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At least 145 records · Page 8

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DOE OSTI2026

From molecular to macroscopic: predicting liquid–liquid phase equilibria and small-angle scattering of mixtures of organic liquids from atomistic simulation using Kirkwood–Buff theory

Macroscopic phase equilibria between solutions define the functionality of many biological and industrial processes, yet they are challenging to predict due to the inherent complexity of liquids containing large molecules. This work introduces an approach for the purely predictive calculation of such phase equilibria in temperature-composition space from molecular dynamics (MD) simulations at one temperature in the single-phase region. We use an approach developed previously to obtain the entropic and enthalpic contributions to the free energy of mixing from the atomic-scale information given by MD simulations via Kirkwood–Buff theory. This allows us to accurately estimate the free energy of mixing as a function of temperature, and thus obtain liquid–liquid phase equilibria, including liquid–liquid critical points, associated binodal and spinodal lines, and composition fluctuations across a region of temperature and composition. Results for binary malonamide–alkane systems are validated by comparison to a direct experimental probe of the fluctuations: the small angle X-ray scattering intensity near zero wavenumber. The MDKB → Phase method demonstrated here provides a significant improvement in predicting liquid–liquid equilibria and free energy as a function of temperature for our systems of interest compared to conventional thermodynamic models. The accurate performance of this purely predictive approach lies in its preservation of atomistic details when determining thermodynamic properties. Furthermore, its inherent extensibility to multi-component systems will likely make the MDKB → Phase approach a valuable general tool for connecting molecular interactions to macroscopic phase equilibria and for the computational screening of materials for targeted thermodynamic behavior.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2025

Many-body expansion based machine learning models for octahedral transition metal complexes

Abstract Graph-based machine learning (ML) models for material properties show great potential to accelerate virtual high-throughput screening of large chemical spaces. However, in their simplest forms, graph-based models do not include any 3D information and are unable to distinguish stereoisomers such as those arising from different orderings of ligands around a metal center in coordination complexes. In this work we present a modification to revised autocorrelation descriptors, a molecular graph featurization method, for predicting spin state dependent properties of octahedral transition metal complexes (TMCs). Inspired by analytical semi-empirical models for TMCs, the new modeling strategy is based on the many-body expansion (MBE) and allows one to tune the captured stereoisomer information by changing the truncation order of the MBE. We present the necessary modifications to include this approach in two commonly used ML methods, kernel ridge regression and feed-forward neural networks. On a test set composed of all possible isomers of binary TMCs, the best MBE models achieve mean absolute errors (MAEs) of 2.75 kcal mol −1 on spin-splitting energies and 0.26 eV on frontier orbital energy gaps, a 30%–40% reduction in error compared to models based on our previous approach. We also observe improved generalization to previously unseen ligands where the best-performing models exhibit MAEs of 4.00 kcal mol −1 (i.e. a 0.73 kcal mol −1 reduction) on the spin-splitting energies and 0.53 eV (i.e. a 0.10 eV reduction) on the frontier orbital energy gaps. Because the new approach incorporates insights from electronic structure theory, such as ligand additivity relationships, these models exhibit systematic generalization from homoleptic to heteroleptic complexes, allowing for efficient screening of TMC search spaces.

Meyer, Ralf (ORCID:0000000322360261)↗

DOE OSTI2025

Single-Bunch Instabilities at the Fermilab Recycler Ring

Understanding and characterizing collective instabilities is critical for high-intensity operation at the Fermilab Recycler Ring. This work presents an application of the the Nested Head-Tail (NHT) formalism for modeling single-bunch transverse instabilities, incorporating analytical solutions to the resistive wall impedances in the absence of space charge. Predicted growth rates and mode structures are benchmarked against PyHEADTAIL simulations and ongoing experimental measurements. The experimental program includes studies of bare-machine instabilities at different machine parameters. These results support the understanding of naturally-occurring instabilities in the Recycler and contribute to the development of predictive tools for beam stability in future high-intensity configurations.

