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At least 145 records · Page 8

Reproductive Responses to Increased Shoot Density and Global Change Drivers in a Widespread Clonal Wetland Species, Schoenoplectus americanus

The expansion of many wetland species is a function of both clonal propagation and sexual reproduction. The production of ramets through clonal propagation enables plants to move and occupy space near parent ramets, while seeds produced by sexual reproduction enable species to disperse and colonize open or disturbed sites both near and far from parents. The balance between clonal propagation and sexual reproduction is known to vary with plant density but few studies have focused on reproductive allocation with density changes in response to global climate change. Schoenoplectus americanus is a widespread clonal wetland species in North America and a dominant species in Chesapeake Bay brackish tidal wetlands. Long-term experiments on responses of S. americanus to global change provided the opportunity to compare the two modes of propagation under different treatments. Seed production increased with increasing shoot density, supporting the hypothesis that factors causing increased clonal reproduction (e.g., higher shoot density) stimulate sexual reproduction and dispersal of genets. The increase in allocation to sexual reproduction was mainly the result of an increase in the number of ramets that flowered and not an increase in the number of seeds per reproductive shoot, or the ratio between the number of flowers produced per inflorescence and the number of flowers that developed into seeds. Seed production increased in response to increasing temperatures and decreased or did not change in response to increased CO2 or nitrogen. Results from this comparative study demonstrate that plant responses to global change treatments affect resource allocation and can alter the ability of species to produce seeds.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Impacts of a Prescribed Fire on Air Quality in Central New Mexico

A short-duration but high-impact air quality event occurred on 28 November 2018 along the Rio Grande Valley of New Mexico. This fire occurred outside the typical wildfire season, and greatly impacted the air quality in Socorro, NM, and the surroundings. Measurements were taken during the event using an aerosol light scattering technique (integrating nephelometer) and a particulate mass concentration monitor (DustTrak PM optical monitor). The instruments sampled the ambient air during the event on the campus of the New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology in Socorro, New Mexico. The peak values on a 5-min basis of light scattering and the PM mass concentration reached 470 Mm -1 and 270 µg/m 3 , respectively. We examined the meteorological context of the event using local meteorological data and back trajectories using the NOAA HYSPLIT model to determine atmospheric transport and possible sources. Several fires, both prescribed and wildfires, occurred in the region including a prescribed burn at Bosque del Apache National Wildlife Refuge (17 km south-southeast of the receptor site). The data suggest that the prescribed burn at Bosque del Apache was the dominant contributor due to transport evidence and the event’s narrow spatiotemporal extent. The increasing importance of restoring ecosystem function using prescribed fire in wildland fire management will likely lead to more frequent air quality impacts and sets up policy tradeoffs that require a balance between these public goals. This study examines the evidence of the effects of a prescribed fire in a protected wildland area impacting the air quality in a nearby populated area.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Ebullition dominates methane fluxes from the water surface across different ecohydrological patches in a temperate freshwater marsh at the end of the growing season

Measurements of the spatial heterogeneity of methane fluxes in wetlands are critical to better understand and predict methane emissions at the ecosystem scale. However, the within-wetland spatial heterogeneity of fluxes is rarely assessed. Here, we use a spatially balanced rapid chamber-based survey of methane at different ecohydrological patches within a temperate freshwater marsh. We measured fluxes exclusively from the water surface without including vegetation. We further used the data from chamber measurements to partition diffusive and ebullitive fluxes. Three ecohydrological patches were distinguishable in the marsh, defined by the type and presence/absence of vegetation. Here, these patches were emergent vegetation, floating-leaved, and open water. Net methane fluxes from the water surface (diffusion plus ebullition) in emergent vegetation patches were larger than in the floating-leaved vegetation and open water patches (p < 0.05). Diffusive fluxes, representing a sizable smaller fraction of net fluxes, were larger in vegetated than in unvegetated patches (p < 0.05), while ebullitive fluxes mirrored the magnitude and differences observed in the net fluxes.Moreover, pooled net and ebullitive fluxes across patches (but not diffusive fluxes) were negatively correlated with water levels, the primary variable affecting patch distribution. Altogether, our results indicate that the differences among ecohydrological patches are driven by ebullition, ultimately highlighting challenges faced by scientists and practitioners in the field and modelers seeking to improve the predictability and resolution of wetland biogeochemical models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Engineering Active Sites of Metal/Metal Oxide Catalysts by Oxide Ligand Overlayers

