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At least 145 records · Page 8

Failure Analysis–Informed Risk Assessment Framework for Geological Carbon Storage Using Numerical Simulation and Machine Learning

Geological carbon storage (GCS) is recognized as a critical technology for achieving large-scale reductions in anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions. Ensuring long-term containment and safety requires robust risk assessment frameworks that account for geological uncertainty and identify potential failure scenarios. Among various indicators, the area of review (AoR) serves as a key metric for evaluating storage performance, regulatory compliance, and monitoring design, as it delineates the spatial extent impacted by pressure buildup and plume migration. However, conventional AoR-based risk assessments typically perturb parameters within narrow uncertainty bounds, potentially overlooking rare but high-impact events arising from extreme geological conditions. In this study, we present a failure analysis–informed risk assessment framework for large-scale GCS projects to improve site prescreening and monitoring design. A suite of 300 numerical simulations was generated using stochastic geological models that vary five key parameters: net-to-gross ratio, anisotropy azimuth, porosity multiplier, permeability multiplier, and vertical-to-horizontal permeability ratio. Among these, 200 realizations represent normal geological uncertainty, while 100 additional cases explore extreme yet plausible conditions for failure-case analysis. The AoR was simulated and computed from pressure and CO 2 saturation fields, where the baseline AoR boundary, representing the extent predicted under typical geological uncertainty, was defined as the union of 200 normal-range simulations, and failure was identified when extreme-range cases exceeded this baseline. Results show that incorporating broader parameter uncertainty produces significantly larger AoR extents, underscoring the potential underestimation of risk under conventional uncertainty ranges. Furthermore, spatial probability maps derived from failure-induced AoR exceedance identify regions requiring enhanced monitoring attention. Various machine learning (ML)–based classifiers were developed to predict failure occurrence from geological parameters, with the random forest model achieving the highest performance (F1-score of 0.986). Consistent findings from correlation coefficient, feature importance, and Sobol sensitivity analyses reveal that low net-to-gross ratios and permeability multipliers are the dominant risk drivers, reflecting reduced reservoir connectivity and limited pressure dissipation. Altogether, these results provide a novel framework for risk-informed site prescreening and monitoring design that explicitly considers rare but high-impact geological scenarios in GCS projects.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Modeling of Macroscopic Dynamics in Three-Dimensional Plasma Configurations (Final Technical Report)

A numerical simulation-based study to investigate the stability properties of inherently three-dimensional plasma magnetic configurations is presented. These configurations, called stellarators and heliotrons, use external helical coils to provide the twisting magnetic field that is required to confine ionized plasma particles. In contrast to the tokamak configuration, which nominally has the property of axisymmetry, electrical current does not need to be induced in stellarator and heliotron plasma. Experiments have shown that these three-dimensional configurations are remarkably robust to macroscopic instability, even when driven to relatively high levels of plasma pressure. Our understanding of how the plasma is able to withstand macroscopic instability will be enhanced by the work proposed here. The effort will generalize existing numerical modeling capability, and it will apply the new capability to model macroscopic dynamics in these three-dimensional configurations. The development work has been applied to the NIMROD simulation code (https://nimrodteam.org) that was originally based on axisymmetric problem domains. It has been generalized to accommodate the three-dimensional shaping of the plasma volume in stellarators and heliotrons. Its use of equilibrium data has also been generalized, and the implementation allows different numerical representation of the magnetic field. Analysis has been performed to inform the selection of numerical methods, and a method to accelerate the iterative solution of the necessary algebraic systems has been developed and implemented. Verification of the new NIMSTELL code on benchmark problems has also been an important part of the effort.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Investigation of Numerical Methods for Performance Improvement of MOOSE-based System Analysis Codes

The main objective of this study is to investigate the feasibility of implementation of staggered-grid finite volume method (SG-FVM) using the MOOSE framework to support the development of the advanced system analysis code SAM. This study successfully demonstrated the integration of staggered-grid finite volume method in the application level using the MOOSE framework, although not in the framework level which should be investigated in the future. Several important properties of the implemented SG-FVM, e.g., high-order spatial accuracy and monotonicity preserving, have been demonstrated with selected numerical test cases. The superior performance in execution time was also evident based on a selected one- dimensional flow problem in a loop configuration.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Direct numerical simulations of turbulent premixed cool flames: Global and local flame dynamics analysis

