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DOE OSTI2017

Modification of MELCOR for severe accident analysis of candidate accident tolerant cladding materials

A number of materials are currently under development as candidate accident tolerant fuel and cladding for application in the current fleet of commercial light water reactors (LWRs). The safe, reliable and economic operation of the nation’s nuclear power reactor fleet has always been a top priority for the nuclear industry. Continual improvement of technology, including advanced materials and nuclear fuels, remains central to the industry’s success. Enhancing the accident tolerance of light water reactors became a topic of serious discussion following the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake, resulting tsunami, and subsequent damage to the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant complex. The overall goal for the development of accident tolerant fuel (ATF) systems for LWRs is to identify alternative fuel system technologies to further enhance the safety, competitiveness, and economics of commercial nuclear power. Designed for use in the current fleet of commercial LWRs, or in reactor concepts with design certifications (GEN-III+), to achieve their goal enhanced ATF must endure loss of active cooling in the reactor core for a considerably longer period of time than the current fuel system, while maintaining or improving performance during normal operation. Many available nuclear fuel performance analysis tools are specifically developed for the current UO 2 – Zirconium alloy fuel system. The MELCOR severe-accident analysis code, under development at the Sandia National Laboratory in New Mexico (SNL-NM) for the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC), is one of these tools. This article describes modifications made to a version of the MELCOR code by the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) that allows its application to alternate fuel-cladding systems. Preliminary analysis results are presented in this paper for candidate silicon carbide and FeCrAl cladding concepts.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2012

Graphite Oxidation Simulation in HTR Accident Conditions (3 rd Year and Final Technical Report)

Massive air and water ingress, following a pipe break or leak in steam-generator tubes, is a design-basis accident for high-temperature reactors (HTRs). Analysis of these accidents in both prismatic and pebble bed HTRs requires state-of-the-art capability for predictions of: 1) oxidation kinetics, 2) air helium gas mixture stratification and diffusion into the core following the depressurization, 3) transport of multi-species gas mixture, and 4) graphite corrosion. This project will develop a multi-dimensional, comprehensive oxidation kinetics model of graphite in HTRs, with diverse capabilities for handling different flow regimes. The chemical kinetics/multi-species transport model for graphite burning and oxidation will account for temperature-related changes in the properties of graphite, oxidants (O 2 , H 2 O, CO), reaction products (CO, CO 2 , H 2 , CH 4 ) and other gases in the mixture (He and N2). The model will treat the oxidation and corrosion of graphite in geometries representative of HTR core component at temperatures of 900°C or higher. The developed chemical reaction kinetics model will be user-friendly for coupling to full core analysis codes such as MELCOR and RELAP, as well as computational fluid dynamics (CFD) codes such as CD-adapco. The research team will solve governing equations for the multi-dimensional flow and the chemical reactions and kinetics using Simulink, an extension of the MATLAB solver, and will validate and benchmark the model's predictions using reported experimental data. Researchers will develop an interface to couple the validated model to a commercially available CFD fluid flow and thermal-hydraulic model of the reactor , and will perform a simulation of a pipe break in a prismatic core HTR, with the potential for future application to a pebble-bed type HTR.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2018

Validation of Sodium Chemistry (NAC) Package - FY18 Progress.

This report describes the progress on the validation of the development of MELCOR Sodium Chemistry (NAC) package. The primary focus for this report is to ensure that the implementation of the CONTAIN-LMR sodium models into MELCOR is correctly done. Thus, the verification test is to conduct the code-to-code comparison with MELCOR and CONTAIN-LMR. Last year we had reported the development of NAC package which included three sodium models: spray fire, pool fire and atmospheric chemistry. The first 2 models were completed and additional improvement for these two models were done this year to allow upward spray capability and various functional capability for modeling the pool fire experiment better, respectively. This year, the atmospheric chemistry implementation has been progressed to a point for testing in the presence of water vapor (modeled as ideal gas) as a part of the two-condensable option model in the CONTAIN- LMR. The user's guide and reference manual for the NAC package including these improvements are described in a separate document being published as a part of the MELCOR 2.2 release. For this report, we would discuss the experimental validation using the implemented spray fire and pool fire models. A code-to-code comparison with CONTAIN-LMR is described for a spray fire experiment. Note that the atmospheric chemistry model has not fully implemented due to the absence of the two condensable option. Only the chemical reactions between the sodium aerosol and water vapor can be modeled. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This work was overseen and managed by Matthew R. Denman (Sandia National Laboratories). In addition, we appreciate that Chris Faucett for developing experimental data and provided the initial input decks as a part of the MELCOR assessment report development for U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission's project. This work is supported by the Office of Nuclear Energy of the U.S. Department of Energy work package number AT-17SN170204 and NT-185N05030102.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2016

