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Low-Cost Evaluation of EO-1 Hyperion and ALI for Detection and Biophysical Characterization of Forest Logging in Amazonia (NCC5-481)

Major uncertainties exist regarding the rate and intensity of logging in tropical forests worldwide: these uncertainties severely limit economic, ecological, and biogeochemical analyses of these regions. Recent sawmill surveys in the Amazon region of Brazil show that the area logged is nearly equal to total area deforested annually, but conversion of survey data to forest area, forest structural damage, and biomass estimates requires multiple assumptions about logging practices. Remote sensing could provide an independent means to monitor logging activity and to estimate the biophysical consequences of this land use. Previous studies have demonstrated that the detection of logging in Amazon forests is difficult and no studies have developed either the quantitative physical basis or remote sensing approaches needed to estimate the effects of various logging regimes on forest structure. A major reason for these limitations has been a lack of sufficient, well-calibrated optical satellite data, which in turn, has impeded the development and use of physically-based, quantitative approaches for detection and structural characterization of forest logging regimes. We propose to use data from the EO-1 Hyperion imaging spectrometer to greatly increase our ability to estimate the presence and structural attributes of selective logging in the Amazon Basin. Our approach is based on four "biogeophysical indicators" not yet derived simultaneously from any satellite sensor: 1) green canopy leaf area index; 2) degree of shadowing; 3) presence of exposed soil and; 4) non-photosynthetic vegetation material. Airborne, field and modeling studies have shown that the optical reflectance continuum (400-2500 nm) contains sufficient information to derive estimates of each of these indicators. Our ongoing studies in the eastern Amazon basin also suggest that these four indicators are sensitive to logging intensity. Satellite-based estimates of these indicators should provide a means to quantify both the presence and degree of structural disturbance caused by various logging regimes. Our quantitative assessment of Hyperion hyperspectral and ALI multi-spectral data for the detection and structural characterization of selective logging in Amazonia will benefit from data collected through an ongoing project run by the Tropical Forest Foundation, within which we have developed a study of the canopy and landscape biophysics of conventional and reduced-impact logging. We will add to our base of forest structural information in concert with an EO-1 overpass. Using a photon transport model inversion technique that accounts for non-linear mixing of the four biogeophysical indicators, we will estimate these parameters across a gradient of selective logging intensity provided by conventional and reduced impact logging sites. We will also compare our physical ly-based approach to both conventional (e.g., NDVI) and novel (e.g., SWIR-channel) vegetation indices as well as to linear mixture modeling methods. We will cross-compare these approaches using Hyperion and ALI imagers to determine the strengths and limitations of these two sensors for applications of forest biophysics. This effort will yield the first physical ly-based, quantitative analysis of the detection and intensity of selective logging in Amazonia, comparing hyperspectral and improved multi-spectral approaches as well as inverse modeling, linear mixture modeling, and vegetation index techniques.

Asner, Gregory P.

Systems and Methods for Peak-Seeking Control

A computerized system and method for peak-seeking-control that uses a unique Kalman filter design to optimize a control loop, in real time, to either maximize or minimize a performance function of a physical object ("plant"). The system and method achieves more accurate and efficient peak-seeking-control by using a time-varying Kalman filter to estimate both the performance function gradient (slope) and Hessian (curvature) based on direct position measurements of the plant, and does not rely upon modeling the plant response to persistent excitation. The system and method can be naturally applied in various applications in which plant performance functions have multiple independent parameters, and it does not depend upon frequency separation to distinguish between system dimensions.

Ryan, John J

A Cohesive Element Formulation for Simulation of General Mode I, II and III Delamination

Cohesive element formulations proposed thus far have assumed that Mode II and Mode III fracture processes, and hence traction-separation laws, are identical. However, experimental observations suggest that such an assumption may not hold in general. The approach described herein consists of a cohesive element formulation in which the assumption of identical Mode II and Mode III fracture processes is not required. This assumption is alleviated by estimating the normal to the delamination front based on the gradient of the displacement jumps determined within each element. The estimated normal is used to rotate the cohesive element coordinate system. Determining the displacement jumps in the rotated coordinate system enables the distinction between Mode II sliding, and Mode III tearing. This information is subsequently used to extend a recently proposed cohesive formulation, resulting in an approach that can simulate mixed-mode I/II/III fracture via prescribing piecewise-linear traction-separation laws combined with a 3D mixed-mode fracture criteria.