The cool flame dynamics, especially in turbulent flows, is of great interest for both practical application and fundamental research. Here, in this study, a series of direct numerical simulations of turbulent premixed n-C 7 H 16 /O 2 /O 3 /N 2 cool flames are performed, with the focus on the influence of turbulence intensity (u'/S L , where S L is the laminar flame speed) on the flame structure as well as the global and local cool flame dynamics. It is found that the cool flame front is considerably wrinkled by turbulence at high u'/S L , leading to significantly thickened turbulent cool flame brush and largely altered local reactivity compared with the reference laminar flame. However, the turbulent flame structure in the temperature space is found to be insensitive to u'/S L . Besides, with increasing u'/S L , the normalized turbulent cool flame speed (S L /S L ) is monotonically increased, attributed to substantial augmentation on the flame surface area (A T /A L ), while the stretching factor (I 0 ) remains almost constant and is smaller than 1. The underlying mechanisms for such variations are revealed through local flame dynamics analysis. Specifically, the local flame displacement speed S d is found to be strongly negatively correlated with flame curvature; meanwhile, such negative correlation and the probability distribution function (PDF) of flame curvature are barely influenced by u'/S L , leading to a weak dependence of I 0 on u'/S L . In contrast, the PDF of the tangential strain rate is found to span a much wider range and shift to the positive side as u'/S L increases, suggesting that the enhanced tangential strain rate is the main cause for the increase in surface area of the turbulent premixed cool flame. Finally, the influence of equivalence ratio on above findings is found to be insignificant, indicating that although the local reactivity of turbulent premixed cool flames is altered due to the differential diffusion, the resultant flame- stretch interaction is insensitive to the equivalence ratio. This study presents some unique cool flame dynamics that are distinct from hot flames, which can help improve the understanding and modeling of turbulent cool flames.

Cool flames↗

Uniform secondary current distribution at disk electrodes under Tafel kinetics enabled by concentric current-shielding rings

Non-uniform secondary current distribution at rotating disk electrodes (RDE) is a common problem when using resistive electrolyte media or large applied currents. In a recent publication, we have shown that auxiliary electrodes such as the ring of a rotating ring disk electrode (RRDE) can help suppress current non-uniformities at the disk enabling reliable electroanalytical measurements. However, this previous work considered linear kinetics where current distribution non-uniformities were moderate. In the present contribution, we consider current distribution non-uniformities encountered under Tafel kinetics. We show, for the case of 2,5-dihydroxy-1,4-benzoquinone (DHBQ) reduction, that optimally chosen ring conditions serve to provide effective shielding at the disk edge rendering the overall disk current distribution to be uniform. Numerical modeling and scaling analysis (using the Wagner number) are presented to aid a user in determining the optimal ring current density for achieving uniform disk current distribution under Tafel kinetics. This approach is especially useful when studying soluble-soluble redox transitions for which, unlike deposit distribution in electrodeposition, the current distribution non-uniformity is not visually apparent.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Enabling fast-charging of lithium-ion batteries through printed electrodes

It has been well recognized that introducing secondary porous networks (SPNs) into the electrodes can effectively improve the electrochemical performance of lithium-ion batteries (LIBs), especially under fast-charging operations. However, the process complexity and high cost limit the commercial success of advanced electrodes with SPNs. To address this issue, we developed a facile screen-printing process to produce structured graphite electrodes with SPNs. The experimental results demonstrated that, by tuning the diameter and center-to-center (C2C) distance of emulsion dots on the stencil screen, the pore diameters and C2C pore distances of SPNs in screenprinted electrodes can be precisely controlled in the range of 100 mu m to 1 mm and 100 mu m to 3 mm respectively. In addition, the SPNs with hexagonal and square-shape pore alignments have also been imprinted onto the electrode coatings through adjusting the patterns of screen stencils. Used as anodes, the printed graphite electrodes demonstrated significantly reduced overpotential and voltage fluctuation under fast-charging operations from 2C to 6C. Coupled with LiNi 0.6 Mn 0.2 Co 0.2 O 2 (NMC622) cathodes, the full cells with printed graphite anodes exhibited an unprecedently stable performance with almost no capacity decay up to 170 cycles when charged to 80 % SOC at 2C. Observations from electron microscopy showed plated lithium undetectable at the surface of printed graphite electrodes after numerous cycles. The electrochemical analysis on the voltage evolution during the cell rest period indicated the significantly delayed onset of lithium plating in the presence of printed graphite electrodes. In conclusion, all these results suggest that the significantly improved cell performance is associated with the shortened Li-ion diffusion distance, reduced polarization and suppressed Li plating in the printed electrodes with patterned SPNs.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Enabling topography-resolving structural dynamic contact simulation