The MELCOR Analysis of Chinshan Nuclear Power Plant Spent Fuel Pool for Fukushima-like Accident

The safety analysis of the nuclear power plant (NPP) is very important work in the NPP safety. Especially after the Fukushima NPP accident occurred, the importance of NPP safety analysis has been raised and there is more concern for the safety of NPPs in Taiwan. Because the earthquake and tsunami occurred, the cooling system of spent fuel pool failed and the safety issue of spent fuel pool generated in Japan's Fukushima NPP. Chinshan NPP is the first NPP in Taiwan which is BWR/4 plant and OLTP (Original Licensed Thermal Power) for each unit is 1775 MWt. Chinshan NPP finished SPU (stretch power uprate) and the operating power is 103.66% of the OLTP, which is 1840 MWt now. After Fukushima NPP accident occurred, in order to concern the safety of Chinshan NPP spent fuel pool, we performed the safety analysis of spent fuel pool by using MELCOR/SNAP which also assumed the cooling system of spent fuel pool failed. The geometry of Chinshan NPP spent fuel pool is 12.17 m x 7.87 m x 11.61 m and the initial condition is 60 deg. (water temperature) / 1.013 x 10{sup 5} Pa. And, the total power of the fuels is roughly 8.9 MWt initially. MELCOR is developed by Sandia National Laboratories. MELCOR is a fully integrated, engineering-level computer code that models the progression of severe accidents in light water reactor NPPs, including containment response and leakage of activity to the environment. A broad spectrum of severe accident phenomena in both BWRs and PWRs is treated in MELCOR in a unified framework. These include thermalhydraulic response in the reactor coolant system, reactor cavity, containment, and confinement buildings; core heatup, degradation, and relocation; core-concrete attack; hydrogen production, transport, and combustion; fission product release and transport behavior. Current uses of MELCOR include estimation of severe accident source terms and their sensitivities and uncertainties in a variety of applications. According to Dr. Carbajo's paper, MELCOR was used to perform the study of spent fuel pool of Fukushima Daiichi Unit 4. Niina E. Koenoenen used MELCOR to establish the spent fuel pool model of a Nordic BWR. The loss-of-pool-cooling accidents was simulated and analyzed by this model. The above studies indicate that MELCOR is capable of handling the simulation of the spent fuel pool. An increasing number of researchers are using MELCOR code to analyze test facilities and nuclear power plants. Jun Wang et al. used MELCOR to perform core degradation simulation and MELCOR results were compared with CORA experimental data. Through this work, they reviewed the performance of MELCOR COR package in detail. Tae Woon Kim et al. developed MELCOR model of APR1400 (an advanced pressurized water reactor). They used this model to perform the LBLOCA transient simulation and sensitivity study. Longze Li et al. established the MELCOR model of CPR1000 (a Chinese pressurized reactor 1000-MW power plant). The station blackout (SBO) with failure of the steam generator (SG) safety relief valve (SRV) transient was simulated and analyzed by this model. SNAP is a graphic user interface program that processes the inputs and outputs of MELCOR. In addition, there is an animation function in SNAP which can present the animation of analysis results. There are two main steps in this research. The first step was the establishment of Chinshan NPP spent fuel pool MELCOR/SNAP model. And the transient analysis of Chinshan NPP spent fuel pool MELCOR/SNAP model under the cooling system failure condition was performed. The next step was the comparison among the MELCOR, TRACE and CFD data. TRACE and CFD data were from INER reports. In addition, the animation model of Chinshan NPP spent fuel pool was presented by using the animation function of SNAP with MELCOR/SNAP analysis results. This study has developed MELCOR/SNAP model of Chinshan NPP spent fuel pool successfully. By using the above model, the safety analysis of the spent fuel pool was performed under the cooling system of spent fuel pool failed condition. The analysis results of MELCOR, TRACE and CFD were similar in this case. It indicated that there was a respectable accuracy in MELCOR/SNAP model. The analysis results depicted that the uncovered of the fuels occurred at 2.6 day and the metal-water reaction of fuels occurred roughly at 3.7 day after the cooling system failed. The above results indicated that the failure of cladding occurred after 3.7 day. This study's results can help to evaluate the safety issue of Chinshan NPP spent fuel pool. In addition, the cooling system and some mitigation measures of spent fuel pool is not simulated in the above model. However, we will do it in the future. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2022

