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DOE OSTI2021

Thermal-Mechanical Elastic-Plastic and Ductile Failure Model Calibrations for 6061-T651 Aluminum Alloy from Plate

Numerical simulations of metallic structures undergoing rapid loading into the plastic range require material models that accurately represent the response. In general, the material response can be seen as having four interrelated parts: the baseline response under slow loading, the effect of strain rate, the conversion of plastic work into heat and the effect of temperature. In essence, the material behaves in a thermal-mechanical manner if the loading is fast enough so when heat is generated by plastic deformation it raises the temperature and therefore influences the mechanical response. In these cases, appropriate models that can capture the aspects listed above are necessary. The matters of interest here are the elastic-plastic response and ductile failure behavior of 6061-T651 aluminum alloy under the conditions described above. The work was accomplished by first designing and conducting a material test program to provide data for the calibration of a modular $J_2$ plasticity model with isotropic hardening as well as a ductile failure model. Both included modules that accounted for temperature and strain rate dependence. The models were coupled with an adiabatic heating module to calculate the temperature rise due to the conversion of plastic work to heat. The test program included uniaxial tension tests conducted at room temperature, 150 and 300 C and at strain rates between 10 –4 and 10 3 1/s as well as four geometries of notched tension specimens and two tests on specimens with shear-dominated deformations. The test data collected allowed the calibration of both the plasticity and the ductile failure models. Most test specimens were extracted from a single piece of plate to maintain consistency. Notched tension tests came from a possibly different plate, but from the same lot. When using the model in structural finite element calculations, element formulations and sizes different from those used to model the test specimens in the calibration are likely to be used. A brief investigation demonstrated that the failure model can be particularly sensitive to the element selection and provided an initial guide to compensate in a specific example.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Tearing parameter failure integration with the multilevel solver.

The tearing parameter criterion and material softening failure method currently used in the multilinear elastic-plastic constitutive model was added as an option to modular failure capabilities. The modular failure implementation was integrated with the multilevel solver for multi-element simulations. Currently, this implementation is only available to the J 2 plasticity model due to the formulation of the material softening approach. The implementation compared well with multilinear elastic-plastic model results for a uniaxial tension test, a simple shear test, and a representative structural problem. Necessary generalizations of the failure method to extend it as a modular option for all plasticity models are highlighted.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Synthetic Sling Failure: Evaluations and Recommendations

The information and evaluations provided in this report were compiled to address the recurring problem of synthetic sling failure. As safety is the number one priority in all work aspects, a solution must be devised to prevent accidents from occurring. In revision 0, a total of thirteen cases regarding synthetic sling failure were evaluated in order to determine their causes, effects, and preventative measures. From the collected data, it was found that all cases in which the synthetic sling contacted the edge of its load resulted in sling failure. Revision 1 provides updated synthetic fling failures between the years of 2009 revision 0 and 2021 revision 1.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Preliminary System Interface Failure Mode Analysis for Two Advanced Reactors

This study explores two distinct Balance of Plant (BOP) configurations: the Rankine cycle for a sodium-cooled fast reactor (SFR) and the Brayton cycle for a gas-cooled reactor (GCR). As representative designs, the Power Reactor Innovative Small Module (PRISM) by GE Hitachi Nuclear Energy was selected for the SFR, while the Gas Turbine Modular Helium Reactor (GT MHR) by General Atomics was chosen for the gas-cooled reactor. Both configurations were adapted to deliver high-quality heat for industrial applications. A Failure Modes and Effects Analysis (FMEA) was conducted for each system to identify critical failure modes affecting key components. This study marks the first phase of a two-step design optimization approach, integrating FMEA into the design process. Based on the analysis, design modifications and mitigation strategies were proposed to enhance system resilience. The second phase, to be detailed in a subsequent report, will focus on the role of the control system in mitigating these failures. The FMEA serves as a foundation for defining the control topology, ensuring system resilience against component failures that could compromise essential functions, such as electricity and heat production.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Modeling the PV System Level Economic Impact of PV Connector Failure Modes