Damping of structures and systems is often dominated by frictional dissipation in connections, the prediction of which remains a longstanding scientific challenge. Previous studies have shown that the actual topography of contact interfaces may have a strong effect, especially in the partial slip/liftoff regime. We recently proposed a multi-scale method, which couples finite element and boundary element modeling. The primary benefit of this approach is that it permits to analyze the effect of the actual contact topography on the dynamics of jointed structures. While this multi-scale modeling method was initially developed for quasi-static analysis, we demonstrate herein how it can be used for time step integration and Harmonic Balance analysis. We cross-verify those fully dynamic analysis methods against each other and quasi-static results, for the S4 Beam benchmark. We compare the multi-scale method against state-of-the-art full-FE analysis, in terms of numerical damping and computational performance. Some discrepancy is found to be of physical origin. Depending on the load history, it is shown that the system settles to a slightly different equilibrium. Finally, transient multi-scale simulations enable the prediction of this interesting phenomenon, for the first time, for a structure with bolted joints.

Frictional-unilateral contact↗

Informed total-error-minimizing priors: Interpretable cosmological parameter constraints despite complex nuisance effects

While Bayesian inference techniques are standard in cosmological analyses, it is common to interpret resulting parameter constraints with a frequentist intuition. This intuition can fail, for example, when marginalizing high-dimensional parameter spaces onto subsets of parameters, because of what has come to be known as projection effects or prior volume effects. We present the method of informed total-error-minimizing (ITEM) priors to address this problem. An ITEM prior is a prior distribution on a set of nuisance parameters, such as those describing astrophysical or calibration systematics, intended to enforce the validity of a frequentist interpretation of the posterior constraints derived for a set of target parameters (e.g., cosmological parameters). Our method works as follows. For a set of plausible nuisance realizations, we generate target parameter posteriors using several different candidate priors for the nuisance parameters. We reject candidate priors that do not accomplish the minimum requirements of bias (of point estimates) and coverage (of confidence regions among a set of noisy realizations of the data) for the target parameters on one or more of the plausible nuisance realizations. Of the priors that survive this cut, we select the ITEM prior as the one that minimizes the total error of the marginalized posteriors of the target parameters. As a proof of concept, we applied our method to the density split statistics measured in Dark Energy Survey Year 1 data. We demonstrate that the ITEM priors substantially reduce prior volume effects that otherwise arise and that they allow for sharpened yet robust constraints on the parameters of interest.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Feasibility of an experiment on clumping induced by the Crow instability along a shocked cylinder

The growth of three-dimensional perturbations subject to the Crow instability along a vortex dipole resulting from the passage of a shock wave through a heavy gaseous cylinder is examined numerically. A linear stability analysis is performed based on geometric parameters extracted from two-dimensional simulations to determine the range of unstable wavenumbers, which is found to extend from 0.0 to 1.3 when normalized by the core separation distance. The analysis is then verified by comparison to three-dimensional simulations, which clearly show the development of the instability and the pinch-off of the vortex dipole into isolated vortex rings, which manifest as clumps of the original cylinder material. A scaling law is developed to determine the relevant spatiotemporal scales of the instability development, which is then used to assess the feasibility of a high-energy-density experiment visualizing clump formation. Specifically, a shocked cylinder with an initial diameter of 100 μm consisting of a perturbation of approximate wavelength and amplitude of 600 and 10 μm, respectively, is expected to form clumps resulting from the Crow instability approximately 40 ns after it is shocked, with dynamics which can be readily visualized on the Omega EP laser facility.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Terahertz conductivity of two-dimensional materials: a review

