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DOE OSTI2026

Communications Reliability for Vehicle Grid Integration

Electric Vehicles (EVs) adoption rate has been steadily increasing in the US leading to a growing number of charging stations including faster DC (Direct Current) chargers and slower Level 1 and Level 2 AC (Alternating Current) chargers. This increase in demand for electricity is further exacerbated by recent developments in Artificial Intelligence (AI) technology, advanced manufacturing, and digitization. These factors will require electric utilities to upgrade their infrastructure to keep up with the increasing electrical demand (especially during peak hours). An easy way to counteract the need for these upgrades is to shift a major chunk of active charge sessions (durations where there is energy transfer from charger to EV's propulsion battery) to off-peak hours thereby flattening the load curve and making the infrastructure more resilient. This concept is known as Smart Charge Management (SCM). EV owners also benefit from SCM since it lowers their charging costs and consequently their transportation costs by prioritizing charging during off-peak hours. SCM takes advantage of EV's capability to act as a controllable load or DER (Distributed Energy Resource). This report summarizes the reliability analysis performed on the communication required for two of these SCM use-cases. This analysis only focuses on SCM strategies for unidirectional charging (energy transfer from EVSE to EV or V1G) and not bidirectional charging.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2025

EVs@Scale Next-Gen Profiles - Fleet Utilization 2024

As part of the U.S. Department of Energy’s EVs@Scale initiative, the Next-Gen Profiles (NGP) project provides a comprehensive, data-driven analysis of electric vehicle (EV) and electric vehicle supply equipment (EVSE) operations across real-world fleet deployments. This paper presents findings from the NGP’s Fleet Utilization study, which investigates operational behavior and asset usage across seventeen EV fleets and two EVSE fleets, encompassing a wide range of vehicle types and use cases. Data collected from diverse sources—varying in format and temporal resolution—are first reformatted into a unified structure. From this harmonized dataset, a suite of rigorously defined performance metrics is calculated at an hourly cadence, enabling consistent cross-comparison of charging, routing, and other key operational behaviors. Amid rapidly increasing EV adoption and growing demands for energy-efficient fleet operations, the analysis reveals clear utilization trends—including diurnal and weekly activity cycles, differences in short versus long charging session dependencies, and route-specific energy usage patterns. These findings highlight the need for tailored infrastructure strategies and the deployment of advanced energy management systems, such as Distributed Energy Resource Management Systems (DERMS) and Site Energy Management Systems (SEMS), which can optimize charging schedules and mitigate peak loads. By leveraging anonymized, harmonized datasets and standardized metrics, this study offers critical insights into fleet behavior and performance, providing a foundation to improve operational efficiency, reduce costs, and enable the scalable deployment of electrified transportation.

Wells, Landon↗

DOE OSTI2024

Depot Charging Schedule Optimization for Medium- and Heavy-Duty Battery-Electric Trucks

Charge management, which lowers charging costs for fleets and prevents straining the electrical grid, is critical to the successful deployment of medium- and heavy-duty battery-electric trucks (MHD BETs). This study introduces an energy demand and cost management framework that optimizes depot charging for MHD BETs by combining an energy consumption machine learning model and a linear program optimization model. The framework considers key factors impacting real-world MHD BET operations, including vehicle and charger configurations, duty cycles, use cases, geographic and climate conditions, operation schedules, and utilities’ time-of-use (TOU) rates and demand charges. The framework was applied to a hypothetical fleet of 100 MHD BETs in California under three different utilities for 365 days, with results compared to unmanaged charging. The optimized charging solution avoided more than 90% of on-peak charging, reduced fleet charging peak load by 64–75%, and lowered fleet energy variable costs by 54–64%. This study concluded that the proposed charge management framework significantly reduces energy costs and peak loads for MHD BET fleets while making recommendations for fleet electrification infrastructure planning and the design of utility TOU rates and demand charges.