SCALE Modeling of the Fast Spectrum Heat Pipe Reactor

As part of the severe accident analysis collaboration with Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) and the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC), SCALE models were developed for a fast-spectrum heat pipe reactor. These models were based on the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) Design A concept, which is an alternative design to the Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) Special Purpose Reactor (SPR), also known as the Megapower reactor. The model contains 1,134 heat pipes, surrounded by hexagonal fuel elements, with a potassium working fluid; the fuel is UO 2 with 19.75 wt% 235 U enrichment. The model contains axial beryllium oxide (BeO) reflectors above and below the active fuel region along with a radial alumina reflector containing 12 B 4 C control drums. The center of the core is left unfueled to make room for two shutdown control rods, one annular and one solid. The active region of the core was discretized into twenty axial and five radial zones to analyze spatial variations in power and burnup. Infinite lattice unit cell sensitivity studies were used to perform verification between the SCALE and INL models. The eigenvalue results agreed well with the reported results to within roughly 50 percent mille (pcm). Full-core model verification was performed by analyzing system eigenvalues with differing configurations of control drum and shutdown rod positions. These full core results all had eigenvalue differences less than 310 pcm. Control drum and shutdown rod worths were also compared, with differences of 3.2% or less. Using the verified model, the isotopic inventory and decay heat, as well as temperature feedback coefficients, were calculated and provided to SNL as input to the MELCOR severe accident code to analyze potential releases from this class of reactor. The results of the MELCOR analysis are provided in a different report.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2020

MELCOR 2.2 Benchmarks of Peach Bottom NUREG/CR 7155 Uncertainty Analysis

The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) performed a first-of-a-kind uncertainty analysis (UA) of the accident progression, radiological releases, and offsite consequences for the State-of- the-Art Reactor Consequence Analyses (SOARCA) of an unmitigated long-term station blackout (LTSBO) severe accident scenario at the Peach Bottom Atomic Power Station. The objective of the UA was to evaluate the robustness of the SOARCA deterministic "best estimate results and conclusions documented in NUREG-1935, and to develop insight into the overall sensitivity of the SOARCA results to uncertainty in key modeling inputs. The study was completed in 2015 and documented in NUREG/CR-7155. Since 2015, two other SOARCA UAs were completed for two pressurized water reactor (PWR) plants. The PWR UAs incrementally updated the approach and methodology, including using the latest release of the MELCOR 2.2 computer code. There were also advances made in the state-of-the-art modeling related to NRC efforts using the Peach Bottom model in NUREG-2206, which provided the technical basis for the containment protection and release reduction rulemaking for boiling water reactors with Mark I and Mark II containments. This report documents the input model changes from the NUREG/CR-7155 study and performs a small number of reference calculations to assess the changes of the new computer code and the model input updates. The objective of the work is to verify whether the updated Peach Bottom MELCOR model and updated version of MELCOR support the conclusions formed in the Peach Bottom SOARCA UA by performing these representative calculations.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2024

SCALE 6.3 Modeling Strategies for Reactivity, Nuclide Inventory, and Decay Heat of Non-LWRs

To assess modeling and simulation capabilities for thermal hydraulics, accident progression, source term, and consequence analysis for non–light-water reactor (LWR) technologies, the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) initiated a collaborative project between Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) and Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) in FY20, which is detailed in “Volume 3: Computer Code Development Plans for Severe Accident Progression, Source Term, and Consequence Analysis.” This project demonstrated the capabilities of the MELCOR and SCALE codes to calculate accident scenarios during operation of relevant non-LWRs. The following five non-LWR concepts were selected for capability demonstration based on recently renewed industry interest in the United States to develop and deploy such reactor technologies: pebble-bed high temperature gas-cooled reactors (HTGRs), pebble-bed fluoride salt-cooled reactors (FHRs), molten salt–fueled reactors (MSRs), heat pipe reactors (HPRs), and sodium-cooled fast reactors (SFRs).