Delamination

Maximum likelihood estimation of parameterized 3-D surfaces using a moving camera

A new approach is introduced to estimating object surfaces in three-dimensional space from a sequence of images. A surface of interest here is modeled as a 3-D function known up to the values of a few parameters. The approach will work with any parameterization. However, in work to date researchers have modeled objects as patches of spheres, cylinders, and planes - primitive objects. These primitive surfaces are special cases of 3-D quadric surfaces. Primitive surface estimation is treated as the general problem of maximum likelihood parameter estimation based on two or more functionally related data sets. In the present case, these data sets constitute a sequence of images taken at different locations and orientations. A simple geometric explanation is given for the estimation algorithm. Though various techniques can be used to implement this nonlinear estimation, researches discuss the use of gradient descent. Experiments are run and discussed for the case of a sphere of unknown location. These experiments graphically illustrate the various advantages of using as many images as possible in the estimation and of distributing camera positions from first to last over as large a baseline as possible. Researchers introduce the use of asymptotic Bayesian approximations in order to summarize the useful information in a sequence of images, thereby drastically reducing both the storage and amount of processing required.

Hung, Y.

Adjustment of Sensor Locations During Thermal Property Parameter Estimation

The temperature dependent thermal properties of a material may be evaluated from transient temperature histories using nonlinear parameter estimation techniques. The usual approach is to minimize the sum of the squared errors between measured and calculated temperatures at specific locations in the body. Temperature measurements are usually made with thermocouples and it is customary to take thermocouple locations as known and fixed during parameter estimation computations. In fact, thermocouple locations are never known exactly. Location errors on the order of the thermocouple wire diameter are intrinsic to most common instrumentation procedures (e.g., inserting a thermocouple into a drilled hole) and additional errors can be expected for delicate materials, difficult installations, large thermocouple beads, etc.. Thermocouple location errors are especially significant when estimating thermal properties of low diffusively materials which can sustain large temperature gradients during testing. In the present work, a parameter estimation formulation is presented which allows for the direct inclusion of thermocouple positions into the primary parameter estimation procedure. It is straightforward to set bounds on thermocouple locations which exclude non-physical locations and are consistent with installation tolerances. Furthermore, bounds may be tightened to an extent consistent with any independent verification of thermocouple location, such as x-raying, and so the procedure is entirely consonant with experimental information. A mathematical outline of the procedure is given and its implementation is illustrated through numerical examples characteristic of light-weight, high-temperature ceramic insulation during transient heating. The efficacy and the errors associated with the procedure are discussed.

Milos, Frank S.

Seasonal Characteristics of the Perennial Ice Cover of the Beaufort Sea

By definition, ice which survives the summer is classified as multiyear ice. Thus the area covered by multiyear ice during the winter should be nearly equivalent to the ice area during the previous summer's minima. This condition provides a reasonable criterion for the evaluation of ice concentration and ice type retrieval algorithms using remote-sensing data sets. From special sensor microwave imager (SSM/I) data the NASA Team algorithm estimates the multiyear, first-year, and total ice concentrations during the winter using combinations of the polarization and spectral gradient ratios. The Team algorithm provides only estimates of ice concentration in the summer. From ERS 1 synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data the remarkably stable contrast between multiyear ice and first-year ice in winter provides consistent estimates of multiyear ice concentrations. In the summer, multiyear ice concentration cannot be estimated from SAR or SSM/I data because free water on the surface effectively masks the backscatter and emissivity signature of this ice type. From SAR data a technique which takes advantage of the high backscatter of wind-roughened open water as a discrimination feature is used to estimate the total ice concentration in the summer. With a year-long (January 1992 to January 1993) data set from the Beaufort Sea we found that the multiyear ice concentration estimates from the SAR data are stable and are nearly equivalent to the ice concentration estimated at the end of the previous summer. We contrast this with the variability of the multiyear ice concentration and ice friction estimates obtained using SSM/I data. The Team algorithm produces ice concentration and multiyear ice estimates which are consistently lower than those from the SAR data. We discuss reasons for these discrepancies and the implications of the higher than previously noted multiyear ice concentrations.