Song, Shuhan↗

DOE OSTI2025

Short-Term Forecasting of Thermostatic and Residential Loads Using Long Short-Term Memory Recurrent Neural Networks

Internet of Things (IoT) devices in smart grids enable intelligent energy management for grid managers and personalized energy services for consumers. Investigating a smart grid with IoT devices requires a simulation framework with IoT devices modeling. However, there lack comprehensive study on the modeling of IoT devices in smart grids. This paper investigates the IoT device modeling of a thermostatic load and implements the recurrent neural networks model for short-term load forecasting in this IoT-based thermostatic load. The recurrent neural network structure is leveraged to build a load forecasting model on temporal correlation. The temporal recurrent neural network layers including long short-term memory cells are employed to learn the data from both the simulation platform and New South Wales residential datasets. The simulation results are provided for demonstration.

electric load forecasting↗

DOE OSTI2024

From Resilient and Ready to Used and Useful: Managing Temporal and Locational Uncertainty in Electrification, DER Adoption, and Climate Adaptation

Grid planning decisions involve weighing risks against benefits. The best decisions will facilitate development of electrical infrastructure that minimizes risk and maximizes benefits. With the rapidly evolving energy landscape, today's planner must discern new loads and demand cycles; embrace the operational complexity of climate risk; revise settled standards; and anticipate and manage the system impacts of distributed energy resource (DER) adoption. Only by managing the combined uncertainty of these dynamic processes can a planner hope to make effective decisions. Our analysis focuses on the management of temporal and locational uncertainty, and particularly on the risks presented to customers by the mismanagement of the factors that are the sources of these uncertainties.

climate↗

DOE OSTI2026

Bridging Cloud and Edge Computing at NREL Using CONNECT: Cloud Optimized Networking for Next-Gen Edge Computing Technologies [Slides]

CONNECT is an innovative on-premise hardware and software solution that integrates edge and cloud computing infrastructure at NREL. Built on the AWS Greengrass middleware and leveraging the MQTT protocol, CONNECT enables real-time data streaming from IoT devices and gateways to both cloud and local services, empowering researchers to rapidly capture, analyze, and act upon edge-generated data while leveraging cloud capabilities. The platform addresses research infrastructure challenges by providing a pre-approved platform which is already configured with the correct networking and cybersecurity baselines thus eliminating procurement delays and enabling on-demand availability. CONNECT's hybrid architecture efficiently manages burstable workloads, allowing research teams to dynamically scale computational capacity, handle peak data loads, and reduce operational bottlenecks. Advanced capabilities include built-in GPU support for executing machine learning models which enables low-latency inference at the edge from models trained in the cloud. This architecture supports real-time analytics and filtering, providing a mechanism to allow only transmitting and processing high-value data. Cloud-based configuration management permits engineers to manage on-premise systems remotely, optimizing operational efficiency. By bridging edge and cloud computing, CONNECT provides NREL researchers with a flexible, scalable platform that accelerates scientific discovery while maintaining robust security and performance standards.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Catalyzing deep decarbonization with federated battery diagnosis and prognosis for better data management in energy storage systems

Industrial data analytics methods play a central role in improving energy storage performance and efficiency, impacting the future of electrified transportation and renewable electricity generation. However, significant challenges hinder the large-scale deployment of batteries. Conventional methods rely on centralized collection and processing of fleet-level data, leading to database size issues and privacy concerns due to potential data breaches. To enable scalable deployment of battery management systems, this article proposes a federated battery diagnosis and prognosis model, which distributes the processing of battery standard current-voltage-time-usage data in a privacy-preserving manner. Instead of transferring the raw data, this approach communicates only the locally processed parameters, thus reducing communication load and preserving data confidentiality. The federated model offers a paradigm shift in battery health management through privacy-preserving distributed methods for battery data processing and lifetime prediction, ensuring the reliable and sustainable deployment of lithium-ion batteries in a rapidly evolving world.

asset health management↗

DOE OSTI2025

Implementation of fuel management multi-cycle optimization capabilities in RAVEN optimization framework