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2016

MELCOR/CONTAIN LMR Implementation Report-Progress FY15

This report describes the progress of the CONTAIN-LMR sodium physics and chemistry models to be implemented in to MELCOR 2.1. It also describes the progress to implement these models into CONT AIN 2 as well. In the past two years, the implementation included the addition of sodium equations of state and sodium properties from two different sources. The first source is based on the previous work done by Idaho National Laborat ory by modifying MELCOR to include liquid lithium equation of state as a working fluid to mode l the nuclear fusion safety research. The second source uses properties generated for the SIMMER code. Testing and results from this implementation of sodium pr operties are given. In addition, the CONTAIN-LMR code was derived from an early version of C ONTAIN code. Many physical models that were developed sin ce this early version of CONTAIN are not captured by this early code version. Therefore, CONTAIN 2 is being updated with the sodium models in CONTAIN-LMR in or der to facilitate verification of these models with the MELCOR code. Although CONTAIN 2, which represents the latest development of CONTAIN, now contains ma ny of the sodium specific models, this work is not complete due to challenges from the lower cell architecture in CONTAIN 2, which is different from CONTAIN- LMR. This implementation should be completed in the coming year, while sodi um models from C ONTAIN-LMR are being integrated into MELCOR. For testing, CONTAIN decks have been developed for verification and validation use. In terms of implementing the sodium m odels into MELCOR, a separate sodium model branch was created for this document . Because of massive development in the main stream MELCOR 2.1 code and the require ment to merge the latest code version into this branch, the integration of the s odium models were re-directed to implement the sodium chemistry models first. This change led to delays of the actual implementation. For aid in the future implementation of sodium models, a new sodium chemistry package was created. Thus reporting for the implementation of the sodium chemistry is discussed in this report.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2017

Containment Sodium Chemistry Models in MELCOR.

To meet regulatory needs for sodium fast reactors’ future development, including licensing requirements, Sandia National Laboratories is modernizing MELCOR, a severe accident analysis computer code developed for the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC). Specifically, Sandia is modernizing MELCOR to include the capability to model sodium reactors. However, Sandia’s modernization effort primarily focuses on the containment response aspects of the sodium reactor accidents. Sandia began modernizing MELCOR in 2013 to allow a sodium coolant, rather than water, for conventional light water reactors. In the past three years, Sandia has been implementing the sodium chemistry containment models in CONTAIN-LMR, a legacy NRC code, into MELCOR. These chemistry models include spray fire, pool fire and atmosphere chemistry models. Only the first two chemistry models have been implemented though it is intended to implement all these models into MELCOR. A new package called “NAC” has been created to manage the sodium chemistry model more efficiently. In 2017 Sandia began validating the implemented models in MELCOR by simulating available experiments. The CONTAIN-LMR sodium models include sodium atmosphere chemistry and sodium-concrete interaction models. This paper presents sodium property models, the implemented models, implementation issues, and a path towards validation against existing experimental data.

Louie, David↗

DOE OSTI2021

Aerosol Deposition Inside a Spent Fuel Transportation and Storage Canister (Interim Report)

This report documents the progress in preparing the ANSYS/Fluent ® and MELCOR models to perform characterization studies of aerosols dispersal and deposition within a select spent fuel cask system. Steady state thermal-hydraulic cask response is modeled with both codes, at present, while the MELCOR source code is being modified to allow imposed thermal-hydraulic conditions with aerosol physics calculations. This will allow the MELCOR model to assume the thermal-hydraulic calculation from the ANSYS/Fluent ® , while only computing the aerosol physics. Detailed results are presented on the thermal-hydraulic analysis of the MAGNASTOR ® cask for the current ANSYS/Fluent ® model, with convergent conditions observed over two fidelities. While the MELCOR computation computes the steady state conditions, they differ sufficiently from that computed with ANSYS/Fluent ® . The MELCOR analysis include a set of UO 2 sources to investigate system response for interim reporting. The airborne concentrations and evolving distributions are presented. Model development is anticipated to continue as additional components impacting flow conditions or aerosol deposition within the MAGNASTOR ® cask and Westinghouse fuel assemblies are identified.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2013

Enhanced Ex-Vessel Analysis for Fukushima Daiichi Unit 1: Melt Spreading and Core-Concrete Interaction Analyses with MELTSPREAD & CORQUENCH