Kwok, R.

Research, Development and Fabrication of Lithium Solar Cells

This report continues studies on cells made with low temperature (<400degC) single-cycle, lithium diffusion schedules. Measurements of concentration of lithium at the back surface showed that C(sub S) changes with time consisting of a build-up to a maximum value (above 10(exp 17) cm(exp -3)) with gradual decrease at longer diffusion times. Using the estimated C(sub S) values, theoretical lithium profiles were calculated. The calculated concentration near the PN junction was higher than those measured by the capacitance voltage (C-V) technique. The calculated concentration gradients were one-seventh of those measured by C-V methods. Both the concentration and its gradient were proportional to C(sub S). Estimates of C(sub S) obtained by extrapolating from C-V measured values of concentration and gradient near the PN junction, showed a decrease in C(sub S) for longer diffusion times. This fact supported the trend observed in Shipment C-13, where,, at longer times, the spread in values of V(sub oc), lithium concentration, and gradient became greater. The general conclusion was that the I-V characteristics were well controlled, with good cell output, but for longer diffusion times the lithium concentration gradient could have wider spread. The work described has led to greater insight into the lithium distribution dependence on the surface conditions. The surface conditions could be changed by varying the method used to apply lithium. Vacuum evaporation of lithium shows promise, and another exhaustive test of this method is in progress. Shipment C-13 is summarized, and the succeeding lots (C-14, C-15) are described. It is felt that improved monitoring of cell properties is at hand, and that the control of cell fabrication processes has advanced to where the effects of subtle differences in lithium distribution can now be seen. Evaluation is continuing on the best method to scale up the fabrication steps. A different sequence of fabrication is planned for Shipments C-14 and C-15.

Iles, Peter A.

Simulations of Recovery of Time-Varying Gravity from DECIGO Pathfinder

We simulated time-varying Earth's gravity field recovered from DPF to evaluate an impact of DPF and future satellite gradiometry mission on earth science. From hydrological water movement data and orbit information, gravity gradients to be measured at altitude about ~500km were generated. Errors caused by atmospheric and oceanic variations and instrumental noise were added. Monthly gravity fields were estimated solving normal equations between spherical harmonic coefficients and simulated gravity gradient data. Simulation results show that DPF likely provides monthly hydrological water storage change with spatial scale between 400 and 1000km. Sensitivities to large scale estimates depends on long-term stability of gravity gradient measurement, and errors in short scale estimates are caused by instrumental noise and imperfections in atmospheric and ocean model. With acceleration noise level is lower than ~5 x 10(exp -14) [m/s2/sqrtHz] at frequency higher than 3mHz, water storage changes at limited small basins will be provided by DPF. To monitor continental scale hydrological water movement, noise level must be lower than ~5 x 10(exp -14) [m/s2/sqrtHz] at frequency higher than 1mHz.

Hasegawa, Takashi

Inferring Lower Boundary Driving Conditions Using Vector Magnetic Field Observations

Low-beta coronal MHD simulations of realistic CME events require the detailed specification of the magnetic fields, velocities, densities, temperatures, etc., in the low corona. Presently, the most accurate estimates of solar vector magnetic fields are made in the high-beta photosphere. Several techniques have been developed that provide accurate estimates of the associated photospheric plasma velocities such as the Differential Affine Velocity Estimator for Vector Magnetograms and the Poloidal/Toroidal Decomposition. Nominally, these velocities are consistent with the evolution of the radial magnetic field. To evolve the tangential magnetic field radial gradients must be specified. In addition to estimating the photospheric vector magnetic and velocity fields, a further challenge involves incorporating these fields into an MHD simulation. The simulation boundary must be driven, consistent with the numerical boundary equations, with the goal of accurately reproducing the observed magnetic fields and estimated velocities at some height within the simulation. Even if this goal is achieved, many unanswered questions remain. How can the photospheric magnetic fields and velocities be propagated to the low corona through the transition region? At what cadence must we observe the photosphere to realistically simulate the corona? How do we model the magnetic fields and plasma velocities in the quiet Sun? How sensitive are the solutions to other unknowns that must be specified, such as the global solar magnetic field, and the photospheric temperature and density?