Optimization in nuclear fuel-management assists the core reload engineer with finding optimal out-of-core and in-core strategies. RAVEN is INL’s open source software that is equipped with fuel-management optimization capabilities including single-cycle, single- and multi-objective optimization of pressurized water reactors (PWRs) loading patterns (LP) of a fresh core using genetic algorithm (GA) and non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm (NSGA-II). In practice, however, medium and long term planning of fuel-management needs a multi-cycle approach, where the history and availability of fuel assemblies is considered in the optimization process. In this paper, we present a description of an initial expansion of RAVEN fuel-management optimization capabilities for a multi-cycle optimization framework. N-th cycle optimization capabilities that account for the unique history of recycled fuel assembly in the core were added. The multi-cycle optimization approach taken is formulated as a cycle-wise optimization problem where out-of-core decisions are used to onset each cycle optimization. Out-of-core decisions are managed externally to the in-core optimization by a fuel inventory management module. A proof-of-concept optimization problem is also presented.

42 - ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2025

A scoping study of far-SOL main-wall protection limiters for steady-state operation of compact pilot plant tokamaks

We present a novel method for handling steady-state heat fluxes incident on the main wall of pilot plant-scale magnetic fusion devices, based on the utilization of protection limiters in the far scrape-off layer (SOL). This method helps avoid large plasma-wall gaps, without excessively compromising blanket performance. We present an optimization algorithm for determining the appropriate size and scale of these protection limiters given (1) probability distributions of SOL plasma parameters and (2) assumed risk tolerance. As part of this optimization, we have developed an analytic description of parallel heat fluxes across limiter shadows, and an objective cost function (the ‘Far-SOL Marginal Cost’) to quantify the impact that different main-wall thermal management design choices have on reactor capital cost. Applying the model to a midscale fusion pilot plant concept shows that making use of far-SOL protection limiters can reduce capital costs on the order of $500 M, relative to naively increasing the plasma-wall gap. Our analysis demonstrates that the far-SOL power decay length is the highest-leverage plasma assumption for thermal loading of the first wall, and the primary cost driver for main wall thermal management. The relative cost efficiency of protection limiters increases as assumptions on the far-SOL heat flux become more pessimistic. The concepts described in this paper motivate the further development of far-SOL protection limiters as part of larger efforts to design economical core-edge-wall compatible solutions for a fusion pilot plant.

Design under uncertainty↗

DOE OSTI2025

Potential Impacts of Dynamic Electricity Pricing in California: Load Shape and Customer Bill Impacts Under Elastic Customer Response

The increasing penetration of renewable energy in California has intensified grid management challenges, exemplified by the “duck curve” and the resulting need for steep ramping and curtailment of renewables. To address these issues, dynamic electricity tariffs that vary in near-real time are being considered to incentivize customers to shift demand and support the grid. This study extends previous work on the bill impacts of such tariffs in the absence of load response by quantifying the system-level and customer impacts of load response based on customer price elasticity. Customer-level load response modeling was conducted using meter data from 411,000 customers across residential, commercial, and industrial sectors. Customer demand elasticity was estimated using literature-based values, with scenarios ranging from low to high elasticity, including an automation-enhanced scenario. Results indicate that universal adoption of, and response to, dynamic tariffs can significantly reduce peak net load (by 15%) and maximum ramping requirements (by 20%) with moderate elasticity, delivering demand response resources comparable to or exceeding current programs at all elasticity levels. Bill analysis shows that, when responding elastically to dynamic prices, most non-PV customers experience modest savings, while PV customers may see higher effective rates due to lower compensation for exports during low-price periods. Emissions analysis reveals a reduction in per-kWh emissions system-wide, with a total absolute load increase of 2% accompanied by a negligible absolute emissions increase. The study concludes that while dynamic tariffs offer substantial grid benefits, customer bill savings under modeled response behaviors may be too modest to drive widespread adoption without additional incentives or enabling technologies. Future research should model flexible loads and advanced control technologies with greater fidelity to better represent the potential opportunities of dynamic tariffs.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2024