Abstract Engineering sites of supported metal catalysts is essential to enhancing activity and selectivity. Such enhancement is typically achieved by particle size modification, surface alloying, or attaching molecular ligands. Yet, control strategies for complex, multifunctional molecules and catalysts, where selectivity is crucial, are lacking. Here, we demonstrate that submonolayer WO x with tunable coverage preferentially decorates well‐coordinated Pt terrace sites as a stable ligand. By combining experimental kinetics with probe molecules, in situ spectroscopies, and first‐principles modeling, we show that the WO x coverage on Pt modifies the metal‐to‐acid site balance while retaining the acid strength intact and results in optimal reactivity for metal‐acid catalyzed reactions at a specific metal, size, and support‐dependent WO x coverage. The oxide can also alter the reactant adsorption mode, reversing selectivity and pathways from terrace‐ to step‐dominated, as evidenced in furfural decarbonylation and hydrogenation. The insights open avenues for improving metal/metal oxide catalysts beyond the specific system.

Zhou, Jiahua↗

A data-driven linear formulation of the optimal demand response scheduling problem for an industrial air separation unit

Demand response (DR) has become a key element in balancing the power grid as the contribution of time-varying renewable power generation increases. Chemical plants are appealing candidates for DR programs as they offer large, concentrated and flexible loads. DR participation calls for frequent production rate changes over time scales that overlap with the dominant dynamics of the plant. Production scheduling should therefore consider the process dynamics explicitly. Here we present a data-driven approach for modelling the scheduling-relevant dynamics based on historical closed-loop operating data using autoregressive with extra inputs (ARX) models. We introduce a new, linear scheduling problem formulation based on the ARX representation, and demonstrate its implementation on an industrial air separation unit.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Laser heating and evaporation of a single droplet

The laser technology is being abundantly studied for controlled energy deposition for a range of applications in aerodynamic flow control, material processing, ignition, and combustion. The absorption of laser radiation by liquid droplets affects further propagation of laser in the atmosphere and causes bleaching of suspended droplets while the ignition and combustion characteristics in combustors are influenced by the evaporation rate of the sprayed fuel. In this work, we present a multi-dimensional mathematical model built on OpenFOAM for laser heating and evaporation of a single droplet in the diffusion dominated regime taking into account absorption of the laser radiation, evaporation process and vapor flow dynamics. The developed solver is validated against available experimental and numerical data for the ethanol and water droplet heating and evaporation. For continuous heating the peak temperature is established by the balance of cooling, evaporation and heating and results in high temperature for larger droplets. It has been shown that for heating by a single laser pulse the maximum temperature of droplets depends only on the peak intensity of the laser radiation. Furthermore, for the peak irradiance close to the transition to the boiling regime, temporal dynamics of the droplet temperature is independent of the droplet size. With proper normalization of time, the dynamics of the droplet shrinkage and cooling is shown to be independent of droplet sizes and peak laser intensities. The influence of cooling and evaporation processes on droplet heating was found to be controlled by the pulse repetition rate for repeated pulse operation.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Physicochemical and Molecular Insights into the Boundary Layer and Free Troposphere Aerosol Interactions over the Southern Great Plains

Ambient aerosols’ vertical profiles are critical for evaluating the role of aerosols in atmospheric chemistry and radiative transfer, but limited data on these profiles hinders our ability to fully assess their impact on the Earth's radiative balance. Here, in this study, we investigated the size-, time-, and altitude resolved composition of individual particles and bulk molecular composition of particle samples collected by an uncrewed aerial system–ArcticShark over the Southern Great Plains. Single particle microanalysis shows that, the free tropospheric (FT) samples are dominated (56-66%) by carbonaceous sulfate particles, while boundary layer (BL) samples are dominated (57-74%) by carbonaceous particles. Back trajectory simulations suggest that FT particles are likely influenced by long-range transport and have undergone aqueous-phase processing. Conversely, in-situ size distribution data shows evidence of particle growth in the upper BL and just below the FT. This observation may indicate vertical transport of particles from an elevated aerosol layer in the FT, possibly linked to a new particle formation event. This observation is further supported by high resolution molecular composition data, which reveals particle volatility increasing with increasing size, which aligns with the growth event. This study aids in fundamental understanding of the compositional and molecular specificity of vertically resolved organic aerosols to provide insights into particle size evolution for future atmospheric models.