Gonzalez-Ortiz, C. [Fermilab]↗

DOE OSTI2025

Enhanced Feedstock Characterization and Modeling to Facilitate Optimal Preprocessing and Deconstruction of Corn Stover (Final Report)

This project addresses the challenge of processing corn stover by fractionating this biomass feedstock to both streamline processing and generate new potential co-products. Additionally, the project developed new field-deployable analytical tools that can be coupled with empirical models that were used to predict feedstock properties and processing performance. The overall scope of this project was: (1) identify conditions for optimal corn stover fractionation using a two- stage physical fractionation, (2) assess how physical fractionation impacts properties, partitioning of biomass, and response to processing, (3) further adapt, develop, and validate several advanced characterization tools for assessing biomass properties that can be linked to processing behavior, and (4) develop and validate predictive models based on measurements that can be performed “in the field” or “at the biorefinery gate” to predict feedstock processing behavior (preprocessing and deconstruction). The first objective employed pre-separation processing (size reduction) which was next subjected to enhanced separations to yield fractions enriched or depleted in select compositional components or properties. For the second objective, fractions were screened for their response to post-separation processing (pretreatment and enzymatic hydrolysis). Detailed characterization profiles were developed and dynamic image analysis to assess distribution of particle size and morphology. For the final objective, we utilized these tools to develop empirical models to assess the relative abundance of tissue type in order to assess fractionation efficacy and to predict fraction performance during pretreatment and enzymatic hydrolysis.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Single-Bunch Instabilities at the Fermilab Recycler Ring

Gonzalez-Ortiz, Cristhian [Fermilab]↗

DOE OSTI2026

Prediction of Creep-Induced Strain Using a Symbolic Regression-Based Model

Material creep under high-temperature conditions limits the lifetime and safety of structural systems such as advanced nuclear reactors. Conventional creep testing is slow and often produces inconsistent results across nominally identical experiments, making lifetime prediction uncertain. Here, to address these challenges, this work develops a data-driven symbolic regression (SR) model that consolidates results from duplicate creep tests and predicts the remaining strain-time curve of an ongoing experiment. The method uses piece-wise multi-objective SR with physical constraints to generate analytic, interpretable functions describing transient creep strain. Applied to Inconel Alloy 617 data, the approach achieved relative mean absolute errors of 1.0–9.5%, providing closed-form predictions of strain evolution. These results demonstrate a first step toward reducing the duration and cost of long-term creep testing while retaining physically interpretable model forms.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Richtmyer–Meshkov instability when a shock is reflected for fluids with arbitrary equation of state

First predicted by Richtmyer in 1960 and experimentally confirmed by Meshkov in 1969, the Richtmyer–Meshkov instability (RMI) is crucial in fields such as physics, astrophysics, inertial confinement fusion and high-energy-density physics. These disciplines often deal with strong shocks moving through condensed materials or high-pressure plasmas that exhibit non-ideal equations of state (EoS), thus requiring theoretical models with realistic fluid EoS for accurate RMI simulations. Approximate formulae for asymptotic growth rates, like those proposed by Richtmyer, are helpful but rely on heuristic prescriptions for compressible materials. These prescriptions can sometimes approximate the RMI growth rate well, but their accuracy remains uncertain without exact solutions, as the fully compressible RMI growth rate is influenced by both vorticity deposited during shock refraction and multiple sonic wave refractions. This study advances previous work by presenting an analytic, fully compressible theory of RMI for reflected shocks with arbitrary EoS. It compares theoretical predictions with heuristic prescriptions using ideal gas, van der Waals gas and three-term constitutive equations for simple metals, the latter being analysed with detailed and simplified ideal-gas-like EoS. We additionally offer an alternative explicit approximate formula for the asymptotic growth rate. The comprehensive model also incorporates the effects of constant-amplitude acoustic waves at the interface, associated with the D'yakov–Kontorovich instability in shocks.

Napieralski, Mario (ORCID:0009000692344901)↗

DOE OSTI2026

Introduction to and comparison of deep learning and optimization approaches to analytical wake modeling of a tilted wind turbine

This paper introduces innovative optimization and deep learning techniques to enhance the prediction of complex wake dynamics in the downstream wind velocity of tilted wind turbines. Traditional methods for calibrating the Bastankhah wake model often lead to increased errors in wind velocity distribution due to overfitting of the local wake characteristics. To address this issue, we propose an additional global optimization step to reduce errors in wind velocity predictions with respect to various wake parameters. Despite this improvement, the Bastankhah model's axisymmetric Gaussian wake shape limits its accuracy for complex wake structures. Therefore, we also propose a deep learning approach, which demonstrates promising results by accurately modeling complex wake shapes across a broader range of tilt angles with minimal computational cost. The deep learning approach achieves near-identical predictions to high-fidelity large-eddy simulations, representing a promising advancement in wake modeling.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Effect of Specimen Thickness on Fracture Toughness and Plane Stress to Plane Strain Transition in Medium-Density Polyethylene