Upcycling Linear Low-Density Polyethylene Waste into Graphene for High Mass Loading Supercapacitors

Upcycling plastic into advanced carbons, such as graphene and porous carbon, offers attractive options to manage waste streams by converting the plastic into carbon electrode materials for energy storage devices. Linear low density polyethylene (LLDPE) is firstly bulk-oxidized with a facile and scalable method and then carbonized and catalyticlly graphenized into porous graphene materials. The LLDPE derived graphene (LLDPE-G) has a BET specific surface area up to 1800 m2/g and Raman ID/IG ratio of 0.85. When used as electrode material for symmetric supercapacitor, LLDPE-G possesses outstanding specific capacitance and excellent areal capacitance. Moreover, LLDPE-G exhibits exceptional cycling stability with capacitance retention of 95.8% after 100,000 cycles. Last but not least, KCl is recycled and reused over 3 cycles with material quality and electrocapacitive performance of LLDPE-G retained and verified after each cycle.

Gao, Yuan↗

DOE OSTI2025

Dynamic Boundary Microgrids Under Privatization Considerations

Microgrids have physical, electrical, and logical (data, network, and ownership) boundaries. To power unserved customer loads during an outage, microgrids can extend the traditional operational boundaries. This can become complex when considering microgrid-to-microgrid (M2M) interactions where sensitive information such as competitive microgrid operational data is not shared. This work proposes an optimization method coordinated between microgrid controllers and distribution management systems that limits data sharing. The method involves a competitive bidding strategy that maximizes unserved load coverage while minimizing resource utilization and sensitive operational data sharing among entities. The work is validated on a two-microgrid system with photovoltaic and energy storage systems and curves of load derived from real world residential buildings datasets. Results show that the proposed method, when applied for three distinct use cases of energy storage sufficiency to cover the predefined boundary and/or the expanded boundary, can successfully select and bid the available load coverage.

Starke, Michael [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000221211195)↗

DOE OSTI2024

Dataset of simulated vibrational density of states and X-ray diffraction profiles of mechanically deformed and disordered atomic structures in Gold, Iron, Magnesium, and Silicon

This dataset is comprised of a library of atomistic structure files and corresponding X-ray diffraction (XRD) profiles and vibrational density of states (VDoS) profiles for bulk single crystal silicon (Si), gold (Au), magnesium (Mg), and iron (Fe) with and without disorder introduced into the atomic structure and with and without mechanical loading. Included with the atomistic structure files are descriptor files that measure the stress state, phase fractions, and dislocation content of the microstructures. All data was generated via molecular dynamics or molecular statics simulations using the Large-scale Atomic/Molecular Massively Parallel Simulator (LAMMPS) code. This dataset can inform the understanding of how local or global changes to a materials microstructure can alter their spectroscopic and diffraction behavior across a variety of initial structure types (cubic diamond, face-centered cubic (FCC), hexagonal close-packed (HCP), and body-centered cubic (BCC) for Si, Au, Mg, and Fe, respectively) and overlapping changes to the microstructure (i.e., both disorder insertion and mechanical loading).

96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗

DOE OSTI2026

Assessment of Vibration and Shock Loading Environments on Steels Used in Railroad Applications Considering Hydrogen Embrittlement

Studies that examine the combined effects of hydrogen and rail loading environments in the context of hydrogen embrittlement of steels have not been performed. Large-scale hydrogen storage requires either gaseous hydrogen stored in pressure vessels and tubing or liquid hydrogen in cryogenic, insulated tanks. Since the focus of this study is on steels, we examine the influence of hydrogen on stainless steel used for high pressure tubing and cryogenic tanks and Cr-Mo steel liners used in gaseous pressure vessels. Literature studies show that despite hydrogen degradation, these steels can be used effectively and safely if the stresses are managed. The shock and vibration environment on railcars present unique environments where stresses and loading rates can be high. A literature review was conducted to understand the accelerations experienced in rail by examining instrumented railcars of nuclear fuel casks. Hydrogen studies were examined that focused on steel pressure hardware with an emphasis on fatigue, fast loading rates, and low temperatures. A simplified fatigue assessment was performed to examine design cycles for three different hydrogen components: stainless steel tubing, stainless steel cryogenic tanks, and gaseous pressure vessels. The assessments were idealized and used bounding cases of accelerations in both normal rail conditions and coupling events. In normal shock and vibration environments when accelerations were less than 2 g, infinite design life was calculated. In extreme shock or coupling environments, finite design life was calculated which was shown to be dependent on unsupported lengths of pressure components. It was shown that adjusting the unsupported length can reduce the bending stress thereby increasing design life.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Development of Surveillance Test Articles for Materials Degradation Management in MSR Environments