Photovoltaic (PV) connectors must maintain mechanical integrity for over 25 years while operating under UV exposure, elevated temperature, and mechanical loading. Connector degradation increases with electrical resistance, leading to energy losses, unplanned downtime, and higher operation and maintenance (O&M) costs and in severe cases, safety risks from overhearing or arcing. Connector related failures remain among the most frequent causes of disruption in utility-scale PV (UPV) systems, yet their lifetime economic impacts are poorly quantified. This work presents a techno-economic analysis (TEA) framework that links identified connector failure modes to system level energy losses and lifetime cost impacts using identified resistance measurements and failure rates from 6,2761 PV connectors inspected. Connector failures increase system level O&M costs, raising LCOE by roughly 5%. Downtime driven availability losses dominate economic impact. Resistance-driven I2R and IV-curve losses are secondary, but remain non-negligible. Thermal damage, bend-radius violations, and loose connections drive the majority of LCOE uplift Improving connector reliability through better installation quality, inspection, and design can meaningfully reduce lost energy, O&M costs, and LCOE.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Fracture Network Localization Preceding Catastrophic Failure in Triaxial Compression Experiments on Rocks

We quantify the spatial distribution of fracture networks throughout six in situ X-ray tomography triaxial compression experiments on crystalline rocks at confining stresses of 5–35 MPa in order to quantify how fracture development controls the final macroscopic failure of the rock, a process analogous to those that control geohazards such as earthquakes and landslides. Tracking the proportion of the cumulative volume of fractures with volumes >90th percentile to the total fracture volume, ∑ v 90 / v t o t indicates that the fracture networks tend to increase in localization toward these largest fractures for up to 80% of the applied differential stress. The evolution of this metric also matches the evolution of the Gini coefficient, which measures the deviation of a population from uniformity. These results are consistent with observations of localizing low magnitude seismicity before large earthquakes in southern California. In both this analysis and the present work, phases of delocalization interrupt the general increase in localization preceding catastrophic failure, indicating that delocalization does not necessarily indicate a reduction of seismic hazard. However, the proportion of the maximum fracture volume to the total fracture volume does not increase monotonically. Experiments with higher confining stress tend to experience greater localization. To further quantify localization, we compare the geometry of the largest fractures, with volumes >90th percentile, to the best fit plane through these fractures immediately preceding failure. The r 2 scores and the mean distance of the fractures to the plane indicate greater localization in monzonite than in granite. The smaller mean mineral diameter and lower confining stress in the granite experiments may contribute to this result. Tracking these various metrics of localization reveals a close association between macroscopic yielding and the acceleration of fracture network localization. Near yielding, ∑ v 90 / v t o t and the Gini coefficient increase while the mean distance to the final failure plane decreases. Macroscopic yielding thus occurs when the rate of fracture network localization increases.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Combined ambient vibration and surface displacement measurements for improved progressive failure monitoring at a toppling rock slab in Utah, USA

Seismic resonance and surface displacement measurements can be implemented in tandem to improve landslide characterization and progressive failure monitoring. Crack aperture data are frequently used in rock slope stability monitoring and often exhibit recognizable trends prior to failure, such as accelerated crack opening. Alternatively, ambient resonance data offer multiple parameters including modal frequencies, damping, and polarization that can be monitored alongside crack aperture and may respond differently to environmental forcings and complex failure evolution. We analyzed data from continuous ambient vibration monitoring and concomitant crack aperture measurements at the Courthouse Mesa instability, a large toppling sandstone slab in Utah, USA. Three years of data revealed crack aperture increases of 2–4 mm/year with no clearly detectable irreversible changes in modal parameters, including frequency. Annually, frequency and displacement varied by 29% and 19% of the mean, respectively, with average and maximum daily frequency fluctuations of 6.5% and 16%, respectively. These reversible cyclic changes were primarily temperature-driven, but annually, frequency was in-phase with temperature whereas crack aperture lagged temperature changes by ~37 days. Polarization and damping also varied seasonally but were less strongly correlated with temperature. Conceptual 3D finite element modeling demonstrated consistent frequency decreases associated with crack propagation but variable changes in crack aperture measured at a single point; i.e., crack propagation did not always result in increased crack opening but always generated a resonance frequency decrease. Taken together, our data suggest a possible thermal wedging-ratcheting mechanism at the Courthouse Mesa instability, where annual thermoelastic crack closure is impeded by debris infill but the absence of downward crack propagation during the monitoring period is evidenced by no permanent resonance frequency changes. Our study demonstrates that combined seismic resonance and crack aperture data provide an improved description of rock slope instability behavior, supporting refined characterization and monitoring of changes accompanying progressive failure.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