This study investigates the effect of specimen thickness on fracture toughness and the transition from plane stress to plane strain conditions in Medium-Density Polyethylene (MDPE) using Single Edge Notched Bend (SENB) specimens. Three thickness groups (7.5 mm, 9.0 mm, and 12.1 mm) were tested following ASTM D5045 protocol. Conditional stress intensity factors (KQ) increased from 2.2 MPavm to 2.8 MPavm with increasing thickness, demonstrating significant size dependency. Confocal microscopy revealed a 34% reduction in maximum crack tip opening displacement (CTOD) from 0.478 mm to 0.314 mm as thickness increased, with plastic zone lateral extent decreasing by 32%. This quantitative evidence validates Irwin's theoretical prediction of plastic zone size transition from plane stress r_y˜ (1/2p) (K_I/s_y )^2 to plane strain conditions r_y˜ (1/6p) (K_I/s_y )^2.Scanning electron microscopy confirmed progressive suppression of shear lips and evolution from ductile tearing with extensive polymer chain drawing in thin specimens to localized crazing in thick specimens. Despite all specimens satisfying the ASTM D5045 criterion (B = 2.5(KQ/s_y )^2 ) ,residual shear lips persisted even in the thickest specimens, demonstrating that nominal size requirements alone are insufficient for achieving complete plane strain conditions in highly ductile polymers. The findings emphasize the necessity of integrated analytical and morphological assessment for valid fracture toughness characterization, with critical implications for life assessment and integrity prediction in thick-section polymer components such as natural gas distribution pipelines.

Medium-Density Polyethylene↗

DOE OSTI2025

Beam focusing and consequences for Doppler backscattering measurements

The phenomenon of focusing of microwave beams in a plasma near a turning-point caustic is discussed by exploiting the analytical solution to the Gaussian beam-tracing equations in the two-dimensional (2-D) linear-layer problem. The location of maximum beam focusing and the beam width at that location are studied in terms of the beam initial conditions. This focusing must be taken into account to interpret Doppler backscattering (DBS) measurements. We find that the filter function that characterises the scattering intensity contribution along the beam path through the plasma is inversely proportional to the beam width, predicting enhanced scattering from the beam focusing region. We show that the DBS signal enhancement for decreasing incident angles between the beam path and the density gradient is due to beam focusing and not due to forward scattering, as was originally proposed by (Gusakov et al., (Plasma Phys. Contr. Fusion, vol. 56, 2014, p. 0250092014, 2017); Plasma Phys. Rep. vol. 43(6), 2017, pp. 605–613). The analytic beam model is used to predict the measurement of the k y density-fluctuation wavenumber power spectrum via DBS, showing that, in an NSTX-inspired example, the spectral exponent of the turbulent, intermediate-to-high k y density-fluctuation spectrum might be quantitatively measurable via DBS, but not the spectral peak corresponding to the driving scale of the turbulent cascade.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Towards Generalizable and Efficient Circuit Topology Design: A Graph-Transformer-based Surrogate Model with Curriculum Learning

Unlike circuit parameter and sizing optimizations, the automated design of analog circuit topologies poses significant challenges for learning-based approaches. One challenge arises from the combinatorial growth of the topology space with circuit size, which limits the topology optimization efficiency. Moreover, traditional circuit evaluation methods are time-consuming, while the presence of data discontinuity in the topology space makes the accurate prediction of circuit performance exceptionally difficult for unseen topologies. To tackle these challenges, we design a novel Graph-Transformer-based Network (GTN) as the surrogate model for circuit evaluation, offering a substantial acceleration in the speed of circuit topology optimization without sacrificing performance. Our GTN model architecture is designed to embed voltage changes in circuit loops and current flows in connected devices, enabling accurate performance predictions for circuits with unseen topologies. To address the cold start problem when scaling GTN to large-scale circuits, we further introduce a curriculum learning strategy that progressively trains GTN from small-scale to large-scale circuits. This approach enables the model to first learn fundamental physical principles from simpler topologies and gradually adapt to complex configurations, effectively bridging the circuit complexity gap and improving prediction accuracy. Taking the power converter circuit design as an experimental task, our GTN model significantly outperforms an analytical approach and baseline methods directly utilizing graph neural networks. Furthermore, GTN achieves less than 5% relative error and 196× speed-up compared with high-fidelity simulation. Notably, our GTN surrogate model empowers an automatic circuit design framework to discover circuits of comparable quality to those identified through high-fidelity simulation while reducing the time required by up to 98.2%. With curriculum learning, the enhanced GTN achieves a 51% improvement for performance prediction of large-scale circuits compared to the GTN model without this strategy. These advancements establish GTN as a scalable framework for automated analog circuit design across varying circuit complexity levels.

