefore, distributed and adaptive approaches are desirable. Recently, model-free Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) has achieved success in such wireless resource management tasks. By modeling the radio environment as a Markov Decision Process (MDP) with the base stations (BSs) being the agents, power allocation can be automated at the agent level with comparable throughput performance to conventional centralized schemes. The multi-agent setting presents new challenges as the radio environment is impacted by the joint actions of the agents and is no longer stationary from any individual agent’s perspective. Existing literature bypasses this non-stationarity violation by ignoring it which may cause performance degradation. To tackle this issue, we propose a distributed continuous power allocation scheme based on a modified version of multi-agent Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient (MADDPG) that is tailored for the distributed multiple-agent setting. The proposed scheme employs a centralized-training distributed-execution framework where Q-functions are trained over subsets of BSs while each BS determines its transmit power based only on its own local observation. It admits constant per-BS communication and computation complexity and is thus scalable to large networks. Numerical evaluation shows that the proposed scheme adapts well to a wide range of interference conditions and can achieve comparable or better performance than several state-of-the-art non-learning approaches.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Transactive Energy Rationing in Islanded Electric Power Systems

Extreme weather events, many of which are climate change related, are occurring with increasing frequency and intensity and causing catastrophic outages. One of the major modern-day concerns of utilities is dealing with such extreme outages and consequently, its repercussions on the lives of people in society and social aspects. Traditionally, operators have been using rolling blackouts as a contingency plan to serve critical loads during such events when electricity supply is scarce. However, such blackouts practices are executed on a last-minute mandatory basis, depriving customers having low-capacity high priority loads (i.e. refrigeration, water, telecommunication, etc) that should also be serviced if at all possible. Historically, policymakers have often adopted quota-based regulatory actions or rationing for other commodities (such as gasoline, butter, sugar) to handle scarcity situations. Motivated from such quota based systems, our contribution presented in this work is an alternative transactive rationing mechanism that would provide some minimum level of service to all of the customers and serve the critical loads using market-based control during such scarcity-based contingencies. This is in contrast to the state-of-art TE mechanisms that allocate resources to customers solely based on their willingness-to-pay. The effectiveness of the proposed mechanism is demonstrated through simulation-based evaluation on two real-life use cases having feeder-level and microgrid-level configurations respectively. The simulation results clearly demonstrate the capability of the rationing scheme to serve customers’ high-priority loads through prolonged outages even during extreme scarcity scenarios.

42 ENGINEERING↗

The Attraction Indian Buffet Distribution

We propose the attraction Indian buffet distribution (AIBD), a distribution for binary feature matrices influenced by pairwise similarity information. Binary feature matrices are used in Bayesian models to uncover latent variables (i.e., features) that explain observed data. The Indian buffet process (IBP) is a popular exchangeable prior distribution for latent feature matrices. In the presence of additional information, however, the exchangeability assumption is not reasonable or desirable. The AIBD can incorporate pairwise similarity information, yet it preserves many properties of the IBP, including the distribution of the total number of features. Thus, much of the interpretation and intuition that one has for the IBP directly carries over to the AIBD. A temperature parameter controls the degree to which the similarity information affects feature-sharing between observations. Unlike other nonexchangeable distributions for feature allocations, the probability mass function of the AIBD has a tractable normalizing constant, making posterior inference on hyperparameters straight-forward using standard MCMC methods. A novel posterior sampling algorithm is proposed for the IBP and the AIBD. We demonstrate the feasibility of the AIBD as a prior distribution in feature allocation models and compare the performance of competing methods in simulations and an application.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Formalization of the functional analysis methodology to improve NPP I and C system design process - 244

Functional analysis is a universal methodology, which is able to support NPP and I and C design process. The paper proposes an approach to combining the functional analysis process and I and C design process into a single I and C functional design process. Operation of a system is considered as a set of functions providing not only the achievement of goal, but also keeping material and energy balances. A notation for graphical representation of semantic network (hierarchy of functions) describing a system is suggested. This network includes four levels, namely functional goals, abstract functions level, process functions level, and equipment level. The elements of the hierarchy are connected by three kinds of relationships, namely: parent-child, main-support, and cause-consequence. Then the semantic network (hierarchy) of functions is converted into a functional network which looks as a directed graph. This graph is used for development of control algorithm and for building of instrumentation and control functions hierarchy. Farther analysis of process functions reveals a set of criteria indicating real-time status and effectiveness of functions. The criteria are used for allocation of instruments and actuators. The process of functional analysis and design is illustrated in application to a simple heat generation system. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Evolution of the ATLAS TDAQ online software framework towards Phase-II upgrade: Use of Kubernetes as an orchestrator of the ATLAS Event Filter computing farm