System-level code analyses by both United States and international researchers predict major core melting, bottom head failure, and corium-concrete interaction for Fukushima Daiichi Unit 1. Although system codes such as MELCOR and MAAP are capable of capturing a wide range of accident phenomena, they do not contain detailed models for evaluating ex-vessel core melt behavior. However, specialized codes containing more detailed modeling are available for melt spreading—such as MELTSPREAD—as well as long-term molten corium-concrete interaction (MCCI) and debris coolability—such as CORQUENCH. On this basis, the Office of Nuclear Energy within the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE-NE) funded an analysis to further evaluate the ex-vessel core debris location and extent of interaction for Unit 1 using modern modeling and simulation tools. The high-level objective was to utilize MELTSPREAD and CORQUENCH to provide rigorous “best estimate” predictions and analysis of ex-vessel core melt accident progression and final debris configuration. Argonne National Laboratory (ANL) performed the MELTSPREAD calculations, while Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) performed the CORQUENCH calculations.

Corium↗

DOE OSTI2022

Study of alkaline carbonate cooling to mitigate Ex-Vessel molten corium accidents

To mitigate adverse effects from molten corium following a reactor pressure vessel failure (RPVF), some new reactor designs employ a core catcher and a sacrificial material (SM), such as ceramic or concrete, to stabilize the molten corium and avoid containment breach. Existing reactors cannot easily be modified to include these SMs but could be modified to allow injectable cooling materials. Current reactor designs are limited to using water to stabilize the corium, but this can create other issues such as reaction of water with the concrete forming hydrogen gas. Here the novel SM proposed is a granular carbonate mineral that can be used in existing light water reactor plants. The granular carbonate will decompose when exposed to heat, inducing an endothermic reaction to quickly solidify the corium in place and producing a mineral oxide and carbon dioxide. Corium spreading is a complex process strongly influenced by coupled chemical reactions, including decay heat from the corium, phase change, and reactions between the concrete containment and available water. A recently completed Sandia National Laboratories laboratory directed research and development (LDRD) project focused on two research areas: experiments to demonstrate the feasibility of the novel SM concept, and modeling activities to determine the potential applications of the concept to actual nuclear plants. Small-scale experiments using lead oxide (PbO) as a surrogate for molten corium demonstrate that the reaction of the SM with molten PbO results in a fast solidification of the melt due to the endothermic carbonate decomposition reaction and the formation of open pore structures in the solidified PbO from CO 2 released during the decomposition. A simplified carbonate decomposition model was developed to predict thermal decomposition of carbonate mineral in contact with corium. This model was incorporated into MELCOR, a severe accident nuclear reactor code. A full-plant MELCOR simulation suggests that by the introduction of SM to the reactor cavity prior to RPVF ex-vessel accident progression, e.g., core-concrete interaction and core spreading on the containment floor, could be delayed by at least 15 h; this may be enough for additional accident management to be implemented to alleviate the situation.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2011

Aerosol Resuspension Model for MELCOR for Fusion and Very High Temperature Reactor Applications

Dust is generated in fusion reactors from plasma erosion of plasma facing components within the reactor’s vacuum vessel (VV) during reactor operation. This dust collects in cooler regions on interior surfaces of the VV. Because this dust can be radioactive, toxic, and/or chemically reactive, it poses a safety concern, especially if mobilized by the process of resuspension during an accident and then transported as an aerosol though out the reactor confinement building, and possibly released to the environment. A computer code used at the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) to model aerosol transport for safety consequence analysis is the MELCOR code. A primary reason for selecting MELCOR for this application is its aerosol transport capabilities. The INL Fusion Safety Program (FSP) organization has made fusion specific modifications to MELCOR. Recent modifications include the implementation of aerosol resuspension models in MELCOR 1.8.5 for Fusion. This paper presents the resuspension models adopted and the initial benchmarking of these models.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2015