Lu, Haoshu [New Jersey Institute of Technology (NJ↗

DOE OSTI2024

Prediction of residual stresses in additively manufactured parts using lumped capacitance and classical lamination theory

Several industries are interested in Laser Powder Bed Fusion (L-PBF) Additively Manufactured (AM) metal parts because their designs can be made arbitrarily complex while retaining bulk-type material properties. However, the residual stresses (RS) and distortions caused by the heat gradients inherent to L-PBF processes are detrimental to the structural integrity of the parts and must be taken into consideration during the part design cycle. Predicting the state of stresses in as-built 3D printed parts is a difficult problem that is typically approached with the use of transient thermomechanical Finite Element Models (FEMs). However, the nonlinearities associated with AM processes are difficult to capture in these FEMs without increasing the computational cost of the simulation, limiting their ability to be incorporated into practical design cycles. This work presents a novel analytical framework that combines lumped capacitance nonlinear heat transfer with time dependent classical lamination theory to efficiently and accurately predict RS in as-built L-PBF parts without the need of FEMs. The simulation was compared to Neutron Diffraction (ND) residual strain measurements taken at Oak Ridge National Laboratories (ORNL) as well as Synchrotron X-ray Diffraction (XRD) strain data published by the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST). The simulation predictions and the experimental data showed excellent agreement for the in-plane strain directions, and general agreement for the out of plane strain component, highlighting an area where further development can be implemented.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Integrating in situ environmental covariates in an American lobster catch model to improve impact assessment

The installation and operation of floating offshore wind power is an integral component of societal transition to renewable energy generation where fixed bottom offshore wind is not possible. However, it will cause unique ecosystem changes. To disentangle the effects of offshore wind installations from the concurrent effects of climate change and the fishing practices on commercially significant resources, we must develop detailed characterizations of the resources before development occurs. In the Gulf of Maine, American lobster is the most commercially and culturally important fishery. At the time of writing, this is the largest fishery by value in North America. Our understanding of baseline localized parameters (such as catch per trap at the spatial scale of individual turbines) should be informed by relationships to environmental, biological, and survey-specific functional drivers of catch. A more mechanistic understanding of catch will allow for strategic adjustments to Post- Deployment fishery responses and ultimately, the development of research- and commercial-scale floating offshore wind development. Here, we used survey data from the New England Aqua Ventus Pre-Construction Commercial Trapping Survey to develop Generalized Additive Models describing seasonal catch per trap for legal and sublegal lobsters. We found fall catch to be nearly twice that of spring. Bottom temperature dynamics could be used to predict catch, and the Fall survey was associated with a warmer temperature regime. By using analytical tools that incorporate environmental heterogeneity, we developed monitoring methods from preconstruction baseline data that will be applicable over the post-construction operating period of an offshore wind farm.

BACI↗

DOE OSTI2025

Electron-Only Magnetic Reconnection and Inverse Magnetic-Energy Transfer at Subion Scales

We derive, and validate numerically, an analytical model for electron-only magnetic reconnection applicable to strongly magnetized plasmas. Our model predicts subion-scale reconnection rates significantly higher than those pertaining to large-scale reconnection, aligning with recent observations and simulations. Here, we apply this reconnection model to the problem of inverse magnetic energy transfer at subion scales. We derive time-dependent scaling laws for the magnetic energy decay and the typical magnetic structure dimensions that differ from those previously found in the magnetohydrodynamics regime. These scaling laws are validated via two- and three-dimensional simulations, demonstrating that subion-scale magnetic fields can reach large, system-size scales via successive coalescence.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2024

Leveraging design of experiments to build chemometric models for the quantification of uranium (VI) and HNO3 by Raman spectroscopy