Materials in molten salt reactors (MSR) undergo accelerated degradation from corrosion, irradiation, and cyclic loads at elevated temperatures. Establishing a materials surveillance program to enable the assessment of material deterioration is critical to assure structural integrity of MSRs components. This presentation summarizes recent efforts towards the development of surveillance test articles for collecting various damages for monitoring materials degradation. Surveillance test articles with reduced dimensions were designed to capture creep-fatigue damage from cyclic loading at elevated temperatures. The strain evolution of test articles during thermal cycling was analyzed both numerically and experimentally. Out-of-reactor thermal cycling demonstrated successful capture of strain range for materials assessment. Moreover, test articles were subject to both mechanical loads and molten salt exposure, and the damage due to stress and corrosion was investigated. Additionally, damage inference models were developed to predict the remaining life of materials based on the accumulated damage in surveillance test articles.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Bridging the Gap on Data and Analysis for Distribution System Planning: Information That Utilities Can Provide Regulators, State Energy Offices and Other Stakeholders

Electric utilities conduct planning annually to ensure their distribution system meets technical standards, policies, and regulations; addresses forecasted grid conditions; satisfies customer needs; and advances utility priorities. The plan identifies grid deficiencies, analyzes potential solutions, and prioritizes capital investments and other expenditures. About 20 U.S. states and jurisdictions require regulated utilities to file some type of distribution system plan with the public utility commission for review. Requirements for sharing distribution system data and analyses vary widely, from few specific requirements to a detailed list of information that must be provided. While utilities conduct extensive analysis to develop distribution system plans, in most jurisdictions regulators and stakeholders do not know what data are available and how the utility uses the data in planning and investing. This report aims to bridge the gap by increasing understanding of the types of data and analyses utilities employ to develop distribution system plans and how the information affects their decision-making. The report describes information that states and stakeholders can ask for related to 11 data categories: -Forecasting loads and distributed energy resources (DERs) -Scenario analysis -Worst-performing circuits -Asset management strategy -Hosting capacity analysis -Value of DERs -Grid needs assessment -Cost-effectiveness framework for investments -Distribution system investment strategy and implementation -Geotargeted programs -Non-wires alternatives procurements.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2026

Power-Hardware-in-the-Loop Experiments of a Microgrid with a Grid-Forming Battery Inverter

Microgrids continue to proliferate, and they are transitioning away from using conventional generating resources to increasingly relying on inverter-based resources (IBRs) as the voltage and frequency leaders. It is crucial to evaluate the capability of IBRs to provide microgrid stability and resilience. Hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) experiments were conducted to de-risk the field deployment of the San Diego Gas & Electric Company Borrego Springs Microgrid, where a battery inverter was upgraded with grid-forming (GFM) capability to serve as the island leader. This paper presents the HIL experimental results from an HIL test bed that uses a power-hardware-in-the-loop (PHIL) interface with a power inductor that was previously developed for PHIL simulations of microgrids where the inverters need to switch modes, i.e., between grid-following and GFM as the microgrid transitions between grid-connected and islanded operation. This paper presents more details on the interface and HIL simulation results of the planned islanding and load steps in islanded operation to show the effectiveness of the inverters in managing the voltage and frequency.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2025

Power-Hardware-in-the-Loop Experiments of a Microgrid With a Grid-Forming Battery Inverter: Preprint

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