ArcticShark↗

The mechanisms and seasonal differences of the impact of aerosols on daytime surface urban heat island effect

The urban heat island intensity (UHII) is the temperature difference between urban areas and their rural surroundings. It is commonly attributed to changes in the underlying surface structure caused by urbanization. Air pollution caused by aerosol particles can affect the UHII through changing (1) the surface energy balance by the aerosol radiative effect (ARE) and (2) planetary-boundary-layer (PBL) stability and airflow intensity by modifying thermodynamic structure, which is referred to as the aerosol dynamic effect (ADE). By analyzing satellite data and ground-based observations collected from 2001 to 2010 at 35 cities in China and using the WRF-Chem model, we find that the impact of aerosols on UHII differs considerably: reducing the UHII in summer but increasing the UHII in winter. This seasonal contrast is proposed to be caused by the different strengths of the ARE and ADE between summer and winter. In summer, the ARE on UHII is dominant over the ADE, cooling down surface temperature more strongly in urban areas than in rural areas because of much higher aerosol loading, and offsets the urban heating, therefore weakening UHII. In winter, however, the ADE is more dominant, because aerosols stabilize the PBL more in the polluted condition, weakening the near-surface heat transport over urban areas in both vertical and horizontal directions. This means that the heat accumulated in urban areas is dispersed less effectively, and thus the UHII is enhanced. These findings shed new light on the impact of the interaction between urbanization-induced surface changes and air pollution on urban climate.urban areas and their rural surroundings. It is commonly attributed to changes in the underlying surface structure caused by urbanization. Air pollution caused by aerosol particles can affect the UHII through changing (1) the surface energy balance by the aerosol radiative effect (ARE) and (2) planetary-boundary-layer (PBL) stability and airflow intensity by modifying thermodynamic structure, which is referred to as the aerosol dynamic effect (ADE). By analyzing satellite data and ground-based observations collected from 2001 to 2010 at 35 cities in China and using the WRF-Chem model, we find that the impact of aerosols on UHII differs considerably: reducing the UHII in summer but increasing the UHII in winter. This seasonal contrast is proposed to be caused by the different strengths of the ARE and ADE between summer and winter. In summer, the ARE on UHII is dominant over the ADE, cooling down surface temperature more strongly in urban areas than in rural areas because of much higher aerosol loading, and offsets the urban heating, therefore weakening UHII. In winter, however, the ADE is more dominant, because aerosols stabilize the PBL more in the polluted condition, weakening the near-surface heat transport over urban areas in both vertical and horizontal directions. This means that the heat accumulated in urban areas is dispersed less effectively, and thus the UHII is enhanced. These findings shed new light on the impact of the interaction between urbanization-induced surface changes and air pollution on urban climate.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Two-fluid model of rf current condensation in magnetic islands

The stabilization of tearing modes with rf waves is subject to a nonlinear effect, termed rf current condensation, that has the potential to greatly enhance and localize current driven within magnetic islands. Here we extend previous investigations of this effect with a two fluid model that captures the balance of diffusive and thermal equilibration processes within the island. We show that the effective power and resulting strength of the condensation effect can be greatly enhanced by avoiding collisional heat loss to the ions. The relative impact of collisions on the overall power balance within the island depends on the ratio of the characteristic diffusion timescale and the electron–ion equilibration time, rather than the latter alone. Although relative heat loss to ions increases with island size, the heating efficiency does as well. In particular, we show that the latter safely dominates for large deposition profiles, as is typically the case for lower hybrid current drive. This supports the possibility of passive stabilization of neoclassical tearing modes without the precise aiming of the rf waves required for electron cyclotron current drive stabilization.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Convection-Permitting Ensembles of an Isolated Mountain Thunderstorm during RELAMPAGO/CACTI