Wind Turbine Gearbox Failure Detection Through Cumulative Sum of Multivariate Time Series Data

The wind energy industry is continuously improving their operational and maintenance practice for reducing the levelized costs of energy. Anticipating failures in wind turbines enables early warnings and timely intervention, so that the costly corrective maintenance can be prevented to the largest extent possible. It also avoids production loss owing to prolonged unavailability. One critical element allowing early warning is the ability to accumulate small-magnitude symptoms resulting from the gradual degradation of wind turbine systems. Inspired by the cumulative sum control chart method, this study reports the development of a wind turbine failure detection method with such early warning capability. Specifically, the following key questions are addressed: what fault signals to accumulate, how long to accumulate, what offset to use, and how to set the alarm-triggering control limit. We apply the proposed approach to 2 years’ worth of Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition data recorded from five wind turbines. We focus our analysis on gearbox failure detection, in which the proposed approach demonstrates its ability to anticipate failure events with a good lead time.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

Prognosis of Wind Turbine Gearbox Bearing Failures Using SCADA and Modeled Data

Predictive maintenance and condition monitoring systems for wind turbines have seen increased adoption to minimize downtime, reducing operation and maintenance costs. On today’s wind power plants, the integrated supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) system provides low- frequency operational data that can be leveraged to quantify a wind turbine’s health. The aim of this study is to utilize machine-learning techniques to predict axial cracking failures in wind turbine gearbox bearings up to 1 month ahead of time. The failures are assumed to have occurred when the investigated bearing was replaced. While current SCADA systems show the overall condition of a wind turbine, often they do not allow for the investigation of specific gearbox bearings’ health. To enrich bearing fault signatures, additional data are computed through physics-based models using gearbox design information. Based on SCADA data, modeled data, and bearing failure log data from an actual wind plant, the performances of different machine-learning models on unseen data are then evaluated using industry-standard metrics such as precision, recall, and F1 score. Results show the overall system performance enhancement in predicting bearing failure when modeled data are included with SCADA data. The reduction in terms of false alarms is about 50%, and improvement in terms of precision and F1 score is about 33% and 12% respectively, based on the best modeling case in this study.

49 EE - Wind and Water Power Program - Wind (EE-4W↗

DOE OSTI2020

Pin-pointing Node Failures in HPC Systems

Automated fault prediction and diagnosis in HPC systems needs to be efficient for better system resilience. With increasing scalability required for exascale, accurate fault prediction aiding in quick remedy is hard. With changing supercomputer architectures, distilling fault data from the noisy raw logs requires substantial efforts. Predicting node failures in such voluminous system logs is challenging. To this end, we investigate an interesting way to pin-point node failures in such supercomputing systems. Our study on Cray system data with automated machine learning tools suggests that specific patterns of event messages on node unavailability can be indicator to node failures. This data extraction coupled with system and job data correlation helps in devising a methodology to predict node failures and their location over a specific time frame. This work aims to enable broader applicability for a generic fault prediction framework.