Partial least squares regression (PLSR) and support vector regression (SVR) models were optimized for the quantification of U(VI) (10–320 g L −1 ) and HNO 3 (0.6–6 M) by Raman spectroscopy with optimized calibration sets chosen by optimal design of experiments. The designed approach effectively minimized the number of samples in the calibration set for PLSR and SVR by selecting sample concentrations with a quadratic process model, despite complex confounding and covarying spectral features in the spectra. The top PLS2 model resulted in percent root mean square errors of prediction for U(VI), HNO 3 , and NO 3 − of 3.7%, 3.6%, and 2.9%, respectively. PLS1 models performed similarly despite modeling an analyte with a majority linear response (i.e., uranyl symmetric stretch) and another with more covarying vibrational modes (i.e., HNO 3 ). Partial least squares (PLS) model loadings and regression coefficients were evaluated to better understand the relationship between weaker Raman bands and covarying spectral features. Support vector machine models outperformed PLS1 models, resulting in percent root mean square error of prediction values for U(VI) and HNO 3 of 1.5% and 3.1%, respectively. The optimal nonlinear SVR model was trained using a similar number of samples (11) compared with the PLSR model, even though PLS is a linear modeling approach. The generic D-optimal design presented in this work provides a robust statistical framework for selecting training set samples in disparate two-factor systems. This approach reinforces Raman spectroscopy for the quantification of species relevant to the nuclear fuel cycle and provides a robust chemometric modeling approach to bolster online monitoring in challenging process environments.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Roadmap for the Future of Systems Biology in Cancer Research

Cancer systems biology seeks to understand how cancer arises as a system of interconnected molecules, cells, and tissues, with the goal of understanding, predicting, and controlling the disease. In the last decade, the field has rapidly grown as advances in experimental, computational, and analytic technologies have improved our ability to capture and recapitulate the complexities of cancer at multiple scales. However, the field’s promise to understand how specific molecular changes give rise to altered cancer outcomes remains incompletely fulfilled. Fortunately, an opportunity exists to accelerate progress by better coordinating modeling and data-gathering efforts across the cancer systems biology community. This will create the foundation for building accurate, multiscale cancer models that can better predict and identify improved therapeutic interventions. Here, in this study, we outline some of the current challenges in cancer systems biology research, how they can be addressed, and actions that the community can take to accelerate progress in the field.

Modeling & Simulation↗

DOE OSTI2025

Foaming prediction in pure liquids from dimensionless numbers inspired by the theory of fluid behavior for drops

Foaming prediction is critical for selecting materials and designing processes in industries such as bioprocessing and gas processing. Existing models lack the generality needed for a wide range of materials and overlook the foaming behavior in pure liquids. Here, this work presents a novel method for predicting foaming in pure liquids based on their density, surface tension, and viscosity, using Reynolds ( Re ) and Ohnesorge ( Oh ) numbers. A foaming prediction map, leveraging the theory of fluid drop behavior, was developed by plotting these numbers. This map delineates distinct non-foaming and foaming regions, functioning as a binary classifier for foaming predictions. The map was fitted and validated through shake test experiments on 46 liquids, demonstrating reliable predictions, except for a specific region characterized by small Oh and large Re numbers. This region corresponded to relatively low foam stability and high turbulence, making foaming predictions challenging for liquids in this category.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2026

Modeling the influence of the solid electrolyte interphase on the sand’s time and dendrite formation on lithium metal electrodes

Lithium metal is a sought after battery material for its high energy density due to the low electrochemical potential and density. However, lithium metal is also highly reactive, which results in a strong propensity for dendrite formation. The Sand’s time has previously been used to predict the time of dendrite initiation on metals that do not form a solid-electrolyte interphase (SEI), but it has been shown that the Sand’s time is not accurate for lithium electrodes when using transport parameters associated with the electrolyte. Thus, we built a numerical model to simulate lithium ion transport through a growing SEI to predict the Sand’s time. The numerical model is shown to be more accurate than previous analytical solutions, especially for low current densities. We then analyze the sensitivity of the Sand’s time to different SEI properties and the chemical potential gradients present in the SEI, driving lithium transport. The results showed that high lithium concentration has a greater impact at high current density, while fast diffusivity is more important at low current density. Lastly, we modeled the influence of surface roughness on the plating evolution and chemical potential gradients when an SEI is present in comparison to the electrolyte. As a result, we demonstrate that the SEI plays a critical role in lithium electrode stability, and that improved characterization techniques are needed to better understand transport through the SEI and increase lithium metal utilization in energy storage devices.

Chemistry↗