Abstract The north–south-oriented Sierras de Córdoba (SDC) ridge in central Argentina is noted for initiating thunderstorms that may grow into intense mesoscale convective systems (MCSs). It also initiates more isolated, shorter-lived cells under weaker synoptic forcing. These cells are less impactful than MCSs but may be difficult to predict in convective-scale numerical weather prediction (NWP) due to their strong sensitivities to subgrid and partially resolved processes. To study the mechanisms and predictability of such cells, convection-permitting ensemble simulations were conducted of an isolated, diurnally forced SDC thunderstorm during Cloud, Aerosol, and Complex Terrain Interactions (CACTI)/Remote Sensing of Electrification, Lightning, and Mesoscale/Microscale Processes with Adaptive Ground Observations (RELAMPAGO). The rich observational data facilitated detailed ensemble verification, where dry biases in the surface energy balance and soil moisture were identified. These biases promoted rapid removal of convective inhibition and an early onset of precipitating cells over the SDC that were shallower and weaker than the observed cell. Correction, and then overcorrection, of the soil moisture bias in two successive ensembles was required to rectify the surface energy balance and improve the representation of the SDC cell. Nevertheless, substantial ensemble variability in convective precipitation was found, with some members producing more widespread convection than observed and others producing no deep convection at all. This variability was largely explained by a combination of thermodynamic and dynamic mechanisms, dominated by a positive sensitivity of convective precipitation to preconvective moist instability over the ridge. Secondary sensitivities were found to low-level upward mass flux and midlevel cross-barrier winds, the latter of which caused gravity waves with elevated downdrafts that tended to suppress incipient clouds.

Lopez, Andres [Department of Atmospheric and Ocean↗

The root-zone soil moisture spectrum in a mediterranean ecosystem

Storage of water within soil pores of the root zone introduce memory effects in the dynamics of soil moisture that are considerably longer than the integral timescale of many atmospheric processes. Thus, hydro-climatic states can be “sustained” through land-surface heat and water vapor fluxes primarily because they can “feed off” on this long-term soil moisture memory. Root-zone soil moisture memory is only but one feature characterizing the spectrum of soil moisture dynamics, which is analyzed here using a combination of long-term measurements and models. In particular, the spectrum of root-zone soil moisture content in a Mediterranean ecosystem is examined using 14-years of half-hourly measurements. A distinguishing hydro-climatic feature in such ecosystems is that sources (mainly rainfall) and sinks (mainly evapotranspiration) of soil moisture are roughly out of phase with each other. For over 4 decades of time scales and 7 decades of energy, the canonical shape of the measured soil moisture spectrum is shown to be approximately Lorentzian determined by the soil moisture variance and its memory but with two exceptions: the occurrences of a peak at diurnal-to-daily time scales and a weaker peak at near annual time scales. Model calculations and spectral analysis demonstrate that diurnal and seasonal variations in hydroclimate forcing responsible for variability in evapotranspiration had minor impact on the normalized shape of the soil moisture spectrum. However, their impact was captured by adjustments in the temporal variance. These findings indicate that precipitation and not evapotranspiration variability dominates the multi-scaling properties of soil moisture variability consistent with prior climate model simulations. Furthermore, the soil moisture memory inferred by the annual peak of soil moisture (340 d) is consistent with climate model simulations, while the memory evaluated from the loss function of a linearized mass balance approach leads to a smaller value (50 d), highlighting the effect of weak non-stationarity on soil moisture variability.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The Carbon Budget of Land Conversion: Sugarcane Expansion and Implications for a Sustainable Bioenergy Landscape in Southeastern United States

The expansion of sugarcane onto land currently occupied by improved (IMP) and semi-native (SN) pastures will reshape the U.S. bioenergy landscape. We combined biometric, ground-based and eddy covariance methods to investigate the impact of sugarcane expansion across subtropical Florida on the carbon (C) budget over a 3-year rotation. With 2.3- and 5.1-fold increase in productivity over IMP and SN pastures, sugarcane displayed a C use efficiency (CUE; i.e., fraction of gross C uptake allocated to plant growth) of 0.59, well above that of pastures (0.31–0.23). Sugarcane also had greater C allocation to aboveground productivity and hence, harvestable biomass relative to IMP and SN. Cane heterotrophic respiration over the 3-year rotation (903 ± 335 gC m −2 year −1 ) was 1% and 14% higher than IMP and SN pastures, respectively. These soil C losses responded largely to disturbance over the first year after conversion (1510 ± 227 gC m −2 year −1 ) but declined in subsequent years to an average 599 ± 90 gC m −2 year −1 —well below those of IMP (933 ± 140 gC m −2 year −1 ) and SN (759 ± 114 gC m −2 year −1 ) pastures—despite a significant 40%–61% increase in soil C inputs. Soil C inputs, however, shifted from root-dominated in pastures to litter-dominated in sugarcane, with only 5% C allocation to roots. Reduced decomposition rates in sugarcane were likely driven by changes in the recalcitrance and distribution rather than the size of the newly incorporated soil C pool. As a result, we observed a rapid shift in the net ecosystem C balance (NECB) of sugarcane from a large source immediately following conversion to approaching the net C losses of IMP pastures only 2 years after conversion. The environmental cost of converting pasture to sugarcane underscores the importance of implementing management practices to harness the soil C storage potential of sugarcane in advancing a sustainable bioeconomy in Southeastern United States.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Automated Discovery of DOminaNt physics Informed Surrogates (ADDONIS) Framework for Improving Water Cycling Predictability