Schuck, Peter W.

Using Atmospheric Trace Gas Vertical Profiles to Evaluate Model Fluxes: A Case Study of Arctic-Cap Observations and Geos Simulations for the ABoVE Domain

Accurate estimates of carbon–climate feedbacks require an independent means for evaluating surface flux models at regional scales. The altitude-integrated enhancement (AIE) derived from the Arctic Carbon Atmospheric Profiles (Arctic-CAP) project demonstrates the utility of this bulk quantity for surface flux model evaluation. This bulk quantity leverages background mole fraction values from the middle free troposphere, is agnostic to uncertainties in boundary layer height, and can be derived from model estimates of mole fractions and vertical gradients. To demonstrate the utility of the bulk quantity, six airborne profiling surveys of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), and carbon monoxide (CO) throughout Alaska and northwestern Canada between April and November 2017 were completed as part of NASA’s Arctic–Boreal Vulnerability Experiment (ABoVE). The Arctic-CAP sampling strategy involved acquiring vertical profiles of CO2, CH4, and CO from the surface to 5 km altitude at 25 sites around the ABoVE domain on a 4- to 6-week time interval. All Arctic-CAP measurements were compared to a global simulation using the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) modeling system. Comparisons of the AIE bulk quantity from aircraft observations and GEOS simulations of atmospheric CO2, CH4, and CO highlight the fidelity of the modeled surface fluxes. The model–data comparison over the ABoVE domain reveals that while current state-of-the-art models and flux estimates are able to capture broad-scale spatial and temporal patterns in near-surface CO2 and CH4 concentrations, more work is needed to resolve fine-scale flux features that are captured in CO observations

CO2

Sensitivity analysis of automatic flight control systems using singular value concepts

A sensitivity analysis is presented that can be used to judge the impact of vehicle dynamic model variations on the relative stability of multivariable continuous closed-loop control systems. The sensitivity analysis uses and extends the singular-value concept by developing expressions for the gradients of the singular value with respect to variations in the vehicle dynamic model and the controller design. Combined with a priori estimates of the accuracy of the model, the gradients are used to identify the elements in the vehicle dynamic model and controller that could severely impact the system's relative stability. The technique is demonstrated for a yaw/roll damper stability augmentation designed for a business jet.

Herrera-Vaillard, A.

Remote measurement of ocean temperature from depolarization in Raman scattering

Ocean temperatures may be mapped in three dimensions from an aircraft down to depths of 2 to 4 attenuation lengths by monitoring Raman radiation backscattered from a laser beam. This paper describes laboratory experiments on the temperature dependence of Raman spectra of saline solutions and calculations of the expected performance of a field system. The Raman technique is of greatest potential utility in coastal and estuarine waters where gradients are relatively high. It is estimated that seawater temperature may be measured to a statistical precision of 0.5 C at depths to four attenuation lengths in two meter water, using one Joule of transmitted laser energy.

Chang, C. H.

Simple methods for determining the virtual origin of turbulent boundary layers in hypersonic flow on sharp-edged flat plates

Two methods for determining the virtual origin of turbulent boundary layers in hypersonic flow are evaluated. The results of the analyses are restricted to wind-tunnel models having sharp-edged surfaces with zero or small pressure gradients. Virtual origin and skin friction estimates from these two methods are compared with values from a base method for which the virtual origin is calculated from the measured momentum thickness at a station downstream of boundary layer transition.

Hopkins, E. J.