The ATLAS experiment at the LHC at CERN continuously evolves its TDAQ system to meet the challenges of new physics goals and technological advancements. As ATLAS prepares for the Phase-II Run 4 of the LHC, significant enhancements in the TDAQ Controls and Configuration (TDAQ-CC) tools have been designed to ensure efficient data collection, processing, and management. This abstract presents the evolution of ATLAS TDAQ-CC system leading up to Phase-II Run 4. As part of the evolution towards Phase-II, Kubernetes has been chosen to orchestrate the Event Filter (EF) farm. By leveraging Kubernetes, ATLAS can dynamically allocate computing resources, scale processing capacity in response to changing data taking conditions and ensure high availability of data processing services. The integration of the Kubernetes with the TDAQ Run Control framework enables perfect synchronisation between the experiment’s data acquisition components and the computing infrastructure. We will discuss the architectural considerations and implementation challenges involved in Kubernetes integration with the ATLAS TDAQ-CC system. We will highlight the benefits of using Kubernetes as an EF farm orchestrator, including improved resource utilization, enhanced fault tolerance, and simplified deployment and management of data processing workflows. In addition, we will report on the extensive testing of Kubernetes that was conducted using a farm of 2500 servers within the experiment data taking environment, demonstrating its scalability and robustness in handling the demands of the ATLAS TDAQ system for Phase-II. The adoption of Kubernetes represents a significant step forward in the evolution of ATLAS TDAQ-CC system, aligning with industry best practices in container orchestration.

Corso Radu, Alina [Univ. of California, Irvine, CA↗

The overview in safety review of human factors engineering and control room design in chinese AP1000 nuclear power plant - 174

The first AP1000 nuclear power plant is constructed in Sanmen county in Zhejiang Province in China, which has creative and distinctive design characteristics. Human factors engineering disciplines are applied to the design of the AP1000. In addition to the elements of the program review model(including human factors engineering program management, operating experience review, functional requirements analysis and allocation, task analysis, staffing, integration of human reliability analysis with human factors engineering, human system interface design, procedure development, training program development, human system interface verification and validation, design implementation, human performance monitoring),the minimum inventory of controls, displays, and alarms present in the main control room and at the remote shutdown workstation. These contents mentioned above are reviewed according to standards, rules and regulations. This article introduces review process, and several important issues during the reviewing are described in detail. These issues include many elements, such as operating experience review, task analysis, human system interface design, verification and validation,and so on. This paper emphasizes on the main control room design(including environment and layout). Background noise in the actual main control room may exceed too much to design value. Another important issue is about main control room habitability systems(VES) changes to satisfy post-actuation performance requirements in AP1000 design change proposal. All the wall panel displays will be closed in this design change proposal. Review process and proposal are described in the paper. Since the AP1000 unit in China is the first constructed all over the world, verification and validation are especially important and necessary. The plan of verification and validation, the results summary report of verification and validation, the report of human engineering discrepancies are focus attention. Verification and validation in human factors engineering include HSI task support verification, HFE design verification and integrated system validation. This paper introduces the review process of verification and validation, the issues found in verification and validation. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Kinetic, metabolic, and statistical analytics: addressing metabolic transport limitations among organelles and microbial communities

Microbial organisms engage in a variety of metabolic interactions. A crucial part of these interactions is the exchange of molecules between different organelles, cells, and the environment. The main forces mediating this metabolic exchange are transporters. This transport can be difficult to measure experimentally because several transport mechanisms remain opaque. However, theoretical calculations about the inputs and outputs of cells via metabolic exchanges have enabled the successful inference of the workings of intra-organismal and inter-organismal systems. Kinetic, metabolic, and statistical modeling approaches in combination with omics data are enhancing our knowledge and understanding about metabolic exchange and mass resource allocation. Furthermore, this model-driven analytics approach can guide effective experimental design and yield new insights into biological function and control.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Techno-Economic Analysis of Data-Driven and Transactive Approaches for Resilience Enhancement

As extreme weather events lead to more frequent power outages, understanding and enhancing grid resilience is critical to mitigating economic losses and non-energy impacts from service disruptions. Here, this study introduces a novel techno-economic analysis framework for evaluating resilience enhancement mechanisms. The framework combines grid response modeling with a co-simulation approach and valuation methodology to provide a comprehensive assessment. We apply this framework to a realistic case study of the Texas grid during Winter Storm Uri in February 2021. Two advanced resilience strategies are analyzed: a data-driven rolling outage mechanism and a transactive energy (TE) based allocation scheme. The rolling outage scheme selectively serves customers based on real-time curtailment needs, while the TE scheme allows customers to trade energy allocations according to their preferences. Our findings show that both the rolling outage and TE schemes significantly outperform conventional methods (i.e. controlled outages) by reducing the amount of energy not supplied to customers by 41% and 64%, respectively. These approaches also enhance flexibility and customer satisfaction, while improving energy utilization for greater resilience. Additionally, they maintain thermal comfort about 3.5 times better and substantially lower customer risk exposure. A key contribution of this study is addressing both utility and customer perspectives while considering both energy and non-energy impacts. The techno-economic analysis indicates that implementing these resilience enhancement strategies would incur an additional 1.1Bto1.6B in utility costs but has the potential to avoid 17.3Bto18B of customer losses as compared to existing solutions, thereby underscoring the value of investing in advanced resilience, as it provides significant societal benefits to customers.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Umpire: Application-Focused Management and Coordination of Complex Hierarchical Memory