Roman, E↗

DOE OSTI2022

An Application of a Modified Beta Factor Method for the Analysis of Software Common Cause Failures

This paper presents an approach for modeling software common cause failures (CCFs) within digital instrumentation and control (I&C) systems. CCFs consist of a concurrent failure between two or more components due to a shared failure cause and coupling mechanism. This work emphasizes the importance of identifying software-centric attributes related to the coupling mechanisms necessary for simultaneous failures of redundant software components. The groups of components that share coupling mechanisms are called common cause component groups (CCCGs). Most CCF models rely on operational data as the basis for establishing CCCG parameters and predicting CCFs. This work is motivated by two primary concerns: (1) a lack of operational and CCF data for estimating software CCF model parameters; and (2) the need to model single components as part of multiple CCCGs simultaneously. A hybrid approach was developed to account for these concerns by leveraging existing techniques: a modified beta factor model allows single components to be placed within multiple CCCGs, while a second technique provides software-specific model parameters for each CCCG. This hybrid approach provides a means to overcome the limitations of conventional methods while offering support for design decisions under the limited data scenario.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Wind Turbine Drivetrain Reliability Research - Gearbox Bearing Axial Cracking Failure Mode Example

The U.S. Department of Energy's National Renewable Energy Laboratory and Argonne National Laboratory have been conducting wind turbine drivetrain (formerly gearbox) reliability research for many years. Although the drivetrain focus has not changed, detailed projects are adjusted every few years based on dynamic needs seen in the field across the wind industry. This webinar will walk through the research methodology by using wind turbine gearbox bearing axial cracking failure mode as an example. The detailed steps include: 1) top failure mode identification based on actual failure data collected from project partners, 2) bench-top testing to identify possible contributing factors and formulate a damage metric, 3) physics domain modeling and validation through testing, 4) reliability assessment and prognosis based on the physics domain model and data domain inputs, and further enhancement through machine learning algorithms, using actual wind plant operational and failure event data. Hopefully, the presented work is of interest to the IISE community, and some members can apply their expertise to wind turbine and plant applications, helping enhance wind power generation technology advancement and its broader deployment.

axial cracking↗

DOE OSTI2020

Hazard analysis for identifying common cause failures of digital safety systems using a redundancy-guided systems-theoretic approach

Replacing the existing aging analog instrumentation and control (I&C) systems with modern safety control and protection, digital technology offers one of the foremost means of performance improvements and cost reductions for the existing nuclear power plants (NPPs). However, the qualification of digital I&C systems remains a challenge, especially considering the issue of software common-cause failures (CCFs), which are difficult to address. With the application and upgrades of advanced digital I&C systems, software CCFs have become a potential threat to plant safety because most redundant designs use similar digital platforms or software in the operating and application systems. With complex designs of multilayer redundancy to meet the single-failure criterion, digital I&C safety systems (e.g., engineered safety-features actuation system [ESFAS]) are of a particular concern in the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) licensing procedures. Here, this paper applies a modularized approach to conduct redundancy-guided systems-theoretic hazard analysis for an advanced digital ESFAS with multilevel redundancy designs. Systematic methods and risk-informed tools are incorporated to address both hardware and software CCFs, which provide guidance to eliminate the causal factors of potential single points of failure in the design of digital safety systems in advanced plant designs.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2021

Determining failure properties of as-received and hydrided unirradiated Zircaloy-4 from ring compression tests

An integrated experimental and computational approach was developed to determine the plastic strain at fracture and to investigate the fracture energy of as-received and hydrided unirradiated Zircaloy-4 nuclear cladding tubes in the hoop direction at room temperature from ring compression testing (RCT). This work builds on previous methods in the literature that were developed to obtain the mechanical properties of nuclear cladding before fracture (Young’s modulus, yield stress, and strain-hardening parameters) from experimental RCT results and extends the characterization of this material class to include material failure properties. Furthermore, a ductile damage approach was developed and implemented in a validated finite element model to predict material failure, evaluate fracture energy, and quantify the plastic strain at fracture initiation. The hydrogen content of the Zircaloy-4 specimens was varied up to 610 wppm when the failure became brittle. As expected, increasing hydrogen content caused embrittlement of the Zircaloy-4 samples tested and the plastic strain at fracture and fracture energy to decrease.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2020

Modeling The Effects of Loading Scenario and Thermal Expansion Coefficient on Potential Failure of Cryo-compressed Hydrogen Vessels