Two-dimensional (2D) van der Waals materials are shaping the landscape of next-generation devices, offering significant technological value thanks to their unique, tunable, and layer-dependent electronic and optoelectronic properties. Time-domain spectroscopic techniques at terahertz (THz) frequencies offer noninvasive, contact-free methods for characterizing the dynamics of carriers in 2D materials. They also pave the path toward the applications of 2D materials in detection, imaging, manufacturing, and communication within the increasingly important THz frequency range. In this paper, we overview the synthesis of 2D materials and the prominent THz spectroscopy techniques: THz time-domain spectroscopy, optical-pump THz-probe technique, and optical pump–probe THz spectroscopy. Through a confluence of experimental findings, numerical simulation, and theoretical analysis, we present the current understanding of the rich ultrafast physics of technologically significant 2D materials: graphene, transition metal dichalcogenides, MXenes, perovskites, topological 2D materials, and 2D heterostructures. Finally, we offer a perspective on the role of THz characterization in guiding future research and in the quest for ideal 2D materials for new applications.

2D materials↗

Emission line predictions for mock galaxy catalogues: a new differentiable and empirical mapping from DESI

ABSTRACT We present a simple, differentiable method for predicting emission line strengths from rest-frame optical continua using an empirically determined mapping. Extensive work has been done to develop mock galaxy catalogues that include robust predictions for galaxy photometry, but reliably predicting the strengths of emission lines has remained challenging. Our new mapping is a simple neural network implemented using the JAX Python automatic differentiation library. It is trained on Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument Early Release data to predict the equivalent widths (EWs) of the eight brightest optical emission lines (including H α, H β, [O ii], and [O iii]) from a galaxy’s rest-frame optical continuum. The predicted EW distributions are consistent with the observed ones when noise is accounted for, and we find Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient ρs > 0.87 between predictions and observations for most lines. Using a non-linear dimensionality reduction technique, we show that this is true for galaxies across the full range of observed spectral energy distributions. In addition, we find that adding measurement uncertainties to the predicted line strengths is essential for reproducing the distribution of observed line-ratios in the BPT diagram. Our trained network can easily be incorporated into a differentiable stellar population synthesis pipeline without hindering differentiability or scalability with GPUs. A synthetic catalogue generated with such a pipeline can be used to characterize and account for biases in the spectroscopic training sets used for training and calibration of photo-z’s, improving the modelling of systematic incompleteness for the Rubin Observatory LSST and other surveys.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Diabatic error and propagation of Majorana zero modes in interacting quantum dots systems

Motivated by recent experimental progress in realizing Majorana zero modes (MZMs) using quantum dot systems, we investigate the diabatic errors associated with the movement of those MZMs. The movement is achieved by tuning time-dependent gate potentials applied to individual quantum dots, effectively creating a moving potential wall. To probe the optimized movement of MZMs, we calculate the experimentally accessible time-dependent fidelity and local density-of-states using many-body time-dependent numerical methods. Furthermore, our analysis reveals that an optimal potential wall height is crucial to preserve the well-localized nature of the MZM during its movement. Moreover, we analyze diabatic errors in realistic quantum-dot systems, incorporating the effects of repulsive Coulomb interactions and disorder in both hopping and pairing terms. Additionally, we provide a comparative study of diabatic errors arising from the simultaneous versus sequential tuning of multiple gates during the MZMs movement. Finally, we estimate the timescale required for MZM transfer in a six-quantum-dot system, demonstrating that MZM movement is feasible and can be completed well within the qubit's operational lifetime in practical quantum-dot setups.

Density of states↗

Microwave Imaging of Edge Conductivity in Graphene at Charge Neutrality and Quantum Hall States

Here, we report local conductivity imaging of edge states in monolayer graphene by millikelvin microwave impedance microscopy. At the charge-neutrality point, as the magnetic field increases, the local conductivity at the edge drops to zero more slowly than in the bulk. This behavior is consistent with the calculated spatial profile of the charge gap in the canted antiferromagnetic phase. For comparison, we also perform microwave imaging of integer quantum Hall states away from neutrality, which host dissipationless chiral edge channels. The evolution of the edge signal as a function of the bulk gap is fundamentally different between the Landau level filling factor 𝜈 = 0 and |𝜈| ≥ 1 integer quantum Hall states, which can be qualitatively explained by numerical simulations and theoretical analysis. Our results provide a comprehensive microscopic picture of the edge and bulk states as the Fermi level moves across the unique Landau-level spectrum of graphene.