Focal Areas: The primary alignment of the proposed framework is with focal area 2, because it guides the construction of a hierarchy of predictive models generated from Statistical and AI/ ML techniques. There are connections to focal areas 1 and 3 because surrogates allow for coupled data assimilation techniques where the full model is too expensive (1) and the discovered balance laws can be used as an insightful analysis tool to validate the structure of models (3).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Hole doping in compositionally complex correlated oxide enables tunable exchange biasing

Magnetic interfaces and the phenomena arising from them drive both the design of modern spintronics and fundamental research. Recently, it was revealed that through designing magnetic frustration in configurationally complex entropy stabilized oxides, exchange bias can occur in structurally single crystal films. This eliminates the need for complex heterostructures and nanocomposites in the design and control of magnetic response phenomena. In this work, we demonstrate through hole doping of a high entropy perovskite oxide that tuning of magnetic responses can be achieved. With detailed magnetometry, we show magnetic coupling exhibiting a variety of magnetic responses including exchange bias and antiferromagnetic spin reversal in the entropy stabilized ABO 3 perovskite oxide La 1-x Sr x (Cr 0.2 Mn 0.2 Fe 0.2 Co 0.2 Ni 0.2 )O 3 family. We find that manipulation of the A-site charge state can be used to balance magnetic phase compositions and coupling responses. This allows for the creation of highly tunable exchange bias responses. In the low Sr doping regime, a spin frustrated region arising at the antiferromagnetic phase boundary is shown to directly couple to the antiferromagnetic moments of the film and emerges as the dominant mechanism, leading to a vertical shift of magnetization loops in response to field biasing. At higher concentrations, direct coupling of antiferromagnetic and ferromagnetic regions is observed. This tunability of magnetic coupling is discussed within the context of these three competing magnetic phases, revealing critical features in designing exchange bias through exploiting spin frustration and disorder in high entropy oxides.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet from 2000–2300 and beyond: model sensitivity and uncertainty analysis using MPAS-Albany Land Ice

We present a description of the Antarctic Ice Sheet model configuration submitted to the ISMIP6-Antarctica-2300 experiment using the MPAS-Albany Land Ice model, along with three new sets of simulations: (1) a set of extended simulations to 2500 for three forced experiments and to 2775 for the control experiment; (2) a sensitivity analysis of our model configuration to parameters controlling basal sliding and sub-shelf melt, and to model structural choices including the choice of the energy and stress balances; and (3) a 72-member ensemble run on graphics processing units (GPUs) and analysis of variance to determine the primary sources of uncertainty in our ice-sheet model projections. Our extended simulations predict rapid retreat beginning after 2300 for SSP1-2.6 forcing and after 2500 for present-day (control) forcing, primarily in the Amundsen Sea Embayment. We find that varying the sub-shelf melt parameter between the 5th to 95th percentile values for a mean-Antarctic calibration target results in an up to ∼ ± 40 % change in sea-level contribution relative to our baseline simulations that used the median value. Using a linear basal sliding law reduces sea-level contribution by 51 %–73 % relative to our baseline nonlinear sliding law with an exponent of 1/5. When using basal sliding law exponents of 1/3 and 1/10, the overall difference from our baseline simulations at 2300 is on the order of 10 %. The Amundsen Sea Embayment region displays a strongly non-linear dependence of mass loss on the sliding law exponent, with no discernible relationship between the sliding law exponent and the mass loss by 2300, while the sectors feeding the Ross and Filchner-Ronne ice shelves exhibit more mass loss with a more-plastic sliding law. Our model fidelity sensitivity experiments reveal a 9 %–31 % increase in sea-level contribution when using a depth-integrated stress balance approximation relative to our three-dimensional solver, while using a fixed-in-time temperature field increases sea-level contribution by 14 %–88 % relative to two thermomechanically coupled configurations. Our 72-member ensemble and analysis of variance show that the uncertainty in long-term projections is dominated by the choice of Earth system model forcing and the presence or absence of hydrofracture forcing, rather than uncertainty in sliding and sub-shelf melt parameters.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Evaluation of thermal processing and properties of 422 martensitic stainless steel for replacement of 4140 steel in diesel engine pistons