Methodology for accident analyses of fusion breeder blankets

'Fusion for Energy' (F4E) develops designs and implements the European Test Blanket Systems (TBS) in ITER - Helium-Cooled Lithium-Lead (HCLL) and Helium-Cooled Pebble-Bed (HCPB). Safety demonstration is an essential element for the integration of TBS in ITER and accident analyses are one of its critical segments. A systematic approach to the accident analyses had been acquired under the F4E contract on TBS safety analyses. F4E technical requirements and AMEC and INL efforts resulted in the development of a comprehensive methodology for fusion breeding blanket accident analyses. It addresses the specificity of the breeding blankets design, materials and phenomena and at the same time is consistent with the one already applied to ITER accident analyses. Methodology consists of several phases. At first the reference scenarios are selected on the base of FMEA studies. In the second place elaboration of the accident analyses specifications we use phenomena identification and ranking tables to identify the requirements to be met by the code(s) and TBS models. Thus the limitations of the codes are identified and possible solutions to be built into the models are proposed. These include among others the loose coupling of different codes or code versions in order to simulate multi-fluid flows and phenomena. The code selection and issue of the accident analyses specifications conclude this second step. Furthermore the breeding blanket and ancillary systems models are built on. In this work challenges met and solutions used in the development of both MELCOR and RELAP5 codes models of HCLL and HCPB TBSs will be shared. To continue the developed models are qualified by comparison with finite elements analyses, by code to code comparison and sensitivity studies. Finally, the qualified models are used for the execution of the accident analyses of specific scenario. When possible the methodology phases will be illustrated in the paper by limited number of tables and figures. Description of each phase and its results in detail as well the methodology applications to EU HCLL and HCPB TBSs will be published in separate papers. The developed methodology is applicable to accident analyses of other TBSs to be tested in ITER and as well to DEMO breeding blankets.

Fusion Safety↗

DOE OSTI2015

Liftoff Model for MELCOR.

Aerosol particles that deposit on surfaces may be subsequently resuspended by air flowing over the surface. A review of models for this liftoff process is presented and compared to available data. Based on this review, a model that agrees with existing data and is readily computed is presented for incorporation into a system level code such as MELCOR.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2016

Advanced Computational Accident Scenario Modeling for Safety Margin Economic Analysis

The intent of this research is to establish a new tool in the Risk Informed Safety Margin Characterization (RISMC) tool-kit for the fiscal analysis of potential power plant upgrades. This is being done by providing proof-of-concept of the Safety Margin Economic Evaluation (SMEE) methodology of performing cost-benefit analyses of potential Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) upgrades to allow for more data-driven decision making with regards to nuclear safety. To this end, the RAVEN code developed by the Idaho National Laboratory is being used to perform a cost-benefit analysis of several potential power plant safety upgrades to compare the material cost of the upgrades with the probabilistic benefit of avoiding accident scenario consequences to find the most cost effective safety upgrades. Additionally, the MELCOR and MACCS2 codes developed by the Sandia National Laboratory are being used for accident scenario modeling. Evaluating potential NPP upgrades is concluded by doing a detailed cost-benefit analysis of the upgrades. The cost of the upgrade is the direct material cost of implementing, maintaining, and operating the upgrade at an NPP for the projected duration of its lifetime. The benefit of the upgrade is more complex, and is essentially the Risk avoided, where Risk is defined as Consequences multiplied by Probability. Here, Consequences is the economic impact of a severe accident and/or nuclear release and Probability is the likelihood that an NPP upgrade will prevent or mitigate a severe accident, reducing or even eliminating its Consequences. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Performing a multi-unit level-3 PSA with MACCS

MACCS (MELCOR Accident Consequence Code System), WinMACCS, and MelMACCS now facilitate a multi-unit consequence analysis. MACCS evaluates the consequences of an atmospheric release of radioactive gases and aerosols into the atmosphere and is most commonly used to perform probabilistic safety assessments (PSAs) and related consequence analyses for nuclear power plants (NPPs). WinMACCS is a user-friendly preprocessor for MACCS. MelMACCS extracts source-term information from a MELCOR plot file. The current development can combine an arbitrary number of source terms, representing simultaneous releases from a multi-unit facility, into a single consequence analysis. The development supports different release signatures, fission product inventories, and accident initiation times for each unit. The treatment is completely general except that the model is currently limited to collocated units. A major practical consideration for performing a multi-unit PSA is that a comprehensive treatment for more than two units may involve an intractable number of combinations of source terms. This paper proposes and evaluates an approach for reducing the number of calculations to be tractable, even for sites with eight or ten units. The approximation error introduced by the approach is acceptable and is considerably less than other errors and uncertainties inherent in a Level 3 PSA.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2020

An Overview of the State-of-the-Art Reactor Consequence Uncertainty Assessment Accident Progression Insights