Hall effect↗

Flexibility Options: A Proposed Product for Managing Imbalance Risk

The presence of variable renewable energy resources with uncertain outputs in day-ahead electricity markets results in additional balancing needs in real-time. Addressing those needs cost-effectively and reliably within a competitive market with unbundled products is challenging as both the demand for and the availability of flexibility depends on day-ahead energy schedules. Existing approaches for reserve procurement usually rely either on oversimplified demand curves that do not consider how system conditions that particular day affect the value of flexibility, or on bilateral trading of hedging instruments that are not co-optimized with day-ahead schedules. This article proposes a new product, ‘Flexibility Options', to address these two limitations. The demand for this product is endogenously determined in the day-ahead market and it is met cost-effectively by considering real-time supply curves for product providers, which are co-optimized with the energy supply. As we illustrate with numerical examples and mathematical analysis, the product addresses the hedging needs of participants with imbalances cost-effectively, provides a less intermittent revenue stream for participants with flexible outputs, promotes value-driven pricing of flexibility, and ensures that the system operator is revenue-neutral. This article provides a comprehensive design that can be further tested and applied in large-scale systems.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

The cluster decomposition of the configurational energy of multicomponent alloys

Abstract The cluster expansion method (CEM) is a widely used lattice-based technique in the study of multicomponent alloys. Despite its prevalent use, a clear understanding of expansion terms is lacking. We present a modern mathematical formalism of the CEM and introduce thecluster decomposition—a unique and basis-independent decomposition for functions of the atomic configuration in a crystal. We identify the cluster decomposition as an invariant ANOVA decomposition; and demonstrate how functional analysis of variance and sensitivity analysis can be used to interpret interactions among species. Furthermore, we show how the mathematical structure of the cluster decomposition enables numerical evaluation that scales with the number of clusters and is independent of the number of species. Overall, our work enables rigorous interpretations of interactions among species, provides opportunities to explore parameter estimation beyond linear regression, introduces a numerical efficient implementation, and enables analysis of cluster expansions based on established mathematical and statistical principles.

Chemistry↗

Thermal Hydraulics Analysis of a Divertor Monoblock Using SALAMANDER

Divertors are critical components in magnetic confinement fusion devices. One of the Divertor's crictial roles is absorbing the highest heat flux from the plasma. The Divertor accomplishes this through the use of divertor monoblocks and cooling channels. This work presents a thermal hydraulic analysis of a divertor monoblock using the Software for Advanced Large-scale Analysis of MAgnetic confinement for Numerical Design, Engineering and Research (SALAMANDER). SALAMANDER is an open source tool developed at Idaho National Laboratory for conducting multiphysics and multscale analysis of Plasma Facing Components (PFCs). For the monoblock, solid heat conduction is modeled in the block with a constant heat flux of 1E7 W/m^2 applied to the top of the block to represent peak heat flux from the plasma. The cooling channel (which is pressurized water at a Reynolds number of ~1,000,000) is modeled using a k-epsilon turbulence model with standard wall functions. The heat transfer between the solid and fluid domain is modeled using the Dittus-Boelter correlation for the convective heat transfer coefficient. This work aims to show the importance of a multiphysics modeling approach when performing simulations on PFCs.

70 - PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Utah FORGE: LBNL Reports on VEMP Electromagnetic Data Collection and Processing - 2024

This archive contains reports related to Vertical Electromagnetic Profiling (VEMP) tool data collection and processing at Utah FORGE in 2024. The first report describes LBNL's effort to collect electromagnetic geophysical data with the tool in well 78-32B and a downhole electrode in well 16A. The second report describes the final data acquisition and processing of the VEMP electromagnetic data collected at the Utah FORGE site in May of 2024. Also included are a noise analysis as well as a comparison of the data to numerical models. This was originally presented as a paper at the 2025 Stanford Geothermal Workshop.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