Advanced architectures like Sierra provide a wide range of memory resources that must often be carefully controlled by the user. These resources have varying capacities, access timing rules, and visibility to different compute resources. Applications must intelligently allocate data in these spaces, and depending on the total amount of memory required, applications may also be forced to move data between different parts of the memory hierarchy. Finally, applications using multiple packages must coordinate effectively to ensure that each package can use the memory resources it needs. To address these challenges, we present Umpire, an application-oriented library for managing memory resources. Specifically, Umpire provides support for querying memory resources, provisioning and allocating memory, and memory introspection. It allows computer scientists and computational physicists to efficiently program the memory hierarchies of current and future high-performance computing architectures, without tying their application to specific hardware or software. In this paper, we describe the design and implementation of Umpire and present case studies from the integration of Umpire into applications that are currently running on Sierra.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A Human-Machine Shared Control Framework Considering Time-Varying Driver Characteristics

The uncertainties of driver's behavior seriously affect road safety and bring significant challenges to the human-machine cooperative control. Here, this paper proposes a human-machine shared control framework considering driver's time-varying characteristics to improve the co-driving cooperation performance. Firstly, the driving intention is introduced to describe the driver's involvement level through using Gauss-Bernoulli restricted Boltzmann machine method. And the index of driving ability is proposed to evaluate driver skills based on path-tracking errors. Then, a novel human-machine authority allocation strategy is designed by combining the two driving behavior characteristics and used to construct the driver-vehicle interaction system. Subsequently, a T-S fuzzy robust state-feedback shared control system is developed considering time-varying driver behaviors and vehicle states. Finally, the proposed shared steering system is validated by the driver-in-the-loop test bench. The results show that the proposed control method can reduce human-machine conflicts and has obvious superiority in improving performance of driving comfort, path tracking, and vehicle stability for the co-driving vehicles.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Optimization of Integrated Energy Systems

Integrated energy systems that couple nuclear power plants with additional products including hydrogen, storage, or synthetic fuels provide a more flexible energy source that can be more economical than generating electricity alone. Determining the size and shape of these systems and optimizing their operation is challenging. INL, through the IES program, has developed optimization software to help solve these challenges. Holistic Energy Resource Optimization Network (HERON) is a software tool to optimize the size and capacity of integrated energy systems using stochastic optimization. Optimization of Real-time Capacity Allocation (ORCA) is a software tool under development to perform real-time economic optimization of these systems using economic model predictive control. An overview of these tools and a discussion of their optimization methods will be presented in this talk.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Use of Multiple Remote Systems for Calcine Retrieval Operations at Idaho - 16592

There are approximately 5000 m{sup 3} of radioactive calcine material stored in six Calcine Solids Storage Facilities (CSSFs) at the DOE Idaho site. Each CSSF contains from three to twelve stainless steel tanks surrounded by a concrete vault. In accordance with the Idaho Settlement Agreement (ISA), this waste has to be retrieved and immobilized by December 31 2035 although no final decision has yet been made on how the calcine wastes are going to be retrieved from the CSSF's. One of the primary issues with the retrieval is that, in accordance with the ISA, any existing risers into the tanks have to be used 'to the maximum extent possible' in the retrieval process. Since these risers are only 6-8'' in diameter, this limits the types of systems that can be used for the retrieval. In addition, each bin containing the calcine has a series of obstructions which need to be navigated around and so inflexible systems such as conventional hose-based vacuum type systems are not feasible. In addition, the retrieval system selected has to be able to manage multiple forms of calcine (powder, granular, agglomerated, chunks etc) and operate in a very highly radioactive environment. This paper describes the progress made to date in developing an approach based on the use of multiple remote system platforms to gain entry into the bin-sets and to safely and cost-effectively retrieve the calcine wastes. Much of the work has focused on the application of the OC Robotic snake-arm robot system although significant effort has also been allocated to understanding the deployment mechanism of the snake-arm and to the ancillary supporting systems such as those for contamination control, cutting and welding new risers into the bin-sets and vacuum hose management within the bin-set. Future work will include the construction of a scaled mock up to demonstrate the field implementation of the system. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Light and temperature effects on miR156 transgenic switchgrass flowering: A simulated latitudinal study