The thermal and mechanical properties of martensitic stainless steel 422 were evaluated for suitability as a drop-in replacement for 4140 steel in next generation heavy-duty diesel engine (HDDE) pistons. The time and temperature of the austenitization and tempering steps were studied to achieve optimum materials performance in piston applications, including the balance of thermal and mechanical properties and resistance to long-term thermal aging. Reducing the tempering temperature from 700 to 600 °C caused a substantial increase in elevated temperature strength from 25 to 600 °C, but had no significant influence on thermal conductivity, suggesting that thermal conductivity in 422 is dominated largely by composition and distribution of alloying elements and mostly independent of the sub-grain structure size and precipitate size. Compared to the current HDDE piston alloy 4140, 422 exhibits substantially higher elevated temperature strength and lower thermal conductivity, the latter which will cause 422 to operate at higher temperatures in pistons, possibly requiring a piston redesign to take advantage of the improved high temperature strength of 422. Piston material selection and alloy design strategies with potential to mitigate some of the shortcomings of martensitic stainless steels, such as 422, as drop-in replacements are discussed.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Cost analysis of hydrogen production by high-temperature solid oxide electrolysis

In this study, we estimate construction and operation costs of gigawatt-scale solid oxide electrolysis (SOE) facilities for producing high purity hydrogen gas from water. Manufacturing and assembly costs for two types of SOE cell stacks are estimated using a detailed design for manufacture and assembly (DFMA®) analysis. Modular balance of plant (BOP) process equipment is designed and sized with Aspen®, and cost estimated using equipment vendor quotes. Factory and on-site assembly and installation costs for SOEC stack and BOP equipment integration into modular SOE process units are calculated using a simplified DFMA® method. Total stack costs on a stack input power (SIP) basis reduce to <$100/kW e DC SIP for >500 MW e DC SIP /year production rates with electrode cermet, interconnects, and high-temperature heat treatments dominating the total cost. Integration of stacks with larger BOP equipment operating at higher pressures offers ~36% cost reduction in total facility capital cost due to an economies of physical scale effect since BOP equipment comprises >50% of facility costs. Optimized H 2 prices decrease from ~$\$$4/kgH 2 to ~$\$$2/kgH 2 for 1 GWe DCSIP facilities using $\$$0.025/kWh electricity price. All costs are reported in 2021 US dollars.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Climatology and surface impacts of atmospheric rivers on West Antarctica

Abstract. Atmospheric rivers (ARs) transport large amounts of moisture from the mid- to high-latitudes and they are a primary driver of the most extreme snowfall events, along with surface melting, in Antarctica. In this study, we characterize the climatology and surface impacts of ARs on West Antarctica, focusing on the Amundsen Sea Embayment and Marie Byrd Land. First, we develop a climatology of ARs in this region, using an Antarctic-specific AR detection tool combined with the Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2) and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Reanalysis v5 (ERA5) atmospheric reanalyses. We find that while ARs are infrequent (occurring 3 % of the time), they cause intense precipitation in short periods of time and account for 11 % of the annual surface accumulation. They are driven by the coupling of a blocking high over the Antarctic Peninsula with a low-pressure system known as the Amundsen Sea Low. Next, we use observations from automatic weather stations on Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf with the firn model SNOWPACK and interferometric reflectometry (IR) to examine a case study of three ARs that made landfall in rapid succession from 2 to 8 February 2020, known as an AR family event. While accumulation dominates the surface impacts of the event on Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf (> 100 kg m−2 or millimeters water equivalent), we find small amounts of surface melt as well (< 5 kg m−2). The results presented here enable us to quantify the past impacts of ARs on West Antarctica's surface mass balance (SMB) and characterize their interannual variability and trends, enabling a better assessment of future AR-driven changes in the SMB.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