The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) with Sandia National Laboratories (Sandia) have completed three uncertainty analyses (UAs) as part of the State-of-the-Art Reactor Consequence Analyses (SOARCA) program. The SOARCA UAs included an integrated evaluation of uncertainty in accident progression, radiological release, and offsite health consequence projections. The UA for Peach Bottom, a boiling-water reactor (BWR) with a Mark I containment located in the State of Pennsylvania, analyzed the unmitigated long-term station blackout SOARCA scenario. The UA for Sequoyah, a 4-loop Westinghouse pressurized-water reactor (PWR) located in the State of Tennessee, analyzed the unmitigated short-term station blackout SOARCA scenario, with a focus on issues unique to the ice condenser containment and the potential for early containment failure due to hydrogen deflagration. The UA for Surry, a 3-loop Westinghouse PWR with a sub-atmospheric large dry containment located in the State of Virginia, analyzed the unmitigated short-term station blackout SOARCA scenario including the potential for thermally-induced steam-generator tube rupture. These three UAs are currently documented in three NUREG/CR reports. This report provides input to planned NRC documentation on the insights and findings from the SOARCA UA program. The purpose of the summary report is to provide a useful reference for regulatory applications that require the evaluation of offsite consequence risk from beyond design basis event severe accidents. This report focuses on the accident progression and source term insights developed from the MELCOR analyses. MELCOR is the NRC's best-estimate, severe accident computer code used in the SOARCA UAs. In anticipation of the SOARCA UA insights work, NRC and Sandia benchmarked the response of the Peach Bottom model to selected reference calculations from the Peach Bottom SOARCA UA. Peach Bottom was the first SOARCA UA performed and was completed in 2015 using the MELCOR 1.8.6 code. The PWR SOARCA UAs evolved the original methodology and utilized the updated MELCOR 2.2 computer code. The Peach Bottom model has been systematically updated for other NRC research efforts and has been updated to MELCOR 2.2. computer code. The findings from the new reference calculations using the updated model with the MELCOR 2.2 code are also integrated into the report. A second objective is an assessment of the applicability of the results to the other nuclear reactors in the U.S. As the key findings are reviewed, judgments are presented on the applicability of the results to other U.S. nuclear power plants. An important objective of the SOARCA program relied on high- fidelity plant-specific modeling. However, the nature of the insights and conclusions allowed judgements to be made on the applicability of the various insights to the same general classification of plant (i.e., BWR or PWR) or the entire fleet of plants. Finally, the results from the SOARCA UA accident progression calculations contain a wealth of information not previously documented in the NUREG/CRs. This report includes new but related information that can be used to benchmark past or support future regulatory decisions related to severe accidents. The new work includes a benchmark of the NUREG-1465 licensing source term definitions, the variability of key accident progression events and timing to radionuclide release, and an improved understanding of the timing and source terms from consequential steam generator tube ruptures. iii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The Sandia authors gratefully acknowledge the significant technical and programmatic contributions from the NRC SOARCA team which are reflected throughout the report. Dr. Tina Ghosh has been involved throughout the SOARCA UAs, providing the primary managerial and technical oversight. The long lists of NRC and Sandia contributors from the SOARCA UAs are cited in the three NUREG/CRs and are also gratefully acknowledged by the small team of authors compiling the results of their efforts. Significant technical contributions, advice, and reviews were provided by Dr. Hossein Esmaili, Dr. Alfred Hathaway, and Dr. Edward Fuller (retired) of the NRC. Dr. Randal Gauntt (retired), Mr. Patrick Mattie, Mr. Joseph Jones (retired), and Dr. Doug Osborn from Sandia are recognized as the SOARCA UA managers guiding the past efforts. There is a comparable list of project managers at the NRC including Ms. Patricia Santiago, Dr. Salman Haq, and Mr. Jon Barr. Sadly, we have lost Mr. Charlie Tinkler and Mr. Robert Prato, who were important contributors to the original SOARCA project. Finally, Mr. Kyle Ross and Mr. Mark Leonard have also retired but were significant technical contributors. Mr. Kyle Ross was the technical lead on all three SOARCA UAs and the original pressurized water reactor SOARCA study. Mr. Leonard was the technical lead on the original boiling water reactor SOARCA study and a key contributor to the first Peach Bottom SOARCA UA. iv

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