The control of flowering in perennial grasses is an important trait, especially among biofuel feedstocks. Lignocellulosic biomass may be increased commensurate with decreased or delayed flowering as the plant allocates energy for stems and leaves harvested for bioenergy at the end of the growing season. For transgenic feedstocks, such as switchgrass ( Panicum virgatum L. ) grown in its geographic center of distribution, it is foreseeable that regulators may require greatly decreased gene flow frequencies to enable commercialization. Transgenic switchgrass with various overexpression levels of a rice microRNA gene, miR156, when grown in field conditions, holds promise for decreased flowering, yielding high biomass, and altered cell wall traits, which renders it as a potential crossing partner for further breeding with switchgrass lines for decreased recalcitrance. In the current research, we simulated a latitudinal cline in controlled growth chamber experiments for various individual sites from the tropics to cool-temperate conditions which included weekly average high and low temperatures and day lengths over the switchgrass growing season for each simulated site: Guayaquil, Ecuador; Laredo, Texas, USA; and Brattleboro, Vermont, USA. Flowering and reproduction among transgenic lines with low (T-14 and T-35)--tomoderate (T-27 and T-37) overexpression of miR156 were assessed. Lower simulated latitudes (higher temperatures with low-variant day length) and long growing seasons promoted flowering of the miR156 transgenic switchgrass lines. Tropical conditions rescued the flowering phenotype in all transgenic lines except T-27. Higher numbers of plants in lines T-35 and T-37 and the controls produced panicles, which also occurred earlier in the study as temperatures increased and day length decreased. Line T-14 was the exception as more clonal replicates flowered in the cool-temperate (Vermont) conditions. Increased biomass was found in transgenic lines T-35 and T-37 in tropical conditions. No difference in biomass was found in subtropical (Texas) chambers, and two lines (T-14 and T-35) produced less biomass than the control in cool-emperate conditions. Our findings suggest that switchgrass plants engineered to overexpress miR156 for delayed flowering to promote bioconfinement and biomass production may be used for plant breeding at tropical sites.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Continuous-Time Public Good Contribution Under Uncertainty: A Stochastic Control Approach

In this paper we study continuous-time stochastic control problems with both monotone and classical controls motivated by the so-called public good contribution problem. That is the problem of n economic agents aiming to maximize their expected utility allocating initial wealth over a given time period between private consumption and irreversible contributions to increase the level of some public good. We investigate the corresponding social planner problem and the case of strategic interaction between the agents, i.e. the public good contribution game. We show existence and uniqueness of the social planner’s optimal policy, we characterize it by necessary and sufficient stochastic Kuhn–Tucker conditions and we provide its expression in terms of the unique optional solution of a stochastic backward equation. Similar stochastic first order conditions prove to be very useful for studying any Nash equilibria of the public good contribution game. In the symmetric case they allow us to prove (qualitative) uniqueness of the Nash equilibrium, which we again construct as the unique optional solution of a stochastic backward equation. We finally also provide a detailed analysis of the so-called free rider effect.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Single‐Site, Single‐Metal‐Atom, Heterogeneous Electrocatalyst: Metal–Organic‐Framework Supported Molybdenum Sulfide for Redox Mediator‐Assisted Hydrogen Evolution Reaction

Abstract Synthesis of single‐site catalysts, whereby the local structure and surrounding chemical environments are identical, has been challenging, particularly in heterogeneous catalysis, as the support often presents spectrum of chemically distinct binding sites. Yet, the above criteria are crucial in attributing the apparent catalytic performance to the structural motif. The presented work augments on our previous work using monometallic molybdenum sulfide tethered within a zirconium‐based metal‐organic framework (MOF), NU‐1000; the monometallic nature enables all presented sites to be catalytically addressable. As the molybdenum sulfide species resided within two distinct pores (micro‐ and mesopores) of the MOF support, we have imparted uniformity in the local chemical environment by reducing the pore heterogeneity down to a single mesopore. Single‐site and single‐atom nature of the candidate catalyst was established via X‐ray diffraction measurements. Redox mediators were implemented, which, under reductive potentials, provide reduced species; they can effectively deliver the necessary reducing equivalences to the catalytic units that can otherwise not be addressed electrochemically due to the low electron mobility within the framework. Our results indicate the micropore‐allocated molybdenum sulfide is approximately four times more active as that in mesopores, whereas its catalytic mechanism is identical, underscoring the importance of controlling chemical environment beyond the active site.

Noh, Hyunho↗