A multiscale thermomechanical model for a simplified Type-3 cryogenic compressed hydrogen (H2) storage vessel is developed in this paper. The model accounts for the temperature-dependent elastic-plastic behavior of the vessel carbon/epoxy composite overwrap and aluminum alloy liner. The homogenized thermo-elastic-plastic behavior for the individual laminas of the vessel layup is obtained by an incremental Eshelby-Mori-Tanka approach associated with a micromechanical failure criterion to predict lamina failure while a standard elastic-plastic constitutive model is used to describe the behavior of a typical aluminum alloy assumed for the liner. The vessel response to external loadings is achieved by a finite element method. Four loading scenarios representing four thermomechanical cycles applied to the vessel are analyzed to evaluate constituent and lamina stresses as well as the associate failure criterion during the cycle according to these scenarios. The model can provide helpful guidance to mitigate thermal stresses by an adequate selection of loading scenario, optimizing the layup and by tailoring thermomechanical properties of the resin matrix.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2021

Large rotations of the grain-scale stress tensor during yielding set the stage for failure

The stress-state within individual grains in a polycrystal determine the fate of the aggregate including mechanical failure. By tracking the evolution of the stress tensor throughout the elastoplastic transition, large rotations of the stress-state, which have long been theorized to occur, are observed experimentally for the first time. These stress rotations (~15°) are more than an order of magnitude larger than the concomitant crystallographic lattice reorientations (~0.9°) well-known to occur during metal plasticity. Furthermore, these rotations are accompanied by a decrease in stress triaxiality within certain grains, promote strain softening, and set the stage for failure at an early stage of deformation. Finally, these results provide a completely new perspective through which to contemplate the question of “hot-spots” responsible for failure of high-performance structural materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Exploring battery material failure mechanisms through synchrotron X-ray characterization techniques

Rechargeable battery cycling performance and related safety have been persistent concerns. Here, it is crucial to decipher the capacity fading induced by electrode material failure via a range of techniques. Among these, synchrotron-based X-ray techniques with high flux and brightness play a key role in understanding degradation mechanisms. In this comprehensive review, we summarized recent advancements in degradation modes and mechanisms that revealed by synchrotron X-ray methodologies. Subsequently, an overview of X-ray absorption spectroscopy and X-ray scattering techniques are introduced for the characterizing failure phenomena at local coordination atomic environment and long-range order crystal structure scale, respectively. At last, we envision the future of material failure mechanism exploration.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2023

A diffusion–deformation model with damage for polymer undergoing rapid decompression failure

Green hydrogen is emerging as one of the most promising alternatives to replace fossil fuels. While hydrogen gas has a good energy density by weight, its poor energy density by volume requires it to be stored under high pressure for commercial use. The hydrogen infrastructure developed to handle this high pressure hydrogen contains multiple components made of polymers as sealing agents. Although polymers do not react chemically with hydrogen gas, they undergo a mechanical failure when high pressure hydrogen gas is suddenly depressurized. This phenomenon known as 'rapid decompression failure' occurs due to the diffusion of hydrogen through polymer and getting trapped inside pre-existing cavities or voids. Here, in this paper, a continuum mechanics-based coupled diffusion-deformation-damage model was developed to predict the hydrogen distribution, stress distribution, and damage propagation inside the polymer while it undergoes rapid decompression failure. The polymer was modeled as a hyperelastic material because it represents the nonlinear material response observed in uniaxial tensile tests perfectly. The effects of hydrogen diffusivity, pre-existing cavity size, cavity location, applied hydrogen pressure, and depressurization rate on damage initiation were studied. It was found that the coefficient of diffusion plays an important role in damage initiation and damage was mostly concentrated in the inside areas rather than near the surface. Experiments were conducted with EPDM polymer which agreed well with the predicted trends using the given model. The effect of adding carbon black and silica filler particles and plasticizer to the pure EPDM polymer was also studied. It was found that damage during RDF decreases with the addition of fillers, but increases with the addition of the plasticizer. Finally, the damage evolution in the presence of two cavities was also studied, and was found that the interaction of stress fields around the cavities alters the damage occurring during RDF.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