The numerical evaluation of maximum-likelihood estimates of the parameters for a mixture of normal distributions from partially identified samples

Likelihood equations determined by the two types of samples which are necessary conditions for a maximum-likelihood estimate are considered. These equations, suggest certain successive-approximations iterative procedures for obtaining maximum-likelihood estimates. These are generalized steepest ascent (deflected gradient) procedures. It is shown that, with probability 1 as N sub 0 approaches infinity (regardless of the relative sizes of N sub 0 and N sub 1, i=1,...,m), these procedures converge locally to the strongly consistent maximum-likelihood estimates whenever the step size is between 0 and 2. Furthermore, the value of the step size which yields optimal local convergence rates is bounded from below by a number which always lies between 1 and 2.

Walker, H. F.

Modeling global structural damping in trusses using simple continuum models

Truss beams with members having viscous damping are modeled as continuum Timoshenko beams. Procedures for deriving the equivalent beam stiffnesses and damping are presented. The global damping for the continuum beam is explicitly expressed in terms of the damping coefficients of the individual truss members. The continuum beam model is used to study transient vibration problems and the solutions are compared well with the full scale finite element solutions. The gradient method is used for parameter estimations in conjunction with the Timoshenko beam model. It is shown that the Timoshenko beam model can be easily updated with measured data and the updated model can yield very accurate transient solutions.

Sun, C. T.

Structure and Growth of the Marine Boundary Layer

LANDSAT visible imagery and a one-dimensional Lagrangian boundary layer model were used to hypothesize the nature and the development of the marine boundary layer during a winter episode of strong seaward cold air advection. Over-water heating and moistening of the cold, dry continental air is estimable from linear relations involving horizontal gradients of the near-surface air temperature and humidity. A line of enhanced convection paralleling the Atlantic U.S. coast from south of New York Bay to the vicinity of Virginia Beach, VA was attributed to stronger convergence at low levels. This feature was characterized as a mesoscale front. With the assistance of a three-dimensional mesoscale boundary layer model, initialized with data obtained from the MASEX, the marine boundary layer can be mapped over the entire Atlantic coastal domain and the evolution of the boundary layer can be studied as a function of different characteristics of important surface level forcings. The effects on boundary layer growth due to the magnitude and pattern of sea surface temperature, to the shape of the coastline, and to atmospheric conditions, such as the orientation of the prevailing wind are examined.

Mccumber, M.

Theoretical studies in support of the 3M-vapor transport (PVTOS-) experiments

Results are reported for a preliminary theoretical study of the coupled mass-, momentum-, and heat-transfer conditions expected within small ampoules used to grow oriented organic solid (OS-) films, by physical vapor transport (PVT) in microgravity environments. It is show that previous studies made restrictive assumptions (e.g., smallness of delta T/T, equality of molecular diffusivities) not valid under PVTOS conditions, whereas the important phenomena of sidewall gas creep, Soret transport of the organic vapor, and large vapor phase supersaturations associated with the large prevailing temperature gradients were not previously considered. Rational estimates are made of the molecular transport properties relevant to copper-phthalocyanine monomeric vapor in a gas mixture containing H2(g) and Xe(g). Efficient numerical methods have been developed and are outlined/illustrated here to making steady axisymmetric gas flow calculations within such ampoules, allowing for realistic realistic delta T/T(sub)w-values, and even corrections to Navier-Stokes-Fourier 'closure' for the governing continuum differential equations. High priority follow-on studies are outlined based on these new results.

Rosner, Daniel E.

Post-optimality analysis in aerospace vehicle design

This analysis pertains to the applicability of optimal sensitivity information to aerospace vehicle design. The present analysis demonstrates that post-optimality information generated through first-order computations can be used to accurately predict file effect of constraint and parameter perturbations on the optimal solution. This assessment is based on the solution of an aircraft design problem in which the post-optimality estimates are shown to be within a few percent of the true solution over the practical range of constraint and parameter variations. Through solution of a reusable, single-stage-to-orbit, launch vehicle design problem, this optimal sensitivity information is also shown to improve the efficiency of the design process. For a hierarchically decomposed problem, this computational efficiency is realizable by estimating the main-problem objective gradient through optimal sensitivity calculations. By reducing the need for finite differentiation of a re-optimized subproblem, a significant decrease in the number of objective function evaluations required to reach the optimal solution is obtained.

Braun, Robert D.